Milton Friedman: The Rise of Socialism is Absurd


Published on May 15, 2017

Milton Friedman, recipient of the 1976 Nobel Prize for Economic Science, was one of the most recognizable and influential proponents of liberty and markets in the 20th century, and the leader of the Chicago School of economics. In this video from the grand opening of the Cato Institutes’s headquarters in Washington, D.C. in 1993, Milton Friedman gives a talk about popular political aphorisms, one of his favorites being the one he helped popularize in the title of his 1975 book, “There’s no such thing as a free lunch.” Complete Video quoted under fair use: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=77fdR… This channel aims at extracting central points of presentations into short clips. The topics cover the problems of leftist ideology and the consequences for society. The aim is to move free speech advocates forward and fight against the culture of SJWs. If you like the content, subscribe to the channel

Right Angle – CALEXIT: Promises, Promises….


Published on Jul 24, 2017

Artists create a comic book in which California enters a war for its independence against an ever-oppressing federal government. The left thinks Bill, Steve, and Scott would respond by calling the artists snowflakes. But Bill sums it up: “Welcome to the Club.” If the left had not given so much power to the federal government, there would be no reason to fight a revolution against it. Bill Whittle, Steve Green, and Scott Ott talk CALEXIT

The Origin of Contagions lies in the Common Reserve Currency


The question of money supply and inflation has been erroneously been set in stone predominantly by the debasement of Spain and Britain during the period of Henry VIII. This was really a period where there were various countries and their currency completely relied on the exchange market in Amsterdam, which was based entirely upon their metal content. This period was far less judgmental insofar as we have today where currencies rise and fall purely on anticipation of political events. During the middle ages, this influence of anticipating future value based upon possible political decisions was not readily dominant and the coins of one nation were compared entirely on their metal content.

For example, because of the French at war with Britain, they created a wave of inflation that spread like a contagion to other nations, namely Spain and Italy, because money was commodity based using gold and silver. In this way, there was really a single currency base among nations and the problems of one would be exported to all others by their debasement.

 

We can see that wages more than doubled even in Spain as inflation became a contagion. To cover the cost of war, France began debasing their gold and silver coinage. There was clearly economic pressure for in 1305, the French Crown issued a restored monetary system. The gros now appears at 12d fine and the denier are also returned to a sound MONEY standard. These were now worth 300% greater than the debased coinage in circulation. The gros was now worth 10.5 deniers for with the end of the war, precious metals fell in value for a marc of silver collapsed back to 56s 8dt. Despite the end of the war, gold demand remained strong in all countries. By 1311, the coinage once again was debased as precious metals rose in value. A new gold coin was issued known as the angel d’or that was valued at 20 st. The silver to gold ration now jumped to 15:1. Silver begins to disappear being hoarded and gold becomes more commonly struck in France and England. Yet the volatility seems to have been incredible for the times. Gold prices crashed in value and the agnel d’or dropped from 20st to 15st. Silver collapsed falling 25% in value at this time, yet the silver to gold ratio remained at 15:1.

Silver began a three-year rally reaching a ratio of 12:1 in 1316. This rally coincided with the death of Philip IV, but his successor, Louis X (1314-1316), appears to have struck no silver gros whatsoever. The only coins struck in his name are the gold angel. The coinage reflects a surge in inflation as reflected in wages going into 1329. We see bullion prices rising again starting in 1322 whereby in October that year, there appears to be a significant debasement whereby the fineness collapses to about 47%. The debasement continued in 1323 and again into 1326.

The Capetian dynasty dies with the three sons of Philip IV, none of whom had produced a male heir and thereby the line passed to the Valois Dynasty. We come now to a Monetary Reform of 1330, with a major effort to restore sound MONEY once again. They did learn that one could not simply return the MONEY supply to a sound footing overnight. They tried to phase it in more gradually, for it has the tendency to lead to the new MONEY merely being hoarded. Nevertheless, this monetary reform under the new Valois Dynasty was short-lived, for, in 1337, there was the start of the Hundred Years War with England and the invasion of Edward III (1327-1377).

Their accounting books of Peruzzi Company, one the main Florence bankers, covering the period of 1335 to 1343 have survived to provide us with the detailed footnotes to the history of this period. For by 1330, the Peruzzi Company was the second largest banking house in Europe, just behind the Bardi, with 15 branches covering the Middle East all the way up to London. They were not just a super-rich merchant-banking firm they were one of the earliest truly international companies to emerge. Their capitalization stood at 100,000 gold florin in 1330 and they had a staff of about 100 people. The Peruzzi had made a fortune on taking English wool and turning it into fine cloth in Bruges, and selling luxury products to Avignon, London, Paris, and Naples to mention a few. They also dealt in spices, silk, drugs, and other luxury items from the East. They emerged as a great wholesaler supplying credit to the lesser merchants and creating a vast sales network. They became dealers in large quantities of commodities that even included grain from Italy. Yet with the defaults of Edward III, the Peruzzi collapsed in 1343 and were driven into bankruptcy by 1345.

Because of the French/English war, the French drove the price of silver up dramatically. In Florence, they utilized a two-tier monetary system with silver used as the domestic coinage for wages and gold for international transaction much as Bretton Woods after Roosevelt’s confiscation of gold in 1934 domestically. Because of the French debasement, the price of silver rose and this disrupted the economy in Florence. Companies could no longer pay wages in silver and businesses failed. As unemployment rose, the people, not understanding the real cause, stormed the palaces of the banks and burned them to the ground. The bankers were blamed for the action of kings.

Therefore, the precious metal monetary system was by NO MEANS a good stable system where money was tangible. It also allowed for contagions that people did not understand. If we are going to create a new monetary system, the “reserve” currency cannot be one of any single nation. It must be a basket at best for this is the ONLY way to prevent contagions. Currently, with the dollar as the reserve currency, because we still use Demand Economics, then the raising or lowering of interest rates sets in motions contagions that will either export inflation or deflation to other countries. We need to understand how contagions take place and their origin.

Russian Summit Lining Up with ECM


QUESTION:

Hello Martin,

Hope this finds you well.

Long time follower of your site. Though I don’t always agree with your conclusions, I value your site as a great source of ideas that challenge my conceptions of how things work. Keep up the good work.

Having just read the story on the front page of the NY times about the upcoming Trump-Putin summit, I was curious as to wether you think there is any connection between the just confirmed summit on July 16 and the July 12th ECM turning point.

I know that a few of the previous turning points coincided with key events in Russia’s intervention in the Syrian Civil war. I remember you stating on your blog at the time that the alignment of key events in that conflict with the ECM suggested an important connection. Given events on the ground in Syria currently pointing to a conclusion in that conflict (with Russia, Iran and Syrian as the victors and the USA, KSA and Israel as losers), I wonder if you would care to speculate what July 12 ECM might bring with regards to that conflict.

Best regards,

JM

REPLY: This turning point is not the big one insofar as politics is concerned. However, events seem to gravitate around these points in time. This is war is building, but it is not really between Trump and Putin personally. The bureaucracy in the USA seems to want war. Perhaps as a diversion for economic problems with social programs. But the greater risk is a religious war between Iran and Saudi Arabia and we are seeing a rise in Shiites in Iraq. Taking Saddam Hussein out was really stupid. Both he and Qaddafi helped to keep the religious factions in check. With both gone, this is building into a religious confrontation. You even have the leadership in Turkey that is desperate to reestablish the Ottoman Empire also as a diversion for economic chaos at home.

What is interesting is that the quarterly arrays are lining up with the ECM for the first quarter turning point. It definitely looks very interesting for the remainder of this ECM wave.

Victor Davis Hanson 2018 – The New Dark Age Mind


Published on May 28, 2018

Victor Davis Hanson 2018 – The New Dark Age Mind

The Future of the Democrats – A New Age of Socialism to Exploit Everyone Else?


QUESTION: It seems that the Democratic Party is turning really socialist. The DNC Chair Tom Perez said the Socialist Ocasio-Cortez is the “future of our party” and it seems they just ignore the socialist path in places like France which you pointed out their stock market peaked back in 2000 and has not participated in the bull market like just about every other country. They also ignore how socialism destroyed Venezuela. Is this the socialist fight and last stand?

UT

ANSWER: I have said before that we are in the throes of the collapse of socialism. All the socialistic programs are collapsing. That said, the socialists will make a major attempt to force their will upon the majority. They see the economy as a zero-sum game. They do not believe that someone can get rich without exploiting the worker following Marx. They do not believe in human individuality, talent, or economic advancement. Anyone who comes up with a new invention that furthers the economy and creates jobs like the automobile is really exploiting the working class. It is a logic that is just so fundamentally anti-humanity and remains just astonishing. What about a sports player? The salaries they earn also exploit the poor?

The Democratic Party had effectively a knee-jerk reaction to the Great Depression. The soared for that first election and have been in a bear market ever since. Yes, you are correct. France is the MOST socialistic country in Europe. Macrone is trying to break the unions, but it is not easy. The cab drivers encircled Paris and blocked traffic until Uber was declared illegal. Nobody looks at the consumer and how Uber would lower the costs of transportation for the average person rather than cab drivers who are exploiting the people under the socialist flag. Since Uber, restaurants are doing better because people can drink without worry and just call Uber instead of driving.

The truth is that socialism exploits the average person. It robs them of their individuality, freedom, and ability to ever rise up the economic ladder. So while the Democrats are celebrating the 28-year old Ocasio-Cortez as the future of their party, they ignore that the Constitution was supposed to guarantee Equal Protection of the law, with no exception that you make too much money. Even the Ten Commandments prohibits lusting after another’s property. It does not matter that what they preach is anti-human, converts everyone to an economic slave of indentured servitude. How? If you are born American and live in another country, then you still must pay taxes they call your fair share. However, exactly how is this a fair share when you use no such services? Their version of “fair share” is simply you owe taxes as an economic slave for whatever you produce anywhere in the world entitles them to their “fair share” of your productive capacity.

In all honesty, I see no logic in what they preach. It is exploiting other people because they are indistinguishable from a thief who enters your home in the dark of night. They justify what they do in saying you have too much and you should share it also with them.

Well happy 4th of July. Perhaps just maybe one day we will really win our independence and be free of exploitation by socialists who cannot sleep at night dreaming of how they will spend your money. The Democrats want to raise taxes to 70% and reverse everything that Trump has done on taxes. If they did that, I just quit. There is no point in working anymore for them. It is time for Atlas to shru

Diversity in Europe is the Key to Understanding the Eurozone Crisis


COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; I find your analysis refreshing here in Europe. Sometimes we cannot always look in the mirror objectively. You are correct that perhaps the greatest fault in trying to create the euro has been this idea of forcing one culture upon everyone in Europe. The feelings about the EU are very different in the south compared to the north.

Thank you for being unbiased. It does help to see things through different eyes.

PD

REPLY: Perspective is everything. When I speak to people in government in Italy, they see the EU as oppressive and believe their country is now occupied with the will of Brussels being imposed against their own culture. I have lived in Europe and I have probably spent 1/3rd of my life there. What I LOVED about Europe was indeed the diverse culture. Language has been the greatest stumbling block. Even myself, very short trips running around between countries puts a different strain on you. In just 10 days, I was in Germany, then flew to Zurich, then down to Milan, over the Paris, off to London, and then back to Frankfurt. While I was checking into a hole in Paris, there was a Japanese couple trying to check in and the hotel had nobody to speak Japanese. I then stepped in trying to help. After a few days, you try to speak and a missmash comes out of several languages combined and you are so tired, it gets hard to keep flipping between the languages. I LOVE Europe for that, but not on a business trip of rushing around in the middle of madness. Even getting cash from an ATM varied depending on the country you were in. In Switzerland, 1,000 CHF was no problem. In Paris, €200 euros was max.

There is absolutely no open question that the European Union remains a very diverse Union. There are significant differences in the concerns of the people in the EU as a whole. I have explained that Southern Europe got the worse deal. They converted their debts to Euro and then the Euro rose from 80 cents to $1.60 doubling their national debts and the austerity policy forced economic recession upon their economies. In southern European countries, the YouGov polls showed that unemployment was seen as the major issue, but this was less so elsewhere in northern Europe where the number one issue was terrorism.

The terrorism was viewed as a major issue in Britain, France and Germany, where the terrorist acts have been primarily targeted. The number one concern was health and social security when you turned to Poland and it was a top concern also in northern European countries. Lithuania was the only place where inflation was the most important current issue. Sweden was the only country where crime came in the top three, but this was related to the immigration issue which is beginning to create a new Separatist movement there as well.

While the whole thing with global warming seems to be mostly confined to northern Europe rather than southern. Nevertheless, the refugee crisis, of immigration crisis as well as rising terrorism as a result, are clearly the two top issues across the EU as a whole. The YouGov poll is indeed showing the diversity among the cultures within the Eurozone. This idea that one central government can dictate policies to be imposed on the whole is a failed model that has brought about the communist revolutions. Even in the USA, there are 12 branches of the Federal Reserve BECAUSE after the Panic of 1907, it was realized that there was a great diversity economically throughout the United States. We have called it the Texas-New York Arbitrage for when commodities boom, New York suffers. That diversity was suppressed by Roosevelt to impose one central policy on the nation to fight World War II. It was never returned to normal and this once again is fueling regional discontent despite the single language. ONE-SIZE does not fit all and Europe copies the Roosevelt model rather than understand the history behind the economy. It was the diversity that made America work. The same is true in Europe. You cannot force cultural change to this ONE-SIZE fits all policy. It will fuel the separatists as it is doing in the United States to a lessor degree driven more by left v right politics

Soros Sneaking Around to Meet with the President of Spain off the Official Agenda


Sources in Spain have confirmed that the new president, Pedro Sánchez, met with George Soros secretly last Wednesday afternoon in Moncloa. They met around 7 PM for about 1.5 hours. What is strange is that Soros had two other unidentified people with him and the meeting was NOT on the public schedule. Soros has been pushing his Open Society and people do not criticize him because he has too much money. They just smile and say, “You are right.” Then they hold out their hands.

As they say, if you want honesty, fairness, and a straight up deal where you get what you pay for without pretense, go to a brothel. If you want to really get screwed, go to politics where there is plenty of corruption, lies, back stabbing, and backroom deals off the books