Centinel2012

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Jul 11 2019

BOJ Trapped – How will the Nightmare End?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Japan

Re-Posted Jul 11, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda publicly stated that it may maintain ultra-low rates for a further period of well over a year. However, he also warned against the idea of propping up the economy through unlimited money printing to finance government spending. That may sound nice, but the Bank of Japan is trapped. Its holdings of the national debt have reached nearly 50%. The BOJ modified its forward guidance or pledge on how it will guide future monetary policy. It stated that current very low interest rates will continue at least until the spring of 2020. However, there is ZERO hope without the BOJ buying the government debt that interest rates will rise dramatically and a financial crisis will be in the making.

The BOJ will keep rates low for an extended period of time for they have no choice. There is no way out of this nightmare and the real inflationary cycle comes when the majority wake up and realize that the emperor has no clothes, and that means the central bankers worldwide

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in World Economic Form • Tagged 100 Year Bonds, Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Baby Bust, Big Government, BOJ, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FBAR filings, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Forced loans, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, MMT, Modern Monetary Theory, Modern Money Theory, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Political Corruption, Pre-Pay VAT, Privilege Tax, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Jul 10 2019

Goldman Sachs Controls the SEC


Armstrong Economics Blog/Corruption

Re-Posted Jul 10, 2019 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: you spoke about trump draining the swamp, how would you drain the swamp, we agree it needs draining?
tg
ANSWER: The first thing you have to do is eliminate the control of the regulatory agencies by the bankers. Enough is enough. We must start there. We will NEVER see any hope for the future until we eliminate that control. We must also make it a criminal offense for any politician to use their power for a family member as Biden, Clintons, and countless others have done. They should also be prohibited from having any sort of charity they set up which is just a funnel for money to buy votes. Both Hillary did that as well as John McCain and they are not the only politicians to have used that ploy.


The Center for Economic Policy and Research in Nov. 2018 wrote about how Goldman Sachs controls the SEC:  “How Goldman Still Holds Sway at the SEC”

With the departures of Gary Cohn, Steve Bannon, and Dina Powell from the White House, has Goldman Sachs’ initial influence on the Trump Administration dwindled?

The wrote: “Jay Clayton, Goldman Sachs’ past and likely future lawyer, is not alone in the Trump-Goldman axis at the SEC. To better understand how corporations consistently manage to maneuver ostensibly independent agencies in their interest, it is instructive to consider one of Clayon’s “Senior Policy Advisors,” Alan Cohen.

Before Cohen joined the SEC in the summer of 2017, he “served as Goldman’s compliance head for 13 years, after joining the bank in 2004 as a partner from law firm O’Melveny & Myers.” It makes sense that Clayton would reach out to Goldman for senior advisors — not only did Clayton represent Goldman while Cohen was helping run the megabank, Clayton’s wife worked at Goldman Sachs until Clayton’s ascent to the SEC. It’s a small and quite rich circle in which the likes of Clayton and Cohen run.

But while the “how” of Cohen’s rise to SEC prominence is sadly intuitive, the “what the heck” nature of the hiring merits significant explication.

First, what does it mean to have been in charge of “compliance” for Goldman? Per their website, “the global compliance division is dedicated to protecting the reputation of the firm and managing risk across all business areas.” The compliance division is supposed to “ensure compliance with regulatory requirements and determine how the firm can appropriately pursue global market opportunities.”

How did Goldman do under Cohen’s reign? Not well. Not well at all.

Recent weeks have brought an avalanche of news about how Goldman Sachs is at the center of an epically corrupt Malaysian state investment fund called 1MDB. Indeed, just this past Monday (November 12th, 2018), “Goldman Sachs shares slumped the most since November 2011 after Malaysia’s finance minister demanded a full refund of fees it paid the bank tied to a doomed investment fund.”

Why is Malaysia furious at Goldman Sachs? Goldman played a key financial architecture role in the 1MDB fraud. Their engineering assistance to the scheme has already led a senior Goldman banker to plead guilty and has touched Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein (Blankfein twice met with the Malaysian fraudster, Jho Low)

It was Cohen’s job to ensure Goldman bankers did not do several of the specific acts that “former senior Goldman Sachs banker Tim Leissner pleaded guilty to,” launder money and violate the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act by paying bribes.

These actions by Goldman under Cohen’s watch are also actions governed in part by the SEC itself. Cohen failed to prevent crimes policed by the SEC, and now he is a senior figure at the SEC.

Given the laxity of current ethics law, so long as Cohen doesn’t specifically meddle in an investigation into Goldman Sachs like 1MDB, he needn’t recuse. That means Cohen can advise on broader enforcement priority issues that implicate SEC policy toward money laundering and the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, even if he cannot interfere in this specific investigation.

The corruption of Goldman that 1MDB represents is, of course, not the exception but rather the norm for Goldman under Cohen’s watch.

For instance, the SEC is now investigating allegations from a former senior investment banker at Goldman Sachs, James Katzman. Katzman “raised concerns about what he viewed as unethical conduct at the bank” via Goldman’s whistle-blower hotline in 2014. Rather than take Katzman’s concerns seriously, “David M. Solomon, who is now Goldman’s chief executive, urged Mr. Katzman to move past his complaints, and he left the firm in 2015.”

Indeed, Katzman initially felt silenced by a confidentiality agreement with Goldman. A serious compliance director would seek to act on the concerns of a whistle-blower, rather than stifle their complaints.

There are other issues. For instance, one can hardly avoid laughing at the dark comedy of the Forbes headline, “A Bad Omen When Goldman Sachs’ Compliance Staff Is Charged With Insider Trading,” noting that “Perhaps Goldman Sachs needs to hire compliance staff to monitor its compliance staff.”

However, the biggest issues at Goldman under Cohen’s watch cut to the core of the Great Recession.

Consider the take of the Justice Department on Cohen’s handiwork. “The Justice Department, along with federal and state partners, announced today a $5.06 billion settlement with Goldman Sachs related to Goldman’s conduct in the packaging, securitization, marketing, sale and issuance of residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) between 2005 and 2007.”

If you watched The Big Short and came away unimpressed by the ethics of Goldman Sachs, or if you agree with Matt Taibbi’s colorful claim that the “world’s most powerful investment bank is a great vampire squid wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like money,” then you think Alan Cohen failed at Goldman Sachs.

But enough about the past; what is the SEC currently doing that would make Clayton and Cohen especially valuable to Goldman Sachs?

Per Bloomberg, one big priority for Wall Street is to make sure that European investor protections “don’t spread to America.” Bloomberg notes that the “dustup is playing out behind closed doors in Washington at the Securities and Exchange Commission, where brokers want the agency to make clear they can continue combining the cost of financial research and trading in one bill for U.S. customers — the practice that is being banned in the European Union.”

And who is at the center of this closed door effort by the SEC to ensure Goldman and comparable firms can reap profits European regulators have determined are unfair? Alan Cohen, whose hiring was announced by a press release stating that Cohen was hired in part to advise Clayton on issues including “new European Union regulations (e.g. MiFID II).”

Pro-investor groups and large state pension systems that manage money for government employees object to this set up.

Typically, Goldman Sachs is the favorite in a dispute against “investor groups” and “state pension systems” because Goldman is richer, more powerful, and savvier about the inner workings of the government than its opponents.

Hopefully, that is not always going to be true.

The Revolving Door Project has announced an Independent Federal Agencies Leadership Tracker because agencies like the SEC are obscure to nearly everyone who doesn’t have business before them. In other words, banks like Goldman Sachs wield influence over the SEC because it matters enormously and directly to their bottom line. Figures like Alan Cohen are not exceptions but the norm.

That should change.

The Revolving Door Project is committed to educating the broader public about issues previously rendered obscure by entrenched banks operating exclusively in their self-interest.”

Categories: Corruption

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged 100 Year Bonds, Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Baby Bust, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FBAR filings, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Forced loans, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, MMT, Modern Monetary Theory, Modern Money Theory, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Political Corruption, Pre-Pay VAT, Privilege Tax, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Jul 10 2019

Are Central Banks Supporting Share Markets?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Stock Indicies

Re-Posted Jul 10, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Hi Marty, Happy 4th July to you & your team. My question is: Have the Central Banks now created an asymmetric trade (free bet!) with respect to the stock market? It appears they cannot let any market fall. Sincerely,

Alan

ANSWER: I understand many people always look for some party to blame for a move. But what is going on is far more serious. There is a rising tide of major capital that is beginning to understand that we are on the brink of a serious collapse in confidence. I have been warning that the stock markets are the alternative to government, and we are facing a bubble in government bonds beyond anything recorded in history to date. There is no place to run other than private assets. Sure, you will get the goldbugs preaching all will come crashing down except gold. There is just no such period in history where that scenario has EVER unfolded.

The shift from public to private is unfolding. The bubble in bonds is in part created by regulation where pension funds MUST be invested in government paper for the government claims they are AAA and safe. But historically, governments always go broke as their debt is unsecured. Whereas with corporate debt, you get liquidation and some return on assets when sold. With government, you get nothing. Decreeing pensions must have some portion of government paper, even if they lose money on the transaction, has led to a huge bond bubble. We have many pension funds attending our WECs because of this very crisis.

It is not the central banks supporting the stock markets. They lack power. The central banks are trapped thanks to Draghi’s more than 10 years of quantitative easing and there is no way to fix the problem now without monetary reform on a grand scale.

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged 100 Year Bonds, Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Baby Bust, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FBAR filings, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Forced loans, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, MMT, Modern Monetary Theory, Modern Money Theory, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Political Corruption, Pre-Pay VAT, Privilege Tax, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Jul 4 2019

EU Assigments Legarde to Replace Draghi & Ursula von der Leyen to Head EU


Armstrong Economics Blog/European Union

Re-Posted Jul 4, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

Christine Lagarde will replace Mario Draghi come the end of his term. Of course, the IMF has not been entirely supportive of Draghi’s policies. But she is predominantly a lawyer and does not have the experience in how markets function (reliable internal sources). She has no idea of what she is walking into. The ECB cannot raise interest rates without blowing up the budgets in the EU and there is no way to stop Quantitative Easing as well. With the ECB owning about 40% of the debt right now of member states, it has to keep rolling that or the free market will extract its pound of flesh with higher rates.

Germany’s Ursula von der Leyen was chosen for the commission presidency. Also based upon reliable inside sources, she is very anti-Russia and believes that war is justified. She seems to be a puppet for the neocons and is reported to be not a dynamic or independent thinker.

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged 100 Year Bonds, Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Baby Bust, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FBAR filings, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Forced loans, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, MMT, Modern Monetary Theory, Modern Money Theory, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Political Corruption, Pre-Pay VAT, Privilege Tax, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Jul 2 2019

Custodial Risk in the Post MF Global Era


Armstrong Economics Blog/Corruption

Re-Posted Jul 2, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Martin:

You have occasionally made short-quick comments that have made me loose sleep ! One of your past comments quipped that we equity/bond investors should entertain the idea of having the actual certificates to our stock/bond investments (which are typically digital entries held at brokerage houses) mailed directly to us instead of having them held in places like Depository Trust Company (Cede & Co). My question is—if a contagion occurs and/or mass panic erupts like in 2008, would this type of situation be a serious threat to getting our money/investments back, since the actual certificates for 98% of investors are not held personally, but instead seem to be held in a “step-ladder type of depository companies—supposedly for our benefit ??

PW.

ANSWER: The biggest danger is that the New York boys OWN the SEC and the TREASURY. When MF Global went bust because of trading by ex-Goldman Sach’s Jon Corzine, using their client’s money to trade in London, he was NEVER prosecuted for illegally using $1.6 billion of 26,000 client’s money. He was well connected right into the White House with Obama. Nobody went to jail and clients had to wait in bankruptcy to get their money – even cash in the accounts. There are clear risks with the broker and clearer. As long as the SEC is in gold of former Goldman Sachs staff, there will NEVER be an honest regulator. Trump promised to drain the swamp, but he is surrounded by too many swamp creatures. Even when all the banks pled criminally guilty, the SEC exempted everyone from losing their licenses. They would NEVER do that with anyone outside of New York City. The SEC will never prosecute the banks – EVER!!!!

Indeed, several federal investigations had been launched into MF Global, including probes by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (its main regulator), the Securities and Exchange Commission, the Federal Bureau of Investigation, and Justice Department prosecutors in both Chicago and New York. The brokerage has also been the focus of several congressional hearings. Not a single one charged Corzine with trading with client’s money. The losses that eventually drove MF Global into bankruptcy stemmed from high-risk bets on European sovereign bonds that Corzine made as he swung for the fences. Corzine bet big that the bond issuers would not default.

Commodity Futures Trading Commission simply fined Jon Corzine only $5 million over MF Global’s rapid descent into bankruptcy on Oct. 31, 2011, as an estimated $1.6 billion of customer money went missing. Anyone else would have been in prison for a minimum of 20 years.

The MF Global incident establishes that the regulators protect the bankers before the customers. This is the same problem we have with the development of ending bailouts – the taking of customer money to bailout the bankers who are then never prosecuted. It is the ultimate collapse in public confidence.

 

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged 100 Year Bonds, Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Baby Bust, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FBAR filings, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Forced loans, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, MMT, Modern Monetary Theory, Modern Money Theory, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Political Corruption, Pre-Pay VAT, Privilege Tax, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
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Jun 28 2019

Will Shipping Turn in 2020?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Economics

Re-Posted Jun 28, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: HI MA,

Well, I know you’ve written about Germany many times as the next big country in Euro to hit the skids…I kept with Italy for a long period BUT now it is neck and neck…

What changed my mind?   Independent of your writings…. It is shipping…there are a significant amount of German banks in shipping finance and that sector is coming unglued fast and there is no reversal in sight… and with the car sector in Germany as you have noted  Germany is coming up behind Italy rather fast IMHO….

IT is a 2 horse race in my book… Socrates already knows which country is going to hit skids first…

YEP, Turkey has a very bad smell under it… Some European banks exposure to Turkey is going to result in them getting their arses kicked.   Just add in ECB stupid policy to help the problem…  How that ex G Sachs person was named ECB head and there isn’t/hasn’t been a revolve from European banks towards HIM I’LL NEVER KNOW…  THEY are asleep at the wheel over there in Euroland MA (and not just in Europe I might add.. try Australia also), Europeans sending billions to US of A only goes to show some investors know the game is up in Europe ..and now lies eco ruins and perhaps WAR.

Cheers and have a Happy Easter,

Thanks for everything..what a world we live in….

F

REPLY: As car sales drop sharply, shipping is also declining. The Baltic Dry Index appears to be in a position to rally with the turn in the ECM come 2020.

 

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged 100 Year Bonds, Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Baby Bust, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FBAR filings, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Forced loans, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, MMT, Modern Monetary Theory, Modern Money Theory, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Political Corruption, Pre-Pay VAT, Privilege Tax, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Jun 28 2019

Austria Sell 100-Year Bonds – But Who Are the Buyers?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Interest Rates

Re-Posted Jun 28, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

Austria was able to sell its second 100-year bond in history at just a yield of just over 1.00%. Some argue that capital has been forced to buy anything that has a yield which the ECB has been forcing negative interest rates. Why would anyone in their right mind buy a 100-year bond for 1%? The buyers appear to be pension funds who MUST own government debt as a matter of law.

Austria launched the sale of a 100-year bond on Tuesday after overwhelming investor interest gave its debt officials confidence it could become the first Eurozone country to sell a “century” bond publicly through a group of banks. There has been no paper on this part of the yield curve. Because of comments by Draghi, it is also expected that positive yielding paper will vanish in the Eurozone. As it stands, it will take investors 44 years to recoup their original capital. That will surely be a huge loss.

Austria is planning to sell the bonds via syndication to help access a wider base of investors. The banks involved are Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Erste Group, Goldman Sachs, NatWest Markets and Societe Generale. There is a serious problem brewing where as a matter of law pension fund must buy government paper and at low rates, the pension funds face massive failures going into the next 6 years.

 

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects, World Economic Form • Tagged 100 Year Bonds, Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Baby Bust, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FBAR filings, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Forced loans, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, MMT, Modern Monetary Theory, Modern Money Theory, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Political Corruption, Pre-Pay VAT, Privilege Tax, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Jun 28 2019

Income or Privilege Tax?


Armstrong Economics Blog/The Hunt for Taxes

Re-Posted Jun 28, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION:

Hi Marty,

Mini AOC sure is funny isn’t she?

Here is a tax story for you. I’m considering a summer sublet in Sedona AZ, and while I tried to sell all my CA property by the end of last year – well long story short I am still a landlord out here. So I was curious, what is it like to be a landlord in AZ these days in comparison? So I just did a search on it expecting well – nothing much. Shocker!

Guess what? AZ has a “privilege tax” – what is that privilege you say?
Well it is the privilege of doing business in Arizona! ta da!

Excerpt from Article Below:

Arizona transaction privilege tax is a tax on the privilege of doing business in Arizona. TPT applies when an owner of Arizona rental real estate is engaged in business under the residential rental classification by the Model City Tax Code.
If you rent Arizona residential real estate all payments made by the tenant or on behalf of the landlord are taxable.

Happy (Florida) Weekend,

A

ANSWER: Florida tends to be better for there are enough retired people here to keep the school taxes down and they present a stiff level of resistance to taxes. Believe it or not, I was shocked to see my property taxes go down. They are indexed to property values. However, there is a sales tax on rentals, not income taxes. This is a classic example. When you buy insurance it is typically named for the risk (fire, burglary, flood, etc.). However, when you buy death insurance, they called it “life insurance,” because no one is ready to buy death insurance. Here you have an income tax by just calling it a “privilege tax.” There are others who impose an occupation tax. That is a fixed tax depending upon your job to get around income taxes.

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects, U. S. DC Uni-party • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Baby Bust, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FBAR filings, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Forced loans, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, MMT, Modern Monetary Theory, Modern Money Theory, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Political Corruption, Pre-Pay VAT, Privilege Tax, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Jun 27 2019

Universal Basic Income & Gaming the System


Armstrong Economics Blog/Opinion

Re-Posted Jun 27, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: I was just reading your post, Universal Basic Income, and I feel the need to respond. I have always worked, always found whatever work I could. I have worked on market stalls and also on installation of Active Directory in a government institution. I managed to graduate with honours from uni. I am now retirement age. I brought my children up single handed and have never had any wealth but I have to point out that people who are living in poverty don’t automatically become criminal. There’s so much talk about playing the system, but we have to ask why so many people need support. It’s because industry has disappeared and we have developed a class system where the difference between haves and have nots has widened. I live in UK and it’s an industrial wasteland, we had jobs to go around not all that long ago but now there are none for the majority, except in self-policing call centres. It isn’t due to population increase alone, there is nothing for us. Closing the pits was a mistake. There’s no significant increase of carbon and when it becomes Cold which it will in a few years, we’ll be scratching for surface coal to cook and be warm, trees will be decimated. We import things that we used to make, steel, textiles etc, and we gave away our ship building and our fishing waters. Governments are using surveillance to protect themselves from our scrutiny of them, and putting the blame on the people for everything they have done wrong. I know this is simplistic but this is my perspective.

K

REPLY: I place most of the blame on Socialism. The unions became greedy and abused their power. New York City was once the major port. They chased all the shipping out to other ports who were more competitive. Today, no ships go to New York City. Then add the greed of politicians. Before World War II, yes the woman stayed home and raised the kids and managed the house. I knew European men who married Eastern European girls when the wall came down and they retained those old values and did not understand they were expected to go out and work. Taxes kept increasing so today, women lost the right to stay home and raise the kids. It now takes TWO incomes to do what one used to do prewar. In Europe, you pay unbelievable taxes not just on income, then 20% VAT on average. Taxes lower the standard of living for you will NEVER get your money’s worth in service in return.

As they say, the road to hell is paved with good intentions. If you create a network with social services, there will ALWAYS be people who game the system. Prisons have plenty of doctors for Medicare fraud in the USA submitting bills for people that did not exist.

Julius Caesar also confronted the abuse of welfare rolls in ancient Rome. He conducted a census and found that out of 320,000 pretend people getting free bread, only 150,000 were real.

“Caesar changed the old method of registering voters: he made
the City landlords help him to complete the list, street by street,
and reduced from 320,000 to 150,00 the number of
householders who might draw free grain. To do away with the
nuisance of having to summon everyone for enrolment
periodically, he made the praetors keep their register up to date
by replacing the names of the dead men with those of others
not yet listed.”

(Suetonius, The Twelve Caesars, Julius Caesar 41,3)
(Penguin Classics ed., translation by Robert Graves)

 

Therefore, people have been gaming the system for thousands of years. It is just part of human nature.

 

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Baby Bust, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FBAR filings, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Forced loans, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, MMT, Modern Monetary Theory, Modern Money Theory, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Political Corruption, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Jun 26 2019

Rise in the Euro – Interesting Times Ahead


Armstrong Economics Blog/Central Banks

Re-Posted Jun 26, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION:

Was not this move you have been talking about to happen right after the EP elections? What has changed?
“While everyone will focus on interest rates, at the end of the summer we will see a refocus back on the structural problems in the Euro.”
SM
ANSWER: Nothing. What is happening is that we are running into reality. The entire Quantitative Easing has completely failed. The focus on interest rates has been lost insofar as we are dealing with a major question of a structural crisis. Mario Draghi’s term ends in October and there is going to be a real crisis in structure. Draghi’s Portugal statement was him trying to bully the rest of the board but that did not work. This conflict gave a boost to the Euro but the model had been calling for a rally into July after the elections which we have seen also in gold.
We face interesting times ahead.

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Baby Bust, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FBAR filings, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Forced loans, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, MMT, Modern Monetary Theory, Modern Money Theory, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Political Corruption, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
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Centinel2012

Centinel2012

Semi-retired ex-military, ex-businessman, ex-inventor, ex-engineer and now full time member of the Tea Party. My current goal in life is to make sure that the truth is known to all with an open mind.

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