Tag Archives: AfD

Mar 9 2022

Poland Calls Secretary Blinken’s Bluff, Refuses To Help the United States Start World War-III Against Russia


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 8, 2022 | Sundance

Last weekend, U.S secretary of State Anthony Blinken said Poland was in preparations to send their MIG fighter planes to Ukraine, and the U.S. would be replacing them.   It was a stunning statement considering that Poland is a NATO ally, and Russia would certainly see this effort as increasing direct confrontation.  However, a few hours later Poland issued a statement essentially refuting the claims by Secretary Blinken and saying they had no intent to send fighter jets into Ukraine.  Essentially the government of Poland called Blinken a liar.

In a stunning exhibition of poor diplomacy, with very serious consequences, the State Department did not retract the weekend claims by Blinken.  Instead, they doubled down saying that Poland was going to send fighter planes into Ukraine, which means NATO would be entering the conflict, which means U.S. forces would soon join the battle.  Drawing the U.S. into the war looks like the intent of Blinken’s effort.

However, in a statement today, again highlighting they have no intent to trigger World War III (despite the best efforts of the U.S), Poland is calling Blinken’s bluff {SOURCE}.  I screen captured it, because I do not want anyone to miss the direct framework of the Polish position:

Everything about that statement, including the headline, shouts that Poland is calling Anthony Blinken’s bluff.

Essentially, Poland is saying: “Bulls**t, on all of this.  The U.S. is lying.  We are not going to start World War III, but if you intend to – well, here’s the tools, you start the war.”  It is a stunning statement, and a jaw-dropping situation.

The U.S. State Department is trying to use Poland to trigger a NATO war against Russia.  Poland wants no part of that and is directly and specifically telling the world that Secretary of State Anthony Blinken is lying.  Yet somehow, the media don’t report on this.

Here’s the previous stuff:

Mar 9 2022

Biden Announces Ban on Russian Oil Imports, Simultaneous With US Gasoline Prices Hitting Record High


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 8, 2022 | Sundance 

line hit $4.173, according to the American Automobile Association, with many regions now far exceeding that price.  It is not uncommon to see $5/gal gasoline in many areas.

Against this backdrop, Joe Biden announced today that his administration is banning the import of oil, liquified natural gas (LNG) and coal from Russia.  [We do not import LNG or coal from Russia, so that political point is moot.]  You can read the executive order HERE.

The executive order also bans any U.S. entity from investing or facilitating the investment of Russian energy development.  That section explains why there were earlier reports of Oil companies withdrawing from Russia.  They were obviously given a heads up.

The way the order is currently written, and a lot of it has to do with extremely generous interpretations by the U.S. Treasury Dept., it would appear that any energy company currently operating in the U.S. cannot simultaneously be operating in Russia (or be part of the subsidizing and insurance network that supports energy development in Russia).  The Treasury interpretations here are fraught with complexity.

The part that matters is boiled down in this section:

(i)    the importation into the United States of the following products of Russian Federation origin:  crude oil; petroleum; petroleum fuels, oils, and products of their distillation; liquefied natural gas; coal; and coal products;

(ii)   new investment in the energy sector in the Russian Federation by a United States person, wherever located; and

(iii)  any approval, financing, facilitation, or guarantee by a United States person, wherever located, of a transaction by a foreign person where the transaction by that foreign person would be prohibited by this section if performed by a United States person or within the United States.

     (b)  The prohibitions in subsection (a) of this section apply except to the extent provided by statutes, or in regulations, orders, directives, or licenses that may be issued pursuant to this order, and notwithstanding any contract entered into or license or permit granted prior to the date of this order.  (LINK)

The European Union cannot cut themselves off from Russian oil and natural gas.  Europe relies on imports for 90% of its gas and 97% of its oil products. Russia supplies 40% of Europe’s gas and a quarter of its oil. {source}  Essentially, China and the EU will continue to be the largest purchasers of Russian energy.

The White House is looking to replace Russian oil by purchasing from Venezuela, Iran and, to a lesser extent, Saudi Arabia.   In some ways, you can look at this oil purchase shift as a continuation of President Obama’s intent to exfiltrate American wealth.  Iran and Venezuela become the favored nations again, as they were in the Obama-Biden administration 2009-2017.

Ideologues who have always operated in the background of Biden are working on the same program to consign the U.S. economy as a permanent “service driven economy.”  The difference now is the rapid speed of their policy outcomes, because Biden is disposable.

Biden-Obama, and all that come with them, are working through an ideological plan.  All of these consequences and outcomes are features, not flaws.

$7/gal gas is likely this summer (if not sooner), that’s around $180 to $200 barrel oil price.

$10/gal gas appears to be their ‘Build Back Better‘ target price with oil around $250/barrel.

The Russia-Ukraine ‘crisis’ just helps them justify and speed up the process they already had underway.   I would argue the speed of their action is driven by their concern of a mid-term election outcome that might impede the bigger objective.

White House Press Release HERE –  Executive Order HERE

Mar 8 2022

Who Are the Oligarchs?


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Mar 8, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

(Photo: Former President Obama’s private yacht)

The word “oligarch” leads some to believe that these rich individuals are part of a mysterious underground society. The Oxford dictionary defines an oligarchy as “a small group of people having control of a country, organization, or institution,” and oligarchs are those who have profited off of the regime – in this case, Putin’s.

Is there a difference between a very wealthy American businessman who has profited off of American capitalism under [insert president here]? Technically, there is not as anyone can condemn another’s political system. America’s democracy has certainly come under fire by many leaders, primarily in the Middle East who have stated America is akin to a mafia organization. Trudeau showed us Canada is not above freezing individual accounts without Due Process. Our governments have exposed themselves throughout this pandemic, especially by letting us know they are not above coercion and silencing free speech.

So while many cheer the asset forfeiture of the evil Russian oligarchs, make no mistake about it that other nations can and will use this new tactic of war in the future. Governments can not only seize their citizens’ assets but have the ability to freeze international capital. How could anyone feel safe investing in a Western nation if their assets will not be protected? These Russian citizens can have their assets seized without proof that have any ties to Putin.

The wealthy citizens are always the first to flee when a city or nation is failing.

As I have stated, this will totally destroy the world economy as we know it. Foreign investment in Russia will be seized, and the prospect of this migrating to China is extremely high. A line has been crossed. You do not go after the assets of private individuals claiming they are holding personal money for Putin. That would be akin to saying someone was holding money for any politician simply because they live under that leader’s rule.

Mar 8 2022

The Model on War & Food Shortages


Armstrong Economics Blog/Agriculture Re-Posted Mar 8, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

During a war, food production collapses because tanks have a tendency to plow down crops. Here is a food ratio book from World War II in the United States where tanks were not plowing down fields. So even during WWII War, there were Ration Stamp Books issued by the United States government for citizens to purchase goods. Even Britain issued a ratio book, for in both cases, they needed to supply food to Europe which could not grow food. This is what will develop with Ukraine and Russia, combined with Ukrain you are looking at 30% of world grain production. Most of their exports go to Africa and Southeast Asia.

Perhaps now you will understand why our model has forecast focused on food both war post-2020, as well as a commodity boom into 2024. Even back in 2020, we warned that there would be a crisis in agriculture. The yearly array we posted back then showed a rally with a target in 2023.

A number of people have written in saying that others are copying our forecasts and pretend this is their personal analysis. There are always going to be people who want to pretend and take others’ work. The danger is that nobody can do this on a personal opinion, and even claiming they have looked at cycles back 500 years is the same BS you get from climate change analysts that stopped at 1850. Going back to the 16th century is by no means enough data to look forward. You are still dealing with the same monetary system and theories that are falling apart in front of our eyes.

You can go back to our 2011 World Economic Conference in Philadelphia where I stood up and warned the war cycle would turn up in 2014. What happened that year? Ukraine overthrew Yanucovof and that began the separatist movement in Donbas and this was the start of the Minsk Agreement. McCain and Graham traveled to Ukraine in 2016 to undermine that separatist movement simply because Donbas were Russians. The war we have today is directly the result of the behind-the-scenes proxy war against Russia that they began in 2014. Both McCain and Graham both opposed Trump in 2016, and it was John McCain who handed the fake dossier funded by the Clintons to claim Russia was interfering in the 2016 US election.

The model has beaten EVERYONE who pretends they foresaw this. My personal attempts at interpreting the arrays are by no means perfect. We provide the computer arrays so you can look at its forecasts yourself. In that manner, the model can continue to provide guidance long after I am gone.

Mar 8 2022

Putin Offers Peace – Zelensky Declines


Armstrong Economics Blog/War Re-Posted Mar 7, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Reliable sources have confirmed that Putin offered to stop the war instantly if Kyiv give up its army, change its constitution to become a permanently neutral country in accordance with the Budapest Agreement, and acknowledge Crimea as part of Russia along with Luhansk and Donetsk are to be free separate republics. Zelensky has refused. Luhansk and Donetsk have been fighting for their freedom ever since the 2014 Ukrainian Revolution. This is what was to be settled in the Minsk Agreement which has been dragging out for 8 years.

The real question many Ukrainians now have is Zelensky was elected promising to ease tensions with Russia but he has done the opposite even cutting off the water supply to Crimea. Should the Ukrainian people vote on this offer? Why put the country at risk for those provinces that are 98% Russian, to begin with? The fear has been that Zelensky is really a poppet for the West that wants a confrontation with Putin. They have created an Iron Curtain in the financial world and that is now simply becoming permanent. Russians are being discriminated against in Western Europe and America to the point that such bad blood has now taken place that the world is dividing and there is no return to normal. This is not just a new Financial Iron Curtain with Russia, we are looking at the same reaction with China that will support Russia at the end of the day.

China’s top diplomat just accused Washington of trying to create an Asian version of the U.S.-European NATO military alliance joining Japan, India, and Australia to create a similar NATO-like Asian block. He further warned that it is up to the Biden administration to improve relations with North Korea.

We are NOT on a path toward world peace. There is nobody interested in trying to reduce tension. Everything now is name-calling and hostility on every front.

Mar 8 2022

The Coming WWIII


Armstrong Economics Blog/War re-Posted Mar 7, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

While people rush to kiss the feet of Zelensky, even some Ukrainians are now concerned that he is a puppet dragging their country to destruction all over Donbas. I have warned that this is going to turn into WWIII. China has now come out and warned the USA against trying to build what it called a Pacific version of NATO while declaring that security disputes over Taiwan and Ukraine were “not comparable at all.” They too are logging the same complaints against the US as Putin for creating biological weapons labs on their borders as well.

There are serious allegations that this is all being carried out to try to force Russia and China into the Great Reset and to comply with the United Nations’ mandates for climate change. It is hard to say whether these allegations are true or false. As always, time reveals the truth. But the WEF, which had claimed that Putin was a Young Global Leader, rejected that and shifted to supporting Zelensky also pushing for a continued war that Ukraine cannot win unless it gets so bad that they use this to justify NATO entering Ukraine.

My concern is that their mistake is they think they can take down Russia and then turn to China. Our model warns that that will be a fatal mistake, and China will join Russia.

Mar 8 2022

Kyiv Airport Destoryed


Armstrong Economics Blog/War Re-Posted Mar 7, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

he Kyiv Airport was destroyed to prevent the West from flying in military equipment. This is the same strategy as singing ships from America to Britain with military arms in World War I. There are a lot of Ukrainians who are not supporting Zelensky. He ran promising to make peace with Russia and he was elected like Trump because he was not a politician. The resentment coming from some Ukrainians is that feel that Zelensky is now a puppet to promote war. All he had to do was agree to a ceasefire, yield Donbas which the US has been covertly supporting the civil war, and save Ukraine as a nation. But the refusal to yield Donbas was against the wishes of the West.

The danger here is that the people of Ukraine flip and see that they have been merely a pawn in a proxy war between the West and Russia. This can only get worse for there is no great peacemaker today. I do not like what our computer is forecasting, but I suppose we are just headed into a war that will escalate and will be not something we just watch on TV safe and sound from the real events as if this were another action movie.

Mar 8 2022

Colonel Douglas Macgregor Provides Updated Perspective on Ukraine Status


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 7, 2022

Col Douglas Macgregor is about the only person who has given an honest account of what is happening on the ground in Ukraine that actually makes sense with the known set of facts. Almost all other analysis of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is fraught with NATO wishes and rainbow analysis to make things seem like Ukraine can win as an insurgent force.

A very pragmatic Macgregor notes the situation boils down to what kind of a nation state Vladimir Putin wants intact when his military operations are over. It’s a good review of the current state of affairs. {Direct Rumble Link} WATCH:

Mar 8 2022

Tucker Carlson Outlines the DC Effort to Create a War Against Russia


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 7, 2022 | Sundance

During his lengthy opening monologue tonight, Fox News host Tucker Carlson outlines the increased DC effort around Ukraine as we have witnessed in the past several days.

Using tape from the past several years of DC politicians, Tucker outlines how the DC system was continually trying to position the U.S. against Russia for a direct conflict.  Why were they doing this?  WATCH:

Mar 8 2022

Mark Steyn Wraps Up the Weekend in News From Ukraine and NATO


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 7, 2022 | Sundance

If you unplugged for any part of the last 72 hours, GBN News Host Mark Steyn will catch you up as he wraps up a weekend of NATO news surrounding Ukraine, Russia and jibberin’ Joe Biden.  WATCH: