Neil Oliver, The Reckoning Is Coming


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 22, 2022 | sundance | 250 Comments

Neil Oliver notices the subtle tidal shift that seems to be happening as more and more people are realizing the unscientific government COVID regulations having very detrimental consequences.

Perhaps it is the open proclamations of the medical establishment to chase a seemingly never-ending series of booster shots.  Perhaps it is the malleable definition of what it means to be vaccinated.  Perhaps it is because people are seeing a greater futility in mandates; or perhaps it is because the COVID passport consequences are now being followed to their natural conclusion.

Whatever the reason, the fickle tide has changed and now many leaders are left naked to their policy.  WATCH:

Professional Leftists Begin Trying to Retreat from the Consequences of Their COVID Nonsense


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 22, 2022 | sundance | 549 Comments

The professional political leftists are starting to rebrand themselves as having fallen victim to the “bureaucracy of COVID”, and according to those high-minded people who think very highly of themselves, we are supposed to embrace this new enlightenment from the same people who were demanding our acquiescence to their dictates.

This example of “THE AWAKENING” from an uber-progressive, Ms. Bari Weiss, on a television show, is supposed to be something I am told to appreciate.  WATCH:

I/We are expected to appreciate the same people who demanded our acquiescence to every policy that was created by their ridiculous fear, simply because they now admit ‘oops, my bad‘?   Sorry, not happening.

For two years they shoved their intolerant fingers in our faces, destroyed lives and livelihoods, made ridiculous demands in order to sustain their own fear, threatened our children, destroyed the economy, used COVID as an excuse to destroy families and steal an election, attempted to force us to kneel at the altar of their mask wearing and never-ending vaccine crap… and we’re just supposed to what, forgive them?

Fat chance.  That sound you heard was millions of us locking the door, turning around to face them, and now the reckoning is about to begin.

(more…)

Calgary Starts to Feel the Pain of U.S-Canada Government Vaccine Mandate on Truckers


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 22, 2022 | sundance | 282 Comments

It has only just begun.

Effective today, all U.S. and Canadian cross-border truckers must show their vaccination passport in order to deliver their loads.  Approximately 15% of Canadian truckers and approximately 50% of U.S. truckers are not vaccinated.   The logistics and distribution of food supplies into and out of Canada are collapsing.

Pay attention to the scale of impact in this example.  It will only take a few days for this to go from a problem to a full-blown crisis of epic proportions.

CALGARY –  “For the product to be right there and not being able to touch it, we’ve never seen it before in the 12 years that we’ve been open,” he said. “The U.S. is full of product, and we just can’t get it up here.”

The produce warehouse in Northeast Calgary routinely received two or three trucks a day to restock their shelves. Now, when they are attempting to import 80 to 90 per cent of their stock from the U.S., they are lucky to get one truck every two or three days.

[…] This has led to shortages in staples their customers have been accustomed to relying on them for like grapes, strawberries and citrus. When they can get some of those items, the price has gone up exponentially. Grapes that used to be 99 cents a pound are now running $4.99 a pound.

With the trucks Freestone can secure, they are focusing on vegetable deliveries, and the cost of those trucks has also skyrocketed. The average truck out of California pre-pandemic cost Freestone $6,000 to 7,000, now it’s costing them $9,000 to 11,000.

[…] Nash said the backlog is already starting to accumulate at the border, estimating about 100 loads a day, noting the Coutts crossing handles about 800 loads a day. (read more)

A Note About the DC Metro Area Food Store Shortages That Must Be Emphasized


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 22, 2022 | sundance | 264 Comments

I know most CTH readers are aware of the issue – the action and consequence side of things.  However, the current conditions in/around our nation’s capitol deserve to be emphasized in order to share with those who are not connecting the dots.

The shortage of food products, in/around the metro-DC area, is a direct consequence of that same area demanding Vaccination Passports to enter any venue providing “food away from home.”

The vaccine passport mandate blocks people from restaurants, dining, bars and other sources of food.  The process forces people into grocery stores where they are encountering shortages.

In essence, what we are seeing in the DC-Metro area is a microcosm of what previously happened nationally with shortages in food supplies and basic essentials.  The retail food delivery system in our nation is not designed or prepared to shift large numbers of people out of the “food away from home” lane and into the “food prepared at home lane.”  It really is that simple.

Even small percentages of demand shift in a very detailed and complex supply chain -already operating at maximum capacity- can have massive consequences.   One fractured gear tooth in a system of thousands of interconnected gears can bring the entire machine to a halt.

The DC outcome is an excellent example of bureaucracy and political policy being dictated by ‘elites’, out of touch leftists and governing officials, who do not have the skills to follow their policies to their natural conclusion.   This is also an example of private sector experts who are kowtowed and fearful of telling those government officials they are wrong.

There are people who have been saying for two years these supply chain issues will come to an uncomfortable reality if the policies are not reversed.  These are major socioeconomic outcomes that are downstream from dictates and fiats.  Reasonable and prudent voices have been downplayed, denied, cast aside and ignored while these insane leftist governmental policies have been executed.

Effective immediately, or at least as soon as possible, every venue that can provide food on a commercial basis must be removed from all COVID regulations, including vaccine passports.

Restaurants, school lunchrooms, cafeterias, industrial kitchens, hotels, bars, food trucks and every possible venue for the delivery of freshly cooked meals must immediately be reactivated, and all terms and conditions for visiting those venues, like “vaccine passports”, must be cancelled quickly.

If they are not, and worse, if the market restrictions are expanded beyond current status (example truck driver vaccine mandates), there is going to be a worsening retail food crisis as the total food supply chain begins to collapse even further.

If you want to learn more, or you need to share with family – REVIST THIS OUTLINE. 

If all governing officials in/around North America do not quickly reverse their position, things will get worse.

Hope is not a strategy.  Act, or be acted upon.

DC Mayor Muriel Bowser Asks Residents to Begin Voluntary Rationing of Food at Grocery Stores


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 22, 2022 | sundance | 391 Comments

For those of you who have prepared it is wise to remember the advice that always accompanies the final stages of preparation.  Once you are prepared, shut up, zip it, run silent and run deep.

The reason is simple comrades, when the “voluntary rationing” phase concludes, those who have prepared are quickly cast as ‘hoarders” and targeted by those who created the desperation.  It has always been thus.

DC Mayor and COVID Compliance Minister, Muriel Bowser, asks residents in/around her region to enter a phase of voluntary rationing.  What comes after the voluntary phase is the part many have been studiously preparing to avoid.

In the bigger picture… I find it rather revealing that only when leftist policies are followed to their natural conclusion do you see officials in the leftist economic system they created, a system not coincidentally always based on the outcome of scarcity, asking people not to engage in economic activity.

Chasing socialism always creates an outcome where the expressed intent from government is NOT to buy stuff, rationing.  Socialism, or leftism in its modern form, always creates scarcity; it is the diametrically opposite outcome of a free capitalistic society.

Unreported 2.9%, 1.8% and 1.8% Absolute Risk Reductions of COVID-19 Infections, Hospitalizations, and Deaths in Ivermectin Study


Posted originally o TrilSite New by Dr-Ron-Brown on January 21, 20227 Comments

Unreported 2.9%, 1.8% and 1.8% Absolute Risk Reductions of COVID-19 Infections, Hospitalizations, and Deaths in Ivermectin Study

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Note that views expressed in this opinion article are the writer’s personal views and not necessarily those of TrialSite.

Dr. Ron Brown – Opinion Editorial

January 21, 2022

A study of ivermectin use in a Brazilian population, published on January 15, 2022, reports that the repurposed drug reduced COVID-19 infections by 44%, hospitalizations by 56%, and deaths by 68%: Ivermectin Prophylaxis Used for COVID-19: A Citywide, Prospective, Observational Study of 223,128 Subjects Using Propensity Score Matching. Here is a figure from the report summarizing the findings: “Ivermectin-prophylaxis.-Summary-of-the-findings”

The reported findings from ivermectin use are relative risk reductions (RRRs), calculated as follows below from the data in the figure (note an error in the figure: the 8.2% infection rate in non-ivermectin use should be 6.6%).

Events are infections, hospitalizations, and deaths. Relative risks (RRs), called the rate risk ratio in the figure, are calculated by dividing an event rate of ivermectin use by the event rate of non-ivermectin use (the control). The RR decimal is then subtracted from 1 to give the RRR as a percentage.

Infection RRR

RR: ivermectin 3.7% / control 6.6% = 56%

1 – 0.56 = 44%

Hospitalization RRR

RR: ivermectin 1.45% / control 3.26% = 44%

1 – 0.44 = 56%

Mortality RRR

RR: ivermectin 0.82% / control 2.6% = 32%

1 – 0.32 = 68%

Calculations for the Unreported Absolute Risk Reductions (ARR)

The study’s unreported absolute risk reductions for COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths with ivermectin use are calculated by subtracting the event rate of ivermectin use from the event rate of non-ivermectin use (the control).

Infection ARR

control 6.6% – ivermectin 3.7% = 2.9%

Hospitalization ARR

control 3.26% – ivermectin 1.45% = 1.8%

Mortality ARR

control 2.6% – ivermectin 0.82% = 1.8%

Conclusions

Unsurprisingly, the unreported ARRs of COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths from ivermectin use—2.9%, 1.8%, and 1.8%, respectively—are much lower than the respective reported results of 44%, 56%, and 68%.

Furthermore, the study’s appendices include a STROBE Checklist (Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) which lists the following item:

“Main Results (c) If relevant, consider translating estimates of relative risk into absolute risk for a meaningful time period.”

For some unexplained reason, the study authors overruled this checklist item with the response: “NOT APPLICABLE.” Perhaps the authors can write to TrialSite and offer readers a helpful explanation of why relative risks weren’t translated to absolute risks to “strengthen” the report?

Until then, I guess it’s totally the public’s responsibility to determine whether a repurposed drug with an unreported 2.9% absolute risk reduction of COVID-19 infection is effective enough to warrant clinical use.

Woke M&Ms and Marketing Gimmicks


Armstrong Economics Blog/Humor Re-Posted Jan 22, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Have you ever looked at an M&M advertisement and felt underrepresented, or are you in good mental health? Mars Incorporated announced plans to redesign their M&M mascots to be more “inclusive.” These are colorful cartoon candies we are discussing. “M&M’S promises to use the power of fun to include everyone with a goal of increasing the sense of belonging for 10 million people around the world by 2025,” Mars Incorporated stated.

This is yet another example of woke marketing and pandering to the far-left who believes individuality is immoral. Mars Incorporated knows that this publicity stunt will have people talking about their candy, and in that sense it is effective. Yet, their idea for rebranding their M&M characters is so completely absurd and a sad reminder that we live in a clown world.

The sassy green M&M will swap her heels for a pair of sneakers, as being feminine is not woke unless you were born with a Y chromosome. The brown M&M, the only other female, has had her “sex appeal toned down” as well. Jane Hwang, M&M Global Vice President, has said that the orange M&M will work on his anxiety issues and learn to “embrace his true self, worries and all.” Is there something in the water at the Mars Inc. headquarters? I can only imagine the boardroom meetings over this topic.

Where is the white conservative M&M sitting in front of their computer for 12 hours with 50 tabs open? I want to feel seen (obvious sarcasm).

Woke marketing is a pathetic attempt to increase sales through division and fake empathy. There is true inclusivity and loving thy neighbor, and then there is pretending a piece of chocolate is a strong single mom (they/them) self-identifying as a non-binary pansexual whose child calls them by their first name.

Your Chances of Dying


Armstrong Economics Blog/Disease Re-Posted Jan 22, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Your chances of dying from omicron are extremely low. Around 0.1% of people pass away from the seasonal flu each year. I found a well-sourced document that shows your chances of dying for other activities. You’re far more likely to die on your drive to obtain a COVID test than from the actual virus.

Your Chances of Dying:

The mortality rate for specific activities undertaken in the United States:

  • Mountaineering Mortality rate: 0.5988 (/100 participants)
  • Hang gliding Mortality rate 0.1786 (/100 participants)
  • Parachuting Mortality rate: 0.1754 (/100 participants)
  • Boxing Mortality rate: 0.0455 (/100 participants)
  • Mountain hiking Mortality rate: 0.0064 (/100 participants)
  • Scuba diving Mortality rate: 0.0029 (/100 participants)
  • American football Mortality rate: 0.0020 (/100 participants)
  • The Risk of Hiking and Mountain Climbing
  • Expert mountain climbers: Annual mortality risk of 1 in 167.
  • Recreational climbing – Annual mortality risk of 1 in 1,750.
  • Mountain hiking – Annual mortality risk of 1 in 15,700.

Annual mortality risk (AMR)

  • Grand Prix racing: 1 in 100
  • Motorbike racing: 1 in 1,000
  • Canoeing: 1 in 10,000
  • Soccer & rugby: 1 in 100,000
  • Running/jogging: 1 in 1 million
  • Swimming: 1 in 1 million

The Risks of Transportation

  • Risk of dying in a car accident: 1 in 6,700 (Harvard School of Public Health)
  • Fatalities per 100 Million Vehicle Miles Traveled: 1.14
  • Fatalities per 100,000 population: 11.01
  • Fatalities per 100,000 Licensed Drivers: 16.13
  • Motorcycles: Fatality rate per 100 million vehicle miles traveled: 21.45
  • (National Highway traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), 2009))
  • S. general aviation fatalities: 447; flight hours: 20,900,000 (National Transportation safety board 2010).
  • S. general aviation: Fatal accidents per 100,000 Flight Hours 1.27 (National Transportation safety board 2010).
  • Airliner (Scheduled and nonscheduled Part 21) fatalities per million flight hours: 4.03
  • Commuter Airline (Scheduled Part 135) Fatalities per million flight hours: 10.74
  • Commuter plane (Nonscheduled Part 135 – Air taxi on demand) fatalities per million flight hours: 12.24
  • General aviation (Private Part 91) fatalities per million flight hours: 22.43

Miscellaneous

  • Dance parties: 1 in 100,000 chance of dying
  • Table games: 1 in 100 million chance of dying
  • Computer games: 1 in 100 million chance of dying

Ireland Lifting Nearly ALL COVID Restrictions


Armstrong Economics Blog/Disease Re-Posted Jan 21, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Ireland is lifting nearly all COVID restrictions while Austria, France, and Germany screw their people even more at the direction of the World Economic Forum. Alexander Georg Nicolas Schallenberg, the Chancellor of Austria, who is a lawyer, should have known better than to allow Austria to impose the harshest COVID restrictions in the world.

When we look at the Austrian share market we can see that here too it has not exceeded the 2007 high. The economic policies of Austria are nits and these COVID Restrictions put the country at risk of a very major economic depression.

Biden’s Ukrainian Press Conference Surrenders to Putin


Armstrong Economics Blog/Russia Re-Posted Jan 21, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

When you listen to a politician, listen closely not to what he says, but what he is desperately trying not to say. Here Biden over Putin a free-pass to enter Ukraine. Yes, he promised sanctions. He did not say that American or NATO troops would respond. He also said that Ukraine would not enter NATO. They need deniability as to why they will not defend Ukraine with military force.