Posted originally on the CTH on January 27, 2025 | Sundance
The House GOP is holding their planning conference in Doral, Florida. President Trump is anticipated to attend and deliver remarks at 3:30pm EST. Livestream Links Below:
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Three Significant Senate Confirmation Hearings This Week – RFK Jr, Gabbard and Patel
Posted originally on the CTH on January 27, 2025 | Sundance
There are three big Senate confirmation hearings this week, starting with HHS nominee RFK Jr on Wednesday, and then DNI nominee Tulsi Gabbard and FBI nominee Kash Patel on Thursday.
Robert F Kennedy Jr will have two days in front of two different committees (Wed and Thursday). Gabbard will have her Senate Intel Committee hearing and Kash Patel will have his hearing with the Senate Judiciary Committee. None of the three are sure things with each of them having about a 50/50 chance of confirmation out of committee as current opposition is aligned.
♦ Health and Human Services Secretary nominee Robert F Kennedy Jr starts the week Wednesday at 10:00am EST in front of the Senate Finance Committee. Kennedy’s opposition group consists of one of the largest lobbying groups in Washington DC, Big Pharma and Big Agriculture.
RFK Jr’s goal of reshaping HHS, FDA and USDA faces significant opposition from the lobbying groups who have paid for influence on policy and regulations and the Senators who have received funding to turn that lobbying into legislation and regulation. On the positive side, the general public sentiment is supportive of the MAHA agenda. Public pressure could be the factor that secures the nomination, but nothing is certain.
♦ Director of National Intelligence nominee Tulsi Gabbard represents the biggest internal threat to the Intelligence Community power and control structure within Washington DC. However, recent reports now reflect that former Senate Intel Committee Chair Richard Burr is her guide in the nomination process.
As SSCI Chairman Burr was in favorable position with the IC in ’17, and ’18, but then after two years of passive support for the Trump targeting operation, he began to get wobbly in the eyes of the Seven Ways from Sunday group. They then carried out an operation to remove Burr via public leaks and investigative ends around Burr’s stock purchases and financial arrangements. Burr was softly excommunicated from his status and replaced with Marco Rubio.
Burr as the confirmation guide for Tulsi Gabbard explains why she changed her position on FISA-702 to gain SSCI support. However, as noted above, Burr no longer has the juice he once held, so this IC guiding hand might not be enough to dissuade opposition to Gabbard.
All of that said, some Senators are now demanding the SSCI have a public vote on the Gabbard nomination at the end of her inquisition. The thinking is that if the SSCI bad actors in the GOP are forced to have a public vote, they will be less likely to expose themselves. I doubt the committee will vote publicly, but you never know.
The SSCI is the enabling entity for the Intelligence Community corruption. If they were able to compromise her enough, they would likely vote to support her. However, if the SSCI members sense she is a simply telling them what they need to hear – and not actually believing it – they will likely reject her. SSCI Chair Tom Cotton cannot afford that sunlight, he has to give the illusion of strong support and let his intel enablers do the heavy lifting to destroy her. Again, successful exit from the committee to the full Senate is a 50/50 proposition on both votes.
♦ FBI Direct Kash Patel rounds out the trio. Despite what some may think, there’s a stronger likelihood of Patel having a smooth hearing in the Senate Judiciary from the GOP wing of the UniParty, simply because the public is so awakened to the corruption within the FBI.
Patel will face a full-throated attack effort from the Democrats and not a single democrat is going to support him; so, this one is all on the Republicans in the Judiciary Committee and in the full Senate hearing if he comes out of the committee with all Republican support.
SUMMARY: Democrats are going to go nuclear on all three of these nominees this week. All three are primary targets for the Left wing of the UniParty. It is not coincidental that the Senate “paperwork issues” have ensured that all three appear in the same 24-hour timeframe. This appears to be heavily scripted and by design.
Democrats want to stop President Trump, blunt his momentum, and/or at least damage him significantly in this process. This is their first best opportunity to dig in and resist, while simultaneously fundraising on the resistance optics. The corporate media have been pre-scripted with massive volumes of citations and talking points from the prior history of comments by all three of the targets.
Thursday will be the biggest day of Democrat resistance so far this year. Thursday is the day to watch.
This is also a big test for Senate Majority Leader John Thune.
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth Gives Remarks Upon Arrival for Work at Pentagon
Posted originally on the CTH on January 27, 2025 | Sundance
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth started his first official day on Monday morning, by answering a few questions from the media on the steps of the Pentagon. Hegseth committed to supporting President Donald Trump’s initiative of mass deportations. WATCH:
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Hungary May Not Renew Russian Sanctions
Posted originally on Jan 27, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Brussels has been eager to oust Hungarian leader Viktor Orban. The prime minister has grown bolder in his battle against Ukraine regarding the nation blocking gas imports from Russia. Orban has not declared that he may not renew the European Union’s required sanction on Russia unless Ukraine renews the Russian pipeline deal. A final decision will be made today.
“Now the issue of extending sanctions is on the agenda, I have put on the handbrake and asked European leaders to understand that this cannot continue,” said Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, speaking to state broadcaster Kossuth Radio. “Hungary cannot be made to pay the price of sanctions in such proportions.”
Current EU criteria demand that all 27 EU nations increase penalties against Russia every six months so long as the war continues. The bloc has already frozen €200 billion in sovereign assets and nearly eliminated all trade. The problem is that neighboring nations are more reliant on Russian energy and have been disproportionately affected by these sanctions. Ukraine’s Zelensky recently failed to renew a critical pipeline deal that all but halted Russian gas imports to the EU.
Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico has also spoken out repeatedly, citing the need for Russian energy and warning that his nation will face an energy crisis if Ukraine prevents the flow of gas. “There is no EU legislation or system of sanctions that would hinder Ukraine from continuing the gas transit,” Fico said earlier in the month. “We can’t ignore this topic because everyone knows ignoring it means escalating tensions in the EU and in bilateral relations.”
“The Ukrainians, while it is in their interests to impose sanctions, are now poking their nose into the flour and tampering with the Hungarians, even on the energy side, because they are not allowing gas to flow from Russia to Hungary,” Orbán said.
The Hungarian government asked to delay the penalty renewal process until after the US election. Trump’s decision to threaten Russia with sanctions boldened EU leaders to call out Hungary and demand they follow the lead.
The European Union cannot possibly act in the best interest of all member states. The entire premise of this alliance was doomed from the start. Members are growing increasingly frustrated as Brussels hinders their individual economies and this political instability will be one of the many reasons the EU will cease to exist.
US Opens Dialogue with North Korea
Posted originally on Jan 27, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Donald Trump’s policy of meeting directly with world leaders is admirable. The world has been on high alert over North Korea’s involvement in the Russia-Ukraine war, yet no one is willing to meet with leader Kim Jong-un. Trump made history during his first term when he crossed over the DMZ line into North Korea, ignoring security risks, and becoming the first US president to do so. Trump has stated he plans to meet with Kim Jong-Un again.
“I will reach out to him again. Kim Jong-un is a smart man. He likes me, and I get along well with him,” the US president stated. This is not a boastful remark as Kim Jong-un does respect Donald Trump. Trump gave his nation legitimacy by taking the time to personally visit and has been the only major world leader willing to talk directly with Kim directly. Trump and Kim did happen to meet for the first time in Singapore which coincidentally aligned with our Asian seminar there.
Their discussions during Trump’s first term did not result in meaningful action, however, it showed America’s willingness to hold diplomatic talks with the hermit kingdom. North Korea has become a much more prominent threat to the world in recent years. Aside from sending 120,000 troops to Russia, the hermit kingdom has drastically grown its nuclear capabilities. Kim has increased his nuclear arsenal and increased testing of long-range missiles that could potentially strike the continental United States.
“North Korea’s denuclearization remains a consistent principle upheld by the international community, including South Korea and the U.S.,” a spokesperson for the South Korean Foreign Ministry said.
North Korea has threatened to use nuclear weapons if the US threatens its sovereignty. South Korea does not possess nuclear weapons but is protected by the United States, with thousands of troops stationed in the country since the end of the Korean War in 1953. Our model on Korea shows that the 72-year Revolutionary Cycle will turn up this year in 2025.
Clearly , tariffs and sanctions would have absolutely zero impact on North Korea. Similar to Russia, North Korea is fighting for its existence and continually on the defense. The nation would have been invaded years ago if it were not for the threat of nuclear war. Russia and China are the nation’s only lifeline but their economy is lifeless and the people. The people are starving as a result of the state of the economy and numerous poor harvests. It will be interesting to see what deal Trump brings the table and how Kim Jong-Un will respond.
Should the Feds Lower Rates?
Posted originally on Jan 27, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and Donald Trump face off once again. The two have notoriously butted heads over interest rates, as Trump has accused the Fed of stifling economic growth by raising the cost of borrowing. Speaking at Davos, the president said he would “demand that interest rates drop immediately.”
We all know the Federal Reserve is independent and the White House cannot dictate interest rates. Lowering interest rates does not stimulate the economy, contradictory to the common belief that reducing rates will boost economic growth. The outdated understanding based on Keynesian Economics states that an increase in the supply of money MUST be inflationary. The Fed raises rates to reduce consumption and lowers rates to stimulate consumption.
It’s a very nice theory, but when actually tested, it utterly fails. Lower rates will NEVER cause people to invest until they believe that there is an opportunity to invest. We are watching the big players withdraw from equities, let alone government debt. We are in a private wave where money is running off the grid at a rapid pace.
Once upon a time, you could not borrow against government debt. Thus, it was deemed non-inflationary as long as it could not be used as money. Today, you post bills as collateral to trade futures. The old theories no longer exist in this new, strange world we live in. Hence, all the QE was merely swapping the debt for cash.
Every fiscal policy in recent years has exacerbated inflation and the Fed cannot keep up with government spending. QE FAILED. The artificially low interest rates of the recent past were completely unsustainable and relied on outdated theories.
The most significant issues facing our economy are simply out of the Fed’s hands: war, taxation, and government spending. Chairman Jerome Powell surprised everyone when he called spending under the Biden-Harris administration “unsustainable” and warned that it would hurt generations to come. While not a direct criticism, Powell issued a stark warning that aligned with our Revolution Cycle of 72 years. In 1951, the central bank defied the US government by refusing to purchase debt to prevent rate hikes amid the Korean War. The minutes reports always mention that the central bank is keenly monitoring geopolitical events as it must look at all variables from a global standpoint.
The issue of increasing sanctions on Russia, and the rest of the world for that matter, may raise inflationary fears and push long-term rates higher. Then we are looking at the risk of Japan, who holds the bulk of US debt, experiencing a sovereign default in a contagion that will spread to Europe.
We may see the Fed pull back rates this year. Powell understands that Keynesian policies no longer work and raising rates have no effect on inflation. Interest rates are really the price of money in anticipation of future inflation.
