How to Destroy a Nation in 2 Generations


Posted originally on Apr 3, 2024 by Martin Armstrong

Inheritance 2

QUESTION: I believe you analyzed inheritance and how altering it had contributed to society’s decline. Politicians here in Australia are talking about when you die; everything should go to the state because it is not fair that one person inherits more than another.

I would greatly appreciate any comments you might have historically on that subject.

Bret

Inheritance Tax

REPLY: Yes, I forgot when I did that analysis. It was a long time ago. Inheritance Taxes are Marxist and highly destructive economically. Suppose you have a company worth $100 million; your children must pay 40% taxes. They have to fire people and sell assets to cover the tax. This has been HIGHLY destructive in farming. Heirs have been forced to sell off farmland to pay the tax. This is how large farming companies and Bill Gates have accumulated farmland. This exploitation of the heir reduces productivity and thus reduces GDP and employment.

Before Marxism, inheritance became the primary reason the first son inherited everything during the Middle Ages, and the second son was donated to the church to become a priest, whether he liked it or not. In ancient times, if you had many children and evenly divided an estate among them, you effectively destroyed society’s productive capacity.

Charlemagne 11

There had previously been two types of marriage in France, temporary and permanent, until the Catholic Church insisted on only permanent marriages. Charlemagne married all his daughters in only a “temporary” marriage, meaning that they possessed no legal right to the throne or property. That was the distinction between the two types. The question of inheritance was a major issue historically.

The ancients knew the consequences of dividing estates (partibility) among heirs. Sparta in Greece rewarded fathers based on the number of children. Sparta wanted soldiers, so the more children, the better. But Sparta undermined its own economy in the process. Production of children was rewarded in Sparta, and the fathers of three or four sons were exempted from military service and other economic burdens. Aristotle is sharply critical of this practice and wrote:

“It is obvious that, if there were many children, the land being distributed as it is, many of them must necessarily fall into poverty.”

If you create a major company like Ford Motors and you die, then the government is only interested in grabbing taxes. They think nothing about the jobs this company creates. The ancients realized that even dividing it up equally among the heirs destroys the productive capacity of the entity. This is why they evolved into the first son who inherited everything to preserve the estate rather than destroy it.

Jefferson Greatest Threat

After 2032, we MUST prohibit any such idea of direct taxation (income/inheritance) as the Founding Fathers of the US Constitution intended. They understood this lesson from the past – Marx was a hateful, jealous person, only concerned with not having as much as his neighbor. This is what has brought us to the brink of disaster. Our government has followed Marx rather than those who created the Constitution out of experience.

Paine on Govt

Thomas Paine was famous for saying: Give me liberty or death. But he also made it very clear why history repeats fro the people refuse to ever learn:

“Government, even in its best state, is but a necessary evil; in its worse state, an intolerable one.”

WarRoom Battleground EP 505: Debunking Trans Day Of Visibility


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannons War Room on: Apr 2, 2024 at 01:00 am EST

The far LEFT = Anarchism?


Posted 0riginally on Apr 2, 2024 by Martin Armstrong

2024_04_01_08_25_17_Harvard_is_named_worst_school_for_free_speech_scoring_zero_out_of_possible_100

Sometimes, you can be so LEFT that you really become an anarchist.

Putin Spotted Laughing as Biden Celebrates with “Oyster Bunnies”


Posted originally on the CTH on April 1, 2024 | Sundance

I strongly doubt that Chairman Xi, President Putin or Chairman Kim think about Joe Biden for a single moment. Everyone knows Biden is a propped optic for the people behind the administration who control him.

At a certain point it just gets embarrassing to keep pretending. Check his polling, Biden isn’t collapsing because the left dislike his policies; Biden is collapsing because more and more leftists are being ridiculed and shamed.

Today, Joe Biden celebrated his national transgender egg roll days with the “oyster bunnies.” WATCH:

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It was really bad.  Really bad.

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Happy Transgender Day – Forget Easter


Posted originally on Mar 31, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Easter is Transgender Day

If anyone dares to question why the United States will break apart and separate, you must move to California. Biden has just declared Easter is really Transgender Day. He did not give us a memo on how to celebrate. I guess we do not have to hunt for eggs or give presents. So, I guess we are all supposed to be cross-dressers today. We now have Biden effectively declaring Easter Sunday Transgender Day, which is basically a FU to all Christians while they are really saying take your religion and stuff it. The Biden Administration, like Marx, has effectively declared religion the OPIUM OF THE PEOPLE, and they have no respect for anything you believe.

Like Zelensky in Ukraine outlawing Eastern Orthodox religion and nullifying their holidays, including outlawing their Christmas in January, which has been celebrated for more than 1,000 years, the Biden White House is trying to eradicate our religious beliefs and customs.

When Biden won the White House, they were cheering that they would change America into their vision of la la land – Californization of the entire country. That is what I mean; the people who are really running the show in the White House HATE America! They hate religion, our culture, and everything about what made America – America. They are trying to desperately destroy everything about the United States that once made our country great and the beacon of liberty around the world. LIBERTY is old fashioned – they are now autocratic dictators that we MUST live by what they decree or else!

Those Days of Freedom Are Gone

Sleep Walking into WWIII

This Biden Administration is sleep-walking the country into World War III to reduce the population all for the Climate Change zealots and to appease the NEOCONs who cannot sleep at night without hating someone.

Biden_Confirms_This_Is_World_War_III

The Neocons wrote the script for Biden to read, for they made sure they started the civil war in Ukraine as the spearhead to use to go after Russia. This was a Declaration of War that they announced on March 26th, 2022, and bypassed Congress entirely to manipulate the country into war.

CNN Biden Denying Free Speech

We already knew that FREEDOM OF SPEECH means nothing anymore, as the Biden Administration orders private companies to censor people they cannot do directly. Biden even created, on April 27, 2022, the Disinformation Governance Board (DGB), an advisory board of the United States Department of Homeland Security (DHS) to control the free press. Then Biden tells Texas it has NO RIGHT whatsoever to defend its own people.

Voter ID

I am sorry, but with this agenda, it is only a matter of time before History Repeats, and we will see a unified separatist movement start to form. NOBODY will accept the results of this election, and there is NO WAY these people in Washington will allow either Trump or RFK to win the White House. All the studies show that Trump would have won in 2020 without mail-in ballots. The Democrats are handing out voter registrations to noncitizens. Merrick tells Congress VOTER IDs are not necessary, yet they threaten any state that insists on IDs to vote as discriminatory. You cannot board a plane or drive a car without a photo ID, but you can vote with nothing? This is all to rig the elections. There is no way this will be a fair election, and they DO NOT GIVE A SHIT anymore what you vote for or what you think. They will win no matter what.

A VOTE FOR BIDEN IS A VOTE AGAINST

EVERYTHING AMERICA STOOD FOR

Because it is for the DEEP STATE

Civil War in any country typically followed two factors. When a nation PRETENDS to be a democracy, like the Roman Republic, but while people may vote, once in power, the leaders do whatever they want. This has unfolded in the United States, and the Biden Administration has taken this to new heights. Zelensky was elected promising peace in Ukraine and has done the opposite. This is the #1 factor that led to all civil wars throughout history. The #2 factor was when the people become divided according to IDENTITY rather than philosophy, such as Catholic vs. Protestant, Suni vs. Shitie, Black vs. White, Marxist vs. Capitalist. Today, 40% of Democrats vote Democrat not because of philosophy but because of IDENTITY. The same is true about Republicans. This is the crisis in Washington that has identified Republicans who no longer represent the philosophy but vote because they are part of the Deep State IDENTITY – hence RINOs.

When the people are so divided, and the groups begin to hate each other as is unfolding, then our failed Republican form of government is NOT a democracy in the slightest, and they, like Zelensky, will say whatever needs to be said to win an election and then do as they like. This clip from the London Financial Times shows how DEMOCRACY suddenly became POPULISM because people voted for an outsider like Trump, and they were terrified.

This is why the United States will go into a civil war. This formula has identified civil wars for thousands of years, leaping out from our computer models that have looked at the rise and fall of nations. It is NOT equality or the differential in wealth. It is when fundamental fairness is thrown out the window for power. EVERY single city-state, nation, or empire has fallen when it has crossed this threshold and is buried in a common grave.

That said, I personally do not believe those controlling the White House, and thus all the government agencies, will allow anyone BUT Biden to win this election. They have gone too far to allow anyone to overturn their agenda. I find it very curious that this movie comes out on April 12th on the future American Civil War.  The American Civil War actually began on April 12th, 1861 (1861.279). So, the release date is historical. Our computer shows that the United States will no longer stand united by 2036.489.

Our computer has projected that 2024 will sow the seeds for the end of the United States. According to the historian Suetonius, Caesar said his famous phrase, ālea iacta est (“the die has been cast”). In other words, the dice have been thrown. That is what our computer has forecast for 2024. The precise date of that turning point is September 4/5th, 2024.

The Dice Have Been Cast

Biden Simplying Taxes to Cover his $7.5 Trillion Budget


Posted originally on Mar 29, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Biden Hunt for Taxes

According to leaked sources, Biden’s new simplified income-tax form to fund World War III and his Proposed $7.5 trillion budget will be revised, containing only four lines:

1. What was your income for the year?

2. What were your expenses?

3. How much have you left?

4. Send it in.

Maine and the coming CBDC


Posted originally on the CTH on March 29, 2024

The quoted banker does not specifically talk about the Central Bank Digital Currency that lays at the end of the promoted rainbow; the author does. However, the banker does outline a familiar step in the current process.  As a result, it is worth drawing attention to the continuum.

MAINE – “According to Hannigan, the COVID-19 pandemic forced businesses to implement “paper-free and virtual processes” to handle their finances while “adapting to the new reality.

“For years, Americans had been slowly moving away from cash and paper checks, but the pandemic supercharged the trend,” Hannigan wrote. “By last year, 41% said they never use cash for purchases, up from 24% in 2015, according to the Pew Research Center. Only 14% still exclusively use cash and checks.” (Read More)

There is a BIG difference between electronic funds (current), and a digital dollar (future).

Upcoming AMA, Great Replacement Theory, General Information


Posted originally on the CTH on March 29, 2024 | Sundance

Go back in your mind to the time when anxiety around the COVID-19 pandemic was at its apex.  Think about what you saw, heard, witnessed in real life, and understood about the overall issues.  Then, remember and overlay the intensity around the 2021 vaccination demands by various health and government officials.

Think about what you witnessed, experienced, saw, read about and have an undeniable reference for, as it directly pertained to the intense drive by various government and health agencies about the vaccination protocol in 2021.

Think carefully about the fear that was generated.

Think not only about what you witnessed here in the United States, but also think carefully and remind yourself what you witnessed unfolding in the rest of what we would call the “Western world” around the COVID-19 pandemic – and the vaccination protocol specifically.

Remind yourself of the demands, not just on Americans, but people living in the areas that do not have restrictions on government and freedom for individual liberty – protections that exist uniquely in the USA under our constitution.

Remind yourself of the action of the Canadian government, the vaccine passports demanded by the EU and the Australian/NZ government.  The rules and arbitrary restrictions imposed by so-called Western government leadership.

Think about examples where you personally witnessed these issues unfolding.

Think about what you saw unfold with your own eyes.

Put your frame of reference back into that place.

Close your eyes and remind yourself, YOU DID witness these things.

Those events were real; they really did happen.  The quarantine camps were real. The “show your papers” approach was empirically true. The forced vaccination demand was real.  Travel and freedom were genuinely under the control of government authorities.  The local, state and federal police really did comply with enforcing the nonsense.

Remind yourself of all of it.

Make yourself emotionally, and psychologically revisit that time in your mind’s reference.

Now, before going forward, overlay what you remember in 2021 with the 2022 western government sanction map as a context.

The similarity between what you remember about the 2021 vaccination compliance within the most authoritarian regions, and those same regions responding in 2022 unity to the RU sanction situation, are not coincidental.

Now, overlay the percentage of vaccine compliance!

For Americans, think about the level of compliance with the vaccination demand inside the United States.

Approximately 75% of Americans took the COVID-19 vaccine as promoted and demanded by mechanisms of the U.S. federal, state and local government.

It is important to take emotional judgement out of your mindset.  Do NOT judge those Americans who took the vaccine either from a place of fear or from a place of forced compliance due to financial threats.  Judgement upon them is unfair and of little value.

Accept that everyone did what was in their interests; and accept that many did not have a choice due to work rules and compliance mechanisms forced upon them.  DROP judgement from your viewpoint.  Just stand back and think about overall compliance.

Approximately 25% of Americans did not succumb to the overwhelming pressure of government.  The non-compliance in the USA was higher than the non-compliance of any nation in the zone outlined above (in yellow).   Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Japan and the EU had a much higher rate of compliance – much higher.

In part, this was/is driven by American skepticism of any mandate.  Our ancestral DNA contains a spirit of distrust toward government.  We Americans are less compliant with control regimes.  In essence, and in a very broad generalization, we Americans cling to our individual liberty with a stronger ferocity than most.

NOW…

Think about that 20-25% of the population that did not comply, and perhaps add the percentage of the population that reluctantly -very reluctantly- did comply.

Accept what I am about to say with the spirit of its intent….

…. When things get seriously sketchy in the next several months, THAT’S YOUR TRIBE.

That non-compliant sector of Americans, the 25% that refused to absorb the weight of pressure upon them, that is our hope.   That’s our tribe of allies when the SHTF.

That group, and it may splinter your overall review of who is on your team, that group is your ally.

After long discussions in the past several years, I am increasingly convinced that percentage of non-compliance is directly proportional to the number of imported illegal aliens at the U.S. southern border.

The people, institutions, government agencies and various regulatory/compliance systems have identified the scale of how many Americans still hold that DNA strain of non-compliance.  The number of imported compliant aliens is not coincidentally proportional to the number of non-compliant Americans during the COVID-19 vaccination timeframe.

The agencies of government need social compliance for the next phases of social engineering.  They have identified the size of their task.

The next phases of the cleaving will all revolve around economics; that’s where the motives and intents of the Western financial walls, walls clouded under the auspices of the Russian sanction regime, comes from.

When you think about the biggest of the big pictures, control over the monetary and financial system is at the root of controlled liberty.

The world is cleaving; or more accurately, the world is being increasingly cleaved.  However, it’s not cleaving purely over the issue of ideology; the core motive is the root of all evil – the love of money.

The control of the monetary system, ultimately the control of human physical activity, is the originating motive of all control mechanisms.

I know at a granular level this is big, complex and complicated shift to understand, but I truly sense we are nearing a phase where it will become transparently clear.

When the mechanisms are introduced, and I mean the big CBDC mechanisms that are currently under construction, approximately 75% of the American people will accept and adhere to the demands within those mechanisms.  This is where the compliance rate from the COVID-19 vaccination gives us a reference. Approximately 25% will solidly not accept what is coming, and that scale of understanding should help put context upon the challenge before us.

I have put myself out there in the world to gain a very specific understanding of the constructs at a granular level.  Other people have far more skill and expertise than me in the mechanics of the financial system; that’s simply not my focus.

My focus was/is twofold.  (1) To understand the mechanics of what/why; and then (2) to get a granular, very granular, level of understanding around “HOW” this will likely unfold and how it will impact.  Meaning, what will they do to ensure compliance, and how will that compliance demand surface in the details of ordinary life?

With that in mind, I could spend hours writing about it – and I likely will – however, in the interest of time and urgency I want to tailor and frame my outlines based on your needs.

So….

Tomorrow, Saturday, at 18:00 U.S. Eastern (6:00pm EST), my plan is to post an “Ask me Anything” thread, where I can answer your specific questions.

Keep in mind, this is not an opportunity to ask large general questions, that’s too difficult – takes too many words.  However, if people have very specific questions about how this is being put together by the people and institutions within them, I feel generally confident to be able to answer those questions.

The last time I attempted an AMA it was very difficult.  I don’t like leaving people without answers, and the volume of inbound requests was extreme.  For this AMA I will have specific guidelines and requests which should provide optimal feedback and value in both your time and mine.

Because the core of our association is the only tribe I sense to gain the highest benefit, I will open the AMA thread as a password protected post (same password as always), and then remove the password later making the AMA public the following day.

If you have questions, specific and granular questions, about the efforts I have undertaken in the past two years – as well as specific questions about where I see this going in the next two years – this is the opportunity.

Remember, you are the angels on my shoulder.

I will work earnestly and with the strongest sense of stewardship to provide the most brutally honest and detailed answers to all of your questions.

Steadfast,

~ Sundance

Francis Scott Key Bridge Collapse – Black Swan Event


Posted originally on Mar 28, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

The Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore collapsed on March 26, 2024, at 01:28 EDT after being struck by a cargo ship owned by Brawner Builders Inc. The ship named the Dali was operated by Synergy Marine Group. This black swan event was extremely strange, catastrophic for the US supply chain, and certainly a black swan event. For the purpose of this post, I will refrain from speculation and stick to the facts at hands to explain how crucial this bridge was to the US.

Official reports say that what happened was simply an unfortunate accident. “We’re going to send all the federal resources they need as we respond to this emergency. I mean all the federal resources — we’re going to rebuild that port together,” Biden said after promising to use federal aid to rebuild the bridge, a feat that will take years to achieve. “Everything so far indicates that this was a terrible accident,” he added. “At this time, we have no other indication, no other reason to believe there’s any intentional act here.”

The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency stated that there was a “power issue” that caused the crew to lose control of the ship. There was a loss of propulsion from the motor, several tests failed, and the pilots notified the Maryland Department of Transportation and the Maryland Transit Authority. There was an attempt to deploy anchors but it was far too late, especially for a ship of that size and weight.

James Mercante, the president of the New York Board of Pilot Commissioners, said that the Dali became “a dead ship just being carried by the current or its own momentum.” US Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg did not say what caused the power outage and does not have a timeframe for when the bridge will be rebuilt. “The impact of this incident is going to be felt throughout the region and really throughout our supply chains,” Buttigieg said. Baltimore is currently under a state of emergency, and Mayor Brandon Scott believes it will last for “the foreseeable future.”

Others believe this was a deliberate attack of US infrastructure based on various factors that do not seem to add up. Could it have been an inside job or a foreign agent? The truth will come to light, as it always does.

Let me begin by explaining how crucial the Francis Scott Key Bridge was to America’s supply chain. Around 52.3 million tons of international cargo estimated to be worth $80.8 billion passed through the port in 2023. Around 4,900 trucks, carrying around $28 billion in goods, must be rerouted due to the bridge collapse. It is the second busiest strategic roadway in the US for hazardous materials. These hazardous materials include diesel fuels. Did you know that diesel fuel is not permitted to be transported via tunnel? Fuel prices will rise, fertilizer prices will rise. The bridge was built to handle hazardous materials like propane, nitrogen, highly-flammable materials, large cargo materials, and more.

The timing could not have been worse for American agriculture.

Baltimore is the largest entry point for all large agricultural and construction equipment, and this will have a ripple effect across US agriculture in general. It has been noted that this collapse occurred during the peak of planting season for Midwest region as the ground has begun to thaw. Our entire food supply is at risk.

The bridge helped to link major cities from Baltimore like Philadelphia, Washington, and New York. Over 15,000 people are employed directly through the port, and 139,000 have indirect jobs in connections. All of this amounts to $3.3 billion in personal income, as noted by Axios.

Analysts are saying this will cripple Baltimore, but it will send ripple effects throughout the entire US economy.

The angle the cargo ship took is extremely confusing. Engineers are perplexed by the situation. How did it manage to take out one of the two major anchor points? The video makes it look as if the ship deliberately steered into an anchor point. The cargo ship never made it into the approach land in the channel. Where was the harbor pilot? There was no horn blast or warning tug. There was no tug boat, but they say that it was not needed once the ship entered the channel. There happened to be a full moon that enabled maximum tidal shift. My eyes may deceive me, but the video footage makes it look like the captain steered directly into the support beam at the last minute.

Half a mile of  the bridge simply collapsed. It looks more like a strategic demolition based on how the bridge crumbled. Now, here in Tampa Bay, a cardo ship hit the Sunshine Skyway Bridge over 40 years ago. A portion of the bridge came down but it did not simply fall into the waters in the same manner. This is reminiscent of the 9/11 collapse, but of course, people did not have smart phones back then. This event happened in the middle of the night when few people were around to witness it. Some say this passage is hard to navigate but cargo ships managed just fine for nearly half a century up until this week.

Baltimore Police Commissioner Richard Worley said, “There is absolutely no indication that there’s any terrorism, or that this was done on purpose.” The US government insists this was simply a tragic unpreventable accident. Official reports say there were no signs of explosives and no foreign terrorist agency is claiming responsibility for the event.

The same ship collapsed a bridge in Belgium back in 2016, and I do not think this was an act of foreign terrorism.

This event divided the US along the Mason-Dixon line, bringing us back to the pre-Civil War era. Did US intel have a role in this “accident” that happened at the worst possible time? Klaus Schwab of the World Economic Forum stated that an attack on infrastructure – a cyber pandemic — would cause the COVID-19 crisis to look like a “small disturbance” in comparison. Carefully watch the video below and note how they explain these events to us long before they take place.

How to make a mint: the cryptography of anonymous electronic cash


Posted originally on Mar 27, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

HowtoMakeaMint2

In 1996, the US government released a white paper entitled, “How to make a mint: the cryptography of anonymous electronic cash.” Released by the National Security Agency Office of Information Security Research and Technology, this document basically explains how a government agency could create something like Bitcoin or another cryptocurrency.

I encourage those interested to read the contents of the link above. This document was released during the dawn of the dot.com bubble before the technology existed to create such a currency. The NSA quickly realized that it could weaponize this technology to create a cashless society.

As explained in the introduction:

“Among the most important uses of this technology is electronic commerce: performing financial transactions via electronic information exchanged over telecommunications lines. A key requirement for electronic commerce is the development of secure and efficient electronic payment systems. The need for security is highlighted by the rise of the Internet, which promises to be a leading medium for future electronic commerce.

Electronic payment systems come in many forms including digital checks, debit cards, credit cards, and stored value cards. The usual security features for such systems are privacy (protection from eavesdropping), authenticity (provides user identification and message integrity), and nonrepudiation (prevention of later denying having performed a transaction) .

The type of electronic payment system focused on in this paper is electronic cash. As the name implies, electronic cash is an attempt to construct an electronic payment system modelled after our paper cash system. Paper cash has such features as being: portable (easily carried), recognizable (as legal tender) hence readily acceptable, transferable (without involvement of the financial network), untraceable (no record of where money is spent), anonymous (no record of who spent the money) and has the ability to make "change." The designers of electronic cash focused on preserving the features of untraceability and anonymity. Thus, electronic cash is defined to be an electronic payment system that provides, in addition to the above security features, the properties of user anonymity and payment untraceability..

In general, electronic cash schemes achieve these security goals via digital signatures. They can be considered the digital analog to a handwritten signature. Digital signatures are based on public key cryptography. In such a cryptosystem, each user has a secret key and a public key. The secret key is used to create a digital signature and the public key is needed to verify the digital signature. To tell who has signed the information (also called the message), one must be certain one knows who owns a given public key. This is the problem of key management, and its solution requires some kind of authentication infrastructure. In addition, the system must have adequate network and physical security to safeguard the secrecy of the secret keys.”
Crypto.1996.1

The introduction goes on to discuss the reasons they could present to the public to switch to a cashless society, including money laundering, convenience, and security. “The term electronic commerce refers to any financial transaction involving the electronic transmission of information. The packets of information being transmitted are commonly called electronic tokens,” the paper continues.

The NSA states that it would like to use “user identification” and “message integrity” to protect privacy in “nonrepudiation” transactions. “Eavesdropping” concerns appear numerous times throughout the document, which could be prevented by “not just privacy but anonymity” in the form of “payer anonymity” and “payment untraceability.” The government clearly states that hard currency, cash, provided these luxuries but could not be traced by the banks and, therefore, the government.

Again, this was released in 1996 before basic online banking. The document outlines basic online banking but takes it a step further by explaining how they could seemingly make payments seem “untraceable” to the public using “blind signatures” that allegedly cannot be seen by the bank. “This step is called “blinding” the coin, and the random quantity is called the blinding factor. The Bank signs this random-looking text, and the user removes the blinding factor.”

PROTOCOL 3: Untraceable On-line electronic payment.

Withdrawal:

  •      Alice creates an electronic coin and blinds it.
  •      Alice sends the blinded coin to the Bank with a withdrawal request.
  •      Bank digitally signs the blinded coin.
  •      Bank sends the signed blinded coin to Alice and debits her account.
  •      Alice unblinds the signed coin.

Payment/Deposit:

  •      Alice gives Bob the coin.
  •      Bob contacts Bank and sends coin.
  •      Bank verifies the Bank’s digital signature.
  •      Bank verifies that coin has not already been spent.
  •      Bank enters coin in spent-coin database.
  •      Bank credits Bob’s account and informs Bob.
  •      Bob gives Alice the merchandise.

“This makes remote transactions using electronic cash totally anonymous: no one knows where Alice spends her money and who pays her.” Full “payment anonymity” would be “too much to ask”, thus, “we are forced to settle for payer anonymity.” In other words, the illusion that no one knows who is making the transaction.

PROTOCOL 5: Off-line cash.

Withdrawal:

  •      Alice creates an electronic coin, including identifying information.
  •      Alice blinds the coin.
  •      Alice sends the blinded coin to the Bank with a withdrawal request.
  •      Bank verifies that the identifying information is present.
  •      Bank digitally signs the blinded coin.
  •      Bank sends the signed blinded coin to Alice and debits her account.
  •      Alice unblinds the signed coin.

Payment:

  •      Alice gives Bob the coin.
  •      Bob verifies the Bank’s digital signature.
  •      Bob sends Alice a challenge.
  •      Alice sends Bob a response (revealing one piece of identifying info).
  •      Bob verifies the response.
  •      Bob gives Alice the merchandise.

Deposit:

  •      Bob sends coin, challenge, and response to the Bank.
  •      Bank verifies the Bank’s digital signature.
  •      Bank verifies that coin has not already been spent.
  •      Bank enters coin, challenge, and response in spent-coin database.
  •      Bank credits Bob’s account.

Note that, in this protocol, Bob must verify the Bank’s signature before giving Alice the merchandise. In this way, Bob can be sure that either he will be paid or he will learn Alice’s identity as a multiple spender.

The government begins to explain basic blockchain concepts, or at least how they’d like them to occur.

“When Alice spends her coins with Bob, his challenge to her is a string of K random bits. For each bit, Alice sends the appropriate piece of the corresponding pair. For example, if the bit string starts 0110. . ., then Alice sends the first piece of the first pair, the second piece of the second pair, the second piece of the third pair, the first piece of the fourth pair, etc. When Bob deposits the coin at the Bank, he sends on these K pieces.

If Alice re-spends her coin, she is challenged a second time. Since each challenge is a random bit string, the new challenge is bound to disagree with the old one in at least one bit. Thus Alice will have to reveal the other piece of the corresponding pair. When the Bank receives the coin a second time, it takes the two pieces and combines them to reveal Alice's identity…

Zero-Knowledge Proofs. The term zero-knowledge proof refers to any protocol in public-key cryptography that proves knowledge of some quantity without revealing it (or making it any easier to find it). In this case, Alice creates a key pair such that the secret key points to her identity. (This is done in such a way the Bank can check via the public key that the secret key in fact reveals her identity, despite the blinding.) In the payment protocol, she gives Bob the public key as part of the electronic coin. She then proves to Bob via a zero-knowledge proof that she possesses the corresponding secret key. If she responds to two distinct challenges, the identifying information can be put together to reveal the secret key and so her identity.”

The document then discusses ways to blind the signature, so that the payee may remain anonymous. Now, why would the government allow that to occur? “Even in anonymous, untraceable payment schemes, the identity of the multiple-spender can be revealed when the abuse is detected. Detection after the fact may be enough to discourage multiple spending in most cases, but it will not solve the problem. If someone were able to obtain an account under a false identity, or were willing to disappear after re-spending a large sum of money, they could successfully cheat the system.”
Crypto.1996.2

The document even discusses what we now would refer to as a crypto wallet. A seemingly safe offline method to store these electronic coins. They explain that at least one party must always reveal their hand. “When a coin is spent, the spender uses his secret to create a valid response to a challenge from the payee. The payee will verify the response before accepting the payment. In Brands’ scheme with wallet observers, this user secret is shared between the user and his observer. The combined secret is a modular sum of the two shares, so one share of the secret reveals no information about the combined secret.”

Crypto.1996.3

Who is the “observer” in this scenario? “An observer could also be used to trace the user’s transactions at a later time, since it can keep a record of all transactions in which it participates. However, this requires that the Bank (or whoever is doing the tracing) must be able to obtain the observer and analyze it. Also, not all types of observers can be used to trace transactions.”

In the event that a transaction was compromised, the bank would have to change its secret key and “INVALIDATE ALL COINS.”

The authors explain that tax evasion, per usual, is the key concern. They mention money laundering and “old crimes such as kidnapping and blackmail” as reasons to allow backdoor entry. Restoring traceability was a proposed solution, and if they could restore traceability in the first place, one must question if the payments were ever truly anonymous. Using Alice as their example, they explain that they could simply issue a warrant and track all her payment history. “Back~ard traceability is the ability to identify a withdrawal record (and hence the payer), given a deposit record (and hence the identity of the payee). Backward tracing will reveal who Alice has been receiving payments from.”

So, while the bank only sees the deposit in encrypted form, the public key must be used for withdrawal. “The ability to trace transactions in either direction can help law enforcement officials catch tax evaders and money launderers by revealing who has paid or has been paid by the suspected criminal. Electronic blackmailers can be caught because the deposit numbers of the victim’s ill-gotten coins could be decrypted, identifying the blackmailer when the money is deposited.”

“In conclusion, the potential risks in electronic commerce are magnified when anonymity is present. Anonymity creates the potential for large sums of counterfeit money to go undetected by preventing the identification of forged coins. Anonymity also provides an avenue for laundering money and evading taxes that is difficult to combat without resorting to escrow mechanisms. Anonymity can be provided at varying levels, but increasing the level of anonymity also increases the potential damages. It is necessary to weigh the need for anonymity with these concerns. It may well be concluded that these problems are best avoided by using a secure electronic payment system that provides privacy, but not anonymity.”

The US government released this document in 1996, 27 years ago. Bitcoin was allegedly anonymously created in 2009, and numerous other blockchain-based payment coins have followed. This, paired with the push for CBDC, where the government simply does not need to pretend payments are anonymous, should make one question the security and longevity of cryptocurrencies.