Armstrong Economics Blog/Sovereign Debt Crisis
Re-Posted Apr 16, 2018 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; For the past two WEC events you have warned that the Sovereign Debt Crisis will strike first outside the USA and the rise in the dollar and US interest rates will push emerging markets into default. Since you also said that pension funds had rushed into emerging market debt to get higher yield not available in USA and Europe, then this will also feed into the pension crisis. I recently read here in Germany that almost 100 nations are on the brink of a debt crisis. Only now people are starting to talk about it. Do you still see this as a catalyst for a strong dollar along with war?
I am really looking forward to this year’s WEC.
ANSWER: The Sovereign Debt Crisis is on schedule to be noticed starting here in 2018. We have 13 governments now who are already in default of their debt payments. There are more than 100 nations who are on the verge of a debt crisis. The rise in US interest rates and the strength behind the dollar pushes these nations over the edge. I have been warning that this trend would emerge as part of the turning point back in 2015.75. It will now intensify as we head into 2020. China’s debt to GDP is more than TWICE that of the United States. DEBT is our worst enemy and there are no viable solutions coming forward because anything implied by others is tinkering with the current system. There is no solution is valued circles, other than mine, which calls for the complete revision of the debt system. Everything being proposed so far is tinkering with raising taxes and reducing benefits as well as raising the age for pensions.
I fear that all we can do is protect ourselves. Nobody is willing to listen to me. When they will, it will be too late. Hence – the crash & burn becomes unavoidable. Nobody will scrap the system before it crashes. It is against human nature.