Pat Buchanan Points Out The Absurdity of Continued GOPe Attempts To Deny The Voter…


Pat Buchanan is 100% right if Trump is denied the nomination the Party itself is done. The people will not stand for being denied and a new party will form I would guess it will be part Republican party blue dog Democrats and part Libertarian. Further its possible that this collation could win some states and deny the election to the R’s and D’s and throwing it into the House.

BREXIT


BREXIT On Schedule

 

BREXITThere is talk that Obama may go to Britain to express support for Cameron’s position on Britain remaining in the EU, even though it will surrender its sovereignty to do so. The USA would NEVER agree to such terms itself. How could anyone tell Britain to surrender its very soul to the insanity of Brussels, as if they have done such a wonderful job? The EU is being eaten alive from the inside and now 66% of Germans are against Merkel. Yet, Britain should surrender everything to this madness? It has been 43 years since Britain entered the EU. It did quite well before 1973. If Britain remains in the EU, well, these people have already passed laws against short-selling. They will destroy London as a financial hub and reduce it to a third world status.

We will be issuing a special report on Britain given the serious of what is at stake.

Since the issue is sovereignty being surrendered, the queen should rightfully say yes or no as well.

The Bankers will Back Hillary Against Trump


Hillary-Blankfein

The bankers will be backing Hillary with unlimited money. If Trump becomes the nominee, you will see a major effort to put Hillary in the White House. If the bankers do not own the White House, they will be at serious risk between 2017-2020. Right now, they have been hit with big fines for clipping people in just about every market from metals to currencies. There is no possible way Hillary will release the transcripts of those speeches because they would reveal how much she is in their corner. Hillary’s response is simply that she does not believe the people are interested in those transcripts. Like her illegal server, she is the most secretive person in Washington circles in many many years.

What Are Tangible Assets


Assets Tangibile

QUESTION: Hi Martin,

In your April 20 blog post, you stated “You are better off with tangible assets for the transition when it comes.

Please explain what “tangible” assets are, and what “non-tangible” assets are, assuming these also exist.

Thanks for the wonderful education,
M.

ANSWER: Tangible Assets are non debt related – fixed assets in general. This includes commodities, equities, and real estate. The commodities include non-perishable such as gold, silver, platinum, copper, etc.. The agricultural commodities are not really sustainable on a long-term basis. The primary advantage to silver and gold is that they are the same commodity in different nations where as you have even difference between Texas and Brent crude oil. Real estate varies depending upon location. You definitely have two problems. First, there is the risk of tax increases, and Second, there is the geopolitical risk in some areas. Equities (shares in public corporations), serve well and blue chips have never defaulted. Even if a company goes bust, you get something back. When government debt goes bust, you get nothing.

Delaware Poll: “Ceilings”? Donald Trump Crushes Kasich and Cruz Combined…


Assuming the RNC/GOPe doesn’t pull any more crap than it already is e.g. throwing him out of the party then he will be over 1237 delegates come the Convention in Cleveland.

Post Election Night Debrief – Trump Towers and Cruz Mathematically Knocked Out…


My prediction for trump  in New York was 80 delegates and 10 for Cruz and 5 for Kasich so Trump is ahead of plan and should be able secure 1000 plus by the end of the month. That almost guarantees him the nomination. So we need to keep the pressure on and ignore the BS that Trump can beat Hillary — that is totally ridiculous Hillary can’t even beat Bernie who really isn’t even trying!

Central Banks Are Trapped – Higher Interest Rates the Only Answer?


Reserve Bank Australia Glenn Stevens

COMMENT: Marty, well it looks like you have done it. The central banks are going to start raising interest rates right in line with your model. It is interesting how your computer puts the entire world before you to see. Keep up the good work. They obviously are starting to follow you.

SS

REPLY: I do not think that the central banks are simply beginning to follow us. Yes, they all probably read us no doubt. But make no mistake about it, they are going to raise rates not because of our model, but because they have no choice. Low interest rates have wiped out pension funds and destroyed the living standards of the elderly. These people are clueless and should never have followed Larry Summers down this path of absolute hell. The comments of Glenn Stevens, the meeting between Yellen and Obama, and the criticism starting to surface against Draghi at the ECB is the realization that interest rates must be “normalized” (raised) but they have created a nightmare for governments are addicted to low interest rates and their budget will explode and we will see a sharp rising in taxes from 2017 onward.

We will be putting out a very important special report. What is going on behind the curtain right now is state pensions are lobbying Congress to make it MANDATORY that everyone (not just government employees) contribute to state pension systems. They want to takeover your 401K and manage everything robbing your saving to pay for unfunded liabilities to state workers. This is how they are looking to bail themselves out. This is the dark side post-2017. This is going on right now and it is still all hush hush.

CBDUSA-Y 2015

All the markets from metals to equities and oil, have pushed right to the limits. Almost all markets are approaching their key target resistance and reversals. Even silver has rallied to the Weekly Bullish at 1719 followed by 1775 just below last year’s high of 1850.5 causing the silver/gold ratio to bounce from resistance. The Dow has done almost the exact same type of move reaching the Bullish Reversals just beneath last year’s high. Gold has done the same thing stopping just 30 cents from the Weekly Bullish Reversal at 1287.50 shy of last year’s high of 1307.80. Of course oil has not come close to last year’s high of 62.58.

The point is, when we extract the emotion and opinion which is incompatible with forecasting, the entire purpose of our model is to provide a very black and white perspective without the hype and emotion that causes losses. We know when to get excited and when to hold back. Nearly 90% of people investing lose money because they are victims of their own emotion. Let the markets show you the trend. They are never wrong, only people. Over the years I have personally noticed that when it is the MOST difficult even for me to stand firm and I begin to question will it break through, that is precisely when it does not. So if the markets can move to such an extreme that even I get that feeling inside OMG, is this correct, that is when it is right in spades. This is an emotional game and people trade emotionally to their own demise.

So step back, we have the time and numbers. Just let the markets do what they do best. Never ANTICIPATE for that is how you buy the high or sell the low.

Surviving the Coming Transition


Business Cycle

QUESTION:  Dear Martin and co-workers,
Firstly, I want to express my appreciation for the writings at the blog (it opened my eyes! and I am very much awake now) and I read a daily. I am a stay-at-home-mother, artist, and I had never before gained knowledge about economics , it’s corruptive nature, and leading role in society. However Just a few months ago I saw the movie The forecaster. Martin you are truly an amazing guy!!! and I wish you the best!
My question:Do you have an advice or suggestion for people like myself. No traders, (middle income) families, living in Europe or the US, kids who would like to study. How can we accomplish that with just a little savings in order to the potential fall of the euro and collapse of the system?
P.S. I clearly understand that you don’t want to be a so called guru.
Sincerely, conny

hope

ANSWER: It is very difficult to see forward in such a manner. Tangible assets will make the transition to the next world of finance. There will be a new base of currency and it will most likely be electronic. The reason for this is political. The USA peaked as did Britain. The financial power will move to Asia, and Europe along with the USA will crash and burn because they are caught in this fictional world created by Marx. Russia and China collapsed under Marxism. It is just our time.

I would support some practical basket of currencies since Russia and China dislike having the dollar as the reserve currency. Likewise, with the dollar being the only practical currency standing, the USA is realizing that it may lose control of its domestic economy because of international considerations. Clearly, there have already been discussions of removing the reserve status of the dollar, but this cannot be accomplished unilaterally. Under no circumstance would I support placing the IMF in charge of this instrument. That organization is way too corrupt and my advice to China and Russia (where we also have this blog in their respective languages) is to reject any such attempt to hand this power to the IMF. We need a clean house to start such a project and the IMF has way too much baggage.

Education

Formal education is the way we perpetuate our mistakes forward. When I hire, I do not look at fake degrees. I look at the person and their thinking process. Samuel Butler (1835–1902) the iconoclastic Victorian-era English author, defined genius as “a supreme capacity for getting its possessors into trouble of all kinds.” If your child does not do well in school because they are bored rather than incapable of understanding such subjects, then they may be what people call a genius. Geniuses are often misunderstood in classrooms and are typically poor students whom teachers dislike because they are non-conformists. Studies at the University of Chicago and the University of Minnesota have found that teachers smile at children with high IQs and frown upon those with creative minds. When we had young people coming into the company who had to take their Series 7 exam, they would ask me questions. I quickly responded, “Do not ask me anything for if you do as I say you will flunk. Just memorize the answers, put them down, and then forget them and we will begin your REAL education in markets.”

The intelligent yet uncreative students accept conformity, never rebel, and complete their assignments quickly and perfectly. The creative child questions everything and accepts nothing. They are much more manipulative, imaginative, and intuitive growing up. They will often play one parent against another. In school, teachers dislike them because they will harass the teacher with questions that expose the illogical dogma they teach.

These genius children are often viewed as wild, naughty, silly, undependable, and lacking in seriousness or even promise. They even said that of Albert Einstein. Their behavior is typically distracting and they will often appear lazy, bored, and lacking any effort to try to advance, but in truth, they are absorbing everything around them. Such children will also give unique answers to banal questions because they are connecting the dots around them. Other children who are linear thinkers will typically reject these children which can cause them to be loners.

Ellis Paul Torrance (1915-2003) was an American psychologist who studied this subject and found that 70% of pupils rated high in creativity were actually rejected by teachers when picking a special class for the intellectually gifted. In a Stanford study, M.G. Goertzel, V. Goertzel, and T.G. Goertzel concluded that teachers would have excluded virtually everyone we consider to be a genius from Einstein and Edison to Picasso and Mark Twain. There is even a book on this called “The Price of Greatness: Resolving the Creativity and Madness Controversy” by Arnold M. Ludwig (1995) which explores the lives and achievements of over 1,000 extraordinary men and women. This book sought to answer the age-old questions about the relationship between mental illness and greatness. It also goes into factors that predict creative achievement in people. You will find a long list of very colorful stories about some of the most eminent artists, scientists, social activists, politicians, soldiers, and business people of our time.

Formal education is terrible. More than 60% of graduates cannot find employment in their field of study. Degrees are only useful to get jobs in brain-dead institutions that lack creativity themselves. Encourage your children to see the world dynamically and look for the connection between the dots. In ancient times, the key education was apprenticeship where you learned the field from the people actually doing the work rather than by those who lack experience. As they say, there are those who do and those who teach. I have been asked to teach at three of the leading universities. The problem is that I have no time. Those of us who really do things would find it boring and unfulfilling to simply stand up and teach a small class of kids. I might as well be a rock star singing the same song for 40 years (which is why rock stars need drugs to constantly do the same thing until they die).

If you understand what is coming, common sense will lead you to the answer. You are better off with tangible assets for the transition when it comes. From a European perspective, you are better off in dollars for now. The euro only gets interesting above 116. So you always have to define where you are right and wrong. Some people are keeping money in PayPal where they are not charged negative interest rates to simply have money there and they do not have bad loans on their books.

Illinois is Brooke and Cannot Pay the Politicians


Muger Leslie

I have warned that Illinois is on the brink of bankruptcy. Now, Illinois Comptroller Leslie Geissler Munger says she will delay monthly paychecks for lawmakers and statewide officials since there isn’t enough money to pay the state’s bills and other services should come first. This is really interesting. What will happen next when the politicians cannot get paid?

Who is the Bigger Manipulator of All Time?


Manipulation-3

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; You have stood up against the bankers for their manipulations when nobody else would do so and paid the price that these people who hate you never acknowledge. They even made a movie about you for standing up to these bankers yet these goldbugs do hate you for exposing their rantings. If they were not wrong, they would not be against you since you have even shown how you project $5,000 gold in the years ahead using real analysis not guessing. It is always kill the messenger. To me this reflects their lack of honesty. My question is simple. Who is the bigger manipulator, the banks or government? Since Hillary’s lack of trust is at 57% and Trump is around 60%, I suspect it is government. But I will defer to you.

Thank you for looking after us

JD

ANSWER: In my “opinion”, there is no question that government is the master manipulator. This is what Marxism and Keynesianism is all about — how to manipulate society to maintain political power. This is also coming to an end. The central banks have manipulated themselves into an impossible position from which there is no escape. This is what will make the metals and stocks rally. This has nothing to do with bank manipulations, hyperinflation or fiat; this has to do with the collapse in confidence within government.