The Russian press is now reporting that the Russian Defense Ministry intends to turn the Crimean peninsula into an impregnable fortress. It will be not only a military outpost of Russia in the Black Sea region, but also be able to defend themselves, even when cut off from the mainland. Russia is now deploying a complete and self-sufficient military force in the Crimea. Russia is also recalling all its students in the West. They are being told to get out even if their classes are not complete. The Ukrainian press is also reporting that Russia is preparing for a major war. They say the only question is the timing – when it starts. At home, Russia is reconstructing and preparing bomb shelters for the possible nuclear war.

This, I suppose, is why Obama was given the Noble Peace Prize not to create peace, but to kill it once and for all. Our models on time are show up with the same targets of November and January in the Ruble itself. This is curious as our models in so many markets and correlating to these time periods suggesting we are dealing with global contagion effect.

We will obvious begin to pay closer attention to our war models as we move into position. Capital Flows pick up the changes in movement it appears in advance of war. Our proprietary models are critical in this regard for they are the only thing out there that monitors the global capital flows. This is obviously going to be very important.

Right now, we have been tracking capital being withdraw from South America and Europe moving back into Russia.  Capital is on the move in accordance with the rise in tensions geo-politically.

Even in Asia, we are witnessing a a contraction in capital back into China from South East Asia as well as Japan. Curiously enough, even from New Zealand, although it appears to be moderate at this time.

We have even see capital withdrawing marginally from Switzerland, and more aggressively from Britain.

We will continue to monitor these trends for they are disconcerting to say the least.

Wikileaks has produced an email that shows Hillary Clinton routinely discussed things that should have been on a secure server. Hillary sent an email to her campaign chairman John Podesta back in 2014, who was then-counselor to President Barack Obama. In this email, she said Saudi Arabia and Qatar were both giving financial and logistical support to the Islamic State and other extremist Sunni groups demonstrating that indeed this has been a civil war between Sunni and Shia. This email, dated August 17, 2014, was an eight-point plan to defeat ISIS in Iraq and Syria. Clinton’s email said that the United States should support Kurdish forces on the ground with U.S. military advisers and avoid the use of a conventional ground operation. She said we needed to bring pressure on the governments of “Qatar and Saudi Arabia, which are providing clandestine financial and logistic support to ISIL and other radical Sunni groups in the region.” 

The differences between Shia and Sunni is to be found in their interpretation of the hadiths and sharia law on how Muslims should define and govern themselves. But for the most part, the religious differences are really superficial for the conflict and violence is truly driven by political power, which intertwines with theology. There have been protests in Saudi Arabia following execution of Shia there. This is the nature of the civil war which is brewing (see War Cycle Part II).

This really raises serious questions when in fact Saudi Arabia is one of the countries donating large amounts to the Clinton Foundation.