Ice Age – the Come Rapidly


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Dec 29, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

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COMMENT: Marty you may remember this.

When this hit upper midwest I was in middle school in San Diego. I was in the library every morning before school following this, Voyager and Viking.

I watched another rendition of this video on youtube and it cut out the portion where the chief scientist at Lamont-Doherty (Columbia) stated ice-age conditions can return inside of 10-20 years time at any time (or something like that).

Regards

RD, San Marcos Ca

REPLY: With Ice Ages, we find a similar pattern of cyclical pattern formations as we do in markets. About 2.6 million years ago, that is when the Earth entered the Pleistocene period. This was marked by an interesting cyclical pattern whereby there were these deep ice ages that came at regular 43,000-year intervals. Then about 1 million years ago, the Earth entered what is known as the Mid-Pleistocene transition period. It was here where these ice age cycles suddenly expanded from 43,000-year intervals to nearly 100,000-year cycles. The last one was about 11,000 years ago. This is not referring to the Mini-Ice Age of the 1600s.

What we do know is that there were tiny changes in Earth’s orbit. These events are known as Milankovitch cycles. They are believed to have driven the planet in and out of these ice ages. However, it is also now assumed that these Milankovitch cycles have not correlated to the sudden jump in nearly doubling the Ice Age cycle length.

Preliminary data from Antarctic Ice Core saw a transition from glacial to interglacial conditions about 430,000 years ago which is known as (Termination V). This transition into the present interglacial period needs to be looked at from intensity using our Energy Models. Scientists look at the magnitude of change in temperatures and greenhouse gases. What seems to be overlooked is the cycle of these warming periods. The interglacial stage following Termination V was quite long running the course of about 28,000 years compared to the 12,000 years period so far in the present interglacial period.

What this is warning is that an Ice Age is not entirely out of the question post-2032. I am awaiting access to the data from the 2.7 million-year core and then run it through Socrates to see if we are indeed going to see a 12,000-year interval or a doubling effect. What does appear to be likely, which explains the frozen animals in Siberia, is that we can see an Ice Age hit within less than 10 years.

A Technical Study of Relationships in Solar Flux, Water and other Gasses in the upper Atmosphere, Using the November, 2022 NASA & NOAA Data


From the attached report on climate change for November 2022 Data we have the two charts showing how much the global temperature has actually gone up since we started to measure CO2 in the atmosphere in 1958? To show this graphically Chart 8a was constructed by plotting CO2 as a percent increase from when it was first measured in 1958, the Black plot, the scale is on the left and it shows CO2 going up by about 32.4% from 1958 to November of 2022. That is a very large change as anyone would have to agree.  Now how about temperature, well when we look at the percentage change in temperature also from 1958, using Kelvin (which does measure the change in heat), we find that the changes in global temperature (heat) is almost un-measurable at less than .4%.

As you see the increase in energy, heat, is not visually observably in this chart hence the need for another Chart 8 to show the minuscule increase in thermal energy shown by NASA in relationship to the change in CO2 Shown in the next Chart using a different scale.

This is Chart 8 which is the same as Chart 8a except for the scales. The scale on the right side had to be expanded 10 times (the range is 50 % on the left and 5% on the right) to be able to see the plot in the same chart in any detail. The red plot, starting in 1958, shows that the thermal energy in the earth’s atmosphere increased by .40%; while CO2 has increased by 32.4% which is 80 times that of the increase in temperature. So is there really a meaningful link between them that would give as a major problem?

Based to these trends, determined by excel not me, in 2028 CO2 will be 428 ppm and temperatures will be a bit over 15.0o Celsius and in 2038 CO2 will be 458 ppm and temperatures will be 15.6O Celsius.

The NOAA and NASA numbers tell us the True story of the

Changes in the planets Atmosphere

The full 40 page report explains how these charts were developed .

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Biden to Destroy the Fishing Industry Next


Armstrong Economics Blog/Regulation Re-Posted Dec 16, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

The Biden Administration is now targeting fishing. They have argued all along that boats expel more CO2 than cars, Cows, or Airplanes. So it is no surprise to now target boating imposing a 10-knot speed limit. This will end the deep sea fishing period – both for sport and food supply. This is up and down the entire East Coast. Of course, Right whales, migrate and can be seen every winter off the Atlantic coast between Jacksonville and Cap Canaveral between December and March each year. They are tourist attractions with hundreds of siting every season.

This is how government works. They just impose blank bans on the entire ocean out for 150 miles. When they did Obamacare, I lost my insurance from Blue Cross because it did not include maternity leave despite the fact I was not married and at that time men could still not get pregnant unless they were in California apparently.

Such bans with a broad brush of this nature will impact the entire industry ending much of the shipping industry as well as the ports. Why ship anything now to New York, Philadelphia, or Virginia? There go the unions!

AOC Climate Change Documentary Flop


Armstrong Economics Blog/Climate Re-Posted Dec 16, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

AOC’s four year in the making Documentary of fighting for Climate Change was a complete flop. It debuted in movie theaters around the country and took in $10,000 averaging $80 per movie theater. Of course, the leftist media hail the film, and it was the worst debut of any film in history.Just maybe people are becoming WOKE – walking up to the real propaganda.

Biden Energy Adviser: We Drained the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to ‘Save the Global Economy’


Sean Hannity Published originally on Rumble on December 6, 2022

Biden Energy Adviser: We Drained the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to ‘Save the Global Economy’