World War III – It’s Inevitable Re-Posted Nov 1, 2023 By Martin Armstrong


COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong;

It is safe to say that nobody can hold a light to Socrates. Nobody has forecast war three years in advance as you did in 2011. Nobody has predicted a Middle East War in advance as you did two years ago. Even your posts on Turkey and its conflict with NATO, our bases there, and Erodan’s dream of restoring the Ottoman Empire. Everywhere I look, I see your forecast coming to life before my eyes. I can see World War III unfolding in a calamity of self-interests clashing with stupidity.

Besides market forecasts, your approach in creating Socrates to cope with the entire spectrum from politics to war has been a profound step forward in analysis. You deserve more than a Nobel Prize. You have achieved something significant for mankind.

RH

Joseph Interprets Pharaoh

REPLY: Thank you. You have hit the nail on the head a – “calamity of self-interests clashing with stupidity.” I see the world as the Biblical story of Joseph telling the Pharoah there will be 7 years of plenty and 7 years of drought. This story attempts to tell us that there is a business cycle, and we better live with it. Marx, Keynes, and Central Banks all attempted to either manipulate the business cycle or terminate it.

MAA on War

This was from Geneva 10 years ago. War comes when there is economic distress, set in motion with COVID-19 locking everyone down. Businesses closed, people lost their jobs, and the elite thought this was no big deal. You cannot raise interest rates to solve a shortage of food or to make it rain.

2014 War Cyclew 2011 Conference

2011 WEC Philadelphia

On December 3rd, 2013, I posted that Socrates had pinpointed where this would all begin as Ukraine. On February 5th, 2014, I also warned that anti-semitism and pro-Nazism would rise again. I want to stress that these forecasts are NOT my personal opinion. The sooner people wake up and understand that everything has a cycle, the sooner we can reach a new paradigm in our political economy.

Intl War Index 12 30 22

We are headed into World War III, as the computer has forecast, starting here in 2023 because all the old tensions in the world between people and nations will tear the world apart. We are witnessing anti-semitism rising around the world in Russia, the Middle East, Europe, and the Americas. This is extremely dangerous because it crosses all borders and raises old myths that have emerged from Jews and their connection to banking. For you see, Christians and Muslims had the sin of usury, so they could not engage in banking. That is what was really behind the Protestant Reformation that was usurped and funded by the “billionaires” of those days who wanted to engage in banking but would be excommunicated if they did. The Protestant Reformation was funded and eliminated the sin of usury so Christians could enter the banking field.

Edward I 1272 1307
1 Josy Napoleon

Jews were typically targeted when there was an economic downturn. Spain targeted Jews and Muslims and confiscated their assets. Edward I of England borrowed from the Jews to fund his war with France, and when he could not repay, he suddenly discovered they were Jews and expelled them from England, but defaulted on his loans and confiscated all their property.

It has been the religion of the Jews that has been the excuse to target the Jews when it traces back to economics. Both Hitler and Mussolini rose to power following the depression post-World War I, which was revenge led by France against Germany for past wars. Turn down the economy, and you get civil unrest and war. Even my dogs watch everything I do and connect the dogs to anticipate where I will go next or what I will do. It seems like nobody wants to look at history to connect the dots, as even my dogs do.

In 139 BC, Gnaeus Cornelius Scipio Hispanus expelled all Jews from the city of Rome. Then, in 63 BC, as a result of Pompey’s conquest of the East12,000 Jews were killed, and many more were sent into the diaspora, which was the biblical dispersion of Israelites or Jews out of their ancient ancestral homeland. In 59 BC, Cicero criticized Jews for being too influential in public assemblies. He also refers to Jews and Syrians as “races born to be slaves.” Then we come to 19AD, during the reign of Roman Emperor Tiberius (14-37AD), who also expelled the Jews from Rome. Most of the prejudice of the Jews in Rome was similar to that of the Christians – both refused to worship the gods of Rome.

Anti-semitism will continue to rise, and this will divide nations and peoples within nations because of old myths that they have no idea why they even exist.

Nero Bosporus Intervention

As I have said, the old tensions and disagreements will fester and split the world apart. It is irrelevant if they ever had any basis in truth. The old hatred will rise again. Even Crimea has been fought over for millennia. It was part of the Pontus Kingdom, which stretched around most of the Black Sea. There is a vast historical database that Socrates refers to to determine where and when such events will unfold. That is why the CIA wanted the source code.

Burns Arthur

The Fed Chairman, when Bretton Woods collapsed, took the view that the business cycle always won. I spoke with Paul Volcker, and he agreed that the business cycle was about 8 years. He also concluded post-1975 in what he called the Rediscovery of the Business Cycle.

What I hope to leave behind is that there is the existence of cycles. If we understand humanity and connect the dots, we can create a world that is much better for all of us, and we will not have to freeze to death with no fossil fuels and eat bugs.

The Rise of the Ottoman Empire Re-Posted Nov 1, 2023 By Martin Armstrong |


  
Erdogan Pointing

The final dissolution of the Ottoman Empire took place with the formal abolition of the Ottoman Sultanate. The Grand National Assembly of Turkey performed this on November 1st, 1922. Today is the 101st anniversary of the end of the Ottoman Empire. Many have written about Erdogan’s speech saying Israel is engaging in war crime, but by implication, not Hamas. Erdogan has also expressly hinted at the Ottoman Empire. It was the Turks who overthrew the Byzantine Empire in 1453. They attempted to conquer Europe in 1683. Egypt, Syra, Iraq, all of this region was under the Orroman Empire. He is hinting that they should all be part of a new Empire. This is what our Model has warned about by 2025.

He will take the side of Hammas because this is about the restoration of power. This is why I have warned that Turkey may be part of NATO, and the US has bases there with nuclear weapons and troops on the ground. Then you have the conflicts within the EU. His government has very clearly marked the 100th anniversary of the creation of the modern republic, the fall of the Ottoman Empire, with a statement from the presidential spokesperson Fahrettin Altun that boldly declared that a new international structure. Altun said this is because the UN Security Council “and similar international structures are unable to solve global problems in full and have even begun to deepen them and lead to crises.”

The ground is being laid for the rise of Turkey. Indeed, Turkey has a greater military force than Italy and ranks 11th in the world. It has 895,000 people in its military, with 355,000 active personnel. Turkey has 3,045 tanks and a budget of $17.3 billion. It can easily rise as the dominant force for the Middle East.

Belarus Looking for War with Lithuania Re-Posted Nov 1, 2023 By Martin Armstrong 



The embers of war are igniting. Everyone is using the ongoing turmoil as an opportunity to attack their enemies. Belarus and Lithuania are akin to Russia and Ukraine in that the people living there have many genetic and cultural similarities. Lithuania has partnered with the West, joining NATO in 2004, while Belarus has shown loyalty to Russia. The two nations share a 420-mile border (680 km) with six border crossings, but Lithuania implemented “temporary” closures to a number of crossings due to “geopolitical circumstances.”

Russian Wagner Group mercenaries were believed to be on Lithuanian territory this past August, sparking the initial border crossing closures. These temporary closures were never lifted and the Belarus government is now threatening war. Russian troops have already been positioned in Belarus for some time. “Lithuania has effectively banned us from moving our goods across the border. Under all norms of international law, such a step is considered economic aggression,” the Belarusian official said. “From the point of view of basic logic, we have every reason to use the force of arms to break through a corridor that is vital for us.”

The Neocons are shouting ARTICLE 5 as they are simply waiting for someone to make the first move so they do not have to create a false flag event. Belarus likely will not make a move without Russia’s approval, and Putin has been very strategic thus far. The question becomes how far countries can be pushed until someone makes the first move.

Did the Institute for the Study of War Stage a Mob in Russia? RE-Re-Posted Nov 1, 2023 By Martin Armstrong


An angry mob descended on the terminal of an airport in Makhachkala, Russia, looking for Jews. Telegram channel Morning Dagestan has over 65,000 subscribers, and someone posted a notice that a flight was scheduled to arrive in Dagestan from Tel Aviv. About 1,200 men stormed the airport, and the Telegram channel began urging the mob to retreat, saying things went too far. However, there is a good reason to believe that this was an orchestrated event.

Neocon Couple Kagan Nuland 274x300

The Institute for the Study of War is cited in every news article as it followed this specific event very closely. I’ve said it countless times: Do not trust ANYTHING coming from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW). The ISW is intended to promote war, and they are particularly hell-bent on the destruction of Russia. Kimberly Kagan, Robert Kagan’s sister-in-law, is the founder of the ISW, which is the source of much of the fake news. Robert Kagan and his wife Victoria Nuland are the top Neocon couple. There is a reason I have called Victoria Nuland the “queen of the neocons” due to her insistence on warfare against Russia that has been at the forefront of her entire career. I explain all this and more in my book, “The Plot to Seize Russia,” but these are extremely bloodthirsty people who have been plotting the current war for many years.

Even Vladimir Putin came out to say he believes the mob was a staged event. “The ruling elites of the U.S. and its satellites are the main beneficiaries of the global instability,” Putin said. “They are earning their bloody rent from it.” He stated that “agents of Western special services” in Ukraine have been using social media to create civil unrest in Russia. “I’m not certain if everyone in the U.S. leadership is aware of that,” he added. “It wouldn’t hurt if they run a probe into what their special services have been doing in Ukraine, trying to inspire pogroms in Russia. They are real scum, it’s impossible to call them otherwise.”

There are organizations throughout the world, such as the Open Society Foundations, which OPENLY fund protests and calculated violent events to create political instability. Anything associated with the ISW is intended to provoke war.

 

Eric Holder, “I would be very, very hesitant to put Trump in jail for violating a gag order”…


Posted originally on the CTH on November 1, 2023 | Sundance

Of course he does. Because even the most entrenched ideological Attorney General can see the absurdity of pushing the “new democratic norms” to the scale of jailing the leading presidential candidate in the United States.

During the opening segment of an interview with Obama “wingman” Eric Holder, the former attorney general admitted there is no likely scenario where DC Judge Tanya Chutkan would jail President Trump for violating a transparently motivated gag order.

Then again, this is Lawfare not necessarily any constitutional application of law.  The entire case is a manipulated interpretation of arcane law, twisted and manipulated to give the appearance of a law being broken simply by protesting the results of a transparently fraudulent election.  [First Two Minutes]

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Anthony Blinken: Putin Is Hamas


Posted originally on the CTH on October 31, 2023 | Sundance 

Just to put a fine point on the motives of the intelligence operation that took place in Dagestan, Russia, at the Makhachkala airport {Go Deep}, today we see Secretary of State Anthony Blinken saying, Putin is Hamas.

The arc and motive of the narrative is transparently obvious.  The Makhachkala Airport operation was the affirmational seed, created by Ukraine operative Ponomaryov – in coordination with CIA and the State Dept. – for the necessary narrative.

As the story is told, Vladimir Putin is in ideological alignment with Hamas…. Therefore, support for Israel against Hamas is synonymous with support for Ukraine against Russia…. Therefore, funding for the Israeli War is synonymous with funding for Ukraine…. Therefore, the financial mechanism to fund Israel cannot be separated from the financial mechanism to support Ukraine.

See how that works?

Watch Secretary of State Anthony Blinken make the connection today (prompted):

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“We see these things as being very much joined, which is one of the reasons why our joint request is a joint request”… 

Once you see the strings on the marionettes, you can never return to that moment in the performance when you did not see them….

The producers think we cannot see them!

To cue up another audio-visual example of the need to push this western intelligence operation, check out this tweet:

Can you see it now? 

The people in control of our government and intelligence apparatus do not think we can see this.  We can!

The manipulative narrative is transparent.

Help your friends and social circle to understand what is happening.

“We see these things as being very much joined, which is one of the reasons why our joint request is a joint request”… 

Mike Pence Out of Presidential Race


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Oct 31, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

Mike Pence has dropped out of the presidential race after receiving little support from his own party. Sunday must have been a sad day for the Neocons as no one craved war more than Mike Pence. Pence became the first candidate to visit Zelensky in Ukraine, offering unwavering support. “I have no doubt that if (Russian dictator) Vladimir Putin overran Ukraine, it would not be too long… before the Russian military crossed a border where we would have to send our fighting men and women to fight against them,” the former Vice President stated.

Then there was the Washington Post article from 2019 entitled “Mike Pence Predicts War Everywhere in a Few Years.” Here is the alarming speech he gave at West Point in May of that year:

“It is a virtual certainty that you will fight on a battlefield for America at some point in your life. You will lead soldiers in combat. It will happen. Some of you will join the fight against radical Islamic terrorists in Afghanistan and Iraq. Some of you will join the fight on the Korean Peninsula and in the Indo-Pacific, where North Korea continues to threaten the peace, and an increasingly militarized China challenges our presence in the region. Some of you will join the fight in Europe, where an aggressive Russia seeks to redraw international boundaries by force. And some of you may even be called upon to serve in this hemisphere.

And when that day comes, I know you will move to the sound of the guns and do your duty, and you will fight, and you will win. The American people expect nothing less.

So, wherever you’re called, I urge you to take what you learned here and put it into practice. Put your armor on, so that when — not if — that day comes, you’ll be able to stand your ground.”

To this top Neocon, World War III would be a “virtual certainty.” The nail in the coffin for Pence occurred during his infamous interview with Tucker Carlson in which he admitted he supported America Last policies. “Every city in the United States have become much worse in the past three years. Drive around – there is not ONE city that has gotten better — it is very visible.” Carlson said to an utterly apathetic Pence. Carlson reminded the former vice president that the country has degraded entirely, our economy is failing, and crime is on the rise. He even pointed out that suicide rates are sharply increasing because the people feel completely helpless with no hope for the future. Again, Pence showed no emotion and actually seemed angry that Carlson dared to question his stance on Ukraine and responded, “That is not my concern.”

In addition to his warmonger America Last policies, his betrayal of Trump upset Republican voters. He wanted harsh penalties for January 6 protestors and election deniers. He repeatedly bashed Trump in the media and made it seem as if he secretly never supported his actions during his entire duration as vice president. Every Republican candidate who bashes Trump loses support. Trump has remained at the top of the polls all year without participating in a single debate. Pence is out but other Neocons are after his slot. It is up to the voters to keep these people out of the White House.

Former WEF Associate Speaks out on CBDC


Blog/Great Reset

Posted Oct 30, 2023 by Martin Armstron

Economist Professor Richard Werner previously partnered with the World Economic Forum’s Global Leader for Tomorrow program. He has since turned away from the organization and has been speaking out against the Great Reset. I do not agree with him on many topics but I do appreciate him speaking up on this topic. According to Werner, the WEF plans to roll out CBDC in stages, with the final stage being a small microchip implanted under the skin.

He claims that this microchip will contain our entire identity and access to the world. The chip will act as a passport, digital ID, and license. Our wallets will be condensed into a chip the size of a grain of rice that we will have on us at all times. “It is a violation of human dignity to inject something under the skin. That’s why you need more persuasion,” he stated.

As with most digital currencies, they will begin by marketing it as a convenient way for past payment processing. Then they will use a fear tactic, such as rising crime or digital hacking, and then tell the people that having an individual universal ID will protect them from lowly criminals. But that will not be enough to convince people and eventually payments and the freedom of movement will only be permitted through the use of these implanted devices.

This will provide governments with complete control over the people. Who will have backdoor access to the data? The globalists who want to form a one-world government. Bill Gates came out in 2017 and said he supported Guaranteed Basic Income, but the technology was not yet there. The elites have been waiting for the introduction of the Digital ID amid the COVID power grab. The shrinking middle class will become dependent on the welfare state as the cost of living everywhere continues to be unsustainable. As I have also warned, the overall digital ID will also be reliant on our social credit score. Disobey big brother and you will be removed from society. Fumble your taxes? You will be de-banked in an instant and prevented from accessing public vicinities or traveling.

Revelation 13:16-17 “He causes ALL, both small and great, rich and poor, free and slave, to Receive a Mark on their RIGHT HAND or on their FOREHEADS, and that no one may buy or sell except one who has the mark or the name of the beast, or the number of his number.

Some claim this is akin to the mark of the beast and the fulfillment of the prophecy of Revelations while others think it is a neat new technology. It is interesting that an ancient text would declare we need a mark on to buy or sell. Religion aside, we should all be concerned over how much power this technology will give to governments as this technology would equate to the loss of ALL freedom.

$105 Billion Military Aid Bill Breakdown


Armstrong Economics Blog/War Re-Posted Oct 30, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

America added an additional $105 billion in military spending on top of the $886 billion military budget set to be approved by Congress. We are spending far more on securing Israel and Ukraine than our own border. The bill will provide $13.6 billion in funding to secure the US-Mexico border, which is nothing compared to the $61.4 billion set aside for Ukraine and $14.1 billion for Israel.

The package will provide the Pentagon, America’s favorite money launderer, with $7.2 billion to directly fund Israel ($3.5 billion), the Indo-Pacific ($2 billion), and Ukraine ($1.7 billion). The $58 billion in total set for the Pentagon is a number they need to abide by as the Pentagon has never completed an audit and has had trillions go unaccounted for in recent years.

Ukraine has already received $113 billion in aid from the US. The new bill will provide Ukraine with $61.4 billion — $46.3 billion will be used to directly support the military while $15.1 billion will go to non-military efforts such as paying the salaries and pensions of Ukrainian neocons.

Israel’s own military budget for 2023 sits at $23.6 billion. This new package will provide them $13.9 billion in aid or 75% of Israel’s current military budget. America had already set aside $3.8 billion for Israel before the war began.

The budget also indicates America’s plans to go to war with China. The spending package will provide $2 billion in military aid to Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific and an additional $2 billion in developmental aid. All of these figures are the least amount America will spend on foreign aid as Biden seemingly approves a new spending bill each week when he’s not on vacation.

And what about America’s border? Customs and Border Protection (CBP) and Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) will receive $7.8 billion. Trump requested less than this to build his wall and Congress shut down entirely. Politicians on both sides of the aisle said there was no funding available to secure America’s border before the mass invasion in 2023.

Americans are financing the globalists’ war games abroad. Our tax dollars do not go far on our own land. This is yet another spending package based on AMERICA LAST policies.

Sunday Talks, New Speaker Mike Johnson Discusses Israel Support Bill and Looming Budget Deadline


Posted originally on the CTH on October 29, 2023 

Within the budget process there are two different facets. Congress is charged by the Constitution with making decisions about how to spend public money. Those spending decisions are split into two parts: authorization and appropriations.  In the recent political era the “authorization” process has essentially been nulled; no one ever asks if the program (Ukraine, Israel, FBI, etc.) should be funded. 

Authorization” is done by Congress via legislation that “can establish, continue, or modify an agency, program, or activity for a fixed or indefinite period of time,” per the Congressional Research Service. In other words, authorization is Congress saying that money can be spent on a given item — not that it necessarily will be spent on that item.

Appropriations” are done by Congress via legislation that authorizes agencies to make payments from the federal Treasury (i.e. it allows them to spend the money that had previously been authorized). Appropriations bills are ordinarily passed each year, but in recent years it has been common for Congress to fund the government “on autopilot” via continuing resolutions that simply allow agencies to continue spending the same amount of money they were spending under the previous funding bill.

Matt Gaetz has been trying to change this dynamic because the external recipients of the appropriation spending, the lobbyists, are the ones driving the continuation of the CR approach. The lobbyists pay congress via campaign donations. Those donations come from congressional appropriation. The CR process maintains the largesse.

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