Centinel2012

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Feb 22 2019

Chicago – Where More People are Retired than Paying into Government Pensions


Armstrong Economics Blog/Pension Crisis

Re-Posted Feb 22, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

Over 80% of government pension funds are completely funded by the government with no employees paying into the funds. This reflects why governments are coming after the people and extorting more taxes under the threat of seizing your home and throwing you in prison. For 169 governmental bodies in Chicago, the numbers reveal the crisis. In Chicago, there are thousands of more retired state employees collecting pensions than active workers who are paying into it the pension funds. As reported, in a small suburban district known as the Arlington Heights Park District, there are 432 retirees collecting from that district’s pension fund with only 103 active employees paying into it. These shortfalls are expected to be funded by taxpayers.

What is happening in Chicago is indicative of the crisis engulfing Western governments as a whole. These people always counted on an increasing supply of taxpayers. But the birthrate has dropped as well as the marriage rate. The Democrats handed students to the bankers, removing all their rights to bankruptcy, and universities kept raising prices because funding for students would always be there. With over 60% of students now unable to find employment with the degrees they paid so dearly for, the future looks very bleak. They cannot buy homes because of their chronic debts. Marriage is declining and the under-30 generation has a majority that is not interested in even having children. There is a huge rise in VEGANISM as well.

The number of babies born in the United States continues to fall dramatically. The birth rate made a new record low during 2017, dropping 7% in a single year, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Preliminary numbers for 2018 show that the decline has continued. The 1950s were called the “Baby Boom” when women had an average of 4.7 children in their lifetime. That has collapsed on a worldwide basis to 2.4 children per woman last year, and this decade is being called the great “Baby Bust.”

The global warming crowd should be ecstatic. They have reduced the human population growth by about 50%. The crisis now is there will be a shortage of taxpayers to fund their grand projects along with governments. Socialism cannot possibly survive when we exist to feed those in government who particularly never contributed to their own pensions

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in U. S. DC Uni-party • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Baby Bust, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Feb 21 2019

The Pension Crisis is Starting to Explode


Armstrong Economics Blog/Pension Crisis

Re-Posted Feb 21, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

At the current federal minimum wage of $7.25 per hour, working 40 hours per week, 52 weeks per year, yields an annual income of only $15,080. This is below the annual poverty line. It also reflects something that most people are unaware of — in Illinois, there are more than 19,000 retired teachers who get OVER $100,000 per year in their pension. According to the latest data, nearly 1.5 in ten federal employees are eligible to retire RIGHT NOW, and in five years the number will hit three in 10 or about 30%. The Housing and Urban Development Department in the federal government has the highest rate of employees eligible to retire right now of any major agency in government, which stands at a shocking 24%.

Under U.S. law, there are two broad types of retirement plans: defined-benefit (DB) and defined-contribution (DC) plans. The Defined-benefit plan has been mostly abandoned in the private sector because they were rapidly revealing how they failed to work. The DB plan use to come with a gold watch and ensured you some level of benefit for the rest of your life. This was all part of how to prevent another Great Depression. Typically, your employer would invest part of your compensation in the plan based on some formula. In some cases, you, the worker, might have added more money to the pot. The employer was required to send your defined benefit each month or quarter to a fund. Typically, this was in the form of a fixed-dollar amount, sometimes with periodic cost-of-living adjustments. That scheme ran into trouble that set standards for private-sector pension plans and defined their tax benefits under federal law because government wanted a piece of the action due to income taxes.

Most state and local government employees, actually 87% of those working full time, participate in a defined benefit (DB) pension plan. They contribute nothing but are simply guaranteed a pension on top of what they earned. These plans typically provide pensions based on members’ years of service and average salary over a specified period before retirement. On top of that, most members also receive cost-of-living adjustments that help maintain the purchasing power of their benefits during retirement. In the private sector, where defined contribution (DC) or 401(k)-style plans dominate, only 19% of full-time workers belong to DB plans. This is the real PENSION CRISIS. Government workers generally contribute nothing and demand tax increases to fund their pensions.

The DC plans emerged when the DB plans were showing signs of economic stress. The handwriting was on the wall. As taxes rose, the standard of living declined and governments wanted to regulate pensions to prevent too much money going into tax-free vehicles. The 401K is a kind of defined-contribution plan (as are various types of IRAs/Keogh/SEP plans, etc.) which emerged under the DC plan structure. Government regulations govern who puts money into the plan and how much. Typically, it’s you and your employer. Your employer also has to give you some reasonable investment options, but it’s up to you to use them wisely. Good luck. Most people have discovered nothing but losses. The advice for the general public has been biased, subject to conflicts of interest, and fragmented. This is because we have fragmented agencies (i.e. SEC & CFTC). The CFTC is regarded as the unqualified regulator. The lawyers there are the people who generally are turned down by the SEC. But the real crisis is that the regulations under the SEC and CFTC are exactly opposite. If you managed money under one agency’s rules, you went to jail under the other. This resulted in the development of offshore hedge funds where you paid a manager to make all the decisions, whereas domestically, a manger in stocks could not also advise on commodities. This resulted in conflicts of interest and has seriously harmed average people in understanding how to manage their own 401K.

Therefore, regulations have prejudiced the private sector while the public sector is predominantly under DB plans where government workers have no decisions they confront. This stark difference is coming to a head. Before 2032, there will be more people on retirement from government than actual workers. Taxes have NOWHERE to go but up dramatically because nobody is willing to look at reform. The new Modern Economic Theory is their answer — just print.

 

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in U. S. DC Uni-party • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Feb 20 2019

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez & the New Democratic Socialists Call it a Victory to Lose 25,000 jobs


Armstrong Economics Blog/The Hunt for Taxes

Re-Posted Feb 20, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

In addition to Elizabeth Warren running in 2020 on a platform of imposing a 3% wealth tax on all assets annually, Bernie Sanders has also thrown in his hat to run for President. We also have people who actually wanted Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to run for President arguing the 35 year age minimum was not fair. Other Democrats are starting to get really nervous for the big companies they count on for big bucks are starting to run away. Alexandria’s push for higher taxes to fund her Green New-Deal is giving a lot of Democrats deep concern about their funding. How can they justify outlawing air travel? Even Hillary counted on the bankers to line her pockets to take the presidency. They are not going to be there for Alexandra, Warren, or Sanders.

On the other is freshman Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who on Friday declared victory when Amazon announced it was having second thoughts about opening in Queens. Former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, demonstrated to the world that he too is either completely braindead, or pandering to the socialists. Bloomberg said that Amazon doesn’t really need any more tax breaks. He seems to be joining Alexandria against Governor Cuomo and New York Mayor de Blasio and Cuomo. Amazon announced it would NOT build in New York City after the attack it has received from Bloomberg and Ocasio-Cortez. You would think that at least Bloomberg would realize if one city offers a significant lower tax rate than New York, it is called COMPETITION!
Ocasio-Cortez and progressives called this a victory. So let’s see. Somehow not creating 25,000 jobs is a victory? The amount of taxes earned from salaries would have been $15 billion compared to a $3 billion tax deal. Sorry, but neither Bloomberg nor Ocasio-Cortez are suited for political office when they cannot see that the benefit of creating jobs outweighs their greed for taxes.

 

 

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Feb 18 2019

Explaining the Fall of Western Society As We Know It


Armstrong Economics Blog/ECM

Re-Posted Feb 18, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Western Civilization will collapse by 2032.
I didn’t expect such a strong comment from you.
Specifically, what does this mean?
On the level of ancient Rome? Followed by the dark ages or just mediocrity and the rise of the East?

GVH

 

ANSWER: There is a serious risk that after 2032, this will be very much like the fall of Rome. Nonetheless, it is my personal hope that is we understand that risk, we can avert it and move to a new type of wave formation and learn from the past just once. At the lower threshold of risk lies that reality whereby at the very minimum we are looking at the collapse of centralized governments as took place in 1989 with communism. That will result in greater separatist movements and the breakup of national states as we know it today. The USA could break into four main regions. Britain would find it too splits and Scotland, as well as Wales and Ireland, revert back to their origins. The idea of centralized power in Europe will fail. There are even separatist movements in Germany beginning to rise with Bavaria against the north.

 

The fall of Rome moved back into a separatist trend. Even when Rome fell, that barbarians were imitating Roman traditions. They began to issue coins in the name of the East Emperor just to try to pretend that they were the rulers of the West.

Eventually, gold vanished from the money supply for nearly 600 years. It did not reappear until 1232 with the first coin being issued in Brindisi. This was issued in order to conduct trade with Byzantine and Arabs.

So what the computer is showing is the rise in civil unrest and the risk of war. Just look at what took place at the State of the Union – there is no UNION. This nonsense the Democrats have engaged in has fired the first shot that will be heard around the world. They opposite absolutely everything that Trump says or does and when the political tide switches, the Republicans will do the same to them. It is over. There is no common ground or going back.

This is part of what the computer is forecasting – the collapse of governments as we have known. NEVER before has anyone dared to say that the president was not “their” president. We always accept the winner even when it was someone we voted against. That acceptance no longer exists. Furthermore, we are looking at the collapse of socialism the same as communism. Both were derived from Karl Marx. They are both unsustainable economically. The pension system is collapsing. Just look at Illinois as an example. The state, provincial, and municipal levels of government cannot create money. All they can do is raise taxes to force people to pay state employees that were promises endless money for life.

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Civil Society, Important, U. S. DC Uni-party • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Feb 18 2019

Where Does the Collapse of 2032 Come From?


Armstrong Ecomonics Blog/ECM

Re-Posted Feb 18, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION #1: Thank you for choosing to live the strength of your convictions – especially through the terrible dark days of your solitary confinement. Thank you for all that you are doing for those of us who choose to watch, think and learn.

For over a decade I have been reading that China will replace the US as the world power in 2032 – not the early 30s or the decade of the 30’s, but that exact year. How is it that sources such as the Economist have been predicting this year as the year of change for such a long period of time? It looks like your computer is saying the same thing, when you state that “Western society will crumble by 2032.” What information is causing so many disparate reputable sources to cite this specific year?

K

QUESTION #2: It seems very odd that many others are starting to claim 2032 is the turning point. A friend of mine works at a magazine in London who has used that 2032. I asked him if they relied on your work. He smiled and just said they can’t mention you for political reasons. What is that about? Do you know?

DP

ANSWER: The computer projects 2032. It is not my opinion or premonition. How they  justify 2032 from an “opinion” perspective is beyond me. I do not believe anyone can give such a date with conviction from any current economic theory. It is strange that they will not cite our work. I think they fear repercussions from the governments that stick their foot into everything. Yet, governments are monitoring this perhaps out of their own self-interest. Shutting me up will not stop the clock from ticking.

I have no idea how it is possible to arrive at such a date off the top of your head. Even if you look at economics, the crisis begins 2020/2021. The year 2032 is by no means the beginning of the process, but rather the end.

Categories: EC

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Civil Society, U. S. DC Uni-party • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Feb 16 2019

The Netflix Tax


Armstrong Economics Blog/The Hunt for Taxes

Re-Posted Feb 16, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

I have warned that once one state taxes something, the idea spreads like a contagion. Illinois and California wanted to tax movies or anything you stream. Now, Georgia is looking at the same thing. This is all part of the economic decline. The states are broke. Their pensions are consuming everything. It is no longer about servicing the people, it is all about exploiting the people to fund themselves. There is no rationale behind this. It is all about needing more to cover this year’s budget. What about next year? They basically simply say they will deal with that when it comes.

With every new tax, they simply reduce disposable net income, which in turn lowers living standards. This process is not sustainable. A child with a simple calculator can easily figure out that everything will come crashing down. We have politicians who are career people and have rarely ever been on the side of people. It is beyond comprehension, for the bottom line is always the same.

NO POLITICIAN WILL VOTE AGAINST THEIR SELF

Categories: The Hunt for Taxes

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Feb 15 2019

The Great Myths that Never Die: Rothschilds & Petrodollar


Armstrong Economics Blog/Conspiracy

RE-Posted Feb 15, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

The two major myths that I get asked about all the time are the Rothschilds and whether pricing oil in yuan or euro will cause the dollar to collapse. I think I know something about the Rothschilds. I was even offered an investor back in the 1980s who wanted to buy into the company, and it was one of the Rothschilds. Nevertheless, it seems as though these legends live on for centuries and no one bothers to review the evidence.

Rothschild Mayer_AmschelThe Bible of the Rothschild conspiracy comes from “The Creature from Jekyll Island.” This popular book is probably the most distorted review of history I have ever encountered. It contains a quote that is often attributed to Mayer Rothschild, and I dare to find anyone who can come up with this quote that preexisted the publication of this book. I believe it was just made up. The quote claims that Mayer Rothschild once said:

“Let me issue and control a nation’s money and I care not who writes the laws.”

The reason why this quote is fake is rather clear. The US did not begin to issue paper money until 1861, nearly 50 years after his death. It wasn’t until 1921 when the Bank of England gained a legal monopoly on the issue of banknotes in England and Wales. The entire authority to issue banknotes started with the Bank Charter Act of 1844 when the ability of other banks to issue notes was restricted. The first banknotes were originally hand-written and were merely like checks. It was not until 1725 when cashiers had to sign each note and make them payable to someone. Actually, printed banknotes at the Bank of England began in 1855, which was about 40 years after Mayer was dead.

The quote was made up to justify this idea that the Federal Reserve was evil and owned by bankers who could create money at will. The entire problem was completely distorted, for the ability to create an elastic money supply during a recession and the Fed would be able to buy corporate paper which was redeemed upon expiration. It was World War I when Congress instructed the Fed to buy government debt to fund the war and never restore the structure to what it once was.

Hence, this fake quote by Mayer predates a central bank creating money, and it appears the person selected was dead so there could be no challenge. It has been used to convince everyone that central banks are evil and they are merely the puppets of the Rothschild family who control the world. The Rothschilds lost their power as did the Medici. They have been replaced by Goldman Sachs, which is affectionately called “Government Sachs” among professional dealers and traders.

All these claims that the “petrodollar” is going to collapse are a total joke. Oil is less than 10% of world trade. These people are living in the ’70s. Hey, cut the hair and get rid of the bell bottoms. It’s 40+ years later! There is not even an attempt to offer a true honest analysis of the subject. Just look at the figures. The oil and gas drilling sector make up between 4.6% and 6.5% of the global economy.  The FX market DAILY trading volume is about $5.3 trillion,which dwarfs the equities and futures markets no less oil and gold. Just look at the numbers.

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
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Feb 15 2019

Is a U.S. Bank in the EU is Still Under ECB Rules? Why Do Central Banks Still Have Gold?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Central Banks

Re-Posted Feb 15, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong,
I would first like to thank you for all the information you are making
available publicly. I have two questions to pose, if you deem them relevant to the present state of affairs.
1) What is the difference for an EU citizen of having deposits with an US bank and with a branch of an US bank within the EU? Does it make any sense of having funds with a branch of US bank within the EU?
2) Why are central banks (all of them, IMF included) having considerable gold reserves at present? And how will this affect the coming monetary system reset /overhaul?
Best Regards,
SM.

 

ANSWER: A branch and an actual account in the USA are legally different. A bank is subject to regulation where it is doing business. So even Deutsche Bank, operating in the USA, is under the US regulations and the Fed and not the ECB. Therefore, having an account at a US bank in Europe is really no different insofar as regulation is concerned. It must post EU debt as reserves, not US dollars. Additionally, the EU can and will pass a law freezing the flight of any capital out of Europe in a crisis. That is standard and all governments act in their own self-interest before those of their subjects. So there is no real difference between a US branch in Europe than any other European bank. If the object is to have a hedge with some cash outside the system in case of a crisis, then take a vacation to Disneyland and open an account directly in the States.

Now with respect to why they have gold reserves, it is simply leftover and they would love to sell it but politically can’t right now. Because of the coming crisis in the euro, which they ALL see behind the curtain but will not speak about publicly, they are at a crossroad. The only currency they can respectfully hold remains the dollar. Both Europe and Japan have destroyed their bond markets. Central banks have been buying equities and gold BECAUSE they have little options but to diversify. The Democrats in the USA with their Green New Deal and other insanity will conclusively destroy the US economy. At the very minimum, the crisis will take on an anticipation effect the closer we get to 2020. With the prospect of a Democratic victory in the USA come 2020, we will see this as the prelude to the Monetary Crisis starting in 2021. The central banks I meet with respect the dark clouds on the horizon. There is no hope for the EU or Japan ending Quantitative Easing when we are looking at a very hard downtrend into 2020 following the Economic Confidence Model. They do listen to our advice these days and are diversifying to survive.

If they eliminate paper money, as the IMF is pleading, the Central Banks believe they will be able to also quietly get rid of the gold which they do regard as a “barbaric relic” of the past. Gordon Brown sold half the UK gold reserves in 1999 and made the low after a 19-year decline from 1980. However, we will cross that road when we arrive that that crisis threshold.

 

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in U. S. DC Uni-party • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Feb 14 2019

Massachusetts Seeks to Change its Constitution to Use Taxes to Discriminate Against People


Armstrong Economics Blog/The Hunt for Taxes

RE-Posted Feb 14, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

 

The politicians have a golden rule. When the courts prevent them from raising a tax, they call it something else to impose it. Massachusetts, the bastion of political Marxism, attempted to put on the ballot a new millionaire tax. That was rejected on constitutional grounds by the Supreme Judicial Court. So what are they doing to exploit others? They are violating the Constitution. As pensions run dry for state employees, lawmakers are using a new legislative procedure to impose a tax by calling it a measure to raise money for education and transportation. Of course, such tax increases go into the general ledger. So they can then claim they are raising taxes for children and then use it for themselves. They just pulled that trick off in British Columbia after raising taxes for schools and keeping the money in the general pot.

The morally dishonest politicians in Massachusetts are using a procedure to impose an unconstitutional tax by depriving the Supreme Court the duty to rule on the validity of the tax. They will impose a tax on the wealthiest taxpayers, skirting the Supreme Court’s objections, and place the measure before voters where they know the majority will hate anyone who has more than they do. They call it the Fair Share Amendment which will add 4% to their tax bill. They are proposing to change the state constitution that prohibits discrimination, demanding that income taxes be levied at a “uniform” or flat rate tax and may not be a graduated income under Marxist philosophy. They call it the millionaire tax because they will impose a 4% higher rate on gross income that exceeds $1 million. With state income taxes now exempted from deductions by the Federal government, this maneuver demonstrates that the state is out of control. The Massachusetts income tax rate of 5.10% is higher than all but one of the other eight states that levies a flat income tax. This merely illustrates that governments can NEVERlive within their budgets. They ALWAYS need to take a never-ending higher portion of people’s income.  If governments were properly managed, tax rates would never have to increase.

Meanwhile, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo has suddenly seen the light in a vision from haven. OMG, he must have decried waking up from a nightmare. If you tax the rich, they leave? OMG. Who would have ever imagined? He woke from his dream and actually acted on it. He stood up in the state where Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez was elected and actually said, “I don’t believe raising taxes on the rich,” Cuomo said. “That would be the worst thing to do. You would just expand the shortfall. God forbid if the rich leave.”

We will have to add Massachusetts to the list of states to leave ASAP. Obviously, they are slower in their thinking process than even New Yorkers

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in U. S. DC Uni-party • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
0
Feb 12 2019

Stagflation Versus Hyperinflation


Armstrong Economics Blog/Economics

RE-Posted Feb 12, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Reading your posts it seems to me you disagree with the pending hyperinflation forecasts.  What do you see coming then?PH

ANSWER: Hyperinflation comes when two primary requirements are met:

  • (1) there is a complete collapse in the confidence of the government;
  • (2) the government can no longer borrow and can only create money to survive

What we will first see before ever reaching that point in the United States is the significant impact of STAGFLATION. Rising taxes increase the cost of doing business and cause prices to rise. However, they rise only because of rising costs and not demand. Therefore, you have rising prices defined as inflation, but without the economic growth or demand. Thus, what unfolds is called stagflation and this instigates civil unrest for the standard of living declines with the net disposable income.

We are entering a period of STAGFLATION where economic growth has been declining. Central banks will be jumping for joy just to return to a 3% real GDP growth rate. Annual growth rates have been in a bear market since the 1950s. The bigger the government becomes, the more it must extract from the economy to sustain itself.

 

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By Centinel2012 • Posted in Economic Subjects • Tagged Amusement Tax, Armstrong Economics, Asset confiscation, Asset diversification, Asset recycling, Assets, assets bubbles, Big Government, bubbles, Business cycle, Cashless society, centinel2012, central bank, Central Planning, Central Planning, Common Reporting Standard, Communism, Credit, CRS, Cryptocurrency, currency manipulation, Curse of Cash, David Pristash, Debt, debt bubbles, DEODAND, Disasters, Dodd-Frank, ECB, ECM, Economic Collapse, Economic Confidence Model, economics, Edelman Trust Barometer, Electronic Recovery and Access to Data Device, eliminate cash, Eminent Domain, end of liquidity, Euro, FATCA, FED, financial ponzi schemes, Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act, Fraud, Free Market, front running, glazier’s fallacy, Gold, Gold confiscation, Gold Standard, Hedge, Helicopter money, Hoarding Cash, Homeless Tax, housing bubbles, Hunt for Taxes, Hyperinflation, Illinois credit now “Junk”, IMF, IMF Working Paper on Eliminating Cash, Inflation, Interest, Interest rate, Italy, Keynesian Economics, Legal entity identifier, LEI, Marxism, Monetary collapse, Monetary Crisis Cycle, Money laundering, money smuggling, negative interest, new world order, No more Stop-loss, Outlaw Cash, Panics, Passwords, Pension Crises, Pension Fund Insolvency, Pension funds, PINs, police asset forfeiture, policing for profit, Pre-Pay VAT, progressives, Progressivism, QE, Quantitative Easing, Reversals, SDR, Silver, Social welfare, socialism, Sovereign Debt Crisis, special drawing rights, Speculation, Speeding Cameras, spoofing, Student Loans, sustainability, Tax on employees, Tax on Water, Tax the internet, The Forecaster, the Great Depression, Too Big to Bailout, Too big to fail, Too big to Jail, Traffic Cameras, Turkey, Turning Points, Understanding cycles, Unemployed, Unexplained Wealth, Unexplained Wealth Orders, Universal income, usury laws, UWO, VAT, Velocity of Money, Wealth tax, Yellow Vest Movement
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Centinel2012

Centinel2012

Semi-retired ex-military, ex-businessman, ex-inventor, ex-engineer and now full time member of the Tea Party. My current goal in life is to make sure that the truth is known to all with an open mind.

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