Are the Metals & Dow Aligning?


Carrying the World

QUESTION: All three are moving together since mid-January. Does that mean all three are already aligned and a lift is now possible? Or do we go to retest the January lows first?

ANSWER: This is the preparation for the Sling-Shot Move which is coming. Everything is pushing it to the limit. We are carrying the weight of the world around on this move. This is how you will trap people buying highs or selling the lows. They will make their judgment based upon emotions. You will see extreme moves in both directions. Markets are NEVER that forgiving. They strive to wipe everyone out on both sides and the more arrogant they are, the bigger the loss.

We should see the metals push higher trying to get closer to their 2015 highs. The question becomes; can they exceed 18.50 in silver and 1307 in gold? If not, then they too have done what the Dow has done. The worst possible pattern would be a 2017 high, a profound thrust to a low in 2018, and then a Sling-Shot Move to the upside which could push this whole mess into 2024. We achieved a minor Daily Bullish Reversal in silver and gold today, but a sell signal in the Dow. They are trending together, but still in opposite directions. So we can see that they are starting to align. The process is not yet complete.

Just look at this logically. It appears to be the four major elections coming (BREXIT, US President, French President, & Germany) that hold the potential to turn this world we are carrying around completely upside down. If the British vote to exit, that can be devastating to the Euro and set off a wave of civil unrest demanding also to exit in other countries. That would benefit the dollar in a big way. What would that do to the metals? Would the Dow then recover from another retest of the support? The Euro begrudgingly holds on, but here too, trying to retest its 2015 high or at least the target reversal at the 11600 zone, is difficult to say the least.

We are getting there. There has to be a retest of the lows. Nothing moves in one direction. The question becomes; soon or later? That is determined if we fail at the 2015 highs or break through that ceiling. For lift-off, what it takes is that collapse in confidence and we can see that where Bernie is frustrating Hillary and Trump leads the pack no matter what they cry about or conspire. People are just losing it when it comes to government. Trump and Sanders are bringing more people out to vote than ever before. Why? They all know something is wrong. They may disagree at to what it is. But the universal knowledge here is that something is just not right. This is the seed we need to fertilize to get that Sling-Shot.

A Unity of Opposites: A Jewish Teaching that Private Vice Can Serve Public Virtue


Prof. Paul Eidelberg

Consider Donald Trump vis-à-vis these extracts from my book American Exceptionalism:

  • The Father of America, George Washington, envisioned in this nation the growth of a great commercial Republic. He understood that a commercial Republic will inevitably foster, along with competition and self-interest, the passions of ambition and avarice, which would augment dissension and litigation. However, he agreed with his great Secretary of the Treasury, Alexander Hamilton, that under the rule of law and well-designed institutions, “ambition will check ambition,” and that avarice, rightly directed, “may serve the public as well as the private good.”
  • Hamilton also discerned that commercial republicanism can foster rationality, creativity, co-operation, as well as thrift, frugality, and even civic virtue.
  • The philosopher-scientist Alfred North Whitehead observed that “Commerce is the great example of intercourse by way of persuasion.” It transforms self-interest into “enlightened self-interest.” Thus modified, self-interest will produce public benefits, while public benefits will enable a larger number of citizens to prosper and contribute to the common good.

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Strange as it may seem, Donald Trump has been more or less influenced by the teaching of the above paragraphs. His pompous boast “to make America great again,” his enormous avarice primed by vulgar egoism, should be viewed with the above paragraphs in mind, to justly evaluate the man who may become the next President of the United States.

Trump make americ great

EU Conducts Military Exercises Based on Civil War Theories


EU Prepares for Civil War

It’s coming. About 600 members of European police units and military have carried out in North Rhine-Westphalia assault exercises intended to crackdown on civil unrest in Germany and other EU countries. The scenarios under which they are carrying out these exercises are based upon civil war-like conditions. Instead of reforms, they are digging in their heals for a fight. This is how all governments fail. They historically turn against the people they ultimately see as an enemy when they demand political change or action.

Donald Trump Foreign Policy Vision – Transcript and Speech (video) Included…


Excellent Speech by Trump a lot better than any we have heard since President Reagan. And worth listening to by all. Very clear objectives and purpose was communicated if you cared to actually listen to it.

The Dangerous Ability to Create Propaganda


The technology that has emerged to create political propaganda convincing enough to launch wars has crossed the threshold of becoming highly dangerous. The people who created this technology may not have had such an intent. Nevertheless, allowing such technology to get in the hands of government is extremely dangerous.

TechnologyTechnology in the hands of government, who also controls mainstream media, is perhaps the most dangerous combination ever dreamed of. We are doomed without an independent media outlet that actually investigates the abuse of government. Government can start a war and the media will just recite whatever they tell them to report. This is becoming a toxic

 

My comment to this re post is “Wag the Dog” on steroids.

Putin Pitches to Host 2020 World Exposition


The 2020 Expo was given to Dubai. This old video show Putin speaking English and his pitch that Russia should be recognized. Obama reignited the Cold War rather than give Russia the respect it was demanding. It is all about respect and recognition we often call national pride. When things go wrong economically, it is national pride that leads to war.

Ukraine should have simply been divided along ethic lines divided by language and let the East join Russia since they saw themselves as Russian. Instead of spending all this money on war, there should have been an orderly buy-out of those who wanted to move sides. That would have ended the crisis. This view of borders that were drawn by old politics is rather absurd and in the end, will be redrawn once again.

Obama Telling Brits to get to the “back of the queue” if they leave the EU


Obama went to London at the request of David Cameron and the EU Parliament. Obama joined the scare tactics to try to frighten the British into giving up their sovereignty to Brussels by staying in the EU. He used the trade deal which the French want to block saying that agreement. The TTIP was supposed to be done back in 2014. There is little chance of an agreement coming before 2019. Obama told the British to get at the “back of the queue” on trade agreement negotiations.

There is no way Obama would do this without the request of Cameron who is betraying the sovereignty of his own country. The reality is simply that Obama is lying to the British people because the trade agreement with Europe has been a huge problem especially with France. The truth is that Britain would be able to have a faster trade deal with the USA than the EU. This is scare-tactics because Europe itself is on the ropes. Britain leaving would hurt Europe, not Britain, and would save Britain who could then protect its own borders. Even the USA now has a problem with no visa for Europeans given the security risk they introduced allowing economic migrants claiming to be refugees.

 

This demonstrates how the BREXIT vote is a serious issue for Europe as a whole. But make no mistake about it, the USA would NEVER surrender its sovereignty to say the United Nations were Congress becomes a second rate gathering with little power. The majority of laws in Europe come from Brussels, not local government. What Obama just told the British people demonstrates this is precisely opposite of what Margaret Thatcher stood up against which was the political surrender of the British to Brussels. What Hitler could not do with bombs, Cameron hands Europe without a thought.

Queen opens parliament

BREXITThe question is why has Obama told the British to effectively get rid of the Royal Family for there should be no residual sovereignty remaining in Britain? Upon election, the Prime Minister goes to the Queen to ask permission to head Parliament. It is the Queen who opens Parliament. The Queen’s Speech sets out the government’s agenda for the coming session. Handing power to Brussels nullifies the role of the Queen. Why does Cameron not even ask the Queen?

Without Britain, there is no European Union left standing. Europe is absolutely doomed for Draghi will not reverse his policies which are starting to lead to chaos within the EU and Germany realizes that pensions and the elderly are being destroyed by Draghi’s policies.

Hanover Protest TTIP 4-23-2016

As Obama is telling the Brits to get at the “back of the queque” for a trade agreement, protests are erupting against TTIP everywhere. As Obama visited Britain, thousands were protesting against TTIP in Hannover, Germany. If Britain is to get to the “back of the queque”, that may be a very good thing. He is also full of shit for there are far more links between Britain and USA on trade than there are with Europe as a whole that go back centuries.

Influence and Affluence – The Insurgent Campaign Effect….


I was reading another blog yesterday and within the writing was an interesting thought. Picking up on Sundance’s USA aircraft carrier analogy what if we knew that the present Admiral and the ship’s captain had the carrier on a course that would take it into a class 5 plus hurricane. The crew didn’t know they danger they were in but the ships executive office (XO) did and was trying to get the Admiral to change course. The ships Captain a loyalist to the Admiral was bucking to be promoted to Admiral as the present Admiral was about to retire. The ship’s captain an aggressive female would be the first naval Admiral in change of a fleet and so she was ignoring the hurricane danger as to bring it up would embarrass the present Admiral. So the XO was faced with conducting a mutiny to save the ship or letting the ship stay on course and let the captain deal with the potential loss. The quandary would be that if the mutiny happened after it was too late to change course he would be blamed for the loss — so what should he do.
Trump is now in the same position as the XO I just described we are headed for some really rough times and if he cannot communicate the issues properly like say Churchill did as Briton was entering WW II he would be faced with being blamed for the financial collapse that appears to be building. Just like Bush was blamed for the housing and market collapse in 2008 even though neither were his fault.

BREXIT


BREXIT On Schedule

 

BREXITThere is talk that Obama may go to Britain to express support for Cameron’s position on Britain remaining in the EU, even though it will surrender its sovereignty to do so. The USA would NEVER agree to such terms itself. How could anyone tell Britain to surrender its very soul to the insanity of Brussels, as if they have done such a wonderful job? The EU is being eaten alive from the inside and now 66% of Germans are against Merkel. Yet, Britain should surrender everything to this madness? It has been 43 years since Britain entered the EU. It did quite well before 1973. If Britain remains in the EU, well, these people have already passed laws against short-selling. They will destroy London as a financial hub and reduce it to a third world status.

We will be issuing a special report on Britain given the serious of what is at stake.

Since the issue is sovereignty being surrendered, the queen should rightfully say yes or no as well.

Central Banks Are Trapped – Higher Interest Rates the Only Answer?


Reserve Bank Australia Glenn Stevens

COMMENT: Marty, well it looks like you have done it. The central banks are going to start raising interest rates right in line with your model. It is interesting how your computer puts the entire world before you to see. Keep up the good work. They obviously are starting to follow you.

SS

REPLY: I do not think that the central banks are simply beginning to follow us. Yes, they all probably read us no doubt. But make no mistake about it, they are going to raise rates not because of our model, but because they have no choice. Low interest rates have wiped out pension funds and destroyed the living standards of the elderly. These people are clueless and should never have followed Larry Summers down this path of absolute hell. The comments of Glenn Stevens, the meeting between Yellen and Obama, and the criticism starting to surface against Draghi at the ECB is the realization that interest rates must be “normalized” (raised) but they have created a nightmare for governments are addicted to low interest rates and their budget will explode and we will see a sharp rising in taxes from 2017 onward.

We will be putting out a very important special report. What is going on behind the curtain right now is state pensions are lobbying Congress to make it MANDATORY that everyone (not just government employees) contribute to state pension systems. They want to takeover your 401K and manage everything robbing your saving to pay for unfunded liabilities to state workers. This is how they are looking to bail themselves out. This is the dark side post-2017. This is going on right now and it is still all hush hush.

CBDUSA-Y 2015

All the markets from metals to equities and oil, have pushed right to the limits. Almost all markets are approaching their key target resistance and reversals. Even silver has rallied to the Weekly Bullish at 1719 followed by 1775 just below last year’s high of 1850.5 causing the silver/gold ratio to bounce from resistance. The Dow has done almost the exact same type of move reaching the Bullish Reversals just beneath last year’s high. Gold has done the same thing stopping just 30 cents from the Weekly Bullish Reversal at 1287.50 shy of last year’s high of 1307.80. Of course oil has not come close to last year’s high of 62.58.

The point is, when we extract the emotion and opinion which is incompatible with forecasting, the entire purpose of our model is to provide a very black and white perspective without the hype and emotion that causes losses. We know when to get excited and when to hold back. Nearly 90% of people investing lose money because they are victims of their own emotion. Let the markets show you the trend. They are never wrong, only people. Over the years I have personally noticed that when it is the MOST difficult even for me to stand firm and I begin to question will it break through, that is precisely when it does not. So if the markets can move to such an extreme that even I get that feeling inside OMG, is this correct, that is when it is right in spades. This is an emotional game and people trade emotionally to their own demise.

So step back, we have the time and numbers. Just let the markets do what they do best. Never ANTICIPATE for that is how you buy the high or sell the low.