Prequel


Posted originally on CTH on May 20, 2025 | Sundance 

In order to understand where we are today, we must understand our journey by remembering its origin.

Context is needed in order to truly appreciate events soon upon us.  A Big Hat Tip to Daniel Bocic Martinez who provides one of the most succinct encapsulations of the Hillary Clinton -vs- Barack Obama dynamic.

“Hillary Clinton didn’t trust Barack Obama because he was supposed to have waited his turn.

When the Bill Clinton presidential team in 2000 burrowed into the DNC, and installed HRC into the NY Senate seat, through heavy influence in primary machine politics, the Clintons were the happiest Dems in the country when W squeaked by Gore, leaving them in full control of the DNC money laundering operation for the duration of the W years.

“8 years of Bill, then 8 years of Hill,” was all going according to plan, with Hollywood planting Hillary as President “Easter eggs” throughout media of the 1990’s.

The 2008 primary was the culmination of their plan started decades earlier.

Obama’s 2004 DNC Speech and his Jefferson-Jackson speech were to place him as the heir apparent, but their lock over the DNC (and the superdelegates) was fait accompli.

Even Obama running a near flawless campaign wouldn’t have been enough on its own.

The factors that pushed him over the top, and that were outside his control, were 1) Hillary ran an abysmal campaign, due in large part to her abysmal interpersonal skills and genuine dislike of most human beings; and 2) then patriarch of the Kennedy political dynasty, Ted (whose always loathed the Clintons), pounced on the chink in HRC’s inevitability armor highlighted by her loss in Iowa (where she was outhustled in all 99 counties), and literally embraced Obama in New Hampshire shortly before the primary voting, and crowned Obama as heir apparent of what remained of the political capital once described as Camelot.

The superdelegate tsunami was stopped in its tracks and the rest is history.

With an embittered Hillary not ready to abandon decades of planning and ride off into the sunset, she first hoped McCain would somehow best Obama and then moved to burrow into his administration to maintain some level of control/access to the DNC money laundering operation her crime family ruled over for the better part of two decades.

Obama knew she would be disloyal outside of the administration, even worse in the Senate, spending each moment plotting a 2012 primary challenge (same reason she could never have been VP, she would have poisoned him if given the slot).

So, he made the Faustian bargain that would one day destroy his legacy and place in History and made her the one offer he knew she could not refuse, Secretary of State.

Out of sight, out of mind. He always cared more about his domestic agenda than foreign policy, and if she’s too busy selling political indulgences around the world, she’d put off 2012 primary ambitions and keep her eye on 2016.

Obama’s only obligation was to ensure that he did his part and ensure that his VP choose not to stand for President in 2016, which Biden dutifully complied with. HRC’s remaining embeds at the DNC then did their part in the 2016 primary and ensured the “mistake” of 2008 (heavily contested primary and near-infinite debates) was rectified.

The DNC went on to implement the “pied piper” strategy boosting Donald Trump in the early GOP primary, while being caught completely off guard as previously unknown Vermont Senate gadfly rallied the near plurality of Democrat primary voters who found her character and lack of authenticity repellant.

As the frailty of her campaign become apparent to threats from both Trump on the right and Bernie on the left, Hillary’s embeds in the administration at FBI/DOJ put their insurance plan into effect.

The FBI opened investigations into both [political] threads. For Bernie, the investigation targeted his wife and allegations of fraud surrounding a real estate transaction at her non-profit. For Trump, it was Crossfire Hurricane.

Neither was Obama’s operation by design but nonetheless happened under his watch and with the enthusiastic support of then VP Biden.

Once Trump finishes putting Chapter 9 of Art of the Deal into practice, it will be Obama’s lasting legacy.”

Germany’s Conspiracy Theory Hotline


Posted originally on May 12, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Conspiracy Theory

Germany has become increasingly tyrannical in its fight to combat dissenters who do not believe in abandoning nationalism for Brussels. Not only does the German government want to banish political parties who dissent from its narrative, but it has implemented a hotline where citizens may report others who spread “disinformation” and “conspiracy theories.”

The Violence Prevention Network, the Amadeu Antonio Foundation, and the Center for Applied Deradicalization Research launched  “Advice Compass on Conspiracy Thinking” (Beratungskompass Verschwörungsdenken) in 2024 as part of the “LivingDemocracy!” project. “Conspiracy theories are accompanied by lies and disinformation. They are deliberately spread to divide our society and destroy trust in independent science, free media, and democratic institutions. Conspiracy theories can lead to extremist ideologies and drive perpetrators to commit crimes and acts of violence. Antisemitic conspiracy theories are particularly often spread,” Federal Interior Minister Nancy Faeser said.

The government’s own website discusses how important it was to silence “disinformation” during the COVID-19 pandemic. The government is urging citizens to be on the lookout for anyone spreading conspiracies surrounding the war in Ukraine

Their website warns the public to look for “people in the immediate environment. Such as family, friends, or school” as they may reveal their independent thinking to the people closest to them. “Open dialogue on equal terms often seems impossible because the other person is not receptive to arguments,” the government states, warning citizens that they should report these free thinkers to authorities who are trained to combat extremism.

Secret Phone Calls.Hotline

“Those seeking advice will receive initial orientation and help in finding suitable counseling services nearby. After a confidential initial consultation, those affected will be referred to a specialized agency if necessary. In this way, we provide very concrete support to those affected and their families while simultaneously strengthening prevention efforts to protect our society from the growing dangers of conspiracy theories,” stated Federal Minister for Family Affairs Lisa Paus, who called conspiracy theories “poisonous to democracy.”

Germany calls their long-term counseling for conspiracy theorists holistic in nature, but it is a re-education and forced indoctrination program. The government does not want the people to have independent thoughts or beliefs that challenge their authority. Loyalty should lie with the government over family, friends, and classmates, all of whom could pose a threat to the government. Be suspicious of thy neighbor.

It is comical that the leftists honestly believe Germany is “finally on the right side of history” when history is in fact repeating. The economy is declining, and the nation is on the precipice of global warfare. The Germans live in fear of World War II repeating, yet, re-education programs are precisely what occurred in Nazi Germany. Schools were transformed into indoctrination centers, and textbooks were revised. Propaganda appeared in every form of media, and stern rhetoric was the primary tool that the Third Reich used to control the masses ahead of warfare. While the government’s current ideological requirements certainly differ from that of the Third Reich, the government is once again forcibly indoctrinating the people, silencing dissent, and forcing family and friends to turn on one another to protect the government above all else.

Going Rogue with Lara Logan Episode 11 | The Threat Within with John Guandolo


Posted originally on Rumble By Lara Logan on: Apr 12, 2025 at 5:30 am EST

How France Pushed Nixon to Close the Gold Window


Posted originally on Apr 15, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

gold reserve fort knox

There is much speculation about Germany withdrawing its gold holdings from the United States. We have seen this occur in recent history. In the 1960s, French President Charles de Gaulle began challenging the U.S. dominance in the global monetary system. Gold typically flows where capital feels safe, but in this case, France repatriated its gold from the US due to political tensions.

In 1965, French President Charles de Gaulle withdrew his ministers from the Council of the EU, thereby constituting a de facto veto over all decisions, which became known as the “Empty Chair Crisis.” Several issues regarding European political integration led to the Empty Chair Crisis. There was a push at that time to create the quasi-federalization of Europe. De Gaulle believed that national governments should move towards integration. Still, he did not agree with the Commission’s attempt to create some new super-central state or a federalized Europe, extending powers of the EU beyond national borders as we have today, which Margaret Thatcher also opposed.

President Charles de Gaulle has proposed the Fouchet Plan was a plan back in 1961 to create a new grand design for Europe. Charles de Gaulle wanted to develop a three-power directorate, consisting of France, Britain and the United States. The idea was to form a new ‘Union of States’, as an alternative to the European Communities (EC). De Gaulle feared a loss of French national influence in the EC as there was a drive to federalize Europe back then.

deGaul Charles

After the failure of the Fouchet Plan and De Gaulle’s veto of the United Kingdom’s application for EC membership, the Commission attempted to move towards integration by proposing an idea that would combine the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), the European Parliament, and Commission. De Gaulle supported the creation of the CAP and favored its enactment. However, he disagreed with the Parliament’s new role, the Commission’s strength, the shift towards federalization and a central state, and the budget proposals for financing the CAP. De Gaulle made it a condition that majority voting with a right to veto must exist if France was to participate in the EC. When de Gaulle was denied a more intergovernmental Commission or voting and veto rights, the French representative left the Council of Ministers thereby creating the Empty Chair Crisis.

The Luxembourg Accord was an agreement reached in January 1966 to resolve the “Empty Chair Crisis,” which had caused a stalemate within the European Economic Community. Then on June 21, 1966, de Gaulle withdrew France in a shocking move, taking its troops from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). This decision, led by French president Charles de Gaulle, complicated relations between the U.S. and Europe amidst clashing American and Communist spheres of influence. Though France remained politically in NATO, its actions cast doubt on the organization’s future as a counter to Soviet military power and control back then.

From 1963 to 1966, France secretly implemented Operation Vide-Gousset to repatriate 3,313 tons of gold reserves from the Bank of England and the New York Federal Reserve. It took over 44 boat trips and 129 flights to export the gold back to the Banque de France. Since France converted its dollar holdings into gold, the French made out well when the dollar fell during the Bretton Woods period and lost 96% of its value against gold. France then withdrew from the London Gold Pool in 1966 after recovering its gold holdings to force the US to endure heavier losses.

France’s actions caused a gold run with nations eagerly reducing their holdings at the New York Fed. West Germany reclaimed 1,200 tons of gold. Switzerland increased gold purchases from both the US and UK, but did so more discreetly than France to avoid political upheaval. By 1971, before the gold window closed, the United Kingdom requested $3 billion in gold conversions from the US. This may have been the final move that pushed Nixon to act. The Netherlands and Belgium also began exporting gold holdings from the US at this time.

US gold stock fell from $22.7 billion in 1950 to $12 billion by 1971.  On August 15, 1971, President Nixon closed the gold window, ending the convertibility of the dollar into gold. The 1971 closing of the gold window by Nixon cut the link to gold, ending Bretton Woods.

“The speculators have been waging an all-out war on the American dollar,” Nixon declared, and to “protect the dollar from the attacks of the international money speculators” would take “bold action.”

“I have directed [Treasury] Secretary Connolly to suspend temporarily the convertibility of the dollar into gold.”

France’s actions were a catalyst to the inevitable decision to close the gold window, but not the sole cause. Yet, as we are seeing today, the primary reason that nations would like to withdraw their holdings comes down to politics. Charles de Gaulle said that the dollar was “monumentally over-privileged” and moved to hurt the USD. The incoming German government is now looking to withdraw their holdings from the US solely due to their distaste for America.

EU President Ursula von der Leyen is Apoplectic, Worries of Asian Product Dumping into EU


Posted originally on CTH on April 3, 2025 | Sundance

The response from the EU is exactly what we would expect to see from the end of the 80-year-old Marshal Plan.

EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyden has three big concerns with the new trade/tariff reset.  I strongly suggest everyone to read the EU concerns slowly to fully absorb decades of hypocrisy now surfacing:

#1 The EU will not be able to compete for U.S. market share with 20% general tariffs and 25% auto tariffs.

#2 The EU must deploy countermeasures against the risk of losing industrial capacity and manufacturing to the United States.

And #3 The EU must defend itself against China dumping cheap products into the EU now rejected by the USA.

von der Leyen is concerned mostly about the extremely valuable U.S. consumer being leveraged by President Trump, essentially blocking exploitation from EU and Asia. The EU will not tolerate losing access to the most valuable customers in the world, Americans.

Showcasing the mindset, Ursula von der Leyen vows to take all action needed to retain U.S. customers, even if those customers no longer want her products. The USA will allow Europe access, or there will be hell to pay. I must say this is quite funny.

(Via Politico) […] Von der Leyen said Trump’s tariffs would have dire consequences for consumers and businesses that have prospered through trade with the United States since World War Two.

[…] The EU chief executive said the bloc would ready countermeasures against Trump’s latest tariff broadside, in addition to a €26 billion package responding to tariffs he has already imposed on steel and aluminum. At the same time, she vowed, Brussels will work to protect the industries most exposed.

“We are already finalizing the first package of countermeasures in response to tariffs on steel, and we are now preparing for further countermeasures to protect our interests and our businesses if negotiations fail,” von der Leyen said from Samarkand, Uzbekistan, where she was attending a summit.

“We will also be watching closely what indirect effects these tariffs could have. Because we cannot absorb global overcut capacity, nor will we accept dumping on our markets,” von der Leyen said, as the bloc braces for a flood of cheaper exports coming from China and elsewhere that will be shut out of the U.S. market. (read more)

As noted by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, all of the global trade partners would do themselves a favor if they did not react emotionally with increased countervailing duties.

The currently outlined U.S. reciprocal tariffs represent a ceiling amount levied.  The goal is to lower the tariffs to zero by eliminating all trade barriers.  If the EU raises their baseline tariffs, the only thing that happens is the U.S. side increases at the same proportion.  The higher von der Leyen goes in her tariffs, the higher the U.S. countervailing duty applies.

 

Randy Fine FL-6: “The Comes Down To Who Wants It, The Donald Trump Right Or The Bernie Sanders Left”


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: Mar 28, 2025, at 12:00 am EST

Bannon: “If The Local Authorities Won’t Work With President Trump’s DOJ Then Cut Off All The Money.”


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannon’s War Room on: Mar 28, 2025, at 12:00 am EST

Time the Last Frontier


Posted originally on Mar 30, 2025 by Martin Armstrong 

Iranian_Rial M Array 3 29 25
Israeli Shekel M Array 3 29 25

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I have followed Socrates for over a year now. I was told by friends you run the most unbiased site in the industry. I greatly appreciate how objective it really has been. What I am dumbfounded by is how, with the tension now with Iran and Trump’s ultimatum to Iran, even things like this take place when Socrates projects months in advance. I don’t want the code. You were willing to give your life to protect that. Can you give us a hint at how Socrates can see things nobody else does?

A most respectful convert

MM

ANSWER: I believe that pressure is building within the system, and it is that pressure that compels people to react. The computer forecasts that pressure, not some order that Trump may or may not sign. Trump is compelled to take action because of the pressure. The computer tells us when that pressure will reach a turning point that compels a response.

We have lost the knowledge that existed before the Dark Ages. There is a mysterious force that many do not wish to acknowledge even exists because they cannot see everything simultaneously and connect the dots. I am working hard to deliver two books, which I hope will be my legacy and what I leave behind. I have tried my damndest to defeat my own computer, and I have always failed. The sequel to the movie on me, The Forecaster, may be out by May. I was asked a tricky question, understanding that the forecasts are not my personal opinion. The question was:

How does it feel to live through your own forecasts?

MA War Cycle 2011 WEC

They have been filming me at every conference since 2011. So they have recorded all the forecasts, including me standing up in 2011 and forecasting that the War Cycle would begin in 2014.


Here is the first draft of the Prologue to the book on the business cycle and the Economic Confidence Model. I am working hard to complete it.

New ECM-2025-Prologue

Obama’s Rent a Riots & SodaGate ReeEEeE Stream 03-23-25


Posted originally on Rumble By The Salty Cracker on: Mar 23, 2025 at 7:30 pm EST

Obama’s DIRTY SECRET: USAID Caught in Riot Money Scheme! | Elijah Schaffer


Published originally on Rumble By The Gateway Pundit on Mar 23, 2025 at 10:00 pm EST