Posted originally on Feb 5, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
COMMENT: Hi Martin,
In terms of trends determined by higher highs and lower lows, such as your analysis of the Democratic party in the US, stats like the crazy one below could probably tell a similar tale pertaining to the global warming fraud.
Just yesterday, a friend and I considered that winters in this part of Arkansas are colder than when I was a kid. While I don’t have the data to back it up, anecdotally, the winter trend is towards colder norms rather than warmer norms. Four years ago was a record low (in my lifetime) at 12 below.
Regards,
FA in Arkansas
REPLY: We have a lot of weather data, and this entire claim of global warming and that humans are the cause of climate change is not only stupid, it is arrogant. There is no evidence of what these people claim. The English Court ruled against Al Gore and his movie that his climate film presented nine ‘errors’and was thus inappropriate. The climate zealots want to ignore that ruling and pretend it never happened.
Here is the data from New York City with records back to 1869. There is a normal climate cycle, and nothing shows any dramatic change in trends. We are headed into colder weather, and let us hope that the rise in volcanic activity does not produce one or two VE7 eruptions. Our computer warns that we are also at rise of a rise in volcanic activity. That can block the sun and result in a volcanic winter, so you should have food stashed for crops will fail during a volcanic winter, and people will starve.
There is a cycle to everything, including climate!
Posted originally on Jan 26, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Hi Martin,
I am unsure if I have informed you of a little thing I noticed about the ECM a while back that I was recently reminded of and you may find interesting. I’ll keep it simple. The square root of 666 is 25.8069….. / 3 = 8.6023…. coincidence or relation?
I Know it is fractal but are we not in the 6th wave of the 6th wave of the 6th Wave most applicable to us and our time?
It is clear to me rather it is the symptom or the disease that we are trapped in a negative cycle and getting nowhere like a hamster wheel.
The cycle must be broken, perhaps we can at least change the frequency, but how?
Best Regards,
MP
ANSWER: Very interesting calculation. I know that the number of his name is supposed to be based on the Greek alphabet, in which each letter represents a number. There has been some debate that it was translated in Arabic numerals as 616 (χιϛ), not 666. The Novum Testamentum Graece, a Greek translation, read χιϛ/616 as a variation. Nevertheless, many had interpreted that the number of the beast referred to the Roman Emperor Nero. In several editions of the Bible in Greek, the number is represented by the final three words, ἑξακόσιοι ἑξήκοντα ἕξ, hexakósioi hexēkonta héx, which does translate to “six hundred [and] sixty-six.”
The one thing that is fundamental in this universe of ours is that everything is fractal. It is always the same structure throughout all time scales. Therefore, if a cycle is VALID, it must be fractal and appear on all levels of time. The 8.6 times 3 is 25.8. The Precession of the equinox is 25,800 years. Not only is 8.6 years equal to the perfect number of Pi * 1,000 days, but every level of time must also conform. Therefore, a super-cycle measured in thousands of years must be a fractal of the lowest level to be valid. Your calculation of the square root of 666 being 25.8069 is fascinating. Does this imply that it should be 666 rather than 616?
Recorded history began with the invention of writing around the 4th millennium BC, with the earliest verifiable records attributed to the Sumerians in Mesopotamia around 2900 BC. This period marks the transition from prehistory, where no written records exist, to documented historical accounts. Human evolution began approximately six million years ago when our ancestors started to diverge from the common ancestors shared with great apes. The emergence of anatomically modern humans, Homo sapiens, occurred around 300,000 years ago. Darwin’s theory of evolution does not discredit the Biblical account, for there is nothing to say that God did not take an ape and reshape it. The missing link has never been discovered, but there are undoubtedly different species of humanoids, such as Neanderthals.
The story of the Great Flood and Noah’s Ark has survived with variations in many cultures. We even have Babylonian accounts and reliefs depicting the people dying in the Great Flood. We also know that Abraham came from that region where he lived in the city of Ur.
The story of Noah’s Ark landing in what is a region of Turkey known in ancient times as Phrygia is even celebrated on Roman coins. The Ark depicted on this coin from the 2nd century AD even has the name inscribed “NOAH” on the vessel in Greek. This confirms that the story of the great flood was not confined to the Bible. It is entirely possible that this story dates back to the 10,000 BC era and represents the previous civilization.
What we do know is that the ancients had often built upon the ruins of the previous. The ancient city of Troy has several layers. Some argue that the Sphinx was originally a lion that was created about 10,000 BC facing the constellation Leo and was recarved with the human head by the Egyptians.
People fail to understand that our planet’s entire weather system is extremely dynamic. Research has traced the north-south shifts of the northernmost edge of the tropics back 800 years, conducted by the University of Arizona-led international team. They have mapped out that the Tropic Belt is also subject to cyclical movement. I have reported that in ancient times, the region we call the Sahara Desert was lush and green, and cave drawings showed herds of animals in the area. The research has revealed that, indeed, the Tropic Belt has moved upward and downward over the centuries, and the study has documented where it has moved for the last 800 years.
The University of Arizona wrote: “From 1568 to 1634, the tropics expanded to the north, the team found. That time period coincides with severe droughts and other disruptions of human societies, including the collapse of the Ottoman empire in Turkey, the end of the Ming Dynasty in China and near abandonment of the Jamestown Colony in Virginia…”
The Tropic Belt has been gradually moving northward since 1970. There is debate over what is even causing that. Again, this only confirms that the climate change theories caused by fossil fuels are just absurd.
The real unanswered question is whether there is also an evolutionary cycle like Noah’s where most of civilization is wiped out, and we have to start all over again. Is that cycle every 8,600 years? This is the 64 million dollar question.
Posted originally on Jan 16, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: You have opened my eyes to the fact that volcanoes. I believe your computer was forecasting a rise in volcanic activity starting in 2025. Do you have any data that can suggest the risk from the supervolcano at Yellowstone?
Pat
ANSWER: The Yellowstone supervolcano in Wyoming is one of Earth’s most potent volcanic systems. Known for its catastrophic eruptions in the distant past, it remains a natural wonder for tourists and keeps scientists on their toes. Recent studies have revealed subtle but intriguing activity deep beneath its surface, prompting questions about the volcano’s future behavior.
The data is too vague to make an accurate forecast. We know there were pretty sizeable rhyolitic lava flows in the caldera between 180,000 and 70,000 years ago. That does not help with a cyclical model. We can see evidence that a very steep caldera wall, 500 m tall, formed when the eruption of Lava Creek was estimated to be about 640,000 years ago. The thick West Yellowstone rhyolite lava flow was part of the 110,000 years ago, and the Nez Perce Creek flow erupted 160,000 years ago.
The historical data for Yellowstone is not sufficient to create a forecast. We must correlate this with regions where we have more data.
There are a number of Supervolcanoes around the world, and perhaps the most recent one to erupt was in Italy. The BBC and the Discovery Channel story on Yellowstone 2005 popularized the term Supervolcano. According to the United States Geological Survey (USGS), a supervolcano is any volcanic center that has explosively erupted at least 1,000 cubic kilometers (240 cubic miles) of fresh volcanic material in a sudden, violent manner – in a so-called supereruption – often producing a huge depression crater named a caldera. Italy’s Campi Flegrei volcano has been showing signs for the first time in nearly 400 years that it is still alive and well and capable of making many people experience a very bad day.
Aside from Yellowstone, the largest volcanic eruption in the Northern Hemisphere in the past 100,000 years has been attributed to a Supervolcano, which erupted some 39,400 years ago in what is known as the Phlegraean Fields by Naples, Italy. This has been documented from several sources. The ashes from this eruption were distributed over the entire eastern Mediterranean and up to central Russia. This colossal event also produced a Volcanic Winter, the worst thing for the rest of the world, which resides at a safe distance from the actual Supervolcano.
We are witnessing a rise in volcanic activity as we enter solar minimum. Hopefully, we are not facing a catastrophic volcanic winter period. However, it also raises concerns that a pole shift can be far more rapid than previously anticipated. I believe that people prefer to assume uniformity rather than a catastrophe. A stalagmite-based paleomagnetic record of the post-Blake excursion reveals details of repeated polarity drifts that have occurred during periods of low geomagnetic field intensity at 100 thousand years before present around the time of this Naples eruption. One surprisingly abrupt centennial reversal transition occurred in 144,000 provides unprecedented evidence that raises fundamental questions about the speed of geomagnetic field shifts. Such rapid polarity changes could severely affect satellites and human society if the current geomagnetic field intensity decreases.
We have a pole shift, climate change, and volcanic eruptions that seem to be correlated. Our correlation models have warned that this is something that needs to be investigated. For the first time, laying out this record produces what appears to be a single geological archive, creating a precise chronological order. These types of events can take place in the space of even just a single decade.
The recent events at the Campi Flegrei volcano have, for the first time in nearly 400 years, provided a warning sign. The ground at the center of the caldera has bulged up by 4 meters, warning that lava is collecting once again. This uplifting curiosity began in 1985 with this ECM wave. Since July 2024, there has started to be a swarm of earthquakes, which is never a good sign. Vesuvius’s two most recent eruptions were 1875–1906 and again 1913–1944. There is a cyclical risk of this rising again between 2025 and 2030.
Keep in mind that the eruptions at the Supervolcanic level took place around 315,000, 205,000, 157,000, and 18,000 years ago. A minor event is still at the level of Vesuvius as in 79AD – nearly 1850 years ago. So, while we no doubt face a major Supervolcanic event, we may see major volcanic events that are still not at the supervolcano level. Anyone who has visited Rome has most likely visited the catacombs. These underground tunnels are volcanic in nature and around Rome, mainly consisting of a variably soft stone called tuff (tufa). This was soft enough terrain that was well suited for catacomb burial. It was relatively easy to dig tunnels for galleries. All of this is from this region of the Naples and the supervolcano.
Posted originally on Jan 12, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: I know you have the data on temperatures and said we are heading into a cold period. I couldn’t find that chart. Could you please repost that, given this is extremely cold these days? I think I recall you saying something about 2025. Will this also lead to famine, as you had warned?
DK
ANSWER: Yes, I provided the array with the link to that article that WAS PUBLISHED BACK IN 2022. Here is the view of snowfall since 1869, accumulative annually. Note that once more, this shows the BS about climate change and global warming. The record for snowfall in NYC was in 1996.
Compare this to the array that was published back in 2022. They both show a trend into 2029 and that this would shift in 2025. We should be looking at colder periods, and this raises a serious risk of famine as the planet turns colder. That is, when crops fail, food prices rise, and famine increases. Everything that the LEFT has done with respect to the fake climate change has set us up for an environmental disaster. California has outlawed controlled fires, which Australia has done for a long time, so if a strip is burned out, then a raging fire has no fuel, and it stops. Whatever these people have done is precisely the opposite of what experience and history prove is true.
Take corn, for example. The markets have always predicted the future correctly. The August low set the stage for the rally. Pay attention to the cycles and the reversals in agriculture markets. They are projecting that we have some hard times coming into 2029.
Posted originally on Jan 9, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Joe Biden is passing additional climate change “protections” before leaving office. Before placing a ban on offshore drilling, Biden and/or his handlers turned his attention to American households. His latest policy will prohibit Americans from purchasing natural gas water heaters.
The ban will officially begin in 2029 and natural gas-fired water heaters will no longer be available to the public. Per usual, the ban is intended to prevent carbon dioxide emissions from ending the world. Some estimate that the tanks alone will cost consumers $450 more on the initial purchase, yet you can look at the prices on any home improvement store’s website to see that the cost is far more. The true cost of operating these tanks exceeds than what the government is estimating.
There was an existing electric water tank in my home when I first purchased it. The tank was constantly heating water even when not in use. I switched out my tank for natural gas and my electric bill fell by 1/3. My current tank only heats the water when needed and should be considered more energy efficient based on my bill.
Logic has no place in the climate change agenda. Around 40% of existing water heaters on the market will be banned under this new guideline. There will be no point in manufacturing natural gas heaters as they will be irrelevant. The Department of Energy claim that tankless water heaters must rely on 13% less energy than the newest, most efficient fossil fuel model.
“Forcing low-income and senior customers to pay far more upfront is particularly concerning. DOE’s decision to go ahead with a flawed final rule is deeply disappointing,” Matthew Agen, the American Gas Association’s chief counsel for energy, told the outlet. In addition to reducing options and raising costs for consumers, the ruling is punishing an industry. Currently, Rinnai America is the only major American manufacturer of tankless water heaters.
Yet, Rinnai America is against the ban, too. “Our point has always been—I think that the incoming administration will understand this—why would you eliminate a higher efficiency product category? It makes no sense. It makes no sense at all,” Frank Windsor, the president of water heater manufacturer Rinnai America, told the Free Beacon in an interview. “If you really want to impact the water heating ruling, you really need to deal with the tank models.”
Still, the climate change zealots are cheering the claim that the ban will reduce 32 million metric tons of emissions. The Department of Energy has claimed that Americans can enjoy saving $112 over a 20 year span.
“One of the things we see is an antipathy towards natural gas versions of appliances because natural gas is a fossil fuel and they want to electrify everything. When you see bad regulations from the Biden administration, usually it has something to do with climate change,” Ben Lieberman, a senior fellow at the Competitive Enterprise Institute.
The American Gas Association believes the “irresponsible” prohibition is illegal. “The final rule is a violation of the Energy Policy and Conservation Act (EPCA), which prohibits DOE from promulgating a standard that renders a product with a distinct performance characteristic unavailable. To make matters worse, DOE’s own analysis claims that the average life-cycle cost savings would amount to barely $112 over the entire 20-year average product life. DOE’s final rule is unjustifiable on legal and practical grounds.” AGA is suing the DOE over a similar issue.
Build Back Better leaders, who are not leaders but puppets of the globalist NWO, have not hesitated to abandon their people and country in the name of climate change. It is of no surprise that Biden is pushing through these unpopular proposals at the eleventh hour. Donald Trump will likely spend the beginning of his term fighting to undo all the damage the Biden-Harris regime has done in the name of climate change.
Posted originally on Jan 8, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
Germany is on track to meet its climate change initiatives at the expense of its economy. To look at the overall health of the European Union, we may look directly at Germany – the leading European economy. A climate think tank Agora noted that Germany lowered its emissions by 3% in 2024 on an annual basis due to its declining economy.
Germany shed 656 million metric tons of carbon dioxide emissions last year, a 48% reduction since 1990. The nation is seeking to reduce emissions by 65% in time for Agenda 2030 compared to 1990 levels. Agora director Simon Mueller admitted that Duetchland’s economic downturn is responsible for the lowered emissions, yet that is STILL not sufficient to meet the cap stipulated under the Climate Protection Act. “If Germany does not take action in these sectors, there is a risk of fines being imposed by Brussels,” Mueller said.
Fined by Brussels. There you have it, folks. The globalists running the EU are comfortable decimating the economy of Europe to achieve their true objectives. Wind and solar energy production in Germany accounted for 55% of consumption in 2024. Brussels and Agora seem to believe this shows that the climate policy is working at intended.
Economy Minister Robert Habeck, a Davos man, has championed these climate change objectives as well. He admitted in an interview with Spiegel that “since 2018 there has been no real growth in Germany. ” Habeck’s official title is Federal Minister for Economic Affairs and Climate Protection. One must question why economics and climate protection are paired in such a forced manner when one counteracts the other.
“Nationalism is on the rise and this is a dangerous trend,” said Habeck in March of last year, adding that the energy transition will only succeed “if we stick together.” We do not need to read between the lines to see what the establishment wants out of the EU. Habeck clearly stated that combating climate change “means a free world order.”
“Economic growth won’t be possible if we don’t act,” Habeck said, insisting that Germany’s climate virtues will attract business. He blamed economic woes on reliance on “cheap Russian gas and the Chinese market,” clearly stating globalization is the ideal for economic growth. He does not want “economic independence” for Germany, instead opting to support Brussels. “The old world is gone, a new world is rising,” Habeck declared. “This is a new world where the economic question alone can’t be the political leading question.”
A new world order where economic independence no longer exists. These people fail to understand what once made Germany a great economic superpower. As I have also warned many times, Germany has clung to the old mercantile economic model, keeping taxes high to prevent inflation and manufacturing products to sell to everyone else to bring home the profits. Now, the establishment is ruining the auto industry, which contributed to 17% of GDP in 2023, all in the name of climate change. They permitted energy costs to soar 300% by demonizing Russian energy. This lethal combination means that Germany’s entire economic model is under assault from every direction.
With cheap Russian gas no longer viable and exports to China declining, the war policies of the EU coupled with the economic crisis created by climate change and the cost of funding unproductive migrants, the prospects for the economy of Europe are pointing toward somewhat hard times into 2026. This will most likely contribute to tensions and pointing fingers at Russia to justify war being pushed by NATO.
Posted originally on the CTH on January 8, 2025 | Sundance
A massive California wildfire is consuming some of the most valuable property around Los Angeles. The Pacific Palisades fire is expanding rapidly due to high winds and dry conditions. Making matters worse, firefighters are having a problem with water shortages to fight the fire due to California environmental standards.
An ariel shot shows the extent of the fire last night, and the situation is rapidly worsening. Firefighters are now focused on rescue efforts.
CALIFORNIA – A state of emergency has been declared in Los Angeles after a huge wildfire swept through hillsides dotted with celebrity homes.
The fire forced the evacuation of 30,000 people, some of whom abandoned their cars and fled on foot to safety.
Nearly 3,000 acres of the Pacific Palisades area between the coastal towns of Santa Monica and Malibu had burned by the Palisades Fire, officials said. Fire officials said that several people were injured, some with burns to faces and hands.
A second blaze dubbed the Eaton Fire broke out some 30 miles inland near Pasadena and doubled in size to 400 acres in a few hours, the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection said.
California Governor Gavin Newsom, who was in Southern California to attend the naming of a national monument by US President Joe Biden, made a detour to the area to see “first hand the impact of these swirling winds and the embers”.
[…] Witnesses reported a number of homes on fire with flames nearly scorching their cars when people fled the hills of Topanga Canyon, as the fire spread from there down to the Pacific Ocean.
Firefighters in aircraft scooped water from the sea to drop it on the nearby flames. Flames engulfed homes and bulldozers cleared abandoned vehicles from roads so emergency vehicles could pass.
The fire burned some trees on the grounds of the Getty Villa, a museum loaded with priceless works of art, but the collection remained safe, the museum said.
Before the fire started, the National Weather Service had issued its highest alert for extreme fire conditions for much of Los Angeles County from Tuesday through Thursday, predicting wind gusts of 50 to 80 mph.
[…] Actor Steve Guttenberg told a local television station that friends of his were impeded from evacuating because others had abandoned their cars in the road.
“It’s really important for everybody to band together and don’t worry about your personal property. Just get out,” Guttenberg said. “Get your loved ones and get out. (read more)
🚨 #BREAKING: Possible mass casualty situation at Duke’s in Malibu, per LA Scanner
Posted originally on Jan 7, 2025 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: You originally said that we should expect an increase in volcanic activity starting in 2019. I believe you said the Pacific Rim would start to become more active by 2025 on the West side. Do you have any update on that and the prospects of something leading to a volcanic winter? It is getting very cold up here in your former home.
ANSWER: The correlations of volcanic activity to sun activity suggest that we should peak in solar activity here with Solar War 25 in 2025 and begin to decline. I previously reported as follows:
“We are now in Solar Cycle 25 with peak sunspot activity expected in 2025. Solar Cycle 24 which ended in December 2019, was of average in length, at 11 years. However, it was the 4th-smallest intensity since regular record keeping began with Solar Cycle 1 in 1755. We’re now in Solar Cycle 25 and we are still in Solar Minimum conditions at this time. Solar Maximum is predicted to occur midway through this cycle which may come as soon as November 2024 but no later than March 2026, with this ideal peak reaching most likely by July 2025.
Right now, the solar wave is conforming more to our model than that of NASA. The Sun has become far more active than NASA has forecast or expected. NASA is beginning to worry that this Solar Cycle 25 could become the Strongest Cycle Since Records Began. Effectively, in terms of our model terminology, Solar Cycle 25 may be a Panic Cycle. In other words, we appear to be headed into the strongest cycle on record following the weakest cycle. That is high volatility in cycle terminology.”
So far, we have seen a dramatic rise in solar flares as we head into the peak of this Solar Wave 25, which our model still shows ideally should peak this summer. Solar Cycle 25 began in December 2019. If we are going to experience a similar event to the Sun falling into a Maunder-minimum-like (inactive) state (1645-1715), which created the mini-Ice Age, it does not appear to be this cycle. That becomes possible in Solar Cycle 26, which will probably begin from 2029 to 20230. This wave should have a sunspot range of 95 to 130 at the peak. The decline in population we see post-2032 appears to be possible compared to war and the solar minimum.
Solar Minimums appear to be taking place close to a 309.6-year cycle. There have been many studies on the impact of UV and gamma radiation during solar changes and events. Gamma rays are a form of electromagnetic radiation, as are radio waves, infrared radiation, ultraviolet radiation, X-rays, and microwaves. Gamma rays can treat cancer, and astronomers study gamma-ray bursts.
I have also reported that our correlation models show that solar minimums correspond to increased volcanic activity. Volcanic winters take place during solar minimums. It seems that gamma rays may be why volcanoes erupt more during these periods. This certainly also reduces food production and increases disease, presumably because of a rise in malnutrition. However, since gamma rays are also used to treat cancer, there is at least a basis to warrant further investigation if the increase in gamma rays during solar minimums impacts certain susceptible people or those with particular DNA sequences. I warned back in 2018 that going into a solar minimum in 2019 would help to increase a commodity boom into 2020-2024.
The January 15, 2022 eruption had a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) rating of at least a 5 maybe 6, roughly making that on par with historic eruptions like Mount Vesuvius in 79AD that buried Pompei and Mount St. Helens in 1980 that threw the equivalent of 10 years of pollution from cars into the atmosphere in minutes. The real big one on the West Coast seems to be due more around 2032-2048 time period. That may be the one that creates a real volcanic winter.
Such events can cause what is known as a Volcanic Winter by the ash blocking the sun. That is what has taken place many times throughout recorded history. They called the year 1816 – the year without a summer. This 19th-century disaster played out during 1816 when the weather in Europe and North America entered a volcanic winter with widespread crop failures resulting in famine followed by plague. The dust from the eruption of Mount Tambora, which had erupted in early April 1815, had shrouded the entire globe, blocking the sunlight. This sent the world into darkness, and 1816 did not have a normal summer. It even snowed in New York City in July.
Right now, we are starting to see increased volcanic activity on the East side of the Pacific Rim as it moves under the North American plate. That means we should expect to see an increase in volcanic activity and Solar Wave 25 peaks, and we begin to move into solar minimum once again. This activity is starting in the Aleutian Islands and off the West Coast of the United States.
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