The Sixth Wave


Sixth-WaveECM

QUESTION: Marty; You do realize you correctly forecast the takeover boom and the reversal in trend in 1985 followed by the peak of Japan to the day and the fall of communism with your 1989.95 peak in the ECM. Then with 1998.55 you forecast the collapse of Russia and were named hedge fund manager of the year. They threw your ass in contempt for that one. Then they called 2007.15 peaking the peak in the Schiller real estate index to the day Armstrong’s Revenge. Then 2015.75 you declared it was the peak in government and you said 8.6 month into this cycle it would be the EU. You were the only one who has ever done this and you yourself wondered if the computer would be right with BREXIT or would they rig the game. Your forecast for the War Cycle picked Ukraine before it happened and your political model forecast the rise of anti-establishment for 2016. What are they going to do to you now with the demise of the EU? Will they ever listen? The press should be knocking down your door. The fact that they are not is indicative of their own corruption. Is it possible they will simply never listen?

ANSWER: I would like to think they would listen to a viable solution. It would be nice to take that next step up in knowledge as we did 300 years ago during the Age of Enlightenment. Cyclically, the time is right. We are due on the 309.6-year wave. However, this is also the sixth wave and things are fractal. My fear is that government will try to cling to power and bring us into a Dark Age.

This is the climax between good and evil so to speak. These people have to stop. They are risking it all.

President Obama Signs Paul Ryan Bill and Immediately Suspends 5th Amendment…


Add to this the language in the NDAA section 1032 ans 1033 and PC (anti free speech the 1st amendment and the only one still standing, and just barrel is the 2nd amendment. The 2nd is the hardest one to take down but they have no chose but to try; hopefully at least a quarter of the military will be on our side but I would not count on it so it will be civil war and worse than the first one.

Trump Rally – Did You See What Happened In Bangor Maine?…


I travel a fair amount in Cleveland mostly in what use to be the solid middle calls areas, now turning into waste lands. The first think one notices is that not only are the manufacturing companies gone but so are the buildings; turned into “green” spaces. With what ever is left if you go in and talk with someone like yesterday when I paid for a wheel alignment and some other work the owner said I saw you are for Trump (I had a sticker in the car window) and you are a vet so I’m going to knock off $50. We had a nice chat and he told me that his wife, a Democrat, would never vote for Hillary for what she did to all Bill’s girl friends. She doesn’t so much like Trump as she hates Hillary. I think there are more like her than people think.

Paul Nehlen Money Bomb Fundraiser…


I would really be nice if all of them were taken down but Ryan in particular should be voted out!

Chairman Trey Gowdy and Select Benghazi Committee Press Conference…


As a former military officer in Special Operations familiar with the planning of operations I can tell you with 100% certainty that the state there were no assets “Close Enough” to be of assets is 100% BS. There are two reasons for the the most important one was the no one knew how long the battle would last. Number two is the military has rapid action forces stationed all over the world ready to go on a moments notice. The fact that no assets were sent means that Washington didn’t want them sent for even if they didn’t get there till it was over the attempt would have been made. Since no one in Washington knew how long the battle would last and they still did nothing it was strictly a politic decision to protect Obama and Hillary for their incompetence. Unfortunately we now have a military that we can no long trust as it is now only an extension of the Presidents personal servants. This is not the military i was in!

The Rising Trend of Anti-Establishment and Civil Unrest


Military Exercises Civil Unrest

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Your model on civil unrest and war seem to be rather amazing. The anti-establishment feeling is rising quite strong. Not sure what’s going on with Trump. It looks like the Republicans are still trying to prevent him from being the candidate. All the money is going to Hillary. Government is becoming very aggressive. It seems their police and military will turn against the people. Do you have anything showing this?

ANSWER: Every single government agency is arming itself. Even the IRS has AR-15 military-style rifles, and domestic agencies are armed to the teeth. In America, there are more domestic agents armed with weapons than there are Marines. There are more than 200,000 non-Defense Department federal officers authorized to make arrests and carry firearms. The federal government has tripled the number of agents carrying weapons to defend the government in the past 20 years. They know what is coming. They know the socialistic system they constructed is collapsing. Instead of reform, they are digging in their heels, prepared to plow down any domestic uprising. They have been staging military-like drills in U.S. cities against civil unrest. Obama imposed a “litmus test” on military leaders to ask if they would shoot civilians.

On the evening of Monday, August 18, 2014, the U.S. Army commenced military exercises in Minneapolis and St. Paul, Minnesota. MH-60 variant Black Hawk helicopters buzzed through the downtown and residential areas of the two Midwestern cities, as reported by CBS local news. This shocking event was actually a repeat of the August 2012 exercises we previously reported. The U.S. Special Operations Command conducted exercises until the beginning of September along with police from Minneapolis and St. Paul using helicopters, including Black Hawks.

They know what is coming. The establishment by no means wants to see Trump in the White House. His is not one of them and they fear he will side with the people and reform government, right down to the pervasive nepotism. We are in a battle with very high stakes.

The Three Faces of Inflation – When is Real – Real?


3FACESn of Inflation

QUESTION:

Hi Marty,
Will future rate hikes from the Fed cause banks to move more money out of the Fed and into the commercial banking system, creating inflation?
Thanks Jack

Fed Excess ReservesANSWER: No. Future inflation will not be demand driven, but asset driven. Retail participation, both in the States and from Europe, in the US share market is at historic lows. This is why the market cannot crash. Where’s the bubble? As long as the Fed continues this crazy policy of accommodating the bankers by paying for excess reserve deposits, banks will continue to hoard. The rate was 0.25% and the Fed raised the rate to 0.5%. This is really stupid. It is why there has been no inflation from Quantitative Easing.

All of these gurus assumed that the Fed’s balance sheet would cause huge inflation because they just read headlines and do not comprehend how the system really works. Their assumption was that all this money would spark inflation, which they only see, and the 1970s demand inflation into 1980. The money never made it to the people. The bankers were paid to HOARD that cash, which shows that the Fed is really insane.

If the Fed honestly wants to “stimulate,” it should eliminate paying interest on excess reserves. Then the banks will take that money and have to earn something the good old fashion way – by lending it out. That is the only way you can see “demand” inflation. Otherwise, we are looking at asset inflation to protect money value instead of inflation spiraling out of consumer demand.

Currency inflation is when the currency declines so the assets rise in proportion. This is not actually a gain in real terms; rather it is how tangible assets act as a hedge against government. You will often hear gold will soar to $10,000. The question would be that type of rally would be profitless. Your monthly rent on a condo would probably be $10,000. Everything is relative.

COLD ANGER – Entire Institutional Systems Will Be Dispatched Like a Feather In a Hurricane…


I see the same thing and I see support for Trump every where I go. No one that I know believes anything the medial puts out and even some on the other side are now getting worried — they do have kids as well so its getting personal not abstract. This has to play out if they try to stop the movement there will be a 2nd civil war in they don’t try to stop it and any Democrat gets in the Republic is finished. With all the changes that have been made over the past 15 years there is enough junk passed into law now that a President could easily become a dictator. Our only hope is the Trump gets in and fixes things — my only fear is that he doesn’t see how bad it really is.

Dow – Down & Dirty?


DJIND-W 6-25-2016

The Dow has been bouncing off the Reversals as well. Despite being above 17800, it would fail to close above that. The question becomes WHEN will the Dow breakout to test new highs with the next target zone in the 21,000 to 23,000 area? With the closing on Friday below the first Minor Weekly Bearish at 17434, the Dow should move a bit lower now to test the 17120 level. We have a serious gap there after both technically and on our Reversal system. We can yet see a thrust to test the 15000 zone before turning back up again. The numbers tell us when the big moves will come. But we need not move down that far. We can hold technically the 16900 level, fail to elect any reversals, and the flip back up.

The key to all the markets is CONFIDENCE. We are witnessing a global revolution against career politicians. BREXIT is the first of four critical elections we have been warning about. There is no real chance of a major stock market crash because retail participation (both domestic and foreign) is at historic lows. There is no retail market that would panic. The “professionals” are baffled trying to figure this mess out watching the Fed and reading headlines. More hedge funds are closing because performance is collapsing. Opinion really drives the bulk of investment and nobody is getting this right because there is nobody who has ever lived during such a period. Those in search of guru will lost everything. The ONLY way to trade this mess is DISPASSIONATELY and just go by the numbers. The market is the only one that is never wrong.

Sling-Shot Move

 

Sling-Shot-RThe slingshot is coming. These four elections will change the perspective of government for the next few decades. Those in power will fight back tooth and nail. You can see it. Republican Elite hate Trump just as the Democratic Elite hated Bernie. Both represented upsetting the apple cart. Nevertheless, we are looking at a serious issue here. The slingshot comes WHEN everyone realizes the future will not be anything they dreamed of. The negative interest rates are destroying pension funds, Central banks have lost control and credibility, and socialism is dying very hard because government is consuming the bulk to fund its own pensions. The slingshot comes when people realize governments are collapsing. Then there will be the mad rush into all private assets.

The Contagion Begins


 

3-FOREX

Brussels will try to now punish Britain as they punished the Greeks for daring to vote against them. Our sources are already saying the attitude behind the curtain is turning nasty as in how dare those “limies” vote to leave. The derogatory remains off camera are telling. Brussels will try to be hard on the Brits because there are already movements to enter referendums to leave the EU surfacing in the Netherlands, France and the Northern League in Italy. Indeed, the Brits just slapped the face of those elitists in Brussels who refuse to see they are ever wrong. It is always everyone else’ fault. The entire EU project has gone way too far. It is no longer about trade – it is an autocratic anti-democratic establishment hell bent on federalizing Europe.