May Jobs Report Show 339,000 Jobs Gained, Worked Hours Declines, Unemployment Rate Increases to 3.7%


June 2, 2023 | Sundance 

There is a strong divergence within the May jobs report as released by the Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS) [DATA HERE].  Payrolls increased 339,000 in May from April and previous months were revised up by 93,000. That is good news.  However, the household survey, from which the unemployment rate is derived, showed employment down 310,000 jobs and the unemployment rate increased to 3.7%.

One of the aspects driving higher payroll starts are the number of people taking on additional part-time jobs.  This aspect is noted in a decline for the number of hours in the average workweek. As more PT jobs are added, the number of hours in a workweek declines. As noted in the BLS data, “the average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls edged down by 0.1 hour to 34.3 hours in May.

There were 161.0 million people working in April.  There are 160.7 million people working in May.

There were 5.7 million people unemployed in April.  There are 6.1 million unemployed people in May.

The unemployment rate increased from 3.4% to 3.7%.

There are 310,000 fewer people working in May than were working in April.  However, payrolls increased by 339,000 over the same timeframe. See graph above for where those jobs were gained.

(NBC) – […] Job gains were broad-based last month with health care contributing 52,000 and leisure and hospitality adding 48,000. Food services and drinking places led the increase in the latter industry, which had been adding an average of 77,000 jobs per month over the prior 12 months.

Overall, the U.S. economy added 339,000 jobs for the month, much better than the 190,000 Dow Jones estimate and marking the 29th straight month of positive job growth.

The unemployment rate rose to 3.7% in May against the estimate for 3.5%. The jobless rate was the highest since October 2022, though still near the lowest since 1969.

Olu Sonola, head of U.S. regional economics at Fitch Ratings, said the jobs report is a mixed bag.

“The strength of the payroll survey is clearly a big surprise, largely on the back of robust job growth in the healthcare sector and the business and professional services sector,” said Sonola. “However, the 0.3% increase in the unemployment rate is the highest monthly increase since April 2020.” (more)

WAGES – As noted within the BLS report, “In May, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls rose by 11 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $33.44. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have increased by 4.3 percent.” Wage growth still lags inflation; the middle class is getting poorer.  However, with the fed focused on wage growth as the leading indicator of their false pretenses to combat inflation, wage growth is too high (they want around 3.0%).

The Biden economic and monetary policies are delivering the results they want.  Higher energy prices, higher costs of living, lower real wages and increased middle class pressure. The serf model.

The BLS was forced to admit yesterday their Real Hourly Compensation growth was previously flawed.  [CHART DATA SOURCE]

That chart of revisions to real wages tells us a lot about the economic pain being felt by the working class in the U.S.  If it feels like you are working harder and going backwards in your ability to afford basic essentials, that’s because you are.

The prices for essential goods and services have risen at a much greater rate than the wages needed to afford them.  This is the result of Joe Biden’s energy policy, economic policy, and now magnifying monetary policy.

Our goods and housing costs are higher.  Our wages are not growing much.  The cost to borrow money to afford the gap is increasing.  This is unsustainable.

In my opinion, the economy overall – as a measure of units produced and sold – has been in a contracting position since the fourth quarter of 2021.  The appearance of economic growth, the value of goods and services, is an illusion that has been created by higher prices, ie. inflation.

Berkshire Hathaway: CEI Score 0


Armstrong Economics Blog/WOKE re-Posted May 30, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

Berkshire Hathaway managed to score a total of zero imaginary woke points on the Corporate Equality Index. The Human Rights Campaign (HRC) investigates how woke a business has become, solely on LGBTQ+ policies, and assigns it a woke credit core (CEI). I mentioned in another post how this score has become increasingly harder to obtain, with the organization making obscene demands regarding employer-funded healthcare and practices. So is Warren Buffett secretly homophobic to receive the lowest possible CEI score? No.

Buffett simply declined to report Berkshire Hathaway’s business to the Human Rights Campaign. The company did not suffer as a result. No one is forced to report their company’s policies to this agency, and yet nearly all Fortune 500 companies do. The HRC states it has over “1,200 participants,” meaning companies are choosing to pander to the woke agenda.

The HRC has been cracking down on businesses for over 20 years and the requirements have become completely ridiculous. “We get surveys all the time … on all kinds of things, and we basically don’t answer them,” explained Buffett in a 2014 interview, and added it’s Berkshire’s practice not to respond to surveys. Furthermore, Buffett does not dictate policies for the companies under Berkshire.

So yes, it really is that simple. Companies need to come together and agree to refrain from reporting to the HRC and giving any credit to this social score. The HRC, backed by Soros, has turned human rights into a culture war that is destroying companies (see: Anheuser Busch). It has taken numerous failed marketing campaigns for companies to realize that the woke agenda is bad for business. I know a gay man who said he detests “rainbow marketing” and finds it offensive. These businesses try to appease the HRC but should focus on their clients. I disagree with Buffett on many topics, but this is one case where I believe he is correct.

Illegal Residents Permitted to Vote in Texas


Armstrong Economics Blog/Corruption Re-Posted May 30, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

The Democrats defeated a proposed bill that would require voters in Texas to be citizens of the United States. I could not simply enter a country where I do not have citizenship and vote in their elections. Sen. Brian Birdwell (R-Granbury) brought Senate Joint Resolution (SJR) 35 to the Senate floor where it passed in a 29 to 1 vote. However, House Democrats found a way to kill the proposal.

SJR 35 would have prohibited “persons who are not citizens of the United States” from voting under the Texas Constitution. This is  a massive issue since tens of thousands of undocumented persons have entered the US from the Texas-Mexico border. No one technically voted against the bill, as that would make the scheme too obvious. Instead, 54 Democrats registered “present, not voting” in order to prevent the measure from receiving the 100 votes needed to pass.

Rep. Matt Schaefer (R-Tyler) condemned these actions by saying, “An open border is the long-term strategy.” This is why they do not want people to provide identification to vote. You cannot even rent a book from the library without identification. The plan is overtly obvious and shows that one side of the political aisle has absolutely no respect for the US election process.

Corporations Losing Their Minds


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted May 28, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

There has been a huge backlash against Target just like Budweiser. Both boards of directors should be fired and barred from ever serving on any board or any corporation – EVER! They are engaging in indoctrination that supports changing the gender of children without parental consent. If you cannot consent to sex no matter what under the law before 18, then how can a child consent to a sex change before 18 openly denying any notification to parents?

This has gone way too far. This is no longer about equality and inclusionism. This is indoctrination and it will be remembered by historians as a critical factor for the collapse of Western society. I will NEVER buy a Budweiser product again nor anything from Target. Corporations are here to serve EVERYONE, and if they stood up and said will only vote for a Democrat or a Republican, they have entered the realm of politics. That is what is taking place here. ANY company engaging in indoctrination OF ANY KIND should be boycotted. Look at SVB. Their risk management was selected to check boxes for WOKEISM – not qualification.

Going to school and seeking degrees is no longer even important. If you do not check a box, you will not be hired in the big corporate world anymore. The WhiteHouse is bragging about being WOKE and look at the result. Qualification is now secondary.

Girls are being discriminated against in sports. Family values and traditions are to be overthrown. Those who identify as Transgender in only about .5% of the population. This whole movement is being pushed to also reduce the population. Mothers are now birthing people and women are no longer identifiable. As I have said, Thailand is the capital of Transgender surgery.  They even have their own theatre with “Ladyboys” performing and tourists go to watch. The difference is that they are openly accepted and call themselves “Ladyboy” and do not see to demand everyone else call them a woman. They are NOT confrontational and they are NOT engaging in indoctrination.

We must look behind this movement as to its real purpose and who is funding this agenda for other objectives.

Corporate Equality Index 2023 – New Criteria for the Woke Credit Score


Armstrong Economics Blog/Corruption Re-Posted May 26, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

(old ratings featured above; deemed not inclusive enough)

I mentioned how the Corporate Equality Index (CEI) is the reason companies are going WOKE. This is the imaginary social credit score based on a company’s adherence to WOKE policies. The Human Right Campaign (HRC), a massive international political lobbying group that dictates the CEI score, employs 39 million workers globally. George Soros and the Open Society Foundation fund the HRC directly.

The 2023 Corporate Equality Index toolkit has a point system for various woke policies. The new policy has expanded these woke policies and makes it increasingly difficult for companies to operate outside of the far-left narrative. For example, spousal and partner benefits can earn a company up to 20 possible points. An employee does not need to be legally married for their partner “regardless of sex” to receive benefits, which include surrogacy benefits, expensive IVF treatments, foster care assistance, cryopreservation, and adoption assistance.

Transgender-inclusive healthcare benefits (25 possible points) entail a full page of demands, including puberty blockers and hormone therapy for minors, and reconstructive surgical reassignment surgery (including reconstructive chest, breast, and genital procedures). Employers “MUST” offer these procedures to all employees. They must also offer at least five out of 10 “essential services,” including travel expenses, tracheal shaving, facial feminization surgery, voice modification surgery, voice therapy, and hair removal surgery.

Outreach or engagement to the broader LGBTQ+ community is worth 15 points, meaning that businesses must show they are either trying to recruit more gay employees, working with gay-friendly third parties, providing philanthropic support to at least one LGBTQ+ organization, and more. This criterion is forcing businesses to recruit other businesses into the woke agenda. Forget qualifications! As long as they’re part of the gay community, they’re hired.

The criteria for a 100 CEI score rose dramatically in just one year. Religious organizations or employers are demonized for holding true to their values. Are we really forcing employers to pay for breast augmentations and voice therapy? The most disturbing piece is that employers must now provide “gender-affirming care” procedures to the CHILDREN of their employees. If you look around, nearly every business is adhering to this agenda as the CEI social credit score has become just as important as the ESG climate social credit score.

Is the Rise of LGBTQ Part of the Decline & Fall of the West?


Armstrong Economics Blog/ECM Re-Posted May 25, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: What do you think about Target now selling books on this transgender stuff for even first graders? This has gone full circle from recognizing their rights to pushing their influential anti-religion on everyone else. We should boycott Target like Bud from what I see.

SD

ANSWER: This has indeed gone from equal rights to denying civil and religious rights of everyone else. Target rolled out its Pride collection offering over 2,000 products, including books for kids aged 2–8 with titles like “Pride 1,2,3,” “Bye Bye, Binary,” and “I’m Not a Girl.” Target also suggested “The Pronoun Book” to kids aged 0–3.

If they wanted to crucify Epstein as a pedophile for having girls 16 and 17, which are legal ages in Europe and Asia, they do not even teach sex education at such a tender young age. Barbie and Ken dolls did not have genitalia when my daughter was growing up. So now showing child pornography is prison time but not books like these teaching sex to pre-puberty children?

I am just glad I am not raising kids today. I would agree to not shop at Target and I would no longer take my children to Disney.

It is one thing to discriminate against LGBTQ, and another to promote it shoving it down children’s throats at such a young age. This is all going too far and instead of promoting equal rights, it is severely dividing the country offending the religious rights of others. How about we teach atheism in first grade that there is no God and it is all fiction? Would that be acceptable? The world has really gone insane. Civilization works ONLY when everyone benefits – not by dividing it into groups and pitting them against each other.

The Christians were persecuted BECAUSE they refused to respect the beliefs of others. When Rome started to fall, they were persecuted because the Romans thought they offended the gods by refusing to show any respect for other religions. From a historical perspective, this LGBTQ movement is no longer about inclusion and equal rights. This becomes a movement that has no respect for other people’s religious beliefs and is promoting their beliefs and forcing them upon everyone else. This is clearly offending the First Amendment and is courting our own demise.

I fear when the History of the Decline & Fall of Western Civilization is written, as our computer is projecting, there will be an equal parallel to the religious divisions that also tore Rome apart. We are becoming so divided, it will be IMPOSSIBLE to stand together as one nation or society. During the 1840s, gun battles were taking place even on the streets of Philadelphia between Catholics and Protestants. We are messing around with a tinder box. This is feeding into the cycle of our demise for 2032.