Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 12, 2022 | Sundance | 335 Comments
Earlier today, the White House pushed the Director of the National Economic Council, Brian Deese, to the podium to defend the administration from the outcomes of their economic policies. Consider this presser the pre-quake tremors.
Mr. Deese begins his presentation by saying giving American workers back their jobs, after shutting down their workplaces and locking out their ability to work at their job, is the equivalent of creating new jobs; the administration is very proud of their magnanimity. Mr. Deese then moves on to the inflation data from today and celebrates a “decrease in the rate of price increases.” Yes, he used those exact words.
Deese then goes on to say [01:59] that despite the claimed 7% inflation, prices at the grocery store are not higher, gas prices have dropped, home heating costs and natural gas costs are lower, and things are going swimmingly. I’m not joking about any of that, just watch the first four minutes:
There was really bad news following the White House celebrating their current economic success. Brian Deese stated the White House intends to use the federal government to get involved in supply chains (distribution), pricing (federal price controls), availability (distribution of products under newly claimed emergency federal authority power via the “pandemic”) and providing relief (protecting urban areas).
What Deese is saying there [4:00 – 09:00] is the worst thing we could ever want to hear when there are massive price increases and simultaneous shortages. The federal government is ‘leaning forward’, and is going to get more involved.
Then at 09:00 of the video, the alarm bells start ringing. Journalists asking Brian Deese what the White House is planning to do to get involved and provide national food security. “The shelves are too empty, and the food is too expensive. What is the White House going to do?”
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 12, 2022 | Sundance | 273 Comments
The absence of food will change things….. Quickly.
The issues will fluctuate region by region and chain by chain as we enter the destabilization phase. In this phase the impacts in some operators will be small, and in others will be more noticeable. The difference will be the overall operational excellence in the proprietary business system they operate.
However, once the internal merit is exhausted, the manufacturing issues will impact all food retailers regardless of their warehouse and distribution excellence, or lack thereof. Ironically, small independent stores might be in the best position to withstand fresh supply pressure as they are closer to the field.
The further away the retail business operation is from the farmer, the greater the impact. The more people, systems and bureaucracy there are between the retailer and the farmer, the greater the operational impact. The longer the supply chain, the greater the impact. It is an unusual dynamic, but the local farmers’ markets are going to be the best source of consistent local supply. That reality is why the urban areas are going to be hit the hardest.
In this media report from Philadelphia, the local NBC affiliate blames the food supply issues exclusively on Omicron.
Europe’s regulatory body known as the European Medicines Agency (EMA) held a press briefing on Tuesday, January 11 for updates on the COVID-19 pandemic. Marco Cavaleri, the EMA head of biological health threats and vaccine strategy, raised significant concerns about the present mass vaccination program implemented across the European continent. Acknowledging the highly contagious nature of the Omicron variant, the regulatory official expressed that the level of severity appears milder than the Delta variant yet emphasized the importance of further data collection for a true understanding of the unfolding Omicron epidemiological impact. Cavaleri explained that based on recent studies, vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic disease becomes significantly reduced, waning over time, and this means more fully vaccinated people in Europe become susceptible to breakthrough infections caused by either Delta or Omicron. However, the EMA official noted that with a booster, vaccine effectiveness shoots back up. Significant risks to human health manifest, however, based on the premise of a public health response driven by continuous COVID-19 vaccination booster jabs. Cavaleri cautions that repeated booster jabs may adversely impact the human immune system. The regulator’s comments effectively challenge the current paradigm of the COVID-19 response. Is it time now to transition to an endemic-based COVID-19 response regimen?
Health agencies in Israel have initiated a fourth COVID-19 booster for higher risk demographic cohorts (e.g. over the age of 60), and Turkey, as well as Holland, are contemplating a fifth booster jab. What are the implications for such a public health strategy? This could potentially be dangerous, negatively impacting the immune system, suggests EMA’s Cavaleri.
A pharmacologist by training, Cavaleri spent several years in pharma research and development (R&D) with a specialization in antibacterial and antifungal programs spanning preclinical to clinical development. By 2005 he joined EMA as a Scientific Administrator, progressively advancing in the regulatory organization.
Cavaleri’s message implies the need for an urgent dialogue on the present mass vaccination program. While TrialSite has continuously challenged the underlying premise that vaccines can eradicate a consciously evolving pathogen such as a coronavirus, greater concern centers on mounting risks associated with continuous COVID-19 boosters. Cavaleri shares the same concern during this press conference, emphasizing the need now to transition from pandemic to endemic stage of the COVID-19 pandemic.Subscribe to the Trialsitenews “COVID-19” ChannelNo spam – we promise
Danger of Over-Vaccination
Openly critiquing what in the United States is considered gospel by health officials, Cavaleri went on the record about the potential harm of ongoing COVID-19 boosters declaring they “can be done once, or maybe twice, but it’s not something that we can think should be repeated constantly.”
Pandemic to Endemic?
Openly questioning the current public health trajectory in Europe, the official continued, “We need to think about how we can transition from the current pandemic setting to a more endemic setting.”
Cavaleri’s message should be seriously embraced, as COVID-19 booster shots administered every four to six months may very well threaten the human immune system leading to dangerous vulnerability, thereby possibly exacerbating the current health crisis, and creating what could become a dire situation.
TrialSite’s founder Daniel O’Connor shared, “thus far clinical trials haven’t been designed, funded, and conducted to evaluate the impact of ongoing booster programs on human safety. How do we know what the impact of multiple boosts could be on our health in the short, intermediate, and long term?”
O’Connor further emphasized that “this kind of ongoing, unfolding response with powerful novel technology without the appropriate data to better understand the health implications seems haphazard, even reckless.” The TrialSite founder suggested that the ongoing public health response to COVID-19 itself “seems to be one big, ongoing real-world research initiative.”
A growing number of medical and health experts introduce the need to soon transition to an endemic-centric response model (e.g., treat COVID-19 as a bad seasonal flu). However, many other experts such as the University of Illinois, Chicago infectious disease chief Dr. Richard Novak was quoted yesterday stating that we are still quite a way off from such a transition. Speaking with Chicago-area media Novak said, “No, we probably won’t be carrying vaccine cards forever, but eventually we will have a virus that is endemic and will cause mild illness and become sporadic.” According to Novak’s interview with ABC7, the milestone marking pandemic to endemic stage may be a few more years away, “depending on future variants.”
However, EMA’s Cavaleri indicates at least in Europe, the various national health agencies ought to start a dialogue, perhaps exploring how to integrate the COVID-19 vaccine into a seasonal influenza vaccine regimen.
The CDC and NIH refuse to recognize the important role that herd immunity could play in combating COVID. Yet, one thing that they failed to consider was herd immunity to fear. A recent poll conducted by Axios and Ipsos shows that 88% of Americans personally know someone who has contracted COVID. The poll conducted at the beginning of the month marks the highest percentage of respondents who said they personally knew someone who had the virus.
In March of 2020, the public perception of the virus was that anyone who contracted it would surely die a horrific death. The since-deleted videos of people dropping dead in the streets of China and countless images of people struggling to breathe on ventilators took over the media. People were sanitizing their groceries, changing their clothes at the door, and shunning their own family members.
The fear-mongering worked for a long time, and while some stubbornly hold onto those beliefs, a larger number of people are realizing that COVID is simply a virus. As I previously noted, a growing number of people are directly contracting COVID, surviving, and realizing, “Hey, that wasn’t so bad!” Perhaps the cognitive dissonance will begin to pass; the masses need to become outraged to resist the authoritarian restrictions that have reshaped the global society.
Scientists at John Hopkins have said that it would take an infection rate of around 70% to achieve herd immunity. The video was filmed in September 2020, prior to vaccines becoming available and the illusion of vaccines being safe and effective shattering. Fact: the vaccine does not prevent infection. These mRNA vaccines for COVID cannot be compared to a vaccine for an illness such as polio, where eradication is actually possible. The professor in this video admits that the virus will NEVER be eradicated, and that is information the science community has always known. Nearly one in ten people now know someone who has had COVID, and under this pretense, we should have achieved herd immunity by now. COVID is here to stay, and we need to learn how to live with the virus instead of halting our former way of life indefinitely.
QUESTION: Marty, you have said that when the currency collapses, all tangible things become money in a barter sense. I believe you were talking about the collapse of hyperinflation in Germany. Has that been consistent throughout history?
Thank you for a fantastic WEC
PK
ANSWER: Oh, absolutely. This is the standard reaction within society. You must understand that all the theories of the Austrian School of Economics are quite limited. They focused on a period when money in the FX markets simply traded based upon the metal content. There was no premium to one currency over another because of a superpower status as we have today with the US dollar or in ancient times in terms of Persia, Athens, Alexander the Great, or Rome. All of their coinages were imitated establishing that the metal content was only the base value. They carried a premium over the metal content based upon their economic dominance.
Emperor Diocletian completely restructured the Roman tax system. In the wake of the Monetary Crisis of the 3rd Century, the purchasing value of the coinage collapsed, and thus he was forced to requisition supplies from the provinces in order to allow the government to continue to even function.
Diocletian (284-305 AD), therefore, transformed this requisition into a tax, replacing the old monetary forms of taxation. Diocletian transformed that taxes would be paid in kind, that is, in the form of products such as supplies and food. This gave Diocletian the opportunity for a massive reorganization of how the empire imposed taxation. Diocletian and his administrators came up with a basic unit of taxation, iuga, which was maybe called capita. The iugawas based on land and labor, but in order to be fair, it also took into account the fertility of the land, the value of the local crops, etc. Consequently, using this information the Roman government could calculate the expected productive output of the Roman Empire as a whole on a year-to-year basis. To also accomplish this, he imposed an empire-wide census.
Only after the Roman currency was restored and Diocletian reintroduced silver coinage did the government continue to collect taxes in coinage, but it was now more definitive based upon production. Hence, the commodities were then translated into coinage.
Thus, you can see that during the Monetary Crisis, the Roman state refused to accept its own coinage and imposed taxes to be paid in raw commodities.
Nearly 100 years later, once again, the taxation declined to accept its own coins for many were clipped and counterfeited. Under Valentinian I (364-375 AD), the taxes were imposed in metal content. You would pay in the coin, the tax collector would melt them down, and your taxes were determined purely in metal content.
There are numerous examples from history that show what to expect when the government no longer accepts its own currency in payment for taxes.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 11, 2022 | sundance | 371 Comments
The shifting sands of COVID vaccination mandates are happening stunningly fast. During a press conference today the state health officials in Victoria, Australia, announced that vaccinated workers have 30 days to take their mandatory booster shots, or they will lose their jobs.
The announcement occurs at 07:07 of the video below. Prompted, WATCH:
Mandatory booster shots or lose your employment.
Australia is nuts. Then again, the U.S. probably isn’t far behind.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 11, 2022 | sundance | 438 Comments
The empty shelf problems in/around DC last weekend were mostly due to regional weather and employment issues. However, the snapshot represents an example of how people react to their first encounter. The conditions in the video represent a worst case scenario for those who have been watching the supply chain issue coming over the horizon. {Go Deep}
I doubt our average 2022 result will be this bad overall, however, there are areas where this might be the status. For most people outside urban areas, this severity of a food store shortage is unlikely, unless the federal government gets involved. If the federal government intervenes, this will be more common.
We know from prior examples, if these types of conditions were to last for just 72 hours across every store in a metropolitan region, you would see a level of panic begin. Civic stability remains relatively stable for 72 hours (3 days). However, if these conditions are persistent for more than 3 days, the general mindset of the population changes quickly. Things rapidly deteriorate. After three days, all reference points for civic norms are gone.
Those who remember Miami-Dade, specifically the Homestead region, in the aftermath of hurricane Andrew have a solid reference for what happens. New Orleans after hurricane Katrina was a lesser, albeit more public version. Hunger, fear and desperation are not a good combination.
Posted originally on the conservative tree house on January 11, 2022 | sundance | 140 Comments
The Australian media are well known to be stenographers for the far left totalitarian mindset of the government officials. If you have watched any of the COVID-19 press conferences with media, you will note they never challenge the state ministers or federal politicians. As remarkable as it may seem, the Australian media are considerably more biased than U.S. corporate media.
Showcasing that point, two broadcasters, Rebecca Maddern & Mike Amor from Channel 7 in Australia, did not know their microphones were recording them as they discussed the headline story around Novak Djokovic, the world #1 tennis player who was detained by border officials despite being given a visa for entry to play in the Australian open.
The two pundits were recorded complaining about Novak Djokovic and calling him a “lying, sneaky asshole” for challenging, and winning, a court case against the Australian government. The stenographers were upset about the world seeing first hand just how ridiculous the Australian COVID-19 dictates, rules and regulations are. WATCH:
Apparently, there’s a rebel amid the production staff throwing sand into the machinery. LOL. Well done.
People will always find a way to bypass the law. The tyrannical vaccine mandates have paved the way for a new career niche: vaccine jockeys. Those desperate to maintain their jobs or simply exist among the public have begun hiring people to take the vaccine on their behalf. This is highly illegal and certainly dangerous for the person being injected countless times with unknown substances.
Sadly, the practice is becoming more prevalent in poorer countries where the fee for taking the vaccine can supplement income. An Indonesian man reported that he has been vaccinated against COVID 17 times. The man said he was paid between 100,000 to 800,000 rupiah (up to $55.79 USD) for each vaccine card he could provide. In fact, he admitted that he once received three different shots in a single day.
Vaccine mandates and COVID laws are creating a dangerous black market. Desperate people tend to do desperate things.
Armstrong Economics Blog/Greece Re-Posted Jan 11, 2022 by Martin Armstrong
Another January 6th, 2022 important geopolitical event was the rising tension between Turkey and Greece. There has been an arms race between the two which escalated going into the end of 2021. Turkey intensified the arms race when it asked Biden to buy 40 F-16 fighter jets to upgrade its Air Force. The move coincides with the recent deal struck by Greece to acquire France Rafale jets and frigates. These two nations hate each other since when Xerces invaded Greece and was defeated and then Alexander the Great conquered Babylon. The tensions go back thousands of years but then Turkey became Muslim and now the clash remains also between Christianity and Islam.
Hulusi Akar, the Turkish Defense Minister, among other things, also said on January 8th, that Turkey wanted to resolve disputes with its neighbor and fellow NATO member, Greece, through dialogue and turn the Aegean into a “sea of friendship.” However, that was followed by the “but” where he accused Athens of pressing ahead with what he said were provocative actions, including militarizing islands close to mainland Turkey, in breach of international agreements. Hulusi Akar made incendiary statements to media representatives in Ankara and threatened NATO through Greece. He said that defense and security issues should be kept away from everyday politics and should not be the subject of war and that in his country, the issue of defense and security is a matter of 84 million people.
In 1453, the Ottoman Turks captured the Byzantine capital of Constantinople ending the Roman Empire for good. That completed their conquest of this once mighty empire and today we call what was Anatolia Turkey. That established the Ottoman Empire. For the next 400 years, Greece was ruled by the Turks, but Greece always resented their occupation given the history back to Xerxes and Alexander the Great. There were many failed uprisings against Turkish rule over the centuries.
In fact, it took just 28 years for the Greeks to stage their first revolt in 1481. The first uprising took place on the Mani peninsula in 1481, when Korkodeilos Kladas and the fierce Mani fighters rose up against the Ottomans. In 1711, the all-powerful Tsar of Russia, Peter the Great, issued a proclamation calling upon the Greek people to revolt. In truth, the Greeks took up arms against the Ottomans 123 separate times before 1821 and the great war.
It was 1821 when the Greeks launched a rebellion that would develop into the Greek War of Independence. With the help of Britain, France, and Russia, the Greeks gained their independence from the Turks in 1832. However, the new Greek nation only included a relatively small part of European Greek lands. There remained a large Greek population in mainland Turkey, former Anatolia from ancient times. This fact led Greece to constantly seek to re-take more land from the Ottoman Turks. Multiple wars between Greece and Turkey unfolded, and local Greek rebellions with the support of the Greek government were becoming the norm.
Greek Epirus Revolt of 1854, in which Greek military officers aided the rebels in the Ottoman province of Epirus. This was also part of the larger Crimean War, and the Turks defeated these rebels. The Greek population of the large island of Crete launched many revolts against Turkish rule. There were the Greek Cretan Revolts of 1841, 1858, 1866-1868, 1875-1878, and 1889. All were defeated by the Turks.
A new revolt on Crete broke out in 1896 which led to the Second Greco-Turkish War which is also called the “Thirty Days’ War” of 1897. The Ottoman army re-organized with the help of German advisors. That enabled them to easily defeat the unprepared Greek military. Greece had to surrender some border areas in the peace treaty and were forced to pay heavy reparations to the Turks.
Nevertheless, there was the Cretan revolt, which continued until 1898. That at least forced the Turks to remove their military from the island and set up an autonomous Cretan State, which, while still under Ottoman rule, but was nominally self-governing.
Next came the First Balkan War (October, 1912-May 30, 1913), in which Greece, Serbia, Bulgaria, and Montenegro all combined forces to defeat the Turks. They almost conquered all of the Ottoman Empire’s remaining lands in Europe. This is when Crete became officially part of Greece ending the Third Greco-Turkish War.
This was followed by the Fourth Greco-Turkish War (1921-1922) which defeated the Ottoman Empire in World War One. Greek troops participated in the Allied occupation of large parts of Ottoman Turkey. This is when with the collapse of the Ottoman Empire, Greece launched a full invasion of Turkey. The goal was to re-establish all the former Greek-speaking lands into the modern Green nation.
51.6 years later, the tension rose again this time forming the Greek-Turkish Conflict Over Cyprus in 1974. This became a full-scale war between Greece and Turkey. In 1974, the island-nation of Cyprus was engulfed in conflict when a coup overthrew the government with the goal of joining Cyprus with its Greek majority population with Greece. Turkey invaded northern Cyprus and set up a separate Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, a “nation” that only Turkey recognizes.
Tensions began to rise with the 2020.05 turning point on the Economic Confidence Model. These tensions are at their highest since 1974 and it looks like war is inevitable once again. Turkish President Erdogan’s re-conversion of the Hagia Sophia to a place of Muslim worship enraged many Greeks, which only exacerbated the economic competition for the oil and gas in the seabed near Cyprus. As the Greek and Turkish militaries face off at sea and in the air on a routine basis.
Here we also have a convergence of many cycles. The next 51.6-year cycle from 1974 events brings us directly to the period of rising risk of international war starting in 2025-2027 time period. This insane climate change policy that is deliberately driving up fuel prices around the world is crushing the third world and there people have far less risk in the face of war compared to the developed industrial nations.
The problem we have is as the economy turns down because of this absurd COVID nonsense that has wiped out tourism, a major income source for Greece and Turkey, hotels are closing and people are unemployed. This increases the tensions for war.
I have created this site to help people have fun in the kitchen. I write about enjoying life both in and out of my kitchen. Life is short! Make the most of it and enjoy!
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