Its very simple a MAJOR war happens every 70/80 years, WW II was in 1939 and The American Civil war started in 1861 78 years before WW II, 78 years from 1939 is 2017!.


War & Putting It All Together

CycleOfWar-2014

COMMENT: You forecasted a world war.‎ What my generation only looks back at through a historical looking glass in an attempt to isolate the starting events of the last great war you have called into focus in real time as events unfold in the current great war. In advance of events unfolding. This experience is unsettling, but real.

Best regards,MM
World-Ticks

REPLY: It is unsettling. ISIS has issued a letter taking credit for the attacks, stating, “That’s just the beginning of a storm.” I have tried to put everything together to understand how the world ticks. War comes only when the economy turns down; outside the USA, the peak was 2000 or 2007 depending on the country.

The siege of Paris is a very profound event. Had the terrorists attacked a military target, an international war would be less likely. Attacking the people like this stirs the sentiment against the Islamic organization and will create war.

Watch Roosevelt’s Speech on October 30, 1940

FDR promised that American troops would not be sent overseas to fight any foreign war. Now, you have Hillary claiming that this is not America’s war. America entered World War II only after the Pear Harbor attack. Attack the people and WAR will ALWAYS follow. That is just a simple fact of correlation, and not a personal forecast or opinion. All I can do is hope to reveal the interconnections and perhaps others in the future will learn from the mistakes.

All things have cycles and we are entering the danger zone of war!


“Cry ‘Havoc !’ and Let Slip the Dogs of War”

Dogs or War Rome

COMMENT: Mr Armstrong; I am a reformed goldbug who was naive to put it mildly but my wife called it stupidity. You have been correct and they have been wrong but that is just the surface. What you have opened my eyes to is the cyclical nature of everything around us. Not just markets, you have revealed your works applies across the spectrum from gold, stocks, politics, to war.

Thank you for the education. It has saved my marriage and my family’s future. I believe these people are evil who lure the unsuspecting with delusional promises that never prove to be reliable.

SY

REPLY: Cycles are how energy moves. This is the divine mechanism that dictates everything from the planets revolving around the sun to our solar system revolving around the universe once every 25,800 years — the Precession of the Equinoxes. Only a fool refuses to comprehend the world around him.

President Franois Hollande was the first to speak of an “act of war” against France to justify calling for a state of emergency and to strengthen border controls. Yesterday, numerous heads of state at the G20 summit saw a solidarity as the German President Joachim Gauck also spoke of a war. The dogs of war were unleashed with this siege of Paris. The danger now is that the uneducated Christians will begin to clash with Muslims without understanding the difference between them and ISIS.

And yes — they really did use dogs in war. Archaeologists believe that humans have been using dogs in warfare since the animals were first domesticated more than 15,000 years ago. The first actual written record of using dogs in war dates back to Lydia in modern day Turkey, where coins were invented. The first ruler, Alyattes, reportedly had his soldiers turn packs of dogs loose on Cimmerian troops in a battle sometime around 600 BC, which was very effective against cavalry according to contemporary sources.

CycleOfWar-2014

RUSSIA ACCUSES UNITED STATES: THEY REVEALED OUR JET’S FLIGHT PLAN


The sad thing is that what Putin is saying is likely to be true as Obama is capably of doing what Putin claims he did.

ERDOGAN PLEDGES TO START WAR OVER RUSSIAN ANTI-AIRCRAFT SYSTEM IN SYRIA


This proxy war is insane the US and Russia at odds over Syria and only one view can prevail..

The Swedish Solution to the Refugee Crisis


When any government turns against its citizens abrogating it most sacred duty of protection the “Social Contract” has been broken and the government becomes illegitimate. A new government must be formed that protects its citizens.

Mad Max and The Chunnel – British Truck Drivers Run Gauntlet Of Violent Refugees Near Calais and Tunnel Crossing…


This is an Invasion pure and simple and ALL the politicians that allow this to happen will burn in hell for what they are knowingly doing to us!

Breaking Overnight – Turkey Shoots Down Russian Fighter Jet (SU-24) Near Turkish/Syrian Border…


This is really, really bad!

The fool in the White House is no match for Putin who is committed to keeping al-Assad in power. Obama, the fool, is committed to removing al-Assad and both Russia and the US are using military force to opposite ends of the conflict, the US against al-Assad and Russia to support al-Asaad there is no way this can turn out good.

Now if we assume Obama is a Shiite Muslim or Shiite Muslim supporter what better way to harm two enemies of the Muslims then to get them into a fight that will harm them while prompting Shiite Iran. I hope to hell there are some generals in the pentagon that can stop this before it gets out of hand — if it hasn’t already.

ECONOMICS 101


Efficient Market Theory vs. Behavioral Economic Theory

Efficient Theory-2R

QUESTION: Hi,

Thanks for a great blog.
Mr. Armstrong,
I´d like to know your opinion for efficient market hypothesis. Theory states it is impossible to beat the market because market efficiency. I know you disagree with that, but is there any theory which states that markets can´t be efficient? And what’s your opinion of behavioral finance theory?
Thank you,
Kind Regards,
IP
ANSWER: Efficient market theory does not work because markets always overshoot and undershoot. Markets can remain undervalued for decades as was the case for the Dow Jones between 1934 and 1985. Then they play catch-up all of a sudden. Commodities also perform in such a manner others claim are manipulations.
Behavioral economic theory, which many are just now starting to realize, states that markets trade on anticipation, and not necessarily on facts — buy the rumor, sell the news. This is all behavior oriented. We panic not always understanding why, just following the herd. Investing becomes a herd mentality or behavioral economics

The Armstrong Economic Confidence Model (ECM).


Is Russia Subject to the Economic Confidence Model

ECM-Russia 1991

QUESTION: Has the ECM worked to the day in politics outside of the United States as in my home country Russia?

pi_symbol_1600_clr_12661

ANSWER: Absolutely. Putin was elected on March 26th, 2000 (2000.23). That is precisely to the day from the collapse of the USSR on August 19th, 1991 (1991.63). This is a UNIVERSAL frequency. It is not some theory on mine. It is something I bumped into and discovered. It is not restricted to financial markets or any nation. Pi is starting to be discovered in other fields even quantum mechanics. We are just scratching the surface when it comes to understanding how everything truly functions.

ECM Greece

 

The start of the Sovereign Debt Crisis in Greece took place to the day on the ECM as did 911 in New York. This is by no means confined to any country.

flat-earth

Bruno-2Naturally, people will fight against this and they will say it is all coincidence or bullshit. They offer no proof to the contrary, simply an opinion. No different than all those who burned people like Bruno for daring to say the Earth revolved around the Sun or the Earth had to be flat for you could not stand upside down on a ball – it was illogical.

There are always going to be doubters who cannot see the world nor do they accept any change to their rigged way of thinking. A closed mind is always the hallmark of ignorance.

I would watch this blog very closely for the next two years!


USA Losing Sovereignty to World Fiscal Mismanagement

Dollar Burning

The IMF and many economists (domestic and foreign) are now warning that a rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve, no matter when, will spark a major economic crisis in the emerging markets. They see this crisis being ripe for countries with high budget deficits, such as Turkey, as well as commodity-based economies. This includes the oil exporters such as Russia and even Saudi Arabia who has now begun to issue debt.

This is holding the Federal Reserve’s feet to the fire to the point that they are losing control of their own domestic policy objectives as a consequence of the dollar becoming the WORLD’S ONLY RESERVE CURRENCY no matter what the IMF inserts into the SDR. The emerging economies have issued debt worth nearly half that of the USA without the economic strength to back up that debt. True, there is going to be a debt explosion by 2017 and this is not going to look very nice at the end of the day. Clearly, the Fed is being pressured externally to give up its domestic policy objectives to help the debt burden of everyone else. And people keep saying the dollar will go into hyperinflation? Obviously, they do not understand the world economy or that what is taking place is OUTSIDE of the United States. Sorry, the dollar is not quite ready to burn to ashes.

1927-Secret-Banking-g4

The Federal Reserve has called a meeting on Monday. This issue of sovereignty will come to a head. The Fed has called this meeting to perhaps change interest rates. The question becomes for who? The lobbying against the Fed to raise rates has been intense. My recommendation is to eliminate the 0.25% paid to banks on excess reserves and raise rates. We must normalize rates ASAP to prevent a major crisis in Pension Funds of which the average hold 40% in government debt and cannot meet future obligations. But this is the domestic sovereignty issue. Does the Fed lower rates and make the same mistake it did in 1927 to try to save the world which will never reform its debt load?

Fed1927

If the Fed lowers rates, the markets may see this as a CONFIRMATION that the sovereign debt crisis is becoming critical and the capital inflows will then intensify into the USA as it did between 1927-1929. So let’s see if the Fed has learned its lesson or are they stupidly going to try to save the world who will then only expect more of the same in the end.