Armstrong Economics Blog/Cryptocurrency
RE-Posted Dec 8, 2017 by Martin Armstrong
Hackers have managed to get $70 million worth of Bitcoin, revealing the risk of all electronic forms of money to which cryptocurrencies are not exempt. The prices keep soaring and requests to add it to Socrates have been coming in so we are complying. With the futures about to begin, this should make it a more transparent market. The problem now is a single trade can be registered just buy one coin to put up prints that do not reflect volume. A future contract will help reveal the true depth of a market.
If we accept the quotes as real, then Bitcoin’s market capitalization is now larger than that of major US banks Citigroup or JP Morgan standing at about $ 220 billion. The problem that emerges is the reclassification legally of Bitcoin. Because it is pretending to be a currency rather than a stock, governments can simply take the latest print and declare that to be a profit and tax you on that number. If the governments would accept Bitcoin as legal tender in payment of taxes, that would be fine. However, if they demand their own currency (dollars) which then forces one to sell Bitcoin to pay the tax, then the price will collapse and they will force you to pay the tax on the inflated number. You can claim you lost money selling it below that figure and they then allow a tax credit but spread out over 10 years. Bitcoin should swap everything to shares and that will eliminate the clash with the government.
Meanwhile, we will let Socrates generate the Reversals and the timing arrays for the forecast as we do with any instrument. At least it is a computer with no bias. So far, it indicates we are only in a Phase Transition.
However, this run-up began with the November 25th ECM turning point from the 8,000 level, Interesting that the ECM date has market such a Directional Change where Bitcoin and the stock market have taken off marking a clear shift in trend took place.