As U.S. Trade Officials meet with auto executives surrounding ongoing NAFTA sector negotiations, U.S.T.R. Ambassador Robert Lighthizer appears on Fox News to discuss ongoing trade initiatives with Laura Ingraham.
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It’s challenging to discuss the basic ‘fatal flaw’ within a modern NAFTA in a short discussion segment; however, Ambassador Lighthizer, Secretary Ross and the newly positioned Peter Navarro have a strong position for withdrawal.
The essential problem with NAFTA is an evolution that took place over time. In its current form NAFTA became an exploited doorway into the coveted U.S. market. Asian economic interests, large multinational corporations, invested in Mexico and Canada as a way to work around any direct trade deals with the U.S.
By shipping parts to Mexico and/or Canada; and by deploying satellite manufacturing and assembly facilities in Canada and/or Mexico; China, Asia and to a lesser extent EU corporations exploited a loophole. Through a process of building, assembling or manufacturing their products in Mexico/Canada those foreign corporations can skirt U.S. trade tariffs and direct U.S. trade agreements. The finished foreign products entered the U.S. under NAFTA rules.
Why deal with the U.S. when you can just deal with Mexico, and use NAFTA rules to ship your product directly into the U.S. market?
This exploitative approach, a backdoor to the U.S. market, was the primary reason for massive foreign investment in Canada and Mexico; it was also the primary reason why candidate Donald Trump, now President Donald Trump, wanted to shut down that loophole and renegotiate NAFTA.
This loophole was the primary reason for U.S. manufacturers to relocate operations to Mexico. Corporations within the U.S. Auto-Sector could enhance profits by building in Mexico or Canada using parts imported from Asia/China. The labor factor was not as big a part of the overall cost consideration as cheaper parts and imported raw materials.
If you understand the reason why U.S. companies benefited from those moves, you can begin to understand if the U.S. was going to remain inside NAFTA President Trump would have remained engaged in TPP.
As soon as President Trump withdrew from TPP the problem with the Canada and Mexico loophole grew. All corporations from TPP nations would now have an option to exploit the same NAFTA loophole.
Why ship directly to the U.S., or manufacturer inside the U.S., when you could just assemble in Mexico and Canada and use NAFTA to bring your products to the ultimate goal, the massive U.S. market?
From the POTUS Trump position, NAFTA always came down to two options:
Option #1 – renegotiate the NAFTA trade agreement to eliminate the loopholes. That would require Canada and Mexico to agree to very specific rules put into the agreement by the U.S. that would remove the ability of third-party nations to exploit the current trade loophole. Essentially the U.S. rules would be structured around removing any profit motive with regard to building in Canada or Mexico and shipping into the U.S.
Canada and Mexico would have to agree to those rules; the goal of the rules would be to stop third-party nations from exploiting NAFTA. The problem in this option is the exploitation of NAFTA currently benefits Canada and Mexico. It is against their interests to remove it. Knowing it was against their interests President Trump never thought it was likely Canada or Mexico would ever agree. But he was willing to explore and find out.
Option #2 – Exit NAFTA. And subsequently deal with Canada and Mexico individually with structured trade agreements about their imports. Canada and Mexico could do as they please, but each U.S. bi-lateral trade agreement would be written with language removing the aforementioned cost-benefit-analysis to third-party countries (same as in option #1.)
All nuanced trade-sector issues put aside, the larger issue is always how third-party nations will seek to gain access to the U.S. market through Canada and Mexico. [It is the NAFTA exploitation loophole which has severely damaged the U.S. manufacturing base.]
This is not direct ‘protectionism’, it is simply smart and fair trade.
Unfortunately, the U.S. CoC, funded by massive multinational corporations, is spending hundreds of millions on lobbying congress to keep the NAFTA loophole open.
The U.S. has to look upstream, deep into the trade agreements made by Mexico and Canada with third-parties, because it is possible for other nations to skirt direct trade with the U.S. and move their products through Canada and Mexico into the U.S.
Additionally, with Canada now joining TPP it has become impossible for the U.S. to remain in NAFTA and simultaneously conduct trade negotiations with TPP nations.
President Trump, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross and U.S. Trade Representative Lighthizer well understand this structural problem. ONLY Trump, Ross, Mnuchin and Lighthizer are willing to confront this problem. If Trump had lost the election, Clinton would have joined the multinationals and U.S. workers would have suffered greatly.
Lastly, the issue of Canada and Mexico making trade agreements with other nations (especially China), while brokering their NAFTA position with the U.S. as a strategic part of those agreements, is a serious issue that cannot adequately be resolved while the U.S. remains connected to NAFTA.
At the conclusion of Round #6, this was the direct issue at the heart of a very frustrated U.S.T.R. Lighthizer’s strongly worded response to Canada:
[…] In another proposal, Canada reserved the right to treat the United States and Mexico even worse than other countries if they enter into future agreements. Those other countries may, in fact, even include China, if there is an agreement between China and [Canada]. This proposal, I think if the United States had made it, would be dubbed a “poison pill.” We did not make it, though. Obviously, this is unacceptable to us, and my guess is it is to the Mexican side also. (read full remarks)
So you see, if you just look at the pure economics of the options, and you remember that President Trump is constitutionally antithetical to anyone having influence over U.S. interests other than the American people inside the United States, you can clearly see there is only one-way this entire process ends.
California is trying to scheme to circumvent the Trump Tax Reform which limits deductions to $10,000 in state taxes from their federal returns. Of course, the California press portrays this as punishment for voting for Hillary. But they support higher taxes as long as they get to deduct them from the Feds, which has been very hypocritical, to say the least.
The average tax paid in California amounts to $18,438 for 6.1 million returns of state residents who itemized deductions in 2015. And that adds up to a mountain of money — 6.1 million multiplied by the lost $8,438 in deductions is $51.5 billion. So we will, at last, see just how generous Californians really are in their Democratic beliefs that everyone should pay higher taxes.
The dishonesty of politicians in California knows no bounds. Naturally, there is no discussion whatsoever of reducing the tax burden for residents by reducing the cost of government. OMG! How dare someone even utter those words in a state that wants to tax per mile a space launch travels above the state.
State Senate President Pro Tem Kevin de León, D-Los Angeles, proposed to set up a state charity named the California Excellence Fund which would allow taxpayers to donate to it get a 100% credit on state income taxes. Since Trump’s federal taxes doesn’t impose limits on charitable deductions, the scheme would, in theory, allow Californians to lower their federal tax obligations while paying the same amount in state taxes. Ah! Brilliant!
The problem would be that this could alter the definition of charity and result in the Feds eliminating real charities to circumvent California’s latest scheme.
The truck rental business is a leading indicator of net migration. There is a shortage of trucks for rent to get out of California. The rates can be 300% higher to rent a truck for one-way trips out of California v trips into the La La Land of endless taxes.
Seven U.S. states currently don’t have an income tax: Alaska, Florida, Nevada, South Dakota, Texas, Washington, and Wyoming. And residents of New Hampshire and Tennessee are also spared from handing over an extra chunk of their paycheck on April 15, though they do pay tax on dividends and income from investments. The number one place Californians are migrating to is Nevada with the truck rental ratio at 16.4:1 leaving California.
Real estate is starting to decline in the high tax states and it is flat to rising in non-income taxed states. California has surpassed some of the most socialistic taxed countries in Europe and they get even less. So where does the money go? Into the pension for state employees. CalPERS is still underfunded, and it is a $345 billion pension fund has been collecting more money from employers. In 2016, CalPERS paid out $20.5 billion in benefits – $4 billion more than it earned, according to its annual financial report.
Sacramento Mayor Darrell Steinberg, seen here delivering the State of the City address on Jan. 18, wants to raise sales taxes to cover pension costs that are rising. The pension crisis will simply bankrupt the State and politicians refuse to address the problems.
Gov. Jerry Brown and Treasurer John Chiang have cooked up an idea to borrow $6 billion from the state’s Pooled Money Investment Account and spend it on an extra payment to the CalPERS — that is, make an advance payment to CalPERS for pensions. The idea was aired by Brown in his May 2017 budget proposal. In January 2017, Jerry Brown wanted a 42% increase in gas taxes to bailout CalPERS.
All of these schemes are only to help government employees – not the poor on the street in some magnanimous social caring effort. The question becomes, when will the sheet be pulled off the Democratic agenda laced with class warfare pretending this is for the people when it is for the government? A real Democrat is not a Donkey – it’s a Zebra, like Hillary who said you say one thing publicly and another privately.
California became a State on September 9th, 1850. When will California break away from the USA? The window opens in 2022.
Draghi has realized that he has singlehandedly destroyed the European bond market. Besides the fact that it is illegal to short government bonds, he has come face to face with the stark reality that if the ECB stops buying government bonds, there will be NO BID at these price levels. Interest rates will skyrocket dramatically. On the German 10-year bond, once we see a monthly closing above .79, we are looking at a DOUBLING of rates and that is in Germany. Once rates rise above 1.55, then expect it to rapidly DOUBLE again.
Consequently, Mario Draghi has been warned there is a serious problem. He told the Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee of the European Parliament that he would maintain a very loose monetary policy because it was necessary despite the upturn in the euro area. He said that INFLATION remains critically dependent on a strong push using monetary policy. Of course, you would assume that after 10 years of this policy and there is no sign of a major return of inflation, that you would start to question the entire Quantity of Money Theory.
Draghi said Monday that he will continue to include the billion-dollar bond purchase program and he will reinvest expiring bonds exactly OPPOSITE of the policy at the Federal Reserve. While the dollar-bears keep calling to the end of the Greenback, they are deaf, dumb and blind when it comes to international capital flows or monetary policy.
Draghi realizes that he is subsidizing the European governments. He is not stimulating the economy, he simply has them on life-support. Stopping the bond program will lead to a major crisis when there is NO BID for government bonds. Not only will Draghi keep buying government debt, he will be repurchasing debt as what he already has expired.
Draghi has created the economic NIGHTMARE from which there is no escape. We will be putting together a special report on World Debt market since this is the real crisis we are facing with the Monetary Crisis Cycle that began here in 2018
According to recent reports up to eleven marines from Joint Base Myer-Henderson in Arlington Virginia have suffered from mysterious symptoms after opening a suspicious letter within the administration building on base.
Fox 10 is reporting three marines were taken to the hospital and are currently receiving treatment for sore throats and a nosebleed. A Hazmat team was immediately called and is working on the scene.
Responding fire department officials report 11 people came into contact with the suspicious letter. Details developing.
Still no word on the turrets and sharks with lasers idea, but we’re holding steady…
SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) – A U.S. judge on Tuesday sided with President Donald Trump’s administration and rejected an attempt by the state of California and environmental groups to stop the government from building a wall on the U.S. border with Mexico.
The lawsuit filed in a San Diego federal court alleged that Trump’s proposed wall violates federal environmental standards, as well as constitutional provisions regarding the separation of powers and states’ rights.
The plaintiffs asked U.S. District Judge Gonzalo Curiel to stop the administration from pursuing the barrier until it demonstrates compliance with environmental laws.
The wall, a key item for Trump’s political base of supporters, has become a sticking point in talks to keep alive a federal program that protects from deportation young people who were brought to the United States illegally as children.
In his latest budget proposal to Congress, Trump requested $23 billion for border security, most of it for building the wall.
Curiel said his decision on Tuesday was not based on whether the underlying decisions to construct the wall “are politically wise or prudent.” Rather, Curiel said the Trump administration had not exceeded its legal authority in pursuing the project. (read more)
Earlier today President Donald Trump announced that he’s running for re-election in 2020 and Brad Parscale has been named campaign manager.
In an announcement posted on the president’s campaign website, his son, Eric Trump, called Parscale “an amazing talent” who was “pivotal to our success in 2016.” Top Trump adviser and Trump son-in-law Jared Kushner said that Parscale “was essential in bringing a disciplined technology and data-driven approach to how the 2016 campaign was run.”
NEW YORK, NY – Today, President Trump announced the appointment of Brad Parscale as the Campaign Manager for his reelection committee as the advanced planning for the 2020 race begins.
Mr. Parscale is a longtime digital marketing strategist for President Trump, first with the Trump Organization and then with the successful 2016 presidential campaign, who has continued to lead digital strategies for the campaign and the Republican National Committee.
In addition to focusing on building its infrastructure for the 2020 race, the Trump Campaign will be engaged in the 2018 midterm elections this year, providing candidates with general support, endorsements, and rallying the support of the political grassroots by engaging Trump supporters in districts and states.
Eric Trump said, “Brad is an amazing talent and was pivotal to our success in 2016. He has our family’s complete trust and is the perfect person to be at the helm of the campaign.”
Jared Kushner, President Trump’s son-in-law, said, “Brad was essential in bringing a disciplined technology and data-driven approach to how the 2016 campaign was run. His leadership and expertise will be help build a best-in-class campaign.” (read more)
An additional Press Release includes:
NEW YORK, NY – On the first day in his new role as the Campaign Manager of President Trump’s reelection campaign committee, Brad Parscale announced the appointments of top leadership roles, selecting two leaders who have played senior roles in the campaign committee since it was formed in early 2017.
Michael Glassner was newly appointed as the Chief Operating Officer of Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. Mr. Glassner was the 2016 Deputy Campaign Manager starting in July of 2015 and has led the President’s campaign committee as the Executive Director since early 2017.
Lara Trump, the wife of Eric Trump and the President’s daughter-in-law, will serve as a Senior Advisor to Donald J. Trump for President, Inc., the President’s reelection committee. Mrs. Trump has coordinated strategic planning and digital communications for the campaign committee since early 2017.
These appointments come as the Trump Campaign builds out its long-term game plan. The campaign plans on being an important entity to help with the 2018 midterm elections including engaging in elections by supporting and endorsing House and Senate candidates, and leveraging President Trump’s vast network of supporters nationwide to encourage them to support candidates and vote. It will also involve building out an effective team for the 2020 reelection campaign.
“I am honored to lead President Trump’s reelection campaign committee as the Campaign Manager and build out a first-class management team that reflects the President’s winning spirit,” said Campaign Manager Brad Parscale.
“It is my pleasure to announce the first major appointments to our new leadership team as we build out the 2020 reelection campaign. Michael Glassner has been a valuable asset since the earliest days of the 2016 campaign. He will continue to provide his proven and critical leadership to the campaign as he serves as our Chief Operating Officer. Lara Trump has led the campaign’s strategic planning and digital communications since early 2017. Her advice and counsel will also be vital as we build a plan for success for the President’s reelection in 2020. I welcome the opportunity to work with two of the President’s most important campaign advisors as we build a winning team and strategy to engage in the midterm elections and then to support the President’s victory in 2020,” Parscale concluded. (link)
Earlier today President Trump spoke candidly with the White House assembly of U.S. Governors about the critical need to re-evaluate their position(s) on trade. President Trump’s remarks were direct, but also remarkably nuanced toward the audience. However, if you follow Trump’s process, you’ll note the familiar indications.
Next, far less subtle and yet following along the same predictable process, the Wall Street Journal is reporting President Trump now promoting his economic guru Peter Navarro to be Assistant to The President. Navarro is a brilliant and strategic trade hawk who has a long track record of supporting the same trade principles as Donald Trump.
A NAFTA decision/announcement looms. ♦ As expected and predicted, a recent phone call by Mexican President Pena Nieto to POTUS Trump didn’t end well. ♦ USTR Lighthizer blasted Canada at the end of round six NAFTA renegotiation. ♦ Placing Pete Navarro inside the circle puts him directly in the right place to speak on behalf of President Trump for an upcoming announcement. All of these NAFTA exit indicators are great news.
Our wolverine team is growing. Now we have Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Asst. To POTUS Peter Navarro, all assembled.
WASHINGTON—The White House plans to promote an adviser known for his hawkish views on trade policy, giving economic nationalists a stronger voice in internal debates as the Trump administration nears decisions on high-profile trade issues.
Peter Navarro, an economist who helped shape Donald Trump’s 2016 protectionist campaign platform, will be named an assistant to the president, according to a person familiar with the matter.
Mr. Navarro began Mr. Trump’s presidency with broad influence and regular access to the Oval Office but his role was quickly limited after he clashed with the aides who oppose his views on trade deficits and multilateral trade agreements.
The move to elevate Mr. Navarro comes as the White House is nearing decisions on several high-profile trade matters.
The administration faces an April deadline on whether to impose broad-based steel and aluminum tariffs in the name of national security. Officials are also completing an investigation on widespread complaints that China improperly forces U.S. companies to turn over valuable intellectual property, a probe that is expected to result in significant economic sanctions against Beijing.
It is unclear exactly how Mr. Navarro’s role will change, but the promotion is likely to give Mr. Navarro a more regular role in trade debates and meetings at the White House, according to the person familiar with the matter, a trade expert who has discussed the move with White House officials.
“This gives Peter a more formal seat at the table when trade and manufacturing policies are discussed,” this person said. “That’s something that has been in question the last six months.” (link)
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; The goldbugs are saying that China, Russia, India are “rogue” rising economic powers that are rogue nations. They cite David Stockman who preaches the U.S. economy is in deep trouble thanks to its “massive indebtedness” and they seem to ignore what you have pointed out that the USA is in the best shape. They also cite that there is a “massive global infrastructure” that will connect Asian nations with countries rich in natural resources and they are selling off U.S. debt. They keep calling this a petrodollar that replaced a gold-backed dollar which means the dollar is vulnerable to collapse. Is any of this stuff ever valid?
LMM
ANSWER: This is just sophistry. Any reduction in US debt holdings is negligible and the “massive indebtedness” of the USA is a joke compared to the outstanding world debt As the interest rates continue to rise, the debt servicing costs are simply going to explode. As a whole, Europe is over 100% of debt to GDP with respect to just Public Debt on average compared to the USA at about 73%. Global government public debt has exceeded $60 trillion. As far as David Stockman is concerned, he has been preaching the same thing since the 1980s.
The Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st-century Maritime Silk Road, also known as the One Belt and One Road Initiative, (OBOR), is a development strategy proposed by Chinese Government that focuses on connectivity and cooperation between Eurasian countries. This is clearly going to build China to become the new Financial Capital of the World. However, that does not come into play until AFTER 2032.
I have explained that there is no PETRODOLLAR. This is completely bogus. I really do not understand how they can keep saying this factually incorrect information to get people to hand them their life-savings. The oil and gas drilling sector make up between 4.6% and 6.5% of the global economy. That is it. How can you call this a “PETRODOLLAR” by any rational means?
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
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