Britain’s Chancellor of the Exchequer Revolts Against Merkel


Philip_Hammond

The new British Finance Minister Philip Hammond, was appoint as  Chancellor of the Exchequer on July 13th, 2016. Hammond is a welcome relief and has come out and departed with Draghi and Merkel stating: “The markets need calming signals. You need to know that we will do everything necessary to keep on track the economy. “ Hammond came out and stated that it is time to rethink the economic policy of his country and in reality Europe. He stated rationally that the entire idea of  austerity was the appropriate response to the financial crisis of 2008. However, Hammond stated bluntly that the world is in a completely different position today. Effectively, Hammond outright fundamentally rejected the economic policies of Angela Merkel. What we are beginning to see is an economic revolution against the idea of Merkel’s austerity programs. From Italy and France, we are also hearing the same rebellion.

May Becomes PM in Britain & Boris Becomes Foreign Secretary


May becomes PM

TEU Crisisheresa May became the new Prime Minister of Britain on Wednesday and formally met with the Queen to ask permission to lead her government. May is now embracing BREXIT as such members are dominating her cabinet and on top of that, May made the main Brexit campaigner Boris Johnson her foreign secretary. May is positioning Britain to exit the EU. This is fantastic news for Britain may survive rather than be dragged down by the collapse of the EU. This would be a restoration of economic sanity.

While the British pound will still move lower as the world economy implodes, forcing the dollar higher, the pound will survive compared to the euro which is off to the emergency room.

The Brits who though staying in the EU was doable will gradually see the real crisis unfold. As the EU banking system is in shambles, they will quickly see that extracting Britain from the EU was the only viable option.

Rating Agencies Downgrade 24 Counties


BIG BANG ECM 2015.75

The three main credit rating agencies have been downgrading government debt at an alarming rate, which confirms our computer models, albeit a tad late. The first half of 2016 has seen more sovereign downgrades since the crash of 2009. The first six months of last year saw Moody’s downgrade 24 governments, Standard & Poor’s 16 governments, and Fitch 14. This has included Saudi Arabia and Brazil.

The 2015.75 Crisis Moving into 2020.05


Crisis

The world financial crisis that is unfolding post-2015.75 is different from that which followed the 2007.15 peak in the ECM. As stated countless times, each event is a crisis in a different sector. The 2007.15 crisis was the over-leverage in real estate that the bankers created. This time, we are looking at the demise of governments. Under normal conditions, bond prices would be falling with interest rates in the public sector rising. We still see this unfolding in the peripheral markets. The markets where central banks have been buying government bonds to try to stimulate the economy has utterly failed and created a crisis beyond contemplation. We are looking at the collapse of government’s ability to issue debt as we move forward into this cycle. The only buying will be central banks at the end of the day – totally insane.

Bailout-R

The Sovereign Debt Crisis of the 1840s was the demise of the states, thanks to Andrew Jackson shutting down the Bank of the United States. This led to a banking crisis with individual states trying to support their banks. Because the states could not create money. The states issued debt to bailout the banks, but the crisis was far too massive, and as a result, the banks took down the state governments, which had no choice but to permanently default on their debt. This time, governments are trying bail-ins and this is causing confidence to collapse. Why should people trust banks at all? Once they hoard cash; that is it. The velocity of money implodes and you end up with an economic depression.

Draghai Euro CrisisTo answer all the questions about whether this will be covered at the World Economic Conference — of course. And to answer why we did not hold one in Berlin, yes, our models were warning about significant civil unrest in Europe as a consequence of the complete fiscal mismanagement of the ECB. It appears that the negative interest rates are totally insane. This is the complete incompetence of those who think they know how to manipulate society from Larry Summers to Mario Draghi.

These people will never admit a fatal mistake. Thus, we have to stand by and what Rome burn.

German Fear of Inflation is Causing Collapse of Europe


German Hyperinflation Wheelborrow

Germany’s obsession with anti-inflation policies inspired by the Hyperinflation of the 1920s is so misguided that it is not threatening to collapse all of Europe. Former ECB banker Lorenzo Bini Smaghi has now even called to rescue the Italian banks with European taxpayers’ money. He is correct in warning that the insistence of Germany on the prohibition of state funding bailouts could evolve into a threat to the entire European financial system. The ECB is desperately trying to support the euro, but a strong currency only promotes deflation – not recovery.

German 1918 Revolution

The German hypeinflation was the result of a collapse in confidence because of the 1918 Communist revolution in Germany. Nobody would lend the government money after they invited the Russian communists to take over Germany. This had NOTHING to do with printing money. That was the result of the collapse in confidence, not the original cause.

This misguided interpretation of the German hyperinflation is causing the exact same response. People are hoarding cash, not investment, and banks are collapsing. Deutsche Bank says it need 150 billion euros. This is a full blown sovereign debt crisis that will tear Europe apart. Negative interest rates are accelerating the process.

Banking Panic in Italy


Italy

We have reports from readers in Italy that ATM machines are being emptied. A run on banks is beginning in Italy.

Civil Unrest Explodes in Berlin Over 3500 People Riot Against Police


German Riots

Civil Unrest is exploding. The biggest and most violent protest in Germany erupted in Berlin over the weekend exactly with our models calling for an explosion in civil unrest. Some 1800 police were called in and at least 120 policemen were injured in what is becoming a street battle. This has been the most aggressive and violent protest in Germany for the past five years. Protesters were throwing bottles, cobblestones and fireworks, as well as they destroyed cars in addition to attacking police officers. It appears at least 3,500 rioters took part in the uprising and possibly more than 4,000.

The protest is against police operations and involved mostly young people who have risen up against the police operations in the Riga street area. Protesters wore black hoods carrying banners with slogans like “Riga defend 94” and “Housing solidarity against state terror.” The demonstration went on with the crowd chanting repeatedly: “Bullenschweine get out of Riga!” Demonstrators were throwing firecrackers and police fired back with tear gas. The police also called in air support using helicopters and they had to call in for reinforcements from Bavaria, Brandenburg, Lower Saxony, Saxony, Saxony-Anhalt, Thuringia and the Federal Police. Interior Senator Frank Henkel (CDU) announced that the police will also be present at night after the demonstration. So riots and arson attacks should be stopped.

The Euro on the Brink of Disaster


Euro Sinking

 

Euro HangingWe are looking at the collapse of Europe unfold much faster than anyone suspected. I have been warning that the Continental EU banks are in serious trouble. The negative interest rates have devastated Europe. While trying to stimulate borrowers who are not interested without an opportunity to make money, the ECB has wiped out savers, pensions, and sent cash into hiding contracting the European economy – not stimulating it. I have also warned that it is the EURO which is in serious trouble and that BREXIT was the only way to save Britain from being dragged down under as the Euro sinks.

The Italian banks are collapsing and the crisis is now risking bringing down the Italian government. If they do not bailout the banks, the people will be in revolution. If they bailout the banks, they can only print Euros. The is starting to illustrate what I have been warning about. The EURO is in effect like a gold standard. When crisis hit, everyone had to suspend the gold standard for World Wars I and II and then upon the fall of Bretton Woods. The currencies were tied to gold which they could not increase its supply. This is the same crisis now with the EURO. Despite the EURO is really just electronic/paper, its quantity is still fixed by the EU membership. No single member state can just increase its supply unilaterally. That would be like trying to maintain a gold standard and one nation revalued its gold to three times that of what everyone else uses. That becomes impossible. The Silver Democrats nearly caused the bankruptcy of the USA for overvaluing silver relative to the world in the 19th century.

This is why the euro CANNOT SURVIVE. You have sovereign states with their own crisis and that demand measures separate and distinct from other members. This is how the euro system will break. It is extremely urgent that you understand the crisis ahead. This is what will send capital fleeing into the dollar. True, some will buy gold. That is generally retail investors. Pension funds and institutional investors will buy US government bonds, dollars and park them at the Fed, or jump in with both feet into the US stock market.

By the time this mess comes unraveled, we will see the world completely change. We are probably looking at a major world monetary reform come as early as 2018. The speed with which this is unfolding is rather incredible

US Government Preparing for Massive Civil Unrest


Weapons

The Federal government is arming every agency from the IRS to the State Department for domestic purposes. This is clearly a response to what they know is coming. There is no question that they are preparing for an uprising. They know that socialism is collapsing. Rather than reform the political economy, they are digging in their heels and getting ready to fight the civilian population. Many are starting to investigate this very unusual trend. This is very alarming. They are watching Europe and know any trend that starts there, always come here — not just fashion.

The non-prosecution of police is resulting in widespread civil unrest where merely people in uniform are seen not as “pigs” as in the 1960s, but the enemy no different from an invading army. Now 5 officers are dead and 6 were injured in a Dallas protest. The police involved in Baton Rouge had four previous “use of force” complaints filed against them. As long as police are not prosecuted, then the bad ones will risk the lives of all because they will all be seen as the enemy. It is time to beginning prosecuting police who act abusively or we will risk civil war.

Friends, Americans, World Citizens, lend me your ears;


istanbul 06052013

Friends, Americans, World Citizens, lend me your ears;

I come to bury the Clinton email scandal, not to praise her.

The evil that politicians do lives after them;

The good is oft interred with their bones;

So let it be with Clinton scandals. The noble Mr Comey

Hath told you Hillary Clinton was ambitious and extremely careless:

If it were so, it was a grievous fault and reckless for a president,

And grievously hath Clinton answer’d it denying any classified abuse thrice.

Here, under leave of Mr. Comey and the rest–

For Mr. Comey is an honourable man;

So are they all, all honourable political men and women in the Obama administration–

Come I to speak in Clinton’s campaign.

She claims she was a friend of the people, faithful to all:

But Mr. Comey says she was ambitious and extremely careless;

And Mr. Comey and Democrats are of course honourable men.

She hath accepted many donations from foreign governments to become the first woman president

and bankers as well whose vast sums did the general coffers of her foundation fill:

Surely, my listeners, she fairly sold her influence for fair value and did not cheat them.

Nay, I say to thee, Clinton did only a tad more than any other politician who seeks riches from office.

Did this in Clinton seem ambitious and extremely careless intent only on becoming president?

When that the poor have cried and protested over water, did not Clinton hath wept:

Ambition should be made of sterner stuff:

Yet Mr. Comey says Clinton was ambitious and extremely careless;

And Mr. Comey is an honourable man.

You all did see that Clinton denied ever sending anything classified

Yet Mr. Comey presented claims that would deny her that veracity crown,

Which she did thrice proclaim: was this ambition and extremely careless?

Yet Mr. Comey says Clinton was ambitious, a liar, and extremely careless;

And, sure, Mr. Comey is an honourable man.

I speak not to disprove what Mr. Comey spoke,

But here I am to speak what I do know.

You all did love Clinton once, not without cause:

What cause withholds you then, to mourn for her misfortune now?

O judgment! thou art fled to brutish beasts,

And men have lost their reason. Bear with me; she is a woman. Surely that alone is qualification.

What else doth matter? Should our arrogance expect true integrity as leader of the world?

My heart is in the coffin there with the image of justice, freedom, and American apple pie,

And I must pause till it come back to me.

 


 

(Adaptation of Marc Antony’s speech upon Caesar’s Death from Shakespeare)