Stagflation Begins


Posted originally on Sep 10, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

STAGFLATION

Nine of the 12 Federal Reserve districts reported a decline in economic activity in August, up five districts from the July Beige Book report. Our system has warned that we are entering a period of stagflation, where inflation remains high but GDP declines. Now, the Fed is reporting that two-thirds of the US economy is experiencing “flat or declining activity.”

The US economy advanced 3% during the last quarter, leading many to believe that the economy is recovering since Q2 posted a measly 1.4% advancement. Consumer spending, amounting to 70% of GDP, rose 2.9% last quarter as well, but people are spending on essentials. They fail to calculate TAXES into the equation when producing these reports and then dismiss essentials such as food and shelter as “volatile” aspects that somehow are not factored in the core figures.

StagflationInflationUnemployment

Some people have a very hard time understanding that we are in a massive deflationary spiral; they think that rising prices simply means it is inflation and not deflation. Then, they mistake stagflation for deflation and wonder why people are spending more on less. They only see prices, not disposable income, and certainly not economic growth and unemployment.

The latest jobs report revealed that manufacturing is continuing to decline – shedding 24,000 jobs in July alone. On the other hand, the public sector grew by an additional 24,000, but those are 24,000 positions that will not contribute to GDP. Instead, growing government is simply growing the national debt but that figure no longer matters since it has long been unsustainable.

If you really look at it, objectively, interest rates always rise during boom periods, and they decline during recessions and depressions. We are looking at increased inflation into 2028 caused by shortages and war. But you’re looking at declining economic growth, so that ends up being more like the 1970s. The inflation rate will be higher than economic growth and we often see stagflation during times of war. We are beginning to see this come into play on the district level, but soon, it will be undeniable that the US has entered a period of contraction.

Categories:INFLATION

The Election Cycle Virus


Posted originally on Sep 9, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

2024 Mosquito_borne_illnesses

QUESTION: Are they at it again for the election disease syndrome? The media seems to be touting the CDC once more, sounding the alarm about a supposed “surge” in COVID-19 cases. The curious thing is you must be a Republican to catch it. It is only affecting the Red states like Texas, California, Florida, and North Carolina.

HS

Bill_Gates mosquito

ANSWER: Oh yes, they have a mosquito crisis in New England. Until Bill Gates started breeding mosquitos and released billions in Florida, I never had a mosquito infestation in my yard. Even MALARIA has come back since Gates began his mosquito project. I would love to get RFK Jr as Attorney General to start indicting some of these Neocons and bioterrorists pretending to be helping society. What I find curious is that I am 74 years old. I have never seen such hype for a disease that emerges just in time for the elections as they got away with it in 2020.

I was personally tested for COVID-19 five times, and each time, it was negative. My daughter insisted I go to Tampa Hospital to see the top pulmonary specialist there. I said it’s not COVID; I was tested five times, always negative. He said to me I had COVID-19 and not to worry; the tests were invalid anyway.

We should name these things: the Election Virus-2024, then the midterms Election Virus-2026.

The Object appears to be staying home and sending in mail-in ballots

to provide cover for the illegal aliens to vote this cycle.

Climate Stupidity and How It Began


It began in California. “…California Assembly speaker Willie Brown formed our nation’s first clean-air district in the Los Angeles basin, the South Coast Air Quality Management District (SCAQMD)…”

https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2024/05/climate_stupidity.html

Ep. 3426a – Green New Scam Backfires In California, People See The Recession, Boomerang


Posted originally on Rumble By X 22 Report on: Aug 1, 2024 at 6:30 pm EST

Miller: In AZ, Green New Deal Agenda Sees Many Traditional Energy Sources Shutdown


Posted originally on Rumble By Bannons War Room on: Aug 13, 2024 at 02:00 pm EST

Paris Olympics Failure – Green Policies on Display


Posted originally on Aug 13, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |  

SleepingOutsideOlympics

The Paris Olympics was a preview of what to expect under Agenda 2030 and other lofty climate change goals. Paris aimed to host the most sustainable Olympics in history with a 50% target reduction in carbon emissions compared to previous Olympics like Rio 2016 or London 2012. The world’s most impressive athletes are now speaking out to tell the world that climate goals are NOT sustainable for human life.

First, the International Olympic Committee planned to offer the athletes sustainable living conditions. The unairconditioned rooms had cardboard beds made of reusable materials. The picture of Italian swimmer Thomas Ceccon sleeping outside has gone viral. “There is no air conditioning in the Village, it’s hot, the food is bad,” he told The Sun. “Many athletes move for this reason: it’s not an alibi or an excuse, it’s the reality of what perhaps not everybody knows.” He said he was too tired to make the final as he was exhausted from the climate-friendly accommodations.

Countless athletes left the Olympic village to find alternative housing. The organizers eventually caved and provided some form of air conditioning to athletes due to the high number of complaints. The geothermal cooling systems simply failed. Paris mayor Anne Hidalgo, meanwhile, told the athletes to “trust the science” ahead of the games. Where have we heard that before?

Kerry end Air Conditioning

“We appreciate the concept of not having air conditioning due to the carbon footprint,” Australian Olympic Committee CEO Matt Carroll said last year. “But it is a high-performance Games. We’re not going for a picnic.” They want you to believe that simple heating and cooling is a luxury that can be discarded in the name of science. We are now hearing from Olympians, the pinnacle of human strength and health, that they could not forego cooling systems.

Klaus Schwab of the World Economic Forum has said that people will eat bugs and enjoy them. Shamefully, that is precisely what the Olympic organizers fed athletes. “The science” claims that cattle is killing our environment since it releases too many emissions. The Olympic Committee boasted of serving a mainly plant-based menu to athletes, ignoring the obvious issue that nutrition and protein are essential.

Insects.Bugs_.WorldEconomicForum.WEF_

Countless athletes complained that they were hungry and did not have enough to eat. Worse, the food provided lacked the proper nutrition for their bodies to perform. “I want to eat meat, I need meat to perform and that’s what I eat at home, so why should I change?” British swimmer Adam Peaty, 29, told iNews. “I like my fish and people are finding worms in the fish. It’s just not good enough. The standard, we’re looking at the best of the best in the world — and we’re feeding them not the best.”

They are seeking to reduce the amount of meat everyone can eat. They are creating lab-grown alternatives without knowing the repercussions. Farmlands are being bought en mass and thousands of cattle and chickens are being slaughtered in nations abiding by the WEF agenda.

Then there are reports of athletes falling ill after swimming in the Seine that was never properly cleaned. There is a reason President Macron backed out of his obligation to swim in that filth. Rules for thee but not for me. The masses will be forced to sacrifice human comforts to promote the climate change agenda. YOU are the carbon they want to eliminate.

Categories:CLIMATE

My Hope


Posted originally on Aug 12, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |  

Davos is the Problem

COMMENT: Marty, I have been attending your conferences since 2011. What I have learned from you is far more than my MBA. You are a world teacher paving the way for a new age. I am glad to hear they are making a movie about your efforts. The world needs to know. I was in Rome when Nigel Farage said that you were the alternative to Davos. What these academics from Davos have done to the world is the total destruction of our values and culture with this open border pushed by Soros.

I know you say you are waiting for Scotty to beam you up. Given what these people have done to suppress you over the years, I don’t think anyone can blame you for that. You are the first victim of cancel culture. Let me speak for your selfish followers. We hope you are here until 2050.

I think it’s in the Bible: blessed will be the peacemakers.

Jared

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REPLY: I hope that this Hollywood movie shows the world that there is a better way to live simply with the cycle rather than having these academics ponder how to reconstruct the world. Hence, they constantly think they can make it better and, in the process, destroy the very foundation of civilization. Karl Marx did not understand how the economy works but focused on wealth and labor. He saw capitalism as an extension of ancient slavery, then serfdom, to labor for the capitalist. He tried to change the world, and in the process, hundreds of millions died. His ideas killed more than Stalin, Mao, and Hitler combined.

Father Martin Armstrong ARMY North Afria

My father was with General Patton from North Africa to Berlin. He told me that Patton believed he had been sent back from above to win the war. He had wanted to go straight into Moscow back then and told my father that the real enemy was Communism. My father told me that Patton was relieved of command of the 3rd Army by Eisenhower because he publicly said that America had been fighting the wrong enemy—Germany instead of Russia. He died in a car accident, and in his last words, I was told: “This is a hell of a way to die.”

Cycle_of_Civilization

I was raised with that sense of duty because I was always taught we are here for a purpose. Some have told me my father taught me to speak the truth like Patton, even if it angered those in power. Perhaps. I guess just like Patton knew that the real enemy was Communism, I see the real enemy as being these academics who pretend to know how to reshape the world and never understand how it truly functions. So, to me, the enemy remains Davos, Soros, and his legions, as well as Bill Gates. Stop messing with nature and live with the cycles rather than ignoring them or manipulating them to eliminate the business cycle. There is a cycle to the rise and fall of civilizations, and they are fulfilling the destruction of Western society with their open borders that cannot be reversed.

Joseph Interprets Pharaoh

I see the world as the Biblical story of Joseph telling the Pharoah there will be seven years of plenty and seven years of drought. This explains the business cycle and how to live with it. This story is a lesson that Marx, Keynes, Soros, Gates, and Schwab have believed that they are wiser than God or nature, for they have all attempted to either manipulate or terminate the business cycle.

Burns Arthur
Volcker Rediscovery

Paul Volcker and I had an exciting conversation back in 1998. He told me that he agreed with my model and that the business cycle is about 8 years in length. I explained that we should stop fighting it. He came to see the inevitability in his Rediscovery of the Business Cycle.

Interview: AI Predicts REAL Market Crash (Here’s When)


Posted originally on Aug 11, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |  

Understanding The Energy Behind Market Movements


Posted 0riginally on Aug 9, 2024 By Martin Armstrong |  

COMMENT #1: I’ve now been reading your work for close to Twenty Years.  I’ve been to numerous conferences. From Philadelphia to San Diego to Orlando and you still amaze me

The me from 10 years ago would have thought the world would collapse on Monday as the media stated. Now I’ve learned(from you) to watch what actually happens instead of trying to predict.

I thank you ??
Regards,

JCL

COMMENT #2: Marty, I have been in these markets for 20+ years. Not as long as you, but long enough to see that a bunch of analysts are all claiming we are heading into a recession without any data. It is clear how many people are looking at your Economic Confidence Model but will never give you credit for anything. That reveals their character.

You are here for a reason.

Take care.

FA

bulls bears Pendulum

RESPONSE: So many people just make forecasts based on opinion. Mainstream media would NEVER put me on the air because I would contradict their mainstay of putting out propaganda to get you to tune in again and again. Markets are propelled by energy. There is simply a finite level of energy that CAN be exerted in a single direction. It is the pendulum.

The swing down provides the short cover for the rally. Rally to a high, which will cause the energy to decline. NOTHING goes straight up or straight down. The 1987 Crash was the same thing. I said the market bottom was in place the very day of the low. As Larry Edelson said, people thought I was crazy. We called the high, the Crash, but also the low.

DJIND D Energy 8 9 24

Here are our Energy Models. Note how energy was declining to a high, showing that you were running out of steam. Then, energy rose sharply with the decline. But look at the Monday low—the energy was subsiding. I try to teach people how to be an international hedge fund manager at these conferences. This is also why they are making a Hollywood movie about what I have done. They understand that there is a better way to run the world than always trying to manipulate things for self-interest. They are also doing a Documentary, the Forecaster 2024, showing all the forecasts they recorded 10 years ago and how they came true. They understand this is NOT MY PERSONAL OPINION!

1 ECM 2032 Wave 157 Pi Turning Point 1 Annotated
935 ECM 2020 2028

I know a lot of people are looking at the Economic Confidence Model. Some plagiarize it, while others pay attention silently. This is NOT going to be the classic recession. There is a lot more behind this than meets the eye.

Massachusetts to Ban Term “Mother”


Posted originally on Aug 5, 2024 By Martin Armstrong 

Baby Birthrate

Massachusetts, House Bill 4750 will protect parents from gender discrimination by removing “mother” and “father” from birth certificates. We have reached a place in our society where this announcement causes no recoil as the left has strayed far beyond reality. A few years ago, these stories would make front-page headlines and cause an uproar. A “mother” is now merely the “person who gave birth,” while the father is known as the “other parent.”

Congratulations on your child, person who gave birth! May I call you “person?” “The Women’s Caucus endorsed this bill … because we know that there are many paths to parenthood, and our laws need to be updated to reflect the diversity of families,” Hannah Kane, a Republican who voted in favor of the bill, stated. Eliminating women from the equation does not provide “diversity”. Rather, women now have no rights because they do not exist.

A girl in my office was complaining about the announcement a few weeks ago from Tampax that stated they had been selling feminine products that contained cancerous materials. Admittedly, I had not followed the story as closely. She proclaimed that the products were never removed from the shelves, and “bleeding persons” were never informed on what to do with their dangerous products or how to check to see if they were affected. The entire story was swept under the rug because current society does not value women. Become a genderless being with no identity. Be no one other than a taxpayer and potential soldier.

Requirement_for_Women_to_Register_for_the_Draft_Back_on_the_Table_in_Annual_Defe

This is a global phenomenon. Italy’s PM Georgia Meloni was declared a far-right fascist for daring to state: “I am Giorgia. I’m a woman, I’m a mother, I’m Italian, I’m Christian.” Canada began demonizing the nuclear family structure in 2018, when Service Canada urged public employees to “use gender-neutral language or gender-inclusive language.” “This avoids portraying a perceived bias toward a particular sex or gender,” Service Canada claimed. The US government began to issue documents in February that asked officials not to use terms like “mother” or “father.”’

There is no greater hedge against the government than the nuclear family. A blood-tied union that can actually rely upon one another, decide their own morals and ethics, practice tradition and religion, and banish fear-mongering. The government wants to replace parents as the head authority. They want children to report on their parents’ wrongdoing, no different than countless past regimes from the Soviets to the Nazis. Governments are using schools to help children harbor secrets from their parents and alter their perception of reality. There is an outright psychological war happening against Generation Alpha, who may only know of a distorted version of reality that governments have been providing them.

The pride of being a mother is no longer permitted; you are disregarded as a “birthing person” in some Orwellian dystopian mentality. Anyone can breastfeed, the world health agencies have declared. There is nothing that differentiates women from men, apparently. Most importantly, your child should honor thy government over thy “mother” or “father.”