LAGOM – “Just the Right Amount” & European War


QUESTION: Hi Martin,

The Rome WEC was a real eye-opener for me. Thank you for coming over to Europe. Especially the reports you released in advance of the conference. “The Fate Of Europe” pdf was especially informative. You’re explaining the structural defects of the EU make it clear it really is a doomed project, and just a matter of time before it, helped along by the ECB, descends into chaos.

Upon arriving home in Sweden I noticed this poster for a Swedish MEP candidate.

”Lagom” is the Swedish notion of the middle way. Not too much, not too little. Basically, blending in and being inoffensive. On the one hand, it’s cute, on the other hand, it’s sad. He’s clearly passionate about his political philosophy, but even if elected, there is Juncker, Tusk, and Verhofstadt waiting in Brussels to dictate to him what he has to do, and the structural flaws of the EU that make it all moot anyway.

Rome had this quality of crumbling neglect about it, like nothing had been repaired in 20 years. Unlike Sweden, that dutifully reinvests a lot of the tax revenue it collects back in infrastructure, Rome appeared starved of money and dying.

What does the computer say about civil unrest and war in Europe? I have the gnawing feeling it’s coming.

BIK

P.S. Thank you for Socrates and your life’s work.

ANSWER: Oh yes. I am familiar with Lagom. My interpretation would be “just the right amount,” so he is a skeptic partially. Unfortunately, the tension should begin to become more pronounced starting in 2020 going into 2022. I am not sure it would be a war, but certainly a rising trend toward independence.

Fear of Jeremy Corbyn Becoming Prime Minister in UK is a Threat to the Pound


There is a lot going on in Britain. Many fear that Jeremy Corbyn will now win because Theresa May has made a real mess of BREXIT. Consequently, the Telegraph is reporting that Britain’s wealthiest individuals are preparing to leave the country. The fear that Corbyn will take over Britain as the prime minister is rising. He is so left-wing that the #1 question coming from the UK is whether a win for Jeremy Corbyn could be the reason the computer has been projecting the fall of the British pound back to 1985 levels. It is clear that Corbyn just hates the rich. What he preaches has failed, but it does not matter. People like him just feel better hurting others.

Prime Minister May plans to submit another proposal but she is just resubmitting the same ideas rephrased. If she fails this time, the conservatives will ask her to resign. That could take place in June/July giving rise to some very interesting volatility overall.

The Rising Anti-EU Sentiment Ahead of the EU Elections


In Hungary, the anti-EU movement runs intense and links Soros and his funding behind the curtain as the number one problem. There have been protests in Hungary implicating the fact that Soros has been behind everything. The anti-EU sentiment is rising ahead of the May 23rd elections. The main issue that has torn Europe apart is the Refugee Crisis.

Remarkable Success – Nigel Farage Brexit Party Leaps to #1 in Weeks…


There’s a remarkable political restructuring happening on the other side of the Atlantic. Nigel Farage has led the U.K. Brexit Party into the leading political force in a matter of weeks.

With frustration over the intransigent unwillingness of the political elites who control power in the U.K. to deliver on the Brexit referendum, the grassroots “Brexit Party” was formed.  According to recent polling the movement now leads in advance of upcoming EU Parliament elections.  It’s possible another political earthquake is about to happen:

(Via Breitbart Media) New polling for the upcoming European Parliament elections shows another astonishing surge in support for Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party, while the governing Conservatives have crashed to fourth place on just 11 per cent.

The Opinium poll of 2,004 people, conducted online between the 8th and 10th of May, showed support for Mr Farage’s weeks-old party up 6 points to 34 per cent, more than Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour — down seven points to 21 per cent — and Theresa May’s Conservatives — down three points to just 11 per cent — combined.

The Conservative Party’s stunning collapse puts down in fourth place behind even the Liberal Democrats, who have been only a third force in British politics since the 1920s, and barely even that after arch-europhile Nick Clegg led them to near-obliteration in the 2015 general election. (read more)

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Nigel Farage

@Nigel_Farage

Accurate or not, these are great numbers and our movement for democracy is gathering pace.

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Piers Morgan

@piersmorgan

Nigel Farage looking & sounding like a leader on . Love him or loathe him, at least he believes in what he says & argues it with passion. His popularity comes from his authenticity & his new surge is happening because democracy is being denied to those who voted for Brexit.

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Roger Scruton – The Future of European Civilization: Lessons for America


Published on Oct 14, 2015

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~A Russell Kirk Lecture at The Heritage Foundation’s B. Kenneth Simon Center for Principles and Politics~

Macrone orders that Italian is no longer to be Taught in France


Macrone just signed a law where Italian will no longer be taught in France. The idea that Europe is one big happy family is so far from the reality that this is part of the backdrop behind the bearishness of the Euro. The old resentments remain. There has always been a strong resentment between the Italians and the French and this latest change by Macrone only fuels these old resentments that prevail within the Eurozone. What should have remained as a simple trade union has attempted to federalize Europe which is only increasing the tensions throughout the continent.

Macrone order Italian is no longer to be Taught in France


Macrone just signed a law where Italian will no longer be taught in France. The idea that Europe is one big happy family is so far from the reality that this is part of the backdrop behind the bearishness of the Euro. The old resentments remain. There has always been a strong resentment between the Italians and the French and this latest change by Macrone only fuels these old resentments that prevail within the Eurozone. What should have remained as a simple trade union has attempted to federalize Europe which is only increasing the tensions throughout the continent

Indefatigable – “A Movement For Democracy” Farage Rises Again….


Following the refusal of the professional political class within the U.K. to honor the Brexit votes of the majority, British leader Nigel Farage came off the sidelines and said ‘enough’.

Farage and a group of independent British politicians have formed the Brexit party to take down the two-party structure and finally deliver the voice of the people.  Their Brexit party campaign has been criss-crossing the nation ahead of elections on May 23rd.  The response has been exceptional….  “A Movement for Democracy”.

Nigel Farage delivered remarks during a rally today [Prompted to 01:18:30, just hit play]

National Security Adviser John Bolton Gives Press Briefing on Venezuela…


National Security Adviser John Bolton holds a press availability to discuss the crisis in Venezuela following a briefing with President Trump.  Mr. Bolton said  “we are seeing the Venezuelan people strive to get a government that they control, not an authoritarian military regime”, adding “this is a very serious situation. The president has been monitoring it minute-by-minute throughout the day.”

Bolton emphasized “this is clearly not a coup. We recognize Juan Guaido as the legitimate president of Venezuela.” He called it a “potentially dispositive moment” for Venezuelans to regain their freedom”, later referencing “a very delicate moment.” If this effort fails, they will sink into a dictatorship from which there are very few possible alternatives.”

Venezuela Crisis Possibly Reaching Apex…


U.S. Secretary of State calls it “Operation Liberty” and supports opposition leader Juan Guaido. The Venezuela regime of Nicolas Maduro calls it a “coup attempt” and has help from Russia and Cuba to put down the uprising.  The regular Venezuelan military, and the ordinary people of the country appear to be caught in the middle.

Perhaps this is the last effort of Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaido to shift the balance of power. The White House is supportive but cautious. Everything is tenuous as Venezuela appears to be on the brink of extreme political violence.

CARACAS (Reuters) – Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaido on Tuesday made his strongest call yet to the military to help him oust President Nicolas Maduro, and violence broke out at anti-government protests as the country hit a new crisis point after years of political and economic chaos.

Several dozen armed troops accompanying Guaido clashed with soldiers supporting Maduro at a rally outside the La Carlota air base in Caracas, but the incident fizzled out and did not appear to be part of an immediate attempt by the opposition to take power through military force.

Guaido, in Twitter posts, wrote that he had begun the “final phase” of his campaign to topple Maduro, calling on Venezuelans and the armed forces to back him ahead of May Day mass street protests planned for Wednesday.

“The moment is now!” he wrote. “The future is ours: the people and Armed Forces united to put an end” to Maduro’s time in office.

Tens of thousands of people were marching in Caracas in support of Guaido on Tuesday, clashing with riot police along the main Francisco Fajardo thoroughfare. A National Guard armored car slammed into protesters who were throwing stones and hitting the vehicle.

Defense Minister Vladimir Padrino called the latest instability a “coup movement” but several hours after Guaido’s announcement there was no sign of any other anti-Maduro military activity. Guaido later left a rally he was holding with military supporters at the air base.  (read more)

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Angus Berwick@AABerwick

Caracas’ Francisco de Miranda avenue after Venezuelans flooded streets today to support Guaido.

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Reuters Top News

@Reuters

Russia accuses Venezuelan opposition of resorting to violence https://reut.rs/2XRoAFu 

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Reuters Top News

@Reuters

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Reuters Top News

@Reuters

Opposition leader Guaido says final phase to oust Venezuela’s Maduro has begun. Follow our live coverage: https://reut.rs/2WdfMJK 

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Giovanni C.@giovannicavett

Shocking scenes in Venezuela as defected soldiers fire back to protect protesters from pro-Maduro forces attack.

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Montana 🕊Agent Applebutt@_Montana_Bound_
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This looks like a no-retreat proposition.  Those in the military who make a decision to support Juan Guaido can never return to life before the inflection point and will be targets of the Maduro regime.   A terrible crisis with few good options.

Our prayers for the Venezuelan people who are caught up in this political nightmare.

Secretary Pompeo

@SecPompeo

is underway in & the world is watching. @jguaido’s safety must be guaranteed. The Venezuelan people are demanding change, a peaceful democratic transition, & return to prosperity. It’s time for the illegitimate regime to step aside.

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Secretary Pompeo

@SecPompeo

is underway in & the world is watching. @jguaido’s safety must be guaranteed. The Venezuelan people are demanding change, a peaceful democratic transition, & return to prosperity. It’s time for the illegitimate regime to step aside.

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Secretary Pompeo

@SecPompeo

What we are seeing today in is the will of the people to peacefully change the course of their country from one of despair to one of freedom and democracy. The U.S. stands with them and @jguaido now and always.

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