Rebbelions & the Public v Private Waves


ECM #145 1413.75 (51.6) Private Wave

QUESTION:

Sir,

Pondering the patterns that you have found in history, I have been mulling over the crossroads that lie in front of us in the next few years. You noted that sovereign debt crises occur about every 86 years or so. You also noted that civil disturbance goes hand in hand with those events. You also noted that it cycles between government/public to private and private to government/public. Am I understanding correctly that the civil disturbance that occurs when it flips between government/public to private is more intense than when it flips from private to government/public?

Thanks for all you do and see you in Nov

DK

ECM #146 1465.35 (51.6) Private Wave

ANSWER: Yes. This is because government is a single entity. They will fight against the people to retain power. Make no mistake about it, government will always massacre the people to retain power. All such events in history unfold when the people seek to overturn tyranny. However, there are rebellions even during a Public Wave but these tend to be continuations of a grievance from the previous wave. There were 69 years between the two big English tax rebellions of 1381 and 1450. They do tend to be more intense during Private Waves. You will notice that in a Private Wave then tend to come early whereas in a Public wave then come late and typically spill over. This is because the rebellion aspect is really a separate function of the War Cycle. Therefore, it is an overlap that produces the intensity. Currently, that turned up in 2014.

Political wisdom over the centuries was purchased with the blood and bitter experience of generations upon generations. In England when the King had no right to tax the people. They had to consent and that was the reason to call Parliament to consent to taxation. The first tax revolt was the Wat Tyler’s Rebellion, also known as the Peasants’ Revolt, was a tax rebellion following the Black Death as a result of high taxes to fund the war against France (Hundred Years War). This took place beginning in May and ended in a massacre by November, 1381. Then there was William (Jack) Cade (? – 7/12/1450) who led a tax rebellion which took place in May 1450 which was the subject of Shakespeare’s play of Henry VI in which he wrote his famous passage: “The first thing we do, let’s kill all the lawyers.” (King Henry VI, part II, Act IV, Scene 2, Line 72). The lawyers were not “lawyers” as we see them today. The king was the only person allowed to have a lawyer, so they were really prosecutors taking people’s property and imprisoning them for profit.

In France, there was the French Revolution in 1792 over taxation, but there was also a rebellion in 1851. But the first tax rebellion in France was when King John was captured by the English in September 1356. King John was transported to London in April 1357. He was compelled to surrender most of southern France to the English. On October 9th, 1360, John was released to raise the balance of the ransom, while hostages took his place that included his own son. When John’s son escaped, John had little choice and returned to England as a prisoner on his own volition where he died.

In 1358, we find the first tax uprising known as “Jacquerie” because the nobility had called all peasants “Jacque” and the demands for taxes were now outrageous. Taxes were even demanded to rebuild castles of the nobility. The English had plundered the country and these demands led finally to a uprising on May 21st, 1358. The peasants destroyed numerous castles in response and indeed massacred all inhabitants. With the King captured, confusion reigned and the nation was plunged into civil war. The peasants were eventually defeated and they were themselves massacred.

Even in China, the minister Chao Cuo (? – 154BC) under the previous emperor Ching-ti (Liu Ch’i)(157-141BC), earned the hatred of other ministers after he introduced 30 new laws. The outrage was so intense; he was dragged out and executed in his judicial robes in the town marketplace. The abuse of the rule of law knows no bounds. When Edward I (1272-1307) returned to England in 1289, he was confronted by corrupt judges who had been bribed by special interests and dismissed them summarily. Then in 1290, Edward I seized all the property of the Jews and expelled them from England.  Kings, dictators, and professional political classes, have always exploited the rule of law for their personal gain.

Massacres of the people in a revolt against government exist throughout history. We should expect our modern governments will act in the very same manner. They are right now arming themselves and they have converted the police forces into military domestic units.

Boris Johnson Independence Day Brexit Speech Given a Soundtrack…


good speech!

Whoopsie – 70% Of British Parliament Petition Signatures Demanding Another EU Referendum Don’t Live In The U.K….


They lost too bad and now they will find a way to nullify the election!

Now The Losers Want a 2nd Referendum To Overturn BREXIT


A petition has circulated gained they claim 1 million signatures to overturn BREXIT and hold a second referendum. Of course they will do a far better job at rigging this one if it goes through. Such people deserve what they petition for and should surrender the pound and the Queen. They have zero idea of what is coming from Brussels but this is playing into the hands of Cameron no doubt and the rest of the establishment. They assume government will survive. They are clueless that Brussels will collapse as we move forward.

“Cold Anger” They’re Still Not Getting It – The Brexit Media ‘Splodey Heads Continue…


The global elites now associate only with their own kind and modern transportation and the web makes it easy for them to create a society of evil people with lots of power and money. They will do or say anything to maintain their potion in life they are the modern version of the old royalty and the play by the rules promoted me Thomas Hobbes in his 1651 book Leviathan justifying having a monarchy as a ruling class. This is what they want after all as we are only the vulgarians which must be put in our place.

The Impact of BREXIT on the EU


Euro-Symbol

The true impact, on Britain and on Europe, will start to become visible rather quickly.  It is absurd to think that anything has to change in respect to trade between the EU and Britain. What this  means is really that Britain will not be subservient to Brussels and would be in the same position as the United States. However, our sources are telling us that the EU will try to punish Britain, as they did the Greeks, for having the audacity to reject their superiority. This may become more of a nasty divorce where when a couple moved in together the wife hated his lucky lazy-boy to watch games. In divorce, it will cost him $50,000 in legal fees to get the lazy-boy back that she threatened to throw out many times. NATO is nothing without Britain. Indeed, Europe is incapable of defending itself without Britain and the USA.

The Scottish are threatening to hold their own referendum to separate from the UK and remain in the EU. That too is insanity. Sottish independence is one thing. To remain in the EU is to surrender their independence and become subservient to Brussels. Ireland wants a referendum to unite North and South. That will probably only result in civil war. Britain should step out and let them duke it out.

When the markets crash in Europe as Brussels tries to outlaw short selling to prevent markets to go against the politicians, this means that Britain will remain as the place to do business and Euro will suffer. The banks were just doing what the establishment told them to do. The threats that banks would leave makes no sense whatsoever.

Meanwhile. the arrogance and threats of Obama who told the Brits back in April they had to go “to the back of the queue” and would not be able to strike a trade deal with America “any time soon” if it leaves the European Union, has shown just what politicians have become – buffoons who will say anything to win the moment. Now Obama said: “The people of the United Kingdom have spoken, and we respect their decision. The special relationship between the United States and the United Kingdom is enduring, and the United Kingdom’s membership in NATO remains a vital cornerstone of U.S. foreign, security, and economic policy.” He continued: “The United Kingdom and the European Union will remain indispensable partners of the United States even as they begin negotiating their ongoing relationship to ensure continued stability, security, and prosperity for Europe, Great Britain and Northern Ireland, and the world.”

Vice President Joe Biden said: “I must say we had looked for a different outcome. We would have preferred a different outcome … but the United States has a long-standing friendship with the United Kingdom and that very special bond will endure.”

So much for go to the bank of the queue. There are trade agreements already in place with Britain. Nothing new needs to be negotiated.

‘Splodey Head Friday – The Vulgarian’s Cheer, The Ruling Class Jeers…


I agree except about calling them barking moonbats for they know exactly what they are doing and the have been doing it for the past 14 years under the umbrella of UN Agenda 21 signed by the first Bush and funded by Clinton. The US Congress as been funding this concept for since the first Clinton term and each year it gets more intrusive. In Cleveland where I am its call Vribrat2040 is has been being implemented for 4 years now. I have been to planing meeting and know what they are doing and 90% pf the US population would reject it if they knew what was being done to them. The sentiments of the people are being driven by this crazy program and have resulted in the Trump movement ans the Brits refecting the EU more in yet to come and the conflict will in all likely hood result id civil war in the US and North America and the globalists they to take of the world economies for personal gain.

The British Pound & the Aftermath of BREXIT


IBBPVA-D 6-24-2016

BPFOR-D 6-24-2016

 

The pound sterling had a smashing day ranging between 15016 and 13226 penetrating the 2009 low of 13508 as well as the 2001 low of 13680. That leaves the prior low of 1985 of 10520 on the cash (103 futures). This is rather important for it implies that we should see that test of the 1985 low as soon as 2017. A year-end closing below 14050 will signal that should follow course. Keep in mind that our model has been projection a significant dollar rally and the weakening of the EU will make that happen.

IBBPVA-W 6-24-2016BPFOR-W 6-24-2016

ECM-EuroEuro HangingWe have two incredible important numbers coming into focus for the closing of June – 13660 and we also have a Quarterly Bearish at 13680 and 14280. Obviously, if we close June below 13660, we should expect the pound to decline sharply in the months ahead.

On the Weekly level, a closing beneath 14000 will keep the pound in a bearish position. A merely closing beneath 14300 today will also signal that the pound is weak. There will be bearish sentiment, but this will begin to subside as people start to see that the EU cannot be sustained without the UK.

The European Union peaked back in 2004. It is done – just stick a fork in it. The arrogance of Brussels and their anti-democratic approach to force their elitist views upon the people is coming back to haunt them. Unless Brussels reforms, we will see the collapse of the entire EU structure right down to the Euro.

The Peasants Are Revolting – Disconnected Political Institutions Meet Their Monster Voters…


The BREXIT vote to leave was hoped for but I was not sure that the politicians would be able to rig the votes but the tide was to large and they couldn’t pull it off and the people have spoken. The exit process is 2 years long so the change is not a on/off switch so things will quickly return to normal except for the reason that this happened which is now fully in play. France and germany have elections and of course we have ours and they are all part of the same movement of an anti large government making laws that the people do not want. The movement is anti New Word Order and effect all most all of Western Civilization so there is a Yuge change coming!

The Panic has Subsided – Reality Returns – BREXIT Wins


BREXIT On Schedule

 

Euro SinkingExactly on our cyclical model, the UK votes to leave the EU in historic referendum after 43 years (half 8.6) 52% to 48%. David Cameron has announced he will resign as prime minister in October and all one can say is good reddens, despite the fact that 84 Eurosceptic Tory MPs signed a letter calling on David Cameron to continue as prime minister whatever the result of the referendum. That was just a joke for Cameron betrayed his own country. It would have been “inconceivable” that Cameron could remain as prime minister after making the biggest political decision of his life that has been proven spectacularly wrong.

The Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond has said that voters have “spoken clearly” and the government’s job is to “get on with that decision, protecting the economy and doing all we can to get the best outcome for Britain.” This is the best decision for Britain for otherwise it will be dragged down by Brussels which has become the sinking Titanic. The attempt by Brussels to extinguish democracy with its arrogant attitude that the elite just know better will now begin to set in throughout Europe. Already, Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi tweeted: “We have to change (the EU) to make it more human and more just, but Europe is our home, it’s our future.”

The pound fell to its lowest level in 31 years on exaggerated panic. Europe is nothing without Britain and NATO will certain not change. It has been Britain which provides the military backbone for Europe. This is merely about the UK gaining its independence. The United States would NEVER allow its laws to be written in a dictatorial manner by the United States.

ScotlandPNew-20Pounds

Ann-Medal-Union-Scotland - 2Nigel Farage told supporters that June 23 should now go down as “our independence day” for Britain. The said statement of the Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said Scotland contributed significantly to the Remain vote across the UK and the Scottish people “see their future as part of the EU” so going forward, we can yet see Scotland leave the UK but this time it will quickly discover that the EU is crumbling. The Act of Union that formed the UK was under Queen Ann in 1707. Applying the 309.6 year cycle brings us to 2016.6. Therefore, we may see indeed an independent Scotland, but it will soon find out it joined the sinking ship. Meanwhile, in Ireland, Sinn Fein said Britain’s vote to leave the EU has “very significant implications” for Ireland, and it called for a referendum on a united Ireland.

EU ExitOf course there are those in denial. Austrian Chancellor Christian Kern warned Britain’s exit would harm the other nations. Nonetheless, “I do not fear a domino effect,” which our model does show will unfold. Kern continued: “Europe will lose status and significance in the world because of Britain’s step. The long-term economic effects will also be felt for some time.” Meanwhile, the Estonian Prime Minister Taavi Roivas said Europe must “work hard” to protect the EU’s unity and that Britain’s departure was a “great loss”. What is being overlooked is Article 50 of the 2009 Lisbon Treaty which effectively is the EU exit button. – it allows a country to start formally withdrawing from the European Union. Once Britain has activated this clause, it has two years to negotiate its departure with the remaining 27 members of the bloc. Among the terms to be discussed include: trade tariffs and freedom of movement.