Nov 7 2024

Comments on the 2024 Election


Posted originally on Nov 6, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

2020 Election Forecast 6 Models
2024 Presidential Election by Popular Vote

COMMENT #1: Marty,
Socrates became a lot more valuable yesterday. It predicted exactly what would happen. Again.
Buffet sold Apple big time anticipating a Kamala win and higher taxes. He was wrong. You were right. Again.
I am looking forward to seeing you in the next couple of days. …

T

COMMENT #2: I had followed all of your political forecasts since 2013 when you even forecasted that Ukraine would be where war would start. The computer projection for this election was the first time it showed 61% and 59% on two models. It was an unbelievable forecast and even surprised you when the computer spits that out. This was a clean sweep and the first time since Grover Cleveland. What you have programmed should be on the front cover of Time as the person of the year. Nobody has done what you have. Nobody!

FA

COMMENT #3: Dear Martin:

I hope you are well and enjoying your front-beach house in the Sunshine State.

Socrates did it, again!!! Donald J. Trump is elected 47th U.S. President!!!

Congrats for all your work!!!

Sincerely,

J.E.M.V.

COMMENT #4: Marty, I hope Trump and RFK listen to you. Your plan of eliminating the income tax and the debt while converting Social Security into a wealth fund would make America great again. We had a board meeting on it, and everyone was impressed. You are right; it will bring home all the offshore offices worldwide. It takes a trader to see it, not academics. But they should give you a Nobel Prize and reform that organization.

Derick

COMMENT #5: Hello  ?, what a gratifying day this has been -don’t you think? There is hope that some reasoning can be instilled in the world, but having said that, I think some people must be very busy trying to already find a way to sabotage Trump’s presidency. Thus, they will play nasty to their last breath.
I read some of the newspapers from different countries, and how every written word is the extension of their profound dissapointment of Trump winning, you would even think it is personal!
And then we have Monsieur Macron doing what a French does best, and that is to know which side of the bread is buttered ?.

One day left before your conference, which I think will have very interesting guests like, perhaps, Nigel Farage? I read he was in Florida, anyhow it will be a gathering to remember. I am still trying to decipher the big announcement, I thought that perhaps it could be that you have decided this will be your last conference. Whatever it may be, I hope that eventually you will share it with your readers.
Mr.Armstrong, have an amazing time in Orlando using your expertise for the better of humankind.
My best wishes as always ?.

COMMENT #6: Hi Martin,

  1. This is the age demographics of votes.

It looks like the Gen-X and Boomers save the country. However, looking at what’s coming, does this suggest it’s only a short-lived period? How does this affect the 2032 crash?

BT

1 Democraphic 2024 election

Alex Soros doesn’t have the Midas touch his father has.

Kamala Soros

Categ

Nov 7 2024

Germany Gov’t First Shake-Up With Trump Victory


Posted originally on Nov 6, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Olaf fires Lindner

Germany is the first real casualty of Trump’s victory. Europe is also turning to the right, rejecting the same losing leftist policy spouted out by Harris. Chancellor Olaf Scholz just fired Finance Minister Christian Lindner, putting at risk the collapse of the German ruling coalition between the SPD and the Greens after three years. There have been differences in the budget and economic policy positions between the two factions. Lindner’s departure could lead to the FDP exiting the coalition.

Lindner of the FDP issued a paper that outlined his vision to revive the German economy. However, it argued against both fundamental positions of the SPD and the Green party. Hence, the German Finance Minister Christian Lindner has realized that the solutions undermine the socialist and green agendas.  His paper provided a practical attempt to analyze Germany’s problems facing Germany. However, it argues that they have been unable to agree upon a 2025 budget, which still had a funding gap of several billion euros and was still being negotiated. The deadline for the budget was set for later this month.

Nov 7 2024

Trump’s Victory Against the Deep State


Posted originally on Nov 6, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

  

Nov 7 2024

The Comments Keep Coming


Posted originally on Nov 6, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Question Your Change to Speak

COMMENT #1: Hi Marty,

Congratulations to you for building the Socrates and for America. For the first time in 4 years, I see the light shining brightly in darkness.

Hopefully, Canadians will wake up and shift to the Right intellectually.
The CAD was down 1.5% against the USD month over month in October, that’s 18% annualized! The CAD is down nearly 1% this morning. At this pace this commodity backed currency is heading off the cliff to meet the Venezuelan peso.

See you at the WEC, albeit virtually.

Congrats from Canada,
Lucas

COMMENT #2: Marty, I hope Trump and RFK now listen to you. If they do not, they are fools.

GH

COMMENT #3: A vote for Kamala was like shitting your pants but changing your shirt.

HJ

Nov 7 2024

Socrates Wins Again – Beats All the Forecasts & Mainstream Media


Posted originally on Nov 6, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Allan_Lichtman_the_Election_Nostradamus_feels_the_pressure_but_won_t_waver_o
2024_11_06_08_56_32_Allan_Lichtman_reaffirms_prediction_for_2024_presidential_election
Newsweek Kamala_Harris_Predicted_to_Win_By_Nearly_Every_Major_Forecaster_Newsweek

COMMENT: Wow. All the major people who have touted a Harris victory have never been wrong. Newsweek proclaimed every major forecaster gave it to Harris. Socrates has projected every single race without fail. I know. I bet them. Trump flipped Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in his favor, leading to the Republican’s victory. When will the world wake up and give you credit for creating a system that has beaten the odds every single time?

In Trump’s vocabulary. “Fantastic!”

Every Podcast should be giving you credit right now to help the world understand the truth.

PSC

Economist _Kamala_Harris_moves_ahead_just_in_our_final_election_forecast

REPLY: Socrates was the only one correct in 2016 and BRXIT. It functions WITHOUT polling – it’s economic based. Those in the media are mostly LEFTISTS so they always forecast what they want to see. Polls are not reliable because they sample people but who controls the sample? If you had conducted a poll only in Washington, DC, Trump would have had maybe 5%.

As I have said on Greg Hinter’s Podcast, the computer was showing the gap would be TOO BIG to fix this time. Trump’s reelection has brought him into a unique club, joining Democrat Grover Cleveland as one of only two U.S. presidents to serve nonconsecutive terms. Trump is the 45th president and now the 47th president.  Trump followed Cleveland’s path, which was held in office in 1885 and then again in 1893. The rare achievement highlights Trump’s sustained influence over a divided electorate and the discontent with the establishment. Cleveland may have been a Democrat, but he was also against members of his own party – the Silver Democrats.

Cleveland

Cleveland faced the same type of divided country, especially within his own party. He stood against the rise of Marxism as has Trump. The Democrats were then flooding the country with silver to inflate the nation. Sherman Silver Purchase Act of 1890 was passed by the U.S. Congress to supplant the Bland-Allison Act of 1878. It not only required the U.S. government to purchase nearly twice as much silver as before, 4,500,000 ounces (130,000 kilograms) per month, but it also added substantially to the amount of money already in circulation. The Sherman Silver Purchase Act, named after John Sherman, was enacted in support of the advocates of the Free Silver Democrats. This Act created massive unsound finance that undermined the U.S. Treasury’s gold reserves. Only after the Panic of 1893 did President Grover Cleveland call a special session of Congress and secure the repeal of the Act. His speech is recorded above.

coxey-his-army

This economic evolution of the real Long Depression (1873-1899) created a “depression” for many as unemployment rose yet monopolies grew as did corporate profits for many in the right field. It wiped out Philadelphia as the financial capital of the United States, and J.P. Morgan would move that to New York City with his innovation. From this highly volatile period, as we are entering today, what emerged from socialism/Marxism burst to the surface, producing Coxley’s Army, which marched upon Washington following the  Panic of 1893. It was this march that led to the idea of socialism, for FDR took most of the demands first argued by Coxley that government should create jobs for the unemployed. This led to the Antitrust Legislation and the Progressive Movement of Teddy Roosevelt.

Wizard-Oz
YellowBrickRoad

Coxley’s March became the subject of Lyman Baum’s Wizard of Oz – We’re off to see the wizard the wonderful wizard of Oz (Congress) following the Yellow Brick Road (gold standard & austerity). This economic event created serious change.

This entire series of legislation that set in motion the various financial Panics of the 1890s was inspired at least by Karl Marx (1818-1883). Despite the Sherman Silver Purchase Act being repealed, none of the other legislation was repealed, yet it was all the same inspiration.

marx

To this day, we still have the Sherman Anti-Trust Act, which Marx inspired, and the idea was based upon the observation that all of these start-up railroads were being purchased and consolidated. The politicians saw this as eliminating jobs, considering labor rather than economic efficiency. This entire rise of Marxism culminated in the passage of the Income Tax Act in 1909, rejecting the Founding Fathers’ wisdom of no direct taxation and adopting Karl Marx’s philosophy has undermined our nation, and the DOJ uses income tax to threaten journalists to kill or spin stories that they want or else!

Politicians found it worked to print to win elections that has given us our national debt, and they have pointed at the rich using Marxism to target the “rich.” This election was a referendum on Marxism that main stream media refuses to address.

Cleveland_home_Westland_Mansion

Ironically, I almost bought Westland Mansion, which was the home of Grover Cleveland in Princeton, New Jersey, where he spent his retirement from 1897 until his death in 1908.

Nov 7 2024

Your Comments on Election


Posted originally on Nov 6, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |  

Obama Peace Prize

COMMENT #1: Marty, I know you have no respect for the Nobel Prize. But, man, if anyone deserves it, it has to be you for both the Peace Prize and Economics. I can’t wait for the WEC this weekend. They gave the Peace Prize to Obama, who wanted to invade Syria. I get it. They handed it to economists who are always wrong but say the words they want to hear. We need a real Prize of Accomplishment, not the politically correct version of the Nobel.

Gates Obama Medal

PS or the fake ones Obama gave Gates, disgracing every winner before him.

DF

All Gender Bathroom

COMMENT #2: Been standing in line for 2 1/2 hours to vote, and this sign on the bathroom door provided extra motivation to vote the right way.

M

White House Pride

COMMENT #3: I got into an argument with my sister that Kamala was for women’s rights and supported abortion. I told her Congress could not overrule the Supreme Court and asked where she is for women’s rights when transgenders are pushing women out of sports. We no longer talk. I think you said in one of your posts that only food tries to convince a fool that they are an idiot.

GL

Full Steam Ahead
Nov 7 2024

November 7th – 2024 Presidential Politics – Resistance Day 1389


Posted originally on the CTH on November 7, 2024 | Sundance

“This was no small thing, to restore a republic after it had fallen into corruption. I have studied history for years and I cannot recall it ever happening. It may have been that our task was impossible. Yet, if we did not try then how would we know it could not be done? And if we did not try, it most certainly would not be done. The Founders’ Republic, and the larger war for western civilization, would have been lost.”

“But I tell you this: We did not go gently into that bloody collectivist good night. Indeed, we made with our defiance such a sound as ALL history from this day forward will be forced to note, even if they despise us in the writing of it.”

~ Mike Vanderboegh (adapted)

This thread will refresh daily and appear above the Open Discussion Thread.

“VICTORY!”

Nov 7 2024

DOJ Drops Jack Smith Lawfare Cases, Using 2024 Election Outcome as Justification


Posted originally on the CTH on November 6, 2024 | Sundance

In Florida, Judge Ailleen Cannon threw out the “classified documents case” against President Trump, citing in her opinion that Special Counsel Jack Smith had no constitutional authority to target and charge President Trump. Did you notice the missing DOJ appeal effort?

In the J6 case President Trump was accused of conspiring to illegally overturn the 2020 election. Charged with conspiracy to defraud the United States, obstruction of an official proceeding and conspiracy against rights. However, the Supreme Court decision on presidential immunity, again threw a wrench into the Lawfare strategy.

President Trump wins a massive electoral and popular vote landslide election. Within 12-hours the DOJ announce that technical legal processes block them from targeting a president-elect and sitting president.

The non-pretending reality of the issue is that Jack Smith and the Lawfare attacks were always going to end up in appeal to the Supreme Court, and the high court had already put its opinion on record. The election result provides the DOJ an excuse, a plausible justification to save face.

(Via NBC) – Justice Department officials have been evaluating how to wind down the two federal criminal cases against President-elect Donald Trump before he takes office to comply with long-standing department policy that a sitting president can’t be prosecuted, two people familiar with the matter tell NBC News.

The latest discussions stand in contrast with the pre-election legal posture of special counsel Jack Smith, who in recent weeks took significant steps in the election interference case against Trump without regard to the electoral calendar.

But the sources say DOJ officials have come to grips with the fact that no trial is possible anytime soon in either the Jan. 6 case or the classified documents matter — both of which are mired in legal issues that would likely prompt an appeal all the way to the Supreme Court, even if Trump had lost the election.

Now that Trump will become president again, DOJ officials see no room to pursue either criminal case against him — and no point in continuing to litigate them in the weeks before he takes office, the people said. (read more)

In the New York City case, watch Judge Merchan defer any sentencing outcome pending the appeals to the higher state court.  Those appeals will likely be successful, and the entire issue sitting in front of Merchan becomes a moot point.

Remember what we always said about Lawfare as defined:

With the election over the value of Lawfare is gone.

They failed!

Don’t forget to eat your winnamins.

Nov 7 2024

Jeff Bezos Congratulates President Trump….


Posted originally on the CTH on November 6, 2024 | Sundance

I said previously that if you understand the prism behind high-finance and the 2024 election alignment, then all the moves would make sense.  Here’s a great example:

Amazon founder Jeff Bezos is going to end up riding his bicycle in slow circles at the end of the White House driveway while waving toward the windows, unless he finds a way to work himself into a more strategic position.  It’s a little funny.

BACKDROP REMINDER – It’s a Game of Thrones thing, and multiple interests have contacted me for questions following the Washington Post non-endorsement of Kamala Harris.  I’ll explain in detail, but first the latest development in the moves.  Always remember, there are trillions at stake.

NEW YORK – Washington Post owner Jeff Bezos has reportedly given the newspaper a mandate to add more conservative voices to its opinion section — even as he remains silent over the broadsheet’s decision not to endorse a candidate in the 2024 presidential election.

Bezos — the world’s second richest person with a fortune that Bloomberg Billionaires Index valued at $211 billion as of Monday — is keen on gaining a more ideologically diverse readership by expanding his newspaper’s reach among right-leaning audiences, according to a report in The New York Times.

The Amazon founder, meanwhile, has remained silent over the non-endorsement controversy. He has not spoken publicly amid protests from high-level staffers and prominent figures such as Watergate reporters Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein. (read more)

The framework, the inside baseball political stuff, is never truly explained by media.  The financial media play this pretending game that we are not bound to follow.

You will remember last year when I dug deep into the financial system around Twitter, Elon Musk’s purchase, and the viability of the business model.  In short, by the time he reached October/November ’23 there was going to be no way for Musk to continue operating Twitter without some serious change in financial construct.

So, what happened?

Larry Ellison happened.

In a little-known background conversation that President Trump is well aware of, Oracle founder Larry Ellison said, “I will not allow Musk to fall.”  Thus, an immediate and opportune alignment began that shows the strategic thinking of billionaire Larry Ellison.

Ellison gains around $50 billion per year from his operations.  Oracle is huge. The X-platform subsequently began big contracts with Oracle.   Twitter’s fate is now intrinsically linked to Ellison. Nuf said.

With that scale of GFY money now steadfast backing him, Elon Musk not only had breathing room, but he also had the ability to take big risks.

After testing the water with DeSantis, likely stirred by Ellison taking a peek, it became obvious the best play was to fully support Trump.  Week after week, as President Trump solidly gained position for next week’s election, Elon Musk leaned in further and deeper.  Elon Musk is now the biggest influence operation in the 2024 MAGA movement.

As a direct consequence of Musk’s position, Larry Ellison -by extension Oracle- is now easily positioned to be the biggest beneficiary of a Trump win.  Ellison is the biggest influence operation; but as all influence and leverage operations go, he’s also the quietest influence.

Larry Ellison (Oracle) is the hand on the Elon Musk Marionette.  All Musk moves are with this background alignment as the underpinning.

With a Trump victory next week becoming more and more predictable, the biggest loser was set to be Larry Ellison’s billionaire competitor, Jeff Bezos (Amazon).

Jeff Bezos needs to position himself to avoid being totally shut out from White House influence ability.  The non-endorsement was the first move.  The shift in ideological alignment within the Washington Post (article above) is the second move.  Bezos is mitigating and strategizing risk.  That’s what is going on.

These are not media outlets in your traditional frame of reference. These are influence operations aligned with the interests of the billionaires behind them. It’s a game of thrones thing. Each interest has their own advocacy group. That’s what you would call “modern media”. Bezos has the Washington Post, Ellison positioned himself with Twitter; the intent is the same.

The biggest winners from the Trump victory will be Larry Ellison (Oracle), his super influence operator Elon Musk, and their smaller -albeit ideologically similar- friend, Peter Thiel (Palantir).

This is the inside baseball stuff that circles the President Trump campaign orbit in very close proximity. This is the command-and-control influence operation that determines outcomes. When Trump wins, these interests are positioned for strongest influence.

If you want to really understand what is happening, follow this background context as the intellectual filter and you will be watching President Trump Term-2 politics with clear eyes.  However, always remember, these are their personal interests.  As long as they align with MAGA, all is cool.  If their personal interests diverge from MAGA, we will have a problem.

There are trillions at stake.

Nov 7 2024

Humorous Intermission


Posted originally on the CTH on November 6, 2024 | Sundance

We are a brilliant country. 

No other nation in the world comes close to the innovation that originates from inside the USA, true story.

That American spirit, often just snark-filled humor, is simply part of our national DNA; yet we rarely -until Trump- actually paused to think about it. Remember, keep living your very best life. ENJOY:

.