$2.4 Billion Daily – Servicing the US National Debt


Posted orriginally on Aug 1, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

FedGovtDebtInterestPayments

Serving debt is the largest cost of Washington’s debt crisis; America currently spends $2.4 billion in daily interest fees alone. The debt and spending simply cannot keep up with what America is bringing in. The federal govt spent $658 billion on interest fees in 2023, a 38% jump from the $476 billion in servicing debt in 2022. That’s 2.4% of the entire national GDP spent on interest expenditures alone.

The Congressional Budget Office believes the US defense expenditures will reach $870 billion this year to put into perspective how wasteful these interest payments have become. The CBO also believes interest costs will spike to $892 billion by year-end, rising to $12.9 trillion by 2034. The previous high came in during 1996 at $468 billion.

Interest is projected this year to be the second-largest federal program — it means your tax dollars are going to interest instead of going to everything else,” said Marc Goldwein, senior policy director at the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, a bipartisan think tank. So these offices believe the US will accumulate, because they won’t try to pay it off, a 20.3% in federal revenue costs for this debt by 2025.

The Peter G. Peterson Foundation broke the projected cost post 2032 to be $38,600 per American citizen. Not only is the US unable to pay this debt but those in government continue to spend TRILLIONS of dollars on programs that have not benefitted the people. This is one of the reasons that the US government is looking at a complete overhaul by the time we reach 2032 for it can not leave it for the next generation without consequences.

The Confusion over Quantitative Easing


Posted originally on Aug 1, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

QE MMT

There has been so much disinformation and sensationalizing of Quantitative Easing that this has led to academic economists who lack any trading experience to propose Modern Monetary Theory for its seems nobody actually comprehends what the hell is really going on. Much of the problem stems from this ancient theory that if you increase the quantity of money, then inflation will follow. This all predates massive government debt.

Henry VIII Debased Groats

Much of this Quantity Theory of Money has its origins in Sir Thomas Gresham (1518-1579), who represented the English Crown on the Amsterdam exchange. People would not lend money to England because Henry VIII was debasing the currency to be able to repay his loans. He confiscated the Catholic Church and started the Church of England all because he was broke and confiscated wealth from the Catholic Church in England. Gresham became an adviser to Henry VIII’s successor – Elizabeth I. Thus, Gresham’s Law became bad money drives out good money, or the undebased currency.

Debt Hole Cannor Climb Out

These theories, which even gave rise to Austrian Economics, were all pre-collateralized debt of governments. There was no such market for posting sovereign debt as collateral to borrow or trade in markets. The economic models all changed, but academics have never understood traders. Lacking that experience, you will never see the actual trends.

Gresham and Law

Where Gresham observes from trading that debasing the money caused higher quality money to be hoarded when the foreign exchange value between currencies was ENTIRELY based upon the metal content, John Law (1671-1729) was also a trader on the same floor of the Amsterdam Bourse. He observed what has become the theory of Supply and Demand. It took two traders to witness how the market moved to develop these ideas. Both men were self-taught since the field of Economics did not begin until 1902. Not even John Maynard Keynes nor Adam Smith held decrees in economics.

Ricardo David C

The other self-taught economist who was also a trader was none other than David Ricardo. At the tender age of just fourteen, David entered his father’s business, but in 1793, he set up his own operation and made a fortune as a trader on the London Stock Exchange. Ricardo’s most important work was Principles of Political Economy and Taxation (1817). This book deals with all the controversial questions of political economy at the time: value theory, economic growth, rent, etc.

His other works include The High Price of Bullion (1810), which was the origin of understanding deflation; David’s Essay on the Influence of a Low Price of Corn on the Profits of Stock (1815); Proposals for an Economical and Secure Currency (1816); and the Plan for a National Bank (1824).

David Ricardo First Edition

Ricardo is most famous for his ‘Theory of Comparative Advantage’ and ‘Rent’, which effectively argued that, for example, Saudi Arabia could grow lettuce in a desert with tones of water that might cost $10 to grow when it can buy it for 50 cents elsewhere. Thus, a nation should exploit what it possesses with a Comparative Advantage rather than squander its resources and restrict free trade.

confused

Quantitative Easing (QE) does not increase the Supply of Money—it is only a maturity swap. Today’s total money supply includes debt, unlike during the pre-19th century. This has erroneously given rise to Modern Monetary Theory, for they pointed to QE and said there was no inflation, so we could just print without repercussions. It was merely a swap of maturities when you finally realize that debt is now money that pays interest as paper money began during the Civil War.

186410CompoundInt 2

When paper money stopped paying interest, the term “Greenback” emerged, meaning there was no interest payment schedule on the reverse, just green ink. Paper money began as essentially debt or bonds that circulated as cash.

If your Definition of Money is Wrong – So is Everything Else that Follows

A Reminder About Information and Research


Posted originally on the CTH on July 28, 2024 | Sundance

After writing the recent article outlining the modern history of the FBI [SEE HERE] a lot of messages and emails flood in.  Here’s a quick reminder for those who use CTH as a reference resource and research library for information.

CTH was founded because everyone seemed more comfortable pretending about the journey than admitting our predictable destination.  From the outset, and with a long view of the challenges we would face, I have repeatedly stated that everything on this website would be free for the taking.

The truth has no agenda, it just sits there -out there somewhere- waiting to be discovered. Our feelings about it are irrelevant to its existence. The core of our assembly is to look deeply at uncomfortable things, then accept them as they are and not as we would wish/pretend them to be.  We are now in the middle of a fully Orwellian information control operation.  A DHS reconfiguration of the U.S. information communication network as we know it.

As a direct result, the voices who put accurate context to our national challenge are targets.  Information is now being categorized according to definitions by people who do not have good intents.  The blocking, censorship and categorization of information is intended to stop any/all information averse to the interests of a few powerful institutions.

Now, perhaps people see why the CTH ‘free information’ cornerstone was set. The truth has no agenda!

Everything you read and review upon these pages is free for the taking.

Anyone, for any reason, can take any content I produce and use it to advance the honest effort of providing raw unfiltered truth to their audience.  Everything is available for use free, without any attribution or citation if necessary. 

All that I provide is free and can be modified, changed, enhanced in part or whole to meet your needs. Images, writing, research, analysis, all of it is provided, along with no expectation of citation or attribution dependent on your motives and intents.

Make the words your own; use them in part or modify to make a more intelligent or comprehensive outline. All the accompanying graphics are available to use as would suit your interests.

Importantly, all the research is cited and verifiable.  This includes all the pdf files, government documents, FOIA outcomes and uploads to the SCRIBD account.   Take anything you want; thanks, sincerely, but no need to ask permission.  [Ex. FBI ARTICLE]

We are not going to save this republic by demanding or restricting information via self-important perspectives on citation or attribution. I simply do not care about such issues. Make it your own in whatever manner or format fits your interests.

We maintain the voluminous reference library as a documented resource for everyone.  Please accept this thankful reminder with the expressed intent.

If you are brave enough to stand in front of the furnace, you have my full and unwavering support and appreciation.  You are simply considered my brother or sister.  It’s ok, just take it. Anything provided here at CTH is yours to take, whole or in part and make it your own.

This is how we ensure our small contribution to a much larger awakening.

Effective solutions require brutally accurate understanding.

…”There is no such thing as “disinformation” or “misinformation”.  There is only information you accept and information you do not accept.  You were not born with a requirement to believe everything you are told; rather, you were born with a brain that allows you to process the information you receive and make independent decisions.”… 

I will always work earnestly to be deserving of your fellowship. As new visitors attest every day, the fellowship in this commenting community is unique, insightful, articulate, intelligent, funny and awesome.  I love you guys.

With humble appreciation and the warmest of regards, Sundance

Remember, we are inside every facility, every institution, every meeting, every moment of their existence – and we notice everything. We are there when they do not expect, and we melt away before they notice our appearance. We see what they hide, we hear what they whisper, we decipher their codes, and we understand the complexity they create in their effort to conceal. We go to the places we know they will travel.  We have allies and resources inside the core of their machinery. We understand what and why everything is being constructed, and we share all the information we discover.  The truth isn’t mean, it’s just The Truth.   

It’s a Recession Not a Depression


Posted originally on Jul 26, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Recession Global

The government insists that the economy is fine, thriving perhaps, and has asked the public to pay no mind to their current financial situation. No one, aside from those living off government assistance, are better off now than they were four years ago. Americans cannot be gas lit into believing the economy is sound when every social-economic group is suffering.

Americans have already lost confidence in the economy and, therefore, in the government.

A recent poll by Affirm found that 3 in 5 Americans believe the US is in a recession, and most believe that recession began in March 2023. Another poll from Guardian/Harris found that 56% of Americans feel that the recession has already arrived. Seven in 10 Americans have reported that they are unable to save for the future. About 68% of respondents from the Affirm poll believe inflation has caused the recession, but few realize what causes inflation.

Credit card debt has reached an all-time high, with 8.9% of balances falling into delinquency as of May 2024. Bankruptcies are on the rise both personal and corporate. A CNN poll discovered that 39% of Americans worry that they may no longer be able to pay their bills. The poll saw similar sentiments during the Great Recession when 37% of Americans feared the next round of bills. Moody’s Analytics believes that household spending has risen $925 per month compared to three years due to inflation. Sixty-five percent of respondents said that the cost of living crisis is the most significant issue our nation faces. Politicians would be wise to focus on domestic issues as the people are on the brink.

Americans are spending more on less as economic conditions have begun to impact the average person’s quality of life. CNN also reported that 35% of adults are taking on second jobs to combat the price of living. Sixty-nine percent are spending less on entertainment, a correlation we have seen with corporate bankruptcies primarily rising in non-essential sectors. Another 41% say they cut down on driving to save on energy costs. Sixty-eight percent of American families have had to cut back on grocery spending, despite US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen denying food inflation entirely.

Bidenomics failed. We are in a recession but not a depression. People hoard when they fear for the future, and that is happening not only as a result of economic conditions but geopolitical tensions and war will cause people to spend less. Then, to fund these wars and other spending packages, the government raises taxes, which is always recessionary. The computer had long warned that the American economy would turn down in May 2024 and not resurface until 2028.

June Home Sales Drop in Line with ECM


Posted Jul 25, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

RealEstate

I noted that real estate in the United States would turn into a buyer’s market in May 2024 going into August 2028 in a reversal from the buyer’s market we’ve experienced since 2020. The 2007 high on the Shiller Index was the precise day of the Economic Confidence Model. So far, all the indicators have confirmed that we should have a recessionary trend into 2028 with this turn in the model on this wave.

The National Association of Realtors finally agreed that we are now amid a buyer’s market after June posted the lowest number of sales for 2024 despite a notable rise in inventory. Home sales fell 5.4% in June from May, when the market flipped, to 3.89 million units. This figure is also 5.4% lower than home sales in June 2023.

Gone are the days where buyers would forego inspections and entering bidding wars where the listing price was by no means the final sale price. Inventory from June 2023 to June 2024 has risen 23.4% to 1.32 million available units. Inventory is still a challenge, as are housing prices. The median home cost $426,900 last month, marking a new record-high as well as a 4.1% annual increase.

US_Residential_Real_Estate_Index_Analysis 12 13 23

Homes on the lower end of the spectrum have been keeping averages down. Single-family units between $200K and $350K rose 50% in the past year, according to Realtor.com. There are more homes available now than there have been since May 2020, when sellers reigned supreme. Mortgage rates are far higher than during the 2020 era, and Americans are seeing their available funds dwindling. It is harder for potential buyers to enter the market.

Smart money views mortgages as an alternative to unsecured government debt. Cash remains king with 28% of buyers who have the means opting to forego mortgages entirely, and often can decline high insurance premiums as well. We are also witnessing a mass migration from blue states into red states and should expect prices to decline where there is a dampened demand. It is difficult to view real estate from a national perspective in the United States as demand is up in red states as people continue to leave increasingly oppressive policies regarding taxation, crime, education, and business. If you were thinking of buying a new house right now, lock in the interest rate, for with war on the horizon, long-term rates will rise.

Tax Code Change for Emergency Retirement Withdrawals


Posted Jul 22, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

401K

Low-income Americans are in such dire straits due to the elevated cost of living that lawmakers are making changes to the tax code. No, naturally, the politicians are not voting to decrease taxes for those who can barely get by. Instead, they’re permitting Americans to pull a mere $1,000 out of their retirement accounts without penalty.

Those withdrawing emergency funds from a 401K will need to explain their hardship to their employer, but employers do not need to approve the withdrawal. The government will tax the $1,000 if it is not paid back within three years and no additional emergency withdrawals may be taken out until the money is paid back in full.

The economy is shifting into a world of haves and have-nots as the middle class diminishes. A January 2024 survey found that 60% of Americans had less than $500 in liquidity, with only 12% possessing over 12%. The debt vortex is unforgiving and all too many Americans have become trapped in a cycle of perpetually servicing new debt, similar to our Federal Reserve.

CreditCardDebt.Chart_

A Vanguard study found that 3.6% of the 5 million retirement accounts on record made an emergency withdrawal in 2023, moving upward from 2.8% the year prior. Bank of America and Fidelity reported similar findings last year on a quarterly basis. These people may be subjected to a 10% tax due to the early distribution because chances are they will be unlikely to pay back the funds. Credit card debt has reached a historic high in the US among every income level, so this last resort option has become unavoidable for many.

This program is an insult to the American people who contribute to our system with nothing in return. These same people who do not have a mere $1,000 for an emergency are paying into the giant Ponzi scheme that is Social Security with each paycheck. They must pay for Medicare and Medicare even if they will never use the services. They’re likely subject to an income tax depending on their state regardless of income level.  If accounting for a population of 335 million, the average American has paid about $522 in taxes toward Ukraine alone. The US is paying about $1,700 per month per illegal migrant welcomed in by the open border policy.

Then Uncle Sam comes around every April and gives the lowest paid Americans a tax refund check, failing to acknowledge that they preventing those Americans from earning interest on that money that they desperately needed. It is a grand lie that the socialist-leaning politicians care about the working man when their social programs and handouts guarantee tax increases on everyone. It is a shame that those attempting to do right by society and not leaning entirely on government assistance are punished by our tax code.

The ETHICS Act – End Insider Trading in Congress


Posted originally on Jul 12, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Lobbying.Votes_

Both Democrats and Republicans in the Senate can agree on one thing – Congress has been using classified information to illegally trade stocks. Our public servants have been bought out by lobbyists and they no longer work for the public. A bipartisan group is passing on a formal consideration to prevent members of Congress and members, their spouses and dependents, from buying and selling stocks under the ETHICS Act (Ending Trading and Holdings in Congressional Stocks).

Congress should not be here to make a buck,” Sen. Josh Hawley, R-Mo., said at a press conference Wednesday on Capitol Hill. “There is no reason why members of Congress ought to be profiting off of the information that only they get.” The Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee will hear the proposed legislation on July 24, but this topic and consistently been blocked. “Would you like to vote in favor of losing millions in illegal trades?” We should not be allowing the very people abusing their office to vote on this matter.

The Ethics Act would give legislators 90 days to sell their investments beginning in March 2027. The president and vice president would also need to divest covered investments. Those in violation would lose either their monthly salary or a mere 10% of the value of each covered asset.

Lobbying Good Bad 01

The severity of insider trading in Congress came to a head after March 2020 when the pandemic began. These insiders offloaded millions in stocks as they knew in advance what was to come. Over 72 lawmakers in the House and Senate received money from Big Pharma before the 2020 US Presidential Election. Over 50 invested heavily in the pharmaceutical sector before COVID became public, as reported by Open Secrets. Forty-eight lawmakers purchased Pfizer stock ahead of the vaccine rollout. Then these same lawmakers had the ability to vote on legislation that would directly benefit their investments.

Pfizer donated to 228 lawmakers on Capitol Hill ahead of the 2020 elections to the tune of $14 million. The company wrote out 1,048 individual checks to candidates and effectively manipulated the direction of the COVID pandemic as these lawmakers then voted on restrictions and mandates that benefitted Pfizer and other pharmaceutical companies. Republicans and Democrats are both guilty of abusing their powers.

RevolvingDoorLOBBYISTS

Sens. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) and Chris Coons (D-Del.) were some of the top recipients of donations from the pharmaceutical industry, both holding seats on the Senate Judiciary Committee. Tillis and Coons penned a bill in 2019 to protect pharmaceutical patents. Stats News reported that few candidates funded by Big Pharma lost their re-election campaigns.

Pharmaceuticals are one of EVERY sector that American lawmakers have their hands in. Our public sector workers, whose salary is paid for by the taxpayers, made decisions that impacted the health of the nation simply to line their own pockets.

InsideTraderoftheYear.Pelosi.meme_

Those like Nancy Pelosi have made MILLIONS on insider trading. In one example, Paul Pelosi managed to save $600,000 by selling his stock a month before the microchip ban on Russia and China, which cost Nvidia $400,000,000. Another time, Paul earned $5,300,000 after exercising a call option to buy 4,000 Alphabet shares. Not so coincidentally, this occurred when the House Judiciary Committee cracked down on antitrust practices. Nancy claims her husband is merely an extraordinary trader, and she has no involvement in his obvious success. She was against legislation to curb insider trading until her seat was threatened in the 2022 midterms. The ETHICS Act would prevent members from curtailing already proposed restrictions by banning them from trading through spouses or dependents.

Senator Jeff Merkley, a Democrat from Oregon, proclaimed to his colleagues “if you want to serve in Congress don’t come here to serve your portfolio, come here to serve the people.” Congress is currently only required to disclose their trades. Everyone sees the unethical practice happening, but nothing has been done. “The fact that members of Congress do better than a generalized portfolio suggests that there’s privileged information that folks hear about — may not be inside information, maybe it’s early information, maybe it’s an insight that comes from working on a sector through your committee work or so on an so forth, But that is an issue,” Merkley said.

Merkley and others are concerned that Congress will protest the ban on members of their household, with the Senator saying “members of Congress get very twitchy and when you say your family will be covered too, they have concerns.” We must restore democracy by preventing our public servants from using us as pawns for profit. The abuse became so blatant after COVID that this is perhaps a measure that needs to be passed by executive order. Take note of those who oppose the ETHICS Act as they are clearly sold out politicians who should not serve as public servants.

Democrats are Putin


Posted originally on the CTH on July 11, 2024 | Sundance 

If we accept the actions and outcomes that are visible from Democrats right now, their definition of “democracy” is apparently to dismiss the will of tens-of-millions of Democrat party voters, and instead install a candidate the DC insiders select.

Democrats and even Biden administration officials are being very open about their intent. They are dismissing Joe Biden and debating the installation of their chosen alternative; all while trying to jail their political opponent.

Can democrats see their version of “democracy” is identical to horrible Vladimir Putin?

I can only imagine the conversation atop various government offices around the world as they watch this all unfold.

Additionally, having just returned from an extended visit to Russia, where I literally spent exhaustive time researching how the government views their role within the social compact – and its consequence upon the average population, the “we know better” outlook currently on display by Democrat influence operations in DC is stunningly similar.

Democrats are defending “The Motherland,” where “mother” is their retention of omnipotent power. Yes, Democrats are Putin.

(VIA CNN) – […] there have been clear signs throughout his term of Biden being increasingly stage-managed, with lists of talking points, names of questioners and drawings of where he should walk presented to him by aides. Ahead of closed-door Cabinet meetings that Biden attends, it is customary for Cabinet officials to submit questions and key talking points that they plan to present in front of Biden ahead of time to White House aides, two sources with direct knowledge told CNN.

“The entire display is kind of an act,” one of those sources told CNN. “They would come and say, ‘Hey, the president is going to call on you about 25 minutes in, and ask this question. What are the bullet points you’ll respond with?’”

[…] In fact, the last full Cabinet meeting took place on October 2, 2023. Sources also said Cabinet meetings during the Obama years, which Biden attended as vice president, were not pre-scripted this way.

[…] “There’s this general sense of just, unbelievable holding your breath every time he does an event, every time he’s with people,” one top Democrat in close touch with Biden’s inner circle of advisers told CNN. This person added that some of those advisers have privately acknowledged: “This is going to get worse.”

That Democrat was blunt about how the president’s closest advisers have responded to any criticism or concerns expressed about the president – including his age and fitness: “Everyone who expresses any level of suspicion or contrary views? They call everyone and they beat the s*** out of them and say: ‘Stay on message.’”

At least one official involved in Biden’s debate prep at Camp David raised doubts about his ability after seeing how rehearsals were going, according to one source briefed on those preparations.

“It’s not like Biden’s inner circle didn’t know this,” one Democratic strategist close to the White House said of the extent of the president’s recent decline.

Campaign officials have rejected Clooney’s and other donors’ characterization of Biden at the Los Angeles fundraiser, with one senior Biden official who was in attendance telling CNN that while the president had in fact been tired that day, he was “animated and extremely present.” (read more)

“I find it both laughable and preposterous that the same people who, for the past four years, forced you to carry a vaccine passport to dine in a restaurant, hold a job or get on a flight are the same people now opposing common-sense legislation requiring individuals to show proof of American citizenship to vote in elections.” – Rep Paul Gosar

Federal Marshal Shoots Carjacker at Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor Residence


Posted originally on the CTH on July 9, 2024 | Sundance 

This is so typically DC; the irony is a little grimacing on many levels.  Apparently a not very smart carjacker pulled a gun and tried to steal a car belonging to a federal marshal while he was on the protective detail of Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor’s condo in DC.

In response, the marshal fired “several shots” at the carjacker along with shots from another officer on the detail.  The young ‘dindunuffin’ was not seriously injured but suffered a major hemorrhaging in street credibility amid the local DC thug population.  Meanwhile, Justice Sotomayor is fine and continues to Build the Better World that surrounds her.

(WASHINGTON DC) – A deputy U.S. Marshal tasked with protecting Supreme Court justices’ homes shot an alleged armed carjacker near the Washington residence of Associate Justice Sonia Sotomayor last week, authorities said Tuesday.

The suspect, 18-year-old Kentrell Flowers of Southeast D.C., allegedly pulled a handgun on the marshal, who was in a parked car in the Northwest section of the city around 1:15 a.m. ET on Friday, the Metropolitan Police Department said in a press release.

The marshal drew his own gun and “fired several shots at the suspect,” the MPD said. Another marshal in a separate vehicle also fired at Flowers, who suffered non-life-threatening injuries, police said. (read more)

Lord, please help me not to laugh about this because none of it is funny, yet for some reason I cannot stop snickering.

I always got in trouble when I was a kid for laughing at the wrong stuff.

Made in Mexico


Posted originally on Jul 9, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

MexicanFlag

US manufacturing is in trouble as companies move offshore to avoid taxation, high wages, and asinine green legislation. John Deere, an American branded company, announced it will move manufacturing from Illinois to Ramos, Mexico. This is part of a growing trend of companies simply finding it difficult to turn a profit in the US.

John Deere is moving numerous plants to Mexico, effectively eliminating over 4,000 manufacturing jobs. As I have noted in other posts, the Biden Administration sought to expand manufacturing roles by 1 million in 2024 but has seen a contraction. As for John Deere, the issue of a shrinking agricultural sector is partnering with heightened manufacturing costs. The Department of Agriculture noted a 7% decline in farms across the nation since 2017, with only 1.89 million remaining. The USDA predicts net income from agriculture will fall by 27% in 2024, or $43 billion. Animal products and crops are also believed to be in decline, with the USDA foreseeing a $21 billion loss in revenue for 2024.

AutoManufacturing

The USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement) has made it easier for corporations to leave the US and Canada in favor of Mexico. The automotive industry has already fled to Mexico with BMW, Honda, Ford, General Motors, Audi, Nissan, Tesla, Mazda, and Toyota all breaking ground on new manufacturing plants. States like Illinois and Michigan are especially feeling the effects of this shift. Texas and bordering states have felt the effects of “near-shoring” business alliances since the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), the predecessor of the USMCA.

MadeinMexico

The average hourly salary for unskilled labor is $4.55 per hour in Mexico compared to $17.42 in the US. The cost of living is simply drastically less in Mexico than in the US or Canada. Mexico has a robust, educated workforce, with more students graduating with engineering degrees than in America. There is also a strong apprenticeship aspect to trade labor in Mexico, with multiple generations of men honing their skills from a young age.

Mexico has adopted policies in recent years to attract business, holding 14 free trade agreements with over 46 nations. IMMEX (Industria Manufacturera, Maquiladora y de Servicios de Exportación) has boosted manufacturing as it permits companies to avoid taxes when importing materials used to manufacture goods. The Sectoral Promotion Programs (PROSEC) reduces Most Favored Nations (MFN) tariffs to 5% if not zero and expands across 20 sectors.

Aerospace, automotives, electronics, and more have left the US in favor of Mexico. Manufacturing contributes to 16% of Mexico’s GDP and the sector has expanded a 3.2% annual growth over the past 10 years.

Mexico dethroned China to become the top exporter of goods to the US in 2023, exporting $475.6 billion to the US in 2023, a 5% YoY uptick. This is the first time in two decades that Mexico’s exports to the US surpassed China’s, as Chinese exports fell 20% for the year. Biden calls nearshoring a method of “friend-shoring,” as it is safer to depend on a country geopolitically aligned.

Yes, businesses based in America will still pay Uncle Sam, but the allure of cheaper production and labor is causing numerous sectors to decline rapidly. Then we have state laws in the US in addition to federal that undercut revenue, but the politicians in charge at the state level are not concerned about the GDP or world trade. Those decision-makers only need to focus on their next election to remain in power, whether it is a detriment to America as a whole or not. Analysts will claim that sending jobs and manufacturing to Mexico is a partnership, but capitalism is indeed a game, and in this situation, Mexico has the upper hand over the rest of North America.