Greenspan Sees Inflation or Stagflation? There is a Difference!


greenspan-bloomberg

QUESTION #1: Marty, Greenspan reads you without a doubt. You warned back in 2012 that we have to be concerned about the USA moving into stagflation with deflation in Europe and Japan. He said the same on Bloomberg. He also said the crisis is the aging population, lower birthrate, and that will result in higher costs without economic expansion. That is everything you said two years ago.

QUESTION #2: Marty,

Deflation is gripping Europe but Greenspan warns of inflation in the USA.
Is he right? What are your thoughts?
3FACESn of Inflation

ANSWER: Inflation, like deflation, is multifaceted. There is no single dimension for it is not black and white. Most of the debate concerning inflation is fixated upon this basic expectation assuming that increasing money supply must be inflationary. That is just flat outright WRONG! There are times we have Currency Inflation since everything has a true international value. If a currency declines, assets will generally rise in proportion to the decline as long as there is no political risk as to the collapse of government or military invasion.

brexit-currency-inflation-1

It is astonishing to me how people who claim they are analysts, economists, or political scientists, were all seriously wrong about BREXIT. Not that it won at the polls, but the aftermath. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Credit Suisse are just the top three banks who were all WRONG on their forecasts predicting of a post-referendum recession as trade deficit narrows. None of them understand capital flows. They have never spent a dime to even do historical research. They are only interested is a quick buck and nothing more. To them, the economy is control by the state so bribe them to get what you want to see is generally their motto.
ferrari-328Note that the day of BREXIT, yes the currency collapsed because of their forecasts. But the stock market rose that day. It did not collapse. This is CURRENCY INFLATION and these people are clueless when it comes to understanding real international capital flows. I have told the story before that I bought a 328 Ferrari in London for about £30,000 when the pound fell to $1.03. The same car in dollars was selling for about $50,000. The pound had been over $2 when Ferrari priced what they would sell that car for to Brits. Since the pound fell so hard, the Italians raised the price to £45,000. Then the pound rallied back to almost $2. I drove the car in London for about two years and then sold it used for about $50,000. This created the false assumption that a Ferrari was a great investment and people began buying and storing them. It was just the currency — not the car. The same thing took place with property in London. Americans rushed in buying everything.

british_airways_concordeI also ran to British Airways and asked how many open tickets they would sell me for the Concorde. They looked at me like some sort of dodgy person and could figure out why I would do such a thing. They came back and said 25. I said great. A round trip was £2,000. Back when the Concorde began, it was about a $5,000 ticket when a first class ticket was about $3,000. So the Concorde was overpriced and mostly empty. With the drop in the pound to par, it was now cheaper than a first class ticket. I bought as many as they would sell me. I got on the Concorde and suddenly it was full with Americans all saying what a deal.

CURRENCY INFLATION is not created by normal supply and demand conditions they teach you in school. Perhaps if you were not an international traveler as I have been, you would never experience it. I use to have an American Express card from every office we had around the world. I would pay in the currency of my choice depending upon the market. Today, American Express will only issue you a credit card where you are domiciled.

euro-jumpASSET INFLATION is different again. This unfolds much like negative interest rates and it is the same mechanism that is creating it. This is when money fears government, banks, or whatever, and it seeks to get off the grid. It will run into property, stocks, gold, art, collectibles, or antique cars. People are buying bonds at negative yields because they are parking money. In Europe, they have been rushing into Germany assuming if the euro breaks, they will get Deutsche marks. However, what is Deutsche Bank fails and the government has to blink and back-off of this insanity of bail-ins? They will suddenly find their conservative bet on Germany will turn into a blood-bath.

supply-demandThe traditional view of inflation is DEMAND INFLATION where a shortage in supply will result in hire prices. But this assumes demand will not change. The whole theory of creating a monopoly is confined solely to this aspect. A Monopoly is actually impossible for if the assumption is prices can just be raised and people will have not choice.

 

Yes in “Debt is Destroying Everything. Where is Common Sense When We Need it the Most?” published August 19th, 2012 I wrote:

So we have to be concerned about STAGFLATION, rising costs with collapsing economic growth. We are living so far beyond our income that we are completely unconnected to any productive capacity. The debt can no longer be paid off. It is beyond several generations. Charles Dickens wrote in Little Dorrit that “[Credit is a system whereby] a person who can’t pay, gets another person who can’t pay, to guarantee that he can pay.”
Even the demographics are changing. As the older generation exceeds the working population, the Ponzi Scheme government established to pretend they would be there to take care of everyone are collapsing. This is why Obamacare is also collapsing. The youth are not joining the crowd. As the greater proportion of society is no longer productive, GDP declines while costs rise. This is the core of STAGFLATION. So we are not looking at inflation as we know in pre-1981.

Fed has become World Central Bank


Poll: 74% Voters Reject Obama’s Middle East Refugee Plan


We are ending up with all the young men from north Africa and the middle east and they do not bring wives and children. They expect to get that hear and force a conversion of the Christians into Muslims. So when you look at the rat hole that the middle east is and has been — keep in mind that this is what your future will be in a generation or two unless we stop the flow and send the ones here back!

GOVERNMENT JOBS SURPASS MANUFACTURING JOBS BY 175,000 IN ILLINOIS


If the people do not work that they end up causing trouble and crime. Idle hands are the devil’s workshop; idle lips are his mouthpiece

KOMMONSENTSJANE – DON KING INTRODUCES DONALD TRUMP


The Democrats soled the Blacks for the Republicans after we freed them from the southern slave masters who all just happened to be Democrats When President Johnson passed all the good laws in 1965 little did the blacks or any of us think that it was designed to make the Black vote slaves. But that is what they are the vote democratic and get nothing for it but permanent welfare and broken homes. Wake up and make a change you have nothing to lose!

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don

Don King certainly  laid the truth out on the table about the Democratic Party and how they have been holding back the black people – giving the Dem’s chance after chance and with each election and vote for the Dem’s – nothing improves – but just like this year – they are making the same old promises – just vote for Hillary and things will get better.

Sure; and, if that is so – I will let you move and let you live in Chicago, Illinois, where it is peaceful and you will never hear a gun shot.

Fox News has to understand black people can say the “N”  word to each other – so it was no gaffe

FOX News

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump shakes hands with former boxing promoter Don King, who introduced him at the Midwest Vision and Values Pastors and Leadership Conference at the New…

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Now it’s her eyes: What’s wrong with Hillary Clinton’s eyes? — Fellowship of the Minds


Whatever her health issues are they are serious not minor and she is jeopardizing her own health by running for President.

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She has: a documented history of falls, brain concussion, and cranial blood clots; coughing fits; a brain seizure on camera; to be helped by two men to walk up a few steps; needs a stool step to get in & out of her car; must be propped up to stand and deliver a few remarks; is accompanied by a […]

via Now it’s her eyes: What’s wrong with Hillary Clinton’s eyes? — Fellowship of the Minds

Reblogged on kommonsentsjane/blogkommonsents.

We have to let this woman ride off into the sunset with her gazillions.  It is time for America to let Donald Trump, a business man, get us back on track.  We have let Obama and Hillary tear up this country and the rest of the world and the whole world is a  mess because Obama is trying to make the world a Muslim world.  We have to stop these two and…

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Hillary’s book ‘Stronger Together’ tanks: only 2,912 copies sold in first week — Fellowship of the Minds


All the sign point toward a total colaspe of the Hilly effort and a major win for Trump we are now in very dangerous territory as the progressives will not let the 100 year plan fail without a confrontation.

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As her poll numbers tumble, with Reuters’ latest showing her 242 Electoral College votes are now in a virtual tie with Trump’s 243, there’s more bad news for Hillary. (See “Reuters polls show huge electoral shift to Trump despite Hillary outspending Trump on campaign ads by a whopping 3300%“) ZeroHedge reports that Hillary’s newest book piece […]

via Hillary’s book ‘Stronger Together’ tanks: only 2,912 copies sold in first week — Fellowship of the Minds

Reblogged on kommonsentsjane/blogkommonsents.

This woman has embraced the Muslim Brotherhood and we cannot allow her to continue Obama’s path which is – damn with Christianity and bring on the Muslims.  Look at the Muslim refugees they are bringing into this country.  We cannot elect this woman

, Hillary.

Remember her book, It takes a village.  She is a Marxists – which is a communist.

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Reality Check: When Obama Can’t Blame Terrorism On Guns


Obama protects Muslims and Islam and he protects BLM and Hillary and you know I think the only think he hates is the NRA because they protect our guns when he need to take from use so he can complete the conversion of America into a Marxist state. That is his goal and don’t dismiss it for that is also what Soros wants with him as the Supreme leader!

OWNERS DO LOOK LIKE THEIR PETS . . .


Sauron or Soros does look a lot like his puppet the witch Hillary

North Carolina Mob Attack Female Truck Driver – Police Refuse to Help, Desperate Calls To Media Chopper…


The problem they have is that the ghetto Blacks are a small percentage of the population and the middle case blacks are not going to join in. Since the riots are what Obama and Hillary want they will be slow to try and stop them which will make them worse. If they can stoke the flames enough they will cancel the election since they now know that Hillary can not win!