The Coming WWIII


Armstrong Economics Blog/War re-Posted Mar 7, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

While people rush to kiss the feet of Zelensky, even some Ukrainians are now concerned that he is a puppet dragging their country to destruction all over Donbas. I have warned that this is going to turn into WWIII. China has now come out and warned the USA against trying to build what it called a Pacific version of NATO while declaring that security disputes over Taiwan and Ukraine were “not comparable at all.” They too are logging the same complaints against the US as Putin for creating biological weapons labs on their borders as well.

There are serious allegations that this is all being carried out to try to force Russia and China into the Great Reset and to comply with the United Nations’ mandates for climate change. It is hard to say whether these allegations are true or false. As always, time reveals the truth. But the WEF, which had claimed that Putin was a Young Global Leader, rejected that and shifted to supporting Zelensky also pushing for a continued war that Ukraine cannot win unless it gets so bad that they use this to justify NATO entering Ukraine.

My concern is that their mistake is they think they can take down Russia and then turn to China. Our model warns that that will be a fatal mistake, and China will join Russia.

Kyiv Airport Destoryed


Armstrong Economics Blog/War Re-Posted Mar 7, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

he Kyiv Airport was destroyed to prevent the West from flying in military equipment. This is the same strategy as singing ships from America to Britain with military arms in World War I. There are a lot of Ukrainians who are not supporting Zelensky. He ran promising to make peace with Russia and he was elected like Trump because he was not a politician. The resentment coming from some Ukrainians is that feel that Zelensky is now a puppet to promote war. All he had to do was agree to a ceasefire, yield Donbas which the US has been covertly supporting the civil war, and save Ukraine as a nation. But the refusal to yield Donbas was against the wishes of the West.

The danger here is that the people of Ukraine flip and see that they have been merely a pawn in a proxy war between the West and Russia. This can only get worse for there is no great peacemaker today. I do not like what our computer is forecasting, but I suppose we are just headed into a war that will escalate and will be not something we just watch on TV safe and sound from the real events as if this were another action movie.

Colonel Douglas Macgregor Provides Updated Perspective on Ukraine Status


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 7, 2022

Col Douglas Macgregor is about the only person who has given an honest account of what is happening on the ground in Ukraine that actually makes sense with the known set of facts. Almost all other analysis of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is fraught with NATO wishes and rainbow analysis to make things seem like Ukraine can win as an insurgent force.

A very pragmatic Macgregor notes the situation boils down to what kind of a nation state Vladimir Putin wants intact when his military operations are over. It’s a good review of the current state of affairs. {Direct Rumble LinkWATCH:

Tucker Carlson Outlines the DC Effort to Create a War Against Russia


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 7, 2022 | Sundance

During his lengthy opening monologue tonight, Fox News host Tucker Carlson outlines the increased DC effort around Ukraine as we have witnessed in the past several days.

Using tape from the past several years of DC politicians, Tucker outlines how the DC system was continually trying to position the U.S. against Russia for a direct conflict.  Why were they doing this?  WATCH:

Mark Steyn Wraps Up the Weekend in News From Ukraine and NATO


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 7, 2022 | Sundance

If you unplugged for any part of the last 72 hours, GBN News Host Mark Steyn will catch you up as he wraps up a weekend of NATO news surrounding Ukraine, Russia and jibberin’ Joe Biden.  WATCH:

The Little Red Lyin’ Twit Says Biden Will Try To Reduce Impact of Rising Oil Prices, but Won’t Unleash U.S. Energy Resources


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 7, 2022

White House Press Secretary Jennifer Psaki said today the Biden administration will try to reduce the impact of rising oil prices for American consumers but will not do anything to allow increased production of U.S. energy resources.

Oh, and it’s all Vladimir Putin’s fault, WATCH:

I’ll keep repeating it, because many people just don’t understand the unique nature of our North American position.  Energy resources are nation specific.  Ireland, the U.K, Europe, or Australia, do not have abundant oil and natural gas deposits like the U.S. does.  ANWAR has more oil than Saudi Arabia.

A U.S. president can and does control the price of gasoline.  What can a U.S. President and administration specifically do?  We have abundant U.S. energy resources.  Quite literally the strongest in the entire world.

  • Permit the use of preexisting approved leases in ANWAR (Alaska) to put more volume into the Alaskan oil pipeline that is severely underutilized.
  • Finish the Dakota access pipeline.
  • Re-approve the preexisting energy leases in New Mexico, Arizona, NE Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico.
  • Retract the stoppage of the Keystone pipeline to permit efficient oil transport shipments from Canada.
  • Stop blocking the expansion of coastal oil refineries in Texas, Louisiana and Alabama (regulatory issue), as well as Northwest, Northeast and Southeast Seaboard.
  • Continue to develop natural gas as a clean burning fuel.
  • Drive Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) as an export.

.Unfortunately, this would mean reversing the entire energy policy of the current administration.  The existing energy inflation and high prices of oil, natural gas and gasoline are a direct and intentional part of Joe Biden’s policy.  That policy is driven by the leftist demand for a “green new deal.”

None of the actions above require any approval from OPEC.  Strategically, the ‘all of the above’ approach enhances U.S. national security and diminishes the influence of Russia, China and Iran.  Within six months of the above, gasoline will plummet.

The Professionally Republican Gather at Sea Island Again, Strategizing 2022 Plans to Thwart Political Challenge to DC Power


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 7, 2022 

The Sea Island Summit has always been the DeceptiCon gathering of Wall Street elites to cloister themselves and plan a strategy to protect their interests from the base of republican voters.

The only people invited to the gathering are the self-described UniParty elites who view their power as a position to rule the proles.  The Tea Party and MAGA community have long been the pebble in the shoe of the Sea Island group.

Heck, this very website and discussion group exists as an outcome of accepting the intent of the DeceptiCon class and making a purposeful self-respecting decision to stop being a victim of their UniParty assembly.  Battered conservative, no more.

The American Enterprise Institute’s annual World Forum is hosted at Sea Island specifically for the purposes of planning how to manipulate registered Republican voters into supporting their agenda.

This year is no different.  Attendees include the customary cocktail class donors, Mitch McConnell DeceptiCons, Never Trumpers, child traffickers and sexploitation enablers like the Lincoln Project and many more corporate types.

The goal is always the same, protect the business operations in Washington DC at all costs.  With the 2022 election year upon us, and with the primary season starting soon, the GOPe wing of the UniParty must share and discuss their strategic defense initiatives.

People used to call this the “establishment” Republicans, but really, that’s too generic a word for what they do.  These are the deceptive elites – the lying, conniving, scheming bastards. They represent the vile pus at the bottom of a lanced boil from a rotting blue whale carcass that can stink an entire city.  They call themselves conservatives, hence “DeceptiCons” gets the specificity of their intent.

As noted in a CBS outline of attendees, the gathering is being led by Robert Doar, a vile-mannered Republican and beneficiary of Michael Bloomberg’s money.   From the Senate, Mitch McConnell will be joined by Senator Tim Scott (SC) a familiar attendee, Senator Susan Collins of Maine, and retiring Senator Rob Portman of Ohio.

The pontificating Jonah Goldberg will also be there to share his sanctimonious hatred of the unwashed masses, along with Maryland Governor Larry Hogan and Arizona Governor Doug Ducey.  The very worst of GOP politicians, or more aptly, walking piles of toxic excrement unworthy of elevated status to useful manure status, will be in attendance.   Florida Senator Rick Scott and New York Congresswoman Elise Stephanik will also attend, likely to capture the open checkbook lunches.

Not a single Republican who has ever attended these Sea Island summits has ever held a position of value to the working class of the Republican Party.  Not one.  A few of the stealthier characters, those who duck down in the seats before they reach the security gates, have fooled the voters; however, as with all things conniving, their true nature always surfaces, eventually.

Mike Pence will likely attend (though he is not in the scant CBS outline), and you can bet the 2024 DeceptiCon approved candidate will be in the mix somewhere.  AEI tries to hide the political guest list because of websites like us who have caught on to the schemes (think splitter strategy).  However, if I were betting, I’d say names like Nikki Haley, Liz Cheney, John Thune, Joni Ernst and Kristi Noem will likely be behind the windows of the dark tinted SUV’s arriving late in the evening.

Seated in the Corinthian chairs will be the McConnell’s, Portman’s, Thune’s, Barrasso’s, Blunt’s, Bush’s, Cheney’s and more.  The GOP donors will be the typical who’s who of Wall Street with some tech and war industry folks blended in.

This year the White House is sending a team including Director of the National Economic Council, Brian Deese.  It’s bipartisan, they say, but the underlying reality is one we have always noted.  There is only one UniParty bird in Washington DC, an always hungry vulture with two wings, Democrats and Republicans.

The Sea Island Summit 2022 will have the exact same purpose as Sea Island 2016.  Stop the influence of Donald Trump, and do whatever it takes to crush those pesky working class Tea Party and MAGA people.

The people who attend Sea Island don’t give a rat’s ass if it is their Democrats or their Republicans who retain power. What they cannot and will not tolerate, is a rise of power to benefit middle-America, the working class.  It has always been thus.

[Read About This Years Event Here]

The Media’s Insidious Effort to Shift Economic Blame From White House to Russia Continues


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 7, 2022 | Sundance

The propaganda effort by western media, specifically but not exclusively U.S. media, to shift blame for massive economic damage from Joe Biden to Russia is reaching a stunning level of coordinated intent.

The cognitive dissonance (fancy words for telling lies under the cloud of economic analysis) is not only happening in the U.S; a similar level of blame-shifting is happening in Europe, Australia, Canada and most western media outlets.

The global economic contraction, which was specifically and intentionally created by the collective ‘Build Back Better‘ promoters, is now being blamed on Russia; and, quite frankly, the motive behind the corporate media shifting the blame is because the underlying ideology (western policy) was/is supported by the leftist media tribe.

Throughout 2021, it is well documented how government COVID policies of lockdowns, economic consequences and insane spending, created the baseline problem behind inflation.  Simultaneously, the western approach toward energy development and the “opportunity” the EU and U.S. sought to exploit within the BBB agenda to radically transform energy use, was simply pouring super-volatile fuel on an already burning fire.

In 2021, gasoline prices increased 60 to 80 percent.  Food prices jumped 15 to 40 percent, with some sectors even higher.  By the time the EU central bankers and U.S. Federal reserve finally admitted inflation was no longer “transitory,” we were facing next harvest fertilizer prices that tripled in price from 2020, and oil prices that had doubled in the span of 12 months.

None of this had anything whatsoever to do with Russia’s plans for Ukraine.   Every part of the economic problem was created by government policy.

The western working class are in an abusive relationship with western government.

Reckless spending during an intentionally blocked economy, combined with radically changed energy and monetary policy, created this storm of economic consequence.  At no point in this scenario was the outcome not in the control of government.

These consequences were specifically caused by ideological decisions made by people who are never affected by them.  However, in a sick, twisted and Machiavellian effort to avoid the pitchforks now heading in their direction, these government leaders and their media stenographers are trying desperately to pin the blame on Russian President Vladimir Putin.

This example from Axios today is a case study in blame shifting:

Economic forecasters are starting to plug the effects of the Ukraine war into their models. It doesn’t look good, especially for Europe.

Why it matters: Much of the world is set to experience weaker growth and higher inflation than seemed likely mere weeks ago. And that’s assuming some of the more dire possibilities that further escalation of the conflict could bring don’t materialize.

The big picture: Soaring energy prices are the most direct channel through which the world economy stands to be battered by the conflict. But rising prices for other commodities will also fuel inflation and could disrupt supply lines.

  • These forecasts were made last week before a new surge in oil futures overnight Sunday into Monday that will only intensify these pressures.
  • Moreover, geopolitical risk has tightened financial conditions, which could constrain investment — though that effect is modest so far.

By the numbers: Economists at JPMorgan said Friday they expect the world economy to grow 0.8 percentage points slower in 2022 than they did on Feb. 18. (read more)

Everything is obtuse crap.

However, in our discussions we do not need to pretend.  Preparations require a brutal acceptance of the landscape that is in front of us, not some clouded avoidance that will only make us victims to our lack of acceptance.

In May and June of 2021, the entire economic machine shifted.  That was when the final cash dump into the economy became visible. Everything since then is a direct outcome of that inflection point.  It has been eight months of economic smoke and mirrors.

Inflation in the last half of 2021 was driven by spending decisions in the first half of 2021.   That oil in the machinery has dried up.  As we watched the reserve tanks emptying, CTH was warning -repeatedly- to prepare.  Now, things are about to seize.  We will see even more inflation as massive increases in fuel will drive up the costs of everything again.

It’s not an issue of whether a recession is possible, likely or probable.  As we noted last year, the recession would have naturally taken place in the third and fourth quarter. It was clear that overall consumer demand was artificially propped up by govt subsidy.  Government intervention stopped the natural demand contraction from surfacing.

Now, with even higher oil prices leading to $7/gal gasoline, there will be no way to avoid seeing the pain of an economic recession under much steeper terms than before.    None of this is accidental.  All of this is by design.

Massive increases in energy and gasoline costs are a feature of their plan, not a flaw.

Joe Biden always was the disposable political tool within this insidious scheme.

The Parallel Society VS Totalitarianism — How to Create a Free World


Posted originally on The Academy of Ideas on February 26, 2022

“The real question is whether the ‘brighter future’ is always so distant. What if it has been here for a long time already – and only our own blindness and weakness have prevented us from seeing it around us and within us, and kept us from developing it.”Vaclav Havel, The Power of the Powerless

Russia Disconnecting the Internet to Prevent US Cyber attacks


Armstrong Economics Blog/Russia Re-Posted Mar 7, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

While Cogent Communications, a major internet backbone provider that routes data across intercontinental connections, cut ties with Russian customers. It cited sanctions over the invasion of Ukraine. However, Putin is very strategic and despite the allegations that Russia intervened in US elections which turnout out to be false before the 2020 election Putin took steps in 2019 to protect Russia from American cyberattacks. He conducted tests in June and July to disconnect Russia from the global internet.

Putin chaperoned legislation, known as the “sovereign internet” law, back in late 2019 with the intent to disconnect the internet to protect the country because of what they saw as the “aggressive nature” of the United States’ national cyber security strategy.

All the sanctions that the Biden Administration has taken against Russia are in truth acts of war. Putin is clearly at this point preparing for an all-out war with the United States. The Biden Administration wants war. They have not made any attempt to reduce tensions since taking office.

China holds about $1 trillion in US debt. During the Quantitative Easing, China was reducing the average maturity moving more short-term. China has been taking steps to make its currency transition to a global currency. In order to do that, China had to loosen its peg to the dollar allowing the currency to float to appease forex traders in global markets. China’s economic growth has slowed over the years. However, what is significant in this dispute over Ukraine, as the economy contracts globally, China’s exports have declined thanks to COVID, and as this has taken place, China is also less able to invest in U.S. Treasurys going forward. Thus, the Biden Sanctions are so dangerous to the world economy, that we are looking at STAGFLATION and a decline in trade and debt accumulation by China, and even Japan which remains the largest foreign holder of US debt.

The Biden Administration’s vendetta against Russia for Climate Change and to accomplish the Great Reset, will fail. They have bitten off more than they can chew.