Posted originally on the conservative tree house on February 16, 2022 | Sundance | 89 Comments
This is one of the goofiest notification letters for noncompliance with the ridiculous COVID vaccination mandate. LA County Sheriff Alex Villanueva shared via Twitter. Read this letter from the original baseline that vaccine mandates were about health:
Presumably the entire reason for the Fire Department vaccination mandate was about health. If you are not vaccinated, something about your health or other people’s health is an issue. However, if you are an LAFD worker and you do not get the vaccine, you can still work but you must get tested.
If you are non-compliant with the vaccine/testing rule you must get a suspension for five days as punishment for not getting the vaccine or missing a test. However, the County cannot suspend the firefighter because they don’t have staff. So, the vaccine/testing suspension is delayed until they get enough staff to suspend you….. And somewhere, in some bureaucratic office of some knucklehead, this all makes sense.
COVID-19 appears to have created a dissociative condition called cognitive COVID madness. Fewer people are injured by covid related respiratory damage than are injured by covid related brain damage.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on February 16, 2022 | Sundance | 214 Comments
The Russians are having a little fun at Joe Biden’s expense, now that the deadline for invasion has expired without invasion.
Yesterday, the Russians reminded the Ukraine government to set their alarm clocks so they did not miss the invasion. Today the Russian government asks the Biden administration for the invasion dates, they plan to use this year, so that Moscow can coordinate the vacation plans of key military and government officials.
Russia’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova asked for the invasion schedule on Telegram: “I’d like to request US and British disinformation: Bloomberg, The New York Times and The Sun media outlets to publish the schedule for our upcoming invasions for the year. I’d like to plan my vacation,” the Russian diplomat said on her Telegram channel Wednesday.
However, on a serious note, the U.S. drumbeat over the invasion of Ukraine has seriously hurt their economy. The Russian State News Agency, TASS reports:
[…] “This steady disinformation blitz by the Western media has already resulted in a sharp deterioration of Kiev’s economic situation, with investments and businesses fleeing Ukraine, while the energy prices in Europe are growing. Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov castigated these statements as an “empty and groundless” escalation of tensions, emphasizing that Russia posed no threat to anyone.”
It’s almost as if the U.S. government wants to hurt the Ukraine economy so that the U.S. has stronger influence and can manipulate the internal politics of Ukraine… with 10% for the ‘big guy‘ of course.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on February 16, 2022 | Sundance | 239 Comments
Kraft-Heinz has announced the next wave of anticipated inflationary prices for their products. The announcement, and the timeline they provide for the price increases, is exactly in line with our prior estimations.
Prior CTH outlines on the path of inflation for this specific company are HERE (Dec) and HERE (Jan). Keep in mind, depending on the size of the buyer or wholesaler, and depending on the terms of the contracts for purchase, generally speaking, terms are net payment in 30, 60 or 90 days based on 180 day contracted price agreements which include rebates to retailers.
(Reuters) […] “The company expects inflation to be in the low-teens percentage range for 2022, with higher levels in the first half than in the second, said Chief Financial Officer Paulo Basilio.” (link)
Both Proctor & Gamble and Kraft-Heinz provide the best data points to predict future retail grocery inflation. Based on their previous notifications, we can now see that Kraft is anticipating the March – July rates of increase to remain approximately where they have been (20 to 30%) and then stabilize in the last half of the year bringing the yearly average into the “low teens.” This timeline is what we predicted back in October.
The prices we will see at the grocery stores will rise again in the spring (this is the backside of the inflationary cycle), continue through mid-summer, and then price increases should likely level off at the end of summer this year. Between the price today and the price at the point of leveling is approximately a 20% increase.
Each segment is different. However, on average a $5 item now will cost around $6 mid-summer, then settle. Average food basket prices going into the July 4th holiday will be approximately 20% higher than current, and 40% higher than July 2021. Some items will be 50 to 60% higher July 4, 2022, versus July 4, 2021.
Dairy products into manufacturing and processing went up 4.5% last month alone. Those price increases will continue accumulating into the products as ingredients. Expect another +25% on dairy goods at retail. Plastic packaging (jugs etc) is part of that product price.
Household chemicals, cleaning products, laundry detergents, paper goods as well as health and beauty care products like soaps, shampoos, dental and cosmetics, will see much higher price increases than food products because the raw materials (bases and chemicals) are off the charts higher in price. Cleaning products at wholesale jumped 3.8% in January alone. Expect to see anything containing chemicals on the extreme high end of price increases this year.
Another serious issue are paper and cardboard prices which are likely going to jump another 30 to 50% before they stop (if they do). Everything above comes shipped in boxes, so the cost of products carries the increased cost of the shipping cardboard.
Keep in mind a few points:
(1) The outlined price increases noted are against current price terms and contracts. Meaning, these are price increases from right now to the next fulfillment. These are not inflation price increases which are compared to a year ago. These are 5% to 20% increases from the current price right now.
(2) The price increases are not the final price increase. This is the price of a contract today from the field to the distribution center. The retailer also has additional price increases (transportation, energy, labor, etc) which they need to add to the wholesale price before you see the final price at retail (grocery store).
The final field to fork price is not yet known but will be higher than noted above. We are only seeing the notifications from field, through processing (Kraft and P&G) and into warehousing and distribution.
Additionally, the more an item needs to be processed, the higher the price increase will be. Food items that require multiple raw materials, ingredients and bases for processing (ex. condiments), when combined with increased packaging costs (oil, energy), will be much higher than foods with less processing, handling and packaging.
This has always been the nature of this specific supply chain.
Example: Many products, food, drinks and even cleaning products, contain citrus bases, additives, flavorings and distillation. Those products will be much higher in price due to the price increases in raw materials, combined with higher energy and petroleum costs. It is an issue of cumulative price increases in the production of the product from beginning to end.
Unfortunately, pet foods, specifically wet pet foods, will also be on the higher end of the price increases. Pet foods are subject to the higher end of price increases due to manufacturing and processing. Many high-end wet pet foods are also imported, so the transportation costs are higher.
CTH has recommended preparing for these massive increases in 2022 prices by thinking about the base products you use to make meals at home and holding an extra supply of shelf stable products, so you won’t hit the grocery store and face those massive increases. Another example will be coffee. Keep in mind Kraft Foods is Maxwell House, and coffee requires roasting (another energy cost).
The $200 food basket in early 2021 is now around $275. That same food basket will likely reach $325 this summer. I wish there were a better way to put it, because at the end of these price jumps is a lot of hardship for many working families.
Believe me, I feel that pain. I know what it looks like to see a grocery bill at checkout that suddenly makes the monthly car, rent or mortgage payment more challenging. That’s why we have been trying to support everyone with fact-based expectations since last fall, so we could help readers prepare ourselves to support our families, kids and grandkids who might be seeing these issues for the first time in their lives.
On the durable goods side of the equation, other than energy-price-impacted goods (tires, oils, rubber components etc), we can expect to see price increases of durable goods (electronics etc) settle down much faster this year, likely before spring. Unfortunately, the reason is obvious as demand is continuing to drop.
We must get the Democrat Communists out of office and stop the assault on the energy industry before it’s too late. If we do not get rid of them, we will lose the middle class.
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; it is easy to see why the government wanted Socrates. You said Monday would be the low then a bounce and that is what unfolds. You forecast so many markets and you get it to the day. Others claim this is the guy who called 2008 so buy his latest forecast resting on a single forecast. Your track record is far beyond anyone ever. How can you do this? Is the future predetermined?
HC
Many people have written in to ask the same question, for example: “I had begun settling on the position (with relative comfort) that while technicals provide insights into the market, its the market makers that manipulate conditions to the point of driving it in one direction or the other – unless of course, there’s a significant fundamental reason for the market to be guided by the invisible hand. However, after experiencing Socrates and learning more about your approach, I find it challenging (mentally) to accept that there isn’t a pre-designed aspect guiding markets the way they roll.”
Others have asked: “Does Socrates foresee the birth and emergence of great teachers to come who have the capacity of overcoming the Deep State and bringing the world back into an economic balance?” Then there are questions such as: “Because Socrates was created by you, does it carry an inherent bias on economic theories about the world that it generates 1000 reports on a day for? Is it not impossible to truly be conscious and to accurately see the global economic landscape without having a fundamental empathy (being truly human to know what human nature is).”
ANSWER: I am an avid student of history. I noticed from an early age that no empire ever lasts forever. The question I had in my mind was how and why did they fall? I pursued my own course and academics held no answer. I would say there were two incidents when I was in high school that perhaps set me on a course of independent review. I was given The Great Crash to read and nowhere in there could you find one word about government defaults. Later I discovered a copy of Herbert Hoover’s Memoirs and after reading the chapter of events during 1931, I came to realize like so many throughout the centuries that history might be partially correct perhaps, but let us not forget, it was written by the victors to those who tended to record what suited their preferred conclusion to support their theories.
I have explained how I got a job during High School and worked in a coin/bullion store to earn money to go on a trip to Europe. I was in history class and the high school professor brought in an old film The Toast of New York. It was a film about the Panic of 1869 and the attempt of Jim Fisk to corner the gold market. In this clip, you will see what sparked my imagination and sense of curiosity given my exposure to reality by working with bullion when gold was fixed at $35 an ounce under Bretton Woods. Jim Fisk is at the ticker tape, and he then turns to his girlfriend and quotes gold at $162. How could gold be $162 in 1869 and $35 then? I was being taught that progress meant society moved in a linear fashion. So how was it possible that gold could be $162 in 1869 and $35 today in the 1960s?
At first, I assumed it was just a movie. But it bothered me. There was a QUESTION in the back of my mind that would not be answered. I went to the library and looked up the price of gold in the microfilm copies of The New York Times. There it was, the quote, $162. It was real. It profoundly shook my belief system to the very foundation of what I was being taught. Then merged with the realization that Galbraith cherry-picked history to support his socialist philosophy, suddenly;y I was confronted with the cold hard fact that what was being taught in school was not the truth but merely someone’s opinion.
When I went to physics class, I was told nothing was random. Yet when I went to economics class, I was told everything was random and therefore we can manipulate society under Keynesian Economics to eliminate depressions and recessions. Obviously, one was correct and the other was dead wrong. Social Sciences has nothing to do with “science” but were nothing more than an indoctrination into a philosophy, precisely as Klaus Schwab has done with his Young Global Leaders.
So is the future predetermined? There are two futures. The first is our personal future and people prefer to believe that they have free will and thus reject the idea of a predestined cycle. There are so many doors to the future, but they have the free will to decide which door to take. Will they act independently or follow the mob blindly like wearing a mask while driving a car alone. The independent can see the choice, whereas the latter just follows the mob and will suffer the predetermined outcome.
The second future is that of the mob which actually dictated the rise and fall of empires, nations, and city-states. The phrase “Power tends to corrupt and absolute power corrupts absolutely. Great men are almost always bad men” was written in 1887 by Lord Acton. The truth behind those words rings true throughout time in memorial. We are witnessing this once more with Klaus Schwab, Bill Gates, and George Soros. What makes such people think they know a better way for the world to function? Perhaps it is the ultimate power that blinds them to the reality that they elevate themselves way above society.
The rise and fall of empires, nations, and city-states is not entirely dependent upon human nature. Even these people arguing for Global Warming that they switched to climate change when the cold confronted their theories, is ponce more rewriting history to fit their predetermined conclusion. Climate has always moved through cycles. They simply are anti-fossil fuels and do everything in their power to support their predetermined conclusion that they must be stopped.
The first known Clean Air Act occurred in 535 AD. Emperor Justinian proclaimed the importance of clean air as a birthright. “By the law of nature these things are common to mankind—the air, running water, the sea.” Even Cicero wrote about pollution in the ancient city of Rome. For you see, CO2 is not solely produced by fossil fuels. When a forest is on fire, it gives off CO2, and before fossil fuels, they burned wood to stay warm. Burning crude oil releases less carbon dioxide than burning coal. Since ancient times, they have been burning peat for fuel. That is far worse than even coal.
Of course, climate change people are not interested in the truth. They have already made up their mind and they will ignore all other evidence. Trudeau even put a climate change tax on every household as if that can change the climate. You can win an argument with someone who is intelligent and interested in the truth. You will NEVER win an argument against a fool or someone who is entrenched in their bias. They are incapable of independent thought and will never change course. Hence, their personal future is tied to that of the mob which is predetermined.
History repeats, but it does so because it is guided by Adam Smith’s Invisible Hand. Even John Maynard Keynes, the father of this modern age of New Economics which is now collapsing, came to realize that his theories that society could be manipulated to eliminate depressions and recessions would never work. Former Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Paul Volcker, had even concluded that the Business Cycle defeated the “New Economics” of Keynes where there emerged “the conviction that business cycles were not inevitable, that government policy could and should keep the economy close to a path of steady real growth at a constant target rate of unemployment.” He called it the Rediscovery of the Business Cycle.
Even the previous Chairman of the Federal Reserve Arthur Burns came to the same conclusion – the Business Cycle would always win. Thus, even governments could NOT manipulate the economy or markets to produce the desired result.
As far as does Socrates “foresee the birth and emergence of great teachers to come who have the capacity of overcoming the Deep State and bringing the world back into an economic balance?” Socrates does not project individuals. It forecast that 2016 was the first time we could see a third-party candidate take the White House and that was put out in 1985. That was 31.4 years into this ECM wave which began 1985.65 that produce the very day that Trump became president – 2017.05. It did not predict it would be Trump over some other individuals. But history appears to produce the opportunity where some individuals will step up and see the opportunity for change. Socrates predicts turmoil between here into 2032, but there will be people who come forward to defeat Klaus Schwab and all his Young Global Leaders who are anti-humanity and assume that we are all worker
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; it is easy to see why the government wanted Socrates. You said Monday would be the low then a bounce and that is what unfolds. You forecast so many markets and you get it to the day. Others claim this is the guy who called 2008 so buy his latest forecast resting on a single forecast. Your track record is far beyond anyone ever. How can you do this? Is the future predetermined?
HC
Many people have written in to ask the same question, for example: “I had begun settling on the position (with relative comfort) that while technicals provide insights into the market, its the market makers that manipulate conditions to the point of driving it in one direction or the other – unless of course, there’s a significant fundamental reason for the market to be guided by the invisible hand. However, after experiencing Socrates and learning more about your approach, I find it challenging (mentally) to accept that there isn’t a pre-designed aspect guiding markets the way they roll.”
Others have asked: “Does Socrates foresee the birth and emergence of great teachers to come who have the capacity of overcoming the Deep State and bringing the world back into an economic balance?” Then there are questions such as: “Because Socrates was created by you, does it carry an inherent bias on economic theories about the world that it generates 1000 reports on a day for? Is it not impossible to truly be conscious and to accurately see the global economic landscape without having a fundamental empathy (being truly human to know what human nature is).”
ANSWER: I am an avid student of history. I noticed from an early age that no empire ever lasts forever. The question I had in my mind was how and why did they fall? I pursued my own course and academics held no answer. I would say there were two incidents when I was in high school that perhaps set me on a course of independent review. I was given The Great Crash to read and nowhere in there could you find one word about government defaults. Later I discovered a copy of Herbert Hoover’s Memoirs and after reading the chapter of events during 1931, I came to realize like so many throughout the centuries that history might be partially correct perhaps, but let us not forget, it was written by the victors to those who tended to record what suited their preferred conclusion to support their theories.
I have explained how I got a job during High School and worked in a coin/bullion store to earn money to go on a trip to Europe. I was in history class and the high school professor brought in an old film The Toast of New York. It was a film about the Panic of 1869 and the attempt of Jim Fisk to corner the gold market. In this clip, you will see what sparked my imagination and sense of curiosity given my exposure to reality by working with bullion when gold was fixed at $35 an ounce under Bretton Woods. Jim Fisk is at the ticker tape, and he then turns to his girlfriend and quotes gold at $162. How could gold be $162 in 1869 and $35 then? I was being taught that progress meant society moved in a linear fashion. So how was it possible that gold could be $162 in 1869 and $35 today in the 1960s?
At first, I assumed it was just a movie. But it bothered me. There was a QUESTION in the back of my mind that would not be answered. I went to the library and looked up the price of gold in the microfilm copies of The New York Times. There it was, the quote, $162. It was real. It profoundly shook my belief system to the very foundation of what I was being taught. Then merged with the realization that Galbraith cherry-picked history to support his socialist philosophy, suddenly;y I was confronted with the cold hard fact that what was being taught in school was not the truth but merely someone’s opinion.
When I went to physics class, I was told nothing was random. Yet when I went to economics class, I was told everything was random and therefore we can manipulate society under Keynesian Economics to eliminate depressions and recessions. Obviously, one was correct and the other was dead wrong. Social Sciences has nothing to do with “science” but were nothing more than an indoctrination into a philosophy, precisely as Klaus Schwab has done with his Young Global Leaders.
So is the future predetermined? There are two futures. The first is our personal future and people prefer to believe that they have free will and thus reject the idea of a predestined cycle. There are so many doors to the future, but they have the free will to decide which door to take. Will they act independently or follow the mob blindly like wearing a mask while driving a car alone. The independent can see the choice, whereas the latter just follows the mob and will suffer the predetermined outcome.
The second future is that of the mob which actually dictated the rise and fall of empires, nations, and city-states. The phrase “Power tends to corrupt and absolute power corrupts absolutely. Great men are almost always bad men” was written in 1887 by Lord Acton. The truth behind those words rings true throughout time in memorial. We are witnessing this once more with Klaus Schwab, Bill Gates, and George Soros. What makes such people think they know a better way for the world to function? Perhaps it is the ultimate power that blinds them to the reality that they elevate themselves way above society.
The rise and fall of empires, nations, and city-states is not entirely dependent upon human nature. Even these people arguing for Global Warming that they switched to climate change when the cold confronted their theories, is ponce more rewriting history to fit their predetermined conclusion. Climate has always moved through cycles. They simply are anti-fossil fuels and do everything in their power to support their predetermined conclusion that they must be stopped.
The first known Clean Air Act occurred in 535 AD. Emperor Justinian proclaimed the importance of clean air as a birthright. “By the law of nature these things are common to mankind—the air, running water, the sea.” Even Cicero wrote about pollution in the ancient city of Rome. For you see, CO2 is not solely produced by fossil fuels. When a forest is on fire, it gives off CO2, and before fossil fuels, they burned wood to stay warm. Burning crude oil releases less carbon dioxide than burning coal. Since ancient times, they have been burning peat for fuel. That is far worse than even coal.
Of course, climate change people are not interested in the truth. They have already made up their mind and they will ignore all other evidence. Trudeau even put a climate change tax on every household as if that can change the climate. You can win an argument with someone who is intelligent and interested in the truth. You will NEVER win an argument against a fool or someone who is entrenched in their bias. They are incapable of independent thought and will never change course. Hence, their personal future is tied to that of the mob which is predetermined.
History repeats, but it does so because it is guided by Adam Smith’s Invisible Hand. Even John Maynard Keynes, the father of this modern age of New Economics which is now collapsing, came to realize that his theories that society could be manipulated to eliminate depressions and recessions would never work. Former Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Paul Volcker, had even concluded that the Business Cycle defeated the “New Economics” of Keynes where there emerged “the conviction that business cycles were not inevitable, that government policy could and should keep the economy close to a path of steady real growth at a constant target rate of unemployment.” He called it the Rediscovery of the Business Cycle.
Even the previous Chairman of the Federal Reserve Arthur Burns came to the same conclusion – the Business Cycle would always win. Thus, even governments could NOT manipulate the economy or markets to produce the desired result.
As far as does Socrates “foresee the birth and emergence of great teachers to come who have the capacity of overcoming the Deep State and bringing the world back into an economic balance?” Socrates does not project individuals. It forecast that 2016 was the first time we could see a third-party candidate take the White House and that was put out in 1985. That was 31.4 years into this ECM wave which began 1985.65 that produce the very day that Trump became president – 2017.05. It did not predict it would be Trump over some other individuals. But history appears to produce the opportunity where some individuals will step up and see the opportunity for change. Socrates predicts turmoil between here into 2032, but there will be people who come forward to defeat Klaus Schwab and all his Young Global Leaders who are anti-humanity and assume that we are all worker bees to be herded and controlled.
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Being a student of history, I realized that there is no way I can foresee what might happen 100 years from now. Will we have new energy? Will we inhabit other planets beyond Mars? ASll I could do was to teach Socrates how I would analyze and not inject any personal theory. There was no inherent bias on economic theories. I allowed it total freedom to come back and teach me how the world functioned. There was never any hardwire set of theories that if interest rates rise sell stocks. It was very clear that no such relationship was ever constant.
The stock market has NEVER peaked with the same level of interest rates twice in history. So how can anyone forecast what will happen if the Federal Reserve raises or lowers interest rates?
Indeed, the Fed raised rates throughout Trump’s Administration yet the stock market rallied. No relationship is ever cast in stone.
Some have asked how can Socrates forecast gold would rise and silver would decline at times. The two are not always joined at the hip.
So to conclude, the future is PREDETERMINED insofar as there will always be a rise and fall to every empire, nation, and city-state. That does not mean that our individual fate is predetermined. There are those of us who see the trend and are not so blind to the point that they just mindlessly join the crowd. This is evident right now even between the vaxed & un-vaxed. This is also why Schwab has ordered his Young Global Leaders to crush the un-vaxed for he wants total obedience to impose his economic theory upon the world.
Sorry, Klaus – You Will Fail. Socrates has Already Predicted your Outcome
After being declared a “pandemic of the unvaccinated,” countless people harbor hate toward those who have not taken the vaccine. Rhetoric promoted by the media and governments states that the pandemic, and therefore restrictions, could have ended long ago if everyone agreed to take the jab. This is simply not true as time has proven. Still, hatred toward “the unvaccinated” remains prominent among those who look at others as the reason for all their woes.
The City of Boston made it easier for people to unleash their unfounded hatred after they “accidentally” released the names and email addresses of all unvaccinated employees. This mistake exposed the personal health choices of around 100 employees. The initial email sent on January 18 was allegedly intended to tell employees that they must receive the vaccine to continue working for the city. “Unintentionally and accidentally, we messed up,” the city responded in a follow-up letter. “The communication was intended to be sent as a BCC so as to respect employees’ privacy. The wrong button got pushed and so the email was sent showing all email addresses.”
Could an employee have simply pushed the wrong button on an email containing sensitive personal information? The Boston Public Library’s union is now stating that someone must be held accountable for the privacy breach. Others may soon follow.
The Biden Administration must tremble when Peter Doocy enters the press room. Below is a video from January 2022 of Doocy questioning Press Secretary Jen Psaki on why the Biden Administration continues to call this “a pandemic of the unvaccinated:”
Things have gotten so bad in governments around the world that I am starting to sympatise with Caligula who appointed his horse as a minister and staff member. A horse can not possibly be dumber than what we see operating as world rulers at this time.
Cheers, L>
REPLY: You may not be so far off the mark. The story may not be true, but there was a tension where indeed Caligula (37-41AD) most likely felt his horse could do a better job than the contemptuous senators. Caligula is an interesting character who we are also told participated in incest with his three sisters. The problem with history is that the author is typically the victor. Nevertheless, there were still people who dreamed of restoring the Republic during his reign. The conspirators who murdered Caligula did not champion a replacement for Emperor. There were senators who were so unanimously determined to restore the Republic that the Consuls summoned the first assembly to the Capitol building rather than the Senate, which was named as the Julian Building after Julius Caesar. Many wanted all memory of the Caesars obliterated, and their temples destroyed.
We must actually put that story in its true context. Caligula’s comments concerning Proculus reveal this tension between those who still championed the Republic behind Caligula’s back. Thus, Incitatus, who was the horse of Emperor Caligula, was his favorite. We are told that Caligula loved him so much that he wanted to make him a consul (lawmaker) or at least a senator. The comment comes from the historian Suetonius (c. 69–122 AD) who wrote of Caligula:
To prevent Incitatus, his favorite horse, from being disturbed he always picketed the neighborhood with troops on the day before the races, ordering them to enforce absolute silence. Incitatus owned a marble stable, an ivory stall, purple blankets, and a jeweled collar; also a house, a team of slaves, and furniture – to provide suitable entertainment for guests whom Gaius invited in its name. It is said that he even planned to award Incitatus a consulship.
Later writers were keen to demonize Caligula, and he was hardly the most ‘balanced’ of emperors, so it is difficult to know whether he really meant it. Suetonius wrote, “The Lives of the Caesars” in 121 AD, some 80 years after Caligula was assassinated at age 28. On the contrary, there are earlier chroniclers who actually lived under Caligula, namely Seneca and Philo. Neither made any mention of this type of behavior despite their harsh criticism of the emperor. Even the historian Tacitus, during a lengthy diatribe against Caligula’s sister Agrippina, who became the wife of Emperor Claudius and mother of Nero, talks of her incest with her son but makes no mention of incest with Caligula.
So you see, fake news has been around for a very long time. Suetonius wrote “The Twelves Caesars” in 121 AD and dedicated it to his friend Gaius Septicius Clarus, who was a prefect of the Praetorian Guard in 119 AD. Curiously, perhaps he was inspired by the restoration of the coinage of the Twelve Caesars undertaken by Emperor Trajan.
This has always left a question in my mind given some of the slanderous comments in Suetonius’ text that he was perhaps trying to disparage the Twelve Caesars who were celebrated on the coinage by Emperor Trajan (98-117 AD). Was this his real motive?
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on February 15, 2022 | Sundance | 108 Comments
Representative Kathleen Rice holds New York’s 04 congressional district. She announced today she will not be seeking reelection in 2022. Rice becomes the 30th House Democrat to announce they will not seek reelection. [Casualty List Here] Her district was not being touched by the NY redistricting. The Democrat Communists know a massive backlash is coming their way.
(New York) – Rep. Kathleen Rice (N.Y.) said Tuesday that she would not seek reelection, becoming the 30th House Democrat to announce a planned exit from the chamber ahead of what could be bruising midterm elections for their party in November.
“As I turn to the next chapter of my own personal and professional story, I do so with profound thanks to the community leaders, colleagues and staff who have lived our shared commitment to service with courage and humility,” Rice, who has represented New York’s 4th Congressional District since 2015, said in a statement.
Rice, a former prosecutor and Nassau County district attorney, said she would continue to focus on “protecting our democracy and serving my constituents” for the remainder of her term. She gave no indication as to what she might do next. (LINK)
Grind the Communists into pulp – make their lives miserable, and when the media asks why Republicans are being so rough, grind the Communists even harder. Ridicule anyone who would stand up for them. Cast the Communist Democrats into a fiery pit of irrelevance and keep pouring toxic lava upon them to keep them from climbing out.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on February 15, 2022 | Sundance | 361 Comments
The previously planned Russian training exercises [Announcement Here] have been completed in Belarus – close to neighboring Ukraine. Today those troops began returning to their places of regular deployment as reported by the Russian Ministry of Defense in Moscow.
As a result, the Biden manufactured ‘wag the dog‘ scenario, a fabricated ‘Russia invading Ukraine‘ premise by the White House, U.S. Dept of State, Pentagon and intelligence apparatus, needs to come to an end quickly.
After pretending that Russia was going to invade Ukraine in an effort to manufacture a political win out of thin air, Joe Biden will declare today he saved the world.
(New York Times) President Biden will speak on the Ukraine crisis at the White House this afternoon. Western analysts said it was too early to say if the announced troop movements were meaningful, but it might be a sign that Russia is stepping back from the threat of invasion.
President Vladimir V. Putin said Tuesday that Russia had decided “to partially pull back troops,” and the Russian Defense Ministry announced that some forces from military districts bordering Ukraine were being sent back to their garrisons, a sign that Moscow might be stepping away from the threat of an invasion.
The announcement was the strongest signal yet that Russia might be trying to de-escalate the military standoff near the Ukrainian border, but it was far from clear that the threat of war has passed. Military analysts warned that it was too early to make firm conclusions about any troop drawdown without more information. (read more)
Yesterday, Zero Hedge ran a CTH article detailing the fabricated ruse from the White House. Today the AP said Zero Hedge was promoting propaganda from Russia. Also today, White House has to pretend to take their victory lap early. Go Figure.
Yes, you can thank me in the comments section for saving Ukraine from the United States CIA construct and averting war. [ LOL ] But seriously, that inflated sense of CTH importance is less silly than Biden’s claims today. That’s how stupid this entire thing has been.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on February 15, 2022 | Sundance | 265 Comments
Here we go folks. Jumpin’ ju-ju-bones, the first wave of producer driven inflation has just been quantified. The economic analysts are shocked, stunned, flabbergasted and surprised, because the January single month wholesale inflation of 1.0% is double what they expected.
The “producer price index” is essentially the tracking of wholesale prices at three stages: Origination (commodity), Intermediate (processing), and then Final (to wholesale). Today, the Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS) released January price data [Available Here] showing a dramatic 9.7% increase year-over-year in Final Demand products at the wholesale level.
Check out the single month wholesale price increases in these categories [Table 2]: Beef jumped 6.5% in January (43.9% for year). Gasoline jumped 1.9% in January, (53.9% for year). Diesel fuel jumped 9.4% in January (56.5% for year). Cooking oil 4.7% in January (36.4% for year). Home heating oil jumped 7.3% in January (47.4% for year). Pasta jumped 3.0% in January (16.2% for year). Tires jumped 4.6% in January (9.0% for year). Wholesale cleaning supplies jumped 3.8% in January (34.9% for year).
Unfortunately, there is nothing upstream in the supply chain and manufacturing pipeline to suggest that higher prices at the retail level are not coming. The price of raw materials, and the wholesale energy costs to process those materials into finished goods, are still rising.
Exactly as we suspected last month, the temporary drop in gasoline was the only reason December producer inflation was not MUCH higher. However, that said, the BLS did revise December PPI inflation slightly higher putting it at 9.8%. The cumulative costs of energy price increases continue to drive inflation in the entire system of goods production.
Year-over-year PPI for November (7.0%), December (7.0%) and now January (6.9%), shows the overall inflation in the wholesale supply chain is structurally here to stay. We can expect much higher prices at retail for the foreseeable future.
Keep in mind that these figures are backward looking. In my estimation the massive price increases the bureau has just quantified in January and the preceding months is the end of the first wave of massive inflation that CTH warned about last October.
“Do what you can do now to start preparing your weekly budget in ways you may not have thought about before. Shop sales, use coupons, look for discounts and products that can be reformulated into multiple meals or multiple uses. Shelf-stable food products that can be muti-purposed with proteins is a good start. Consider purchasing the raw materials for cleaning products and reformulate them yourself to avoid these massive increases in petroleum costs.” [October Warning]
The recent announcement of price increases we have discussed, from food producers specifically (Kraft-Heinz, Proctor and Gamble, etc.), in combination with massive fertilizer and farming costs for future yield, is the second wave that has yet to be quantified. The second wave of retail inflation is only just beginning to arrive now and will extend throughout the spring/summer of 2022.
CNBC economic analyst Steve Liesman is struggling to reconcile the economic data from the last three months against his own prior claims that he could not/would not believe the economy and inflation were as bad as the BLS statistics reflect. I do not like these elitist financial analysts who have zero connection to the Main Street economy.
Today, at the end of his remarks (very end of video below), showcasing just how disconnected these analysts are, Leisman shrugs off the massive inflation impact by saying consumers seem to be “taking it just fine.” WATCH:
No doofus, we are not taking it “just fine.”
At the end of these statistics are people really suffering and trying to figure out how to take care of their families when everything costs so much. Working people who live paycheck to paycheck are being crushed by this Bidenflation, and most people are one small event away from a major checkbook crisis. A broken car, a drop in hours worked, or an unexpected household expense can be extremely stressful right now. No one is taking this “just fine“, regardless of how much we have prepared for it.
I do not like these analysts.
(Business Insider) – Producer prices in the U.S. jumped by much more than expected in the month of January, according to a report released by the Labor Department on Tuesday.
The Labor Department said its producer price index for final demand surged up by 1.0 percent in January after rising by an upwardly revised 0.4 percent in December.
Economists had expected producer prices to increase by 0.5 percent compared to the 0.2 percent uptick originally reported for the previous month.
The sharp increase in producer prices was partly due to a substantial rebound in energy prices, which spiked by 2.5 percent in January after tumbling by 1.7 percent in December.
Food prices also showed a significant rebound, jumping by 1.6 percent in January after dipping by 0.3 percent in the previous month. (more)
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