Welcome to the World of No Privacy Re-Posted Nov 3, 2023 By Martin Armstrong 


Nazi Papers Please

I have been buying ancient coins at public auction, probably since the 1970s. Now, you cannot buy anything anywhere without providing full identification of who you are. This is an email I got from another European auction house.

ALUM BAR

Dear customer,

With regards to our business relationship, and following the legal obligations of the Principality of Monaco, could you please send us :

– Your ID card, or the one of the legal representative of your company.

– The Certificate of Incorporation, or a legal document certifying the existence of your company.

– The statutes of your company.

Thank you for your understanding.

Remaining at your service.

Best regards.

Jobs, Wages and Official Labor Reports Continue Showing Major Disconnects from Reality on Main Street


Posted originally on the CTH on November 3, 2023 | Sundance 

I have not written as much about the economic analysis coming from the official institutions of government because, well, quite frankly, none of it has made sense for several months.  In this era of great pretending, I am reminded of the official catchphrase which began in 2021, “managing the transition.”

When you contemplate that “managing the transition” can also equate to controlling public opinion, and when you overlap the dynamic of large U.S. institutions manipulating information in order to control that opinion, then suddenly the trust in the data evaporates.   When the reality of the economic situation you can measure, gauge, and sense on Main Street is increasingly detached from the government data about what’s happening on Main Street, things get weird.

EXAMPLE TODAY – Bureau of Labor and Statistics: “Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 150,000 in October, and the unemployment rate changed little at 3.9 percent.” That’s the topline as announced.

Then you drop to the adjustments on the same report: “The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for August was revised down by 62,000, from +227,000 to +165,000, and the change for September was revised down by 39,000, from +336,000 to +297,000. With these revisions, employment in August and September combined is 101,000 lower than previously reported.”

September and October are generally significant upticks in labor, as the process for holiday preparation (shipping, transport, etc.) are underway.  However, that historic pattern is no longer applicable.  We see consumer trends in a downward direction, general uneasiness of the economic situation is relayed by businesses and consumers who are the key to reality, and yet the official reporting reflects something entirely different.  Thus, you must ask yourself if this is part of the aforementioned “managing the transition.”

Additionally, staying with the bigger (non-pretending) picture, the U.S. government intentionally imports 7.5 million illegal aliens.  Where are they in the data of employment conditions?   Is there a metric that can evaluate the impact of a non-skilled labor influx that takes place simultaneous to a negative economic reality of inflation and diminished wages felt by those traditionally measured.

When you look carefully at the data provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), the Dept of Labor (DoL) and the Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS), what you come away with is the data-driven impression of something that you cannot actually see in the reality of the economic world around you.  Quite simply, none of it makes sense.

If you begin talking about the disconnect, you enter a sphere of sounding like a conspiracy theorist.   Would the official institutions of economic analysis actually manipulate data as an outcome of the larger goal to “manage the transition”?  For me the answer is an emphatic, yes.   However, how do you quantify that disconnect when the people with a vested interest in hiding any conflict are the same people who control the release of the data?

It is a reality that 75% of the American people feel their economic situation has worsened and continues to be worse.  Many people are increasingly incapable of staying ahead of increases in cost of living.  Govt institutions say inflation has come under control, yet the prices continue skyrocketing and everyone can feel it.  Financial insecurity is the new normal amid a growing population, while the managers of the transition say, ‘all is well.’

The only thing that brings a person back from the world of crazy speak, is a review of actual ground reports on Main Street from people who are living their daily lives and trying to cope with the costs of maintaining that standard.  Almost everyone expresses having more difficulty keeping their financial head above water.  Yet the data released by government paints a different picture.   The distance between reality and ‘official data’ has never been wider than it is today.

Fewer goods are being manufactured.  Fewer goods are being shipped.  Fewer sales are taking place.   In a naturally contracting cycle this would mean less jobs.  However, the data shows job growth.

♦Health care added 58,000 jobs in October, in line with the average monthly gain of 53,000 over the prior 12 months. Over the month, employment continued to trend up in ambulatory health care services (+32,000), hospitals (+18,000), and nursing and residential care facilities (+8,000).
♦Employment in government increased by 51,000 in October and has returned to its pre-pandemic February 2020 level. Monthly job growth in government had averaged 50,000 in the prior 12 months. In October, employment continued to trend up in local government (+38,000).
♦Social assistance added 19,000 jobs in October, compared with the average monthly gain of 23,000 over the prior 12 months.
♦In October, construction employment continued to trend up (+23,000), about in line with the average monthly gain of 18,000 over the prior 12 months. Employment continued to trend up over the month in specialty trade contractors (+14,000) and construction of buildings (+6,000).
♦Employment in manufacturing decreased by 35,000 in October, reflecting a decline of 33,000 in motor vehicles and parts that was largely due to strike activity.
♦In October, employment in leisure and hospitality changed little (+19,000). The industry had added an average of 52,000 jobs per month over the prior 12 months.
♦Employment in professional and business services was little changed in October (+15,000) and has shown little net change since May. Employment in temporary help services changed little over the month (+7,000) but is 229,000 below its peak in March 2022.
♦In October, employment in transportation and warehousing was little changed (-12,000) and has shown little net change over the year. Over the month, warehousing and storage lost 11,000 jobs, while air transportation added 4,000 jobs.
♦Information employment changed little in October (-9,000). Employment in motion picture and sound recording continued to trend down (-5,000); the industry has lost 44,000 jobs since May, at least partially reflecting the impact of an ongoing labor dispute.

DATA

What do you see happening in/around your area?   How are the employment conditions nearest you?

Mass Deportations from Pakistan Re-Posted Nov 3, 2023 By Martin Armstrong 


Pakistan India Map

European nations are not the only ones expelling foreigners from their borders. This has become a global contagion where nations are waking up and realizing they are no longer safe. Calls for jihad have caused even Muslim nations to question the motives of specific groups.

Pakistan is now asking thousands of Afghans to leave. Most of these people have nowhere to go since they fled a war-torn nation run by jihadists. They do not want to wander back into the Taliban’s control, but Pakistan is afraid that Taliban members may be among the ranks of men already in their borders. Over 200,000 Afghans have been deported from Pakistan in the past two month, with November 1 being the deadline to leave.

This is merely the first wave of deportations. As we saw in Europe, they are asking those without permanent resident to leave first. Those on refugee cards or visas will be expelled next. This will cause a mass exodus of people with nowhere to go as around 1.7 million Afghans currently call Pakistan home. The “record of the last forty years in hosting millions of our Afghan brothers and sisters speaks for itself,” one spokeswoman told reporters.

Citizenship and secure borders are what provides a nation sovereignty. All of these countries who permitted a mass influx of refugees without properly checking their credentials have created a humanitarian crisis. Arab nations will not accept people from other Arab nations that are ruled by terrorist organizations. Soon, people will simply be asked to leave nations based on their religion and political affiliation. This is only the beginning of a much larger migration crisis.

US Treasury Secretary Unclear on the Concept of a “Deficit” Re-Posted Nov 2, 2023 By Martin Armstrong 


I have both good and bad news. The bad news is that the US government is continually spending with no end in sight. The proxy wars have eliminated even a level-headed discussion of anything akin to a real budget. In a move that angered Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen (also good news) Republicans introduced legislation to reduce funding toward Biden’s IRS army through the Inflation Reduction Act. They still plan to spend billions of taxpayers’ money, but that money will now go toward Israel instead of hunting down those who fund the organization.

IRS.FootballField

A bit of luck for those who do not want to be harassed throughout the year by 87,000 new IRS agents for something trivial like selling something over $600. The proposal will redirect $14.3 billion in funds to Israel instead of doubling the IRS, angering Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, who insists America has money for two wars and a standing IRS army. The news comes one week after Biden pledged $105 billion to fight the West’s war in the Middle East. Per usual, these aid packages drastically increase weekly and our elected officials are able to make these crucial decisions without approval from the people.

“We cannot let our national security be undermined in an attempt to weaken our efforts to modernize the IRS – efforts which reduce the deficit, improve customer service for Americans, and make sure that wealthy tax cheats pay what they owe,” Yellen posted to the social media platform, X.

I always question how this woman has a job. She insists Americans are happy with their economic situation, and called the US debt downgrade “arbitrary.” Above she is promoting the propaganda about inflation being transitory. Do not dare to mention the deficit when you continually support massive spending packages with hidden agendas. Yellen herself admitted that the Inflation Reduction Act was really a method to support climate change. “The Inflation Reduction Act is, at its core, about turning the climate crisis into an economic opportunity,” Yellen admitted.

US national debt spiked by $4.8 trillion since Biden took office, and yet he continues to pass multi-billion dollar spending packages that in no shape or form benefit Americans. It is safe to say that those in charge see the people, the Great Unwashed, as enemies of the state. Yellen wants to spend billions on harassing law-abiding Americans because she believes what you earn belongs to the government.

Nordic Countries Promise Mass Deportations Re-Posted Nov 2, 2023 By Martin Armstrong 


  

Religious zealots have come out in full force in recent weeks. European nations are now realizing that they made a grave mistake by opening their doors to countless migrants who do not share the same culture or values. Reuters reported that Nordic governments are now planning to deport immigrants who have not established legal residence.

Denmark has only allowed enough refugees into their borders to meet the United Nations quota and has received harsh criticism for not leaving its borders open. “The Swedish government is truly looking at how the Danish government has worked with both fighting organised crime but also on migration issues,” Sweden’s Minister of Migration, Maria Malmer Stenergard said. Finland, Iceland, and Norway have also agreed to collaborate with their Nordic neighbors to purge invaders from their lands.

EU Immigration

This is another issue with the concept of the European Union. Brussels decided that these nations were obligated to allow foreigners into their borders. Nations like Poland and Hungary have been condemned for their “far-right” policies by preventing a mass influx of migrants. Poland’s MP Dominik Tarczynski has been extremely outspoken about forbidding Muslims, in particular, from entering his nation.

Poland has one of the lowest levels of unemployment in the Eurozone, and permitting in immigrants under the guise of “skilled workers” is unnecessary. The European Union is run by the globalist elites who are pushing for open borders. Yet another reason why individual European nations are questioning their position within the union as Brussels is pressuring all nations to adopt their ideologies.

Refugee we are not going back

I mentioned in another article that nearly 70% of violent crime in France is committed by migrants. There are extreme risks involved when mixing cultures that do not align. Henry Kissinger recently came out and said the EU made a “grave mistake” with their open immigration policies. “It was a grave mistake to let in so many people of totally different culture and religion and concepts, because it creates a pressure group inside each country that does that,” Kissinger stated. This comes on the heels of pro-Hamas, not pro-Palestine, protests emerging across Germany. In fact, violent protests are emerging across all of Europe. “The Middle East conflict has the danger of escalating and bringing in other Arab countries under the pressure of their public opinion,” Kissinger noted.

We will see more mass deportations as civil unrest grows and countries become serious about securing their borders amid a rise in crime and violent protests. No one is willing to accept the people of Palestine after what happened after Syria. There may need to be negotiations or repercussions for origin countries that refuse to accept their own people back. This will become an extremely hot topic as countries begin to select who can stay and who must leave.

Another Migrant Caravan of 7,000 and Growing, Heading to U.S. Border


Posted originally on the CTH on November 1, 2023 | Sundance 

If it seems like things are rapidly spiraling in 2023, just wait until we get to 2024 – the last year of leftist opportunity to advance things under the cause of crisis while disposable Biden gets blamed.

The massive waves of illegal aliens swarming the U.S. southern border continues.

(Via Daily Mail) – The migrant caravan heading to the U.S. has grown by over by a thousand in just 24 hours, as social media teaches Chinese citizens how to reach the American dream.

Hundreds more have joined the caravan of migrants in Mexico bound north, one of the organizers said, bringing the total number to about 7,000 as the group traveled through the southern state of Chiapas.

World War III – It’s Inevitable Re-Posted Nov 1, 2023 By Martin Armstrong


COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong;

It is safe to say that nobody can hold a light to Socrates. Nobody has forecast war three years in advance as you did in 2011. Nobody has predicted a Middle East War in advance as you did two years ago. Even your posts on Turkey and its conflict with NATO, our bases there, and Erodan’s dream of restoring the Ottoman Empire. Everywhere I look, I see your forecast coming to life before my eyes. I can see World War III unfolding in a calamity of self-interests clashing with stupidity.

Besides market forecasts, your approach in creating Socrates to cope with the entire spectrum from politics to war has been a profound step forward in analysis. You deserve more than a Nobel Prize. You have achieved something significant for mankind.

RH

Joseph Interprets Pharaoh

REPLY: Thank you. You have hit the nail on the head a – “calamity of self-interests clashing with stupidity.” I see the world as the Biblical story of Joseph telling the Pharoah there will be 7 years of plenty and 7 years of drought. This story attempts to tell us that there is a business cycle, and we better live with it. Marx, Keynes, and Central Banks all attempted to either manipulate the business cycle or terminate it.

MAA on War

This was from Geneva 10 years ago. War comes when there is economic distress, set in motion with COVID-19 locking everyone down. Businesses closed, people lost their jobs, and the elite thought this was no big deal. You cannot raise interest rates to solve a shortage of food or to make it rain.

2014 War Cyclew 2011 Conference

2011 WEC Philadelphia

On December 3rd, 2013, I posted that Socrates had pinpointed where this would all begin as Ukraine. On February 5th, 2014, I also warned that anti-semitism and pro-Nazism would rise again. I want to stress that these forecasts are NOT my personal opinion. The sooner people wake up and understand that everything has a cycle, the sooner we can reach a new paradigm in our political economy.

Intl War Index 12 30 22

We are headed into World War III, as the computer has forecast, starting here in 2023 because all the old tensions in the world between people and nations will tear the world apart. We are witnessing anti-semitism rising around the world in Russia, the Middle East, Europe, and the Americas. This is extremely dangerous because it crosses all borders and raises old myths that have emerged from Jews and their connection to banking. For you see, Christians and Muslims had the sin of usury, so they could not engage in banking. That is what was really behind the Protestant Reformation that was usurped and funded by the “billionaires” of those days who wanted to engage in banking but would be excommunicated if they did. The Protestant Reformation was funded and eliminated the sin of usury so Christians could enter the banking field.

Edward I 1272 1307
1 Josy Napoleon

Jews were typically targeted when there was an economic downturn. Spain targeted Jews and Muslims and confiscated their assets. Edward I of England borrowed from the Jews to fund his war with France, and when he could not repay, he suddenly discovered they were Jews and expelled them from England, but defaulted on his loans and confiscated all their property.

It has been the religion of the Jews that has been the excuse to target the Jews when it traces back to economics. Both Hitler and Mussolini rose to power following the depression post-World War I, which was revenge led by France against Germany for past wars. Turn down the economy, and you get civil unrest and war. Even my dogs watch everything I do and connect the dogs to anticipate where I will go next or what I will do. It seems like nobody wants to look at history to connect the dots, as even my dogs do.

In 139 BC, Gnaeus Cornelius Scipio Hispanus expelled all Jews from the city of Rome. Then, in 63 BC, as a result of Pompey’s conquest of the East12,000 Jews were killed, and many more were sent into the diaspora, which was the biblical dispersion of Israelites or Jews out of their ancient ancestral homeland. In 59 BC, Cicero criticized Jews for being too influential in public assemblies. He also refers to Jews and Syrians as “races born to be slaves.” Then we come to 19AD, during the reign of Roman Emperor Tiberius (14-37AD), who also expelled the Jews from Rome. Most of the prejudice of the Jews in Rome was similar to that of the Christians – both refused to worship the gods of Rome.

Anti-semitism will continue to rise, and this will divide nations and peoples within nations because of old myths that they have no idea why they even exist.

Nero Bosporus Intervention

As I have said, the old tensions and disagreements will fester and split the world apart. It is irrelevant if they ever had any basis in truth. The old hatred will rise again. Even Crimea has been fought over for millennia. It was part of the Pontus Kingdom, which stretched around most of the Black Sea. There is a vast historical database that Socrates refers to to determine where and when such events will unfold. That is why the CIA wanted the source code.

Burns Arthur

The Fed Chairman, when Bretton Woods collapsed, took the view that the business cycle always won. I spoke with Paul Volcker, and he agreed that the business cycle was about 8 years. He also concluded post-1975 in what he called the Rediscovery of the Business Cycle.

What I hope to leave behind is that there is the existence of cycles. If we understand humanity and connect the dots, we can create a world that is much better for all of us, and we will not have to freeze to death with no fossil fuels and eat bugs.

The Rise of the Ottoman Empire Re-Posted Nov 1, 2023 By Martin Armstrong |


  
Erdogan Pointing

The final dissolution of the Ottoman Empire took place with the formal abolition of the Ottoman Sultanate. The Grand National Assembly of Turkey performed this on November 1st, 1922. Today is the 101st anniversary of the end of the Ottoman Empire. Many have written about Erdogan’s speech saying Israel is engaging in war crime, but by implication, not Hamas. Erdogan has also expressly hinted at the Ottoman Empire. It was the Turks who overthrew the Byzantine Empire in 1453. They attempted to conquer Europe in 1683. Egypt, Syra, Iraq, all of this region was under the Orroman Empire. He is hinting that they should all be part of a new Empire. This is what our Model has warned about by 2025.

He will take the side of Hammas because this is about the restoration of power. This is why I have warned that Turkey may be part of NATO, and the US has bases there with nuclear weapons and troops on the ground. Then you have the conflicts within the EU. His government has very clearly marked the 100th anniversary of the creation of the modern republic, the fall of the Ottoman Empire, with a statement from the presidential spokesperson Fahrettin Altun that boldly declared that a new international structure. Altun said this is because the UN Security Council “and similar international structures are unable to solve global problems in full and have even begun to deepen them and lead to crises.”

The ground is being laid for the rise of Turkey. Indeed, Turkey has a greater military force than Italy and ranks 11th in the world. It has 895,000 people in its military, with 355,000 active personnel. Turkey has 3,045 tanks and a budget of $17.3 billion. It can easily rise as the dominant force for the Middle East.

Belarus Looking for War with Lithuania Re-Posted Nov 1, 2023 By Martin Armstrong 



The embers of war are igniting. Everyone is using the ongoing turmoil as an opportunity to attack their enemies. Belarus and Lithuania are akin to Russia and Ukraine in that the people living there have many genetic and cultural similarities. Lithuania has partnered with the West, joining NATO in 2004, while Belarus has shown loyalty to Russia. The two nations share a 420-mile border (680 km) with six border crossings, but Lithuania implemented “temporary” closures to a number of crossings due to “geopolitical circumstances.”

Russian Wagner Group mercenaries were believed to be on Lithuanian territory this past August, sparking the initial border crossing closures. These temporary closures were never lifted and the Belarus government is now threatening war. Russian troops have already been positioned in Belarus for some time. “Lithuania has effectively banned us from moving our goods across the border. Under all norms of international law, such a step is considered economic aggression,” the Belarusian official said. “From the point of view of basic logic, we have every reason to use the force of arms to break through a corridor that is vital for us.”

The Neocons are shouting ARTICLE 5 as they are simply waiting for someone to make the first move so they do not have to create a false flag event. Belarus likely will not make a move without Russia’s approval, and Putin has been very strategic thus far. The question becomes how far countries can be pushed until someone makes the first move.

Former WEF Associate Speaks out on CBDC


Blog/Great Reset

Posted Oct 30, 2023 by Martin Armstron

Economist Professor Richard Werner previously partnered with the World Economic Forum’s Global Leader for Tomorrow program. He has since turned away from the organization and has been speaking out against the Great Reset. I do not agree with him on many topics but I do appreciate him speaking up on this topic. According to Werner, the WEF plans to roll out CBDC in stages, with the final stage being a small microchip implanted under the skin.

He claims that this microchip will contain our entire identity and access to the world. The chip will act as a passport, digital ID, and license. Our wallets will be condensed into a chip the size of a grain of rice that we will have on us at all times. “It is a violation of human dignity to inject something under the skin. That’s why you need more persuasion,” he stated.

As with most digital currencies, they will begin by marketing it as a convenient way for past payment processing. Then they will use a fear tactic, such as rising crime or digital hacking, and then tell the people that having an individual universal ID will protect them from lowly criminals. But that will not be enough to convince people and eventually payments and the freedom of movement will only be permitted through the use of these implanted devices.

This will provide governments with complete control over the people. Who will have backdoor access to the data? The globalists who want to form a one-world government. Bill Gates came out in 2017 and said he supported Guaranteed Basic Income, but the technology was not yet there. The elites have been waiting for the introduction of the Digital ID amid the COVID power grab. The shrinking middle class will become dependent on the welfare state as the cost of living everywhere continues to be unsustainable. As I have also warned, the overall digital ID will also be reliant on our social credit score. Disobey big brother and you will be removed from society. Fumble your taxes? You will be de-banked in an instant and prevented from accessing public vicinities or traveling.

Revelation 13:16-17 “He causes ALL, both small and great, rich and poor, free and slave, to Receive a Mark on their RIGHT HAND or on their FOREHEADS, and that no one may buy or sell except one who has the mark or the name of the beast, or the number of his number.

Some claim this is akin to the mark of the beast and the fulfillment of the prophecy of Revelations while others think it is a neat new technology. It is interesting that an ancient text would declare we need a mark on to buy or sell. Religion aside, we should all be concerned over how much power this technology will give to governments as this technology would equate to the loss of ALL freedom.