Category World Economic Form

Jan 22 2022

Unreported 2.9%, 1.8% and 1.8% Absolute Risk Reductions of COVID-19 Infections, Hospitalizations, and Deaths in Ivermectin Study


Posted originally o TrilSite New by Dr-Ron-Brown on January 21, 20227 Comments

Unreported 2.9%, 1.8% and 1.8% Absolute Risk Reductions of COVID-19 Infections, Hospitalizations, and Deaths in Ivermectin Study

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Note that views expressed in this opinion article are the writer’s personal views and not necessarily those of TrialSite.

Dr. Ron Brown – Opinion Editorial

January 21, 2022

A study of ivermectin use in a Brazilian population, published on January 15, 2022, reports that the repurposed drug reduced COVID-19 infections by 44%, hospitalizations by 56%, and deaths by 68%: Ivermectin Prophylaxis Used for COVID-19: A Citywide, Prospective, Observational Study of 223,128 Subjects Using Propensity Score Matching. Here is a figure from the report summarizing the findings: “Ivermectin-prophylaxis.-Summary-of-the-findings”

The reported findings from ivermectin use are relative risk reductions (RRRs), calculated as follows below from the data in the figure (note an error in the figure: the 8.2% infection rate in non-ivermectin use should be 6.6%).

Events are infections, hospitalizations, and deaths. Relative risks (RRs), called the rate risk ratio in the figure, are calculated by dividing an event rate of ivermectin use by the event rate of non-ivermectin use (the control). The RR decimal is then subtracted from 1 to give the RRR as a percentage.

Infection RRR

RR: ivermectin 3.7% / control 6.6% = 56%

1 – 0.56 = 44%

Hospitalization RRR

RR: ivermectin 1.45% / control 3.26% = 44%

1 – 0.44 = 56%

Mortality RRR

RR: ivermectin 0.82% / control 2.6% = 32%

1 – 0.32 = 68%

Calculations for the Unreported Absolute Risk Reductions (ARR)

The study’s unreported absolute risk reductions for COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths with ivermectin use are calculated by subtracting the event rate of ivermectin use from the event rate of non-ivermectin use (the control).

Infection ARR

control 6.6% – ivermectin 3.7% = 2.9%

Hospitalization ARR

control 3.26% – ivermectin 1.45% = 1.8%

Mortality ARR

control 2.6% – ivermectin 0.82% = 1.8%

Conclusions

Unsurprisingly, the unreported ARRs of COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths from ivermectin use—2.9%, 1.8%, and 1.8%, respectively—are much lower than the respective reported results of 44%, 56%, and 68%.

Furthermore, the study’s appendices include a STROBE Checklist (Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology) which lists the following item:

“Main Results (c) If relevant, consider translating estimates of relative risk into absolute risk for a meaningful time period.”

For some unexplained reason, the study authors overruled this checklist item with the response: “NOT APPLICABLE.” Perhaps the authors can write to TrialSite and offer readers a helpful explanation of why relative risks weren’t translated to absolute risks to “strengthen” the report?

Until then, I guess it’s totally the public’s responsibility to determine whether a repurposed drug with an unreported 2.9% absolute risk reduction of COVID-19 infection is effective enough to warrant clinical use.

Jan 22 2022

Ireland Lifting Nearly ALL COVID Restrictions


Armstrong Economics Blog/Disease Re-Posted Jan 21, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Ireland is lifting nearly all COVID restrictions while Austria, France, and Germany screw their people even more at the direction of the World Economic Forum. Alexander Georg Nicolas Schallenberg, the Chancellor of Austria, who is a lawyer, should have known better than to allow Austria to impose the harshest COVID restrictions in the world.

When we look at the Austrian share market we can see that here too it has not exceeded the 2007 high. The economic policies of Austria are nits and these COVID Restrictions put the country at risk of a very major economic depression.

Jan 22 2022

Biden’s Ukrainian Press Conference Surrenders to Putin


Armstrong Economics Blog/Russia Re-Posted Jan 21, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

When you listen to a politician, listen closely not to what he says, but what he is desperately trying not to say. Here Biden over Putin a free-pass to enter Ukraine. Yes, he promised sanctions. He did not say that American or NATO troops would respond. He also said that Ukraine would not enter NATO. They need deniability as to why they will not defend Ukraine with military force.

Jan 22 2022

United Nations and World Bank Predict Increased Global Starvation Due to Fertilizer and Farm Costs


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 21, 2022 | Sundance | 170 Comments

It’s easy to ignore the United Nations and World Bank pontificators as Über-leftists and global climate change fanatics.  However, of value to us ordinary peeps, is a recognition that U.N and WB outlooks permeate the World Economic Forum and Davos groups.

The multinational corporations and quasi-governmental entities in/around the World Economic Forum (WEF) are the people who call themselves “elites” and shape global policy.  As a result, when the U.N. and Word Bank start talking about widespread global famine as a result of energy policy impacts to the farming industry, specifically natural gas costs and fertilizer resulting in lower crop yields, it is worth paying attention.

We have already discussed the U.S. impact from higher fertilizer costs HERE.   As a nation we are blessed and fortunate to be living on land that is naturally healthy and fertile enough to grow food in abundance.   However, if our crop yields drop our export ability diminishes.  The world relies on the U.S. as a food basket.  You might have recently heard about foreign countries buying up U.S. farmland? Well….

In this outline from the Wall Street Journal, they note those increased costs mean less crops in all continents especially the third world regions.  That can be catastrophic for nations that already have food insecurity issues.

(Via Wall Street Journal) Christina Ribeiro do Valle, who comes from a long line of coffee growers in Brazil, is this year paying three times what she paid last year for the fertilizer she needs. Coupled with a recent drought that hit her crop hard, it means Ms. do Valle, 75, will produce a fraction of her Ribeiro do Valle brand of coffee, some of which is exported.

There is also a shortage of fertilizer. “This year, you pay, then put your name on a waiting list, and the supplier delivers it when he has it,” she said.

[…] Farmers in the U.S. are also feeling the pinch, with some shifting their planting plans. But the impact is expected to be worse in developing countries where smallholders have limited access to bank loans and can’t pay up front for expensive fertilizer.

Fertilizer demand in sub-Saharan Africa could fall 30% in 2022, according to the International Fertilizer Development Center, a global nonprofit organization. That would translate to 30 million metric tons less food produced, which the center says is equivalent to the food needs of 100 million people.

“Lower fertilizer use will inevitably weigh on food production and quality, affecting food availability, rural incomes and the livelihoods of the poor,” said Josef Schmidhuber, deputy director of the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization’s trade and markets division.

As the pandemic enters year three, more households are having to cut down on the quantity and quality of food they consume, the World Bank said in a note last month, noting that high fertilizer prices were adding to costs. Around 2.4 billion people lacked access to adequate food in 2020, up 320 million from the year before, it said. Inflation rose in about 80% of emerging-market economies last year, with roughly a third seeing double-digit food inflation, according to the World Bank.

Diammonium phosphate, or DAP, a commonly used phosphate fertilizer, cost $745 per metric ton in December—more than double its 2020 average price. December prices for Eastern European urea, a widely exported nitrogen fertilizer, were nearly four times the 2020 average.

[…] Tony Will, chief executive of CF Industries Holdings Inc., a leading nitrogen fertilizer manufacturer based in Deerfield, Ill., said he expected lower fertilization levels this year to result in reduced agricultural yields. The company has only reopened one of the two U.K. plants it closed in September, citing high natural-gas prices and low availability of truck drivers. Plants in North America, where gas prices are lower, are running at maximum capacity, Mr. Will said.

Industry experts say European production is likely to be constrained as long as natural-gas prices remain high there, with shortages in parts of the developing world amplified by trade restrictions in other major fertilizer exporters. (read more)

Leftism has consequences.  Chase the surfacing issue back to its origin, and you will find the climate change agenda at the heart of changes in energy policy.  The changes in energy policy, as noted above, have consequences like higher prices.  Those higher prices for natural gas, oil, fuel, etc mean higher prices for fertilizer… which leads to less food.

Chasing the climate change agenda actually kills people.  Then again, from the perspective of the climate change cult, less people are not a bad thing.

As we have shared…. “The absence of food will most certainly change things.”

[ GO DEEP ]

Jan 22 2022

On Track


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 21, 2022 | Sundance | 159 Comments

What they envision (top) and where they are (bottom).

Right on track…

Prescient.

Jan 22 2022

Biden Administration Confirms Canadian and Mexican Truck Drivers Must Show Vaccination Passport Beginning Tomorrow


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 21, 2022 | Sundance | 348 Comments

The preparation window has closed.

Given the destabilized and tenuous nature of the current supply chain, many people wondered if the Biden administration would actually be stupid enough to follow through with a truck driver vaccination mandate.  The answer is yes.  Please conduct yourselves accordingly.

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) updated their guidance yesterday [LINK HERE] and put a hard date of tomorrow, January 22nd, for the trucker vaccine mandate at all border crossings and ferry terminals.   Canada put the vaccine mandate into effect last week, January 15th.

[Dept. of Homeland Security] – [..]  “Starting on January 22, 2022, the Department of Homeland Security will require that non-U.S. individuals entering the United States via land ports of entry or ferry terminals along our Northern and Southern borders be fully vaccinated against COVID-19 and be prepared to show related proof of vaccination,” said Secretary Alejandro N. Mayorkas. “These updated travel requirements reflect the Biden-Harris Administration’s commitment to protecting public health while safely facilitating the cross-border trade and travel that is critical to our economy.”

These changes – which were first announced in October 2021 and made in consultation with the White House and several federal agencies, including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) – will align public health measures that govern land travel with those that govern incoming international air travel.

Non-U.S. individuals traveling to the United States via land ports of entry or ferry terminals, whether for essential or non-essential reasons, must:

  • verbally attest to their COVID-19 vaccination status;
  • provide proof of a CDC-approved COVID-19 vaccination, as outlined on the CDC website;
  • present a valid Western Hemisphere Travel Initiative (WHTI)-compliant document, such as a valid passport, Trusted Traveler Program card, or Enhanced Tribal Card; and,
  • be prepared to present any other relevant documents requested by a U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) officer during a border inspection.

COVID-19 testing is not required for entry via a land port of entry or ferry terminal.

Although these new vaccination requirements do not apply to U.S. citizens, Lawful Permanent Residents, or U.S. nationals, all travelers are reminded to bring a WHTI-compliant document when re-entering the United States.  (more)

Approximately 50% of U.S. Truck Drivers are unvaccinated, they can no longer enter Canada.  Starting tomorrow, Canadian and Mexican truck drivers must be vaccinated, or they will not be able to enter the U.S.

Land shipments of fresh fruits and vegetables into Canada are immediately impacted.  Land shipments of fresh fruits and vegetables into the U.S. from Mexico are impacted starting tomorrow.  In addition to agriculture, lumber and auto-parts are likely to face significant impact.

CANADA – […] Alberta Premier Jason Kenney, at a news conference in Calgary, urged the government to extend an exemption that had been in place for truckers since the start of the pandemic.

Kenney made his request on the same day the United States confirmed its own vaccine border mandate for truckers would start on Saturday. Canada’s has been in place since Jan. 15.

“Common sense tells us that we are at the peak of supply chain constraints across North America, around the world, huge inflation,” Kenney said.

This is not the moment “to lose potentially thousands of truckers on our roads, bringing groceries up from the US and who knows maybe (COVID) rapid test kits as well,” he said.

As many as 32,000, or 20 per cent, of the 160,000 Canadian and American cross-border truck drivers may be taken off the roads by the mandate, the Canadian Trucking Alliance (CTA) estimates. The industry was short some 18,000 drivers even before the mandate, CTA said. (read more)

The bottom line is both shortages and higher prices.  Canada will feel it the worst; however, U.S. stores will feel it also.  The inflation this will drive will be on top of existing price pressure.  We have been warning since October, prices will increase, and shortages will be impactful.

The retail food stores have been reflecting the majority of the price increase from government COVID policy.  This vaccine mandate will make those price increases more as transportation costs will increase again.   However, the second route for fresh food delivery, “food away from home“, will suffer the majority of this price increase.  Restaurants, hotels, cafeterias, bars and institutional settings (hospitals, nursing homes, etc.) will see significant increases in their food costs.

A perfect storm has been created by policy.

Energy policy has driven up oil, fuel, packaging and gas prices.  Transportation costs have skyrocketed. Emission regulations have driven up port costs and delayed transportation fracturing the supply chain.  Vaccine mandates have hit the manufacturing and processing sectors.  Legislative policy and COVID spending have artificially inflated the economy.  Monetary policy has devalued the dollar and driven even higher inflation.

A tenuous economy cannot take these self-inflicted wounds…. and it’s about to get worse.

Into this hurricane of stagflation, the fed is going to raise interest rates.  The stock market could lose half its inflated value.  The NASDAQ is already responding to the storm clouds.  Employment is going to start getting really sketchy.  Congress will eventually announce their remedy, which will be more spending – and the dollar gets worse.

All of this was avoidable.

None of this is caused by COVID-19.

All of this is caused by Joe Biden’s economic, financial, monetary and legislative policy.

The people behind Joe Biden are laughing….

…Biden has no idea.

Jan 21 2022

The Manufacturing of a Mass Psychosis – Can Sanity Return to an Insane World?


Posted originally on the Academy of Ideas on April 24,2021

The Manufacturing of a Mass Psychosis – Can Sanity Return to an Insane World?
Jan 21 2022

The Creation of Fauciism!


Fauci contemplating what he has done

A band new system of governance has been created over the past two years, as the pandemic of SARS-COV-2 ravaged the world; and I’ll call this new system Fauciism, What follows next is the logic for creating this new word.

Starting long before the emergence of the VOVID-19 virus in Wuhan China in November/December 2019 Anthony Fauci MD was hard at work plotting his new idea on Technocratic rule over the masses. For those not familiar of the Technocratic system one must go back to the 1920’s in America and you will find a movement associated with Columbia University in New York city, that took hold after the 1929 mark crash. The movement was centered in the principle of the best and the brightest meaning scientists and engineers should be the ones to rule the world. The goal was to optimize economics to the highest possible efficiency.

Patrick M. Woods in his book Technocracy Rising gives an excellent summary of the attempted takeover of the entire world by those that believe they were destined to rule us all. This is a very real movement and that book is a must read as it connects a lot of dots. So what we have in Anthony Fauci is the use of medical technology by him to create fear that can then be used to control the masses.

Robert F, Kennedy Jr. has written a definitive book on the evils that Anthony Fauci has done called The Real Anthony Fauci and after the first chapter you will understand why I am writing this.

The process is called Mass Psychosis in which a large segment of a society is conditioned by the use of fear e.g. the COVID-19 and the exaggerated high probability that you will die if you catch it. To avoid dying the citizens are told that they must do certain things. That results in a Totalitarianism form of government. This process was used to great success by Hitler and Stalin and resulted in WW II. There are three books that should be read; the first is The Origins of Totalitarianism by Hannah Arendt, the second in The Gulag Archipelago Vol I by Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn and the third is Obedience to Authority by Stanley Milgram.

If you read these books, you will understand exactly what is happening in Western civilization today. However, it’s hard to read all of the Gulag as what is described is unpleasant so only read what you can take. The point is that unless we break free of the fear the Gulag explains how in will end.

Fauci is not the one funding this abomination that honor belongs to Bill Gates. And the other one that takes advantage of the fear is Klaus Schwab the creator of the World Economic Forum (WEF) that wants to rule the world. But neither Gate nor Schwab could have pulled this off without Fauci so he is the one that must be given the credit for creating this new system of the tyranny of the Medical system hence forth Fauciism. This system of Fauci is responsible for killing between 70% and 80% of the COVID worldwide deaths and since those deaths aren’t over, he could easily be the holder of the world record in a few more years. The following figures were taken from Our World Data (Oxford University) on January 21, 2022, using 75% preventable. Note: the 70% & 80% come from Kennedy, Dr. Malone and others.

As of January 20, 2022 there were 860,247 COVID Deaths in the US and of that total 645,185 were preventable.

As of January 20, 2022 there were 5,548,704 COVID Deaths in the world and of that total 4,161,528 were preventable.

Fauci is clearly responsible for single handily killing, as of January 21, 2022 (the table is updated daily) 4,161,528 people. Granted others participated in this carnage, but without Fauci, none of this would have been possible so these deaths are 100% on him.

The reason this is true is because he funded and/or directed the “Gain of Function” project and he actively blocked the use of prophylactics for early treatment. That was done so that the mRNA experimental genetic drug could be used. If he had allowed that e.g. Ivermectin, along with a few other prophylactics, be used none of (or most of them) those people would not have died. However the mRNA experimental genetic drug would not have been allowed to be used. So Fauci did this for money for himself and his friends despite the Hippocratic oath that he took.

Jan 21 2022

WHO: Healthy Children Do Not Need Boosters


Armstrong Economics Blog/Disease Re-Posted Jan 21, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Soumya Swaminathan, the chief scientist at the World Health Organization (WHO), declared that COVID booster shots are not appropriate for healthy children. “The aim is to protect the most vulnerable, to protect those at highest risk of severe disease and dying,” she declared, noting that the booster vaccines should only be used to treat the elderly, immunocompromised, and health care workers treating COVID positive patients.

“There’s no evidence right now that healthy children or healthy adolescents need boosters,” Swaminathan stated. “No evidence at all.” Her message comes on the tail of the CDC approving booster shots for children aged 12 to 17. Pfizer would like to inject children with another useless vaccine “at least” five months after receiving the first two doses. Again, there is absolutely no evidence that this is necessary.

The scientist took to Twitter to state that the goal should not be to develop a new vaccine for each new strain of the virus. “Rather than pursuing a strategy of creating a new vaccine for each new variant, we must invest in R&D [research and development] for protective vaccines against all betacoronoviruses – academics working on broadly neutralizing antibodies can work wt [with] vaccine developers to identify consensus sequences.”

Our computer models have warned that Pfizer would peak in 2022. The endless “breakthrough” cases are causing many to realize that the vaccine is not effective. We are one step closer to reaching a herd immunity to fear.

Jan 21 2022

Putin Could Take All of Europe in the Blink of an Eye – Its Time to be AWAKE – not WOKE


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Jan 20, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

The most conservative assessments have been that Putin could be in Paris in less than 30 days. Europe has been more concerned about steering money from defense to Marxist socialism. The net result is that Europe is not really prepared for a conventional war with Russia.

On top of that, this COVID nonsense which has been all about bringing Climate Change and Schwab’s Dreams of Marxism to come true has severely weakened the European economy. Europe has destroyed its bond market and now major US banks, who pulled out of the REPO market with European banks back in August 2019, have now also declined to lend against any European sovereign debt.

This entire Climate Change is also a ploy to facilitate Soros’ dream of his OPEN SOCIETY meaning a One World Government with the United Nations at the helm. The argument is that no single nation can solve climate change and therefore it will take a coordinated effort and nations must surrender sovereignty to the UN. The UN even wants to impose a 10% tax on the entire world.

Meanwhile, people have no idea how critical the energy situation is in Europe. As the environmentalists have been desperately trying to end all fossil fuels BEFORE there is an alternative energy source, they have placed the security of the world in a very serious position. They cannot impose harsh sanctions on Russia because Russia could turn off all the flow of gas to Europe which would starve them out and lead to a major crisis beyond description. As even the Deutsche Wirtschafts Nachrichten reports, one of the last independent German news organizations still standing, Germany has at neat 18 days worth of fuel. How do you threaten Russia with sanctions but then ask please don’t turn off the gas?

Germany has issued a new book entitled “Cooking Without Electricity.” Why issue such a book if there was not a crisis they did not want to really talk about?

While it may appear that Biden’s remarks that a limited incursion into Ukraine will not provide a major response which, as Ukraine has said, is now a Greenlight for Putin to take Eastern Ukrain which is primarily ethnic Russians – not Ukrainian.

From the very beginning, I have warned that Ukraine should have been petitioned to hand the East to Russia because the people there were ethnic Russia – not Ukrainian. I warned back in 2013, that Ukraine may be the most important country to watch. Out model was pointing to Ukraine as the key between East and West. I warned back in 2014 that this was all just political and that Ukraine should have been split based upon language.

These disputes over territory rather than the desires of the people that live there are a throwback to the days of imperialism and empire-building. Those days are long gone. They were based upon the Physiocrats and their theory that the wealth of a nation was its territory – land. It was Adam Smith who countered them with his Wealth of Nations in 1776 that it was not simply land, but the productivity of the nation.

USS Iwo Jima

Nevertheless, twelve ships all set sail from Virginia within 24 hours. The US will not stop a Russian invasion. It is sending naval support as a show of force to not take all of Ukraine.

  1. the USS Iwo Jima (LHD 7) class Wasp
  2. the USNS Medgar Evers (T-AKE-13) Lewis and Clark-class
  3. the USNS Zeus (T-ARC-7)
  4. the USS Bataan (LHD 5) class Wasp
  5. The USS Arlington (LPD 24) San Antonio Class
  6. The USS Tripoli (LHA 7)
  7. The USS Curtis Wilbur (DDG 54) class Arleigh Burke-class Flight I
  8. The USS Kearsarge (LHD 3) class Wasp
  9. The USNS tanker Joshua Humphreys (T-AO-188) Henry J. Kaiser-class
  10. The USS Forrest Sherman (DDG 98) class Arleigh Burke-class Flight IIA
  11. The USS Gunston Hall (LSD 44) Whidbey Island-class
  12. The USS Carter Hall (LSD 50)

Biden is the most incompetent president we have ever had. This is what they needed to overthrow the US Constitution. His staff has been focused on climate change and taking orders from the World Economic Forum. They have deliberately moved to defund police to create instability so that the people will remain divided and therefore be subservient and not unite against the government.

Even Amazon’s internal documents exposed that the company rates their stores using a “diversity index,” and determined the threat of unionization is “higher” at stores with “lower diversity.” This is what the WOKE movement is all about — DIVIDE & CONQUER! Julius Caesar was able to conquer Gaul despite being outnumbered more than 10 to 1 because the Gauls never united until it was too late. Even in the final battle during September 52 BC, Julius Caesar sealed his fate as a legendary military commander at the Battle of Alesia where his army of 50,000 Romans defeated 200,000 Gauls in what is now modern-day Burgundy, France. The Celtic tribes were never united. Caesar defeated the Belgae tribes as well as the Helvetia. Had they all united, Caesar surely would not have conquered Europe. Hence, keep your opponents divided and you will win. This is the entire object of the woke movement — divide and created hatred between the groups.

This is a major political maxim. The Nazis used this strategy. Divide the people and keep them at each other’s throats, and they will not join together and overthrow the government. This entire WOKE movement t is anti-civilization and it is to raise racism once again. What we need is a NEW movement and call it AWAKE, where all groups realize that they are being used to usher in a whole new Marxist agenda orchestrated by a foreign power at the World Economic Forum. Only if we wake up will people see that the only people to benefit will be those in power who will also eliminate Democracy because they have redefined that as evil populism which brought Trump to power.