Cool stuff. Elon Musk has 72 million followers on the Twitter, and he just told them he supports the Freedom Convoy.
The rebels in Canada are also sharing new videos:https://www.youtube.com/embed/zSMEa2Ox2LE?feature=oembed
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Last year, when CTH discussed the original Kraft-Heinz wholesale notification for January 2022, we warned it was only the first round. The reason for waves of price increases is specifically, because each of the processed food categories is impacted differently depending on the amount of processing involved. Each category is different.
This understanding is why we warned everyone in October of last year to make as much preparation as possible for waves of food inflation. The original notification for contracted terms in 30, 60 and 90 days was +20%. Meaning this month, on those group and sectors, prices to retailers went up by 20%, and you are seeing that in the supermarket now.
For the next wave, Kraft-Heinz is telling wholesalers the fulfillment shipments arriving in March will be up to +30% on the next categories. Oscar Mayer proteins will be the biggest increase at the top end (+30%), Maxwell House coffee on the lower end (+5-10%) and the juice and drink category around +20%. [A $5 beverage pack will cost $6 in a few short weeks.]
The processing sector is still dealing with cumulative cost increases. The fulfillment terms are still catching up with the increased costs. These announcements are ON TOP OF the current price increases we are feeling. We are entering hyper-inflation.
If you look at the notification timing from Kraft foods, January 24th, you will see the categories we predicted to come next are the exact categories being outlined in this wave.
(VIA ABC) […] The increases range from 6.6% on 12oz Velveeta Fresh Packs to 30% on a three-pack of Oscar Mayer turkey bacon. Most cold cuts and beef hot dogs will go up around 10% and coffee around 5%. Some Kool-Aid and Capri Sun drink packs will increase by about 20%.
“As we enter 2022, inflation continues to dramatically impact the economy,” Kraft Heinz said in a letter dated January 24 to at least one of its wholesale customers that was viewed by CNN Business. The wholesaler shared the letter on the condition of anonymity to protect the company’s relationship with its suppliers.
[…] If retailers decide to pass on any of the increased costs, these items will be more expensive for shoppers in stores. US consumer prices rose 7% annually in December, the steepest climb in 39 years. Kraft Heinz has already raised prices on some of these same foods in recent months.
In October, the company said it would increase prices on Oscar Mayer cold cuts and hot dogs. In November, it said prices on Oscar Mayer beef, lean beef and Angus hot dogs, cheese dogs and other products would go up by around 9%.
But since those November hikes, Kraft Heinz said in the letter, it has faced “constrained supply, logistic bottlenecks and weather-driven crop losses.” The company’s costs have increased, including on raw ingredients and freight, leading it to bump prices yet again. (read more)
These same major manufacturers are the same companies that make the “off label” or “private label” products that are sold under various retail brand names. After the big guns raise their prices, the private label price increases will come in the next wave, because they are made by the same people using the same raw materials and the same processes.
Keep in mind the points we noted in December:
(1) The outlined price increases noted are against current price terms and contracts. Meaning, these are price increases from right now to the next fulfillment. These are not inflation price increases which are compared to a year ago. These are increases from the current price right now.
(2) The price increases are not the final price increase. This is the price of a contract today from the field to the distribution center. The retailer also has additional price increases (transportation, energy, labor, etc) which they need to add to the wholesale price before you see the final price at retail (grocery store).
The final field to fork price is not yet known but will be higher than noted above. We are only seeing the notifications from field through processing and into warehousing and distribution.
Additionally, the more an item needs to be processed, the higher the price increase will be. Food items that require multiple raw materials, ingredients and bases for processing (ex. condiments), when combined with increased packaging costs (oil, energy), will be much higher than foods with less processing, handling and packaging.
This has always been the nature of this specific supply chain.
Example: Many products, food, drinks and even cleaning products, contain citrus bases, additives, flavorings and distillation. Those products will be much higher in price due to the price increases in raw materials, combined with higher energy and petroleum costs. It is an issue of cumulative price increases in the production of the product from beginning to end.
CTH has recommended preparing for these massive increases in 2022 prices, by thinking about the base products you use to make meals at home and holding an extra supply of shelf stable products, so you won’t hit the grocery store and face those massive increases.
A working class family, who typically spends $200 to $300 a week on groceries, is already getting hammered at the gas pumps and grocery store. Another $50 to $100 bucks on top of the grocery bill each week can be very stressful.
Even if you don’t have kids at home, perhaps your adult children have kids. Your proactive position can help them, perhaps your neighbors and others, at times of greatest need. Pride can often stop people from asking for help, so look behind the eyes of those who hesitate to accept it.
The price increases will not only hit retail grocers hard, but they will also hit restaurant and industrial food supply companies like Sysco. Food away from home will increase in price, because the food suppliers are all experiencing the same price increases.
Food, fuel and energy price increases will continue to be the most impactful problem into 2022. The problem will compound, because buying offices of the large multinational corporations enter this phase of consumer and commodity squeeze by looking to leverage their size for competitive advantage.
Large multinationals will make advance order purchases today at higher prices. Advanced purchasing becomes a competitive advantage, and they leverage that in the supply chain. The downstream consequence is a material shortage, because the commodity is wiped out, which drives up the price and then those same multinationals execute distribution to a higher profit.
This gaming of inventory for profit, or inventory evaluation/capitalization, is a less discussed outcome of rapid inflation. Multinationals have deep pockets, and they can maximize profits by executing advanced purchase orders to lock in commodity prices. Unfortunately, the little guys have a tough time competing against them when the inventories dry up.
While the examples above all relate to fast turn consumable goods, the same purchasing leverage is used by large corporations on durable goods. Retailers, large and small, then begin competing to secure inventories while supplies are limited; this too drives up prices. It’s a hot mess of competition that squeezes the consumer even harder.
The only thing that stops this process is the inevitable collapse in demand, but that outcome sucks also. In the interim, I hope and pray to have provided y’all with enough advanced notification so that all of us can ride this inflation storm out just a teensy bit better than if we didn’t know it was coming.
As the Canadian ‘Freedom Convoy’ of truckers pushing back against COVID mandates, forced vaccinations and government regulations gets closer to Ottawa, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announces he will be isolating at home after exposure to the COVID ‘Protest Avoidance‘ variant.
Trudeau admits he has not tested positive, but thinks it is prudent to stay home just in case.
The fundraiser for the Freedom Convoy now exceeds $6.3 million dollars and still climbing. It is estimated that somewhere north of 50,000 vehicles are participating in the convoy. The Canadian government is very concerned about the political ramifications.
Canada-Unity Site Here ~ Rebel News Site Here ~ Facebook Group Here
(Via Global News) – […] Truckers and supportive protesters are heading to Ottawa from east and west parts of the country, as well as from southern Ontario where routes were scheduled to depart from several locations Thursday including Windsor, Sarnia, Niagara and Toronto, according to the organizers’ website.
[…] Among the topics at-issue for demonstrators is the Canadian government’s COVID-19 vaccine mandate for cross-border truckers to avoid quarantine.
Mike Fabinski, a truck driver from Barrie, Ont., said the vaccine mandate for cross-border truckers means he won’t be able to work cross-border routes anymore. “You want to be vaccinated, go ahead, your choice. I don’t want to be vaccinated, that’s my choice,” he said.
[…] The protest also now seems to be targeting COVID-related mandates generally, beyond the one for cross-border truckers.
“What I’m calling for is basically lockdowns and restrictions to be lifted like the rest of the world is starting to do,” protester Mark Smith told Global News in Drumbo, Ont.
“There’s a freedom movement actually across the world right now and we’re all getting together just trying to get our lives back. And we’re hoping with all this rally and freedom convoy going on, we’ll accomplish this.” (read more)
These are the results of a grassroots demonstration that has evolved into something far bigger than any of the organizers originally envisioned. I am reminded of Pope John Paul’s visit to Poland in the ’80s, when the solidarity movement first glimpsed the size of their unity. They took to the streets, looked around at the crowds, and realized for the first time there are more of us than them… and then things changed quickly. Hopefully for the Canadian people this convoy protest is a similar inflection point in history.
We have been tracking the issue of U.S. port congestion, supply chain crises and the White House supply chain initiatives since they first surfaced last fall. We finally have full data to review, and what we see is very disturbing. Not only was the White House supply chain effort a fraud, but they also manipulated the port system to give a false impression of the U.S. economy.
Let’s start with the latest issue.
For several weeks, we have been trying to figure out why the Port of Los Angeles (POLA), our nation’s busiest and most valuable port, had delayed their reporting for December.
Normally they update their container statistics and port efficiency/productivity results between the 10th and 15th of the month. However, this month the data was delayed by several weeks.
When we finally grew frustrated and asked the POLA about this ridiculous delay, they responded January 25th, saying: “Good morning. Data from one vessel has delayed final numbers. We plan on releasing numbers today or tomorrow.”
The POLA justification and timing seemed odd, and their explanation seemed fishy. One container ship manages to delay the entire POLA result? However, this morning after checking and seeing still no result we realized what was going on.
The Bureau of Economic Analysis released the U.S. 4th Quarter GDP result (link). The value of imported goods is a deduction to the U.S. GDP. If the biggest port in the U.S. holds back their import cargo data, the resulting information cannot be deducted from the GDP. Missing data gives an artificial outlook for the GDP. Put another way, the 4th quarter GDP is inflated by the missing deduction.
From the position of the Biden administration, there is a perverse economic motive to keep all those import cargo ships from arriving.
Would the Port of Los Angeles intentionally hold back data in order to help the White House give a false and more optimistic impression of the U.S. economy? At first blush it might seem a stretch, but then – as if on cue – a few hours after the BEA made the public release, suddenly the Port of Los Angeles released their December data. In politics timing is never coincidental.
Yes, it is entirely possible, I would actually say likely, the BEA fourth quarter outlook is skewed by a bunch of factors, one of them being the missing December import data from Los Angeles.
This suspicion increases when we realize the ideological outlook behind the people running the Port of Los Angeles, the politics of California and the influence of White House supply chain taskforce member John Porcari as Ports Envoy.
Additionally, right about the time POLA would normally generate their data in January, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg traveled to the Port of Los Angeles for a supply chain initiative briefing and press conference.
Given the political issues and importance at stake for Joe Biden – yes, it is entirely likely the White House influenced a December port reporting delay for two reasons. First, to help the illusion of better economic picture; and second, because the White House port supply chain initiative was a fraud.
The second point takes us back to the reason why we were tracking this issue to begin with.
In October and November, the Biden administration was touting its port supply chain initiative as a fix to the backlog at the ports. {October Initiative Here} and {November Update Here}. Calling it, “a series of public and private commitments to move more goods faster, and strengthen the resiliency of our supply chains, by moving towards 24/7 operations at the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach.”
Despite these claims from the White House, the ports never moved forward to 24/7 operations. Factually, the operational productivity at both the Port of Los Angeles and the Port of Long Beach dropped.
The ports handled less cargo, off-loaded less cargo and did absolutely nothing to remove the port congestion that was created by the local and state environmental ordinances.
On January 19th, the Port of Long Beach (POLB) released its data {LINK}. What the statistics show, is that less cargo is being handled now than it was when the 24/7 port operation announcement was made:
As noted earlier today, the Port of Los Angeles finally released their data {LINK} and the same is true (see below).
The White House claimed hours of operation expanded to increase capacity, yet fewer containers are being handled at both ports.
The outcomes speak for themselves. Both the Port of Los Angeles and Port of Long Beach handled less cargo and fewer containers in the two months after the “new expanded operations” were announced, than in October when the expanded supply chain operations were announced. There is no improvement at all. Less cargo is being handled.
Perhaps the administration did not expect anyone to check when they claimed on November 29th:
“The Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach—which handle 40 percent of the country’s containerized imports—continue to show improvement in moving containers out of the docks and into warehouses.” [White House link]
Despite what the White House Supply Chain Disruption Taskforce is claiming, the actual records from the ports do not concur. Someone is clearly lying, and/or not expecting anyone to check. Now, here’s where it gets really Machiavellian.
There’s a strong possibility the White House did not expect anyone to notice, because part of their logistical scheme involved telling the ship operators to wait further offshore so that it would give the illusion of less congestion near port:
CALIFORNIA – […] “Starting Nov. 16, ships waiting to anchor at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach will have to wait for a green light about 150 miles from the coast, the Pacific Merchant Shipping Assn., the Pacific Maritime Assn. and the Marine Exchange of Southern California said in a statement Thursday. That compares with 20 nautical miles (23 miles) now. North- and southbound vessels must remain more than 50 miles from the state’s coastline.” (read more)
That announcement was followed up by Oakland port officials when Pete Buttigieg made his trip earlier this month.
OAKLAND – […] Following its success in Southern California, the new system is being expanded to the Bay Area. Ships will wait 50 miles off the coast in a safety and air quality zone until their scheduled arrival time at the Port.
The new system became effective Monday. Ships will get an arrival time based on when they left their last port of call. Before Monday, ships were given an arrival time when they were fewer than 80 nautical miles from the coast.
The new system will allow ships to take their time getting to Oakland, reducing emissions while at sea. It will also allow more space between vessels at sea, making shipping safer especially in the winter when storms are brewing.
“The resounding success of the new container vessel queuing system in Southern California has set the stage for this expansion to the Bay Area,” said Jim McKenna, president and CEO of the Pacific Maritime Association, which represents maritime companies that do business on the West Coast, in a statement. “This updated system has reduced the number of vessels at anchor near our ports.” (read more)
We call this “Operation Hide the Ships.”
What the White House supply chain taskforce did was move the line of awaiting cargo ships further offshore to make them less visible. Then the White House just started making up talking points about productivity at the ports increasing and capacities expanding; neither claim is based on facts that surface in the actual operations of the ports.
The purpose of telling the ships to await their port time in a queue farther offshore is transparent. The Biden administration wants to give the illusion they eliminated the bottleneck of container ships. Out of sight is out of mind.
Operation ‘Hide the Ships’ allows the administration to make claims about port efficiencies and increased productivity that are abjectly false. The data from the two months after the October announcement shows less container offloading and onloading happened in November and December than happened in the prior month of October when the new initiatives were announced.
To sum this all up. What we have here is an obvious situation where not only did the Biden administration manipulate a false impression of a port supply chain improvement, they also leveraged the import product reporting delay to inflate U.S. economic statistics.
Knowing that, what else are they lying about?
Earlier Outlines and citations:
The Bureau of Economic Analysis released the Fourth Quarter GDP (Q4) data today [DATA HERE], and the White House will likely spin a victory message. However, the real economic picture is covered by the continued storm of inflation.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the dollar value of all goods and services produced in the economy, minus the dollar value of goods and services we import. The percentages discussed are percentages of change over time.
The fourth quarter result was an increase of 6.9 percent over the prior quarter.
The total U.S. economy is now estimated around $23 trillion annually. [Tables pdf Here]
What the GDP doesn’t show is the diminished purchasing value of the dollar and/or the actual rate of inflation which towers over the valuation. With goods and services costing much more, the estimated value of those goods and services (the amount of money spent on them) increases.
Because we are in a severe inflationary cycle, the resulting evaluations of the economy are skewed. The BEA attempts to remove the inflationary impact of their evaluations, but they do so by using a 5.5% inflationary rate, which is a much lower inflation estimate than actually exists.
Essentially, there is so much inflationary noise in the prices of goods and services, any calculations by the government are simply estimates of what they think the value of the underlying economic activity is worth. Bean counters are paid to count beans with rules on what each bean is worth. If the rules are wrong, the valuation result from the counters is wrong.
To give you an idea of how far these figures can be flawed, let me share an example of costs from a company and sector that touches all our lives.
DOW chemical is likely the one company in the world that generates more originating products and raw materials than any other. DOW touches your life and is likely the raw material provider for almost everything around you. DOW generates petroleum chemicals, plastics, rubber and solvents that are in virtually everything.
From cars, clothes and furniture to plastics, Styrofoam and containers, DOW is the originating manufacturer of almost all of it. Dow provides the originating material in the supply chain that is then carried forward into all levels of manufacturing.
One sentence from Dow is all you need to see to understand what the current rate of inflation is within the supply chain:
“Prices climbed 39% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, while volumes fell 4%.” (link)
The cost of producing and processing the industrial products that Dow handles jumped 39%. Those massive increases in costs are at the very beginning of the supply chain. Those prices are then passed along to the next level of manufacturing, and then the next level of component creation, and then the next level of assembly, until a final product is created, sold, transported and delivered to the seller.
The beginning product, the raw material, starts with a 39% increase in price. That is the scale of origin level inflation that works its way through the system until it finally reaches us.
Notice, Dow also said the net volume of their product outputs “fell 4%.” So, they made less stuff at a much higher price.
Take that example and overlay it into the GDP consideration. Remember, the GDP isn’t a measure of the actual outputs of stuff created, the Bureau of Economic Analysis is only measuring the aggregate value of the stuff, ie. what it’s worth.
Did our economy expand at 6.9% in the fourth quarter? Or are we just seeing the increased valuation of goods and services, while the actual outputs in the economy are shrinking?
Did you pay 20% more at the grocery store and leave with 20% more food stuff? Or did you pay 20% more at the checkout and leave with the same or less food stuff than previous?
I think we all know the answer to those questions.
Checkbook economics is the only economics that matters.
The Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT) is employed by over 11,000 institutions across 200 countries and serves as the messaging domain for financial institutions to exchange funds. This crucial tool was implemented to replace the Teleprinter Exchange, known as Telex, back in 1973 as the Telex system became technologically obsolete. SWIFT has also become a leverage tool for sanctions as the United Nations and member states may limit access to the network to enforce international law.
It happened to Iran from 2012 to 2016 under the Obama Administration due to Iran’s nuclear program with measures reimplemented down the line. The idea was to cut off Iran’s banking system to outside funds, leading to coercion by economic pressure. Abdolnaser Hemmati who was at the head of Iran’s central bank said, “We were expecting these sanctions, so we had plans in place for them and beyond … considering the possibility of banks being disconnected from SWIFT we have considered alternatives to replace it.” Former US Treasury Steven Mnuchin threatened to sanction SWIFT itself if they did not comply. “SWIFT is no different than any other entity. We have advised SWIFT that it must disconnect any Iranian financial institutions that we designate as soon as technologically feasible to avoid sanctions exposure,” Mnuchin threatened.
Iran was already isolated from most global financial networks at the time, but now the idea of cutting off Russia is being touted in Washington. Kurt Volker, former United States Special Representative for Ukraine Negotiations, deemed removing Russia from the SWIFT system as the “nuclear option.” He says this with good reason. The measure was considered when Russia annexed Crimea, but Russia said they would not simply comply. Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev assured the public that removing Russia from the SWIFT system “would in fact be a declaration of war.”
Removing Russia from SWIFT would hurt its trading partners. First, it will spook the markets and the uncertainty will lead to volatility. International companies conducting business with Russia would be forced to halt many transactions. Investors may rush out of the ruble, disrupting international capital flows. The EU heavily relies on Russian energy and retaliatory measures could spell disaster.
Russia has quietly been developing its own version of SWIFT since 2014 called the System for Transfer of Financial Messages, which now delivers around 20% of domestic transfers. However, the Kremlin will likely not accept removal from the SWIFT system as Iran did and this measure could very well be considered a declaration of war.
QUESTION: Hi. We are currently in a matter before the courts involving our eldest child. His biological father wants him to get the vaccine against the wishes of his mother. They claim his condition (hemophilia) puts him at higher risk. Obviously, we know that this is not the case, but we’re wondering if you could give advice on what road to go down in regards to supporting evidence as to why he should not get the vaccine as an 8yo child. I’m sure there are many other parents in the same boat. Much appreciated.
ANSWER: I am not a doctor and I do not pretend to be like Bill Gates and Joe Biden. I am posting this for any lawyers willing to help on this issue, I will be glad to put you in contact. The claims asserted by the father must be challenged to where he should prove his argument that the vaccine will somehow benefit him when COVID has already run its course and OMICRON is more like the flu. My family has all gone through COVID including children under 10 years old.
The World Federation of Hemophilia (WFH) has already made an advisor stated that “People with bleeding disorders are not at greater risk of contracting COVID-19 or developing
a severe form of the disease, so they are not considered a priority group for vaccination.”
I do not see any research that would support his claim that the child would be at greater risk from COVID. I did not spend all day researching this question, but I suggest that this avenue should be addressed. This would reduce the argument to if the vaccines actually do work and provide protection that they are already back-tracking claiming it would only reduce the symptoms and not prevent the disease.
Fauci has been desperate to even confiscate Ivermectin shipment into the USA because his only solution is not treatment, but vaccination. Ivermectin is being used outside the USA and the studies are positive. Numerous doctors have been calling for real studies on this drug. New research out of Israel has found that administering the anti-parasite drug ivermectin to COVID19 patients may help to drastically reduce the duration of infections – and all for less than $1 a day.
My personal skepticism derives not from vaccines, I had my children vaccinated. My concern is (1) I know that Klaus Schwab told people a virus was coming in advance, and I was given the very code used to justify lockdowns and the computer program was a joke. Bill Gates-funded that code. In fact, not a single program funded by Bill Gates which made these dire forecasts was ever correct. Once governments were BRIBED by lobbyists to mandate vaccines around the world, and the media has joined in along with people like Howard Stern and Neil Young, I cannot see where any rational person would trust Big Pharma or government. Now that the politicians got involved, they are putting everyone’s life at risk because politicians will NEVER admit they EVER made a mistake.
I have ZERO respect for anyone who just accepts whatever the government Big Pharma has to say and NEVER question anything? These are the lowest intelligent people on the planet and if the vaccines were really some plot to reduce the population (which I do not believe), then they would be wiping out the stupidity among society leaving behind those who would question their every move. I would think the plot would be more like Stalin – kill the smart ones. As for people like Howard Stern – keep getting those boosters for your vaccine does not work beyond 3 months!
The data is coming in from Scotland, Britain, Israel, and Denmark which are four of the world’s most highly vaccinated countries. They all have 90% adult Covid vaccination rates and 60% adult boosters. Despite these statistics, the vast majority of deaths are occurring in vaccinated people!
Finally, the CDC has released a new study that finally acknowledges what numerous independent studies have found over the past year: Natural immunity from prior COVID-19 infection provides stronger protection against the virus than the COVID vaccines. Fauci has been dragging his heels to hide what every doctor knows. If you get the flu, you do NOT then run out and get a vaccine so you do not get the flu again. That is what our body does – it fights infections and it learns from its past battles.
Click here to read the CDC’s full report.
When the Black Death came during the 14th century, yes it killed up to 50% of the population but that varied from region to region. The survivors developed natural immunity. For Fauci to wait for the 3rd year of COVID, is highly suspicious. He has tried desperately to lash out at anyone who dared to suggest that natural immunity even existed. For that reason, he just seemed to be totally untrustworthy and then he appeared in a video for Klaus Schwab claiming our #1 crisis was inequality to support this Marxist agenda. Fauci, in my opinion, has done everything to make this pandemic as bad as it could possibly be for no medical reason whatsoever.
Keep an eye on this story folks; there’s something else here.
The FDA decision to block COVID-19 treatment options is very sketchy, and I sense that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis knows the science will not support the Biden administration. This story -when exposed- has the potential to bring down the Biden administration, big time… DeSantis senses it.
Earlier today, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis held a roundtable press conference with physicians, clinicians and other health officials in Florida to denounce the Biden FDA decision to revoke monoclonal antibody treatments as a therapeutic option. The FDA action was not only done without communication, but the decision was also made without study and without any input from the treatment side of the COVID-19 dynamic.
Here’s a brief segment of the DeSantis statement:
The full presser is below and is well worth watching to listen to the doctors who refute the FDA claim that monoclonal treatments do not assist patients with Omicron variant. Doctors have treated Omicron patients successfully with the monoclonal antibody treatments. The actual doctors who are treating the patients refute the FDA directly.
The input from Dr. Dwight Reynolds is very revealing. Something is very odd around this story.
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
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