Day Trading & the Rogue Wave


COMMENT: Hello.

I know that although the current level of Socrates is not designed for day trading, but as a professional daytrader even this level is still amazing for that. I simply plot out the numbers that Socrates gives (made an important high at X, resistance forming at Z, etc.) for all three of the major U.S indices. Even when there are not enough points for a certain index, all three tend to generally move at the same times, thus giving most stocks the same pattern for that day. I have been longing and shorting on those numbers and it’s amazing how accurate its been, even with such limited functionality. It’s done far better than any other daytrading system I know.

It has only been a week since I’ve been using it this way. So my question is, how long is a level valid when Socrates says something that may just be a daily level? For example, for the NASDAQ: “The Daily level of this market is currently in a full bullish immediate tone with support at 729174”. I have noticed that the support or resistance levels still bounce from those points even after a day.

It was amazing as there were some people who had been accusing me for quite some time of drawing the lines in advance and that it was impossible to predict beforehand, (I am a member of an online trading forum or reddit.) so I made sure to post them as it happened later.

REPLY: The numbers are the numbers. They are generated by a mathematical formula based upon physics and cyclical movements. No, it is not intended for day trading. However, it provides a road map to any market so you can easily see where it is going. Keep in mind that the most money to be made is in position trading. It may appear that day trading is less risky, but far too often your focus is just the intraday action. You lose sight of the big movements coming in like a wave that is bigger than the rest crashing into the shore.

If you stand at the beach and look at the waves closely, you will notice that one wave is larger than the rest. This is constructive inference. When several waves align in sync, suddenly the wave that is produced is larger than the rest.

This is a fundamental basis of cyclical activity that applies to everything in the universe. It is why the sun beats like your heart. There is a cycle of absolutely everything, which is why we are born, mature, and then die. There are some people who are so afraid of dying, that the sacrifice their life living in fear only to die in the end anyhow.

So never take your eye off the Weekly level at the very least. If you do, the day trading will wipe you out for you will never see that big wave about to hit the market and devastate everyone in its path.

 

Walter Williams: We Are Now Moving Step by Step Towards Totalitarianism


Published on Sep 7, 2017

Walter Edward Williams (born March 31, 1936) is an American economist, commentator, and academic. He is the John M. Olin Distinguished Professor of Economics at George Mason University, as well as a syndicated columnist and author known for his classical liberal and libertarian conservative views. In this speech, he talks about how the government is taking away our freedom step by step. Full talk at the Young America´s Foundation quoted under fair use: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FdzI_…

California Takes DNA of Every Baby Born


In California, the DNA of every baby born is being stored by the state. The real question is WHY? Then comes the next question: Who has access? Once that data is stored, any law enforcement agency can get its hands on it. What people do not know is that taking DNA of ANYONE in your family exposes the entire family to be a suspect in any crime. There are cases where the DNA of one person came up with a close match for another crime so they knew a family member was involved. Interesting how the MOST liberal state that claims to cherish the rights of individuals has become the most oppressive.

The Dollar High – Real or Adjusted?


QUESTION:  Hi Marty,

you said that the Dollar will make a major high going into 2020/21 and that will bring on the break in the monetary system. will the Dollar make new all-time high in nominal (165) terms or will it take an inflation-adjusted high to break the system?

thanks for the education.

JP

ANSWER: Here is a chart on our Dollar Index back to 1900. We can see how the dollar rallied for World War I and the Great Depression as everyone defaulted in 1931. Then there was the Plaza Accord high in 1985, which was followed by a 10-year decline. This projects out to a 26-year rally into 2020/2021 and should be a nominal new high. That will break the back of emerging market debt, and probably the European banking system.

Keep in mind that the USA took the bad loans out of the banks and stuffed them in Freddie and Fannie. In Europe, the bad loans are still on the books of the banks because everyone fears that a bailout would result in money flowing from the north to the south. This is why Draghi is keeping QE in place and buying debt that matures. The banking crisis just never ends. That combined with Draghi leaving next year means that and any halt to QE by the ECB will leave marginal governments unable to sell their new debt. The whole thing gets very dicey very fast.

I am continually called throughout Europe because they know this is just a waiting game. I do not think the solution will be one that anyone is willing to talk about without blood pouring from the ticker-tape. We may be doing another documentary on this very subject in advance to hopefully educate people as to what, why, and how we move beyond this. That is in the preliminary stages. If I know for sure, I will let everyone know. It will probably be filmed at a university in Europe.

What If We Just Wiped Out All Debt?


QUESTION: Hello Marty

I am hoping you will print this in your blog.

Everyone knows that Govt’s/Banks print money out of thin air and then “owe interest” to this invented money. To avoid an interest payment death spiral why can’t all the Govt’s in the world just tell the banks to pound sand? Why can’t we tell them “Sorry….we are no longer going to make interest payments on money you invented out of nothing”.

Regards,

Julie

ANSWER: I actually get this question often. I understand that the sophistry out there makes it sound so easy. Unfortunately, this is nowhere near the mark. The bulk of the lending that leverages the money supply is involved in consumer loans. So this really would create a very unfair arrangement that reminds me of the incident with Mark Antony. Everyone talked about the bankers and assumed that Julius Caesar would rule that all debt was to be forgiven. Mark Anthony believed Caesar would do that so he ran out and bought Pompey estate assuming he would never have to pay for it (see Anatomy of a Debt Crisis it appears, only Julius Caesar ever understood).

To do what you suggest may sound simple but it would produce riots and blood in the streets. Your pension would be gone because most funds invest in debt. What if you were retiring and bought muni bonds to live on because you were told they were tax-free? Perhaps you could not sell your house to retire because the buyer could not get a mortgage so you took the mortgage. That would mean he now gets the house for free.

Trust me – it would be a bloodbath in the streets.

Can We Just Use Cryptocurrencies, stop Bank Lending & end Central Banks & Survive?


QUESTION: Socrates did an amazing job. It called the high in BitCoin right to the day. That makes me wonder. After thinking quietly about the claim that cryptocurrencies will replace everything as a new world monetary system because it will not be centralized and created by a central bank, this seems to be complete BS if the majority of money is created by lending banks. I asked a diehard proponent and he said we have to stop banks from doing that and suddenly the world will be a better place. I think that means no credit and everything would collapse. Am I far off here or are these people at least partially correct? Am I missing something?

DT

ANSWER:  No, you are correct. These people do not understand the monetary system and they take one simple fact and they blame everything on that and the solution is a cryptocurrency to eliminate central banks and the creation of money by lending. That is so impractical it just shows the lunacy of it all. If you stop the creation of money by lending, do you realize property values would crash? We would be back to the Dark Ages where if you wanted to sell your house, the price would be ONLY what cash someone has. That is why FDR created the 30-year mortgages. Real estate fell to virtually zero. It was being auctioned off at 10 cents on the dollar or less.

All pension funds would be wiped out. The savings accounts would not be there for probably 80%+ of banks would close if not 100%. To suggest that the solution is the end of central banks and bank lending, you are talking about blood in the streets. The riots would be incredible if not revolution. The Dark Age was a period where there was no banking and no trade. The Dark Ages was originally classified as the 10th and 11th centuries. There was no lending. People worked for food. They were given land to cultivate and the “landlord” took 80% of the production. They received no wages prior to the Black Death.

The coinage of this period reflects how the economy functioned. The coins are rarely found more than 30 miles away from where they were struck. This confirms that there was no trade. These castles were isolated economic systems with an economy that was 90% agrarian. Banking emerged only with merchants who began to travel selling spices that began to import from the east all over again. In Germany, the merchants who became the banker because they made so much money (merchant banking), were called “Peppermen” because pepper was worth more than gold by weight.

This is what we would return to with no bank lending and no central banking. It’s just not a practical solution. It does not matter what the money actually is. The banks that emerged took deposits and gyro banking was invented. Why? There were far too many clipped coins and counterfeits in circulation. You had to inspect each and every coin for every transaction. It was far more efficient to deposit the coins and the bank certified the coins. Thus, you wrote a check and transferred the funds from your account to another and nobody had to inspect every coin.

If we are going to look at solutions, you just throw these wild ideas out there. They are usually put out there by people who have absolutely no experience in the world economy and assume they know everything.

How the Rich Get Richer!


COMMENT: You always support the rich and never see what they do to the rest of us.

LW

ANSWER: You simply believe the propaganda of governments. The rich get richer by INVESTING in assets. They list Bill Gates among the top in the world. Do you really think one gets rich by making more per hour than the next guy? Wealth is created through assets – not wages. The NUMBER ONE suppressor of the people is all governments. I worked hard trying to get Social Security reformed and privatized when the Dow was 1,000 instead of 100% government bonds. I gave up. Ther are to many pension funds that are restricted to buying government bonds.

It is not the rich that prevent others from investing. It is always the government. If you really add up what you pay in property taxes each year and subtract that from the value, you will quickly see that you probably lost money. When you sell the house, they do not count the taxes paid for decades as part of the cost.

Wealth is created by INVESTMENT – not buying bonds. Who prevents the average person from investing? It’s not Bill Gates.

Melissa Chen: How Postmodernism Attacks Enlightenment Values


Published on Oct 29, 2017

Melissa Chen is a Genome scientist born in Singapore. This is part of the talks at Mythcon 2017. It is worth supporting Mythcon for giving a platform for free speech. They write: Please support our gofundme campaign to raise funds for #Mythcon 2018: https://www.gofundme.com/support-mythcon Please fill out the survey link to give us feedback on the conference and let us know who you want to see next year: https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/VDLWHLJ We lost $12k on #Mythcon 2017 and are raising money to support the cost of #Mythcon 2018. We cannot stop talking about, listening to and challenging ideas and issues that are important to us. We will not find progress talking only to those who agree with us. We need to explore beyond our comfort zone, ask difficult questions, criticize ideas and try to find common ground in order to work on conflict resolution. Full conference, quoted under fair use: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwY4r…