Russia Now Responds This War is US, UK & NATO vs Russia – Not Ukraine


Posted 0riginally on May 6, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Russia_Warns_Ukraine_s_F_16s_Will_Be_Treated_as_Nuclear_Threats 5 6 24

Russia is changing its game. I have been warned that Putin has been under pressure to deal with the real threat to Russia, the US, the UK, and NATO. Ukraine is just a mercenary soldier who is expendable as far as the West is concerned. Nobody cares about Ukrainians. They are just there to kill Russians. As I have warned, nobody in Washington has EVER expected Ukraine to win. The real powers, the US, the UK, and NATO, are all stepping up the game, and they are preparing for World War III and want to destroy Russia utterly.

The game is changing here on May 7th. All I can pray is that Ukraine does not do something really stupid because, on May 7th, Putin will be inaugurated.

Russia Set to Outpace All Advanced Economies – Sanctions FAILED


Posted Apr 18, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Putin Xi

Sanctions and the removal of Russia from SWIFT have not deterred the Russian economy. A recent report by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that Russia’s economy will grow more in the next year than any other advanced economy.

The IMF believes Russia’s economy will grow by 3.2% in 2024, in comparison, the US is expected to grow by 2.7% while Europe’s top economy, Germany, is expected to grow by a mere 0.2%. Cutting off Europe from Russian energy backfired in a major way. Foreign investments have been pouring into Russia from the rest of the world, which is eager to join the rank of “advanced nation.”

BRICS

Trade between China and Russia has spiked to $240 billion in the last year alone. World leaders have learned absolutely nothing from the previous three years. US President Joe Biden just announced new tariffs against China on steel, aluminum, and shipbuilding supplies that will be potentially raised to 7.5%, triple the current rate for steel and aluminum. “The president understands we must invest in American manufacturing, but we also have to protect those investments and those workers from unfair exports associated with China’s industrial overcapacity,” Lael Brainerd, director of the White House’s National Economic Council. The president of the US and other world leaders simply do not understand how the economy operates. Brainerd believes China is simply overproducing, and these tariffs will cause China to change its policy as it wishes to continue trade with the US, its previous top trading partner.

Trade War 2

China does not need the US to excel at trade. China’s adopted capitalistic style of business is causing nations to line up to sell to China in the same manner that they once did to the US. Now, Americans are strapped for cash, and its consumer population is declining. Biden just made it less appealed for nations like China to sell to the US. Germany is failing to grow because it continued its mercantile system of business where it feels it must increase manufacturing. German manufacturing may be of higher quality than that of China but China’s middle class is growing, and with it, so are the number of consumers amid a population of nearly 1.4 billion people.

Russia does not need the US, Canada, or Europe for trade either, as they have a precious natural resource that is in higher demand than supply. The world needs energy and fossil fuels and cannot operate without them. As hard as the climate change zealots try, they cannot eliminate the world’s dependence on fossil fuels. Instead, the West is imposing regulations and taxing its people in an effort to reduce their reliance on fossil fuels, but the demand is not there, and the infrastructure does not exist. There is no reliable alternative to fossil fuels on a wide scale.

Russia does not need to adhere to the G7 nation’s price capping regulations. Russia has effectively been selling oil to nations like India who then turn around and sell it to the West at a premium. Pettiness is poor business, and simply attempting to ostracize a necessary trade partner from the global market has backfired in a major way. Now nations like those under BRICS are trading freely without Western interference and it is becoming overtly apparent that sanctions do not work.

Yellen Aims to Send Frozen Russian Assets to Ukraine


Posted Feb 28, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Ukraine Battle

Russian assets frozen by the West have been sitting idle for three years. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is urging the G20 to liquidate nearly $300 billion in stolen assets and send it to Ukraine.

“It is necessary and urgent for our coalition to find a way to unlock the value of these immobilized assets to support Ukraine’s continued resistance and long-term reconstruction,” Yellen claimed. “I believe there is a strong international law, economic, and moral case for moving forward. This would be a decisive response to Russia’s unprecedented threat to global stability.”

This amount is more than Ukraine’s entire GDP. They could never recover on their own, hence JPMorgan Chase and BlackRock stepping in for when it comes crashing down. This, yet again, brings NATO members one step closer to fully entering the war. Two-thirds of the frozen/stolen assets are located in the European Union, which recently enacted legislation that corners windfall profits from the frozen assets, marking one major step toward directly funding Ukraine with these funds.

For all intents and purposes, the people who lost their life savings are mostly private citizens who have been victims of circumstance. They did not fund Russia’s invasion or have a say in their government’s decisions. Russia may view this complete violation of international law as an act of war. Using assets seized by private citizens to fund a war opens the door to a new form of economic warfare that will only cause people to refrain from investing in countries that allow this to go on. Welcome to the total collapse of globalization.

The Kremlin announced in December that it would not hesitate to seize assets from Western nations if they were to use their own central bank’s assets against them in war. China and other countries with large Western holdings could use any new international legislation against their opponents in the future. Despite Yellen’s claims that this move would not hurt the dollar, it would certainly deter foreign investment. Why invest in a nation that could potentially seize everything depending on your government’s policies? China sees the new funding packages the US is sending to Taiwan and will respond accordingly.

Yellen falsely claims that sending off these assets to Ukraine would “incentivize [Russia] to come to the table to negotiate a just peace with Ukraine.” Putin could not be more vocal about wanting to come to an agreement. He has attempted to reach a peace agreement countless times but has been blocked by the neocons at every opportunity. There can be no peace with this amount of money on the line.

Others are so confident that Russia will lose that they believe these assets should remain frozen as a bargaining chip or for future reparation payments. No one knows where the money sent to Ukraine goes or how it is spent. This reeks of a massive international corruption scheme that will propel us one big step closer to World War III.

A European Pearl Harbar Event?


Posted originally on Feb 24, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Lithuiana PM Warns of Pearl Harbor Moment

COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong: Nobody has sources like you. You warned that the West would create a false flag to start the war that they need. It took maybe one to two weeks for the news that Russia put nuclear weapons in space, and here, our leading politician came out and said there was going to be a sneak attack in Europe that would be our Pearl Harbor moment. I have come to understand why you are always right. It is because people do react the same way no matter what decade or century.

ačiū.

Thank you for the knowledge.

REPLY: Yes, we are approaching the ECM fate of May 7th, but also the ECM date on the Ukraine war – April 20, 2024. It is getting interesting from a research perspective but dangerous from a human perspective. If you really expected a Pearl Harbor Moment, which was also a deliberately created event to the US into WWII, you would think as head of state, you would seek peace rather than war. Nothing these people do anymore makes sense.

Russia is Getting Stronger – Not Weaker


Posted originally on Feb 24, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Russia More Powerful than ever

Russian President Vladimir Putin unveiled the new strategic long-range Tu-160M nuclear-capable bomber on Thursday, in a move likely to be seen in the West as a pointed reminder of Moscow’s nuclear capabilities. This is a new giant swing-wing type plane, where the pilots posted on the side “MY POMPEII,” referring to the destruction of Vesuvius.  NATO has codenamed it “Blackjacks” but this bomber is what Russia would deploy in the event of nuclear war to deliver weapons at long distances.

What is very clear and acknowledged behind the curtain is that there has never been a time of worse relations between the world’s two biggest nuclear powers, including during the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis. The West appears to be led by mindless politicians who do as they are told by the Neocons for nobody is interested in any peace negotiations. Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, now deputy chairman of Russia’s Security Council, has repeatedly warned of the risk of a nuclear conflict with the West since 2014. That seems not to bother any Western leader, for the Neocons keep swearing that it is just scare tactics and that Russia will never resort to nuclear weapons even as NATO invades Moscow. Nobody in any leadership role even seems to have common sense.

Fiona_Hill Politicao 12 12 2023

The Neocon who also is always pushing for war is Fiona Hill. Politico asked: “What happens to the West if Putin wins?” She responded:

We’ll be at each others’ throats. There’ll be no way in which this is going to turn out well. There’ll be a lot of frustration on the part of people who thought that this was the easier option when we reel from crisis to crisis. There’ll also be the shame, frankly, and the disgrace of having let the Ukrainians down. I think it would create a firestorm of recrimination. And it will also embolden so many other actors to take their own steps.

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NATO is a highly dangerous organization whose only purpose is war. They were created to defend against Communism. When Communism fell, they never changed their position and maintained that Russia still wanted to conquer Europe. Of course, if that is not true, then we no longer need NATO. They must keep up beating their war drums, or else they lose their purpose and revenue as members divert it elsewhere.

NATO F16s 2024
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At first, we would provide F16s only to defend Ukraine. Now, after getting approval on those terms, they use the bail-and-switch routine as NATO now says Ukraine can fly directly into Russia to wage war as they pray for an excuse to start World War III. Even Newsweek has reported NATO grants Ukraine permission to invade Russia, knowing full well that Putin will be forced to respond. This is precisely what NATO wants – it is begging for Putin to PLEASE attack so we can start World War III ASAP. They want to create WWIII before the US election.

NATO ECM 2

NATO is headed into a major crisis by January 17th, 2027. What is most interesting is that the turning point 2022.746 was precisely September 30th, 2022, which was the very day when Putin declared the annexation of four Russian regions of Ukraine that were supposed to have been under the Minsk Agreement, which was signed September 5th, 2021 that the West negotiated in bad faith. That was 73.1 years into the NATO ECM. The Minsk Agreement came in 2021, which was precisely on the 72-Year Revolution Cycle.

Tribune POINT_Ukraine_can_win_here_s_how_and_91_more_pages_Personal_Microsoft_Ed

Nobody seems ever to ask, what if Russia loses? Medvedev made it very clear:

“Attempts to restore Russia’s 1991 borders will lead only to one thing – a global war with Western countries with the use of our entire strategic (nuclear) arsenal against Kyiv, Berlin, London, and Washington. And against all other beautiful historic places that have long been included in the flight targets of our nuclear triad.” 

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ECM Ukraine 8.6 R

When we look at the duration of wars, we see that World War I (1914-1918) was just under four years. World War II lasted on two fronts, Germany and Japan, so the combined war effort was from 1939 to 1945. However, the war with Germany lasted 5.679 years, whereas the war with Japan lasted 3.691 years. The Korean War lasted 3.087 years.

Ukraine_Hryvnia Q Array 2 24 24

We have a Double Directional Change in April coinciding with the major ECM turning point of April 20th, 2024. There is no way Ukraine will defeat Russia. Indeed, behind the curtain, that has been known from day one.  Ukraine has been used to weaken Russian forces for the ultimate confrontation with NATO. Nobody cares how many Ukrainians die—the more, the merrier, since that will serve as the justification for World War III. We will then commit countless people to die as revenge for Ukraine’s loss.

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Even looking at a chart of the currency, the Greenback keeps rising. There is no hope for Ukraine long-term. The Neocons have lied to them, and now over 1 million are dead, and millions have fled to Europe.

Alexei Navalny – behind the curtain


Posted originally on Feb 19, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

2024 1 18 Jamie_Dimon_tells_Dems_to_be_respectful_of_MAGA_supporters

COMMENT #1: “Tucker picked the wrong side. Guess Tucker won’t be going back to Russia for a while.” citing: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexei_Navalny

anonymous

COMMENT #2: Tucker is supporting a criminal, and you should not publish anything this guy says.

anonymous

Brain Dead

REPLY: I really feel sorry for these people, for they have been brainwashed by the standard psychological warfare tactic they use all the time on everyone. Jamie Dimon came out and warned the Democrats that they are attacking ALL of Trump’s supporters and are attributing to everyone the personality traits of Trump. This is how they get people to hate others; it is the standard tactic always deployed in the war. They demonized Sadam Hussain to justify invading Iraq. They did that with Qadaffi and tried to demonize Assad in Syria by just invading that country, all for a covert pipeline. Russia could do that to ALL Americans and attribute to us the traits of the Democrats and Joe Biden – the hand puppet of the Neocons.

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The Western Press has already decided, as CNN reported, that Putin killed the jailed “Russian opposition figure and outspoken Kremlin critic Alexey Navalny, who made global headlines when he was poisoned with a nerve agent in 2020, has died aged 47, the Russian prison service said.” Navalny is now the excuse many use to launch World War III. I am hearing from Europe as well as America. Once again, the truth is nowhere to be found.

What the Western press omits is that  Navalny was also an OPEN SOCIETY. While the corruption in Russia took place on a grand scale before Navalny graduated from school in 2001, he did buy into the propaganda against Putin launched by Berezovsky and crew when their attempt to blackmail Yeltsin collapsed in 1998 and has been propagated ever since. I laid out the truth behind all the assassinations that people attributed to Putin when, in fact, the benefactor was Berezovsky, who even called me when I refused to invest $10 billion into their scheme to take over Russia.

Because of the 1998 Russian Financial Crisis in the midst of the Russian Bond Crisis August/September 1998, Yeltsin had to shift the leadership. He tried to reinstate Viktor Chernomyrdin (1938–2010) as Prime Minister, but the Duma rejected his appointment on September 7th, 1998. There was a rising sentiment to return to Communism, for capitalism had obviously failed. A very serious crisis was unfolding, and Yeltsin was forced to nominate Yevgeny Primakov (1929–2015), who was a right-wing conservative and anti-oligarchy communist at heart who was appointed Prime Minister September 10th, 1998. Primakov was moved from the Minister of Foreign Affairs to Prime Minister in the wake of Russia’s default in August 1998.

Galina Starovoitova 1946 1998 Assassinated 11 20 98

Within a matter of weeks of Primakov coming to power, on November 20th, 1998, Galina Starovoitova (1946-1998) was preparing for the State Duma elections that were to be held the next year in December 1999. Galina tried to prevent the old communists from coming to power and was against the oligarchs. Galina opposed the direction of Russia moving from a communist to an oligarchy state and made this part of her political platform in “Democratic Russia.”

I believe Galina knew the nature and covert scheme of Primakov and the shifting sentiment to return to the USSR. I believe that, in fact, Galina’s assassination was to remove the head of the Democratic movement in the Duma that would have been the major obstacle to the rise of power of Primakov and the restoration of Communism under his vision of the USSR. Galina was gunned down in the entryway of her apartment building in St. Petersburg on November 20th, 1998. At first, the spin was she was really a puppet of a “Western financier,” who was supposed to be me simply because her son worked in my London office. She had checked my references with Margaret Thatcher before consenting to her son working in my firm. I had far more insight into Russia than most assumed.

The press refuses to reveal that they have been spreading the Berezovsky propaganda. It was on July 25th, 1998, when Yeltsin appointed Vladimir Putin (born in 1952) as director of the Federal Security Service (FSB), the primary intelligence agency of the Russian Federation. I believe this was done because of Galina Starovoitova’s (1946-1998) criticism of the FSB and to prevent another FSB coup, as they had pulled off against Gorbachev. Putin had worked for the KGB from 1975 until August 20th, 1991. He left because the head of the KGB, Vladimir A. Kryuchkov (1924–2007), was behind the major coup of 1991, arresting Mikhail Gorbachev and trying to return Russia to the USSR, which Putin opposed. Putin resigned in 1991 and entered civil service to support an old friend who was moving to be mayor of St Petersburg. However, more significantly, on October 1st, 1998, Vladimir Putin became a permanent member of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. This is why Yeltsin turned to Putin BECAUSE he knew he was against the communists and did NOT want to return Russia to the days of the USSR.

Geoff Kitney, writing for the Herald in Berlin, characterized Galina’s death a turning point in Russia’s fight to establish a post-Communist society. Indeed, Galina’s death was a significant turning point. It was clearly the attempt of the old guard and their reminiscent dream of Communist power they saw slipping away. It was very clear, that her death was an ordered assassination by the hardline. The fact that the spin claimed Galina was a puppet of a Western Financier, meaning me, was indicative of a communist who was Primakov, who was also the enemy of Berezovsky and his Seven Oligarchs attempting to take over Russia.

2022_The Plot to Seize Russia Overview

Navalny was against corruption that was created by the oligarchs – not Putin. His nemesis was Borris Berszovsky and his Seven Oligarchs, who were trying to seize control of Russia and were behind blackmailing Yeltsin with the whole Bank of New York scandal. If you look at all the assassinations I documented in the Plot to Seize Russia, it was part of the plan for Berezovsky to blame Putin in his attempt to seize control of Russia – backed by the American Neocons. Eventually, Berezovsky’s bodyguard said MI6 killed him after he wrote his begging letter to Putin apologizing and asking him to please allow him to return to Russia. When Edmond Safra was assassinated on December 3rd, 2999, that is when they created the contempt to prevent any trial in my case because they then realized this would create a political nightmare.

Nemtsov Boris 19059 2015
khodorkovsky_PENCIL

Boris Nemtsov (1959-2015) was involved with Hermitage Capital Management, the company I was being solicited to inject $10 billion. Nemtsov was named in a 1999 RICO suit Avisma Titano Magnes v. Dart Management. That lawsuit alleged that Bank Menatep, owned by Mikhail Khodorkovsky, one of Berezovsky’s Seven oligarchs, had a controlling interest in titanium producer Avisma. They forced Avisma to sell its titanium below market price to offshore companies that they secretly controlled. They then sold the titanium at market prices, funneling the profits back to the defendants and Bank Menatep.

Bill Browder of Hermitage Capital Management said that Nemtsov was his “indispensable ally” in pushing his Magnitsky Act, which indeed in itself created countless enemies by targeting private individuals in some revenge scheme. Plenty of people have criticized Putin, who has not been assassinated. In the Plot to Seize Russia, I went through all the assassinations, and they pointed to Berezovsky, whom I was warned not to get involved with. When I refused to invest $10 billion into Hermitage Capital Management, Berezovsky called me to try to pursue me to join the scheme where they would have all the riches of Russia from gold, platinum, diamonds, and oil flowing through their hands.

Three weeks before Nemtsov’s assassination, on February 10th, 2015, he wrote on Russia’s Sobesednik news website that his 87-year-old mother was not afraid Putin would kill him. Interestingly, she was scared because the former oligarch Mikhail Khodorkovsky (born in 1963) was granted a pardon by Putin in 2013 and given a passport; hence, he fled to London. There was no explanation as to why he should fear Khodorkovsky.

However, the BBC interviewed Nemtsov on February 10th, 2015, 17 days before his death. He again repeated what he said in the Sobesednik newspaper. When asked if he himself feared for his life, he answered: “Yes, not as strongly as my mother, but still …” Following that interview, on February 25th, 2015, the Sobesednik posted an extended version of the original interview. There, Nemtsov added: “I am just joking. If I were afraid of Putin, I wouldn’t be in this line of work.” This does not support the West’s propaganda that Putin kills everyone.

Navalny Alexei Pencil

In addition, Nemtsov’s mother was also afraid of the anti-corruption activist Alexei Navalny (1976-2024), who was the same activist who uncovered Voronenkov’s corruption. Did his mother understand more than what she was saying? Why was she afraid of one person who was part of the Yeltsin entourage and the other claiming to be against corruption?

Of course, on March 12th, 2019, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a Resolution, and the Senate passed it on June 10th, 2019. The Resolutions were non-binding but were intended to hold Russian President Vladimir Putin accountable for his country’s actions, including a measure condemning the Russian leader and his government for their alleged roles in covering up the 2015 assassination of Putin’s political opponent, Boris Nemtsov. Anyone who ever criticized Putin has been alleged to have been assassinated even though they were of no serious consequence.

Alexei Navalny was after the corruption – but that was the Oligarchs, and Berezovsky had a long list of assassinations, even how he managed to get a hold of stock to build his empire. But the truth does not matter. They have attributed so many assassinations to Putin to cover up the connections of the West with Berezovsky and the Seven Oligarchs. Perhaps one day, the press will tell the truth instead of egging us on into World War III by attributing all Russians to the fake personality propaganda against Putin that was manufactured by Berezovsky and his Seven Oligarchs trying to strip mine Russia for untold wealth. I had a front-row seat to this saga.

Like the Weapons of Mass Destruction that never existed in Iraq, wars are routinely created on lies.

See the Plot to Seize Russia

Only a Fool Invades Russia?


Posted Jan 9, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 
Russia Geography
Golden Gate Kiev Ukraine

Let’s get something straight. There have been countless attempts to conquer Russia, and they have all failed over the course of 1,000 years – yea – 1,000 years! The invaders encountered different incarnations of Russians as well. There were the Ancient Rus, the Moscow Tsardom, the Russian Empire, and most recently, the Soviet Union. The enemies have also come in different flavors, like ice cream. There has been a Northern military state, an Eastern empire invasion, and the more recent famous invasions of Hitler and Napoleon. Every single one of them has failed to conquer Russia except one – the Mongols.

Ivan III 1485 1505 AR Denga

The Mongols invaded under the grandson of Genghis Khan. He invaded Russia around the 1220s-1230s. The Rus were divided into tribes. Like Julius Caesar understood when he invaded Gaul, divide and conquer. The Mongol warriors succeeded because the various Russian princes at that time were competing against one another in a perpetual rivalry for the Kievan throne. Thus, the lands of Rus’ were plundered, and in 1240, Kiev fell. Russian princes were forced to subjugate to the Tatar-Mongol khans. Indeed, there is still a Tatr population living in Crimea to this day. What is left of the Rus fortifications, the Golden Gate, is all that remains standing in Kiev.

In 1380, Moscow prince Dmitry Donskoy famously defeated the Tatar army at the Kulikovo field. Russia was born one hundred years later in 1480 when they were free of the Mongols, and he became the first Grand Prince of Moscow, Ivan III ( 1440–1505). If I actually listed every failed attempt to invade Russia ever since, I think that would require a book. The Mongols were used to the cold, unlike the Europeans.

Battle_of_Poltava_1709
Polish Empire

What we call Ukraine today was the territory of Poland back then. The young King Charles XII of Sweden invaded Ukraine, which was Russian territory. Peter the Great (1672-1725) withdrew his army southward. Peter adopted the tactic of a scorched earth, destroying anything along the way that could assist the Swedes. Without food, the Swedish army was forced to halt its advance in the winter of 1708–1709.

When summer arrived in 1709, The Swedes resumed their efforts to conquer Russian-ruled Ukraine. This culminated in the famous Battle of Poltava, which took place on June 27th, 1709. This was THE turning point in Russian history, for this was a battle where Peter the Great and the Russians defeated the Swedish army. This was also a turning point in the war with Sweden. For those who do not know, Peter the Great was Tsar of all Russia from 1682, and he became the first Emperor of all Russia from 1721 until he died in 1725. Peter reigned jointly with his half-brother Ivan V until 1696. Thereafter, Peter became the absolute monarch of Russia.

Poltava is actually in Ukraine. This decisive battle made Russia a significant power on the European political stage. However, Pete was perhaps too overconfident. He then attacked the Ottoman Empire, initiating the Russo-Turkish War of 1710. This time, Peter lost. He was forced into the Treaty of the Pruth, where he had to return the Black Sea ports he had previously seized. The Ottomans called him Mad Peter – not Peter the Great.

Napoleon1812 Russia

The more modern failed attempts were those of Napoleon and Hitler. Napoleon was said to have been a brilliant military strategist. The French Army, at the time, was considered to be unbeatable. Many have sought to invade Russia, for it is probably the richest nation on earth regarding natural resources. Napoleon began his invasion of Russia on the 24th of June 1812. He was no fool. He waited for winter to be over. He was planning to take the city of Moscow in July. Instead, his army was devasted by winter and global cooling thanks to a volcano. The Russians abandoned Moscow and set it ablaze. When Napoleon entered Moscow by mid-September, he assumed he would get an offer of peace. Nothing came. The Russians abandoned the city, and it was a hallowed victory. After that, there was nothing for Napoleon to do but retreat. Napoleon’s forces suffered staggering losses of between 400,000 and 500,000. He eventually retreated, and that was devastating. Napoleon had invaded with 680,000 men and retreated by November 1812 with only 27,000 effective soldiers remaining.

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Napoleon Russian Invasion

There is no question about it. In creating Socrates, I merely coded myself. How would I look at something as an international hedge fund manager. Also, being a history buff, I knew well the impact of weather. It was the climate change in the North that sent people south and toppled all the civilizations except the Egyptians during the Bronze Age. I knew it was climate change that sent both the Goths and the Huns to invade Europe.  When we correlate everything, we see history in a whole new light. These climate change fools are putting humanity at serious risk, for the climate will turn cold in the years ahead, crops will fail, people will starve, and disease will run wild. Thus, I created no rules. Socrates was to seek out the entire world and return the correlations without prejudice.

Hunger stone Elbe

The Mini Ice Age defeated Napoleon. The Hunger Stones also marked the year 1811 as a drought. While this is one year before the eruption in the West Indies in 1812, there is what has been called the 1808/1809 Mystery Volcanic Eruption, which seems to have set in motion a Mini Ice Age during the early 1800s. This was a monumental volcanic eruption in the VEI 6 range, which appears to have occurred in late 1808. This event preceded the 1815 eruption of Mount Tambora (VEI 7), which produced the Year Without a Summer in 1816. Napoleon was defeated really by Volcanoes. This is my concern for the future post-2024. With 50 volcanoes erupting simultaneously around the globe, we must be mindful of this cooling risk.

US Capitol Burned War of 1812

Russia’s success in the Patriotic War of 1812, defending against Napoleon, was short-lived from June 24th, 1812, to December 14th, 1812. Russian historians attributed their victory to the sophisticated bait-and-switch strategies of Field Marshal Mikhail Kutuzov, in addition to the heroism of Russian troops and the patriotism of the civilian population. They also acknowledge the harsh winter conditions in the final months of the conflict played an important role in defeating Napoleon.

This coincided with the War of 1812 (June 18, 1812 – February 17, 1815) between the United States and the United Kingdom. One of the primary tensions originated in long-standing differences over territorial expansion in North America and British support for Tecumseh’s confederacy, who opposed U.S. colonial settlement in the Old Northwest. These escalated in 1807 after the Royal Navy began enforcing tighter restrictions on American trade with France and press-ganged men they claimed as British subjects, even those with American citizenship certificates.

War often seems to be a CONTAGION. During this period of 1810 to 1814, there were 39 separate wars. To mention a few, there were the Cambodian and Hong Kong Rebellions, the Arakanese Uprising (Burma), the Invasion of Java, and the Punjab War in Asia. In South America, there was the Argentine Civil War, Brazilian slave revolt, Chilean War of Independence, Mexican War of Independence, Paraguayan Revolt,  Peruvian War of Independence, Venezuelan War of Independence, US occupation of West Florida,  and in the Middle East there was the Afghan-Sikh Wars, Wahhabi War involving Ottoman Empire & Saudia Arabia.

All of South America erupted, and it appeared to be a contagion. A similar contagion swept Europe in 1848. What Socrates has taught me is that, indeed,

WAR IS CONTAGIOUS

Hitler Operation Barbarossa 1941

August 7, 1941, Adolf Hitler looking at his war map with General Field Marshal Walter Von Brauchitsch on the right and others

If we look at Hitler’s attempt to conquer Russia again, it was a disaster. NATO should realize their brilliant ideas of engaging Russia will be the third modern attempt, and they, too, will fail. Hitler named his invasion attempt Operation Barbarossa as Hitler’s invasion of Russia June 22, 1941 – January 7, 1942, with the purported goal of conquering the west of the Soviet Union to repopulate it with Germans. The operation was named after the Holy Roman Emperor Frederick Barbarossa (1155-1190) (“red beard”), who was elected King of Germany in Frankfurt on March 4th, 1152. Hitler invaded the Soviet Union on Sunday, June 22nd, 1941. It was the largest land offensive in human history, involving around 10 million combatants.

The failure of Operation Barbarossa proved to be a major turning point that reversed the fortunes of Hitler’s Nazi Germany. At first, Hitler’s German forces achieved significant victories and even managed to occupy some of the most important economic areas. That included Ukraine, where he promised them their own country and the Ukrainian Nazis were so vicious they even appalled the Germans.  Hitler probably would have been successful in conquering Europe had he not tried to invade Russia. He sustained heavy casualties, and the German offensive stalled in the Battle of Moscow at the end of 1941. The Soviet winter counteroffensive pushed the Germans about 160 miles back (250 km).

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Indepentent Neo Nazis

It is important to remember that Ukrainian Nazis collaborated with Hitler and have NEVER been called to account for all their genocides against Polish, Jews, and Russians. They pretended that it was the UPA, a Ukrainian nationalist organization with a long-term plan of establishing a mono-ethnic state that excluded the Poles and was aligned with the Nazis. The Neo-Nazis are dominant in Ukraine, and Bandera’s flags and posters were there at Midian in 2014 all over the place. Because they have never been put on trial for their atrocities that even horrified the German Nazis, they have refused to even apologize to anyone. Even Japan apologized for using Korean women as “comfort girls,” and the Swiss turned over money that was hidden in accounts for Nazis and Jews. Ukraine’s hatred is ongoing, and it is propagated by the government, which is why it never dies.

Ruble Y Combined 1 8 24

If we look at the time difference between Napoleon’s and Hitler’s invasion of Russia, there were 15 intervals of 8.6 years (129 years). There is no doubt whatsoever the computer is showing war ahead. We have a Directional Change here in 2024, followed by another in 2025, with a Panic Cycle in 2025 and a significant target for a turning point.

2024_Sweden_war with Russia

Even Sweden is now preparing for WAR with Russia. Perhaps it’s a way to get rid of all the migrants from Africa. Sweden’s head of foreign affairs is claiming that Sweden is now a target to be attacked by Russia. There is NOBODY who seems even to want to discuss peace. This will be the Great Diversion to allow the sovereign debts to collapse as they blame war.

The West has long drooled over Russia’s wealth. In 1913, foreign investors actually held 49.7% of Russian government debt. They also owned nearly 100% of all petroleum fields, 90% of mines, 50% of chemicals, and 40% of metallurgical industries. This foreign ownership was, to a large extent, used in support of the Communist Revolution. Russia actually had the largest gold reserves in the world prior to the Communist Revolution, but it also had the largest foreign debt in the world. France was actually Russia’s primary lender, and French investors had major ownership in the iron and steel industries and mining operations. In fact, just before the Communist Revolution of 1917, France, a goldbug nation back then, held 80% of the Russian government debt that was supposed to be gold-backed.

Once again, in 1999, I was asked to invest $10 billion to fund the takeover of similar Russian assets, and they would install their puppet as president – Boris Berezofsky. I refused. Many have looked at the riches of Russia, and the excuse always seems to be a war to get their greedy hands on them, much like the Middle East geopolitical events have been over oil.

Crazy Stuff – Details of Results from Western Oil Sanctions Against Russia


Posted originally on the CTH on December 29, 2023 | Sundance

I’m very serious when I share with people that almost everything we understand about the geopolitical purposes and impacts of sanctions against Russian economic interests is entirely fabricated.  However, because the scale of the propaganda against us is so effective, breaking the mental/cognitive barrier is almost impossible.

It’s not that situations are ‘shaped’ or information is ‘manipulated,’ like would be the definition of the term “disinformation.”  But rather that the entire construct of reality regarding the economic issues -as presented- is fabricated, created by massive financial interests, and flat-out lies; I mean, total unadulterated nonsense. Complete fiction.

This latest article from Reuters, and the accompanying graphic from ZeroHedge, only scratches the surface.

[SOURCE]

We are through the looking glass folks.  Literally captive to the narrative as sold by our Western government officials, and there’s a huge one-way mirror; beyond which, massive segments of the grey zone are looking at us as if we are pathetic victims of professional propaganda.

The worst part of this dynamic is how the USA looks insufferably weak, because we are playing this massive game of pretending that only the Yellow Zone is participating in.

MOSCOW, Dec 27 (Reuters) – Almost all of Russia’s oil exports this year have been shipped to China and India, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Wednesday, after Moscow responded to Western economic sanctions by quickly rerouting supplies away from Europe.

Russia has successfully circumvented sanctions on its oil and diverted flows from Europe to China and India, which together accounted for around 90% of its crude exports, Novak, who is in charge of the country’s energy sector, told Rossiya-24 state TV.

He said that Russia had already started to forge ties with Asia-Pacific countries before the West introduced sanctions against Moscow following the start of the conflict in Ukraine in February 2022.

“As for those restrictions and embargoes on supplies to Europe and the U.S. that were introduced… this only accelerated the process of reorienting our energy flows,” Novak said.

He said that Europe’s share of Russia’s crude exports has fallen to only about 4-5% from about 40-45%. (read more)

What Alexander Novak shares is stunningly accurate, only the ramifications are far more serious.  This is why I am spending so much time trying to break the issue down into digestible portions.

Russia and Iran are now trading oil (and other things) in their own national currencies, not the petrodollar.  This is the epicenter of a process initially triggered by the BRICS economic alliance and is now taking place in real time while the proverbial WEST pretends it is not happening.   Now, it might sound esoteric, as if it is a disconnected or academic issue that doesn’t have real substantive ramifications, but that’s not true.

I can literally see how global trade is now cost-shifting as the dollar starts to weaken (become less used) as a trade currency.  Again, like our domestic social issues, this de-dollarization process is “slowly at first,” but eventually this is going to come all at once.

As USA consumers we cannot see it yet, because we are inside an economic system that is entirely dependent on dollars.  However, as the devaluation of the dollar continues slowly to happen, outside our dollar-based economy, the cost of goods, products and stuff in the ordinary life of people within the GREY ZONE is now stunningly less.  It’s not showing up in currency markets (dollar -vs- fill_in_blank), because the currency trades are not part of the trade/cost dynamic outside the YELLOW ZONE.

Go into the grey zone and compare the price of “product X” to what you would pay in the United States for “product X”, and you will see the difference in the end consumer price is starting to widen faster.   Identical goods in the USA cost much more than goods outside the “west.”

As the de-dollarization continues (mostly driven by the lessening of oil sold using the petrodollar), the disparity in price will get even more stark.   As a result of this dynamic, wages in the USA (or the “west”) must necessarily rise faster; however, that’s only part of the issue.

If I took $200 into a Russian supermarket, buying only consumable food products, I would end up with about 3 shopping carts full of food.  Take that same $200 into the average USA supermarket and you get one shopping cart or less.  This is the scale of what is likely to happen in durable goods.  The “cleaving” is underway.

Let me say that again, the “cleaving” of dollar-based price/value is underway.

Starbucks pulled out of Russia.  The building still exists, the furniture still there, the equipment still there, just a different name, “Star Coffee” lolol.   Starbucks is roughly $6 for whatever, the StarCoffee is $1.  Same stuff.   A cab/uber ride in USA might be $25, or in EU might be €30, but outside the yellow zone around $6 to $10/max.  It’s getting crazy how big the difference is.

Now, the price disparity is not in everything, only in the products that do not originate from inside the yellow zone.  The increased price of the yellow zone goods transfers into the grey zone when the product is moved.  However, if the yellow zone and grey zone both produce an identical product (or service), that’s when you see the massive difference in price.  [And no, this is not a lower cost labor issue]

Conversely, prices of goods originating from the grey zone shipped to the yellow zone will be far less than the comparable product created from within the yellow zone.

What is going to happen?

I suspect we are going to import even more products from the grey zone at a greater rate, because there’s a lower origination price and greater opportunity for profit.  Wait and see.

China needs energy, Russia needs computer chips and tech.  They are trading thusly.  Now watch… if the sanctions are ever lifted, we will start importing Russian made electronic goods, because less expensive.  It’s nuts.

Remember, our ‘western’ government is doing this to us on purpose.

Putin’s Four-Hour Press Conference


Posted originally on Dec 18, 2023 By Martin Armstrong 

Putin Political Cycle

Russian President Vladimir Putin believes his nation is leading the battle against Ukraine. In a four-hour televised press conference on December 14, the Russian president said he believes that the war will end once Russia achieves its goals. “Either we get an agreement or we solve this by force,” Putin stated.

Russia will spend $11 billion (1 trillion rubles) annually on maintaining reclaimed land. “Ukraine’s whole southeast has always been pro-Russian because these are historically Russian territories,” Putin claimed. “What does Ukraine have to do with this? Neither Crimea nor the Black Sea’s whole northern coast have anything to do (with Ukraine). And Odesa is a Russian city,” Putin said after announcing that Russia would not surrender any annexed land in Crimea, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Luhansk, or Donetsk.

Putin Economist

The televised event was the president’s first time addressing the public at large since February 2022, and comes days after announcing he will seek a fifth term in March. Putin took questions from the audience and journalists during the event. Some of the questions were pre-screened to allow Putin the opportunity to provide the public with the intended messaging. However, they also televised various text messages from the public that were critical of the government and world. “Why is your ‘reality’ at odds with our lived reality?” one message read.

The Russian people want the war to end as hundreds of thousands have already died. Putin claimed Russia does not plan to send additional troops into battle at this time, as over 600,000 are currently on the ground. He assured the people that better days are ahead, claiming GDP will rise in 3.5% in 2023 and unemployment will reach a historic low of 2.9%. One citizen asked about food inflation and cited eggs in particular as they have spiked over 40%. “I apologize for this, but this is a failure of the government’s work,” he stated. Inflation in Russia is running at around 7.5% despite the central bank targeting 4%.

ECM Ukraine 8.6 R

Now the people of Russia want the war to end and Putin wants to win the favor of the people ahead of the election. “There will be peace when we achieve our goals,” Putin again reassured the public. Yet, NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg made a speech around the same time urging nations to continue supporting Ukraine. Stoltenberg said that Russia will not stop at Ukraine if it achieves its objectives. “If Putin wins in Ukraine, there is real risk that his aggression will not end there. Our support is not charity. It is an investment in our security,” he said.

As long as the money continues to flow to Ukraine, the war will continue.

Putin Interview 2020 Prewar


Armstrong Economics Blog/Russia Re-Posted Oct 1, 2023 by Martin Armstrong

Zelensky insisted, thanks to Victoria Nulan, that the Minsk Agreement had to be terminated to Justify his conquest of Russia.

This is why I warned Zelensky was the man who history will remember as the next Hitler for World War III