Posted originally on Jul 4, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
Back in 2008, I named a report after what Margaret Thatcher had told me about politics. I began that report by writing:
Time is but a dimension that we divide up to mark its passing. Western thought, unfortunately, is linear, not dynamic. This has been the curse of Western understanding and knowledge. Time is but a cycle – a circle. Asians are raised with the idea of cycles leading to a more dynamic thinking process. Some see and feel cycles, and some see it as necessary and instinctively understand them. Lady Margaret Thatcher once commented to me that the Conservatives would lose the elections in Great Britain when John Major was running, she said – “It’s just time.”
Lady Thatcher came and spoke at our conference on cycles. She said.
Today’s British election is underway, and we will see a sweep where Labour will replace Conservatives, who have acknowledged that Labour appears headed for victory and urged voters not to hand the party a “supermajority.” Britain’s Prime Minister Rishi Sunak insisted “the outcome of this election is not a foregone conclusion.” However, in a message to voters on Wednesday, Sunak said that “if the polls are to be believed, the country could wake up tomorrow to a Labour supermajority ready to wield their unchecked power.”He urged voters to back the Conservatives to limit Labour’s power. The Conservatives have been more concerned about appeasing Anthony Blinken and the American quest to conquer Russia. To hell with the economy or the people. Britain was fully on board with the Globalists, which was precisely OPPOSITE of all the positions to retain independence from Europe, which were the core policies of Lady Thatcher.
I have done some interviews in Britain where the host reluctantly put me on the air because of my connection with Lady Thatcher and their obstinacy about even trying to understand her policies. Many regard her as the most hated Prime Minister, all because they were used to handouts. They claim that she destroyed Britain’s manufacturing industry, and her policies led to mass unemployment. That was absurd, for the world was engulfed in the crisis at the time – not just Britain.
I advised companies that wanted to get into the EU and needed skilled labor to place them in Britain, while I placed those that needed the best tax deals, like airlines, in Ireland. Thatcher had heard that there was this guy rearranging companies and wanted to meet me. She asked me why I placed industries in Britain compared to other European countries. I explained that the cost per employee in other regulations was 40% less in Britain compared to Germany at the time.
Others argued that she presided over 15% interest rates. Again, that was not unique to Britain; it was a global trend. Most of the complaints about Thatcher were based on their ignorance of global trends. No single country can reverse a worldwide recession, no matter who the politician might be. The very best you can do is minimize the volatility and depth of the decline.
I did feel the public would never understand her reasoning regarding the poll tax. She felt that if people had skin in the game, this would limit government waste. But the people, I said, are like dogs. They are satisfied with the scraps from your table, not about jumping on your table and eating the whole meal. Others complain that she sowed the seeds of NHS Privatisation. I think Russia proved, as did ancient Byzantium, that the government is INCAPABLE of running anything efficiently. Those who hated Thatcher seemed to want to be taken care of and had no interest in their country.
What the self-centered haters of Thatcher refuse to understand, no less acknowledge, is that she SAVED Britain. I remember she said if she walked across the Thames River, they would say it was because she did not know how to swim. The coup staged against her by John Major and others was to take Britain into the fantasy land of the Euro. Major took Britain into the ERM and overvalued the pound, which led Soros to make his fortune thanks to John Major and others.
She knew that Tony Blair would win long before there were polls. When I asked why, she told me, “It’s Just Time.” She understood cycles better than any Western politician I have ever met. So while the ignorant still hate Margaret Thatcher, they will now get to see what voting for self-interest will do with promises of more money.
The one thing I have learned from our computer is that if you turn the economy around with these Economic Confidence Model turning points, you will get political change. What is sweeping the world is that 60% of it is going to an election, and WHOEVER is in power is just being thrown out. The Globalists have been trying to take over everything, creating their dream of a one-world government headed by the United Nations with the elimination of our right to vote on anything. Their dream is a global dictatorship. Democracy must end as part of their agenda. It is refreshing to see Macron in trouble, as is Prime Minister Rishi Sunak. World leaders like Trudeau in Canada, Biden in the USA, and Ursula in the EU have a common goal – war against Russia at all costs and the creation of this one-world government bringing Democracy to an end. The people are responding regardless if they call themselves conservative, liberal, labour, or communist. Whoever is in power is taking the brunt of this global political shift.
Posted originally on the CTH on July 4, 2024 | Sundance
It really is remarkable to watch the similarities between left-wing politics in the USA and left-wing politics in France. Historically, and in actual practice, we see this similarity as history rhymes and repeats. In both instances, you will note how the “mainstream” Democrats align with the communists to stop the majority of commonsense patriots.
In the USA, Democrats enjoy the activity of their foot soldiers in Antifa (Occupy Wall Street, Black Lives Matter, or RevCom etc.) In France, the Democrats (NPF), within Macron’s camp, enjoy the activity of Black Bloc (the EU Antifa socialists and communists).
For this second round of the election, President Emmanuel Macron and Prime Minister Gabriel Attal have organized 210 candidate exits, as Macron pulls his party toward the far-left. The people, within the center of the Macron coalition, cannot believe how Macron would join with the communists, simply to retain his own power. Apparently, they don’t follow history much.
FRANCE – […] “Macron reportedly refused to accept that the election result was a disaster and represents the end of his movement.
Criticizing his sudden decision to ally with far-left extremists, one minister said, “He is so drunk on himself that he is in a bubble. In every moment, he sincerely believes, even today, that he does the best thing that can possibly be done and says the best thing that can possibly be said.”
Another minister told reporters, “It was a completely surreal scene. It was as if he hasn’t understood that he’s lost, hasn’t understood that because of him his political movement is dead, hasn’t understand that now he inspires only rage in those who once supported him, hasn’t understood that his words now ring hollow, hasn’t understood that he has lost all his political capital.” (more)
The French political manipulators (like Samantha Power) are repeating all the familiar moves – like putting agent provocateurs on the streets, people dressed in Nazi uniforms – to give the appearance of the nationalists as a “right-wing” extremist group. The Canadian political manipulators did the same thing during the Trucker rally, and the USA version of the same people created the optics for J6. It’s all the same playbook.
All of the opposition research files on the Marine Le Pen supported nationalist candidates are being dropped in advance of the Sunday election, in an effort to stop the conservative French from achieving victory. These are all direct plays from the revolutionary communist playbook.
FRANCE – The French interior minister, Gerald Darmanin, said some 30,000 police will be deployed across France late on Sunday following the second round of elections to ensure there is no trouble.
Late last night, the French prime minister, Gabriel Attal, said candidate Prisca Thevenot – the government spokesperson – and members of her campaign team were attacked by four individuals while putting up election posters. “Violence and intimidation have no place in our democracy,” he said.
Today, Thevenot thanked law enforcement and said “violence is never the answer.”
The French prosecutor’s office said it opened an investigation into an assault with a weapon against a public official.
A new poll from Ifop shows that 47% of voters believe the far right National Rally will win an absolute majority of seats in Sunday’s election.
The far right National Rally’s Marine Le Pen argued her party can still win an absolute majority. “I think there is still the capacity to have an absolute majority with the electorate turning out in a final effort to get what they want,” she said.
Raphaël Glucksmann, who led the French Socialist-Place Publique list in the European elections, has cautioned against a belief that “we have saved things” already and called for urgency to defeat the far right.
The Ecologists’ Marine Tondelier has criticised the far-right National Rally’s Jordan Bardella, arguing that his party is allowing some candidates who made racist, anti-Semitic and misogynistic comments to remain on the ballot (read more)
It’s all playing out exactly as we predicted – SEE HERE
If the communists (Democrats) lose to the nationalists (Republicans), they will burn France to the ground.
Watch closely, because when Donald Trump wins in November, the same thing will likely happen here!
The globalist cabal needs to control the food supply in order to control the masses. The World Economic Forum proposed ending gardeningin general. Every nation is watching their farmland bought in bulk, with places like America seeing land taken away through eminent domain laws. The UK imposed a tax on chickens simply to prevent people from having the ability to source their own food. Now, Denmark is implementing a tax for cow ownership.
Denmark has imposed a 672 krone ($145) tax per cow owned by any individual in an attempt to combat climate change. People must pay the government for the luxury of owning livestock as they are threatening the climate. The government has paid for scientists to back these claims and falsified studies that state that gardening or owning livestock of any kind threatens the existence of planet Earth. Like COVID, we are blindly forced to trust “the science” when it is clear propaganda.
This is a massive issue for Denmark where 63% of the total land area is used for agricultural production. The dairy cow population is about 546,800, declining 1.74% from 2022 to 2023, and the nation hosts 2.5% of all dairy cows in the European Union. About 3.6% of all milk consumed in the EU comes from Denmark. Yet, Denmark is pushing full speed ahead to meet asinine climate targets. The nation plans to reduce 70% of all emissions by 2030, in alignment with Agenda 2030, before becoming climate neutral in 2050.
Foreign Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen praised Denmark for becoming the first nation to impose a carbon tax on agriculture. The plan, per usual, is to continue increasing this tax, as the levy will reach 1680 per cow by 2035. The billions in revenue will circulate back into the green agenda.
Farmers across the EU have been protesting against these climate initiatives for a long time. They’re being forced to change their feed and use less fertilizer. Everything they’re asked to abide by only makes their industry less competitive compared to foreign nations that are not and will never abide by the green agenda.
This will do nothing to change the climate or the weather. This will, however, prevent small farmers from operating and give few more control over the agriculture industry. Climate change is the premise to tax us into oblivion. No one is able to question the climate agenda, and there is no limit on how much carbon they claim they need to reduce to save the planet. Slowly but surely, every law imposed will curb our God-given ability to utilize the land to feed ourselves. Governments are absolutely tyrannical with power and are attempting to control the most basic of human needs.
Posted orinally on Jul 3, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
As long as the West continues to allow the Neocons to control this war, then there will be no stopping World War III. These people have spent their entire lives hating Russians for particularly personal reasons. These Neocons have waged endless wars since Vietnam. They had lied to the American public to justify their wars as MacNamara sought to clear his conscience before he died and said, “WE WERE WRONG” about Vietnam, that the Russians were not involved, and it was just a civil war. The cost of this War on Terror Brown University has conducted a study and placed it at $8 trillion, again with no victory. There were no weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, and nobody was ever held accountable.
It was Victoria Nuland who hand-picked the UNELECTED government in Ukraine and instructed it to begin the civil war, attacking the Donbas to lure in Putin so they could conquer Russia; with their track record, they would lose again. Yet they get the fake news to constantly say Putin invaded unprovoked, lying to the West as they did with Vietnam, where even President Johnson admitted the Vietnamese never attacked the USA. Nuland famously said, “FUCK THE EU” show was out to install her government to start this war. All three Neocons who have found power under Biden were all Jewish with heritage in Ukraine who claim their families were persecuted by Russians. That is a CONFLICT OF INTEREST, and nobody in Congress dares to investigate. The vast majority of Jewish friends I have, none of them trace their roots to Ukraine.
To make sure Putin would come to the rescue of the Donbas, they rigged the election to stick in their hand puppet Zelensky, and the day before the invasion, he stood up and declared that Ukraine would rearm with nuclear weapons pointed at Russia.
The Washington Post interviewed Zelensky and asked him why he did not warn his people that Russia would invade when they discovered he had US intelligence. He responded that it would have cost him $7 billion because people would have moved their money out of Ukraine. Ukraine cannot hit Russian ships in the Black Sea or attack installations inside Russia without American intelligence and the use of spy satellites. It was the US that informed Zelensky when Russia would invade, and he admits to having that information.
This means we are already at war with Russia. If you hire a gunman to kill someone, you point to that person, and he pulls the trigger, in a court of law, you would be charged with conspiracy to murder, and the fact you can claim you did not pull the trigger has no legal basis to escape the charge. This is what is going on in Ukraine. This recent attack, killing even children on a beach, demonstrates that Ukraine cannot be trusted and this war should be shut down. The real numbers so far are 1.1 million Ukrainians ARE ALREADY DEAD. All for Victoria Nuland’s personal hatred of Russians?
Posted originally on Jul 2, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
Politics were never divided to the level we see today. I have people write in to say that politics has always been a divisive and dirty game. While that is true, there is no denying that America has never been less united. Socrates is not forecasting a typical partisan debacle come election season, rather, Socrates is predicting a massive rise in civil unrest that will explode by the beginning of September. By 2028, there may not be a US Presidential election at all.
Take a look at the video above. One may recall the division that took place when Barack Obama was running for president. There has always been the left v the right, but there was humanity. Everyone still identified as an American, first and foremost. The debates today have come down to outright battles between the two sides where neither feels the other deserves to exist on the same land. In the movie “Civil War,” one separatist soldier questioned, “What kind of American are you?” This line of thinking is precisely what we see today, and it is precisely on time.
We are in the final stages of the decline and fall of republics. When the founding fathers founded America, they cited Cicero who was the fake news of the ancient world – eventually they beheaded him and nailed him, he was that bad. They thought it was a republic against monarchy or, effectively, a republic is always the most corrupt because everyone is up for sale. The scenario created is far worse than a dictatorship, as one cannot bribe a dictator.
Simply look and listen to the current president of the United States, the most powerful man in the world who cannot hold a coherent thought. Juxtaposing his speech and mannerisms to only a few years ago is simply tragic. He has declined into a shell of his former self. The establishment will not allow Biden to step away from power without utterly humiliating him first so that there is no question as to why they must swap out their candidate.
CBS conducted a survey that found 72% of all voters questioned the president’s cognitive abilities. We are not merely questioning his policies, but we are questioning whether he is fit enough to function. About 35% of Americans still held onto false hope that Biden could physically serve another term, but that dropped to a mere 27% after his debate with Donald Trump. The establishment believes that We the People are idiots when we can clearly see that our president has a serious mental impairment. What’s worse is that one side still believes people will vote for a senile man.
They are deliberately creating outrage among the public and failing to listen to the wishes of the people. The newly installed candidate who will replace Biden will “save the day” in the eyes of the Democrats, but that person will merely fuel the anger on the right. The left has been the most outspoken in terms of their discontent with the government, even under a liberal administration. What will they do if their candidate loses? The corrupt legal system like Manhattan DA Alvin Braggs will not prosecute anyone on the left. The right has been demonized and backed into a corner.
The 2024 US Presidential Election will not follow the normal discourse of Republicans v Democrats. We have two completely different schools of thought competing for the future of America as we have known it. Economics drives everything and NO ONE is content with the current state of the economy, but they do not understand how it functions and are willing to assign blame to either party. It has taken years, a pandemic, mass migration, and woke politics to fuel a landscape of absolute hate. I fear that a civil war is inevitable as both sides want to reclaim their version of America.
Your future will be utterly destroyed because of these Neocons who are consumed with personal hatred of Russians. They are pushing American policymakers, arguing that Putin is bluffing and we can, therefore, destroy Russia, and he will never fire a shot. They insist that Putin won’t put his money where his mouth is regarding escalation. Adam Kinzinger, who is the classic Neocon – a Republican congressman from Illinois who jumped ship and ran to CNN so he could preach World War III after losing the election because of his views. He is now CNN’s senior political commentator. This is the same Adam Kinzinger who insanely claimed that we could “TAKE OUT” Russia in three days! I guess we could wipe out China in 4.5 days and then rule the world so nobody will retaliate. I have NEVER heard such reckless commentary in my entire life. And he is joined by another Neocon, Ben Hodges, a retired United States Army officer who served as commanding general of United States Army Europe.
We have a very dangerous situation brewing, and Neocons are just so consumed by their personal hatred they are threatening civilization. As a hedge fund manager, you NEVER take a position without understanding where you are wrong. These people would NEVER be a trader because they clearly assume they will win and Russia and China would NEVER retaliate and just fall to their knees and beg for forgiveness and lick their shoes while they are there.
If hate crimes are to be enforced, they should drag these people out of office, lock them up in the hole, and throw away the key. They do not deserve the death penalty, for that is far too easy. People WRONGLY I think the death penalty is the worst. There are plenty of people in prison for life who would take that option if it was offered. These Neocons have weaseled their way into positions of power to manipulate the power of the United States for their personal vendettas. They are a threat to world peace and your future. People like Adam Kinzinger and Ben Hodges are very dangerous and will bring the United States to its destiny with the fall from the financial capital of the world.
This only lends credence to those telling Putin he should nuke Kiev and then ask the world is this where you want to go. They can do as the Americans did to Japan and drop leaflets, giving them a few days to get out of town. If they did what the Americans did and dropped these warnings, then they can argue they have done nothing different from the Americans. However, the argument is that then the people will see Russia is not bluffing, and they will round up these Neocons and lock them up where they belong.
Perhaps that is the only way to prevent a complete all-out nuclear war. The average person has to wake up and demand that their governments back off. Should we all destroy our future and that of our children and grandchildren all for the Donbas? Since the Ukrainians are denied a right to vote to remove Zelensky, they need to storm this palace to say their own country. Nearly 10 million have fled Ukraine, and Ukrainians are not allowed to decide their own fate, for that comes from Blinken in Washington.
They are pushing this nonsense that Putin is bluffing with his threats of nuclear escalation. NATO’s Secretary General, another sad representative of humanity, Jens Stoltenberg, has also dismissed the likelihood of Western aid to Ukraine leading to Russian retaliation. Personally, to save the world, NATO should be utterly destroyed. The Biden administration is controlled by Blinken and his other conflicted Neocons with lineages back to Ukraine who all profess their families were persecuted by Russians. They have usurped the power of the United States for personal gain, and there is NOBODY in Congress with the courage to save our nation.
Blinken makes the decisions, and the debate shows that Biden is not running the country. Blinken jas pushed the Biden Administration, allowing Ukraine to use US weapons to wage war inside Russia now directly —a red line the administration previously refused to cross. If I hire a hitman to tell him to kill someone, I cannot then claim innocence in court because he pulled the trigger.
Historically, let me make this perfectly clear to these people who are bringing the world to destruction. War has ALWAYS escalated when their red lines are crossed. The assumption that Putin is bluffing is self-serving is by people who just hate Russians. Historically, countries usually DO NOT bluff, and when they make such threats, they are eventually carried out. Indeed, if this morally corrupt individual ever studied history, they would discover multiple examples throughout history that show how this very proposition has led to death, destruction, and the disastrous fall of empires, nations, and city-states. Chinese general Sun Tzu has been revered for centuries for his wisdom in dealing with wars. These Neocons have waged endless wars since Vietnam under the pretense that they must defeat Russia. As Tzu warned: “There is no instance of a nation benefiting from prolonged warfare.” Nearly 2/3rds of our national debt is because of war – not social benefits. Since we NEVER pay off our debt, we then pay interest forever on every war, and the veterans have to be provided healthcare for life for their service.
Putin is the ONLY wise man or adult in the room. Putin trusts Sun Tzu’s words: “Pretend to be weak, that he may grow arrogant.”This arrogance is filling the air and it is so obvious that the West will lose. Even Tzu said:
“He will win who knows when to fight and when not to fight.”
Even if we closely look at World War II, we can see how these Neocons learned nothing. Japan’s logic behind its attack on Pearl Harbor is an important example of miscalculating an adversary’s willingness to escalate. FDR was doing everything to entice Japan to war, just as the US and Europe were doing to Russia. The Japanese did not understand that FDR wanted Japan to attack because Congress kept rejecting a Declaration of War to enter Europe. The Japanese misunderstood that America would not retaliate as our Neocons seem to be suggesting with Russia today.
When Japan occupied French Indochina in 1941, America retaliated by freezing all Japanese assets in the states, just as they had done to Russia. FDR prevented Japan from purchasing oil. Having lost 94% of its oil supply and unwilling to submit to U.S. demands, Japan planned to take the oil needed by force. However, striking south into British Malaya and the Dutch East Indies would almost certainly provoke an armed U.S. response. To blunt that response, Japan decided to attack the U.S. Pacific Fleet at Pearl Harbor, hoping that the U.S. would negotiate peace.
The attack at Pearl Harbor was a huge gamble that obviously was wrong for Japan. FDR used Pearl Harbor to justify getting into World War II both in Europe and the Pacific. Instead of reverting to isolationism as Japan miscalculated, the U.S. geared up for total war, and Japan’s fate was sealed. This was FDR’s plan all along. The U.S. had already broken the Japanese code and knew in advance when Pearl Harbor would take place.
At the time, Admiral Isoroku Yamamoto (1884-1943) was the architect of the attack on Pearl Harbor. He wrongly assumed that by attacking Pearl Harbor, the Americans would back off and stop meddling in the Pacific. Ultimately, the Japanese military thought such an attack would shock the United States into a negotiated settlement. Obviously, Yamamoto did not know his enemy. As Sun Tzu said;
“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.”
Kinzinger is clearly making the same mistake as Yamamoto. The Russian people do NOT see Putin as a tyrant – it is America who they see as hating the Russian people. They love to claim Putin arrests opponents, yet the Biden Administration not only charged Trump in multiple cases, they have gone after all his supporters and even charged 1400 people for January 6th when state capitols have been stormed over issues like abortion, but nobody charges them.
The Korean War is yet another striking example of this arrogance and misjudgment of an enemy. In 1950, General Douglas MacArthur, the leader of the United Nations Command, pushed American-led forces up the Korean peninsula against the North Korean military. Max Hastings, the military historian, wrote in his book The Korean War how MacArthur insisted on using American forces to achieve a complete victory against the North Koreans. He thought he could drive the troops up the Korean peninsula to the Yalu River, the border with China. However, Chinese officials made it clear to American and UN officials that they should not push their forces past the river. American intelligence reports also showed that PLA military forces were mobilizing in the regions adjacent to the Yalu River. Still, MacArthur insisted that the Chinese would not enter this war. MacArthur’s assessment also proved completely wrong as the Chinese troops began pouring into Korea in October 1950, marking one of the turning points in the Korean War. Yet here we have Adam Kinzinger reassuring the world that they can do as they like and Putin will never respond, for he is just bluffing.
Even if we look closely at Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev’s decision to send nuclear missiles to Cuba in 1962, once again, he failed to judge America for making the classic mistake our Neocons are doing today with Russia. On September 13, 1962, President Kennedy warned Khrushchev against turning Cuba into a Soviet base.
“If at any time the Communist build-up in Cuba were to endanger or interfere with our security in any way . . . or if Cuba should ever . . . become an offensive military base of significant capacity for the Soviet Union, then this country will do whatever must be done to protect its own security and that of its allies.”
However, Khrushchev called Kennedy’s “bluff” and decided to send medium-range nuclear missiles to Cuba. He thought Kennedy was a weak leader and believed that his administration would NEVER do anything to counter this maneuver, fearing nuclear war. Kinzinger is advocating the very same assumptions of Khrushchev that the United States under the Kennedy administration, which was anti-war, was bluffing. What followed from Khruschev’s misjudgment led to the Cuban Missile Crisis, where the world was on the edge of nuclear war over a thirteen-day period. Khruschev tested Kennedy’s resolve, and clear thinking returned. Then, the two met face to face.
The Roman god Janus was the god of the beginning and ending of conflict, hence war and peace. In ancient Rome, the Temple of Janus stood in the Roman Forum with doors on both ends. Inside was a statue of Janus, who is always represented as the two-faced god. The doors of his temple were open in times of war and closed to mark peace. During a war, the Romans understood that things could change politically during the war. During peace, everything was stable. Janus (Ianuarius) is depicted as having two faces because he simultaneously looks to the future and the past. So, when we celebrate New Year’s Eve, and we say goodbye to the past and hello to the future, which is a concept stemming from Janus. This ancient concept illustrated the stark difference between war and peace. During the war, you NEVER know when they will end, and you certainly are not guaranteed the outcome.
Our Neocons and the press are cheering war and are telling everyone that Putin is bluffing just, and MacArthur misread the Chinese, and the Japanese, and Kruschev both misjudged America. They have thrown caution to the win and ASSUME that they will be victorious. History warns that both sides believe they will be victorious, but in the end, only one is. This is not a roulette table where we put it all in red or black and presume we will win. They are playing with the lives of so many people, all for their personal hatreds.
Posted originally on Jun 30, 2024 By Martin Armstrong
Our computer’s political forecasts do not rely on polls. What is most interesting is that when you correlate the economy with politics, you get to see the major swings coming like never before. As I have said, our model has been showing that the 2024 election in the USA should be won by Trump. The Democrats will most likely draft Hillary to try to defeat this correlation whereby Biden would lose, and our computer interest had forecast back in 2020 that whoever won the 2020 election would not finish out the term. I had been concerned that if Trump won 2020, what was the computer forecasting – he would die in office or be assassinated? But the election was cleverly rigged in Congress itself with the help of the Deep State because Trump was anti-war. The previous anti-war president was Kennedy, and we all know what the CIA did back then.
The June 23, 1972, tape from the Watergate Affair was hailed as the incontrovertible evidence that Nixon had obstructed justice. The last vestige of support for Nixon on Capitol Hill evaporated. Two weeks later, on Aug. 8, 1974, Nixon resigned. Why did Congress and the Deep State abandon Nixon? Because while the tape dealt with obstruction of justice, it was a threat to the CIA that Nixon knew who killed JFK – the CIA. Nixon made ominous threats that reeked of unspoken crimes to the head of the CIA that had employed four of the seven burglars. For the next 50 years, people have looked at this evidence, and historians have pondered the June 23 tape as a Rosetta Stone of the JFK assassination. Nixon basically threatened to expose the “hanky panky” and “the whole Bay of Pigs thing.” What story was going to “blow” if the CIA didn’t cooperate?
A long-overlooked White House tape provides the answers—the “hanky panky” referred to CIA assassination operations in the early 1960s. The “whole Bay of Pigs thing” was the Agency’s reaction to its most humiliating defeat. And the story that might blow was the connection between those events and the assassination of JFK. Nixon was taken down and had to be discredited to protect the “hanky panky” that took place behind the scenes. The Watergate burglars were ex-CIA. Many wonder if they took down Nixon for daring to threaten them. The 1972 election had 520 Electoral votes for Nixon vs. 17 for McGovern. Nixon came in at 60.7% of the popular vote compared to 37.5% for McGovern. Our political model had forecast 61% and 62% for Nixon on two models. But then, too, it suggested that Nixon would not finish out his term. Nevertheless, 4 out of six models point to a Nixon victory.
Marine Le Pen’s National Rally was leading in the first round of parliamentary elections across France on Sunday. Based on early projections, her party is now one step closer to its goal of winning control of the National Assembly and taking the reins of government. Her National Rally and its allies appear to have won 34% of first-round votes, while the New Popular Front, a coalition of leftist parties, garnered 30% of ballots. President Emmanuel Macron’s warmongering party and its allies were heading for a third-place finish with 22% of the vote.
Macron’s presidential term ends in 2027. Macron placed a huge bet on this snap election. He wrongly expected to edge out leftist parties in the first round and force their voters to rally around his party for the runoff and thus defeat Le Pen’s National Rally. Macron does not understand politics. His strategy has backfired coming in third-place which means many of his candidates might miss runoff races altogether.
Le Pen and her allies, meanwhile, are within striking distance of a 289-seat majority in the National Assembly that would compel Macron to select a prime minister from her ranks. Le Pen has said she wants her protégé, 28-year-old Jordan Bardella, to run the government if National Rally captures a majority in the lower house of parliament.
The major political issue has been the rising cost of living. Macron fails to comprehend that his posturing to lead Europe and send troops to Ukraine will only drive inflation substantially higher in France. The cost of the sanctions against Russia has been devasting to inflation combined with the insane response to COVID with lockdowns. Leaders like Macron do not look at the costs of their chest beating in geopolitical posturing.
Turn the Economy & the Politics Always Changes
Nixon Won the 1972 Promising to End the War not create one
Posted originally on the CTH on June 30, 2024 | Sundance
French President Emmanuel Macron has not outlasted every other EU leader without having a Pelosian cunning streak. Macron knows exactly what he is doing, and undoubtedly USAID/CIA operative Samantha Power is there in the background helping him execute it.
In the first round of the SNAP election, opposition leader Marine Le Pen’s National Rally party has made huge strides in becoming the predominant force in French politics. The National Rally gains around 34% of the seats, the left-wing Alliance party gets 28% of the seats, and Macron’s centrist party will suffer major loses with only 20% of the seats.
The top two candidates will now head to the second round, where Macron -who still has 3 years on his term- will deploy “operation chaos”.
Macron will instruct his centrist seats, who lost, to organize their votes for the far-left socialists, thereby blocking the National Rally party from gaining a working majority. Just like the radical leftists in the USA (Democrats), Macron’s followers will do exactly what they are told to do.
[Remember the Alaska primary?] This two-round approach was the insurance policy Macron had built into his call for the snap election.
The Nationalists will act flummoxed, stunned, jaw-agape, just like good little French Republicans. The French people will wonder what happened just like American conservatives. Wash – Rinse- Repeat.
PARIS — France on Sunday took a step closer to delivering what was once seen as an unthinkable nightmare: a far-right government taking power in Paris for the first time.
Marine Le Pen’s National Rally made big gains in the first round of a snap election that could upend political orthodoxy across Europe and beyond, with implications for markets and global security that will be hard to predict.
According to early estimates by pollsters Ipsos, the far-right National Rally is on course to win 34 percent of Sunday’s vote while French President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist alliance suffered staggering losses, coming third with 20.3 percent of vote. The left-wing alliance made a strong showing with 28.1 percent of the vote.
“The French people have shown that they want to draw a line under seven years of [Macron’s] disdainful rule,” said Le Pen, speaking at a party event in the Eastern French town of Hénin-Beaumont. “We haven’t won yet, the second round will be crucial … we need an absolute majority so that Jordan Bardella, in eight days, can be appointed prime minister by Emmanuel Macron,” she added.
According to early projections based on exit polls, Le Pen’s party is expected to get 230-280 seats in the 577-seat national assembly, the left wing alliance 125-165 seats and Macron’s coalition 70-100.
Seat projections however are conjectural at this stage and dependent on political decisions taken in the coming days ahead of the second round of voting on July 7. Macron himself is due to stay in power until the end of his mandate in 2027, regardless of the outcome of this assembly election. (read more)
The two-round election is similar to the “ranked choice” approach in Alaska. Seat projections are estimates, because the voters for the losing centrist candidates now will have a choice between the far-left and far-right. Macron will cut deals with the socialists and instruct his team to vote left.
The far-right will stomp their feet like Republicans in Congress. The National Rally party will demand reform like Republicans in Congress, and in the end, they will generally support the collective globalist goals of the Macron regime. Again, just like Republicans in Congress.
Naturally, The British Economist Magazine endorses Labour as they always do. So, it’s nothing of a surprise there. The polls on BREXIT were all wrong in the UK, for the polling appears to be more of a tool to force people to vote for their anointed politician. Britain’s prime minister, Rishi Sunak, surprised many by calling a general election for July 4th. Usually, in London, they celebrate the 4th of July, American Independence, but in the pubs, they would say – good riddance with a laugh and a smile.
The biggest economic risk to Britain is taxing worldwide income that they hide under the label of “Non-dom” which describes a UK resident whose permanent home – or domicile – for tax purposes is outside the UK. They only pay UK tax on the money they earn in the UK. They do not have to pay tax to the UK government on money made elsewhere in the world (unless they pay that money into a UK bank account). Going after the Non-dom makes it sound great; make those quasi-foreigners pay. The problem is they are there because of that status. Tax them on worldwide income and they might as well move to the USA even. They bring wealth to Britain insofar as they spend money in the local economy and pay taxes on property. Our model is already projecting a recession for Britain into 2028, which would certainly add to that economic impact.
Labour is selling itself as the party of “wealth creation” claiming it will improve the living standards for working people. They also insist that they will encourage more investment, but this has been languishing since 2016 in the UK. There are no real hardcore programs to encourage business – just claims of good intentions. They are pitching spending £3.5bn of public “green” investments, including upgrading homes and investing in hydrogen, which is not as bad as the USA or the EU, but this is still a fictional risk.
The polls show that his Conservative Party is in serious trouble, and the Labour opposition Labour Party entered the campaign with a commanding lead. People who are upset with the economy generally vote for the opposition, which has been pretty standard throughout history. The Guardian’s national poll tracker has Labour leading the Conservatives by just over 20 points. Vote shares are 41.3% Labour, 21.0% Conservatives, 15.5% for the far-right Reform, 11.1% Liberal Democrats and 5.8% Greens. Recent individual polls have Labour leading the Conservatives by 16 to 24 points. As you can see when we look at Labour and its historical performance, whereas they were at 35% and a 41% gain this time is by no mean a higher high over the era of Tony Blair.
The Conservative Party is in deep trouble. Nevertheless, its performance has been strikingly better over the years compared to Labour. Still, looking at the arrays, we have a serious turning point in British politics in 2025 whereas in Labour the next turning point is 2026.
Interestingly, while the computer does show that Labor should beat Conservative, there is projected resistance for Labor at 35.5%. Believe it or not, we may actually see the Conservative Party folding and being absorbed by Farage’s Reform Party. The last time such a takeover took place was after the 1987 election when the Liberal Party and Social Democratic Party (SDP) merged, forming an electoral alliance. As in this case, a Tory-Reform might unfold because it would be to their mutual advantage. Nigel Farage is anti-war, and this would help tremendously with saving Britain from this insane push for World War III. The problem with this possibility is that while Farage can lead the Reform Party, the Conservative membership would have to become subservient, lacking direction.
Political Party takeovers, mergers, and collapses are not rare. In the USA, Thomas Jefferson’s party, the Democratic-Republican Party, defeated the Federalists, who were never heard from again. However, eventually, Jefferson’s party split into what we now have: Democrats vs. Republicans. Even if we look at the Republicans today, essentially, they have undergone a hostile takeover by Donald Trump’s MAGA (Make America Great Again) Republicans. Today, Trump’s MAGA takeover of Republican politics is unchallengeable.
The same type of political crisis took place in Canada from 1993 to 2003. At the 1993 election, the Canadian Progressive Conservative Party was a complete disaster, much like the Federalists in Jefferson’s day. They were displaced by the new rise of the Canadian Reform Party, which took 52 seats. Yet, they were finally forced to merge with their adversary’s successor.
Of course, the British Press is attacking Farage because they see him as a threat. They call him far-right, yet he is against war. The British Press puts out the propaganda that Putin attacked Ukraine “unprovoked,” for they seem to want to wash their hands in the blood of their own people. Our computer shows that Farage and the Conservatives have a shot at merging to form a new government and a new party.
Posted originally on the CTH on June 30, 2024 | Sundance
French voters will go to the polls today for the first round of a national election. Voters will be choosing 577 members of the National Assembly, the lower house of parliament, in two rounds. The first round is today, the second round narrowed to the top vote receivers will be on July 7.
This snap election was called by President Emmanuel Macron after his ruling Renaissance party was crushed in the June 9th elections for the European Parliament. The opposition party in France, nationalists led mostly by Marine Le Pen, won resounding victories in the EU election.
President Macron took a gamble to immediately call for a French snap election; the intention was to prove the “far-right” did not have much support. However, that gamble might backfire as polls show the French National Assembly could very easily flip.
Politico reports the Biden White House is very concerned that Macron might lose his ability to protect the interests of American leftists. The Clinton-Obama-Clinton operation (Charles Rivkin project) has been manipulating French politics for a long time, and the multinational corporations who use France and Germany are a little concerned. USA interests in France, which could very well extend to USA interests in Ukraine, are at stake in this risky gamble by President Macron.
WASHINGTON – […] The Biden team has been consoling itself by pointing out that Macron still has three years left on his term and that the French president wields significant power over foreign policy, which could keep some stability in U.S.-French relations. But National Rally leader Marine Le Pen indicated this week that her party may seek budgetary and other means to tie Macron’s hands on the global front.
Either way, there’s no question Macron would be a diminished figure, even if the far right gets only enough seats to have a big opposition bloc. And his comments in recent days lumping together France’s far left with the far right could leave him even more isolated for the final three years of his term.
“It’s hard to see Macron’s party being able to build coalitions, pass laws and find compromises in a way that it has in the past two years,” said Léonie Allard, a visiting fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Europe Center.
The French election is not the Biden team’s top concern right now, especially given the fallout from his debate performance, not to mention the wars in Gaza and Ukraine. But the White House is still keenly awaiting the French results, said one of the administration officials. All were granted anonymity to be candid.
The impact of the French vote could be huge, if not necessarily immediately so, former U.S. officials and other observers said. (read more)
Macron is a strangle little man.
In order to get more support from Biden earlier, Macron dressed like the scruffy UPS driver from Ukraine.
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
This is a library of News Events not reported by the Main Stream Media documenting & connecting the dots on How the Obama Marxist Liberal agenda is destroying America
Centinel2012 