Unreported 2.9%, 1.8% and 1.8% Absolute Risk Reductions of COVID-19 Infections, Hospitalizations, and Deaths in Ivermectin Study


Posted originally o TrilSite New by Dr-Ron-Brown on January 21, 20227 Comments

Unreported 2.9%, 1.8% and 1.8% Absolute Risk Reductions of COVID-19 Infections, Hospitalizations, and Deaths in Ivermectin Study

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Note that views expressed in this opinion article are the writer’s personal views and not necessarily those of TrialSite.

Dr. Ron Brown – Opinion Editorial

January 21, 2022

A study of ivermectin use in a Brazilian population, published on January 15, 2022, reports that the repurposed drug reduced COVID-19 infections by 44%, hospitalizations by 56%, and deaths by 68%: Ivermectin Prophylaxis Used for COVID-19: A Citywide, Prospective, Observational Study of 223,128 Subjects Using Propensity Score Matching. Here is a figure from the report summarizing the findings: “Ivermectin-prophylaxis.-Summary-of-the-findings”

The reported findings from ivermectin use are relative risk reductions (RRRs), calculated as follows below from the data in the figure (note an error in the figure: the 8.2% infection rate in non-ivermectin use should be 6.6%).

Events are infections, hospitalizations, and deaths. Relative risks (RRs), called the rate risk ratio in the figure, are calculated by dividing an event rate of ivermectin use by the event rate of non-ivermectin use (the control). The RR decimal is then subtracted from 1 to give the RRR as a percentage.

Infection RRR

RR: ivermectin 3.7% / control 6.6% = 56%

1 – 0.56 = 44%

Hospitalization RRR

RR: ivermectin 1.45% / control 3.26% = 44%

1 – 0.44 = 56%

Mortality RRR

RR: ivermectin 0.82% / control 2.6% = 32%

1 – 0.32 = 68%

Calculations for the Unreported Absolute Risk Reductions (ARR)

The study’s unreported absolute risk reductions for COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths with ivermectin use are calculated by subtracting the event rate of ivermectin use from the event rate of non-ivermectin use (the control).

Infection ARR

control 6.6% – ivermectin 3.7% = 2.9%

Hospitalization ARR

control 3.26% – ivermectin 1.45% = 1.8%

Mortality ARR

control 2.6% – ivermectin 0.82% = 1.8%

Conclusions

Unsurprisingly, the unreported ARRs of COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths from ivermectin use—2.9%, 1.8%, and 1.8%, respectively—are much lower than the respective reported results of 44%, 56%, and 68%.

Furthermore, the study’s appendices include a STROBE Checklist (Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) which lists the following item:

“Main Results (c) If relevant, consider translating estimates of relative risk into absolute risk for a meaningful time period.”

For some unexplained reason, the study authors overruled this checklist item with the response: “NOT APPLICABLE.” Perhaps the authors can write to TrialSite and offer readers a helpful explanation of why relative risks weren’t translated to absolute risks to “strengthen” the report?

Until then, I guess it’s totally the public’s responsibility to determine whether a repurposed drug with an unreported 2.9% absolute risk reduction of COVID-19 infection is effective enough to warrant clinical use.

Your Chances of Dying


Armstrong Economics Blog/Disease Re-Posted Jan 22, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Your chances of dying from omicron are extremely low. Around 0.1% of people pass away from the seasonal flu each year. I found a well-sourced document that shows your chances of dying for other activities. You’re far more likely to die on your drive to obtain a COVID test than from the actual virus.

Your Chances of Dying:

The mortality rate for specific activities undertaken in the United States:

  • Mountaineering Mortality rate: 0.5988 (/100 participants)
  • Hang gliding Mortality rate 0.1786 (/100 participants)
  • Parachuting Mortality rate: 0.1754 (/100 participants)
  • Boxing Mortality rate: 0.0455 (/100 participants)
  • Mountain hiking Mortality rate: 0.0064 (/100 participants)
  • Scuba diving Mortality rate: 0.0029 (/100 participants)
  • American football Mortality rate: 0.0020 (/100 participants)
  • The Risk of Hiking and Mountain Climbing
  • Expert mountain climbers: Annual mortality risk of 1 in 167.
  • Recreational climbing – Annual mortality risk of 1 in 1,750.
  • Mountain hiking – Annual mortality risk of 1 in 15,700.

Annual mortality risk (AMR)

  • Grand Prix racing: 1 in 100
  • Motorbike racing: 1 in 1,000
  • Canoeing: 1 in 10,000
  • Soccer & rugby: 1 in 100,000
  • Running/jogging: 1 in 1 million
  • Swimming: 1 in 1 million

The Risks of Transportation

  • Risk of dying in a car accident: 1 in 6,700 (Harvard School of Public Health)
  • Fatalities per 100 Million Vehicle Miles Traveled: 1.14
  • Fatalities per 100,000 population: 11.01
  • Fatalities per 100,000 Licensed Drivers: 16.13
  • Motorcycles: Fatality rate per 100 million vehicle miles traveled: 21.45
  • (National Highway traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), 2009))
  • S. general aviation fatalities: 447; flight hours: 20,900,000 (National Transportation safety board 2010).
  • S. general aviation: Fatal accidents per 100,000 Flight Hours 1.27 (National Transportation safety board 2010).
  • Airliner (Scheduled and nonscheduled Part 21) fatalities per million flight hours: 4.03
  • Commuter Airline (Scheduled Part 135) Fatalities per million flight hours: 10.74
  • Commuter plane (Nonscheduled Part 135 – Air taxi on demand) fatalities per million flight hours: 12.24
  • General aviation (Private Part 91) fatalities per million flight hours: 22.43

Miscellaneous

  • Dance parties: 1 in 100,000 chance of dying
  • Table games: 1 in 100 million chance of dying
  • Computer games: 1 in 100 million chance of dying

Ireland Lifting Nearly ALL COVID Restrictions


Armstrong Economics Blog/Disease Re-Posted Jan 21, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Ireland is lifting nearly all COVID restrictions while Austria, France, and Germany screw their people even more at the direction of the World Economic Forum. Alexander Georg Nicolas Schallenberg, the Chancellor of Austria, who is a lawyer, should have known better than to allow Austria to impose the harshest COVID restrictions in the world.

When we look at the Austrian share market we can see that here too it has not exceeded the 2007 high. The economic policies of Austria are nits and these COVID Restrictions put the country at risk of a very major economic depression.

On Track


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 21, 2022 | Sundance | 159 Comments

What they envision (top) and where they are (bottom).

Right on track…

Prescient.

Biden Administration Confirms Canadian and Mexican Truck Drivers Must Show Vaccination Passport Beginning Tomorrow


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 21, 2022 | Sundance | 348 Comments

The preparation window has closed.

Given the destabilized and tenuous nature of the current supply chain, many people wondered if the Biden administration would actually be stupid enough to follow through with a truck driver vaccination mandate.  The answer is yes.  Please conduct yourselves accordingly.

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) updated their guidance yesterday [LINK HERE] and put a hard date of tomorrow, January 22nd, for the trucker vaccine mandate at all border crossings and ferry terminals.   Canada put the vaccine mandate into effect last week, January 15th.

[Dept. of Homeland Security] – [..]  “Starting on January 22, 2022, the Department of Homeland Security will require that non-U.S. individuals entering the United States via land ports of entry or ferry terminals along our Northern and Southern borders be fully vaccinated against COVID-19 and be prepared to show related proof of vaccination,” said Secretary Alejandro N. Mayorkas. “These updated travel requirements reflect the Biden-Harris Administration’s commitment to protecting public health while safely facilitating the cross-border trade and travel that is critical to our economy.”

These changes – which were first announced in October 2021 and made in consultation with the White House and several federal agencies, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) – will align public health measures that govern land travel with those that govern incoming international air travel.

Non-U.S. individuals traveling to the United States via land ports of entry or ferry terminals, whether for essential or non-essential reasons, must:

  • verbally attest to their COVID-19 vaccination status;
  • provide proof of a CDC-approved COVID-19 vaccination, as outlined on the CDC website;
  • present a valid Western Hemisphere Travel Initiative (WHTI)-compliant document, such as a valid passport, Trusted Traveler Program card, or Enhanced Tribal Card; and,
  • be prepared to present any other relevant documents requested by a U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) officer during a border inspection.

COVID-19 testing is not required for entry via a land port of entry or ferry terminal.

Although these new vaccination requirements do not apply to U.S. citizens, Lawful Permanent Residents, or U.S. nationals, all travelers are reminded to bring a WHTI-compliant document when re-entering the United States.  (more)

Approximately 50% of U.S. Truck Drivers are unvaccinated, they can no longer enter Canada.  Starting tomorrow, Canadian and Mexican truck drivers must be vaccinated, or they will not be able to enter the U.S.

Land shipments of fresh fruits and vegetables into Canada are immediately impacted.  Land shipments of fresh fruits and vegetables into the U.S. from Mexico are impacted starting tomorrow.  In addition to agriculture, lumber and auto-parts are likely to face significant impact.

CANADA – […] Alberta Premier Jason Kenney, at a news conference in Calgary, urged the government to extend an exemption that had been in place for truckers since the start of the pandemic.

Kenney made his request on the same day the United States confirmed its own vaccine border mandate for truckers would start on Saturday. Canada’s has been in place since Jan. 15.

“Common sense tells us that we are at the peak of supply chain constraints across North America, around the world, huge inflation,” Kenney said.

This is not the moment “to lose potentially thousands of truckers on our roads, bringing groceries up from the US and who knows maybe (COVID) rapid test kits as well,” he said.

As many as 32,000, or 20 per cent, of the 160,000 Canadian and American cross-border truck drivers may be taken off the roads by the mandate, the Canadian Trucking Alliance (CTA) estimates. The industry was short some 18,000 drivers even before the mandate, CTA said. (read more)

The bottom line is both shortages and higher prices.  Canada will feel it the worst; however, U.S. stores will feel it also.  The inflation this will drive will be on top of existing price pressure.  We have been warning since October, prices will increase, and shortages will be impactful.

The retail food stores have been reflecting the majority of the price increase from government COVID policy.  This vaccine mandate will make those price increases more as transportation costs will increase again.   However, the second route for fresh food delivery, “food away from home“, will suffer the majority of this price increase.  Restaurants, hotels, cafeterias, bars and institutional settings (hospitals, nursing homes, etc.) will see significant increases in their food costs.

A perfect storm has been created by policy.

Energy policy has driven up oil, fuel, packaging and gas prices.  Transportation costs have skyrocketed. Emission regulations have driven up port costs and delayed transportation fracturing the supply chain.  Vaccine mandates have hit the manufacturing and processing sectors.  Legislative policy and COVID spending have artificially inflated the economy.  Monetary policy has devalued the dollar and driven even higher inflation.

A tenuous economy cannot take these self-inflicted wounds…. and it’s about to get worse.

Into this hurricane of stagflation, the fed is going to raise interest rates.  The stock market could lose half its inflated value.  The NASDAQ is already responding to the storm clouds.  Employment is going to start getting really sketchy.  Congress will eventually announce their remedy, which will be more spending – and the dollar gets worse.

All of this was avoidable.

None of this is caused by COVID-19.

All of this is caused by Joe Biden’s economic, financial, monetary and legislative policy.

The people behind Joe Biden are laughing….

Biden has no idea.

CDC Director States Change to Definition of Fully Vaccinated Likely to Change Soon, Must Be Boosted


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 21, 2022 | Sundance | 217 Comments

The White House COVID manipulation team held a presser today [Full Video Here] highlighting the current situation with COVID-19 and their political perspectives on the Omicron variant.

Within the discussion, CDC Director Rochelle Walensky noted the CDC is about to change the definition of “fully vaccinated” to include a mandated booster shot.  WATCH:

Judge Enjoins SCOTUS Decision, Issues Nationwide Injunction Against Vaccine Mandate for Federal Workers and Contractors


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 21, 2022 | Sundance | 230 Comments

Earlier today a federal judge enjoined the Supreme Court decision against a federal mandate for private companies and expanded a nationwide injunction against the federal mandate for federal employees and contractors.

WASHINGTON (AP) — A U.S. judge in Texas issued a nationwide injunction on Friday barring the federal government from enforcing President Joe Biden’s requirement that federal workers without qualifying medical or religious exemptions be vaccinated for COVID-19.

Judge Jeffrey Brown, who was appointed to the District Court for the Southern District of Texas by then-President Donald Trump, ruled that opponents of Biden’s vaccination mandate for federal employees were likely to succeed at trial and blocked the government from enforcing the requirement.

Biden announced in September that more than 3.5 million federal workers were required to undergo vaccination, with no option to get regularly tested instead, unless they secured approved medical or religious exemptions. The requirement kicked in this past November, and White House press secretary Jen Psaki said Friday that 98% of federal workers are vaccinated.

“We are confident in our legal authority here,” she added.

Those out of compliance with the policy were referred to counseling and could be terminated under an executive order signed by Biden.

Brown wrote that at issue was whether the president “can, with the stroke of a pen and without the input of Congress, require millions of federal employees to undergo a medical procedure as a condition of their employment.” He added, “That, under the current state of the law as just recently expressed by the Supreme Court, is a bridge too far.”

The Justice Department said it would appeal the ruling. (more)

New York Governor Kathy Hochul Equates Masks in School to Children Wearing Shoes, They’ll Get Used to It


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 21, 2022 | Sundance | 267 Comments

New York Governor Kathy Hochul is a state leader with few redeeming qualities.  A detached elitist-minded governor who is very easy to dislike.

During her press conference today, Governor Hochul was questioned repeatedly about the state mask mandate for kids in school.  After several justifications, she encapsulated her refusal to remove the mask mandate by saying her own kids didn’t like wearing sneakers at first, but they got used to it.  Ergo, New York students will get used to wearing masks.  WATCH (Prompted):

Anyone who doesn’t realize the massive impact on students and kids created by this ridiculous COVID fear and mandates is, at this point in history, oblivious to the outcomes.  Government officials, state officials, education officials, teachers’ unions and the medical establishment have destroyed the lives of young people.  Key word “DESTROYED”.

It is going to take a long time, if ever, for our young people to recover from the selfish and insufferable damage put upon them by dictators like Governor Kathy Hochul of New York.  An eloquent and heartbreaking counterpoint is provided below.

The Manufacturing of a Mass Psychosis – Can Sanity Return to an Insane World?


Posted originally on the Academy of Ideas on April 24,2021

The Creation of Fauciism!


Fauci contemplating what he has done

A band new system of governance has been created over the past two years, as the pandemic of SARS-COV-2 ravaged the world; and I’ll call this new system Fauciism, What follows next is the logic for creating this new word.

Starting long before the emergence of the VOVID-19 virus in Wuhan China in November/December 2019 Anthony Fauci MD was hard at work plotting his new idea on Technocratic rule over the masses. For those not familiar of the Technocratic system one must go back to the 1920’s in America and you will find a movement associated with Columbia University in New York city, that took hold after the 1929 mark crash. The movement was centered in the principle of the best and the brightest meaning scientists and engineers should be the ones to rule the world. The goal was to optimize economics to the highest possible efficiency.

Patrick M. Woods in his book Technocracy Rising gives an excellent summary of the attempted takeover of the entire world by those that believe they were destined to rule us all. This is a very real movement and that book is a must read as it connects a lot of dots. So what we have in Anthony Fauci is the use of medical technology by him to create fear that can then be used to control the masses.

Robert F, Kennedy Jr. has written a definitive book on the evils that Anthony Fauci has done called The Real Anthony Fauci and after the first chapter you will understand why I am writing this.

The process is called Mass Psychosis in which a large segment of a society is conditioned by the use of fear e.g. the COVID-19 and the exaggerated high probability that you will die if you catch it. To avoid dying the citizens are told that they must do certain things. That results in a Totalitarianism form of government. This process was used to great success by Hitler and Stalin and resulted in WW II. There are three books that should be read; the first is The Origins of Totalitarianism by Hannah Arendt, the second in The Gulag Archipelago Vol I by Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn and the third is Obedience to Authority by Stanley Milgram.

If you read these books, you will understand exactly what is happening in Western civilization today. However, it’s hard to read all of the Gulag as what is described is unpleasant so only read what you can take. The point is that unless we break free of the fear the Gulag explains how in will end.

Fauci is not the one funding this abomination that honor belongs to Bill Gates. And the other one that takes advantage of the fear is Klaus Schwab the creator of the World Economic Forum (WEF) that wants to rule the world. But neither Gate nor Schwab could have pulled this off without Fauci so he is the one that must be given the credit for creating this new system of the tyranny of the Medical system hence forth Fauciism. This system of Fauci is responsible for killing between 70% and 80% of the COVID worldwide deaths and since those deaths aren’t over, he could easily be the holder of the world record in a few more years. The following figures were taken from Our World Data (Oxford University) on January 21, 2022, using 75% preventable. Note: the 70% & 80% come from Kennedy, Dr. Malone and others.

As of January 20, 2022 there were 860,247 COVID Deaths in the US and of that total 645,185 were preventable.

As of January 20, 2022 there were 5,548,704 COVID Deaths in the world and of that total 4,161,528 were preventable.

Fauci is clearly responsible for single handily killing, as of January 21, 2022 (the table is updated daily) 4,161,528 people. Granted others participated in this carnage, but without Fauci, none of this would have been possible so these deaths are 100% on him.

The reason this is true is because he funded and/or directed the “Gain of Function” project and he actively blocked the use of prophylactics for early treatment. That was done so that the mRNA experimental genetic drug could be used. If he had allowed that e.g. Ivermectin, along with a few other prophylactics, be used none of (or most of them) those people would not have died. However the mRNA experimental genetic drug would not have been allowed to be used. So Fauci did this for money for himself and his friends despite the Hippocratic oath that he took.