NYT Democrat Voter Poll Shows Base Do Not Want Biden Reelected, Biden Leaves Town and California Governor Gavin Newsom Shows up at the White House


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on July 13, 2022 | Sundance 

Democrats are historically known for the optics of their politics.  With that in mind, is it coincidental that California Governor Gavin Newsom, one of the leading people that leftists want to see run in 2024, shows up to tour the White House the day after Joe Biden leaves town?

Considering the recent article from the New York Times outlining how most democrats do not want to see Joe Biden run for reelection, the timing seems rather conspicuous. {Direct Rumble Link} WATCH:

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Gavin Newsom is turning California into Somalia, so it would make sense for him to be the next one in line to continue the chaos.

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(Discussion Poll pdf Here)

The Pretending Continues, Furrowed Brow Edition


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on July 13, 2022 | Sundance

The professionally furrowed brows are forced to admit high prices remain problematic for the proles while retaining the sympathetic pretense.  WATCH:

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Comrade rebels, when things get spicy, I’ve got dibbs on his swimming pool.

UC Berkeley Law Professor Accuses Senator Josh Hawley of Transphobic Violence During Senate Hearing


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on July 12, 2022 | Sundance

Comrades, the professional moonbats went to Washington DC today to advance the Democrat position on baby killing.  However, UC Berkely Law School Professor, Khiara M. Bridges, claimed to be a victim of transphobic non-binary violence while being questioned about women and abortion.

After hearing Professor Bridges speak about “people with the capacity for pregnancy” in her testimony, Senator Josh Hawley attempted to understand exactly who Ms. Bridges was talking about because the Senate Judiciary hearing was assembled to discuss the legal consequences of the recent Supreme Court Dobbs decision on abortion.

Professor Bridges took exception to the line of inquiry suggesting that only women could get pregnant, and immediately accused Senator Hawley of conducting transphobic violence against her for asking questions without accepting her position that men can get pregnant.  WATCH:

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This is the modern political ideology of Democrats.   And leftists are puzzled, shocked and stunned about why so few people can relate to them anymore.

Violence that supports leftist ideology is called speech. Any speech that confronts leftist ideology is labeled violence.

The Democrat party really need to double-down on this approach.  It will be good for them, I promise.

Low Poll Joe


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Jul 12, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

President Joe Biden’s approval rating is at its lowest level – 29%. A majority of Americans, 58%, flat out disapprove of Biden’s work. Unsurprisingly, only 2% of Republicans approve of Joe, with 97% stating disapproval. Only 19% of Independent voters approve, while 68% do not. Democrats are still trying to justify their vote as 64% still support Joe, despite everything he has done to harm the nation.

The only states that saw a slight majority in their approval rating were former President Obama’s home state of Hawaii (45% approval v 41% disapproval) and Vermont (43% approval v 39% disapproval). He fell out of favor with all other states. Anyone living in the US likely hears disgruntled sentiments on a daily basis. I hear angry mumbles from people every time I visit the pump or walk in the grocery store. Countless people in various professions have written in to state how Biden’s policies have directly hurt their businesses.

These low approval numbers make it less likely to see a 2024 Joe Biden election year, as the Democrats now know they cannot win with him at the helm. We saw Boris Johnson resign by force, but will Joe Biden be next? Even the Fed stated that unemployment must rise for inflation to decline. The situation will become much worse before it gets better. In the meantime, low poll Joe has run out of people to blame for America’s downfall.

It Looks Increasingly Like the Story About the Ohio 10-Year-Old Pregnancy and Cross-State Abortion Was a Hoax


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on July 11, 2022 | Sundance

It looks increasingly likely that Dr. Caitlin Bernard, the OBGYN who originally made the claim to the Indianapolis Star, lied about the 10-year-old child rape story in order to sell a sympathetic abortion narrative to the public.   An ideologically compliant and incurious media then promoted the false story, which led to Joe Biden repeating the story as part of his pro-abortion speech and executive action.   It’s Jussie Smollett all over again.

The Washington Post previously tried and failed to verify the story and wrote an article saying the only attribution for the claim comes from Dr. Caitlin Bernard {link}.  There is zero evidence the story is true, and considerable evidence the story was a complete hoax.  Including the lack of any police report and no documentation of any rape despite a legal responsibility to do so.

Now Ohio Attorney General Dave Yost is saying his office has no evidence of a raped ten-year-old child who was impregnated, including a request for lab results. Yost also noted that Ohio law would have allowed for an abortion in such a case.  First, the summary of the likely hoax.  WATCH:

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Below is the segment with Ohio AG Dave Yost:

Dr. Jill Biden Compares Latinos to Tacos


posted originally on the conservative tree house on July 11, 2022 | Sundance

You might remember the manufactured media controversy that erupted when President Trump tweeted a picture of himself eating a taco bowl on Cinco De Mayo.  The media and left-wing moonbats went nuts, calling it a racist belittlement of the Hispanic community.

Well, today, someone convinced Dr. Jill Biden that it would be a great idea, a brilliant exhibition of her connection to the Latino community, for her to compare the diversity and unique nature of Latino’s to “breakfast tacos.”  Seriously folks, you just cannot make this stuff up.

But wait, it gets worse.  Mrs. Biden doesn’t even know how to pronounce the word “bodegas” as it was loaded into her teleprompter.  WATCH (05:44, prompted):

[Transcript] …”Raul helped build this organization with the understanding that the diversity of this community—as distinct as the bodegas of the Bronx, as beautiful as the blossoms of Miami, and as unique as the breakfast tacos here in San Antonio—is your strength.”

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That’s right America.  If you are black and don’t support Joe, “you ain’t black,” and if you are Latino and do not self-identify as a taco, well, you just might not be a democrat.

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The DOJ Wants Illegal Immigrants to Vote


Armstrong Economics Blog/Corruption Re-Posted Jul 11, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Who will vote for Biden after he destroyed the American economy? Perhaps illegal immigrants from Socialist countries who would have gratitude for even the lowest level of living in this nation. I explained how the election system is rigged with Dominion Voting Systems directly funneling money to liberal candidates and having close ties to George Soros. The Biden Administration wants to ensure that the game is completely in their favor, and now wants illegal immigrants to vote in American elections.

The Biden Administration is actually suing the state of Arizona because the state will require voters to show proof of American citizenship. Was the left not up in arms about other nations allegedly interfering in our electoral process? The Department of Justice claims that House Bill 2492 is illegal under the Civil Rights Act (1964) and the National Voter Registration Act (1993).

Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich said that he will not accept the DOJ’s demands. “In addition to free rooms and transportation for those illegally entering our country, the DOJ now wants to give them a chance to vote,” he said to Fox reporters. “It’s another round of Brnovich v. Biden. I will once again be in court defending Arizona against the lawlessness of the Biden administration.”

New York City recently prohibited illegal aliens from voting and the measure has bipartisan support. Even Mayor Bill de Blasio did not fight the ruling. The only politicians seeking to allow outsiders to vote in elections are on the far-left, and it appears that those at the very top of our political system have become extremists in their views.

After-Birth Abortion – Really?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Opinion Re-Posted Jul 11, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

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The woman army medic who seems to be fighting for the Constitution clearly has no idea what the Constitution is all about. Here rant which gathered 30,000 likes said:

“I just extended my contract to continue serving this country a week ago. How am I supposed to swear to support and defend the Constitution and a country that treats its women like second-class citizens?” She continued: “How am I supposed to do that? How am I supposed to do that with pride? How am I supposed to do that with love and honor?”

In HARRIS v. McRAE, 448 U.S. 297 (1980), the facade of Roe v Wade was exposed. The case was claiming that the government MUST pay for medically necessary abortions. They made it clear in that decision that the Constitution is NEGATIVE, not POSITIVE. It is a restraint upon government – not a shopping list of positive rights. This medic should resign, leave the country, and go someplace where you can freely kill a two-year-old when they annoy you.

If there was a Constitutional Right to abortion, but a restraint under the 8th Amendment against cruel and unusual punishment, then the solution would be to justify retroactive abortion without limitation so you no longer sentence someone to death, you merely abort their life whenever.

The very law that these people are so upset about was limiting abortion to the first 15 weeks. They seem to want even after-birth abortion. These real fanatics want to call a newborn still a fetus to justify abortion after birth.

“We claim that killing a newborn could be ethically permissible in all the circumstances where abortion would be. Such circumstances include cases where the newborn has the potential to have an (at least) acceptable life, but the well-being of the family is at risk.”

Why not just kill a child at any age when it threatens the “well-being of the family” if there is even a family that remains under this definition. There has always been justification for abortion when the life of the mother is at risk, or rape, or incest. But not any of these justify after-birth abortion. Sorry, but I don’t see how they would be good mothers and the solution should be sterilization – Gates would love it!

Used Car Repossession Rates Double for Both Sub-Prime and Prime Borrowers, Indicates Trouble on Main Street


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on July 10, 2022 | Sundance

Barrons has an interesting article on an increase in bank auto repossession rates connected to defaults [see here].  Essentially, used car prices have surged significantly and the timeline seems to indicate the temporary covid-19 stimulus spending had a lot to do with the increase in demand.

According to data assembled by CoPilot, used cars are currently priced approximately 10,000 higher than they would be without any pandemic related influence, supply side or demand side.  Banks and financial institutions loaned money into the climbing market price.  However, the artificially inflated car prices now create a bubble where the liability on the books is significantly higher than the repossessed asset is worth.

A higher rate of auto loans are now defaulting for both sub-prime and prime borrowers (double for both), indicating the former buyers are under financial pressure and can no longer make their car payments.  The loan to value ratio was as high as 140% when the banks made the loans, a more traditional or normal ratio is 80%.

The banks have a vested financial interest in limiting the number of repossessed vehicles they allow into the used car auction market in order to keep the book value of the cars as high as possible.  Those banks and financial institutions have recently rented more storage space for the vehicles being repossessed.

Barrons – […] Lucky Lopez is a car dealer who has been in the business for about 20 years. In recent meetings with bankers, where he bids on repossessed vehicles before they go to auction, he has noticed some common characteristics of the defaulted loans. Most of the loans on recently repossessed cars originated during 2020 and 2021, whereas origination dates are normally scattered because people fall on hard times at different times; loan-to-value ratios, or the amount financed relative to the value of the vehicle, are around 140%, versus a more normal 80%; and many of the loans were extended to buyers who had temporary pops in income during the pandemic. Those monthly incomes fell—sometimes by half—as pandemic stimulus programs stopped, and now they look even worse on an inflation-adjusted basis and as the prices of basics in particular are climbing. (read more)

Somehow, I would hazzard a guess, if we are to follow recent precedent, that taxpayers are going to end up backstopping the financial institutions when the bubble in this asset class pops.  However, that said… the scale of these loan defaults could also foretell a significant slipping in the housing market.

…”There will not be a recession”…

Sunday Talks, Stunningly Disconnected Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo: “We Have Inflation Now Because of a Lack of Supply”


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on July 10, 2022 | Sundance 

Unfortunately, (a) she’s not talking about energy or oil production/supply; and (b) she believes it.

Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, a comprehensively incompetent and unqualified person selected to run the commerce department, blames, without hesitation, a “fundamental lack of supply” for the cause of U.S. inflation [04:38].  She’s not pretending, Raimondo genuinely believes this.

I have struggled with the question of whether it’s incompetence or intentional ideology that drives some of these cabinet members to say stupid stuff.  In the case of Commerce Secretary Raimondo, it is clearly incompetence.  In order to believe that a lack of supply is driving inflation; which is not coincidentally the same demand-cause opinion held by the federal reserve; a person has to ignore the dozens of key economic indicators that show consumer demand has contracted, inventories are climbing, and orders to manufacturers have dropped.

Even Samsung, one of the largest producers of electronics sold in the United States, has told all their suppliers to stop sending the component goods used to manufacture their products because orders for finished goods have plummeted.  Hell, consider this…. THE COMMERCE DEPARTMENT, yes, that’s right, the Department that Raimondo is in charge of, has collected the data showing RETAIL SALES have DROPPED.  Yet here she is blaming a lack of supply for inflation.  WATCH:

It is not a lack of supply driving supply side and producer inflation. It is the massive increase in material, processing and transportation costs associated with Biden’s energy policy that are impacting supply-side inflation.   Demand has contracted, inventories are climbing, manager orders have plummeted, and consumers are squeezed.  Yet this knucklehead thinks recession is unlikely.

Gina Raimondo was also on Meet The Press, with another knucklehead, Chuck Todd.

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