Macron’s Victory at 65% is Part I – Part II Parliament Elections in June


Le Pen conceded but will lead her Party in the Parliamentary elections next month. Macron paid a token gesture saying he understand the anger of 35% of the people who voted for Le Pen. Nevertheless, while the mainstream parties collapsed in France warning that the entire population really voted against the establishment, the sad part comes when the French people wake up and realize that Macron will not save France and if anything Brussels will now move aggressively to lock-down Europe to prevent another BREXIT. Brussels, based upon reliable sources, will seek to secure their own survival and move to federalize Europe to protect their own jobs.

To those who has asked if I would consult with Macron’s government, let me put it mildly. First, he will never call me and two, it would be a huge waste of time. This simply has to play out now. Brussels will NEVER reform or asking if there is something they are doing wrong. Europe will have to crash and burn politically before change will ever come.

The computer was correct back in 2015 when it projected Le Pen would beat both the Socialist and Conservatives. Now the second part of that forecast was just set in motion. There will be no reform for Europe so we are looking at a very hard landing.

Obama Tells French to Vote for Macron Proving He is Establishment Doing What He Accused Putin of Supporting Le Pen and Trump


Obama Intervenes in French Election Proving Macron is Establishment and represents no change for France thereby sealing its doom. Of course, Obama is doing exactly what they he and his mainstream media backers say Putin is doing – trying to influence the French election.

Obama intervened in the British Referendum telling the Brits they would have to get at the back of the queue and would be ignored if they left the EU. Macron will send France and the EU down really hard. He represents no change for France and will commit the country to go down with the EURO Ship.

Turnout is low so far and Le Pen ballots are torn in many places around the country to invalidate them in the count. The ESTABLISHMENT will do what it takes to rig the game as alway

2017 Cycle of War – Third in the Series


This 2017 edition of the Cycle of War is the third in a series. This one is focused upon the Civil Unrest and how this is the source of Revolution. This turning point in the Cycle of War we have warned was the convergence of both International War and Civil Unrest. This edition will be available by the end of the week for download. The price of this report is $75.

The first in the series focused upon international events and tracing the cycle. The second in this series focused on the Middle East and the rise of religious confrontations. Here in the third installment, this focuses upon the civil unrest trends that emerge into revolutions. These are economically driven and have a direct correlation to rising taxation that pushes the people to the point of no return.

Those attending the Hong Kong and Orlando Conferences will receive this report complementary.

 

French Election Commission Tries to Quash Macron Document Release…


The French election commission and all French media are attempting to keep presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron’s email and document release from having an impact on the election; even going so far as to warn people that reading the content might be illegal.

With 9.9 gigabytes of data uploaded to Pastebin it sets up a rather unusual issue if Macron happens to win the election and the content of the email and documents show manipulation and coordination of the candidate by interests external to France.

Via Reuters – France sought to keep a computer hack of frontrunner Emmanuel Macron’s campaign emails from influencing the outcome of the country’s presidential election with a warning on Saturday it could be a criminal offence to republish the data.

Macron’s team said a “massive” hack had dumped emails, documents and campaign financing information online just before campaigning ended on Friday and France entered a quiet period which forbids politicians from commenting on the leak.

The data leak emerged as polls predicted Macron, a former investment banker and economy minister, was on course for a comfortable victory over far-right leader Marine Le Pen in Sunday’s election, with the last surveys showing his lead widening to around 62 percent to 38.

“On the eve of the most important election for our institutions, the commission calls on everyone present on internet sites and social networks, primarily the media, but also all citizens, to show responsibility and not to pass on this content, so as not to distort the sincerity of the ballot,” the French election commission said in a statement on Saturday.

However, the commission – which supervises the electoral process – may find it difficult to enforce its rules in an era where people get much of their news online, information flows freely across borders and many users are anonymous.

French media covered the hack in various ways, with left-leading Liberation giving it prominence on its website, but television news channels opting not to mention it.

Le Monde newspaper said on its website it would not publish the content of any of the leaked documents before the election, partly because the huge amount of data meant there was not enough time to report on it properly, but also because the dossiers had been published on purpose 48 hours before the election with the clear aim of affecting the vote. (read more)

BREAKING: Confirmed Authentic – Massive 9 Gig Dump of Emails from French Presidential Candidate Emmanuel Macron…


Well this is stunning to say the least.  After initial denials the campaign of French Presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron is now confirming the authenticity of a massive upload of emails from his account.

The 9.9 Gigs of emails, outlining some very sketchy deals by the presidential candidate, were uploaded to Pastebin a document sharing site – SEE HERE –  Initially no-one was able to confirm the authenticity, and the campaign of Macron denied.   WikiLeaks began an attempt to authenticate the release.

However, the authentication is no longer necessarily warranted as the campaign is admitting they were hacked, and the content appears to be directly from the accounts of Emmanuel Macron:

The campaign of French presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron condemns “massive hacking attack” after document leak(link)

Reuters initially reported:

A large trove of emails purporting to be from the campaign of French presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron was posted online late on Friday, 1-1/2 days before voters go to the polls to choose the country’s next president in a run-off with Marine Le Pen.

Some nine gigabytes of data were posted by a user called EMLEAKS to Pastebin, a document-sharing site that allows anonymous posting. (read more)

The Euro & French Elections


IBEUUS-M 2-6-2017

QUESTION: Martin You said the turning point will be on monday 8th may. Could it be in connection with the result of the french election on may 7th? If it isMacron, the turning point will be up. If it is Le Pen, it will be down. Or?

Thanks. Regards.

 

ANSWER: The French media is portraying Macron as a centrist. It is expected that Macron should be able to attract a wider spectrum of second-round voters than Le Pen, pulling in left-leaning voters from Hamon and Mélenchon as well as those leaning to the right that voted Fillon in the first round. The polls put him at 65%.

Our computer projected that the “populist” vote would win.  Indeed, for the first time in modern French history, the runoff vote will not feature a single presidential candidate from a mainstream party. The Conservative and Socialists all lost.

The elite want Macron to win but this will be the nail in the coffin for the EU. Brussels will assume they defeated the “populist” simply if Le Pen loses. However, the mainstream parties all lost already. Macron will simply mean that Brussels will not reform and that suggests that we are looking at the collapse of the Euro moving forward into 2018. Our Yearly models have had three Directional Changes 2017 into 2019. Our Monthly Models have been targeting May 2017 for about one year.

Germany-France

A Macron victory should help the Euro hold for now. The key resistance stands in the 113-114 zone. The press will try to manipulate the people to save the EU. That is the agenda of the press in Europe, so they will cheer Macron and do their best to destroy Le Pen and in doing so, they are condemning the EU to utter failure. All they can see is keep the EU together even if that leads to internal civil war within Europe. The only thing holding the EU together is France and Germa

Poland – The Next Crisis for the EU – Independent Sovereignty is the Issue


warsaw-2

 

GDP World Bank 2016Poland represents a major threat to the EU. The entire idea of the EU was the propaganda that Member States would successively grow into a real Union through a longer integration process. GDP was supposed to grow, not decline, and the threat of war would vanish by surrendering sovereignty to Brussels. In reality, the exact opposite has unfolded. GDP has progressively declined and the risk of a European war has been increased with the idea of surrendering sovereignty to Brussels.

Throughout Europe, there is a growing “populist” movement especially ignited with the attempt to force member states to accept refugees when this was an unilateral decision exclusive made by Merkel to save her public image after being hard on Greece.

British GDP Growth since 1949

Even the data from the British Government clearly shows how their GDP has declined ever since joining the EU in 1973. Obviously, the exact opposite trend determines reality – not political propaganda. The movements that promotes the sovereignty of the national states and demand a weakening of the central institutions are on the rise all over Europe. This is what Brussels calls the “populist” movement.

Poland is questioning the current situation of the EU in its current form and is not finding it agreeable especially when it goes against their religious foundation. Many are alarmed because there were more Mosques built in Britain during 2016 than churches. Churches are on the decline and even synagogues are being converted to Mosques.

Poland is the largest beneficiary of EU payments receiving an annual net of just €10 billion. Nevertheless, Poland represents a huge risk to the EU for the independence and sovereignty of Poland has become a top priority in the face of forced refugees. Poland is actually more linked to the USA and Britain than to Brussels.

Kim Jong-un The Kid Whose Father Never Spanked – Why 2017 Is The Crisis Year For Korea


Kim Jong Un

QUESTION: Kim Jong-un is clearly a mad-kid, not even a man. You have said the danger with him is he thinks he could actually win against the United States and South Korea. Now Trump want’s South Korea to pay $1 billion for a missile defense system. That does not seem to be a lot of money these days. Would it have any impact on this kid who seems to have never been spanked?

Thanks

YG

ANSWER: I agree. Kim Jong-un is just insane. He is far more dangerous than Syria or Putin. You have to understand 2017 is the start of an increased volatility with Korea – 72 years from the birth of North Korea. Kim Jong-un is very desperate to maintain control of his country for the economic internally are going against him all the way into 2020. The only way for him to maintain his rule right now is by relying on his development of nuclear weapons and intercontinental ballistic missiles. But this is the external paranoia. The danger he faces is internal.

It really depends upon the second-tier of command. If we move to a state of war being eminent, will someone step up and assassinate him to save their country? At least as they tried with Hitler. However, it is the wave of deflation that is even hitting China that become a contagion spreading to North Korea. That economy is contracting and with that contraction comes more rhetoric because he is losing his grip on power. He is not doing this boasting from a position of strength. This is a position of weakness.

Missile defense systems are fine, but honestly just one Ohio-class submarine will do the job. We have the ultimate doomsday weapon already. Kim Jong-un perhaps should do some research. But the boasts are coming from weakness – not strength. One does not boast in a position on strength. You do that to convince the other party you are stronger than you are.

The Ohio-class submarines are armed with twenty-four Trident II D5 ballistic missiles. These weapons have a range of 7,000 miles and are capable of very accurate strikes, which means they can be a first-strike weapon. These twenty-four Trident II ballistic missiles can be fired from underwater. As this missile reenters the atmosphere at speeds of up to Mach 24, it then splits into up to eight independent reentry vehicles each with a separate nuclear warhead. In other words, firing off all 24 missiles which can be launched in less than one minute, would unleash up to 192 nuclear warheads. Just one Ohio-class sub can wipe out  twenty-four cities and North Korea is gone. This is a real weapon of the apocalypse.

The whole logic of nuclear deterrence has been that a first strike could wipe out a country’s land-based missiles and nuclear bombers. This sub has missiles that are not pretargeted so they can be targeted within minutes as needed. Therefore, the Ohio-class subs are the ultimate doomsday machine firing a battery of ballistic-missiles that can take out 24 targets in minutes. There is no stopping these missiles. They are too fast to track. The deterrent remains that there is no victory so we do not go to nuclear war.

Anyone with any sense of reality, ought to know that if North Korea can make its intercontinental missile so it can hit the USA, there is no possible way North Korea would be able to prevent a launch from just one Ohio-class sub. This is a deterrent to Russia and China, it does not seem to be effective with North Korea. So yes, he is a madman who acts like a spoiled kid in need of a spanking. His latest statement:

“Should the US imperialists and the south Korean puppet forces open even a single fire into the inviolable territorial land, waters and air of the DPRK, its revolutionary armed forces will promptly mount annihilating strike and wipe out the aggressors to the last man.”

Kim Jong-un is clearly incapable of building an economy. He prefers to starve his people and be draconian to hold on to power for personal ego. Traditionally, throughout history, such people are overthrown by their own generals. When there is the slightest sign of weakness, Kim Jong-un will be assassinated, which is what history suggests for the reason it repeats is simply that the passions of man never change. It’s always the same play, just change the names and the century.

When Korea was split in 1945 into communist North against the South, the terrain has always dictated the situation. About 65% of Korea’s heavy industry was located in the north, but, due to the harshness of the terrain, only 37% of its agriculture existed in the North. This is why the North often has bouts with famine.

ECM-Dynamic

I have warned that the Economic Confidence Model has three distinct components. There is the main wave frequency based upon Pi of 8.6 years which builds into 6 waves forming the major wave of 51.6 years which seems to be the generational shifting wave that manifests in political changes between public and private trends.

Then there is the volatility wave component. This is what causes one 8.6 year wave to be more pronounce than another. The volatility component has a frequency of 6 years which is a slower moving wave taking 12 unit waves to build into the ultimate volatility peaks.

The Schema Frequency I do not reveal. To put this in context, it is the DNA wave of a coded pattern throughout time. This will be the last thing I ever reveal if I decide to do so. The jury is still out.

On August 8th, 1945 (1945.602), the Soviet Union declared war on Japan. Soviet troops advanced and the US government feared Russia would occupy the whole of Korea. On August 10th, the US government proposed the 38th parallel division.

Therefore, the 72 year of volatility comes now this summer – 2017.602. The 51.6 year cycle from 1945 (1997.202) marked the start with the 1997 Asian Currency Crisis. Then the next 8.6 year wave marked the turning up in the war cycle – 2014.402. Kim Jong-un became the Supreme Leader on December 28th, 2011 (2011.991). North Korea says it has conducted five successful nuclear tests: in 2006, 2009, 2013 and in January and September 2016. The 2006, 2009 and 2013 tests were all atomic bomb tests. North Korea claimed that its January 2016 test was of a hydrogen bomb. There was a change in development since Kim Jong-un came to power. He may have medium-range missiles capable of striking American military bases in the Pacific within a couple years, experts say, but he is claiming he will be able to strike the USA directly. Some believe Pyongyang may be able to hit the western U.S. as early as 2020. With this guy, Hollywood would probably be a symbolic target for him. He does not think beyond symbols like the World Trade Center was not a military or economic target, it was symbolic.

 

Does Schäuble want Draghi to Exit the Stage Once & For All?


Draghi Schauble

Federal Minister of Finance Wolfgang Schäuble of Germany is starting to show signs of rebellion against the elite in Brussels. With the event of BREXIT, the EU is more concerned about trying to punish Britain than they are in reflecting upon what is going so terribly wrong. They will throw their support behind Macron in France fearing that a Le Pen win may be the end of Brussels. Consequently, the EU Commission is trying to punish Britain, and is actually dividing Europe once again. There will be the EU membership, and then there will be the Eurozone within, limited to those countries who surrender their sovereignty to Brussels relinquishing their currency, but not their debt.

Schäuble is clearly attempting to save the Eurozone and make it operational at the same time to protect German exports within Europe. The driving force behind the Euro was to eliminate foreign exchange risk so German manufacturers could sell to all of Europe on a regular basis without currency fluctuation disturbing their sales.

Yet Schäuble is actually looking at reducing the power of the EU for reading between the lines, he has no confidence in the abilities of the EU Commission to manage Europe. Obviously, BREXIT is restructuring the EU only insofar as they seek to punish Britain rather than reform the problems that caused it. That means the Euro zone will be restructured as a block within the EU leaving the institutions, such as the ECB, applicable to the EU. The rules within the Eurozone are by no means clearly defined. This is how Markel opened the gates to refugees without ever going to a vote first in the EU. Thus, the unilateral decisions of Germany have then been applied to all of Europe without any democratic process whatsoever.

Schäuble is looking at the distinction between the EU and the Eurozone and thus reducing the power of the EU Commission to save the Eurozone – a second Europe within Europe, of which Britain was never a member. Schäuble attacked the ECB and Mario Draghi saying: “The ultralock money policy that exists in many regions is not helpful.”  Schäuble said this opening on his trip to Washington. The ECB, Schäuble argues, is creating risks such as asset price bubbles with its negative interest rate policy. This is the clash of philosophies with Schäuble’s view on AUSTERITY.

Schäuble demanded a change of direction from Mario Draghi. He warned that Draghi was increasing the risk of creating a whole new crisis rather than lessening it. The Federal Reserve reverse course right after 2015.75 on the ECM that targeted October 1st, 2015 with the first rate hike in December 2015. Schäuble remarked that it “would not be a bad idea if the European Central Bank and other central banks followed” the course of the Fed. Schäuble has clashed with Draghi who still considers his stimulus quantitative easing policy of the ECB still necessary. Draghi said on this trip to Washington that a “very significant amount of monetary easing is still needed.”

Schäuble has also proposed that the basic structure of the Eurozone in the form of budgetary policy must be changed. Schäuble remains rightly concerned what happens when Draghi changes course and raises rates. Schäuble is deeply concerned that national debts will then explode with higher interest rates. For this reason, Schäuble wants the euro rescue umbrella ESM in the near future converted to a European Monetary Fund. Schäuble sees this as a European version of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). If a new aid program for a crisis country were to run without the IMF because the IMF has disagreed with the draconian measures imposed upon Greece. Schäuble wants to replace the IMF to impose austerity. Apparently, Schäuble has also convinced Chancellor Angela Merkel of this proposal since the IMF disagrees with the austerity ideas of Schäuble.

Troika-Unelected

This new European Monetary Fund to replace the IMF, which is a member of the Troika, will then be given the task of budgetary monitoring of Eurozone countries. Therefore, we will have the EU, but a separate system within the EU for the Eurozone all based upon extending austerity. This is obviously a disempowerment of the EU Commission.

Greece is still an unsolved problem – and Schäuble also sees that Greece should exit the Eurozone. Schäuble also sees a better partnership with Russia and an emancipation from the USA. This was really based upon German manufacture having a new market to sell into given the rise of Donald Trump. Then Schäuble wanted a nuclear Europe to stand against America and Russia. Schäuble’s view is that the core of Europe is Germany, France, Belgium, Luxembourg and the Netherlands. It never included Britain. The Franco-German axis was to become the economic engine of the future. To Schäuble, the core is simply the Euro for that evens the playing field for Germany to sell products into Europe. He has embraced the Euro, but never accepting a federal debt for Europe. This is why he has never seen Italy, Spain or Greece as the core of the EU – just vassal states to sell products to.

Le Pen Seeks to Broaden Her Support


2017 Election

French Presidential candidate Marine Le Pen says she is temporarily stepping down as head of her National Front party. She is still in the race, just attempting to distance herself a bit more from her party to broaden her appeal. The May 7 run-off between herself and Emmanuel Macron, will be interesting for it is a test of how strong the populist movement has become.

People who think “populist” is a particular philosophy are seriously wrong. It was a “populist” movement that put FDR in the White House in 1933. It also put into power Lenin, Hitler and Mao. “Populist” is effective the label applied to any movement Indeed, FDR actually did embrace many elements of fascism, which differs from communism insofar as it supported worker unions and the ownership of business run by the workers. The Populist movement was in fact Marxism during the late 19th century, which manifested into Communism, fascism, and socialism. All three were constructed upon a strong central power of government to different degrees.

“Populist Movements are not particularly a single right or left philosophy. The term is applied to effectively an anti-establishment movement against the status quo.

Le Pen said “Tonight, I am no longer the president of the National Front. I am the presidential candidate,” on French public television news. She hopes that by distancing herself from the party founded by her father in 1972, more people will reach out to her for real change in France. Le Pen hopes to tap into the Eurosceptic and protectionist voters in other parties. The underling trend is certainly anti-EU throughout all of Europe to varying degrees.

Macron is the favorite of Brussels and all the politicians nobody wants to vote for, so what does that really tell you? All the politicians are cheering only because they do not want any real change. They like everything as is – thank you very much they say off camera. But Macron is really out there in la la land. Those who think Trump says some crazy stuff, should turn and look at Macron. How about these!

“I’ve always accepted the vertical dimension, of transcendence, but, at the same time, it has to be utterly anchored in the immanent, in the material.”

Ok, not sure what that means at all. How about this one!

“We all have our roots. And because we all do, there are trees next to us, there are rivers, there are fish. There are brothers and sisters …”

Ok roots and trees go together. What about the rivers and fish? Brothers and sisters is family. Does everyone come from fish out of the river?

If he will be the new face of France, I would probably want to double short the Euro when the cycle changes.