Posted originally on Nov 6, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |
COMMENT #1: Marty, I know you have no respect for the Nobel Prize. But, man, if anyone deserves it, it has to be you for both the Peace Prize and Economics. I can’t wait for the WEC this weekend. They gave the Peace Prize to Obama, who wanted to invade Syria. I get it. They handed it to economists who are always wrong but say the words they want to hear. We need a real Prize of Accomplishment, not the politically correct version of the Nobel.
PS or the fake ones Obama gave Gates, disgracing every winner before him.
DF
COMMENT #2: Been standing in line for 2 1/2 hours to vote, and this sign on the bathroom door provided extra motivation to vote the right way.
M
COMMENT #3: I got into an argument with my sister that Kamala was for women’s rights and supported abortion. I told her Congress could not overrule the Supreme Court and asked where she is for women’s rights when transgenders are pushing women out of sports. We no longer talk. I think you said in one of your posts that only food tries to convince a fool that they are an idiot.
Posted originally on Nov 5, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Marty, I have been using Socrates to bet on the elections. So far, so good. What do you expect between a Harris vs Trump victory?
JF
ANSWER: It shows that a Harris victory would result in virtually World War III very fast. Putin knows his adversaries, and to placate his own Neocons, he would probably launch an all-out war to eliminate Ukraine, which he has not done. His Neocons have criticized him that he should have invaded Ukraine as the USA did to Iraq, and the war would have been over in 6 weeks. They have been screaming this is a war with NATO from the start – not Ukraine. That means the destruction of Kiev. Our computer goes flat-line on Ukraine, which seems to suggest that they will be wiped off the face of the earth. Zelensky is just lining his pockets and expects a particular flight to Miami when Ukraine loses. The Ukrainian people are fools to allow this traitor to take orders as Hezbollah does from Iran.
A Trump victory looks like a pause. There will still be a war, but NATO will instigate it. NATO is the mother-ship of Neocons. They are trying to expand into Asia because the plan is for the United Nations to become the sovereign government of the world, using war as the justification that only they can be peacemakers. The IMF and World Bank will be the monetary arm, and NATO will be the international Department of Defense. Why is NATO formed to protect Europe from the Communists of Khrischev’s days now seeking to take over Asia? Once every government agency grasps power, it always seeks to expand it.
Harris = World War III instantly. Girls under 40 had better get pregnant if you don’t have kids, for the Democrats already are planning on drafting you to defend Zelensky. Tump = victory will try to keep us out of war and hopefully save at least half of Western civilization.
QUESTION #2: Can they rig this election for Harris?
SK
ANSWER #2: As Stalin said, those who count the vote decide everything. We do see a very big turnout. The real question is how much of that will be Biden’s illegal aliens. Can the illegal aliens alter the vote? It is certainly not out of the question since there are numerous millions. Some have already been caught voting.
The erosion of western culture since the first wave of migrants swept through Italy and Germany in 2011 is now firmly rooted in Europe and the UK and there is no going back.
Private citizens to public servants, nobody holds the same levels of safety today with the Middle East nations rejection of assimilation.
The USA is not lagging far behind with the no boarders policy.
The question for the USA, will they be sent back?
Respectfully,
JH
REPLY: Nobody knows for certain how many terrorists have entered through the border or how many are agents of foreign governments. The rumor has been that there will be domestic terror attacks, and this will be the excuse to impose digital IDs combined with the illegal aliens voting.
Posted originally on Nov 5, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
I have met Anna Paulina Luna (APL) and have been impressed by her policies and tenacity. Anna is receiving an unprecedented amount of hate for her conservative views. Her campaign manager was recently assaulted, and I fear that we can expect more violence against conservatives in the weeks to come if Trump secures a victory.
People assume all of Florida is bright red, but that is simply not true. My county, in particular, is a mix, potentially leaning blue. There is a good mix of Trump and Harris flags and an uptick of pro-Harris-Walz protests, although there was a poor turnout when Harris attempted to campaign here.
Anna Paulina Luna has become a target for the violent left. A few weeks ago, far-left supporters doxed Anna and revealed her home address. The St. Petersburg Police Department confirmed that Luna’s office received death threats a few months ago. ““My office has received a very serious shooting threat,” she said. “This division and hate campaign against Republicans is going to get someone killed. I will not be threatened, intimidated, or bow down to those using violence as a means to push their agenda. We will win,” Luna wrote.
Luna, an Air Force veteran, has accused the radical left’s campaign of hate for the increase in violent threats. Most recently, her campaign manager was physically assaulted by one of her political rival’s supporters.
“A male Whitney Fox supporter shook hands with her father at the Clearwater early polling location before getting physical with my female campaign manager and her father,” said Rep. Anna Paulina Luna.
Instead of offering protection or asking their radicalized supporters to back down, the demonization of Luna has continued. Chairwoman Suzan DelBene has attacked Luna’s heritage, accusing her of lying about her father’s Jewish heritage and accusing her grandfather of fighting for the Nazis.
We are witnessing neighbors turn against one another. Luna’s own neighbor posted her personal information on Facebook with the message: “I know where she lives if anyone is interested in sending her a love letter or … something. She dwells right around the corner.”
I worry that these threats will turn into actual acts of violence. If Trump secures a victory, the left will not accept defeat. They have been told that his supporters are “deplorable,” “Nazis,” and “garbage” who want to ruin what is left of this great nation.
Posted originally on Nov 5, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |
For the one-issue voters honing in on abortion – do you know that the president does not have the power to overturn the Supreme Court ruling? Abortion is now in the hands of individual states. Kamala Harris has promised to codify Roe v Wade into the US Constitution, but it’s not possible at this time.
Harris would need the full support of both chambers of Congress. She knows that she could never secure enough votes which is why she would like to eliminate the Senate filibuster to allow legislation to pass with a majority of 51 votes instead of 60. There are people on both sides who do not agree with ending the filibuster for various reasons.
Harris would need to end the Hyde Amendment that restricts Medicaid coverage for abortions. Low-income individuals are more prone to seek out abortion services. She would likely need Congress to approve funding for abortion services, as the federal government already funds Planned Parenthood.
Restricting state-level bans would also need to happen. The Bible Belt will ensure that their states have separate legislation in their state Constitutions that Harris would need to override.
Then, whatever is passed is simply not enough. For example, on our local ballot in Florida, they would like minors to have access to abortions without parental authorization. Children are unable to undergo medical procedures without parental authorization, but the far-left believes they have the ability to choose whether it’s right to terminate a pregnancy or switch their gender. Roe technically applies to 22 to 24 weeks of pregnancy, but individual journalists have shown that countless agencies have no problem performing abortions well into the third trimester.
Kamala Harris pledges to implement unrestricted abortion within her first 100 days of office. There is absolutely no way she could accomplish all of the above within a few months. It is simply not possible to mobilize public support for such a polarizing measure.
This was the riot when Trump won in 2016. There is even concern that they might try to assassinate Trump if he wins. He better keep some private bodyguards. These Neocons have seized power and will not simply go quietly. There are schemes rumored that the Transition Integrity Project, dominated by the LEFTISTS, will stage a major riot in DC if Trump wins far worse than in 2017. They intend to force him to call out the National Guard and then claim that is proof he is a dictator. They plan to block out everything Trump tries to do to paralyze the country. There is no more America.
To the best of my knowledge, the updated U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) directive does not authorize federal troops to use lethal force against citizens, contrary to social media posts but the subtle changes include threat to national security in the revision of the 2024 U.S. presidential election. However, under the Posse Comitatus Act, it is illegal for military personnel to use force against people in the United States unless for self-defense or where “under circumstances expressly authorized by the Constitution or Act of Congress.” The National Guard is the exception. If the Civil War broke out, chances are nobody would pay attention to this statute, but it could be argued that they were acting in self-defense.
Focus of the 2016 Version
The 2016 version of the directive did not mention the use of lethal force. Instead, it focused on:
Civil liberties protections: Ensuring strict oversight for operations involving U.S. citizens.
Intelligence collection restrictions: Limiting when and how U.S. person’s information (USPI) could be collected.
Privacy safeguards: Protecting privacy rights and preventing unauthorized data collection.
The 2016 directive centered around intelligence gathering, with no mention of lethal force
New Provisions in the 2024 Version
The 2024 update introduces a dramatic shift, particularly regarding domestic operations. Section 3.3.a.(2)(c) now explicitly permits lethal force in cases of imminent threats or national security emergencies, provided the action complies with legal oversight, specifically DoDD 5210.56, which governs the use of deadly force by DoD personnel.
Posted originally on Nov 4, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, Thank you for being so honest. I like how you separate your opinion from the computer. My question is simple. Do you give credence to the betting odds being more accurate than the polls?
See you next week
Frank
ANSWER: The polls are often wrong, and the betting odds do not seem much better. In 2016, the odds of a Hillary victory were 88% compared to 13% for Trump. Our computer called it correctly, as was the case with BREXIT. With over 70 million in early voting, the computer will be correct on the turnout.
More voters (154.6 million) turned out for the presidential election in 2020 than in 2016 (137.5 million), the most significant increase between consecutive presidential elections since record-keeping began in 1964. The problem with the 2020 election was the scare tactics using COVID. The mail-in ballots were 65,642,049. The combined early voting and mail-in during 2016 was only 12.6 million. With early voting exceeding 70 million, this is by far the largest turnout for early voting in history.
Posted originally on Nov 4, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
The home buying frenzy seen during the pandemic years has ended. We are no longer in a seller’s market as the tides have shifted. The National Association of Realtors reported that home sales in the US slowed to a 14-year low this September.
Sales declined 3.5% on an annual basis. Existing homes declined 1% on a monthly basis to a seasonally adjusted rate of 3.84 million on an annual basis. Home sales have not been this slow in the US since October 2010 when the housing market was recovering from the real estate crash.
Home prices are continuing to increase, rising for the 15th consecutive month. The median home price in America is 3% higher than one year ago at $404,500. The higher average home price has left many would-be buyers out of the market. First-time buyers accounted for only 26% of homes sold last month, but historically, they usually compose about 40% of all sales. Home prices have increased 49% in the past five years since the pandemic.
Inventory has been increasing with 1.39 million available properties, an astounding 23% increase from September 2023.
Mortgage rates on the 30-year reached their highest level in three months but remain well below last year’s high of around 8%
I forecast that real estate in the United States would turn into a buyer’s market in May 2024 going into August 2028 in a reversal from the buyer’s market we’ve experienced since 2020. The 2007 high on the Shiller Index was the precise day of the Economic Confidence Model. So far, all the indicators have confirmed that we should have a recessionary trend into 2028 with this turn in the model on this wave.
Posted originally on Nov 4, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
The job market is cooling across America, slowing to a pace not seen since late 2020 during COVID lockdowns. Now, one must remember that natural disasters decimated numerous states. Yet, I tend to look at two things – public sector growth and manufacturing.
Unemployment stands at 4.1%, while the measure of discouraged and underemployed workers held steady at 7.7%. Per usual, the Bureau of Labor and Statistics revised their calculations for previous months. August’s growth whittled down to 78,000 and September’s calculation came in at 223,000, marking a total decline of 112,000 reported jobs in that two-month period.
The US has been desperate to revive its manufacturing sector. The Biden-Harris Administration had promised to create one million new manufacturing jobs in 2024, but 10 months of data later, and it seems not a single position was created. The BLS admitted that manufacturing jobs fell by 577,000 since March 2022. In October, the sector loss 49,000, largely attributed to the Boeing strike.
So, America is struggling to produce goods to sell. In the meantime, the federal government bulked up the public sector by 40,000 jobs. Those are 40,000 employees relying on taxpayer funds and pensions in a sector that only SUBTRACTS from GDP. Biden and Harris have increased the public sector by about 43,000 positions on average every month for the past 12 months.
The first release of data is always the most optimistic. The country is clearly on the wrong track as we are endlessly spending money on big government while the private sector is weakening.
Posted originally on Nov 4, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
There happens to be a correlation between an uptick in strokes and heart attacks during presidential elections. Harvard and the Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) have both conducted studies showing a direct correlation between the election and an increase in hospitalizations and deaths from strokes and heart attacks.
“Around election season, just as we’ve seen in other world events, hurricanes, disasters, even the world cup, we have a spike in adrenaline, we have high blood pressure, that can lead to bleeding in the brain; it can lead to an ischemic stroke, or a clog in the brain,” said Dr. David Rose to Fox News. “It can lead to atrial fibrillation, it can lead to heart attacks because of vasoconstriction, tightening of the arteries.” He expects another uptick in medical events in the coming week.
Kaiser Permanente studied hospitalizations for cardiovascular events during the 2020 election and found a 17% in hospitalizations during the five days after the election. Heart attacks were an alarming 42% more prevalent during that time.
Even during the 2016 election, Kaiser noted a 62% increase in hospitalizations for a stroke or heart attack after the election. Cardiac arrhythmia cases rose 77% in the six-week period after that election.
We cannot alter history nor can we control the future. We can do our best to make an impact and prepare for the future. No cycle, be it political or business, can be altered. My life’s work and the creation of Socrates involved researching the past to predict the future, but the outcome cannot be manipulated. Despite the blatant injustices we are experiencing, we must protect ourselves by remaining calm this election season.
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This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America
