16 Economists Sign Letter Saying Trump Policy Will Increase Inflation – Reality Is Opposite, Here’s The Data


Posted originally on the CTH on June 26, 2024 | Sundance 

This headline article from the New York Post caught our attention because it has the familiar ring of “51 former intelligence heads” in the 2020 election.

Previously, the stacking of experts to create disinformation was used to hide the truth within the Hunter Biden laptop, which was evidence of Joe Biden’s pay-to-play schemes.  Now, the “experts” are stacked to claim Joe Biden’s economic policy is better than Donald Trump’s.

[Source]

I will ignore the article’s Freudian optic of the economist speaking at the globalist WEF event, and instead focus on the facts.  We have an actual track record of President Trump’s MAGAnomic policies to review. We heard the insufferable “inflation created by tariff” arguments back in 2017; they were all false.

Wall Street loves to shout about looming damage that will come if anyone reverses the “service driven economy” policies they rely upon. However, none of their hair on fire arguments ever materialize, because they are not accurate. These economists are politically motivated in their claims.

See below for real data on the outcomes of MAGAnomic policy as delivered in Trump’s first term.

This might be the cited data you want to bookmark for later reference.

Traditional Fascism was defined as an authoritarian government working hand-in-glove with corporations to achieve totalitarian objectives. A centralized autocratic government, headed by a dictatorial leader, using severe economic and social regimentation, and forcible suppression of opposition.

That governmental system didn’t work in the long-term, because the underlying principles driving free people rejected government authoritarianism.  Fascist governments collapsed, and the corporate beneficiaries were nulled and scorned.  Then along came a new approach to achieve the same objective.

The World Economic Forum (WEF) was created to use the same fundamental associations of government and corporations.  Only this time the corporations organized to tell the governments what to do.  The WEF was organized for multinational corporations to assemble and tell the various governments how to cooperate to achieve control.

Fascism is still the underlying premise, the WEF just flipped the internal dynamic.

The assembly of the massive multinational corporations, banks and finance offices now summon the government leaders to come to their assembly and receive their instructions.  Some have called this corporatism. However, the relationship between government and multinationals is just fascism essentially reversed with the government doing what the corporations tell them to do.

A massive multinational corporate conglomerate; telling a centralized autocratic government leader what to do; and using severe economic and social regimentation as a control mechanism; combined with forcible suppression of opposition by both the corporations and government.

This was our reality until we finally broke the glass, hit the emergency STOP button and elected Donald Trump.

It was the Fourth Quarter of 2019…..

Right before the pandemic would hit a few months later, despite two years of doomsayer predictions from Wall Street’s professional punditry, all of them said Trump’s 2017 steel and aluminum tariffs on China, Canada and the EU would create massive inflation – it just wasn’t happening!

Overall, year-over-year inflation was hovering around 1.7 percent [Table-A BLS]; yup, that was our inflation rate.  The rate in the latter half of 2019 was firmed up with less month-over-month fluctuation, and the rate basically remained consistent.   [See Below]  The U.S. economy was on a smooth glide path, strong, stable, and Main Street was growing with MAGAnomics at work.

A couple of important points.  First, unleashing the energy sector to drive down overall costs to consumers, and industry outputs was a key part of President Trump’s America First MAGAnomic initiative.  Lower energy prices help the worker economy, middle class and average American more than any other sector.

Which brings us to the second important point.  Notice how food prices had very low year-over-year inflation – 0.5 percent.  That is a combination of two key issues: low energy costs, and the fracturing of Big Ag’s hold on the farm production and the export dynamic:

(BLS) […] The index for food at home declined for the third month in a row, falling 0.2 percent. The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs decreased 0.7 percent in August as the index for eggs fell 2.6 percent. The index for fruits and vegetables, which rose in July, fell 0.5 percent in August; the index for fresh fruits declined 1.4 percent, but the index for fresh vegetables rose 0.4 percent. The index for cereals and bakery products fell 0.3 percent in August after rising 0.3 percent in July. (link)

For the previous twenty years, food prices had been increasingly controlled by Big Ag, and not by normal supply and demand.   The commodity market became a ‘controlled market’. U.S. food outputs (farm production) was controlled and exported to keep the U.S. consumer paying optimal prices.

President Trump’s trade reset was disrupting this process.  As farm products were less exported, the cost of the food in our supermarket became reconnected to a ‘more normal’ supply and demand cycle.  Food prices dropped, and our pantry costs were lowered.

The Commerce Dept. then announced that retail sales climbed by 0.4 percent in August 2019, twice as high as the 0.2 percent analysts had predicted. The result highlighted retail sales strength of more than 4 percent year-over-year.   These excellent results came on the heels of blowout data in July, when households boosted purchases of cars and clothing.

The better-than-expected number stemmed largely from a 1.8 percent jump in spending vehicles. Online sales, meanwhile, also continued to climb, rising 1.6 percent. That’s similar to July 2019, when Amazon held its two-day blowout Prime Day sale. (link)

Despite the efforts to remove and impeach President Trump, it did not look like middle class America was overly concerned about the noise coming from the pundits.   Likely that’s because blue collar wages were higher, Main Street inflation was lower, and overall consumer confidence was strong.  Yes, MAGAnomics was working.

Additionally, remember all those MSM hours and newspaper column inches where the professional financial pundits were claiming Trump’s tariffs were going to cause massive increases in prices of consumer goods?

Well, exactly the opposite happened [BLS report] Import prices were continuing to drop:

[Table 1 – BLS report link]

This was a really interesting dynamic that no one in the professional punditry would dare explain.

Donald Trump’s tariffs were targeted to specific sectors of imported products.  [Steel, Aluminum, and a host of smaller sectors etc.]  However, when the EU and China responded by devaluing their currency, that approach hit all products imported, not just the tariff goods.

Because the EU and China were driving up the value of the dollar, everything we were importing became cheaper.   Not just imports from Europe and China, but actually imports from everywhere.   All imports were entering the U.S. at substantially lower prices.

This meant when we imported products, we were also importing deflation.

This price result is exactly the opposite of what the economic experts and Wall Street pundits predicted back in 2017 and 2018 when they were pushing the rapid price increase narrative.

Because all the export dependent economies were reacting with such urgency to retain their access to the U.S. market, aggregate import prices were actually lower than they were when the Trump tariffs began:

[…]  Prices for imports from China edged down 0.1 percent in August following decreases of 0.2 percent in both July and June. Import prices from China have not advanced on a monthly basis since ticking up 0.1 percent in May 2018. The price index for imports from China fell 1.6 percent for the year ended in August.

[…]  Import prices from the European Union fell 0.2 percent in August and 0.3 percent over the past 12 months.

[Page #4 – BLS Report, pdf] – BLS press release.

So yes, we know President Trump can save Social Security and Medicare by expanding the economy with his America First economic policy.  We do not need to guess if it is possible or listen to pundits theorize about his approach being some random ‘catch phrase’ disconnected from reality.  Yes folks, we have the receipts.

This was MAGAnomics at work, and this is entirely what created the middle class MAGA coalition.  No other Republican candidate has this economic policy in their outlook, because all other candidates are purchased by the Wall Street multinationals.

America First MAGAnomics is unique to President Trump, because he is the only one independent enough to implement them.

That’s just the reality of the situation.  They hate him for it… 

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Does the SCOTUS Support Capital Gains Taxes?


Posted Jun 25, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Supreme Court BW

The government believes it has unlimited power to tax the citizens of the United States. The idea of capital gains taxes on unrealized earnings will be an economic nuclear disaster. The Democrat-appointed Supreme Justices believe that Moore v. United States does not exceed Congress’s Constitutional authority to tax unrealized gains. America’s entire future is on the line.

On June 20, 2024, the US Supreme Court voted 7-2 to uphold federal taxes on foreign income. There will be a one-time tax on shares of undistributed profits, and they anticipate the move will earn the Fed $340 billion. Only Justices Gorsuch and Thomas argued that Moore v. United States is unconstitutional and must be abolished.  Kavanaugh stated that this ruling need not be interpreted at the court authorizing taxation on unrealized income. Yet it is a major step in that direction.

Biden_Promised_to_Put_a_Black_Woman_on_the_Supreme_Court_The_New_York_Times

Biden’s appointee to the bench, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson, supports capital gains taxation. This is the first time a Justice has spoken directly on the topic in favor of the practice. She argued that the income need not be realized before it can be taxed. She feels it is not a Constitutional right but rather a principle founded on equality. Jackson has extremely far-left views regarding wealth in America that are outright racist. While Sotomayor stated race must not be factored in when analyzing the Constitution, Jackson wrote a separate piece last June “to expound upon the universal benefits of considering race in this context.” But this isn’t about race for the Biden Administration. He appointed Jackson to have a socialist voice on the bench to promote “equality,” which ultimately amounts to everyone having nothing – you will own nothing and be happy.

Thomas Justice

The far left is stumped by Justice Clarence Thomas, who upholds the Constitution in favor of its original intentions. You never hear Thomas speak of his race when discussing a ruling as it simply DOES NOT MATTER — we are all protected under one nation, indivisible. He called affirmative action “rudderless, race-based preferences designed to ensure a particular racial mix in their entering classes.” He believes “all men are created equal, are equal citizens, and must be treated equally before the law” and rejects the notion that one should feel victimized based on race. Racial politics is merely a method to divide the people. It certainly has no place in America’s top court.

President Biden has proposed a 25% tax on income and unrealized gains for the wealthiest Americans earning over $100 million. This opens the door to creating a third income tax. They always begin by taxing the wealthiest, but sooner than later, it will pass on to everyone. The proposal also suggests taxing estates of over $5 million on unrealized capital gains in the event of a death to prevent generational wealth.

Eisner v. Macomber stated that unrealized gains were NOT income during the ratification of the Sixteenth Amendment. This would punish anyone from owning an appreciating asset, even homeownership would be a taxable penalty if unrealized gains were grabbed by the government. Taxes are never repealed. The government will continue to tax the people into poverty if permitted to do so, and that is precisely how empires fall. The government is utterly desperate for funding and believes shaking down Americans is a better solution than curtailing its own spending.

A Technical Study of Relationships in Solar Flux, Water and other Gasses in the upper Atmosphere, Using the May, 2024 NASA & NOAA Data


The attached report on Global Weather for May 2024 Data has charts showing the relationship we tween CO2 growth and Temperature increases going up since we started to accurately measure CO2 in the atmosphere in 1958. These Charts were created by showing CO2 as a percent increase from when it was first measured in 1958, the Black plot, the scale is on the left and it shows CO2 going up by about ~34.0% from 1958 to May 2024. That is a very large change as anyone would have to agree. 

Now how about temperature, well when we look at the percentage change in temperature also from 1958, using Kelvin (which does measure the actual change in heat), we find that the changes in global temperature (heat) is about ~.3% and may reach .5% by 2028. To even be able to see this minuscule change we had to reduce the scale of the CO2 axis by a factor of ten.

This Chart 8 uses unaltered values from NOAA and NASA properly displayed ,and the Blue and Yellow projections are created by Microsoft Excel not me.

The NOAA and NASA numbers tell us the story of the Changes in the planets Atmosphere As Carbon Dioxide goes up geometrically.

Gas Stove Warning Labels


Posted originally on Jun 19, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Gas Burner

Coming to a blue state near you, legislators would like to slap warning labels on gas-powered stoves. What is the warning? Lawmakers say that consumers should be aware that gas stoves release toxic fumes and are harmful to the environment. California, Illinois, and New York have all agreed to include labels that state gas stoves can cause pets and children to develop asthma, leukemia, and other illnesses.

Is there enough evidence to honestly state that gas stoves lead to health risks? I do not know a single person who has fallen ill due to a gas stove. We are not seeing restaurant workers dropping dead due to working near gas stoves. Even the World Health Organization, who is certainly not for the people, could not produce a study linking asthma to the release of nitrogen dioxide. The truth of the matter is that this is merely an attempt to promote the climate change agenda and eventual push to ban all fossil fuels.

Gas.Stove_.Schumer

Lawmakers and trade groups are battling over the precise language to use on these absurd warning labels. Numerous climate zealot organizations are actually filing lawsuits against companies such as GE for failing to warn the public of the climate and health risks associated with gas stoves.

The Democrats will say that conservatives are being hysterical about proposed bans on gas stoves, crying that these measures are small steps to inform the public so that they may make educated decisions. “This bill is just educating consumers on a potential hazard, and they can make their own choice and that’s what America is about,” New York Assemblymember Michaelle Solages stated. “We’re not banning gas stoves,” said California Assemblymember Gail Pellerin, who authored the state’s warning label proposal. “We’re just basically requiring them to be labeled, warning people about how to best use them with good ventilation.”

However, states have already passed laws to diminish the use of gas stoves and furnaces. New York’s Governor Kathy Hochul signed legislation that will reduce the number of gas appliances used for heating and cooking in the years to come. California is forcing new buildings to comply with climate change regulations and efficiency standards.

The US Department of Energy attempted to impose restrictions to make it increasingly difficult for Americans to purchase gas stoves, but Republicans overturned the measure. It will make it easier for lawmakers to regulate fossil fuel appliances if they can label them. One must wonder why lawmakers are hell-bent on eliminating America’s most utilized cooking method when our nation is plagued with problems.

Energy Bills to Rise Across US


Posted originally on Jun 11, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

ACairconditioning

The EPA is demanding that we abandon coal and fossil fuels without an alternative. The agency is seeking to shut down American power plants in favor of renewables. Energy prices are already reaching new highs. The National Energy Assistance Directors Association (NEADA) and the Center for Energy Poverty and Climate (CEPC) issued a warning that Americans should expect at least an 8% increase in energy bills this summer.

No, global warming is not the culprit. The hot summer is in line with cyclical weather patterns. America lost its ability to remain energy independent the very day Joe Biden entered the White House and signed away countless laws prohibiting production. The average AC bill was $661 over the summer months, according to CEPC and NEADA. These agencies believe those in the Mid-Atlantic and Pacific regions of the US will see a rise in energy prices by 12.2%, raising costs from June to September to $691 and $693. Those in the East South Central are expected to see a 10.1% hike over the same period and will pay around $774. East Noth Central is expected to see a 9.8% energy bill uptick ($581), while New England and West South Central will see rises of 5.3% ($760) and 1.8% ($581).

Naturally, these costs are on the low spectrum of estimates. Most of us pay far more to cool our homes over the summer. One must wonder why the EPA and Biden Administration believe it is appropriate to adhere to these climate change goals for Agenda 2030 when the average American is already struggling to afford cooling.

We are already paying for the slow switch from natural gas and coal to renewables. Energy companies have been forced to gradually make the switch, and soon, there will be no alternative. Once they completely banish fossil fuels, cooling one’s home will become a luxury. Anyone can look at their monthly billing to see how much their heating and cooling expenses have risen on a monthly and annual basis and it is far beyond 8%. Personally, I am seeing a rise of around 30%.

This is one of an array of basic living essentials that have multiplied in price in recent years under the Biden Administration. We allowed our leader to cripple our infrastructure and ability to remain energy independent. We are currently allowing him to sign even more restrictive pieces of legislation that will only force us to stretch our dollars thin to maintain our current lifestyles. Is anything Build Back Better yet?

Save American Power Plants


Posted originally on Jun 10, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Climate zero co2

The Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) has introduced “Clean Power Plan 2.0” to eliminate new construction on natural gas-fired power plants and force coal-powered plants to close. This is part of the Biden-Harris plan to adhere to future net zero target emissions to combat the fabricated lie of climate change at the expense of the American people. This measure could completely decimate America’s coal industry and spike energy costs at a time when the average person has nothing left to spend.

These agencies have usurped all power away from Congress and have abandoned democracy. No one specifically voted for these measures. But we have an agency, under Biden, who can change the way the nation’s entire infrastructure is powered with the passing of a pen.

Senator Joe Manchin (I-WV), Chairman of the U.S. Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, has been fighting with a group of 44 senators to overturn this measure. “This new power plant rule isn’t just another bureaucratic maneuver in this administration’s strategy to end the fossil fuel industry by a thousand cutsit’s a calculated knockout punch to the coal and natural gas industry. Make no mistake, other sources of energy are not yet ready to pick up the slack in our power system that will be created by this regulation,” Manchin explained, calling this maneuver an attempt to garner votes before the election. Simply put – the technology to power the nation on clean energy is not yet available. We cannot abandon fossil fuels without facing extreme repercussions.

Those who support the measure claim Manchin is simply from coal country West Virginia and has investments in the coal industry. They do not realize that the infrastructure to power the US on clean energy is absent and these measures will NOT help the people. It will only lead to increased costs on the basic essentials and cause the cost of living to spike.

There are over 200 coal power plants across the US that power around 20% of the nation. Coal accounted for over half of electricity in the US in the 2000s and, while more financially friendly, has been gradually phasing out. However, most of these plants were replaced by natural gas plants but that is still not enough for the climate change zealots at the EPA. Around 40% of the nation is powered by natural gas and plays a crucial role in America’s electricity generation. The EPA is now attempting to curtail 60% of America’s current power in the name of the globalist climate change agenda.

As of 2022, wind-powered electricity accounted for 10% of America’s electricity and 48% of all renewables. Hydropower comes in second, accounting for 6.2% of the nation’s energy as of 2022, while solar provides about 3.4% of America’s energy. There have been numerous issues connecting wind power to the overall grid, not to mention the environmental issues it causes to wildlife. Weather has a major impact on these structures as well as they are prone to freeze during extreme weather events. Even the experts have admitted that they could not use wind to power even half of America at this point in time without new technology.

Idaho Shut Down Water Resources to Farmers


Posted originally on Jun 9, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

The White Earth Effect


Posted originally on May 30, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

White Earth

The earth’s climate is anything but regular, with every year a repeat of the last. The White Earth Effect is the realization of what would happen if the earth was entirely covered in snow and ice. The bottom line is that the Earth would then reflect the sunlight rather than absorb it, and hence, the planet would never again move back to a warm climate – global freezing. The critical understanding of the cyclical nature of our environment has been hampered by people trying to further personal agendas distorting real trends in our climate. The nonsense about global warming has done far more damage than most people realize to our understanding cycle for it is the same crisis we have with Marxist-Keynesianism – the assumption that man can control his surroundings and society.

Global Warming has propagated false ideas about the world we live in. It has claimed that man is even capable of altering the climate, covering up the fact that it is a dynamic cyclical system that we are not bothering to understand. This is as bad as assuming the Earth is flat, for back then, the disbelievers argued that it would be absurd, for nobody could stand on a ball upside down.

It would be nice just for once if people stopped grabbing bits of information and attributing that as proof of what is really a political movement for a hidden agenda. The Earth is no more in a Global Warming trend caused by man than Elvis is still alive and on stage in Vegas.

The White Earth Effect describes a theory that for millions of years the Earth was almost entirely smothered in ice, stretching from the poles to the tropics. This freezing happened over 650 million years ago in the pre-Cambrian period, though it’s now thought that there may have been more than one of these global glaciations. They varied in duration and extent, but during a full-on snowball event covering the entire planet, life could only cling on in ice-free refuges or where sunlight managed to penetrate through the ice to allow photosynthesis. As long as there were some spots that could absorb sunlight, then the cycle would be capable of a reversal back to a warming climate.

The climate has always been a dynamic system that oscillates between extreme cold and extreme heat. Perhaps you recall the term Ice Age? Even the Sun is a thermodynamic system that oscillates in a cycle of about 300 years between maximum and minimum energy output with a fluctuation range of about 15%. Climatologists have universally agreed that the long-term behavior of our planet’s oceans and atmosphere could at any point in time shift without reason (beyond a chaotic shift) from one that is very inhabitable to an icy tomb of doom from which there is no return.

Lorenze

The Father of Chaos Theory is Edward Norton Lorenz (1917–2008), an American mathematician and meteorologist. Lorenz was certainly THE pioneer in Chaos Theory. A professor at MIT, Lorenz was the first to recognize what is now called chaotic behavior in the mathematical modeling of weather systems.

During the 1950s, Lorenz observed that there was a cyclical, non-linear nature to weather, yet the field relied upon linear statistical models in meteorology to do weather forecasting. It was like trying to measure the circumference of a circle with a straight-edge ruler. His work on the topic culminated in the publication of his 1963 paper Deterministic Non-periodic Flow in the Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences and with it, the foundation of chaos theory. During the early 1960s, Lorenz had access to early computers. He was running what he thought would be random numbers and began to observe there was a duality of a hidden repetitive nature. He graphed the numbers that were derived from his study of convection rolls in the atmosphere. What emerged has been perhaps one of the most important discoveries in modern time.

LORENZ (3)

This illustration of the Lorenz Strange Attractor is incredibly important and was first reported in 1963. Lorenz’s discovery of a strange attractor was made during an effort to create a model of weather patterns. The actual experiment was an attempt to model the atmospheric dynamics of the planet. It involved a truncated model of the Navier-Stokes equations. It is a visual example of a non-linear dynamic system corresponding to the long-term behavior in a cyclical manner, revealing a hidden order we cannot otherwise observe.

Lorenz also discovered in 1969 that very minor differences in a dynamic nonlinear system could trigger vast and often unsuspected drastic results. These observations ultimately led him to formulate what became known as the term Butterfly Effectin 1969 regarding this fascinating discovery. Very tiny changes in what might appear to be minor data at the outset had a ripple effect throughout the entire system, creating substantially different outcomes. This term grew out of an academic paper he presented in 1972 entitled: “Predictability: Does the Flap of a Butterfly’s Wings in Brazil Set off a Tornado in Texas?

From a dynamic system perspective, such a possibility that the earth could go to one extreme, such as the White Earth Effect, and fail to recover is not really just a matter of chance that could emerge out of nowhere. It was Lorenz who stated that it would take some “huge kick” of energy to upset the balance of our climate to such a degree. Lorenz called this system “almost-intransitivity.”

The White Earth Effect is what would happen if the climate moved cyclically to the extreme on the cold side. The Earth has, for millions of years, almost been entirely covered in ice, stretching from the poles to the tropics. The failure to cover every spot was our saving grace. If there was no such ice-free zone, the cycle would stop as the ice would reflect the sunlight, the planet would stay cold, and life would be extinguished – the White Earth Effect.

Free Vodka and Beer for the Homeless in San Francisco


Posted originally on May 23, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Suicide

California is a socialistic cesspool of failed policies that funnel money through inefficient charities. I recently reported that the state, which boasts the largest homeless population in the United States, failed an audit that found nine agencies misused $24 billion in government funds intended to combat homelessness. Now, new reports state that San Francisco alone has been spending $5 per year on alcohol for the homeless.

The “managed alcohol program” states that it aims to keep homeless people physically dependent on alcohol out of jail or the hospital systems by providing them with “controlled doses” of beer and vodka. The program apparently has only served 65 clients, but the public sector has found a way to spend an astounding $5 million annually on a bar tab for the homeless.

The audit I originally referenced found that all of California’s efforts to combat homelessness have miserably failed. In fact, homelessness has shot up by 56.7% since 2015, when a number of these programs were first implemented. It’s almost as if these non-profits could not survive if they were to actually focus on recovery and rehabilitation efforts instead of fueling addictions.

Video Player

These people are not receiving medical care, and yes, alcohol withdrawal can be fatal but these individuals are simply receiving free drugs funded by the state in order to boost California’s homelessness problem. It would be akin to giving free lines of credit to people with gambling addictions – utter nonsense.

So, while families struggle to afford food and healthcare, Pelosi’s city of San Francisco is prioritizing the money pit that is the public sector. America’s public sector is multiplying under Biden-Harris and there are countless useless agencies spending our tax dollars on worsening our communities for profit.

Derek Johnson-Trump Is The Commander In Chief,People Are Witnessing The Destruction Of The Old Guard


Posted originally on Rumble By X 22 Report on: May 20, 2024 at 10:32 pm EST