Greece & Turkey – Is War in the Future?


Erdogan Flags

They say there is nothing more dangerous than a wounded animal. Perhaps. But there is something far worse for society – a wounded politician. When power begins to slip through their grasp, they ALWAYS turn to seek an external enemy. This is exactly what the Turkish president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is doing. There are many within Turkey who fear he is trying to be a dictator. He has sought to gain total power and that has many people deeply concerned.

Erdoğan is at risk of being overthrown and he knows it. The worse the economy becomes, the greater the probability he will be driven from power. Consequently, the fear factor is rising with tensions mounting in the Aegean and eastern Mediterranean Seas. Erdoğan knows the historical animosity between Greece and Turkey. He is deliberately attempting to reignite those deep resentments by raising the prospect of a referendum on accession talks with the EU. The Greek defense minister came out and said that Greece was ready for any provocation.

Clearly, the relations between Turkey and European capitals have worsened before the April 16th vote on expanding the powers of the president. Erdoğan is attempting to create an external threat to Turkey in order to ensure he gains total new powers. Erdoğan is using the recent ban on visiting Turkish officials to rally a “yes” vote for more power. He has now even raised the spectre of a public vote on EU membership at the weekend.

Erdoğan is clearly a tyrant and he is seeking authoritarian rule that is incompatible with any pretended democracy or republic. Why does he see such power? Obviously, he fears being overthrown. The greatest danger is that as his support continues to decline within Turkey, his need to start a war and the animosity with Greece, goes back a very long time.

Maduro Scrambles To Defuse “Explosive” Situation As Supreme Court Reverses Ruling


Tyler Durden's picture

While investors had largely given Venezuela’s economic catastrophe the benefit of the doubt for the past two years as crude collapsed and the country’s CDS soared to record highs only to normalize subsequently, yesterday bond investors got very nervous for the first time in a while, as the Venezuela 9.25% of 2027 bonds crashed on fears a presidential coup may be imminent after Wednesday’s decision by the pro-Maduro supreme court to assume the functions of congress, in effect making Venezuela a Maduro dictatorship. The opposition promptly slammed the decision as a “coup” against an elected body and demanded army intervention, and the tipping point came when even a formerly pro-Maduro Attorney General, Luisa Ortega, slammed the “unconstitutional” usurpation of power.

One day later, the bond selloff, coupled with a dire surge in domestic anger and protests, as well as international condemnation, appears to have been sufficient to spook Maduro that this may be one of his last (bad) decisions because on Saturday morning, Venezuela’s Supreme Court reversed its decision to strip congress of its legislative powers.

“This controversy is over … the constitution has won,” Maduro said in a televised speech just after midnight to a specially convened state security committee that ordered the top court to reconsider its rulings. The Supreme Court duly erased the two controversial judgments during the morning, the information minister said.

In an amusing twist, Maduro tried to cast the U-turn as his own personal achievement, one of a wise statesman resolving a power conflict, everyone and certainly his opponents said it was a hypocritical row-back by an unpopular government that overplayed its hand.

“You can’t pretend to just normalize the nation after carrying out a ‘coup,'” said Julio Borges, leader of the National Assembly legislature, quoted by Reuters. He publicly tore up the court rulings this week and refused to attend the security committee, which includes the heads of major institutions.

While the Supreme Court flip-flop may take the edge off protests, Maduro’s opponents at home and abroad will seek to maintain the pressure. They are furious that authorities thwarted a push for a referendum to recall Maduro last year and also postponed local elections scheduled for 2016. Now they are calling for next year’s presidential election to be brought forward and the delayed local polls to be held, confident the ruling Socialist Party would lose.

“It’s time to mobilize!” student David Pernia, 29, said in western San Cristobal city, adding Venezuelans were fed up with autocratic rule and economic hardship. “Women don’t have food for their children, people don’t have medicines.”


Venezuelan Bolivarian National guards officers are confronted by university students

during a protest outside of the Supreme Court in Caracas, on March 31, 2017

As mentioned yesterday, today the National Assembly plans an open-air meeting in Caracas, while South America’s UNASUR bloc was to meet in Argentina with most of its members unhappy at Venezuela. The hemispheric Organization of American States (OAS) had a special session slated for Monday in Washington.

As Reuters adds, even before this week’s events, OAS head Luis Almagro had been pushing for Venezuela’s suspension, but he is unlikely to garner the two-thirds support needed in the 34-nation block despite hardening sentiment toward Maduro round the region.

That said, Venezuela can still count on support from fellow leftist allies and other small nations grateful for subsidized oil dating from the 1999-2013 rule of late leader Hugo Chavez. Maduro accuses the United States of orchestrating a campaign to oust him and said he had been subject this week to a “political, media and diplomatic lynching.”


A woman wears a banner over her mouth with a message that reads in Spanish:
“Venezuela lives in a dictatorship” during a protest, in Caracas

Serious criticism even came from within government, with Venezuela’s attorney general Luisa Ortega rebuking the court in an extremely rare show of dissent from a senior official. “It constitutes a rupture of the constitutional order,” he said in a speech on state television on Friday.

The Supreme Court’s decision helped to further galvanize resistance to Maduro, Pockets of protesters had blocked roads, chanted slogans and waved banners saying “No To Dictatorship” around Venezuela on Friday, leading to some clashes with security forces. Given past failures of opposition street protests, however, it is unlikely there will be mass support for a new wave. Rather, the opposition will be hoping ramped-up foreign pressure or a nudge from the powerful military may force Maduro into calling an early election.

* * *

Meanwhile, the nation continues to disintegrate, with Reuters reporting that Venezuela’s murder rate rose to an average 60 per day last year, up from about 45 per day in 2015, the attorney general’s office said on Friday, as the country’s worst economic and political crisis in history continues to claim victims Official data put the murder rate at 70.1 per 100,000 inhabitants last year, one of the highest in the world and up from 58 in 2015.

Violent crime is one of the most pervasive anxieties for Venezuelans, especially in poor slums dominated by gangs and rife with guns. Numerous state security plans and disarmament drives in recent years have failed to curb violence given easy access to weapons, police participation in crime, and high levels of impunity in the nation of 30 million people.

A brutal economic recession that has millions skipping meals has pushed more Venezuelans towards crime, according to officials, rights groups and neighborhood organizations. Recently, Venezuela – the country’s with the world’s largest proven oil reserves, ran out of gasolin

T-Rex Attends NATO Brussels Meeting of Foreign Ministers…


Source: T-Rex Attends NATO Brussels Meeting of Foreign Ministers…

Face of the AfD in Germany Looks to Resign


Petry Frauke AfD

Frauke Petry, the face of the AfD in Germany, is apparently thinking about resigning from politics. She has stated publicly: “Neither the politics nor the AfD are alternative for me.” The 41-year-old politician spoke of an “enormous expenditure of force” and the “farewell to a regular life” being in politics.

The polls at the end of February showed that Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union of Germany (CDU) and the Christian Social Union in Bavaria (CSU) were holding 31% just behind Mr Schulz’s Social Democrats (SPD) with his ‘Deutschland Trend’ theme that came in at 32%. The AfD is polling only about 11%.

The real crisis for Germany is the fact that either Merkel or Schultz offer any change. As such, we really cannot expect to see any reversal of fortune for the EU. We have to simply let this play out. It appears the crisis comes to a head in 2018.

We have to keep in mind that the worst scenario for Europe is no change. The loss of the challenge in the Netherlands breathed relief in Brussels. They think they will hold the ship together and this “populist” movement will die-out. The problem is this trend is emerging simply because of economics. The AfD has only a 15% chance of winning. That would only be possible by a major issue surfacing this summer regarding the Islamic Invasion. The no change means no reform and that means the fuse is still burning

The French Elections


Macron Emmanuel

Fillon-WifeThe French Elections are in complete chaos. We are witnessing the collapse of the Fifth Republic of France. Our computer correctly forecasted that the Socialist Party would lose. It also forecasted that Le Pen’s party would beat the Socialists and most likely even the conservatives, which is led by Francois Fillon. Yet, the scandal around him paying his wife nearly what the President of the United States is paid to be an assistant has taken its toll. She is now formerly under investigation. However, a new party was just formed after August 2016 En Marche! (meaning forward or on the march) by the newcomer Emmanuel Macron, but he is really offering nothing to help France – only to keep Brussels on life-support.

We are witnessing an all-out war in France. The banks have been told not to lend any money to Le Pen to save Brussels. Just about every other party is starting to throw their support behind Macron. The former Socialist, PM Valls, now supports Macron because the socialists are dead in the water. Macron was a bureaucrat in the socialist government. He certainly offers nothing but doom for France or the euro going forward for if he is elected. Brussels will keep on going as it has until the whole thing goes belly up which looks to be in 2018.

Le Pen MarineOf course, the media is following the same scheme as they did in Britain and the USA – supporting Macron to keep the status quo. The polls are now claiming that Macron will trample Le Pen on May 7th if it comes down to the two. So how to model the French elections presents a huge problem. The only party that is now surviving is Le Pen’s. The latest polls by  PrésiTrack OpinionWay / ORPI for Les Echos and Radio Classique, show Le Pen still in the lead with 25% of the first round of voting in April. Her lead has dropped by two points, and she is now just one percentage point ahead of Macron, who is set to come in second place with 24%. Francois Fillon is now trailing behind at 19%, with Socialist candidate Benoit Hamon currently on 11%. The poll taken by a separate poll by Odoxa revealed that 75% of the French voters want Mr. Fillon to pull out of the presidential race following the “Penelopegate” scandal of his wife. Here too, we see the strongest position is against corruption. This is surfacing in Russia, but it was also what put Trump in the White House. Fillon has been accused of paying his wife Penelope and two of his children around €900,000 for jobs that they did not actually do. While he denies all allegations that they didn’t work, the President of the United States is paid $400,000 (€370,000).

What makes this very difficult to now have the computer forecast the election after it was correct that the current socialist government would collapse, is the fact that the entire political party system has disintegrated. We have people from the socialists now support Macron and the same thing is happening from the conservatives abandoning Fillon who desperately hopes to win to prevent prosecution for corruption. If we throw all other parties together and extrapolate the pretense that Macron’s brand new party is the sum of all others, then he may win. But this is a very big IF, because there is no past history that we can rely upon. What does appear on the horizon for France is that the Fifth Republic will fall in the years ahead.

1959 Franc 5th Republic Liberty Walking

We are currently in the Fifth Republic of France, which was established by Charles de Gaulle in 1958. Our models are warning that this may completely capitulate followed the end of this currency Economic Confidence Wave 2020 going into 2021.

FrenchFranc-Y 1900-1998 IBFFVF-Y FOR 1999-2010

IBEUUS-Y TEK TO 2020 1-22-2016

 

Sean Spicer White House Press Conference – March 30th…


Source: Sean Spicer White House Press Conference – March 30th…

CNN Investigates Russian Salad Dressing


Trump doesn’t drink so they can’t get him for Russian Vodka

EU BOSS: WE’LL BREAK UP USA!


Well I can see us throwing California out!

HOW THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION CAN SAVE TAXPAYERS BILLIONS, IN JUST A FEW DAYS . . .


Do it!

‘Corrective Action’ Sought after Dems Offered Voter Registration Forms to Refugees


It would seem that in America today an illegal alien has more rights that a legal citizen. Maybe we should all renounce our citizen ship so we can get the same benefits.