New study shows that neither global warming nor CO2 radiative forcing were a cause of mass extinctions


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New Study: Neither Global Warming Or CO2 Radiative Forcing Were A Cause Of Past Mass Extinctions

By Kenneth Richard on 10. July 2023

Over the last 210 million years [Myr], (a) CO2 falls as temperatures rise (negative correlation, r = -0.76), (b) mass extinctions occur 4.08 Myr after CO2 peaks, and (c) global warming/CO2 radiative forcing “did not cause extinction of biodiversity.”

A new study has been published in Earth’s Future journal that supplements a 2017 analysis of hundreds of millions of years of CO2 and temperature variations.

Davis (2017) argued that for 97.44% of the last 425 Myr there was either a negative correlation (CO2 falls, temperatures rise or CO2 rises as temperatures fall) or no correlation at all between variations in global temperatures and radiative forcing by atmospheric CO2. In other words, the IPCC-proposed link between the rise in atmospheric CO2 as the causal mechanism and global warming could only explain 2.56% of the variance in the long-term paleoclimate record.

Image Source: Davis, 2017

A positive correlation between high CO2 and extinctions

But now a new study by the same author looks at the timing of mass extinctions and their correspondence with atmospheric CO2 concentrations over the last 210 Mya. There were reportedly 12 mass extinction events that occurred when CO2 was rising to peak levels (~1,000 ppm) during this period, whereas 6 occurred as CO2 was falling. This is considered a weakly positive correlation.

Interestingly, though, the timing for the mass extinctions was, on average, 4.08 Myr after the CO2 levels had reached their apex. This leads one to question why it would be thought the effect (mass extinctions) should lag the triggering cause (peak CO2) by millions of years. Especially since species extinctions can occur in time spans of decades to centuries.

A negative correlation between global warming and atmospheric CO2

As he did in his previous paper, Davis (2023) documents an overall negative correlation between global temperatures and atmospheric CO2 concentrations over the last 210 Mya. Specifically, multiple degrees of increases in global temperatures occurred as CO2 levels fell (for example, from 772 ppmv to 291 ppmv).

“The correlation between atmospheric CO2 concentration and interpolated global temperature proxies is discernible and negative (r = −0.76, n = 8, p = 0.01).”

Since the correlation between CO2 and global temperature is more often negative than positive, the positive link between high CO2 levels and extinctions Davis addresses in his study could be explained as a better correlation with high CO2 and global cooling than with high CO2 and global warming.

Image Source: Davis, 2023

Neither global warming or CO2 radiative forcing caused past mass extinctions

Over the last 210 Myr, the correlation between global warming periods and mass extinctions is “not discernibly different from zero” (r = 0.03), and the correlation between atmospheric CO2 radiative forcing (RF) is also “not discernibly different from zero” (r = -0.001). Without correlation, there can be no causal relationship between either global warming or CO2 radiative forcing and the record of mass extinctions.

“These results collectively require rejection of the hypothesis that long-term (Myr timescale) global temperature change caused extinction of biodiversity across the most highly resolved portion of the fossil record, the last 210 Myr.”

“This study therefore excludes long-term temperature (climate) change as a possible cause of past mass extinctions.”

“If long-term global warming was the cause of past extinctions, then long-term temperature and marginal RF by atmospheric CO2 should both be correlated positively with biodiversity loss. As shown here, however, biodiversity loss is not correlated discernibly with marginal RF by atmospheric CO2…that is, changes in RF by atmospheric CO2 did not cause past collapses in biodiversity and are not a plausible kill mechanism of mass extinctions.”

They Are Hiding Something (Ep. 2046) – 07/13/2023


The Dan Bongino Show Posted Originally on Rumble on: Jul 13, 11:00 am EDT

Tucker Carlson Full Speech at Turning Point Action Conference


Posted originally on the CTH on July 16, 2023 | Sundance 

Tucker Carlson delivers a lengthy speech at Turning Point Action conference in West Palm Beach, Florida [Direct Rumble Link]

Noble Scientist says Climate Change is a Hoax


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Jul 15, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

Dr. John Clauser, the co-winner of the 2022 Nobel Physics prize has come out and said the whole nonsense of Climate Change caused exclusively by CO2 is an absolute HOAX. Anyone who has ever studied physics cannot possibly conclude otherwise. There is absolutely NOTHING that can ever be reduced to a single cause and effect in anything. It is always a complex dynamic.

Here is Bill Gates who I would not trust to walk my dog admitting that blaming CO2 is not without dispute. There is just nothing, even in market movements, that can be reduced to a single cause and effect – PERIOD! Perhaps he should have paid attention in physics class, assuming he took it.

One of our clients was one of the top 5 Australian mining companies. Their CFO lost more than $50 million in the currency. They ordered him to meet with me. He knew my track record and said perhaps it was just a coincidence. Finally, I asked him what his background was. He hesitated and said physics. I said GREAT! Now look at the market through the Second Law of Thermodynamics. His jaw dropped and said – OMG, there has to be a cycle. I said you got it.

Heat always moves from hotter objects to colder objects (or “downhill”), unless energy in some form is supplied to reverse the direction of heat flow. 

The second law of thermodynamics establishes the concept of entropy as a physical property of a thermodynamic system.

Human activity cannot possibly create a one-way street that is the typical linear analysis that if the temperature rises by 1 degree per year, then in 50 years we will be all dead. That is like saying since the stock market rose 1,000 points this year, it continue to do so for the next 50 years. It is just an absurdity and thereby it is a HOAX for nobody in their right mind would ever make such an honest forecast of this nature. According to all this nonsense, we should have been dead by now.

Greta Thunberg deleted a 2018 tweet about the urgency of addressing climate change. Her tweet included a quote from an article that said an influential scientist warned climate change “will wipe out all humanity” unless fossil fuel use was ended “over the next five years.” Some have said that Great misquoted him since he claimed he never made such comments. Anyway, we are still alive – thank you linear analysis.

Chicago Suburb To Pay Reparations


Armstrong Economics Blog/USA Current Events Re-Posted Jul 14, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

Chicago is crumbling to the ground. What do the politicians plan to do to fix the problem? Buy votes! The Chicago upper-middle-class suburb of Evanston, Illinois, approved a $10 million reparation package in 2019. The city will now hand out $25,000 to 140 black residents over the age of 18 who lived in the area between 1919-1969. “I see it as like a test run for the whole country,” stated Justin Hansford, head of the Thurgood Marshall Civil Rights Center at Howard University.

Of course, they have not properly funded the trial program. Initially, the committee agreed to use taxes from marijuana sales. When that wasn’t enough, they took funding from real estate taxes. They have less than $1.2 million after years of searching for funding and will be hunting down the public for additional taxes. Let’s do the math here — $25K for 140 people is only $3.5 million. Do they need the extra $6.5 million to fund the committee and politicians? The greed from every angle is unbelievable.

Some activists are already complaining that the generous $25,000 free handout is not enough. One woman who received her free check during the initial trial told the New York Post that it is only “a good start.” She blew the entire thing on home renovations and it certainly didn’t heal her ancestral wounds that she needed money to heal. Give an inch, and people will take a mile. Reparations are not economically feasible by any means and creating further inflationary conditions will hurt the dollar in general.

They are creating a racial divide between a small percentage of the country and everyone else. Only a small portion of Americans had ancestors that were slave owners, and even then, the law does not expect future generations to pay for the misdoings of the past. The nation is crumbling because we are divided on everything from race, religion, sexuality, and politics. We use every term to define ourselves other than “Americans.” The average person is struggling to make ends meet as living prices have become unsustainable. There will be a civil war if people are expected to give others their hard-earned money without reason. These politicians are creating an upheaval by using tax dollars to buy votes and it will not end well.

Top Men Close Investigation into White House Cocaine – Secret Service Say Too Difficult to Trace Ownership


Posted originally on the CTH on July 13, 2023 | Sundance 

Well, I guess that’s that.  The top men in charge of investigating the cocaine that was found in the west wing of the White House have said it was too difficult to figure out where it came from. The case is now closed.

CNN — The Secret Service has concluded its investigation into the small bag of cocaine found at the White House and has been unable to identify a suspect, according to a statement from the US Secret Service.

Secret Service officials combed through “security systems” and indexed “several hundreds individuals” who entered the West Wing in the days preceding the discovery and were unable to identify a suspect, according to the USSS statement. The Secret Service said FBI lab results from the packaging found “insufficient DNA” and could not retrieve any fingerprints. “Therefore, the Secret Service is not able to compare evidence against the known pool of individuals,” a statement from the USSS said.

Investigators were also unable to identify the particular moment or day when the baggie was left inside the West Wing cubby near the lower-level entrance where it was discovered.

“There was no surveillance video footage found that provided investigative leads or any other means for investigators to identify who may have deposited the found substance in this area,” the agency’s statement said. “Without physical evidence, the investigation will not be able to single out a person of interest from the hundreds of individuals who passed through the vestibule where the cocaine was discovered. At this time, the Secret Service’s investigation is closed due to a lack of physical evidence.” (more) 

Twitter Court Filing Cites Alarming FTC Conduct Pressuring Consent Decree Arbiter to Target Elon Musk and Company


Posted originally on the CTH on July 13, 2023 | Sundance 

Prior to Elon Musk taking control of Twitter, the social media company entered a consent decree with the Federal Trade Commission putting a neutral arbiter from Ernst & Young in an oversight position for the company’s privacy, data collection and information security protocols.  Given what we know about DHS and FBI control and influence over Twitter content, there is a certain irony in the prior position of the FTC regarding user privacy.

That said, Twitter’s new parent company X Corp filed a court motion Thursday [PDF HERE] asking a federal court overseeing the settlement to either throw out the consent decree entirely, or put it on hold until the FTC turns over documents to Twitter showing historic bias against the company. Twitter is also seeking to bar the FTC from deposing CEO Elon Musk over issues that preceded his arrival.

Within the filing, Twitter presents some alarming information as shared by Ernst and Young about the FTC pressure applied to them.

[SOURCE LINK]

House Judiciary Committee Chairman Rep. Jim Jordan questioned FTC Chair Lina Khan about this issue today during a congressional hearing.

Spain’s Climate Minister Caught Faking Bike Transit for Cameras


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Jul 13, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

The above video is complete climate propaganda.

The climate zealots are laughing at us from their private jets. They swear doomsday is around the corner and the commoners must abandon all basic comforts to save the world. Their predictions have never come to fruition because they are based on nonsense. Spanish climate minister Teresa Ribera was caught faking a bike commute for cameras, and it is not the first time a climate tzar was caught pulling such an act.

Ribera flew on a private jet to attend a climate conference, where the elite decide what the Great Unwashed should forego. She hopped into a private car and drove 100 meters to the venue. Then, cameras captured her taking out a bicycle to ride the 100 meters to the venue. Pure propaganda.

The Great Unwashed must blindly obey why the fraudulent rulers mock us. Ribera boarded a private jet 17 times in 2022, costing taxpayers €170,000. She traveled via private jet 16 times in the past seven months, totaling €160,000. Do you think she cares about her carbon footprint?

Ribera is a World Economic Forum proponent, obviously, and participated in the C40 Cities Summit. She supports reducing air travel, meat consumption, and private car ownership. She said all cars must have zero emissions by 2040 to reach decarbonization by 2050. In fact, she believes all gas engines should be banned by 2035. As a former UN climate negotiator, she pressured the EU to abandon the Energy Charter Treaty. She pushed Spain to move away from coal and nuclear energy by 2030. She is simply another deep state minion hoping that the people are ignorant enough to believe that they are responsible for natural changes in the weather. Rules for thee but not for me will be more apparent than ever as we move toward the Great Reset goal.

Grooming Legal in Canada


Armstrong Economics Blog/WOKE Re-Posted Jul 13, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

The woke elite are winning. Their agenda is sickening and deserves to be exposed. As seen in the video above, a YouTuber (the new independent journalists) walked around a Toronto PRIDE event and asked everyone what the hell they were doing walking around naked. What is wrong with people? Trudeau arrested the Trucker Convoy protestors, but turned a blind eye to indecent exposure in front of children in the name of supporting the woke agenda. Again, the woke agenda is tied to the larger agenda of the Great Reset.

“Nudity: 174 (1) Every one who, without lawful excuse,

  • (a) is nude in a public place, or
  • (b) is nude and exposed to public view while on private property, whether or not the property is his own,
  • is guilty of an offence punishable on summary conviction.
  • Marginal note: Nude “(2) For the purposes of this section, a person is nude who is so clad as to offend against public decency or order.”

The Toronto Police were told not to arrest protestors. Don’t make the Young Globalist Leader look bad by arresting those supporting the mass psyop. Yet, last year the police were instructed to arrest a PASTOR “making comments that were disparaging towards the LGBTQ community” by speaking out at a pride event. They investigated pastor David Lynn for a possible hate crime, and he was held in jail overnight. They charged him with mischief and causing a disturbance. YouTube removed the video of his arrest, which showed him simply reciting the Bible and not yelling any profanities. And yet, the Canadian police are permitting grown men to parade around naked in front of children. The woke agenda should be clear by now.

Representative Thomas Massie Questions FBI Director Chris Wray About Mysterious and Elusive Jan 6th Pipe Bomber


Posted originally on the CTH on July 12, 2023 | Sundance 

During congressional testimony today, Representative Thomas Massie questions FBI Director Chris Wray about the mysterious circumstances surrounding the J6 pipe bombs and the inability of the FBI to identify a suspect.

Massie plays CCTV video of a mysterious person who *found* the pipe bomb located near the DC headquarters of the DNC and then informed stationed police units nearby.  The inability of the FBI to identify the suspect despite the area being surrounded by CCTV systems has always been odd.  Additionally, the cell phone ping-data from the area where the pipe bombs were discovered was also mysteriously corrupted and rendered of no value. WATCH:

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