QUESTION: I believe as professors have taught Keynesian Economics, so too will we one day have Armstrongian Economic theory. My question to you sir is this, “Have you ever seen Socrates react to a singular event that made your computer model actually do a complete 180? Thanks for all you do! Your blog is the single most important source we have in the world today, BAR NONE!
RB
ANSWER: No, I have never seen that. Even when you look at the famous Buffett Silver Manipulation, note how gold did not follow. That was showing the market was manipulated and it was simply being pushed to the Monthly Reversals, all for a quick buck. Everything is connected. It is impossible to have one market that moves completely opposite, changing its trend, and nothing else happens. You can push a market between the Reversals. That I have seen. But you cannot change the trend.
The dollar, stocks market, gold, real estate, and commodities are all in sync. They are playing out a dance, and you need to step back to look at the whole rather than a single market. Only then will you see the connections.
QUESTION #1: It has become impossible to buy houses between $300-$500,000 in the Orlando area. From a realtor, he said that Blackrock is buying everything and they rely on a famous forecaster who said real estate is the only way to earn income. He said he heard it was someone in Florida. Is that you?
HP
QUESTION #2: Is Vanguard and Blackrock part of the great reset fraud?
SB
QUESTION #3: With the revelation of Blackrock buying up single family homes and making homeownership and rentals unaffordable, what is the average person to do? My son and his family and my husband and I were getting ready to purchase homes to settle down in but have now been priced out of most markets and rentals are also hard to come by that we can afford. We live in California but are wanting to get out of Dodge. Sharon
ANSWER: I am not a liberty to say who is and who is not our client. What I can confirm is that Blackrock has bought more than 20,000 homes in Florida under $500K. They are buying for cash and this is the result of artificially low interest rates. Central banks have created a disincentive for buying government bonds. This is going to come to a head and we will see interest rates rise because big money is looking at the return on renting out homes rather than investing in bonds.
This is not part of the Great Reset in saying you will own nothing. This is the shift from Public to Private. You cannot artificially lower interest rates to absurd levels under real risk and then expect them to remain there indefinitely when these pension and investment funds need higher returns. The good news to this trend is that it is resulting in the institutionalizing of the real estate market which is far better than the last attempt by creating mortgage-backed securities.
Socrates covers real estate around the world which has been part of our Institutional services. We have made this available to all levels of subscribers. We do have this broken down per state in the USA. We will be adding that to the general system because of the impact of this shifting from Public to Private in capital investment.
In Germany during December 1922, the last straw that broke the back of the German economy was a forced loan of 10% of all your assets. This destroyed the confidence that remained in the Weimar Republic and thereafter people withdrew the money from banks and started to convert to other currencies and to buy whatever tangible assets they could. Hyperinflation took off in 1923.
History repeats BECAUSE human nature remains the same. In an interview with The Hill, of course, it was a Democrat from New York Thomas Suozzi who said he’s in the early stages of looking at what he called a “patriot tax” which is really a WEALTH TAX that he is proposing to impose as a one-time surcharge of 2.5% on wealth between $50 million and $100 million and a 5% on wealth above $100 million.
This is NOT income – this is on assets. It will require full disclosure of all assets held globally with penalties of imprisonment and confiscation of assets if you lie. Note this is how they introduced the income tax in 1913. They always put the initial level above the average person. In 1913, the average annual wage was about $1,500. Making the income tax starting at $3,000 was to ensure the people would not worry about the rich.
They are doing this once again. True, I would not care if Bill Gates or George Soros had to pay 5% of their gross worth. But they throw that into their foundations which will not be taxed. My real concern is once they push this through, then it is one small step for the government to lower that to $1 million or $500,000. Even if you own a home that is $1 million and you have an $800,000 mortgage, you are taxed on the $1 million – not the net.
Still, many people will say anyone with $1 million can afford to pay 5%. But that includes all assets – the value of your home or business. He says they will give them 5 years to pay it. Why? Because this is on all gross assets that they will then appraise. They can say your home is now worth $1 million despite the fact you paid $250,000 so you have to pay 5% of that $1 million gross as well. We are talking about assets that not LIQUID meaning you then must sell things to pay the tax. This is how they destroy farmers. The inheritance tax forced the sale of land to pay the tax ultimately leading to big corporate farming.
So you wanted to know how to destroy an economy as fast as possible? All you have to do is impose a WEALTH TAX and watch what happens! You can double your money in the stock market, they want 5% to the total gross value. They could easily tax you on the maximum value of Bitcoin holdings during a given period. Do not count on any federal judge ruling in your favor. That will NEVER happen!
So this is just another nail in the coffin of the West and why China will emerge as the #1 world economy. The LEFT will destroy everything – it always ends up that way. That is neither my opinion nor a conspiracy theory. It is just history. The policies of the LEFT are prohibited by the Ten Commandments. Not only does this violate the freedom of religion, the same prohibition appears in other legal codes from ancient times proving that it was prohibited for good reason.
QUESTION: Are you familiar with that studies of pundits have shown that their forecasts are no better than chance. You seem to be in the category of what those studies at Penn University by Philip Tetlock called “superforecasters”. Would you care to comment on how you are right so often when others never are?
UT
ANSWER: I am not familiar with those studies on forecasting but it makes sense. The vast majority of forecasting is nothing more than opinion. That is why they are rarely correct. Even Barron’s took a shot at me because in 2010, the forecast was that we were entering a bull market with new highs on the horizon following the crash of 2007-2009. Of course, Barron’s never wrote another piece to say the forecast was correct. Barron’s acknowledged I had forecast the 1987 Crash. But they never reviewed everything.
The press likes pundits to talk opinion. They are not really interested in forecasting. If they were, they would do a serious article on all our forecasts concerning the methodology that has been correct for a single reason — history repeats. Socrates puts the entire world together and maps out the capital flows. Just follow the money — that will mean you will be far more correct than sticking your finger in the air to judge the direction of the wind.
History repeats because human nature never changes throughout the millennium. We are a species that will never change because human nature remains the same since the dawn of time. There are Stone Age graves with people buried with dignity. The most amazing find so far of a Stone Age grave was of a female and two children hugging each other. They were carefully arranged in this position. This strongly indicated they had spiritual beliefs and cared for their dead, but most of all, it showed love.
Throughout millennia, people before recorded history showed how that they cared for one another. They also showed a consistent belief in the hereafter. There are even dozens of burials in the southwestern Siberian village of Staryi Tartas, where human remains were positioned in pairs facing each other. The rare couple burials are among 600 graves dating to between the 17th and 14th centuries BC from the Bronze Age Andronovo culture. Even in the Stone Age, there was respect for the dead shows love existed then as it does today among our species.
This respect has been a tradition in human communities that appears from the very beginning. But Socrates cannot answer that question. It can show the correlations with religions and demonstrate the similarities of cultures around a central belief system. It cannot confirm or deny the existence of an afterlife. That becomes opinion.
Human nature endures. We travel through time, and technology progresses with our knowledge. However, emotionally we remain very much the same. Society MUST move through these crash and burn periods. It is how we progress through history. We learn only through our mistakes — never our victories.
Therefore, the correct forecasts are not because of my personal opinion or some guess. Everything is based upon history and what that reveals is straightforward. Given the same circumstance, human nature will ALWAYS respond in the same manner, like an animal cornered will stand and fight even if it is a possum that normally plays dead. The future becomes understandable ONLY when you understand the past.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on June 6, 2021 | Sundance | 109 Comments
Boy I’m glad she decided to take one last question at the end of her G7 Finance Minister press conference, because that one question was the one that mattered…. and it didn’t come from a U.S. journalist (go figure).
In this Q&A with Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen she is asked about massive ongoing inflation and why she is not worried about it from a U.S. monetary policy perspective. Her reply is jaw dropping. [Video at 25:10 prompted]
First, note the words used “my personal opinion is“, that’s a key *tell* that she is now shifting from economic discussion into the manipulated words of a U.S. political appointee who is in place to support the absolutely insane policies of the JoeBama administration. However, what she follows with is beyond absurd… it’s professionally false and filled with gaslighting.
Yellen says the COVID pandemic caused “DEFLATION” in 2020 and we are now circling back to year-over-year comparisons in pricing, and that is creating the illusion of inflation where no inflation exists. She claims pricing is returning to where it was at pre-pandemic levels. This is an absolutely absurd statement that every single reader of this site can see, feel and absorb in their own lives.
Her example of Airline prices returning to pre-pandemic levels is devoid of reality. Airline prices are dramatically escalating because fuel and energy prices have risen 40% or more over the past five months. When the airline industry was hit by COVID impact, to manage costs they shut down operations – reduced flights, put planes out of commission, eliminated on flight services (food beverages), and downsized their entire industry. They did not significantly lower prices.
Secondly, Housing prices did not drop…. rents did not lower… mortgage rates did not decrease… grocery store food prices did not drop (they went up)… “Away from home” food prices did not drop (they stopped or stayed the same),…. the cost of cars, hard goods, durable products, did not drop. Nothing dropped in price. Instead the sellers of products and services modified their businesses (or shut down) to adjust to the drop in customers. Barbers and hair stylists did not lower prices…. nothing dropped.
Businesses did not, DID NOT, lower prices. If anything, they added surcharges for modifications to their business.
Inflation rates this year have absolutely nothing to do with lower prices last year and “return to normal” prices this year. She is selling nonsense.
THAT is professional gaslighting from the Treasury Secretary of the United States. Quite remarkable.
I find it interesting how nobody seems to distinguish between a digital currency and blockchain cryptocurrency. The former is not traceable other than that transaction. To eliminate cybercriminals, the World Economic Forum is pushing ending paper money and moving to cryptocurrencies – not digital. With blockchain, the government would be able to trace the money to the criminal. The side benefit will be to ensure everyone pays taxes on everything they ever dreamed of. This is the REAL purpose of cyberattacks that are private decisions and outside the jurisdiction of government to trace and prosecute.
This is why Klaus Schwab is warning of cyberattacks. This is to end commerce globally without government-trackable cryptocurrencies. In 1934 when Roosevelt confiscated gold if you had money on deposit in a bank, which had been in gold coin, Roosevelt seized it all. The difference between a digital currency you use today with a debt or credit card is that is not traceable beyond a single transaction. Bitcoin using blockchain allows the government to trace every person who had that Bitcoin in the flow of money. Crypto is far more than digital and they never want to talk about that either. They will tell you no more credit card theft. Everything will be 100% secure. You will no longer be able to find a $5 bill in the parking lot.
I have written before how the Romans tried to outlaw prostitution declaring you could not pay a prostitute with a coin that had the image of the emperor which they all did. So they created these tokens you would buy from a money changer, you would pay the prostitute and she accepted them because she knew she could go to the money changer and he would convert them to coin.
Human nature is resilient. There are already counterfeit COVID cards. In Japan, every new emperor would devalue the outstanding money supply to 10% of his new coins, which also had no metal value. Soon, the Japanese refused to accept Japanese coins. They used Chinese coins and bags of rice. The Japanese government LOST the confidence of its people and was UNABLE to issue coins for 600 years.
They are desperate to get China and Russia into their Great Reset because just as the US dollar is the world currency with 70% of paper dollars circulating outside the United States, that could be replaced by the Chinese currency as was the case back in Japan. Will history repeat? Will we be using Chinese currency because Schwab succeeds in 2023 to end paper money in the West? My advice to China – start printing and imitate the stability of the dollar and never cancel your currency.
Even when Rome fell in 476AD, the barbarians still imitated the Eastern Roman coinage issuing the coins in the name of the Eastern Emperor. This only illustrates my point, that often the currency commonly used is that of another country.
The Federal Reserve has discontinued updating the M1 and M2 weekly money supply series and is instead now updating the series monthly. What is really going on is what I have been talking about and was one of the key subjects behind the book I published – Manipulating the World Economy (5th edition to be released in a few weeks). This change reflects a profound change in economics whereby Keynesian Economics is collapsing. The view at the Fed has been stating what I have been warning was unfolding. Chairman Powell has stated that he no longer regards that the quantity of money is relevant. Powell has stated that the practice of measuring money no longer matters because it’s unrelated to inflation. The Fed now realizes what I have been saying all along – it is a matter of CONFIDENCE.
This money supply has been published since the 1970s when the idea of Milton Friedman first took hold as monetarism. It was Milton who convinced President Nixon that the value of money was no longer calculated by the amount of gold in your vault. The Fed has changed the publishing frequency on M1 and M2 money supply from weekly to monthly which is a direct result of the collapse in economic theory, although no economist will explain it that way.
The entire idea behind QE was you increase the supply of money and inflation would follow. They have poured money into the system since 2008 dramatically increasing the money supply which has had ZERO impact on inflation.
The Federal Reserve has realized what I have been saying turns out to be true. In principle, they realize that inflation is not tied to the money supply. Not only has the Keynesian economic theory failed, but so has Monetarism. Now the goldbugs have to realize that inflation is not tied to the money supply and that has nothing to do with hyperinflation and just maybe we can see that the emperor has no clothes after all.
Thank you for all the letters and emails congratulating me on the book and its impact on changing the central banks. The war has not been won. Now they move to the digital world.
FED Notes:
Starting on February 23, 2021, the H.6 statistical release is now published at a monthly frequency and contains only monthly average data needed to construct the monetary aggregates. Weekly average, non-seasonally adjusted data will continue to be made available, while weekly average, seasonally adjusted data will no longer be provided. For further information about the changes to the H.6 Statistical Release, see the announcements provided by the source.
Before May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other checkable deposits (OCDs), consisting of negotiable order of withdrawal, or NOW, and automatic transfer service, or ATS, accounts at depository institutions, share draft accounts at credit unions, and demand deposits at thrift institutions.
Beginning May 2020, M1 consists of (1) currency outside the U.S. Treasury, Federal Reserve Banks, and the vaults of depository institutions; (2) demand deposits at commercial banks (excluding those amounts held by depository institutions, the U.S. government, and foreign banks and official institutions) less cash items in the process of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (3) other liquid deposits, consisting of OCDs and savings deposits (including money market deposit accounts). Seasonally adjusted M1 is constructed by summing currency, demand deposits, and OCDs (before May 2020) or other liquid deposits (beginning May 2020), each seasonally adjusted separately.
QUESTION: Hello. I know financial gurus are like noses; but I would like to share something I heard. I heard its’ possible the money in our accounts could be exchanged for – lack of better term – Pelosi dollars. The value of these credits could be changed at will. Buying bitcoin will stop this and put our money out of their reach. I believe they can always get our money. Please explain how bitcoin is vulnerable. Thank you. BS
ANSWER: Look, any cryptocurrency can be seized and outlawed at any moment. They can seize all places that store precious metals for clients. Herbert Hoover admitted in his “Memoirs” that the entire investigation that led to the creation of the SEC was on the back of a phone call where he was told it was a conspiracy against his administration to create the stock market crash. When he realized that there was no such plot, he apologized in his “Memoirs” writing:
“But when representative government becomes angered, it will burn down the barn to get a rat out of it.”
There is ABSOLUTELY nothing the government cannot do. They rigged the election with mail-in ballots and you will never be able to truly verify anything. The medical profession has been converted into a prosecution and political manipulation tool. They have bribed BigTech to do their bidding and they own all the major mainstream media with few exceptions that make little difference. Do you really think they would EVER allow Bitcoin to defeat their agenda?
Drug dealers are not using and cryptocurrency because blockchain can be used to track money. There are programmers working right now on trying to devise a completely new form of cryptocurrency without blockchain to restore privacy. Blockchain technology can be traced! With the propaganda about Bitcoin and blockchain, it offers NO security in any transaction which is deemed illegal. Tax evasion is also a crime. I can CONFIRM that Bitcoin has been allowed to prosper because the government can trace the transactions and that is far better for them than paper money.
There are programmers now fully aware that Bitcoin offers no protection whatsoever and they are trying to create a new system that obliterates the blockchain to make it untraceable
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on May 7, 2021 | Sundance | 134 Comments
Economic forecasters had predicted one million job gains in April. The actual results are “stunningly” and “unexpectedly” far below the expectations. The Bureau of Labor Statistics [SEE HERE] reveals only 266,000 jobs gained in April and downward revisions of March by -146,000. There are almost 7.4 million jobs available; however, despite the available jobs, no-one is going back to work.
Yes, JoeBama’s “free government money” has created the socialist utopia.
The politically correct economic analysts are shocked that minorities (blacks and latinos) are not going back to work; while ignoring the disincentive that government handouts have created in the JoeBama economy. The entire dynamic is ridiculous when you consider we should be entering a phase of the jobs economy where vaccination and COVID mitigation should be leading to massive reopenings of the economy overall.
Inside the numbers, the economic sectors showing the worst jobs recovery are directly related to the blue state shut-downs. Worse yet, there is an underlying scenario showing the economy is not growing despite the ability of businesses to re-open overall. That spells even more trouble.
(CNBC) – “Today’s report was an enormous surprise and shows the labor market hit a hidden pothole in April,” Glassdoor senior economist Daniel Zhao tells CNBC Make It. “Clearly, the labor market has decelerated quite a bit.”
The 6.1% unemployment rate and 9.8 million people unemployed remained steady in April compared with the months prior. (more)
There is no level of spin that can change the reality of this situation. JoeBama’s economic policies are exactly the wrong thing to be doing. Everything, and I do mean every single policy objective, delivered by this administration is AMERICA LAST!
Hiring was a huge letdown in April, with nonfarm payrolls increasing by a much less than expected 266,000 and the unemployment rate rose to 6.1%. Dow Jones estimates had been for 1 million new jobs and an unemployment rate of 5.8%. CNBC’s Jim Cramer discusses what he thinks led to the surprising report.
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America
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