Cycle v Free Will


QUESTION: Dear Mr. Armstrong,
You have said that everything has its own cycle and that somehow everything is connected to pi. To me this seems to fit nicely within a deterministic framework. Hence I am curious what your thoughts are on the subject of free will. Could you please elaborate?
Regards, E

ANSWER: We all have our individual free will. Society in a collective state produces the business cycle. As we move through life, we mature and change our thinking based upon experience. This is why there are always Democrats and Republicans. There are some who understand the business cycle and move with it, and others who act in a herd instinct. There is a difference between the individual and the collective cycle which we can call the business cycle.

Students Demand University Dis-invest in Fossil Fuel Related Companies – School Offers to Turn off the Heat


Students at St John’s College at Oxford University were protesting that the university now disinvestfrom anything related to fossil fuel. Professor Andrew Parker  replied, “I am not able to arrange any divestment at short notice. But I can arrange for the gas central heating in college to be switched off with immediate effect. Please let me know if you support this proposal.” The protesters responded, “This is an inappropriate and flippant response by the bursar to what we were hoping would be a mature discussion. It’s January and it would be borderline dangerous to switch off the central heating.”

Seems like they want it both ways.

Climate Change & Do we Use Less CO2 than Romans to Light our Homes?


COMMENT: Marty; the Greta worshipers are really brain-dead. We just set a 77-year record low on Valentine’s Day and they say that proves its climate change caused by man. When you try to have an intelligent conversation, they simply say every scientist agrees with them. They are brainwashed beyond belief. The entire theory of CO2 and greenhouse is that it makes it warmer, not colder. They really are stupid people!

JB

REPLY: I know. Perhaps they are playing the role that the cycle demands. Civilization is collapsing and they are insisting climate is moving in the opposite direction when all the great deaths in human society come during cold periods, not warm. That is when the diseases rise like even the Black Death. The flu season comes during the cold period, not summer. There is no other explanation. They have convinced even politicians who mouth this out like Michael Bloomberg simply because he thinks that will get him the votes to overthrow Trump and destroy our economy all under the theory that we need to get to CO2 zero or the climate will burn everything up.

To me, it is just like the Biblical story of Joseph and the Pharoah. If you understand the cycle, prepare for its downturn, you survive. The climate change people are claiming there is no cycle and that climate change is all linear caused by human activity while they ignore the great cyclical swings in climate long before the Industrial Revolution. Wheat prices soared during the Little Ice Age simply because crops fail in winter.

Already, the winter wheat crop in Australia is at a 7-year low. The trend is clear, but the Global Warming crowd is determined to push their agenda regardless of the truth. We are is a serious political crisis. Today’s brand of the left-leaning politicians is all about pandering to Greenpeace and Al Gore substituting what sounds good for what actually works. We were all supposed to be dead by 2000, Then they moved it to 2010, then 2020, and now they realize that the claims we only have 5 years left sound questionable so they have switched it to the dire consequences will come in 50 years from now. A new study by the University of Arizona claims one-third of all plant and animal life will become extinct from climate change by 2070.

They concede that historically, mass extinctions have been caused by catastrophic events like asteroid collisions. This time, human activities are claimed to have set in motion the 6th extinction because of deforestation, mining, and carbon dioxide emissions. Of course, this is their opinion since there is no historical evidence that such a combination would result in a mass extinction. CO2 emissions have taken place far worse than the present. In ancient times they burned wood for heat not oil.

They also do not account for the fact that things such as producing olive oil reduce CO2 levels. For every litre of olive oil produced, 10.65kg of CO2 is extracted from the atmosphere. In ancient times, aside from burning wood for heat, the ancients burned olive oil for light. Lighting the average house for 5 hours at night regardless of the time of year produced 2.89 kg of CO2 being emitted per night. That was nearly 1,055 kg of CO2 per night and taking just the city of Rome with a population of 1 million, which was far more CO2 generated for light alone than we produce today. Half of the carbon emissions created are generated from the production of electricity. Lighting alone creates 17% of carbon emissions. Every 1KW of electricity generates 830 grams of carbon equivalents. Assuming the same 5 lights per house, today we generate 4.1 kg of CO2. The Roman Emperor Justinian I (527-565AD) enacted the first known Clean Air Act in 565AD.

 

Bjorn Lomborg | The Skeptical Environmentalist


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Armstrong Ted Talk


 

Armstrong Interview Paris, France


 

Princeton’s William Happer rebuts myth of carbon pollution


Dr. William Happer, professor of physics at Princeton University, summarizes his arguments about the myth of carbon pollution. It’s that myth that underlies global warming alarmists’ key arguments. Happer offered these comments during a Sept. 8, 2014, speech for the John Locke Foundation’s Shaftesbury Society

 

World In Midst of Carbon Drought (w/ Prof. William Happer, Princeton University) Part 1


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We’re in a carbon drought. That is according to Professor William Happer of Princeton University. The renowned physicist says when it comes to carbon dioxide, there’s more good than bad. He goes on to say most of carbon dioxide’s effect has already happened. He points to the logarithmic dependence of temperature on carbon dioxide levels. Happer says the unique properties of carbon dioxide mean that current levels would need to double for another one-degree increase in temperature and they’d have to double again for another one degree rise. — Simon Fraser University’s Centre for Dialogue presents Conversations That Matter. Join veteran Broadcaster Stuart McNish each week for an important and engaging Conversation about the issues shaping our future.

Me verses Socrates


One of the more fascinating things is when people try to challenge me as an analyst and pretend it is a personal confrontation to try to prove me wrong personally. I have stated many times, whenever I have had a personal opinion that has been counter to Socrates, it is me who has always been wrong. As humans, we simply do not always see everything. We miss things taking place around the world or maybe too focused on one personal perspective.

Socrates writes over 1,000 reports e4ach day covering global stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate, and interest rates. These are ALL entirely written by the computer – NOT me. There is no human interaction. This is entirely Socrates. I find it so funny when people try to say of Armstrong will be wrong or whatever for they fail to understand this is the next evolution in the analysis. The greatest error in all analysis is human bias and the failure to see things from an objectives viewpoint.


Here is a Demo of Socrates so you can see – this is not me writing all of these reports.

How Empires Die


 

This is a special report which includes for the first time “The Dark Age Cycle” which looks into how do empires die. Sometimes they just collapse, yet at other times, civilization also collapses and moves into a Dark Age. This report distinguishes all the historical changes which have taken place and the rise and fall of Empires, Nations, and City-States. This dives into the monetary system and how it was reconstructed in order to ascertain the cycles that are so important to understand.

This report dives into global contagions and illustrates that while people have suddenly seen the economy as global today, it has always been that way. This analysis covers modern financial panics in addition to ancient and draws the analysis and common themes that undermine society. It would be nice if we learned as a society from past mistakes as most of us do on a personal level. Every parent warns their child not to touch the flame of a candle. No matter how often we are warned, everyone still was compelled to see for ourselves.

Society lacks that evolution from experience. Hence, collectively we keep sticking our finger into flame expecting somehow a different result. Worse yet, with every financial crisis, nobody ever asks has this taken place before? Was there a solution that previously worked?

Perhaps this is just why history must repeat. We can only learn from our past mistakes on a personal individual level. Society collectively seems incapable of ever retaining such knowledge. Thus, those of us who can see the trend is compelled to watch others repeat the same mistakes over and over again.