Does Russia Want Alaska Back?


Posted originally on Jan 23, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Russian.Decree.ENGLISH

President Vladimir Putin signed a new decree that will enable Russia to search, register, and provide legal protection to Russian assets and land abroad, including those located in the former USSR. Now, every article you search regarding this topic quotes the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), run and paid for by the neocons. They admit the “exact parented of what constitutes current or historical Russian property are unclear,” but every news agency is declaring that Russia will reclaim Alaska.

Russia sold Alaska to the United States in 1867. “By the way, Alaska was sold sometime in the 19th century. Louisiana was sold to the United States by the French at about the same time. Thousands of square kilometers were sold for $7.2 million, although in gold,” Putin said in a 2014 interview. He called the deal “inexpensive” and nothing to “get worked up about” while saying that Russians jokingly call the US state “Ice Crimea.” Other Russian politicians have threatened to reclaim old territories, but they are not in charge.

Yeltsin Tank

The people behind Putin have been loudly discussing reclaiming Alaska for decades. This is why I repeatedly state that people should worry about who comes to power after Putin. If he were to step aside for medical reasons or face assassination, there are war-hungry oligarchs and hardliner Communists chomping at the bit for the chance to seek retribution. Yeltsin handed Russia to Putin with an agreement to keep it safe from these very people, the enemy within.

I have posted the decree in English at the top of this article, a rough translation at least. Nowhere in this decree does Putin state that the sale of Alaska was illegal. Will they consider the possibility? Maybe if they gain the full, unwavering support of the Chinese military AND Putin is removed from office. Putin is calculated and would never declare a US state Russian territory as nuclear war would be the only outcome.

Alaska has been a state longer than the current Russian Federation has existed. Alaska is only 50 miles from Russia, which may be the reason that they are issuing this vague decree. But at the present moment, RUSSIA IS NOT ATTEMPTING TO RECLAIM ALASKA.

Only a Fool Invades Russia?


Posted Jan 9, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 
Russia Geography
Golden Gate Kiev Ukraine

Let’s get something straight. There have been countless attempts to conquer Russia, and they have all failed over the course of 1,000 years – yea – 1,000 years! The invaders encountered different incarnations of Russians as well. There were the Ancient Rus, the Moscow Tsardom, the Russian Empire, and most recently, the Soviet Union. The enemies have also come in different flavors, like ice cream. There has been a Northern military state, an Eastern empire invasion, and the more recent famous invasions of Hitler and Napoleon. Every single one of them has failed to conquer Russia except one – the Mongols.

Ivan III 1485 1505 AR Denga

The Mongols invaded under the grandson of Genghis Khan. He invaded Russia around the 1220s-1230s. The Rus were divided into tribes. Like Julius Caesar understood when he invaded Gaul, divide and conquer. The Mongol warriors succeeded because the various Russian princes at that time were competing against one another in a perpetual rivalry for the Kievan throne. Thus, the lands of Rus’ were plundered, and in 1240, Kiev fell. Russian princes were forced to subjugate to the Tatar-Mongol khans. Indeed, there is still a Tatr population living in Crimea to this day. What is left of the Rus fortifications, the Golden Gate, is all that remains standing in Kiev.

In 1380, Moscow prince Dmitry Donskoy famously defeated the Tatar army at the Kulikovo field. Russia was born one hundred years later in 1480 when they were free of the Mongols, and he became the first Grand Prince of Moscow, Ivan III ( 1440–1505). If I actually listed every failed attempt to invade Russia ever since, I think that would require a book. The Mongols were used to the cold, unlike the Europeans.

Battle_of_Poltava_1709
Polish Empire

What we call Ukraine today was the territory of Poland back then. The young King Charles XII of Sweden invaded Ukraine, which was Russian territory. Peter the Great (1672-1725) withdrew his army southward. Peter adopted the tactic of a scorched earth, destroying anything along the way that could assist the Swedes. Without food, the Swedish army was forced to halt its advance in the winter of 1708–1709.

When summer arrived in 1709, The Swedes resumed their efforts to conquer Russian-ruled Ukraine. This culminated in the famous Battle of Poltava, which took place on June 27th, 1709. This was THE turning point in Russian history, for this was a battle where Peter the Great and the Russians defeated the Swedish army. This was also a turning point in the war with Sweden. For those who do not know, Peter the Great was Tsar of all Russia from 1682, and he became the first Emperor of all Russia from 1721 until he died in 1725. Peter reigned jointly with his half-brother Ivan V until 1696. Thereafter, Peter became the absolute monarch of Russia.

Poltava is actually in Ukraine. This decisive battle made Russia a significant power on the European political stage. However, Pete was perhaps too overconfident. He then attacked the Ottoman Empire, initiating the Russo-Turkish War of 1710. This time, Peter lost. He was forced into the Treaty of the Pruth, where he had to return the Black Sea ports he had previously seized. The Ottomans called him Mad Peter – not Peter the Great.

Napoleon1812 Russia

The more modern failed attempts were those of Napoleon and Hitler. Napoleon was said to have been a brilliant military strategist. The French Army, at the time, was considered to be unbeatable. Many have sought to invade Russia, for it is probably the richest nation on earth regarding natural resources. Napoleon began his invasion of Russia on the 24th of June 1812. He was no fool. He waited for winter to be over. He was planning to take the city of Moscow in July. Instead, his army was devasted by winter and global cooling thanks to a volcano. The Russians abandoned Moscow and set it ablaze. When Napoleon entered Moscow by mid-September, he assumed he would get an offer of peace. Nothing came. The Russians abandoned the city, and it was a hallowed victory. After that, there was nothing for Napoleon to do but retreat. Napoleon’s forces suffered staggering losses of between 400,000 and 500,000. He eventually retreated, and that was devastating. Napoleon had invaded with 680,000 men and retreated by November 1812 with only 27,000 effective soldiers remaining.

Sunspot Activity 1650 2000
Napoleon Russian Invasion

There is no question about it. In creating Socrates, I merely coded myself. How would I look at something as an international hedge fund manager. Also, being a history buff, I knew well the impact of weather. It was the climate change in the North that sent people south and toppled all the civilizations except the Egyptians during the Bronze Age. I knew it was climate change that sent both the Goths and the Huns to invade Europe.  When we correlate everything, we see history in a whole new light. These climate change fools are putting humanity at serious risk, for the climate will turn cold in the years ahead, crops will fail, people will starve, and disease will run wild. Thus, I created no rules. Socrates was to seek out the entire world and return the correlations without prejudice.

Hunger stone Elbe

The Mini Ice Age defeated Napoleon. The Hunger Stones also marked the year 1811 as a drought. While this is one year before the eruption in the West Indies in 1812, there is what has been called the 1808/1809 Mystery Volcanic Eruption, which seems to have set in motion a Mini Ice Age during the early 1800s. This was a monumental volcanic eruption in the VEI 6 range, which appears to have occurred in late 1808. This event preceded the 1815 eruption of Mount Tambora (VEI 7), which produced the Year Without a Summer in 1816. Napoleon was defeated really by Volcanoes. This is my concern for the future post-2024. With 50 volcanoes erupting simultaneously around the globe, we must be mindful of this cooling risk.

US Capitol Burned War of 1812

Russia’s success in the Patriotic War of 1812, defending against Napoleon, was short-lived from June 24th, 1812, to December 14th, 1812. Russian historians attributed their victory to the sophisticated bait-and-switch strategies of Field Marshal Mikhail Kutuzov, in addition to the heroism of Russian troops and the patriotism of the civilian population. They also acknowledge the harsh winter conditions in the final months of the conflict played an important role in defeating Napoleon.

This coincided with the War of 1812 (June 18, 1812 – February 17, 1815) between the United States and the United Kingdom. One of the primary tensions originated in long-standing differences over territorial expansion in North America and British support for Tecumseh’s confederacy, who opposed U.S. colonial settlement in the Old Northwest. These escalated in 1807 after the Royal Navy began enforcing tighter restrictions on American trade with France and press-ganged men they claimed as British subjects, even those with American citizenship certificates.

War often seems to be a CONTAGION. During this period of 1810 to 1814, there were 39 separate wars. To mention a few, there were the Cambodian and Hong Kong Rebellions, the Arakanese Uprising (Burma), the Invasion of Java, and the Punjab War in Asia. In South America, there was the Argentine Civil War, Brazilian slave revolt, Chilean War of Independence, Mexican War of Independence, Paraguayan Revolt,  Peruvian War of Independence, Venezuelan War of Independence, US occupation of West Florida,  and in the Middle East there was the Afghan-Sikh Wars, Wahhabi War involving Ottoman Empire & Saudia Arabia.

All of South America erupted, and it appeared to be a contagion. A similar contagion swept Europe in 1848. What Socrates has taught me is that, indeed,

WAR IS CONTAGIOUS

Hitler Operation Barbarossa 1941

August 7, 1941, Adolf Hitler looking at his war map with General Field Marshal Walter Von Brauchitsch on the right and others

If we look at Hitler’s attempt to conquer Russia again, it was a disaster. NATO should realize their brilliant ideas of engaging Russia will be the third modern attempt, and they, too, will fail. Hitler named his invasion attempt Operation Barbarossa as Hitler’s invasion of Russia June 22, 1941 – January 7, 1942, with the purported goal of conquering the west of the Soviet Union to repopulate it with Germans. The operation was named after the Holy Roman Emperor Frederick Barbarossa (1155-1190) (“red beard”), who was elected King of Germany in Frankfurt on March 4th, 1152. Hitler invaded the Soviet Union on Sunday, June 22nd, 1941. It was the largest land offensive in human history, involving around 10 million combatants.

The failure of Operation Barbarossa proved to be a major turning point that reversed the fortunes of Hitler’s Nazi Germany. At first, Hitler’s German forces achieved significant victories and even managed to occupy some of the most important economic areas. That included Ukraine, where he promised them their own country and the Ukrainian Nazis were so vicious they even appalled the Germans.  Hitler probably would have been successful in conquering Europe had he not tried to invade Russia. He sustained heavy casualties, and the German offensive stalled in the Battle of Moscow at the end of 1941. The Soviet winter counteroffensive pushed the Germans about 160 miles back (250 km).

Bandera Kiev 2 10 14
Indepentent Neo Nazis

It is important to remember that Ukrainian Nazis collaborated with Hitler and have NEVER been called to account for all their genocides against Polish, Jews, and Russians. They pretended that it was the UPA, a Ukrainian nationalist organization with a long-term plan of establishing a mono-ethnic state that excluded the Poles and was aligned with the Nazis. The Neo-Nazis are dominant in Ukraine, and Bandera’s flags and posters were there at Midian in 2014 all over the place. Because they have never been put on trial for their atrocities that even horrified the German Nazis, they have refused to even apologize to anyone. Even Japan apologized for using Korean women as “comfort girls,” and the Swiss turned over money that was hidden in accounts for Nazis and Jews. Ukraine’s hatred is ongoing, and it is propagated by the government, which is why it never dies.

Ruble Y Combined 1 8 24

If we look at the time difference between Napoleon’s and Hitler’s invasion of Russia, there were 15 intervals of 8.6 years (129 years). There is no doubt whatsoever the computer is showing war ahead. We have a Directional Change here in 2024, followed by another in 2025, with a Panic Cycle in 2025 and a significant target for a turning point.

2024_Sweden_war with Russia

Even Sweden is now preparing for WAR with Russia. Perhaps it’s a way to get rid of all the migrants from Africa. Sweden’s head of foreign affairs is claiming that Sweden is now a target to be attacked by Russia. There is NOBODY who seems even to want to discuss peace. This will be the Great Diversion to allow the sovereign debts to collapse as they blame war.

The West has long drooled over Russia’s wealth. In 1913, foreign investors actually held 49.7% of Russian government debt. They also owned nearly 100% of all petroleum fields, 90% of mines, 50% of chemicals, and 40% of metallurgical industries. This foreign ownership was, to a large extent, used in support of the Communist Revolution. Russia actually had the largest gold reserves in the world prior to the Communist Revolution, but it also had the largest foreign debt in the world. France was actually Russia’s primary lender, and French investors had major ownership in the iron and steel industries and mining operations. In fact, just before the Communist Revolution of 1917, France, a goldbug nation back then, held 80% of the Russian government debt that was supposed to be gold-backed.

Once again, in 1999, I was asked to invest $10 billion to fund the takeover of similar Russian assets, and they would install their puppet as president – Boris Berezofsky. I refused. Many have looked at the riches of Russia, and the excuse always seems to be a war to get their greedy hands on them, much like the Middle East geopolitical events have been over oil.

It’s Time for a Decision on Ukraine


Posted originally on Jan 5, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

ECM Ukraine 8.6 R

I have spent way too much time the past few days on phone conversations concerning the geopolitical Ukrainian mess from different sides and what our computer is showing. There is a growing concern in Washington that this war in Ukraine has run its course. This seems to have risen since Biden threatened if he did not get the money for Ukraine, US troops would have to go there and fight – totally insane. This seems to be backfiring. Biden just reads the cards handed to him by the Neocons or Climate Change nuts.

What seems to be emerging is there are some US policymakers who are starting to connect the dots and have looked at this Minsk Agreement and concluded, off the record, that the only reality of peace is to start with a ceasefire that blends into a peace deal that divides Ukraine allowing Putin to keep the part he has occupied being the Donbas and that includes Crimea.

Zelenskyy Johnson

Putin has been making peace proposals all along. The Western Neocons have refused to negotiate. NATO previously killed any peace deal for Ukraine. Then Boris Johnson traveled to Ukraine to instruct Zelensky that he was NOT allowed to seek peace with Russia. The West has wanted to conquer Russia for centuries. All Ukraine had to do was honor the Minsk Agreement, and the war would have been over in 24 hours.

Zelensky is seeking to draft another 500,000 more people to die for the Neocons – ASAP. I did not want to publish the real death toll, for when I first reported that 100,000 were killed, I got a ton of hate mail claiming I was spreading Russian Propaganda. Ursula von der Leyen, the head of the EU, had released a video and then edited it, deleting that very information I had reported at the request of Zelensky, who was trying to hide the fact that he had already lost 20% of his army by the end of 2022 in the first few months. Zelensky was pretending Ukraine was winning to keep the money flowing.

2022_04_09_16_20_53_Pentagon_can_t_independently_confirm_atrocities_in_Ukraine_s_Bucha_official_say

The Ukrainians are notorious for false flags. In Italy, Zelensky lied, claiming Russians were capturing children and torturing them. That allegation vanished. Zelensky has said whatever he can to get money and rejects any accountability. The US Pentagon has come out and even said that they CAN NOT independently verify what took place in Bucha. There is no way to verify anything in Bucha, which Ursula von der Leyen just repeated Zelensky’s propaganda while censoring the true story about the death toll. There are even videos of Bucha that show people lying in the street pretending to be dead with no blood, and then there are videos showing they get up when the camera passes.

Ukraine 1.1 Million Dead

The real number of deaths from UKRAINIAN sources is 1.1 million, I am told, and AGAIN, this comes from Ukraine – not Russia! In fact, a local TV news operation reported the real number, and Zelensky again made them take it down as he did with the head of the EU. They suddenly reported it was a typo. The Neocons are completely destroying Ukraine, and they have ZERO regard for Ukrainian lives as they will with Americans or Europeans.

ECM Wave 2020 2028 Pi

Putin’s popularity is for real 80%+, and that is entirely understandable that this hatred hurled at Putin is really toward ALL Russians. The West has two choices because there is absolutely NO POSSIBLE WAY for Ukraine actually to defeat Russia. They have 3.5 million men without drafting. The critics of Putin feel he is too “SOFT” and he should have invaded Ukraine like the US did to Iraq, and the war would have been over in 6 weeks.

Russian column Tanks

Initially, Putin sent a column of tanks to approach Kiev. They were a show of force but just parked there. Putin’s critics argue they should have advanced and taken Kiev then and there. Putin saw it as a special operation to only protect the Donbas. He did not want to conquer Ukraine. He was telling the Ukrainians that they were brothers and they should not fight and end this civil war.

Here is the problem. Putin stands for election in March. Either the West agrees to a peace deal for his re-election, or Putin may be forced to deal a death blow to Ukraine. That would not go over well for many, and it would call into question NATO as a viable military entity when they have trained the Ukrainian troops that have been decimated. The question is, will the sound rational thinkers prevail, or will the Neocons prevail with the no-compromise agenda? With Putin standing for election, his hand may be forced to bring this to an end and proclaim victory.

Most of the articles that keep claiming Russia is losing are sources with the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), which is Victoria Nuland’s sister-in-law. That is the most untrustworthy source you will ever have in a war, which is always their objective – destroy Russia and China. It was Victoria Nuland’s husband, Robert Kagan, who wrote the Washington Post piece calling Trump a dictator because his wife has been in every administration EXCEPT Trump’s.  The Neocons have thrown everything they could think of at Trump to desperately discredit him. This 2024 election is really a choice between War and Peace. There are some who realize in DC that they cannot send troops to fight Russia, for that will be playing into the arguments of Trump.

Russia Kremlin Moscow Cold War

The ECM Half Cycle Dates from the start of the Cold War in 1947 brings us to October 15th, 2024. It was on February 17 when the Cold War Voice of America began broadcasting to Eastern Europe, and it was May 22nd when President Harry S. Truman signed an Act of Congress that implemented the Truman Doctrine. This Act granted $400 million in military and economic aid to Turkey and Greece. This was the official start of the Cold War to prevent the spread of Communism.

1947.389
1973.189
1998.989
2024.789 (Oct 15)

Ukraine_Hryvnia W 1 5 24

The Russian presidential election will be held on March 15–17, 2024. We have had a Panic Cycle this week, which seemed to melt down my phone on this topic. The volatility will rise, and it really looks like a serious decision must be made to save Ukraine by allowing a peace deal or sending every Ukrainian to their death. I am concerned that may be a tall order given the Neocons foaming at the mouth to launch World War III. Clearly, things will become highly volatile as we head toward March and Putin’s election. Everyone seems to be calling, wanting to know: What does the computer say now?

Pawn of Finance

Communism failed all by itself. The Neocons were disappointed because they did not get to shoot anybody. The average citizen in America, Europe, Russia, and China wants to live life and enjoy their families. It seems to be the politicians who play with us like pieces on a chess board. We are always the Pawns of Finance and War. The very best a soldier can hope for is to return home intact to a family that is not dead. When Goring was asked how did the Nazis get the people to follow them, his response was on point and truthful.

Crazy Stuff – Details of Results from Western Oil Sanctions Against Russia


Posted originally on the CTH on December 29, 2023 | Sundance

I’m very serious when I share with people that almost everything we understand about the geopolitical purposes and impacts of sanctions against Russian economic interests is entirely fabricated.  However, because the scale of the propaganda against us is so effective, breaking the mental/cognitive barrier is almost impossible.

It’s not that situations are ‘shaped’ or information is ‘manipulated,’ like would be the definition of the term “disinformation.”  But rather that the entire construct of reality regarding the economic issues -as presented- is fabricated, created by massive financial interests, and flat-out lies; I mean, total unadulterated nonsense. Complete fiction.

This latest article from Reuters, and the accompanying graphic from ZeroHedge, only scratches the surface.

[SOURCE]

We are through the looking glass folks.  Literally captive to the narrative as sold by our Western government officials, and there’s a huge one-way mirror; beyond which, massive segments of the grey zone are looking at us as if we are pathetic victims of professional propaganda.

The worst part of this dynamic is how the USA looks insufferably weak, because we are playing this massive game of pretending that only the Yellow Zone is participating in.

MOSCOW, Dec 27 (Reuters) – Almost all of Russia’s oil exports this year have been shipped to China and India, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Wednesday, after Moscow responded to Western economic sanctions by quickly rerouting supplies away from Europe.

Russia has successfully circumvented sanctions on its oil and diverted flows from Europe to China and India, which together accounted for around 90% of its crude exports, Novak, who is in charge of the country’s energy sector, told Rossiya-24 state TV.

He said that Russia had already started to forge ties with Asia-Pacific countries before the West introduced sanctions against Moscow following the start of the conflict in Ukraine in February 2022.

“As for those restrictions and embargoes on supplies to Europe and the U.S. that were introduced… this only accelerated the process of reorienting our energy flows,” Novak said.

He said that Europe’s share of Russia’s crude exports has fallen to only about 4-5% from about 40-45%. (read more)

What Alexander Novak shares is stunningly accurate, only the ramifications are far more serious.  This is why I am spending so much time trying to break the issue down into digestible portions.

Russia and Iran are now trading oil (and other things) in their own national currencies, not the petrodollar.  This is the epicenter of a process initially triggered by the BRICS economic alliance and is now taking place in real time while the proverbial WEST pretends it is not happening.   Now, it might sound esoteric, as if it is a disconnected or academic issue that doesn’t have real substantive ramifications, but that’s not true.

I can literally see how global trade is now cost-shifting as the dollar starts to weaken (become less used) as a trade currency.  Again, like our domestic social issues, this de-dollarization process is “slowly at first,” but eventually this is going to come all at once.

As USA consumers we cannot see it yet, because we are inside an economic system that is entirely dependent on dollars.  However, as the devaluation of the dollar continues slowly to happen, outside our dollar-based economy, the cost of goods, products and stuff in the ordinary life of people within the GREY ZONE is now stunningly less.  It’s not showing up in currency markets (dollar -vs- fill_in_blank), because the currency trades are not part of the trade/cost dynamic outside the YELLOW ZONE.

Go into the grey zone and compare the price of “product X” to what you would pay in the United States for “product X”, and you will see the difference in the end consumer price is starting to widen faster.   Identical goods in the USA cost much more than goods outside the “west.”

As the de-dollarization continues (mostly driven by the lessening of oil sold using the petrodollar), the disparity in price will get even more stark.   As a result of this dynamic, wages in the USA (or the “west”) must necessarily rise faster; however, that’s only part of the issue.

If I took $200 into a Russian supermarket, buying only consumable food products, I would end up with about 3 shopping carts full of food.  Take that same $200 into the average USA supermarket and you get one shopping cart or less.  This is the scale of what is likely to happen in durable goods.  The “cleaving” is underway.

Let me say that again, the “cleaving” of dollar-based price/value is underway.

Starbucks pulled out of Russia.  The building still exists, the furniture still there, the equipment still there, just a different name, “Star Coffee” lolol.   Starbucks is roughly $6 for whatever, the StarCoffee is $1.  Same stuff.   A cab/uber ride in USA might be $25, or in EU might be €30, but outside the yellow zone around $6 to $10/max.  It’s getting crazy how big the difference is.

Now, the price disparity is not in everything, only in the products that do not originate from inside the yellow zone.  The increased price of the yellow zone goods transfers into the grey zone when the product is moved.  However, if the yellow zone and grey zone both produce an identical product (or service), that’s when you see the massive difference in price.  [And no, this is not a lower cost labor issue]

Conversely, prices of goods originating from the grey zone shipped to the yellow zone will be far less than the comparable product created from within the yellow zone.

What is going to happen?

I suspect we are going to import even more products from the grey zone at a greater rate, because there’s a lower origination price and greater opportunity for profit.  Wait and see.

China needs energy, Russia needs computer chips and tech.  They are trading thusly.  Now watch… if the sanctions are ever lifted, we will start importing Russian made electronic goods, because less expensive.  It’s nuts.

Remember, our ‘western’ government is doing this to us on purpose.

Neocons for NATO


Posted originally on Dec 18, 2023 By Martin Armstrong 

NATO North Atlantic Terror Organization

A Donald Trump win would be a complete disaster for the Neocons. He repeatedly stated that withdrawing from the war in Ukraine would be his first priority on day one in office. Trump threatened to leave NATO and was a harsh critic of the organization as he did not see the benefits for the US. Congress cannot take that chance again and has voted to ban any president from withdrawing from NATO.

The measure received bipartisan support and the effort was led by Senator Tim Kaine (D-Va.) and Senator Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) as part of the National Defense Authorization Act. The United States provided $821 million to NATO  in its FY 2022 budget. NATO members agreed to spend 2% of their GDP on the alliance back in 2014 when fears of Russian aggression were spreading. Only three other nations adhered to that target, and as of July 2023, only 10 of the then 31 members were meeting their target.

NATO 1991 Russia Join scaled

The United States contributes more than any other NATO member. The United States, United Kingdom, and Germany pay for over 40% of NATO’s budget. NATO continually expands, also expanding the threat of war. Everyone knows the rules of Article 5 – if one nation is attacked, all nations must respond. Yet they are strategically growing NATO by welcoming countries that are a hop, skip, and jump away from “unfriendly” nations. This is precisely what the Russian government wanted to prevent, as they felt backed into a corner by NATO aggression.

Many decades ago, Russia wanted to join the alliance under Yeltsin, who worked to defend his country from the old hardline Communists. NATO declined as they needed an enemy as an excuse to maintain their alliance. To the Neocons, Russia will always be the USSR and the Communist enemy along with China. In 1997, the same year Yeltsin was reelected, then-Senator Joe Biden begged NATO to welcome all the Baltic nations. That was two years before Putin came to power, as Russia has always and must always be the enemy.

America has been the world’s war financier since WW2. Congress effectively welded international foreign interests with domestic policy by forcing the nation to back NATO indefinitely. I say indefinitely as Neocons are on both sides of the political arena and would never vote to leave NATO.

Putin’s Four-Hour Press Conference


Posted originally on Dec 18, 2023 By Martin Armstrong 

Putin Political Cycle

Russian President Vladimir Putin believes his nation is leading the battle against Ukraine. In a four-hour televised press conference on December 14, the Russian president said he believes that the war will end once Russia achieves its goals. “Either we get an agreement or we solve this by force,” Putin stated.

Russia will spend $11 billion (1 trillion rubles) annually on maintaining reclaimed land. “Ukraine’s whole southeast has always been pro-Russian because these are historically Russian territories,” Putin claimed. “What does Ukraine have to do with this? Neither Crimea nor the Black Sea’s whole northern coast have anything to do (with Ukraine). And Odesa is a Russian city,” Putin said after announcing that Russia would not surrender any annexed land in Crimea, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Luhansk, or Donetsk.

Putin Economist

The televised event was the president’s first time addressing the public at large since February 2022, and comes days after announcing he will seek a fifth term in March. Putin took questions from the audience and journalists during the event. Some of the questions were pre-screened to allow Putin the opportunity to provide the public with the intended messaging. However, they also televised various text messages from the public that were critical of the government and world. “Why is your ‘reality’ at odds with our lived reality?” one message read.

The Russian people want the war to end as hundreds of thousands have already died. Putin claimed Russia does not plan to send additional troops into battle at this time, as over 600,000 are currently on the ground. He assured the people that better days are ahead, claiming GDP will rise in 3.5% in 2023 and unemployment will reach a historic low of 2.9%. One citizen asked about food inflation and cited eggs in particular as they have spiked over 40%. “I apologize for this, but this is a failure of the government’s work,” he stated. Inflation in Russia is running at around 7.5% despite the central bank targeting 4%.

ECM Ukraine 8.6 R

Now the people of Russia want the war to end and Putin wants to win the favor of the people ahead of the election. “There will be peace when we achieve our goals,” Putin again reassured the public. Yet, NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg made a speech around the same time urging nations to continue supporting Ukraine. Stoltenberg said that Russia will not stop at Ukraine if it achieves its objectives. “If Putin wins in Ukraine, there is real risk that his aggression will not end there. Our support is not charity. It is an investment in our security,” he said.

As long as the money continues to flow to Ukraine, the war will continue.

Saving the Best for Last Re-Posted Nov 9, 2023 By Martin Armstrong  


2023_11_08_20_56_39_Russia_s_jamming_of_US_provided_rocket_systems_complicates_Ukraine_s_war_effort_

QUESTION: You said Ukraine never shot down 6 of Russia’s unstoppable hypersonic weapons. Do you think that was all propaganda?

SH

HIMARK

ANSWER: Absolutely. Neither the US nor Russia will commit their most critical weapons to Ukraine. Why? Because it reveals your best car and allows the opposition to gather intelligence to defeat them. Look at the HIMARS rockets that were going to change the game. Russia jammed its guidance systems that rely on GPS. The US would NEVER have given Ukraine our top shelf. That would be like playing poker and showing your hand before the betting begins.

You save the Best for Last

Russia Invests Heavily in Egypt – Sun City – Nuclear Power


Armstrong Economics Blog/War Re-Posted Oct 23, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

Russia poured $7 billion into Egypt in 2021 to create the Russian Industrial Zone (RIZ), the nation’s first industrial zone outside of Russia. Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi developed a relationship with Russia in 2014 amid the Crimea crisis and the Ukrainian Revolution. Russia has been investing heavily in Egypt ever since and is currently pouring $4.6 billion into Egypt’s Suez Canal zone to create “Sun City,” an industrial zone covering 2,000 hectares.

Around 20% of all world trade moves through the Suez Canal. This is extremely strategic for Russian manufacturing and trade, and also explains Egypt’s refusal to support the West in its mission to escalate the Israel-Palestine war. Sun City is expected to bring 35,000 jobs to the Egyptian economy.

Egypt has become Africa’s leading destination for investment. It dethroned South Africa in 2017 to claim the title. The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) stated that Egypt “supported by a large increase in Chinese investment across light manufacturing industries and wide-ranging economic reforms, such as financial liberalisation, which is basically the establishment of higher interest rates that equate the demand for, and the supply of savings.” China’s Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) spiked 75% in 2017, providing Egypt with a large boost. The UAE, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia have also invested heavily in Egypt, especially in real estate and development.

There is nothing that the West can provide to Egypt to surpass what Arab and Eastern nations have done for its economy. The Egypt-Russia Trade and Investment Summary (YTD) 2022 indicates that Moscow and Cairo will continue to strengthen its relationship. A key to this report is that Russia is helping Egypt produce its first nuclear power plant, financing 85% of the project. El Dabaa Nuclear Power Plant will be positioned 320 kilometers from Cairo. But this deal initially began in 2015 when Russia promised to finance the project, and signed preliminary contracts in December 2017. The total project is set to cost $28.7 billion. Egypt will repay Russia the remaining 15% in installments with a repayment period of 22 years and an interest rate of 3%.

So basically, the plant will become Russia’s nuclear power in Africa and among the Arab world. They are anticipating completion in 2026 and it is safe to say that the West is going to do everything in its power to prevent this from happening. Look at the map above to see how strategic the positioning of this plant will be for Russia in not just Africa and the Arab nations but a stone’s throw away from Europe as well.

US Provokes China – Russia’s Alliance with China Grow Stronger


Armstrong Economicsa Blog/War Re-Posted Oct 20, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

China has attempted to remain neutral but the Neocons won’t allow that to happen. China is enjoying its recent economic boom and building strategic partnerships through trade and international relations. China has grown to become a global power and will become the next financial capital of the world when all is said and done. Never in my wildest dreams did I ever expect personally that the West would be the aggressor. Now I can see Neocons, who I even personally have known, are really in control of the Biden Administration. The Pentagon released the video above, with CBS News claiming Chinese fighter jets were harassing US planes in international airspace.

Were the planes flying by the coast of California or Hawaii? No. US warplanes were flying near the Taiwan Strait once again. China has repeatedly warned America not to interfere in its One China policy with Taiwan. The media spins the situation as if the government actually cares about the people of Taiwan. The truth of the matter is that the Neocons want to play war games with our tax dollars and do not like China’s recent success or status as an economic powerhouse.

China will eventually be pushed to the brink and will have no alternative but to engage in war. The Pentagon said that US and Chinese fighter planes have come in close contact 180 times since 2021, surpassing the number of encounters of the past decade. China now has the ability to push back and knows the West’s resources are stretched thin.

Putin visited Xi this week in Beijing where he was greeted as a guest of honor. Syria, Saudi Arabia, and Iran are heavily backed by Russia and China, among other Middle Eastern nations. The BRICS partnership has grown so strong that no one is dependent on Western energy, and eventually, no one will be dependent on Western trade or debt. They no longer need to use the currency of their adversary. China is attempting to remain neutral in both the Israel-Palestine and Russia-Ukraine wars, but Taiwan is where they draw the line.

As a Senator, Joe Biden scoffed at the idea of a China-Russia alliance in the event of NATO encroaching on Eastern Europe. Take a look at the video above from 1997 — yes, that was Joe Biden before his health declined to the point where he can hardly speak or step off a stage. Putin was Yeltsin’s deputy-in-chief at this time of this speech, and Bill Clinton was the president of the US. Baltic states were lining up to join NATO back then, which threatened Russia’s national security. Biden insisted that Russia would have no alternative but “to look West.” This was one of the original plans to infiltrate Russia and install a pro-Western leader.

“Yes, we see that some people consider it an attempt by the People’s Republic of China to put someone under its thumb, but we see otherwise. We just see a desire for cooperation,” Putin stated. Last year, China and Russia signed a “no limits” partnership in the wake of the war in Ukraine. They are teaming up against Western aggression, it is not the other way around. All of the players are aligning and preparing for the inevitable.

Putin on Prigozhin’s Death


Armstrong Economics Blog/War Re-Posted Oct 9, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin’s death remains unresolved. How did his plane go down? Some had said it was a deliberate missile attack. President Vladimir Putin believes someone onboard detonated hand grenades. Prigozhin was flying to St Petersburg with 10 additional people composed of three crew members and four bodyguards.

“There was no external impact on the plane – this is already an established fact, Putin said to dispel rumors of a missile attack. “Fragments of hand grenades were found in the bodies of those killed in the crash,” Putin told a meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club in the Black Sea resort of Sochi. No additional details have been released.

Furthermore, Putin said he was displeased with the investigation as they did not drug test the bodies or what was left of them. Ten billion in cash and five kilos of cocaine were found in Wagner’s office headquarters. Why avoid this important aspect of the autopsy?

Russia remains adamant that it had no involvement. We may never know the true details surrounding Prigozhin’s final moments.

Interestingly, news that Prigozhin was working with Chinese companies for satellite imagery was revealed on the same day. The Wagner Group signed a contract in November 2022 with China for the use of two satellites for spying. Beijing Yunze Technology Co Ltd, owned by Chang Guang Satellite Technology (CGST) to Nika-Fru, received $30 million for the two satellites. Wagner called upon the company for images of Moscow in May 2023, before the attempted capitol siege. So would the Russian government have been aware of this contact? The Chinese company may not have known about the mutiny that was going to take place, and Russia certainly was unaware. Another layer into the mysterious death of Yevgeny Prigozhin.