Tag Archives: Gates Health Monopoly

Jan 22 2022

Unreported 2.9%, 1.8% and 1.8% Absolute Risk Reductions of COVID-19 Infections, Hospitalizations, and Deaths in Ivermectin Study


Posted originally o TrilSite New by Dr-Ron-Brown on January 21, 20227 Comments

Unreported 2.9%, 1.8% and 1.8% Absolute Risk Reductions of COVID-19 Infections, Hospitalizations, and Deaths in Ivermectin Study

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Note that views expressed in this opinion article are the writer’s personal views and not necessarily those of TrialSite.

Dr. Ron Brown – Opinion Editorial

January 21, 2022

A study of ivermectin use in a Brazilian population, published on January 15, 2022, reports that the repurposed drug reduced COVID-19 infections by 44%, hospitalizations by 56%, and deaths by 68%: Ivermectin Prophylaxis Used for COVID-19: A Citywide, Prospective, Observational Study of 223,128 Subjects Using Propensity Score Matching. Here is a figure from the report summarizing the findings: “Ivermectin-prophylaxis.-Summary-of-the-findings”

The reported findings from ivermectin use are relative risk reductions (RRRs), calculated as follows below from the data in the figure (note an error in the figure: the 8.2% infection rate in non-ivermectin use should be 6.6%).

Events are infections, hospitalizations, and deaths. Relative risks (RRs), called the rate risk ratio in the figure, are calculated by dividing an event rate of ivermectin use by the event rate of non-ivermectin use (the control). The RR decimal is then subtracted from 1 to give the RRR as a percentage.

Infection RRR

RR: ivermectin 3.7% / control 6.6% = 56%

1 – 0.56 = 44%

Hospitalization RRR

RR: ivermectin 1.45% / control 3.26% = 44%

1 – 0.44 = 56%

Mortality RRR

RR: ivermectin 0.82% / control 2.6% = 32%

1 – 0.32 = 68%

Calculations for the Unreported Absolute Risk Reductions (ARR)

The study’s unreported absolute risk reductions for COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths with ivermectin use are calculated by subtracting the event rate of ivermectin use from the event rate of non-ivermectin use (the control).

Infection ARR

control 6.6% – ivermectin 3.7% = 2.9%

Hospitalization ARR

control 3.26% – ivermectin 1.45% = 1.8%

Mortality ARR

control 2.6% – ivermectin 0.82% = 1.8%

Conclusions

Unsurprisingly, the unreported ARRs of COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths from ivermectin use—2.9%, 1.8%, and 1.8%, respectively—are much lower than the respective reported results of 44%, 56%, and 68%.

Furthermore, the study’s appendices include a STROBE Checklist (Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) which lists the following item:

“Main Results (c) If relevant, consider translating estimates of relative risk into absolute risk for a meaningful time period.”

For some unexplained reason, the study authors overruled this checklist item with the response: “NOT APPLICABLE.” Perhaps the authors can write to TrialSite and offer readers a helpful explanation of why relative risks weren’t translated to absolute risks to “strengthen” the report?

Until then, I guess it’s totally the public’s responsibility to determine whether a repurposed drug with an unreported 2.9% absolute risk reduction of COVID-19 infection is effective enough to warrant clinical use.

Jan 22 2022

Woke M&Ms and Marketing Gimmicks


Armstrong Economics Blog/Humor Re-Posted Jan 22, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Have you ever looked at an M&M advertisement and felt underrepresented, or are you in good mental health? Mars Incorporated announced plans to redesign their M&M mascots to be more “inclusive.” These are colorful cartoon candies we are discussing. “M&M’S promises to use the power of fun to include everyone with a goal of increasing the sense of belonging for 10 million people around the world by 2025,” Mars Incorporated stated.

This is yet another example of woke marketing and pandering to the far-left who believes individuality is immoral. Mars Incorporated knows that this publicity stunt will have people talking about their candy, and in that sense it is effective. Yet, their idea for rebranding their M&M characters is so completely absurd and a sad reminder that we live in a clown world.

The sassy green M&M will swap her heels for a pair of sneakers, as being feminine is not woke unless you were born with a Y chromosome. The brown M&M, the only other female, has had her “sex appeal toned down” as well. Jane Hwang, M&M Global Vice President, has said that the orange M&M will work on his anxiety issues and learn to “embrace his true self, worries and all.” Is there something in the water at the Mars Inc. headquarters? I can only imagine the boardroom meetings over this topic.

Where is the white conservative M&M sitting in front of their computer for 12 hours with 50 tabs open? I want to feel seen (obvious sarcasm).

Woke marketing is a pathetic attempt to increase sales through division and fake empathy. There is true inclusivity and loving thy neighbor, and then there is pretending a piece of chocolate is a strong single mom (they/them) self-identifying as a non-binary pansexual whose child calls them by their first name.

Jan 22 2022

Your Chances of Dying


Armstrong Economics Blog/Disease Re-Posted Jan 22, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Your chances of dying from omicron are extremely low. Around 0.1% of people pass away from the seasonal flu each year. I found a well-sourced document that shows your chances of dying for other activities. You’re far more likely to die on your drive to obtain a COVID test than from the actual virus.

Your Chances of Dying:

The mortality rate for specific activities undertaken in the United States:

  • Mountaineering Mortality rate: 0.5988 (/100 participants)
  • Hang gliding Mortality rate 0.1786 (/100 participants)
  • Parachuting Mortality rate: 0.1754 (/100 participants)
  • Boxing Mortality rate: 0.0455 (/100 participants)
  • Mountain hiking Mortality rate: 0.0064 (/100 participants)
  • Scuba diving Mortality rate: 0.0029 (/100 participants)
  • American football Mortality rate: 0.0020 (/100 participants)
  • The Risk of Hiking and Mountain Climbing
  • Expert mountain climbers: Annual mortality risk of 1 in 167.
  • Recreational climbing – Annual mortality risk of 1 in 1,750.
  • Mountain hiking – Annual mortality risk of 1 in 15,700.

Annual mortality risk (AMR)

  • Grand Prix racing: 1 in 100
  • Motorbike racing: 1 in 1,000
  • Canoeing: 1 in 10,000
  • Soccer & rugby: 1 in 100,000
  • Running/jogging: 1 in 1 million
  • Swimming: 1 in 1 million

The Risks of Transportation

  • Risk of dying in a car accident: 1 in 6,700 (Harvard School of Public Health)
  • Fatalities per 100 Million Vehicle Miles Traveled: 1.14
  • Fatalities per 100,000 population: 11.01
  • Fatalities per 100,000 Licensed Drivers: 16.13
  • Motorcycles: Fatality rate per 100 million vehicle miles traveled: 21.45
  • (National Highway traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), 2009))
  • S. general aviation fatalities: 447; flight hours: 20,900,000 (National Transportation safety board 2010).
  • S. general aviation: Fatal accidents per 100,000 Flight Hours 1.27 (National Transportation safety board 2010).
  • Airliner (Scheduled and nonscheduled Part 21) fatalities per million flight hours: 4.03
  • Commuter Airline (Scheduled Part 135) Fatalities per million flight hours: 10.74
  • Commuter plane (Nonscheduled Part 135 – Air taxi on demand) fatalities per million flight hours: 12.24
  • General aviation (Private Part 91) fatalities per million flight hours: 22.43

Miscellaneous

  • Dance parties: 1 in 100,000 chance of dying
  • Table games: 1 in 100 million chance of dying
  • Computer games: 1 in 100 million chance of dying
Jan 22 2022

Ireland Lifting Nearly ALL COVID Restrictions


Armstrong Economics Blog/Disease Re-Posted Jan 21, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Ireland is lifting nearly all COVID restrictions while Austria, France, and Germany screw their people even more at the direction of the World Economic Forum. Alexander Georg Nicolas Schallenberg, the Chancellor of Austria, who is a lawyer, should have known better than to allow Austria to impose the harshest COVID restrictions in the world.

When we look at the Austrian share market we can see that here too it has not exceeded the 2007 high. The economic policies of Austria are nits and these COVID Restrictions put the country at risk of a very major economic depression.

Jan 22 2022

Biden’s Ukrainian Press Conference Surrenders to Putin


Armstrong Economics Blog/Russia Re-Posted Jan 21, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

When you listen to a politician, listen closely not to what he says, but what he is desperately trying not to say. Here Biden over Putin a free-pass to enter Ukraine. Yes, he promised sanctions. He did not say that American or NATO troops would respond. He also said that Ukraine would not enter NATO. They need deniability as to why they will not defend Ukraine with military force.

Jan 22 2022

Emerging Markets & Political Crisis Ahead


Armstrong Economics Blog/Bonds Re-Posted Jan 21, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

China has asked the Fed to please not raise rates. This has confused many to wonder when China would be asking the Fed not to raise rates. The real reason is the crisis we have in emerging markets and the Sovereign Debt Crisis. Emerging Markets are one of the main victims of tightening US monetary policy. Emerging Markets have splurged by issuing more than $3 trillion dollars in US dollar-denominated debt and that was going into 2019 -(private and public combined). The Federal Reserve’s post-pandemic policy to respond to inflation with higher rates is exposing the vulnerabilities in emerging markets with high private external debt, and that includes China.

In order to sell the debt to the West, it has been a standard practice for more than 100 years to issue debt in the currency in which you seek to raise capital. Before World War I, the British pound was the reserve currency of the world and Britain was the financial capital of the world. Hence, we find bonds from around the world, including public and private, issued in British pounds. Today, the emerging markets have issued debt in dollars. They have taken on the risk of both US interest rates as well as the value of the dollar.

So far, China has benefited whereby provinces and companies that issued debt in dollars have seen at least a 15% profit as the dollar has declined against the yuan thanks to the stupid COVID policies that have drastically harmed the global economy.

Of course, the Euro has been under tremendous selling pressure as they have embraced Schwab’s Great Reset and have been deliberately crushing their economy pushing for a Green New World Order decades before they have any replacement for fossil fuels.

The Fed’s position of raising interest rates to fight inflation is a classic Keynesian Textbook, but the problem is Keynesian Economics has utterly failed. Jenet Yellen, the latest to join the Schwab Marxist agenda, has come out and announced that the Fed will do its best to reduce inflation their COVID policies created, and they have little choice with Biden’s polls collapsing.  The public always blames or credits the president for the economic trends and this time the Democrats live in fear that they will be thrown out of office. The January 6th Investigation will desperately try to criminally charge Trump and they think this will save their majority. This is only fulfilling the Panic Cycle our computer projected for the 2022 elections and again in 2024.

So the Fed is not likely to lower rates to help emerging markets. It will be far worse if the dollar starts to rise after February. That will cause a lot of economic problems throughout the emerging markets.

Jan 22 2022

Tucker Carlson Asks Why Does Washington DC Want a War with Russia Over Ukraine


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 21, 2022 | Sundance | 165 Comments

Ukraine is a hot mess and has been ever since the Obama administration stuck their fingers into the internal affairs of the country.  In recent days, the DC administrative state and their corporate stenographers in media have been promoting a position that the U.S. needs to go to war with Russia in defense of Ukraine.

Fox News host Tucker Carlson asks why.  Why does the DC beltway and the crew behind Joe Biden want to create a war with Russia over a nation state that really doesn’t impact U.S. interests?  WATCH:

Jan 22 2022

United Nations and World Bank Predict Increased Global Starvation Due to Fertilizer and Farm Costs


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 21, 2022 | Sundance | 170 Comments

It’s easy to ignore the United Nations and World Bank pontificators as Über-leftists and global climate change fanatics.  However, of value to us ordinary peeps, is a recognition that U.N and WB outlooks permeate the World Economic Forum and Davos groups.

The multinational corporations and quasi-governmental entities in/around the World Economic Forum (WEF) are the people who call themselves “elites” and shape global policy.  As a result, when the U.N. and Word Bank start talking about widespread global famine as a result of energy policy impacts to the farming industry, specifically natural gas costs and fertilizer resulting in lower crop yields, it is worth paying attention.

We have already discussed the U.S. impact from higher fertilizer costs HERE.   As a nation we are blessed and fortunate to be living on land that is naturally healthy and fertile enough to grow food in abundance.   However, if our crop yields drop our export ability diminishes.  The world relies on the U.S. as a food basket.  You might have recently heard about foreign countries buying up U.S. farmland? Well….

In this outline from the Wall Street Journal, they note those increased costs mean less crops in all continents especially the third world regions.  That can be catastrophic for nations that already have food insecurity issues.

(Via Wall Street Journal) Christina Ribeiro do Valle, who comes from a long line of coffee growers in Brazil, is this year paying three times what she paid last year for the fertilizer she needs. Coupled with a recent drought that hit her crop hard, it means Ms. do Valle, 75, will produce a fraction of her Ribeiro do Valle brand of coffee, some of which is exported.

There is also a shortage of fertilizer. “This year, you pay, then put your name on a waiting list, and the supplier delivers it when he has it,” she said.

[…] Farmers in the U.S. are also feeling the pinch, with some shifting their planting plans. But the impact is expected to be worse in developing countries where smallholders have limited access to bank loans and can’t pay up front for expensive fertilizer.

Fertilizer demand in sub-Saharan Africa could fall 30% in 2022, according to the International Fertilizer Development Center, a global nonprofit organization. That would translate to 30 million metric tons less food produced, which the center says is equivalent to the food needs of 100 million people.

“Lower fertilizer use will inevitably weigh on food production and quality, affecting food availability, rural incomes and the livelihoods of the poor,” said Josef Schmidhuber, deputy director of the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization’s trade and markets division.

As the pandemic enters year three, more households are having to cut down on the quantity and quality of food they consume, the World Bank said in a note last month, noting that high fertilizer prices were adding to costs. Around 2.4 billion people lacked access to adequate food in 2020, up 320 million from the year before, it said. Inflation rose in about 80% of emerging-market economies last year, with roughly a third seeing double-digit food inflation, according to the World Bank.

Diammonium phosphate, or DAP, a commonly used phosphate fertilizer, cost $745 per metric ton in December—more than double its 2020 average price. December prices for Eastern European urea, a widely exported nitrogen fertilizer, were nearly four times the 2020 average.

[…] Tony Will, chief executive of CF Industries Holdings Inc., a leading nitrogen fertilizer manufacturer based in Deerfield, Ill., said he expected lower fertilization levels this year to result in reduced agricultural yields. The company has only reopened one of the two U.K. plants it closed in September, citing high natural-gas prices and low availability of truck drivers. Plants in North America, where gas prices are lower, are running at maximum capacity, Mr. Will said.

Industry experts say European production is likely to be constrained as long as natural-gas prices remain high there, with shortages in parts of the developing world amplified by trade restrictions in other major fertilizer exporters. (read more)

Leftism has consequences.  Chase the surfacing issue back to its origin, and you will find the climate change agenda at the heart of changes in energy policy.  The changes in energy policy, as noted above, have consequences like higher prices.  Those higher prices for natural gas, oil, fuel, etc mean higher prices for fertilizer… which leads to less food.

Chasing the climate change agenda actually kills people.  Then again, from the perspective of the climate change cult, less people are not a bad thing.

As we have shared…. “The absence of food will most certainly change things.”

[ GO DEEP ]

Jan 22 2022

On Track


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 21, 2022 | Sundance | 159 Comments

What they envision (top) and where they are (bottom).

Right on track…

Prescient.

Jan 22 2022

Biden Administration Confirms Canadian and Mexican Truck Drivers Must Show Vaccination Passport Beginning Tomorrow


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 21, 2022 | Sundance | 348 Comments

The preparation window has closed.

Given the destabilized and tenuous nature of the current supply chain, many people wondered if the Biden administration would actually be stupid enough to follow through with a truck driver vaccination mandate.  The answer is yes.  Please conduct yourselves accordingly.

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) updated their guidance yesterday [LINK HERE] and put a hard date of tomorrow, January 22nd, for the trucker vaccine mandate at all border crossings and ferry terminals.   Canada put the vaccine mandate into effect last week, January 15th.

[Dept. of Homeland Security] – [..]  “Starting on January 22, 2022, the Department of Homeland Security will require that non-U.S. individuals entering the United States via land ports of entry or ferry terminals along our Northern and Southern borders be fully vaccinated against COVID-19 and be prepared to show related proof of vaccination,” said Secretary Alejandro N. Mayorkas. “These updated travel requirements reflect the Biden-Harris Administration’s commitment to protecting public health while safely facilitating the cross-border trade and travel that is critical to our economy.”

These changes – which were first announced in October 2021 and made in consultation with the White House and several federal agencies, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) – will align public health measures that govern land travel with those that govern incoming international air travel.

Non-U.S. individuals traveling to the United States via land ports of entry or ferry terminals, whether for essential or non-essential reasons, must:

  • verbally attest to their COVID-19 vaccination status;
  • provide proof of a CDC-approved COVID-19 vaccination, as outlined on the CDC website;
  • present a valid Western Hemisphere Travel Initiative (WHTI)-compliant document, such as a valid passport, Trusted Traveler Program card, or Enhanced Tribal Card; and,
  • be prepared to present any other relevant documents requested by a U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) officer during a border inspection.

COVID-19 testing is not required for entry via a land port of entry or ferry terminal.

Although these new vaccination requirements do not apply to U.S. citizens, Lawful Permanent Residents, or U.S. nationals, all travelers are reminded to bring a WHTI-compliant document when re-entering the United States.  (more)

Approximately 50% of U.S. Truck Drivers are unvaccinated, they can no longer enter Canada.  Starting tomorrow, Canadian and Mexican truck drivers must be vaccinated, or they will not be able to enter the U.S.

Land shipments of fresh fruits and vegetables into Canada are immediately impacted.  Land shipments of fresh fruits and vegetables into the U.S. from Mexico are impacted starting tomorrow.  In addition to agriculture, lumber and auto-parts are likely to face significant impact.

CANADA – […] Alberta Premier Jason Kenney, at a news conference in Calgary, urged the government to extend an exemption that had been in place for truckers since the start of the pandemic.

Kenney made his request on the same day the United States confirmed its own vaccine border mandate for truckers would start on Saturday. Canada’s has been in place since Jan. 15.

“Common sense tells us that we are at the peak of supply chain constraints across North America, around the world, huge inflation,” Kenney said.

This is not the moment “to lose potentially thousands of truckers on our roads, bringing groceries up from the US and who knows maybe (COVID) rapid test kits as well,” he said.

As many as 32,000, or 20 per cent, of the 160,000 Canadian and American cross-border truck drivers may be taken off the roads by the mandate, the Canadian Trucking Alliance (CTA) estimates. The industry was short some 18,000 drivers even before the mandate, CTA said. (read more)

The bottom line is both shortages and higher prices.  Canada will feel it the worst; however, U.S. stores will feel it also.  The inflation this will drive will be on top of existing price pressure.  We have been warning since October, prices will increase, and shortages will be impactful.

The retail food stores have been reflecting the majority of the price increase from government COVID policy.  This vaccine mandate will make those price increases more as transportation costs will increase again.   However, the second route for fresh food delivery, “food away from home“, will suffer the majority of this price increase.  Restaurants, hotels, cafeterias, bars and institutional settings (hospitals, nursing homes, etc.) will see significant increases in their food costs.

A perfect storm has been created by policy.

Energy policy has driven up oil, fuel, packaging and gas prices.  Transportation costs have skyrocketed. Emission regulations have driven up port costs and delayed transportation fracturing the supply chain.  Vaccine mandates have hit the manufacturing and processing sectors.  Legislative policy and COVID spending have artificially inflated the economy.  Monetary policy has devalued the dollar and driven even higher inflation.

A tenuous economy cannot take these self-inflicted wounds…. and it’s about to get worse.

Into this hurricane of stagflation, the fed is going to raise interest rates.  The stock market could lose half its inflated value.  The NASDAQ is already responding to the storm clouds.  Employment is going to start getting really sketchy.  Congress will eventually announce their remedy, which will be more spending – and the dollar gets worse.

All of this was avoidable.

None of this is caused by COVID-19.

All of this is caused by Joe Biden’s economic, financial, monetary and legislative policy.

The people behind Joe Biden are laughing….

…Biden has no idea.