Category Blogger Martin Armstrong

Aug 9 2025

Trump Meets Putin for the Panic Cycle


Posted originally on Aug 8, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Behind Curtain War Cycle

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, we understand your frustration, and that reveals that you are genuine, not fake. I think you need to be commended for appearing on Russia Today, explaining that Trump is not a neocon, and your dinner with him shows you his character. Explaining that on RT coming from you, who your own country treated without any restraint and against not just American law, but international law. I was informed that you even met with the International Criminal Court, and they wanted to take your case, but the United States is not a member. They had no jurisdiction to charge those involved in a violation of international law.

When you appear on Russian TV, you are highly regarded because it is well known that you are independent and are not swayed by propaganda. You have made a difference. You are more respected than any other analyst. Because you said Trump truly wants peace, we believed you. Your government and media try to ignore you because they know you are independent and correct. Please (пожалуйста) do not get frustrated. You have made a difference far beyond what you know, including your followers who are all around the world.

спасибо за смелость

anonymous

Trump to meet Putin 8 15 25

REPLY: Thank you. I am glad people listen outside the USA. I am so sorry that those in Moscow cannot attend our WEC in person. I have suggested that we hold them in Cancun, Mexico, so that everyone can attend. My clients have made a difference worldwide. We are all of the same mindset and fully understand that we are all in this together. There is no US vs Them based on borders, race, religion, or gender. In our own company, we have every race, religion, and gender. We all respect each other, and we all get along based on character. It can be accomplished if we make an effort to understand and listen to one another. I am so glad Trump will meet with Putin in Alaska on the 15th, despite opposition by Zelensky, NATO, and the EU – (the Ides of August).

DJIND W Array 8 4 25

What I have discovered is for humanity. The more we can demonstrate the reliability of the forecasts, the greater the potential to reduce the amplitude of the worst events to come. For months, the computer has been projected for August and the week of the 18th. Trump’s choice of Friday, the 15th, demonstrates what I believe the model projects as the pressure point, and that is why people are compelled to act when the computer targets a specific date.

Socrates Apology

I believe we all have a purpose and a specific destiny. I feel I have been placed in so many situations around the world for a purpose. I have seen the world through everyone’s eyes. If I can pass that on, then I have fulfilled my destiny. What I have done, I have been compelled to do. I am fortunate that even what they did expanded my understanding of the system. It was part of my education. I named my computer Socrates, because he was considered the wisest man in Greece, according to the Oracle of Delphi. It was his Apology that was etched into my soul. If you do not fear death, you take all their power away from them.

Socrates Last Words
Enstein on death

Einstein has also greatly influenced me. He didn’t mean all moments are happening right now in a chaotic jumble. What he meant was that they all exist within the unchanging structure of spacetime. Our perception of sequence is local and frame-dependent. I see the cycles of the universe in my mind’s eye. In analysis, we are plagued by the linear analysis that sees only a sequence, never the cycle.

Linear vs Cyclical Analaysis
Aug 9 2025

Interview: Martin Armstrong EXPOSES the Hidden Cycles – Part 2


Posted originally on Aug 9, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Kerry Lutz’s book, which compiles over 13 years’ worth of interviews with Martin Armstrong, is still available on Amazon.

KerryLutzBook
Aug 8 2025

60% of Germans Refuse to Play War Games


Posted originally on Aug 8, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

GermanyUkraineWarPropogandaRecruitment

The people do not wish to play the neocons’ war games. Germany has been discussing reintroducing mandatory military service since the war began—a war that was never Germany’s battle but always the obligation and responsibility of the German people. I reported in May that over half of Brits would not fight for their country in the event of an attack. A new survey by German broadcaster RND revealed that nearly 60% of Germans would refuse to go into battle.

Only 16% of respondents said they would “definitely fight,” and another 22% reported they “probably” would. This is precisely why Germany has been considering a mandatory conscription for all adults over the age of 18. German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius said he is “convinced” that Germany “needs a form of military conscription.” Since the West has effectively eliminated genders or the need for a family structure, they plan to draft both men and women. Anyone fit to fight will be sent off to die.

Russia Threaten Germany

Pistorius has been urging Germany to amass 260,000 active-duty troops, whom he believes should begin training immediately. Germany has a goal of gathering an army of 203,000 troops at a minimum, but the current force is a bit over 180,000. The military also plans to increase its reserve forces from 60,000 to 200,000, citing the need for immediate mobilization if the conflict escalates. Mandatory conscription may be introduced in 2026, which would align with our models precisely.

German politicians speaking out against the war are being silenced. The government has been preparing the European public for the inevitable. Everyone currently living in Europe knows how intensely the media has been discussing Europe’s alleged duty to prevent Russian aggression. “Will you fight for Germany? None of us wants war, but we already have to prepare for it. How ready are we really?” German magazine Stern states on its March 2025 cover.

The people always lose in times of war. Those on the ground firing missiles at one another are on the same side—the people—while the neocons sit in their safe high towers, unaffected by the destruction they unleashed.

Aug 8 2025

Bank of England Cuts Interest Rates


Posted originally on Aug 8, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Bank of England Royal Exchange

The Bank of England has cut its base interest rate to 4%, even as it warns of rising inflation. “We’ve cut interest rates today, but it was a finely balanced decision. Interest rates are still on a downward path, but any future cuts will need to be made gradually and carefully,” Governor Andrew Bailey stated.

The nine-member panel of the Monetary Policy Committee voted to lower rates by 0.25 percentage points, but failed to reach a unanimous vote with four members wishing to pause and another voting for a cut. The committee initially began with a 0.5 percentage point vote before reducing it to 0.25, marking the first time the MPC has needed a second vote—no one knows what they are doing.

The bank lowered rates but admitted that headline inflation is expected to hit 4% in September, up from the initial 3.75% estimate. Households are already spending one-tenth of their income on food, yet the bank expects food inflation to spike to 5.5% this year.

The central bank attempted to blame grocery store employee wages for price increases. “Furthermore, overall labour costs of supermarkets are likely to have been disproportionately affected by the lower threshold at which employers start paying NICs… these material increases in labour costs are likely to have pushed up food prices.” Every nation is facing a sharp upturn in food prices and store employees are not the culprit. The bank also acknowledged that unemployment has risen for five consecutive months, with unemployment reaching a four-year high in May 2025 at 4.7%.

The central bank cannot fight inflation as consumer demand is not driving price increases. Russian sanctions, net zero insanity, regulation, taxes, and an overall decline in public confidence have led Britain to decline. Let us not forget the looming sovereign debt crisis that every central bank is attempting to ignore publicly. Starmer is steering the nation directly into war, which never benefits the people and will become the primary culprit of inflation in time. The central bank cannot control fiscal policy; it cannot control inflation—all it can do is pretend to have a grasp on the situation to quell panic.

Aug 8 2025

William Barr Involved in Illegal Visa Scheme


Posted originally on Aug 8, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

Former Attorney General Bill Barr shouted from his high horse that NO ONE WAS ABOVE THE LAW after the events of January 6, thereafter attempting to prosecute Trump for RICO charges. Barr himself failed to realize that he was not above the law–Project Veritas has revealed he was operating an illegal visa scheme for foreign billionaires.

Patrícia Lelis, a former journalist at Howard Stirk Holdings (HSH), admitted she was involved in the scheme orchestrated by political commentator Armstrong Williams and Barr. Intelligence agencies attempted to pin the crime on Lelis, who later revealed to Project Veritas the true nature of the scheme.

Wealthy foreigners wishing to secure visas and bypass the immigration process would reach out to Williams or Barr, offering hundreds of thousands if not millions in exchange for E-2 visas. These visas were created under the premise that the foreigners were creating businesses in the US. Not only did these people never work for the companies on record, but the companies never existed in the first place.

Lelis claims she reported directly to Democratic New York assembly member Clyde Vanel. Williams and Barr demanded that Lelis use her personal bank accounts to launder the money. While Armstrong may have been the mastermind, Barr’s reputation and connections helped them to expedite the visa process.

Barr William Attorney General

Project Veritas attempted to visit the headquarters of Reis Cosmetics, a company created through this scheme, only to find a vacant building. Lelis grew weary of the increasing amount of money she was expected to launder, and reported the crime to the FBI. Instead of investigating, the FBI attempted to pin the entire operation on Lelis.

Text messages sent on burner phones confirm Lelis’s claims. “It is far more easy to defraud the immigration system and the government more than the people think,” she stated. “And I have proof of that because that’s what Armstrong and Bill Barr does.” The US government does not check if people are truly operating or working for companies once the visa process is approved. A leak in the system has been revealed.

The government will need to independently verify the claims that were brought to the public sphere on August 7. These are substantial crimes—visa fraud, conspiracy to commit visa fraud, wire fraud, aggravated identity theft, money laundering, and false statements or obstruction of justice. Lelis may also bring civil charges against the men who began to threaten her when she refused to participate.

Barr has committed blatant RICO violations through his criminal activity. Barr accused Trump of violating RICO laws, all while he was running an underground visa scheme to help wealthy foreigners gain illegal entry into the United States.

Aug 7 2025

US Treasury to Print $500 Bills?


Posted originally on Aug 7, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

500dollarbillUSD

Rumors are circulating that the United States may begin to print $500 bills. The US Bureau of Engraving and Printing began printing $500 bills in 1861 until 1945, formally discontinuing them in 1969 when Nixon moved to close the gold window. The US Treasury has since required banks to send all $500 bills back to them to be destroyed, as the government claimed higher-denominated notes paved the way for criminal activity.

Collectors know that the US Treasury issued $1,000, $5,000, $10,000, and even $100,000 notes once upon a time. The $100,000 bill featured President Woodrow Wilson and was issued as a gold certificate from 1934 to 1935. That particular bill was not publicly circulated. No citizen needed to use such currency in day-to-day transactions. The $10,000 note was primarily used for transactions between domestic Federal Reserve Banks, as digitalization had not yet occurred, and they needed an efficient way to move capital.

The rumors about the $500 bill’s revival are not wholly unfounded. Rep. Paul Gosar (R-Ariz.) introduced a bill in 2024 to reintroduce the $500 bill, replacing William McKinley’s image with Donald Trump’s. This was more than political pandering; besides, Congress would certainly never approve of a note featuring Donald Trump’s image. However, the government could be enticed to reintroduce higher-denominated notes due to INFLATION. This is precisely why the penny will be discontinued, as it represents absolutely nothing and is a reminder that our currency is becoming increasingly devalued.

10000dollarbillUSD

A new $500 bill would mirror historical currency debasement as we saw in Rome under Diocletian, for example, which comes before a collapse. Printing higher-denomination notes is not just a reflection of price increases, but a sign that the people are losing trust in the value of the USD. Now, even the highest-denominated cash note will not get one far, paving the way for digitization as cash becomes an inconvenient burden. If the US were not eager to digitize banking, we would undoubtedly see higher-denominated notes in circulation once again to mask the effects that inflation has had on the value of the dollar.

America has never canceled its currency, and all of these notes are still deemed legal tender, although they are far more valuable to collectors than their face value. The Federal Reserve does not currently have plans to print the $500 bill despite rumors. The goal is to move the nation to digital currency, and cash is becoming increasingly worthless in transactions. Still, providing a limited-edition $500 note would not be unheard of in today’s economic landscape.

Aug 7 2025

Four EU Nations Announce $1 Billion Arms Deal with US


Posted originally on Aug 7, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

PatriotMissile

The European Union pivoted its stance on US defense as soon as the funds began to flow to Ukraine again. Although leaders like Macron and Merz previously warned against relying on the US for aerospace and defense, four EU nations have announced a $1 billion arms deal with the US through a new initiative devised by the US and NATO.

“It’s either that or leave Ukraine without weapons,” one NATO official, speaking on condition of anonymity as they aren’t authorized to speak on the record, told RFE/RL in regard to purchasing from the US. “I think on the European side there is a hard realization that this has to happen in some fashion or another.” This comes after the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, an alliance of 50 nations, held a virtual meeting at the end of July to decide how they would continue funding the proxy war.

The Dutch government agreed to spend around $576 million on US Patriot missile defense systems for Ukraine. Sweden, Denmark, and Norway plan to spend another $500 million on American defense collectively. “By supporting Ukraine with determination, we are increasing the pressure on Russia to negotiate,” Dutch Defence Minister Ruben Brekelmans posted on X. “The more Russia dominates Ukraine, the greater the danger to the Netherlands and our NATO allies,” he said. Continually arming the opponent is not going to open the door to peace negotiations. It only alerts Russia that it must continue fighting for the foreseeable future, as this war is NOT against Ukraine but against the entire NATO alliance.

Swedish Defence Minister Pal Jonson said his nation plans to offer $275 million toward the deal. “Ukraine is not only fighting for its own security, but also for our security,” Jonson declared. Of course, all of this spending of public funds is being done under the premise of national security. European governments are lying to their people. They know Russia has no plans or desire to invade Europe, as there is nothing to gain by doing so.

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, the former Dutch prime minister, praised the northern European nations for their willingness to invest. “Since the earliest days of Russia’s full-scale invasion, Denmark, Norway and Sweden have been steadfast in their support for Ukraine. I commend these allies for their quick efforts to get this initiative off the ground,” Rutte said in a statement. As a reminder, all NATO members must up their spending to 5% of GDP, although they previously could not even meet the 2% target.

Santa Claus Mask

These deals will now go through the Priority Ukraine Requirements List (PURL), created by NATO and the US. Basically, Ukraine writes a list for Santa, or in this case, the US, listing its most requested weapons of choice. NATO’s Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR) then approves of the wish list and tells US manufacturers to deliver Ukraine anything it desires. The Netherlands’ half-billion-dollar purchase was the first gift basket to go through this program.

PURL plans to send $10 billion worth of American-manufactured arms to Ukraine. But the US is not Santa, and there are no elves creating weapons. Lockheed Martin and Raytheon are increasing their production of Patriot missiles, following Rutte’s suggestion that NATO nations will supply Ukraine with at least 17. NATO nations are required to pay upfront for their gifts to Ukraine to bypass the typical US arms sales process. The taxpayers did not vote to send $10 billion to Ukraine, but NATO and EU nations are beholden to unelected bureaucrats who dictate the rules.

Aug 7 2025

Japan to Build Australia’s New Warships


Posted originally on Aug 7, 2025 by Martin Armstrong | 

Australia has tapped Japan to begin building its next fleet of warships as the nation retires the ANZAC-class fleet. Japanese shipbuilder Mitsubishi Heavy Industries beat German manufacturer Thyssen­Krupp Marine Systems as Japan’s Mogami frigate was more desirable than the German MEKO A-200. This is a landmark win for Japan as it marks the first time Japan has exported warships to a foreign nation.

The first 11 frigates alone are worth at least 10 billion Australian dollars ($6.5 billion USD). Japan will produce the first three ships domestically before building a facility in Australia to create the rest. Australia has exclusive access to the first Mogami warships. The 4,800-tonne Mogami carriers are faster than their German rival’s at a speed of 30 knots and has a range of 10,000 nautical miles. The ANZAC-class ship required a crew of 170 compared to the frigate’s need for only 90 personnel, maximizing operational efficiency.

“The upgraded Mogami is built in a way that makes it easy to customise depending on the owner’s order — the power setting and the space design are different from the original one, so the ship is ready to cater to any requests coming from the Australian government,” ATLA official Koji Nishimura stated. “From the very first phase of the project, I thought about the benefit for Australia and for the Japanese Maritime Self-Defence Force, because of that we formed an all-Japan team — with Ministry of Defence working as a team to make this project happen,” he added.

“This is clearly the biggest defence industry agreement that will ever have been struck between Japan and Australia. In fact, it’s really one of the biggest defence exports that Japan has ever engaged in,” Defence Minister Richard Marles said

This is a huge win for Japan as they have not previously had a heavy role in defense exports. The deal will show the world if Japanese manufacturers can reliably enter the sector and begin exerting its geopolitical power. Domestic defense is a matter of survival for Japan but now it has the ability to share its elite manufacturing capacities with the world.

The US supported Japan’s bid because it plans to use American-made components and comes equipped to carry American-made missiles specifically. The European Union has been back and forth on whether it wants to continue purchasing military equipment from America. Germany’s loss is a big hit to its already contracting manufacturing sector, as the nation was once the go-to for industrial exports. Japan is not beholden to unelected officials who could sway policy and, therefore, trade.

Aug 6 2025

Kremlin Embraces India Amid US Economic Warfare


Posted originally on Aug 6, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

PutinandModi

Economic warfare is dismantling free trade and turning friends into foes. This has nothing to do with trade tariffs, as the issue is the tariffs we are placing on nations for the sole purpose of political policy. The US is threatening India with sanctions if it continues to purchase Russian oil, and the Kremlin is using that to its advantage.

“We believe that sovereign countries should have, and have the right to choose their own trade partners, partners in trade and economic cooperation. And to choose those trade and economic cooperation regimes that are in the interests of a particular country,” Kremlin Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov stated.

Around 35% to 40% of India’s crude oil now comes from Russia as the nation began drastically increasing its purchases when the Ukraine-Russia-NATO war began, since Russian crude was cheaper than what the Middle Eastern nations were charging. India has heavily profited from this deal, but the US would have done the exact same thing if it were in India’s position. The Trump Administration believes free trade is only free and fair if it directly benefits the United States.

“The targeting of India is unjustified and unreasonable. Like any major economy, India will take all necessary measures to safeguard its national interests and economic security,” India’s Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) commented. “It is noteworthy that those nations criticizing India are themselves engaging in trade with Russia. In contrast to our situation, their trade does not constitute a critical national necessity.” The MEA also noted that the US and its allies reached out to India to purchase oil amid shortages that they themselves created. There is a clear double standard here that is making America look a bit foolish.

“India is not only buying massive amounts of Russian Oil, they are then, for much of the Oil purchased, selling it on the Open Market for big profits. They don’t care how many people in Ukraine are being killed by the Russian War Machine. Because of this, I will be substantially raising the Tariff paid by India to the USA,” Donald Trump stated online, openly stating that these new tariffs are intended to shape India’s trade policy. Furthermore, Trump said India was “not a good trade partner” and dismissed the billions in trade between the two.

This arrogant stance is pushing India out of neutrality and into the arms of the Kremlin. There is nothing diplomatic about calling your trade partner worthless on the public stage and then bullying them with sanctions into changing their foreign policy. Trump has also been threatening economic warfare against nations that oppose Israel. I do not know who is currently surrounding Trump and permitting him to carry out these disastrous policies. Let us not forget that India is also a nuclear superpower—we do not want to turn India into an enemy nation.

Aug 6 2025

The Rare Earth Elements Crisis – Why isn’t America Digging in Ukraine?


Posted originally on Aug 6, 2025 by Martin Armstrong |  

MINERALS.Ukraine Mineral Resources_Site_Elements

America is desperate for rare earth minerals. China was supplying the US with around 70% of all such minerals, but they’re not going to supply them to an enemy nation to create weapons. As I mentioned yesterday, this is precisely why America is desperate to access Ukraine. I received a few comments asking why the US has not begun digging, and unfortunately, they are unable to reach those crucial minerals due to the ongoing war.

It is estimated that Ukraine holds 5% of the world’s critical raw materials. Ukrainian officials believe they have 19 million tonnes of graphite reserves and significant deposits of titanium, rare earth metals, and lithium. The current plan would require harvesting up to HALF of Ukraine’s minerals and rare earth materials.

On April 30, 2025, Ukraine and the US finalized a minerals deal and established a United States–Ukraine Reconstruction Investment Fund. Congress approved a $50 million defense package to Ukraine through direct commercial sales (DCS). Trump is a businessman first and foremost—the mineral deal had to be approved before he would approve of any aid package. The United States now has preferential rights to extract minerals from Ukraine.

Why hasn’t the US begun digging? An estimated 50% of Ukrainian minerals are in areas under Russian control. The Donbas region, the Donetsk and Luhansk are rich in critical minerals, rare earth minerals, coal, and gas. They host the Shevchenko lithium field. Russia currently controls 40% of Ukraine’s metal resources and 56% of its coal reserves. Other essential sites are within a 10-mile radius of occupied enemy territory. Dnipropetrovsk & Kharkiv have uranium, but they are unstable due to frontline advances. Zaporizhzhia has the rare earth elements that America is seeking but it is partially occupied by Russian troops and extremely dangerous. Central and Western Ukraine could be safe for extractions, but they are far less rich in minerals.

MineralsUkraine

Where else can the West turn? Europe faces the same crisis. Estonia has rare minerals, but not enough to meet demand, with the nation currently providing the US with 5% of its needs. Malaysia imports about 13% of US rare earth imports, with Japan providing another 6%. Japan has minerals, but still imports from China. They plan to begin extracting rare earth minerals from the Minami-Torishima Island in 2026, marking the world’s first large-scale mining operation 6,000 meters beneath the ocean. Scientists believe that the area could contain around 16 million tonnes of rare earth elements, but that is a mere estimate. Malaysia has a low mineral reserve in comparison to other nations and cannot be an alternative supplier. Malaysia hosts the Lynas Corporation, the biggest rare earths processor outside China, but the nation has modest reserves.

So while Ukraine may hold nearly $15 trillion worth of crucial minerals and 15% of the world’s reserves, they cannot be accessed due to the ongoing war. China and Russia are abundant in minerals and have no restrictions when it comes to weapon production. China has pioneered molten salt reactors to produce uranium and convert it into nuclear energy. America’s enemies have a notable advantage right now and there are no reliable alternatives.