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I have had some interesting conversations of late with people I would say are among the power-brokers who tend to pour money into the pockets of politicians to get a favored status. There is a rising concern that perhaps in Europe they have assumed this was just fear politics about climate and they have ignored it as just a side-show to get people to support the government and raise their taxes to fight climate change. There is a sense of more concern beginning to emerge for the elites are at last starting to notice that this may have gone way too far and it is unfolding as a war against capitalism. Unfortunately, they may have simply overslept way too long. Donating to politicians is not going to save the day.
There is a concern that the German auto industry will be devastated by all this excessive climate change issue. They assumed that perhaps they could make money creating wind farms but that has been a failure in Germany. The policies that intended to shut down nuclear power in Germany after the Japanese disaster has caused some to take notice that there is a serious problem facing Europe. Cutting off nuclear power when this climate change demand is going on to shut down gas-powered automobiles is exposing Germany, in particular, to a potential economic disaster. The power grids of Europe will NEVER handle replacing all gas-power cars with electricity. Air traffic cannot be replaced with electric engines. They are moving to outlaw short flights, but then people have to drive, take buses, and trains. About 44% of Germany electric power is generated by coal.
This is also where there seems to be an unspoken agenda to get even with Germany. They see the auto industry as the Achilles’ heel for German success. Germany may soon find that it can be subjugated by Brussels in ways they never thought possible. The play tough with Britain insisted by France knows full well that the #1 European market for German cars is Britain. Refusing a reasonable deal with Britain will hurt Germany the most and some even believe to the quiet pleasure of French politicians behind closed doors.
While my discussions have been with people who attend these elite conferences that others often associate with conspiracy theories of dominating the world, I can attest that they are no more in charge of the world economy than anyone reading this blog. The Club may have a get-out-of-jail-free card and never are prosecuted, but they ALWAYSlose on their manipulations and run to governments for bailouts. Even there they may have overstayed their welcome when the next one comes crashing down. So much for being in control!
The elites I have spoken to know our model and keep an eye on things. The Monetary Crisis Cyclecoming due is also the convergence of many factors, not the least of which it is also the Pi turning point for Germany – October 3rd, 1990 German unification. Even the elites are starting to smell a crisis in the wind. But with all the people forecasting a recession now and Trump demanding zero or negative interest rates, I know one thing. They will all be wrong for what is unfolding is nothing like the last debacle which they always predict – the last war syndrome.
My discussions have been about this leftist agenda which the elite have ignored as a passing trend pretty much up there with the election of Donald Trump. They want to talk and respect that our computer has been the only thing to accurately forecast not just the bull market in the US shares, the capital concentration into the USA, the slow painful economic recession in Europe which has been like watching paint dry, but also the fact that it forecast the Trump and BREXIT victories, the chaos in Japan, and the trends in India and Southeast Asia not to mention the collapse of the Swiss Peg and the ERM crisis from the beginning of the Euro. They are becoming concerned and I see this ironically as right on schedule for the turning point come January 2020.
They respect one thing. This is not all accomplished by some personal opinion which starts with the phrase “I think.” We are headed into a period that NO PERSON can forecast from an opinion perspective for this is not something anyone has seen in their lifetime and you really have to go past the Great Depression before you can catch a glimpse of what we face.
There is NO PLACE left of the earth that is not moving into crisis mode. Normally, I have been running around the world getting called in from one crisis to another. But they have been isolated crises. Now we are facing crises on every continent and it is all simultaneous. To survive this total complete mess, it will take a computer to monitor everything and sort out the correlations.
This is by far the worst I have personally ever seen on top of the complete meltdown in the civility within politics. This is how republics die. They are not instruments for one side to suppress the opponent. Yet that is now the objective – crush the opposition at all costs. There can be no long-term management of the economy when we vacillate back and forth between two extremes. The common ground no longer exists.
Just maybe the elite powers that are behind the curtain have been starting to wake up and realize they are the target of this climate change agenda. Welcome to the other side of the political table. It is time to wake up before they come knocking door to door with energy police. This is a hunt for money and it will leave nobody untouched.
QUESTION: If there are no sunspots, then why do we have the heatwave this summer. What were the sunspots in the heatwave of 1937?
Seems like there is no correlation between sunspots and temperature?
CM
ANSWER: Everything is far more complex than a single relationship. The lack of sunspots relates to the historical evidence that there was a period of nearly 100 years where there was very little sunspot activity, at one point reaching zero activity, which took place ONLY during Ice Ages.
What you are missing is the volatility. We are entering a period that is extremely volatile so we will have a hot summer followed by an extremely cold winter. The swings become more extreme. As I have stated, there is no indication that we are headed toward an Ice Age with a prolonged lack of sunspot activity.
We should only be making a RETEST of the Ice Age lows and not new lows (I personally hope). You are still looking at this with a single-dimensional analysis. You must realize that this is far more complex and a single hot August does not mean there is global warming that humans have created. There is one thing that the historical evidence illustrates that the global warming crowd will NEVERaddress. The climate has ALWAYS changed — it is cyclical!!!!!!!!!!! This is the same nonsense of looking for the mythical short position that makes a market crash, even though every investigation has never found one even once!
Keep in mind that a Solar Minimum does not mean that the sun gets colder but rather it changes. As sunspots fade away, we enter a Solar Minimum. The sun is heading toward a Solar Minimum now and the sunspot counts are collapsing. While intense activity such as sunspots and solar flares subside during a Solar Minimum, the solar activity changes form.
During a Solar Minimum, the sun develops coronal holes. These are vast regions in the sun’s atmosphere where the sun’s magnetic field opens up. This then allows streams of solar particles to escape the sun as the fast solar wind.
These holes throughout the solar cycle during a Solar Minimum can last for a very long time, even up to six months or more. Streams of this solar wind flowing from these coronal holes create space weather effects near Earth as they hit our magnetic field. These effects can include temporary disturbances called geomagnetic storms, auroras, and disruptions to communications and navigation systems. These are the effects of a Solar Minimum. These effects in the Earth’s upper atmosphere impact satellites in low Earth orbit as well. However, on our computer, they also correlate to these periods of an increase in volcanoes and earthquakes.
There are a number of scientific papers that are investigating the rise in earthquakes and volcanic activity that correlates to a Solar Minimum. This is an area that warrants serious study. All I can do is report, “Hey, there is a correlation here that is interesting.” What we have done is input everything and correlate markets, economies, weather, climate, etc. to look for patterns to try to understand what makes the world tick. I never begin with a theory and try to prove it. Just let the data speak for itself. You will NOT find a single global warming paper that has EVER addressed the issue with any historical analysis beyond 1850 to support their argument.
Despite all the global warming advocates, the air conditioner manufacturer Lenox came in well below Wall Street’s expectations, which were based on the claims running around that have now reached the level of a religion. Their earnings fell by about 9%. The CEO came out and made a statement with respect to sales decline:
“Significantly cooler temperatures and higher precipitation across the United States adversely impacted the HVAC market in the second quarter, and especially in key Central regions where cooling degree days were down over 30% and precipitation was up over 60%.”
QUESTION: In George Gilder’s book “Life after Google” he states:
“AI cannot compete with the human intelligence that connects symbols and objects. AI cannot do without the human minds that provide it with symbols systems and language; programs it; structures the information it absorbs in training, whether word patterns or pixels; provides and formulates the big data in which it finds numerical correlations; and sets up the goals and reward schemes and target sequences that allow it to iterate, optimize, and converge on a solution. Consisting of inputs cascading through complex set of algorithms to produce outputs. AI cannot think at all.”
As someone who has developed Socrates I was wondering what your thoughts are as to the future of AI?
CSK
ANSWER: George Gilder is not a programmer. His comment is just skimming the surface. There is no complex set of algorithms that will stand the test of time. A computer cannot think, which is correct. That does not mean it is impossible to beat humans. Even Big Blue defeated the best chess player. A computer can analyze every possible strategy and select the best one whereas a human cannot.
When I designed Socrates, I fully understood that there could be no fixed algorithm that would work because the world was all connected and moving dynamically. After all, no empire ever lasted. Everything rises and then falls.
Feeding everything into the system and designing it to investigate, as I would in the human world, allows AI to make decisions based upon those investigations. It does mimic my thinking process, but it is not a biological entity so it has no soul and cannot think.
While traveling aboard Air-Force-One, President Trump held a briefing with officials on the aftermath of Hurricane Dorian, and allowed the traveling press pool to participate. [Video and Transcript Below]
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[Transcript] THE PRESIDENT: So we were going to take a helicopter to Emerald Isle in North Carolina, which was hit very, very hard. Atlantic Beach was hit very hard. Certain areas were really hit. The Governor is with me. Roy, thank you very much for being here.
GOVERNOR COOPER: Sure, Mr. President.
THE PRESIDENT: The Governor was standing in the rain for a long time, along with a lot of talented people that have really helped us a lot. Lindsey, I’m glad you’re here with us, and we appreciate it very much. And Kevin is here someplace.
ACTING SECRETARY MCALEENAN: I’m behind you.
THE PRESIDENT: Where’s — hello, Kevin. Thank you. Thank you for being here.
We have a big rally tonight for Dan Bishop. I was going to go from Emerald Isle right back into the rally, but now we’ll be very early for our rally. That’s the one thing. But it was, I guess, Roy, they say very dangerous flying conditions. I said, “Let’s do it anyway.” They said, “Sir, we’d rather not.” So, I said, “Okay, I’ll take your word for it.” The greatest pilots in the world.
We will be spending a little time. We’re going to be given a presentation as to what’s happening in North Carolina and a little bit about a couple of the other places. I just spoke to Governor Henry McMaster, and they’re in great shape in South Carolina. They’ve done a really good job.
Roy, maybe I could ask you to say a few words —
GOVERNOR COOPER: Yes, sir.
THE PRESIDENT: — and what you need from the federal government.
GOVERNOR COOPER: Yes, sir. First, Mr. President, thank you for coming to North Carolina. We’ve enjoyed our working relationship probably too much. With FEMA, we’re glad to have Mr. Gaynor here with us. And, of course, we’ve had the FEMA team embedded with us at our Emergency Operations Center in Raleigh.
This is the third hurricane that has crossed the coast of North Carolina in less than three years. So this is something that we take very seriously. The widespread damage of Dorian did not approach the damage that we had from Florence and Matthew, but it was still significant in some parts.
We’ve had three deaths in North Carolina related to the storm. Two of them were people who fell off ladders while they were trying to get their house boarded up for the storm. And the other death happened post-storm, with a chainsaw accident with cleanup. We still have about 3,500 people without power, but we had a couple of hundred thousand at one point.
THE PRESIDENT: Right. They’ve done a great job.
GOVERNOR COOPER: One of the hard-hit areas is Ocracoke Island, which they said it’s the worst that they had ever seen. I talked to a man who had a house built in the 1870s, and they had never seen it that bad.
The power is still out there. We’re providing food, resources, working with all of our federal and local partners to provide help there.
The place that you were going to go, Emerald Isle, as the storm approached, it had an EF2 tornado hit an RV park. I toured it on Saturday. The damage was significant. Many homes absolutely destroyed. We had issued an evacuation order, and therefore, most of the people were gone. The few people who were there survived and are lucky that they are alive. And they — I’m sure they appreciated the fact that you had planned to go and see. And I know we have local government officials here who were ready.
We have a nuclear power plant at Brunswick which had to be powered down as the storm him. Today it’s powered back up, and we think everything is okay with that. We still have about 20 road closures. We don’t have anything approaching the last two storms, but we still have some there. We’ve got 125 National Guard activated now, down from 577.
What we would request, Mr. President, is an expedited disaster declaration for both debris removal and for emergency protective measures. And we’ve got joint preliminary damage assessments going on right now with state, FEMA, local, trying to determine the extent of the damage.
And the other thing that I’d like to mention is that Hurricane Florence hit this state badly, and you were here for that, but —
THE PRESIDENT: That’s right.
GOVERNOR COOPER: — less than a year ago. And we have a number of people who were — are not in their homes yet that were affected by Dorian. So any help that you can give us with HUD publishing the Federal Register for the CDBG-DR money for Hurricane Florence —
THE PRESIDENT: Right. We will do that.
GOVERNOR COOPER: — we would appreciate. We’ve had a good relationship with Secretary Carson, but there’s a couple of things that would be helpful, I think, long term with CDBG-DR money, which would, one, be a universal application for all disaster survivors that would work with FEMA, would work with SBA, that would work with HUD. I think that would slim things down and make it a lot easier.
THE PRESIDENT: We’ll look into that.
GOVERNOR COOPER: And also, maybe codifying the CDBG-DR money instead of the Federal Register. And I know there’s legislation in both the House and the Senate for that.
I have with me my Secretary of Public Safety Erik Hooks, who is behind you there. We’re grateful for his work and our local partners we have here too, Mr. President.
THE PRESIDENT: Good. We’ll you’ve done a great job. Thank you very much, Roy.
GOVERNOR COOPER: Thank you, sir.
THE PRESIDENT: Erik, would you like to say something?
MR. HOOKS: Yes, sir, Mr. President. From my aspect, I’d like to emphasize the partnerships that we have all throughout the Department of Homeland of Security, the Coast Guard, FEMA. They’re always at the table. And they’re at the table when things are relatively peaceful.
So when a tragedy in our all-hazards approach hits us, we’re ready and we’re partnered, and those relationships are strong.
THE PRESIDENT: Thank you very much.
GOVERNOR COOPER: Mr. President, if I could add one more thing. The Admiral is here and we were in communication throughout the storm. But the Coast Guard did amazing work, both during Florence and during Dorian. They helped us rescue a man from Ocracoke Island and helped to bring him off, and worked closely with our National Guard. We’re grateful for our Coast Guard and our relationship with them.
THE PRESIDENT: They’ve been so incredible. I’ve always said, for the last three or four years, there’s no brand that has gone up more than the United States Coast Guard. In Texas, they saved thousands and thousands of lives. They’ve done a job like I’ve never seen. Then you went to Florida. Then you went to Puerto Rico. Then you went back here. And the job you’ve done in the Bahamas has been incredible. So please extend my wishes to everybody, Admiral.
Would you like to say something?
ADMIRAL SMITH: No — Mr. President and Governor Cooper, I just — the Coast Guard was just glad to be part of the team. We have a great relationship with the state, with our federal partners, local partners, and we were happy to be part of the team.
As you know, as this storm came up, we flowed in resources —
THE PRESIDENT: Yeah.
ADMIRAL SMITH: — and were ready to respond. And then the focus was providing response when needed, and then opening the ports as quickly as possible. We did that, and I think it went about as well could be expected, sir.
THE PRESIDENT: You’ve done a fantastic job. How are the new Coast Guard cutters?
ADMIRAL SMITH: They’re doing great, sir. We had to flow them out of the region, but we flowed them back in. And they were the first to get offshore to provide response.
THE PRESIDENT: But they’re great. They’re both great.
ADMIRAL SMITH: They’re outstanding. Yes, sir. They’re outstanding.
THE PRESIDENT: It’s what you needed, right?
ADMIRAL SMITH: Absolutely, sir.
THE PRESIDENT: We got them. We got them. They were getting very old. Now you have brand new beauties, right?
ADMIRAL SMITH: Yes, sir, Mr. President.
THE PRESIDENT: That’s very good.
ADMIRAL SMITH: We’re in good shape, sir.
THE PRESIDENT: Kevin, would you guys like to say something?
ACTING SECRETARY MCALEENAN: Absolutely. Thank you, Mr. President. As you know, we’re here in support of our state partners. And Governor Cooper and his team, Commissioner Hook, have been outstanding throughout the effort.
I’d like Administrator — Acting Administrator Pete Gaynor to give you a little bit of sense of the preparations that we had in place in the initial response, and, of course, we’re doing the joint naval assessments now.
THE PRESIDENT: Good. Pete?
ACTING ADMINISTRATOR GAYNOR: Yes, sir. As soon as we realized that Dorian bypassed U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico and was not going to touch land again, (inaudible) and the NRCC, the National Response Coordination Center, which you visited the other day, was big storm, big response. And we had staff, material, equipment from Miami to Fort A.P. Hill, Virginia, making sure that we could provide all the governors, to include Governor Cooper, whatever they needed from not only FEMA but from the federal family.
And, again, it takes partnerships to make it all happen. And when it works well, it’s a great thing to see. So I thank everyone here that is part of the federal team.
THE PRESIDENT: And I have to say, Ron DeSantis and Brian Kemp and — Henry has been fantastic in South Carolina. Henry McMaster and yourself. The governors have really done a fantastic job. They’ve worked. Whether it’s Republican, Democrat, doesn’t matter. In this case, we’re talking about one that’s on the other side, and the relationship was perfect, right? We have a really good relationship.
And we’re working to get it all together. I want to say that FEMA, first responders, law enforcement has been incredible. Really on the ball. And they were ready in Puerto Rico. Everybody thought it was going to hit Puerto Rico, and we were all set. And, fortunately, it missed Puerto Rico. What it did to the Bahamas is incredible. And the government of the Bahamas has asked us to help. And we have a lot of assets over there, right now, trying to help. That’s really a life-saving mission, when you get right down to it. But the Coast Guard and FEMA and all of you have done a fantastic job.
Would you like to say anything in front of the camera?
ACTING SECRETARY MCALEENAN: No, sir.
THE PRESIDENT: Okay. Lindsey Graham, please?
SENATOR GRAHAM: Well, I want to thank you for calling Henry. To my friends in North Carolina, I used to be a reservist at Seymour Johnson. You all have been hit really hard. And, unfortunately, our delegations in South Carolina and North Carolina are getting pretty good at turning the funds around. And Kevin and Nancy work well together.
So we got to fund the government entirely by the end of the month. But I promise you, we’ll do everything we can to get the money flowing. And being your neighbor, I’m really sorry. I know it’s been really hard up here.
So, thank you, Mr. President.
THE PRESIDENT: Well, thanks. You’ve done a great job. Thank you, Lindsey, very much.
And, Leader, what do you think? You’re working, I know, with the Democrats, and we’re getting things approved rapidly. How’s it going?
HOUSE MINORITY LEADER MCCARTHY: Yeah. I think it’s working well. The only thing, I do want to credit and thank all of you for how well everybody has worked together. The coordination, knowing how this storm would change course, the modeling continuing to go, and just the preparation. I know you saved a lot of lives by the preparation you do.
Our responsibility, Lindsey and others, is making sure the resources are there. And there was — as we talked to FEMA ahead of time, there was enough money. And if there’s more needed, we’ll continue to work towards it.
THE PRESIDENT: Thank you very much, Kevin. And, Admiral, thank you for keeping me in touch. He was with me all the way. No matter where I went, the Admiral was right there. And you let us know. And we were able to do a lot of good by being there. So, thank you.
Would you have anything to say, Admiral?
ADMIRAL SCHULTZ: Just, with regard to the Bahamas — because much of the attention has shifted there now, Mr. President — USAID, the Agency for International Development, their Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance, has been the coordinating lead working directly with the government of the Bahamas, responding to their request for the most acute humanitarian needs of the Bahamian people.
And as you’ve talked about, it’s a very concentrated area of the Bahamas that was affected. The rest of the Bahamas, almost the size of the state of California, is unaffected and open for business. So, Bahamians are helping Bahamians, evacuating people to other sections of the Bahamas that have not been affected. And not only the United States, but foreign governments and non-governmental organizations are all also there in force, providing the humanitarian aid that’s needed.
THE PRESIDENT: So, people are unaware of the fact, for the most part, that the Bahamas is a much bigger place than people would understand, than most people would understand. So you’re actually moving large numbers of people into safer areas and areas that weren’t affected in the Bahamas by the hurricane.
ADMIRAL SCHULTZ: Right, sir. The government of the Bahamas is actually doing that, assisted by others, moving people from the most affected islands, generally the Abaco island which was really damaged —
THE PRESIDENT: Right.
ADMIRAL SCHULTZ: — toward Nassau, which is an area of the Bahamas that was relatively undamaged that has the resources to help those folks out.
THE PRESIDENT: That’s great. They’ve really done a great job. Thank you very much.
So, we have now people standing on line, trying to get into the arena. And I will tell you that they are soaking wet, because Roy and everybody just walked under the plane, and you folks were wet. It is bad weather out there. But we have a tremendous crowd, and we’re going to be there in a little while. We’re going over a little bit earlier than anticipated.
So, I hope you’re going to be able to join us, and we’ll have some fun. It’s going to be a good rally.
Yes.
SENATOR GRAHAM: Mr. President, I forgot to mention one thing. The budget agreement that you helped negotiate with the House and the Senate — no agreement is perfect, but if we had not done the budget deal, we’d go back into sequestration. You would not be having new ships.
THE PRESIDENT: It’s true.
SENATOR GRAHAM: The biggest winners were the DHS and the military as a whole. So in times like this, I appreciate what you did on the budget because sequestration would have been devastating.
THE PRESIDENT: And I think it’s really important to say, Mexico has passed it, Canada has passed it. The USMCA is vital for our country, the economics of our country. You have two countries that have gone through the process fully. And we’re waiting for an approval from the House. I think the Senate will approve it rapidly. So we hope they can get that moving. It’s a great thing for us.
The farmers — even the unions are really liking it a lot. And we’re going to make certain little changes. But Bob Lighthizer is dealing with Nancy Pelosi. I think they’re getting along very well. Steve Mnuchin is involved. And hopefully they can get a vote on that very quickly — the USMCA. Very important. Thank you.
Okay. Thank you, folks. Thank you all very much. Thank you.
QUESTION: Is there a pattern?
C
ANSWER: For whatever reason, these people have been promoting that the cities will all sink and we are the cause of it all. They have been touting this scenario since the 1930s when there was the Dust Bowl. It resurfaced after World War II when they were trying to stop rebuilding industry and the housing market which had been destroyed. The same argument appeared again in the 1960s when there was a great expansion in housing.

However, during the 1970s when things got colder, everything flipped upside down and then it was global cooling that would destroy civilization. On April 28, 1975, Newsweek magazine published an article in which they sounded the alarm bell and proposed solutions to deliberately melt the ice caps:
“Climatologists are pessimistic that political leaders will take any positive action to compensate for the climatic change, or even to allay its effects. They concede that some of the more spectacular solutions proposed, such as melting the arctic ice cap by covering it with black soot or diverting arctic rivers, might create problems far greater than those they solve. But the scientists see few signs that government leaders anywhere are even prepared to take the simple measures of stockpiling food or of introducing variables of climate uncertainty into economic projections of future food supplies.”
Then TIME magazine’s January 31, 1977 edition had the cover story featuring “The Big Freeze.” They reported that scientists were predicting that Earth’s average temperature could drop by 20 degrees fahrenheit. Their cited cause was, of course, that humans created global cooling. It just seems that humans are so powerful we can alter the universe but cannot manage to create corrupt-free governments.
The difference this time is they have been able to get governments interested on the basis that they can stop it by raising taxes. Canada imposed a $1,000 tax per home to stop global warming. Perhaps the theory is if the politicians get more money they will speak less and reduce the hot air they spout out by yelling the end is near.
I see this as a derivative of the Populationists theory which was instituted by Thomas Robert Malthus (1766-1834). It was Malthus who first published his “Essay on the Principle of Population as it Affects the Future Improvement of Society” in 1798. He published it anonymously, afraid to put his name on it, but he was soon discovered to be the author. Malthus argued that the resources of production would be exceeded by the population leading to real misery.
Malthus’ theory proved to be completely wrong because he too failed to comprehend that there are cycles to everything. He never considered the cycle in technology and how farming has improved from ancient times up to his own time during the 18th century. Of course, food production has more than kept pace with population growth and even the population goes through cycles. Currently, birth rates have been declining. Then there are diseases and plagues that visit our societies, not to mention war, which all combines to thin the herd so to speak.
The climate has ALWAYS moved cyclically. Anyone who dares to argue that climate change is NOTcaused by humans is ridiculed because this is a political issue being used to raise taxes and to regulate human activity by removing ever-greater proportions of our human rights and freedom. Those who attack anyone who denies human-induced climate change are either brainwashed or have a self-interest in the entire scam
Real Climate Science Erasing Americas Hot past
http://www.realclimatescience.com/erasing-americas-hot-past/
The US used to have many very hot summers, with the worst being 1936. Watch this presentation on Real Climate Science and learn what the government is doing with the data. I have personalty review the same data that was used here and I agree 100% with the conclusions. The planet has gotten warmer which is not surprise as if you live long enough you will experience cool periods and warm periods and we are in the end of a warm period. It will coon be getting cooler and the planet will not melt.
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
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