The Great Economic Destruction & COMPLEXITY


Armstrong Economics Blog/Socrates Re-Posted Mar 11, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT #1: OK Marty, it is now becoming obvious that not only Trump reads your stuff but so does Obama. Trump bought a $19 million remote island and Obama bought one for $15 million. This is not a coincidence. Your war cycle goes nuts next year and we have the worst crop of world leaders pushing us into oblivion. I think it’s to fess up to all the elites who are your clients.

UT

COMMENT #2: I remember you said you don’t know how Socrates does it. Are you any closer to finding out how it is actually predicting events? Do you think it is connecting to a different dimension/realm? everything is possible!
All the best
M

ANSWER: Neither Trump nor Obama subscribe to our services, at least under their own name. Just about every government is tapping into our forecasts because the computer has called just about everything in my life to my own amazement. They held me in contempt and desperately tried to have me build it for them. I said we would run whatever study they wanted, but the CIA simply replied that they had to own it. It took many years for me to stand up against that, for it would have deprived my main objective to show that there may be a better way to manage society — living with the cycle instead of trying to suppress it. Fed Chairman Arthur Burns concluded that all the battles trying to defeat the business cycle always failed because of COMPLEXITY.

I believe that the success of Socrates is based upon COMPLEXITY that we as humans cannot fully comprehend, no less see. I believe the world economy is much like a rainforest where there are countless species of insects, animals, plant life, and different components of soil. Perhaps as Darwin theorized, it was survival of the fittest, and that same concept emerges within the global economy.

Like the rain forest, kill one species, and that may have been the food source for another which then dies off. The ripple effect is so complex that we have no idea what the true implications will be. But our arrogance is always reducing everything to a single cause and effect because we are incapable of understanding COMPLEXITY. We harm everything we touch with this primitive form of analysis just like these climate change zealots that hang everything on CO2 when CO2 is the life element behind all plant life. Reduce CO2 to zero, and they have no idea what will happen to the planet all because they think CO2 increases the temperature looking at data only back to 1850.

You cannot win an argument against a fool. Thus, it is impossible to convince these climate change zealots that they are wrong and the world is far more COMPLEX. As Julius Caesar once said: “In most cases, men willingly believe what they wish.”

I believe the success of Socrates is that it sorts out the COMPLEXITY that we as humans cannot see. It is monitoring everything and in the process, what emerges is the cycle of time itself. Indeed, every action causes an equal and opposite reaction. The sanctions imposed upon Russia and arbitrarily the Russian people for a corrupt regime in Ukraine set the stage for the inevitable what I call The Great Economic Destruction.

When Russia turned Communist, that ended world trade. The dissolution of the old Central European empires created twelve new states, and each put up trade barriers to protect their economies. That combined with Russia being isolated economically by the Communist Revolution was no longer connected to the world. It had been the main exporter of a large volume of raw materials and food in exchange for Eastern European manufactured goods. This contributed to the Great Depression as well as the food shortages.

Today, the sanctions against Russia will be permanent, for this will only harden Russia’s resolve and bind Russia and China together. Biden has singlehanded destroyed the world economy in just a few weeks. Economically, this will seriously unhinge the European economy in particular. After the stupidity of COVID restrictions that disrupted the world’s supply chain, sending inflation already to test the 8% level without Russian sanctions, we will see nothing but higher prices and economic decline all because our world leaders act out of hatred are ignorant of COMPLEXITY. The sanctions against Russia are much more devious than most suspect. They have the same fingerprints as the COVID Scam and that is to end the use of fossil fuels. The problem, is Germany has no alternative – but they cannot think or see beyond the end of their nose.

A Very Convenient Coincidence


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Mar 11, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: You noted that the Pentagon rejected Poland sending planes to Ukraine showed they were not behind this drive. Is this just politicians?

LW

ANSWER: Wars are always begun by politicians. Some for their ego to rule and conquer like Alexander the Great. Others do so out of retribution, such as Hitler, mixed with the idea of eugenics. Biden is now threatening to cut off all energy sales from Russia. There are no peacemakers here. All this is about escalating the situation, and nobody tells Zelensky to compromise. They KNOW that Putin cannot now back down. That is politically impossible. So is climate change, the whole goal behind the Great Reset, the real agenda here? They have gone so far that they pushed China and Russia into a stronger alliance, for China has to look at what the West is doing to Russia and must see that they will do the same to them. Thus, China has restated that Russia is its “strategic” partner. The three obstacles to the Great Reset were Trump, Russia, and China. This is a very convenient coincidence.

I have had very high-level discussions with those in politics around the world. Those who are unbiased and are witnessing what I see as deliberate are beside themselves. Nobody is stepping up to be the peacemaker here. This is very strange, for in the 40 years I have been dealing with governments around the world, NEVER have I witnessed the refusal to talk when the fate of the world is being held in the balance.

Where Cuba and Vietnam were clearly instigated by the military’s desire for war, I do not see that this time around. NATO and the Pentagon are trying to keep the West out of this mess. It is without question that politicians are pushing the world to the brink. The truth always comes out in the end just as 9/11, the Kennedy Assassination, and why Oswald tried to call a CIA operative from jail known as the Raleigh Call.

I have my suspicions, and this time it is NOT the military.

Biden Tough on Border Policy — Not America’s


Armstrong Economics Blog/Politics Re-Posted Mar 11, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

The Biden Administration is willing to shell out over $10 billion to secure the border – the Ukrainian border. On top of this, Biden is offering Ukraine $22.5 billion in aid for pandemic-related expenses. All of this is in addition to the $350 million spent to protect Ukraine’s borders, and the $1.4 billion spent on the nation since 2021.

Biden and his crew are willing to secure a foreign border from a threat while neglecting America’s own border issue. The US spent $6.8 trillion during the last fiscal year, and the Congressional Budget Office stated their expenses were around $4.4 billion during the pre-pandemic era.

Breitbart report from March of last year estimated that the Biden Administration has lost $6 million every day that it continues to avoid the US-Mexico border crisis. Well over half a million undocumented immigrants have arrived through the border in the past year.

The Pew Research center acknowledged that migrant encounters, not arrests, are at their highest level on record. The United States Border Patrol recorded 1,659,206 encounters with migrants at the US-Mexico border last fiscal year, surpassing last year’s high of 1,643,679. A quarter of all migrant encounters in 2021 and 2020 (27% and 26%, respectfully) were repeat offenders, compared to only 7% the year prior before the pandemic RESTRICTIONS further hurt struggling countries.

These are not just Mexican immigrants. Mexico remained the top origin of illegal migrants with a reported 608,037 encounters last year, accounting for only 37% of those crossing over. “The remaining 1,051,169 encounters, 63%, involved people from countries other than Mexico – by far the highest total for non-Mexican nationals in CBP records dating back to 2000,” the Pew Institute acknowledged

“Most of the encounters with non-Mexicans in fiscal 2021 involved people from the Northern Triangle countries of Honduras, Guatemala and El Salvador. There were 308,931 encounters with people from Honduras last fiscal year (representing 19% of all encounters), 279,033 with people from Guatemala (17%) and 95,930 with people from El Salvador (6%). The Northern Triangle region has been a major source of migration at the U.S-Mexico border in recent years.”

This doesn’t account for the illegal migrants Biden flew in on overnight flights in an attempt to shift regional voter sentiment blue.

Putin Announcing He May Nationalize All Foreign Corporation Assets who Left Russia


Armstrong Economics Blog/War Re-Posted Mar 10, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

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Putin has announced that he endorses a plan to nationalize foreign-owned businesses that flee the country over its invasion of Ukraine. This is signaling to the West that he can also play the same game. Putin’s approval of the plan is scheduled to be discussed in Russia’s parliament Friday. Now even Goldman Sachs said it was “winding down” its business in Russia, following hundreds of other Western firms that have closed or suspended operations. Since the West is confiscating private assets, all is fair in love and war as they say.

I have been in serious discussions with key people around the world. Many people are deeply concerned that this is all a political game – not military. This has the same fingerprints all over it as the COVID scam and the end objectives are the same. These sanctions are really intended to shut down fossil fuels and by driving the price higher, it is believed that the people will consume less and work virtually. There are money trails that are revealed in such documents as the Panama Papers.

The World Economic Forum Young Global Leaders program included Zelensky who graduated in 2000, as did Trudeau.  In July 2019, Zelensky credited the Canadian Prime Minister with “inspiring him to get into politics.”  The funding for Zelensky’s TV series was put up by an oligarch friend linked to George Soros. Zelensky will not compromise as Trudeau acted against the tuckers. Meanwhile, Zelensky keeps trying to drag NATO and the US which he knows fully well will unleash World War III. There is another agenda here from the start, something was just not right. I have friends in Kyiv and just as in Canada, NOT all Ukrainians see Zelensky as a hero. Both China and Russia can also follow the money trail and it does not lead to the military.

The West has clearly begun WWIII in the financial markets which will inevitably spill over into outright warfare as was the case the last time governments acted this irrational. The Biden Administration, joined by some lunatic Republicans, is moving to carry out the next step in this Financial War which, like WWII, began in the Financial markets that led to outright war. For those who do not know the real history behind the Great Depression because of the fake news even back then, Germany could not meet the reparation payments that were demanded by France. There was a proposal that Germany and Austria should combine in order to be able to make the reparation payments. Everyone agreed except France. The French’s hatred of the Germans began WWII by shorting the Austrian bonds, then turned on Germany, and when Britain tried to defend Germany, the French turned on the Brits. In 1931, everyone defaulted because of the financial war, and that drove the dollar to record highs. President Hoover remarked how crazy the financial markets became in 1931.

Because these financial sanctions being imposed on Russia are dangerously similar and now have torn the world economy apart, once imposed they will never be lifted. Putin knows that the companies that have left will NEVER return and confiscating all their assets is now fair game since the West is confiscating private citizens’ assets. The financial crisis that erupted in 1931, was followed by 1933 which was a political Panic Cycle Year on our model. That is the year when FDR came to power in the USA, Hiter in Germany, and Mao Zedong in China. The elections were in general from Novemb er 1932 into 1933. From this year on our model has been a Political Panic Cycle and 2023 is a War Cycle target, this is NOT going to end nicely. It certainly looks that we will have at best one year before a similar crisis in 2023.

There is no backing out of this mess now. The objective is to create World War III and then expect to be able to stop short of nuclear, but weaken all the governments so that the United Nations will emerge as the great peacemaker and one-world government. I personally think their objectives are totally insane. The computer does not show that it will be successful. But they are ending the dominance of Western culture. The financial capital of the world has ALWAYS migrated. It is just going to be China’s time to come up to bat.

Just to Let you Know Shortages of CASH Developing & Silver


Armstrong Economics Blog/Opinion Re-Posted Mar 10, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

I went to the bank for other reasons, and since I was there, I asked for 10k in cash. They said I had to order it. I asked what they could give me, and they replied that there was a limit of 2k. I said I just wanted the cash in case of power grid failures, cyberattacks, and war. The bank teller said that is why everyone is asking for cash these days.

Then speaking to bullion dealers, they said people are coming in to sell their silver bullion coins from Russia. They said people are panicking and do not want to have silver bullion. Quite astonishing, if I do say.

I then ran and bought a spare laptop just in case for as this all continues, chips will vanish, and computers will end up like cars — selling for over list when you can even get them.

The Hatred & Stupidity of Politicians


Armstrong Economics Blog/War Re-Posted Mar 10, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Britain and Europe are flirting now with the same actions the US took during World War II – they are coming dangerously close to now creating internment camps for Russians based solely upon their nationality. Britain froze billions of Russian oligarchs’ assets and issued travel bans effectively coming close to creating imprisonment. The Chelsea Russian owner, Roman Abramovich, Oleg Deripaska, and five other Russian “oligarchs” which are now defined as anyone with money, who are worth £15 billion, have been banned from entering the country by the UK for having “blood on their hands.”

The British government has announced sanctions against Chelsea owner Roman Abramovich and six other oligarchs and Secretary of State Liz Truss said the “blood of the Ukrainian people” is on the hands of those associated with Putin.

The stupidity of politicians like Truss is just off the charts. They live in a fantasy world where they think this is a one-sided game and they are demigods of unlimited power. Russia can simply;y seize all Russian assets held by foreigners. These morons are clueless as to the COMPLEXITY that exists in the world economy. When Russia fell into the hands of the Communists, that ended trade with the West. Russia became isolated but its own choice and thus there was a wave of shortages and economic crisis that swept through Europe. Europeans were forced to turn to America for food and the cost of importing food from great distances led to civil unrest, rising tempers, and that all combined into World War II.

This is the worst possible crop of world leaders I think in human history. Even in Japan, they have suddenly banned ponytails on girls because they excite some men sexually. I suppose they never looked at people having all sorts of different fetishes. They say a foot fetish is very common. So perhaps all feet must be covered and then what is next – burkas because just the sight of a girl may excite a boy?

Welcome to the world of Political Insanity. There seems to be no end in sight. It is politicians who have the blood of billions who have died in the name of their wars over the last 6,000 years. In Hitler’s speech declaring war on the United States he motivated the crowd saying:

“In September 1939 I assured you that neither force nor arms nor time would overcome Germany. I will assure my enemies that neither force of arms nor time nor any internal doubts, can make us waver in the performance of our duty.”

It is always the politicians who spill the blood of society. This is by no means a one-sided event. There is blame that history will attribute to all sides.

Facebook and Instagram Say It Is Okay To Support Nazism in Ukraine, and They Modify Terms Allowing Advocacy for Death to Russians


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 10, 2022 | Sundance 

There are very few things in this world that can leave me almost speechless.  This is one of them.

Dropping all pretense of their hidden ideology, Reuters is reporting exclusively that Facebook and Instagram have modified their terms and conditions to permit advocacy and support for the Nazi party in Ukraine (Azov Regiment), and they have modified their violence terms to allow platform users to advocate for death to Russians.

I don’t quite know where to begin.  However, this report from Reuters does actually make sense based on some pictures that were floating around a few days ago.  The pictures show U.S. military “advisors” training Ukrainian neo-Nazi’s in the Azov regiment how to use FGM-148 javelin missiles.

It would be odd if Big Tech were generically against all Nazi’s, while U.S. military advisors are in Ukraine training specific Azov Regiment Nazi’s to fight Russians.   The Javelin missile system, pictured above, is what Ukraine is using to defeat Russian tanks and armored vehicles.  The U.S. is sending the Ukraine military thousands of them.  Apparently arming and training Nazis is okay right now.

The Reuter’s article notes: “Emails also showed that Meta would allow praise of the right-wing Azov battalion, which is normally prohibited, in a change first reported by The Intercept.  Meta spokesman Joe Osborne previously said the company was “for the time being, making a narrow exception for praise of the Azov Regiment strictly in the context of defending Ukraine, or in their role as part of the Ukraine National Guard.” (link)

March 10 (Reuters) – Meta Platforms (FB.O) will allow Facebook and Instagram users in some countries to call for violence against Russians and Russian soldiers in the context of the Ukraine invasion, according to internal emails seen by Reuters on Thursday, in a temporary change to its hate speech policy.

The social media company is also temporarily allowing some posts that call for death to Russian President Vladimir Putin or Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko in countries including Russia, Ukraine and Poland, according to internal emails to its content moderators.

“As a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine we have temporarily made allowances for forms of political expression that would normally violate our rules like violent speech such as ‘death to the Russian invaders.’ We still won’t allow credible calls for violence against Russian civilians,” a Meta spokesperson said in a statement.

The calls for the leaders’ deaths will be allowed unless they contain other targets or have two indicators of credibility, such as the location or method, one email said, in a recent change to the company’s rules on violence and incitement.

The temporary policy changes on calls for violence to Russian soldiers apply to Armenia, Azerbaijan, Estonia, Georgia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Russia, Slovakia, and Ukraine, according to one email.

[…] “We are issuing a spirit-of-the-policy allowance to allow T1 violent speech that would otherwise be removed under the Hate Speech policy when: (a) targeting Russian soldiers, EXCEPT prisoners of war, or (b) targeting Russians where it’s clear that the context is the Russian invasion of Ukraine (e.g., content mentions the invasion, self-defense, etc.),” it said in the email. (read more)

For almost fifteen years we have been outlining the connection of the Obama and EU ideologues to Nazism.  This is something that everyone associated with the Democrat Party have denied repeatedly.   Now, all of a sudden, Facebook and Instagram, the support system in Big Tech for the ideology of Democrats, is openly admitting a change in position allowing public support for Nazism on their platforms.

This is a remarkable moment.

Kamala Harris Assembles Words and Laughs in Poland, International Media Cringe While U.S. Media Pretend Not to Notice


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 10, 2022 | Sundance 

Oh dear, the White House sent Kamala Harris to mend fences with Poland after five days of state department diplomatic bumbling over fighter jets for Ukraine.   Yes, the result is exactly what you might expect as highlighted in a few segments shared below:

In the first segment, Kamala Harris delivers her prepared remarks, meaning she actually planned and prepped to deliver this {Direct Rumble Link}.  No one is quite sure what she just said, but everyone nodded in appreciation of the word assembly.  WATCH:

“I am here, standing here on the northern flank — on the eastern flank talking about what we have in terms of the eastern flank and our NATO Allies and what is at stake at this very moment.  What is at stake this very moment are some of the guiding principles around the NATO Alliance and, in particular, the issue and the importance of defending sovereignty and territorial integrity, in this case, of Ukraine.

Oh, but wait, it gets worse.  In the segment below, Harris was asked a question by the assembled press pool about the plight of refugees from Ukraine.  Mrs. Harris answers the question with a very cringeworthy and inappropriate round of laughter.

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When Harris did eventually come around to addressing question…. well, what happened, was almost as bad as the laughter.  WATCH:

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During Presser Poland President Andrzej Duda Politely Scolds Secretary Blinken for Making Up “Green Light” Fighter Jet Story


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 10, 2022

Polish President Andrzej Duda used the opportunity of a joint press availability with Kamala Harris to correct the record and diplomatically push back against Secretary of State Anthony Blinken for making up the “green light” story {Background Here}.

During the Q&A, Harris was asked about what alternatives there were for the Polish fighter jets that have now been taken off the table in the material support discussions for Ukraine.  When it came time for his reply, President Duda stated:

Duda: “Let me say something more.  We accept that [Ukraine] have the right to demand this assistance from the international community.  They can demand this support from NATO.  We are providing them humanitarian assistance and material assistance the best we can.  We are trying to do our best. 
 
Some expectations were addressed in a very strong and unequivocal way, also towards us — towards Poland.  However, we are members of the North Atlantic Alliance.  And as far as security-related issues are concerned, we have to look at these not only through our own lens — through the prism of the security of Poland — but we also have to adopt the perspective of the security of NATO as a whole. 
 
So, in a nutshell, we have to be a responsible member of the North Atlantic Alliance.  That is why there were requests addressed to us.  Those requests were addressed to us by the Ukrainian side and also, to a certain extent, by the media

Notice those last three words, “by the media.”  The calls from media were an outcome of U.S. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken saying Poland has a “green light” to send fighter jets to Ukraine – without ever discussing the issue with Ukraine in advance.  Poland was blindsided.

We behaved in such a way as a reliable member of NATO should behave — a member of NATO who does not want to expose NATO to any difficult situation.  On the other hand, we, as members of NATO, also wanted and want to look for ways of support for the fight in Ukraine.  And that is why we formulated statements, together with the Polish government — so myself as president, together with the Polish government. 
 
And this statement or this declaration was announced by the Polish Minister of Foreign Affairs.  It talked about the Polish possibilities — military possibilities of assisting Ukraine.  Simply, we decided to put those jets at the disposal of NATO, not expecting anything in return, because we stressed very clearly that, as a gap filler for the donated equipment, we were able to buy something that we would need as a replacement.  And we, ourselves, we’re ready to provide our equipment free of charge. 
 
But we wanted NATO as a whole to make a common decision so that Poland remains a credible member of NATO, not a country who decides on its own on important issues which impact the security of NATO as a whole — which would impact the security of all members of NATO — also our neighbors who are part of NATO — members of NATO. 
 
Thank you.

(Transcript Link)

Secretary Blinken put Poland in a terrible place with their statement implying, directly and intentionally implying, that Poland was sending MiG-29 fighter jets to Ukraine.   Poland had no intent of doing that, and the conversation had never taken place.

On Sunday, Secretary Blinken was trying to create a NATO conflict with Russia by using Poland.  President Duda puts Blinken in his place by saying, “a reliable member of NATO” would never “behave” in such a manner as to put NATO into such a “difficult position.”

It’s a remarkable situation that unfolded.  Again, the media is ignoring it.

(Full Transcript)

The Ministry of Public Information Announces Internet Search Modifications to Protect Citizens Against Wrong Thoughts


Posted originally on the conservative tree house on March 10, 2022 | Sundance

In the olden days this would be akin to picking up a redacted Yellow Pages phone directory.

Comrades, the Ministry of Public Information, DuckDuckGo Division, is making modifications to the internet search engine results in order to protect us from dis-information, mis-information and mal-information.  Wrongthinking perspectives will no longer be acceptable.

(Source)

The Ministry of Peace appreciates you not questioning our collective responsibility for war.